This document provides a summary of a presentation by Drs. Kenny Cheah, Siaw Yan Li, and Donnie Adams from the University of Malaya on strategic thinking and problem solving. It discusses four essential thinking skills, uses a case study to illustrate strategic thinking, and outlines several problem solving and decision making models. The document also includes examples to analyze and contact information for the three doctors. The summary is presented in 3 sentences or less:
The document summarizes a presentation on strategic thinking skills, uses a case study example, and outlines problem solving models, providing contact information for the three presenting doctors from the University of Malaya. It also includes analysis examples and interactive elements.
Management of creativity; Stimulating individual creativity ... Lateral thinking , Checklists, Morphological analysis;; Stimulating group creativity ... Brainstorming, Slipwriting;; Edward De Bono's Six Thinking Hats...
Management of creativity; Stimulating individual creativity ... Lateral thinking , Checklists, Morphological analysis;; Stimulating group creativity ... Brainstorming, Slipwriting;; Edward De Bono's Six Thinking Hats...
In this lecture, I discussed what is group creativity, how it gets impeded, and what are the ways to improve it. I also discussed Frans Johansson's book "The Medici Effect" as an example of creative collaboration
Creative thinking is a desirable trait for innovation within an organization. This paper explores the route to creative thinking in the quest at birthing innovation and transformation in an organization.
Creativity and Types of Innovation
Conceptual Blocks
Three Components of Creativity
The Paradoxical Characteristics of Creative Groups
Tools for Defining Problems and Creating New Ideas
Creating a Creative Climate
In this lecture, I discussed what is group creativity, how it gets impeded, and what are the ways to improve it. I also discussed Frans Johansson's book "The Medici Effect" as an example of creative collaboration
Creative thinking is a desirable trait for innovation within an organization. This paper explores the route to creative thinking in the quest at birthing innovation and transformation in an organization.
Creativity and Types of Innovation
Conceptual Blocks
Three Components of Creativity
The Paradoxical Characteristics of Creative Groups
Tools for Defining Problems and Creating New Ideas
Creating a Creative Climate
Ann Herrmann-Nehdi, CEO of Herrmann International, explores the connection between thinking preferences and different phases of the innovative and strategic thinking processes, discussing the implications for building skills in these areas.
The term problem-solving refers to the mental process that people go through to discover, analyze and solve problems.
A problem can be defined as ‘where there is a need to bridge gap between a current situation and a desired situation”.
Broadly there are three types of problemdiagnostic problems – working out what’s gone wrong and fixing it – for example, a machine or a process isn’t working properly and needs to be fixed or improved design problems – identifying what needs to be done to create a new product or process and planning how to do itcontingency problems – resource planning and working with others to plan and manage a project, such as organising an event.Problems with personal or emotional relationships are not a problem although they often make for interesting scenarios.
Top of FormBottom of FormStrategies for Decision MakingPro.docxedwardmarivel
Top of Form
Bottom of Form
Strategies for Decision Making
Problem Solving and Decision Making
Components of a problem
· Givens: pieces of information that are provided when the problem is presented
· Goal: The desired end state – what a problem solution will hopefully accomplish
· Operations: Actions that can be performed to approach or reach the goal
Steps in Problem-Solving Process
What is Groupthink?
Groupthink is a psychological phenomenon that may cause a failure of a group’s performance. This is a trap that any previously successful group may get in.
The "groupthink" term was proposed by social psychologist Irving Janis (1972). It occurs when a group makes faulty decisions because group pressures lead to a deterioration of “mental efficiency, reality testing, and moral judgment” (p. 9). The alternatives are ignored and irrational actions dehumanize other groups. A group is especially vulnerable to groupthink when its members are similar in background, when the group is insulated from outside opinions, and when there are no clear rules for decision making.
Janis, Irving L. (1972). Victims of Groupthink. New York: Houghton Mifflin.
Janis, Irving L. (1982). Groupthink: Psychological Studies of Policy Decisions and Fiascoes. Second Edition. New York: Houghton Mifflin. Symptoms of Groupthink
There are eight symptoms of groupthink:
· Illusion of invulnerability –Creates excessive optimism that encourages taking extreme risks.
· Collective rationalization – Members discount warnings and do not reconsider their assumptions.
· Belief in inherent morality – Members believe in the rightness of their cause and therefore ignore the ethical or moral consequences of their decisions.
· Stereotyped views of out-groups – Negative views of the “enemy” make effective responses to conflict seem unnecessary.
· Direct pressure on dissenters – Members are under pressure not to express arguments against any of the group’s views.
· Self-censorship – Doubts and deviations from the perceived group consensus are not expressed.
· Illusion of unanimity – The majority view and judgments are assumed to be unanimous.
· Self-appointed ‘mindguards’ – Members protect the group and the leader from information that is problematic or contradictory to the group’s cohesiveness, view, and/or decisions.
Remedies for Groupthink
Decision experts have determined that groupthink may be prevented by adopting some of the following measures:
1. The leader should assign the role of critical evaluator to each member
2. The leader should avoid stating preferences and expectations at the outset
3. Each member of the group should routinely discuss the group's deliberations with a trusted associate and report back to the group on the associate's reactions
4. One or more experts should be invited to each meeting on a staggered basis. The outside experts should be encouraged to challenge views of the members.
5. At least one articulate and knowledgeable member should be given the role of devi ...
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The empire's roots lie in the city of Rome, founded, according to legend, by Romulus in 753 BCE. Over centuries, Rome evolved from a small settlement to a formidable republic, characterized by a complex political system with elected officials and checks on power. However, internal strife, class conflicts, and military ambitions paved the way for the end of the Republic. Julius Caesar’s dictatorship and subsequent assassination in 44 BCE created a power vacuum, leading to a civil war. Octavian, later Augustus, emerged victorious, heralding the Roman Empire’s birth.
Under Augustus, the empire experienced the Pax Romana, a 200-year period of relative peace and stability. Augustus reformed the military, established efficient administrative systems, and initiated grand construction projects. The empire's borders expanded, encompassing territories from Britain to Egypt and from Spain to the Euphrates. Roman legions, renowned for their discipline and engineering prowess, secured and maintained these vast territories, building roads, fortifications, and cities that facilitated control and integration.
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Roman architecture and engineering achievements were monumental. They perfected the arch, vault, and dome, constructing enduring structures like the Colosseum, Pantheon, and aqueducts. These engineering marvels not only showcased Roman ingenuity but also served practical purposes, from public entertainment to water supply.
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Prepare a presentation or a paper using research, basic comparative analysis, data organization and application of economic information. You will make an informed assessment of an economic climate outside of the United States to accomplish an entertainment industry objective.
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Dear Dr. Kornbluth and Mr. Gorenberg,
The US House of Representatives is deeply concerned by ongoing and pervasive acts of antisemitic
harassment and intimidation at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT). Failing to act decisively to ensure a safe learning environment for all students would be a grave dereliction of your responsibilities as President of MIT and Chair of the MIT Corporation.
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Postsecondary education is a unique opportunity for students to learn and have their ideas and beliefs challenged. However, universities receiving hundreds of millions of federal funds annually have denied
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• The Committee on Oversight and Accountability is investigating the sources of funding and other support flowing to groups espousing pro-Hamas propaganda and engaged in antisemitic harassment and intimidation of students. The Committee on Oversight and Accountability is the principal oversight committee of the US House of Representatives and has broad authority to investigate “any matter” at “any time” under House Rule X.
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6. 1. MUST KNOW
2. SHOULD KNOW
3. GOOD TO KNOW
So being a Malaysian, we have 4th and
5th category.. Anyone can guess?
7. 1. MUST KNOW
2. SHOULD KNOW
3. GOOD TO KNOW
4. WHY NEED TO KNOW? (APA
MASALAH?) …
5. NO NEED TO KNOW LAH! (TAK
PAYAHLAH)...
8. 1. Four Essential Thinking Skills: Creative,
Critical, Analytical and Strategic
2. Case Study in Thinking Strategically to Solve an
Issue
3. Problem Solving and Decision Making Models
9.
10. At your most active, you generate beta waves (for instance, when you're in the
middle of a job interview). When you’re relaxed (like when you’ve finally wrapped
that big project and can take a breath), your brain switches to alpha waves. Now,
jumping ahead for a minute, the fourth stage is delta and it’s when you’re in a
deep sleep
11.
12.
13. Individuals who do a lot of freeway driving often get good ideas during those
periods when they are in theta . . . This can also occur in the shower or tub or even
while shaving or brushing your hair. It is a state where tasks become so automatic
that you can mentally disengage from them. The ideation that can take place
during the theta state is often free flow and occurs without censorship or guilt.
You’re also in theta when you’re falling asleep or waking up and between active
alertness and deep dreaming.
During this awakening cycle it is possible for individuals to stay in the theta state
for an extended period of say, five to 15 minutes—which would allow them to have
a free flow of ideas about yesterday's events or to contemplate the activities of the
forthcoming day. This time can be an extremely productive and can be a period of
very meaningful and creative mental activity.
14.
15. 1. Pick an ENJOYABLE task.
2. Take notes
3. Review. Keep track of your "theta thoughts" so you can look them at them over
time and find patterns.
4. Mistakes are lessons not to paralyze you
20. 1. I am Creative 12345
2. If I think I am creative, I will be creative 12345
3. I like to discover my creativity potential 12345
4. I explore new ways of doing things 12345
5. I’m willing to take risks in doing things differently 12345
6. I yearn to learn outside my scope of work 12345
7. I prefer ideas and theories to facts and figures 12345
8. I ask lots of questions before giving my response 12345
9. I love doing mentally stimulating exercises 12345
10. I enjoy jokes and funny cartoons 12345
21. 41-50: Should be More Creative
31-40: Fairly Creative
21-30: Creative
10-20: Very Creative
Hold on…let’s think analytically. Is the score logical?
25. Institute Creativity Awards
Nurture staff’s creativity
Notify results of suggestions received
Organize an Annual Family Creativity Festival
Value Copycats
Allow a cooling off period
Train staff in creativity skills
Implement a Mistake of the Month Award
View results of creativity by measurement tools.
Encourage free association
26. Institute Creativity Awards
Recognition is one of the most powerful motivating factors for
individuals.
Example: Robotic assembly line-> Powerful lighting.
Nurture staff’s creativity
Bureaucratic procedures may become an impediment to creativity
Managing the imagination of your people is much more important than
managing the organization structure
27. Notify results of suggestions received
Suggestion boxes and other forms of feedback are ineffective because it
was perceived as not ‘serious’
Resolved by making it the management’s responsibility to respond within
a specified time frame or the suggestion is automatically approved
Organize an Annual Family Creativity Festival
There are undiscovered talents in every organization. A creativity festival
provides opportunity to uncover such talents. Creativity blossoms in fun
atmosphere.
28. Value Copycats
A company called Raychem promotes stealing of ideas. Calls it ‘Creative
imitation’.
Created two awards:
1) The person who copies the idea
2) The person who provided the idea within the organization.
Allow a cooling off period
An idea that is enthusiastically endorsed by all present at a meeting is
probably what the meeting wants to hear.
If everyone agreed with an idea, put off decision making to allow for a
cooling off period to re-examine the idea. Often, the original idea was not a
very good one and better solution was found upon reflection.
29. Train staff in creativity skills
Creativity is a skill that can be taught through specific techniques which
enhances inherent creativity.
Implement a Mistake of the Month Award
Success comes from making right decisions. Right decisions requires
experience. Experience comes from making mistakes.
A senior Engineer of IBM made a $20 million mistake. The engineer
stayed on to become one of IBM’s most valuable staff.
Steve Harvey
30. View results of creativity by measurement tools.
The value of the idea of saving electricity by switching off the lighting in the
robotic assembly was easily measurable -> Huge cost saving!
Encourage free association
Casual conversations among employees are potent weapons for breakthroughs.
31. ~ The first step in innovation is creativity
~
35. Strategic thinking involves the
formulation and implementation of
the major ideas, goals and initiatives
taken by a company's top
management on behalf of owners,
based on consideration of resources
and an assessment of the internal
and external environments in which
the organization competes
36.
37.
38.
39.
40.
41.
42.
43. Grounded in Scientific Rationality
A sequential process: (a) seeking the right Questions; (b) Discover creative
answers; (c) Ensure chosen solution is valuable and useful
Some other common steps are: (a) Identifying the problem; (b) Generating
alternatives; (c) Evaluating alternatives; and (d) Choosing appropriate solution
44.
45.
46.
47. Simon (1947) Administrative Behavior
Human decision is limited by available information and cognitive information-
processing ability (also called bounded rationality)
Humans lack cognitive resources and rarely evaluate all outcomes, probability of
outcomes and limited by memories, experience and knowledge
Satisficing is used to explain how decision-makers behave in the world of
uncertainty, conscious biases and limited knowledge of any given situation. At this
point, it is almost impossible to make rational decision
48.
49.
50. Lindblom (1959) “The Science Muddling Through”, Public Administration Review
Attempts to correct the deficiencies of the rational model and to better describe
how decision-makers actually behaved in reality
A method of working by adding to a project using small, unplanned and
incremental changes instead of taking large extensive steps
Decision-makers do not always see a clear goal when solving a problem, and the
use of decision-making models are situational
51. Strategic managers forged their strategies for change only gradually as events
unfold, keeping their options open and steering their organization incrementally
towards the goal.
Incrementalism allows for countless end-means and means-end adjustments that
makes the problem more manageable
“Muddling through” offers an alternative when problems become more complex
and theories becomes inadequate to explain
52.
53.
54. Etzioni (1967) Mixed Scanning: A ‘Third’ approach to Decision-making
Involves two sets of judgments: (a) broad, fundamental choices about the
organization’s basic policy and direction; (b) incremental decisions that ‘prepare
way for new, basic judgment and implements them once they are made’
Decision-makers broadly scan the field of interest, and identify which one should
be taken incrementally or rationally.
This model uses Incremental model’s flexibility and Satisficing model’s of bounded
rationality
Two advantageous : (a) provides strategy for evaluation; (b) flexible and useful in
an environment of varying stability
55.
56. Cohen, March and Olsen (1972) The Garbage Can Model of Organizational choice
Decision-making can be a sloppy, haphazard and confusing process
Operates in Two Levels: (a) that choice is fundamentally ambiguous; (b) the effort
to describe the way which organization deal with the flow of problems, solutions,
and decision-makers (like a ‘garbage can’ situation).
57. There are four streams of interactions in a ‘garbage can’:
1. Problems
2. Solutions
3. Participants
4. Choice opportunities
58. Decision-makers allocate time and energy to choice opportunities (unrelated and
simultaneous available problems, solutions, goals, interest and concerns). The link
between a problem and a solution depends heavily on the simultaneity of their
‘arrivals’.
Decision-making in the real world takes place in an environment where goals,
constraints, and consequences of possible actions are not known precisely.
Decision-makers may perceive a decision when: (a) an action is taken, even if this
action solves no problems in the garbage can; (b) when the problem is removed
from the garbage can, even if no action has been taken to cause its own removal;
or (c ) when an action is mated with the problem and is called the ‘solution’.
59. It can be curiously seen as divorced from centralization policy, standard operating
procedures and traditional classical organizational theorists.
Nevertheless, organizations that function with inherent ambiguities within their
process of decision-making will observe the garbage can model in operation
60.
61. Politics are inevitable part of organizational life.
“There is always those who want to seize power for their own persona
ends...Power relations get played out in a variety of ways: political tactics and
games, bargaining and conflict resolution” Hoy and Miskel (2013),
Education Administration
Decision-makers observe both the formal and informal, legitimate and illegitimate
forms of power. Behavior is a function of interaction between organization
structure, individual, culture and policies at work.
Political model does not assume that decisions are a result of applying existing
SOPs, programs and routines, but instead through bargaining among coalitions
and different groups.
62.
63. Decision-making is a process of conflict resolution, consensus building and
outcome of decision as products of compromise.
Stakeholders have different perceptions, priorities and solutions to the problem,
no particular decision can be made if posing harm to the stakeholder, even though
it is the best and optimum solution.
Political decision-making may be legitimate and beneficial in a sense that it may
chart a new path for unpopular decision that may work for organization.
64.
65. Influences decision-makers in two broad areas:
(a) Dealing with Moral temptations within the individual decision-maker. They are
the values of rights and the wrongs, and he/she has to resist moral temptations
because of personal preferences and weaknesses.
(b) Concerned with variables that form and define situations (or contexts) in which
the individual makes the decision.
66. Eight steps
1. Identify problem or dilemma
2. Identify potential issues involved
3. Review relevant ethical codes
4. Know the applicable laws and regulations
5. Obtain consultation
6. Consider possible and probable courses of action
7. Enumerate the consequences of various decisions
8. Decide on what appears to be the best course of action
67.
68.
69.
70.
71. There is no Perfect model for decision-making
What scholars do is to close the gap between theory, reality and practice
Each model portrays its own SWOT
People can still make bad decisions to arrive to a better decision.
Few guidelines to consider : (a) seek information from a variety of perspectives,
including the ones not directly involved in the decision; (b) best leaders do make
mistakes, therefore do not enforce failure-fearing
72.
73.
74. Decision-making is a process that is inter-related and overlapping between models
75.
76.
77. ANALYZE
A woman was filling up her bathtub with hot water when
the hot water ran out. She therefore decided to heat some
water using a kettle on the kitchen stove in order to add to
the water in the bath to raise the temperature to the
desired result. After some time, her husband walked in.
He told her to stop heating the water on the stove because
the more she heated the water, the colder will her bath be.
Why?
78.
79. ANALYZE
Two girls were playing in a tennis competition. They had
to play 5 sets before the match result could be
determined. When the final results were announced, each
of the girls won three sets. How was this possible?
82. ANALYZE
A lady had 10 apples in a basket. She distributed an apple
to each of the ten children. After all the ten children have
taken their apples, there was still one apple left in the
basket. Why?
Solution…
After giving away nine apples, the lady gave the basket
together with the last apple to the tenth child.
83. ANALYZE
A man was drinking coffee at this table by the window. He
was enjoying the view outside his window when suddenly
on impulse; he jumped out of the 20-storey building. He
landed safely, unhurt in any way. There was nothing to
cushion his landing. How was this possible?
Solution…
The man jumped out of the window on the ground floor of
the 20-storey building.
84. ANALYZE
A man was found dead at his office desk with a pistol by
his side. On the desk was a tape recorder. Pushing the
play button brought the message “I can’t take it anymore.
I want to end my agony”, followed by the sound of a pistol
shot. The police concluded almost immediately that the
man was murdered. How?
Solution…
A dead man will not be able to rewind the tape.
85.
86. Dr. Kenny Cheah
kennycheah@um.edu.my
Direct Tel line: 03-22463413
Dr. Siaw Yan Li
yanli@um.edu.my
Direct Tel line: 03-22463421
Dr. Donnie Adams
donnieadams@um.edu.my
Direct Tel line: 03-22463412