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Sasan Mansouri
Concerto University
July 2016
www.Concerto-fs.com
 Introduction to convertible bonds
 Price Behaviour of Convertible bonds
 Special Properties of Convertible bonds
 Bloomberg guide for Convertibles
 Convertible Bonds Indecies
 Bank CoCo
 A Normal Bond with a specific “option”
 Option: give up the coupons received from the bond in exchange for a fixed number of
shares of common stocks of a company
 The value of a convertible bond = MAX(Bond , Stock)
 Hybrid Asset with:
 Downside protection of Bonds
 Upside return of Equities
For Investors For Corporations
• Higher Yield than corresponding Equity
• Bigger value of the corresponding Bond
(Bond Floor)
• Option to Convert to Equity if Equity price
raise
• Case the stock price falls,
• Cheaper way of financing (Lower coupon
rates)
• The company can defer equity financing to
a time when growth has been achieved
 𝐶𝐵 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 = 𝐵𝑜𝑛𝑑 + 𝐶𝑎𝑙𝑙 𝑂𝑝𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛
 𝐵𝑜𝑛𝑑 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒(𝐼𝑉) = 𝑡=1
𝑇 𝐶𝑜𝑢𝑝𝑜𝑛
(1+𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘𝐹𝑟𝑒𝑒𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑒+𝐶𝑟𝑆𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑎𝑑) 𝑡 +
𝑃𝑎𝑟𝑉𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒
(1+𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘𝐹𝑟𝑒𝑒𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑒+𝐶𝑟𝑆𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑎𝑑) 𝑇
 𝐶𝑎𝑙𝑙 𝑂𝑝𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 = 𝑆𝑡 × 𝑅 × 𝑒−𝑞(𝑇−𝑡) × 𝑁 𝑑1 − 𝐼𝑉 × 𝑒−𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘𝐹𝑟𝑒𝑒𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑒 𝑇−𝑡 𝑁 𝑑2
 𝑑1 =
𝐿𝑛
𝑆 𝑡 𝑅
𝐼𝑉
+(𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘𝐹𝑟𝑒𝑒𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑒−𝑞+
𝜎2
2
)(𝑇−𝑡)
𝜎 𝑇−𝑡
 𝑑2 = 𝑑1 − 𝜎 𝑇 − 𝑡
 𝑆𝑡 = current stock price
 R = Conversion Ratio
 T = Expiration time
 q = dividend rate
 N() = Normal cumulative distribution function
 Example of Concerto-FS Convertible Bond:
CFS 4.5% Convertible 20 years ISIN: DECFS0012345
Stock Price 20 € per share in DAX
Stock dividend 0.5 € per share
Par Value (Issue Price) 100 € (issued at par)
Convertible Bond Price 76.35 € (Today price in secondary Market)
Conversion Ratio 3.454
Conversion Price (Strike price) 100/3.454= 28.95 € per share
Theoretical Price(Assume inputs …) 74.45 €
Call Features Hard Call 3 years
Soft Call 140% trigger
Put Features No
Maturity 20 years Coupon 4.5% (Semi annual Frequency)
 Conversion Ratio = 3.454 So, each bond can be converted to 3.454 shares
 Parity = Conversion Ratio * current share price
 Absolute Premium = (Convertible Bond Price - Parity)
 Premium = (Convertible Bond Price - Parity)/Parity
 Current Yield = Coupon/Current Price of Convertible
 Convertible Yield Advantage = Current Yield - Dividend Yield
 Break even (years) = Absolute premium / Convertible Yield Advantage
 Delta = (
𝜕 𝐶𝐵.𝑃𝑟
𝜕 𝑆𝑡.𝑃𝑟
) ; Gamma = (
𝜕 𝐷𝑒𝑙𝑡𝑎
𝜕 𝑆𝑡.𝑃𝑟
) ; Vega = (
𝜕 𝐶𝐵.𝑃𝑟
𝜕 𝑉𝑜𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑦
)
 Cheapness = (Market price – Theoretical Price) / Market Price
 Quarterly rebalancing : second Wednesday in January, April, July and October
 The FX rates used during the Quarterly Index Reselection are the FX rates at the
Reselection Reference Point
 Constituent number : nearly 218
Region Threshold >=
US US$300m
Europe US$200m
Other US$200m
Asia US$100m
Japan US$100m
Outstanding Issue Proceeds Requirement
Maturity
Breakdown
Weight %
0 - 1 Year 7.60
1 - 3 Years 29.05
3 - 5 Years 36.63
5 - 7 Years 14.06
7 - 10 Years 4.90
10 - 20 Years 3.83
> 20 Years 3.94
Sector Breakdown Weight %
Technology 35.91
Consumer Non-Cyclical 16.91
Consumer Cyclical 14.31
Capital Spending 11.22
Financial 7.95
Basic Materials 4.84
Energy 3.87
Utilities 3.61
Other 1.38
Credit Quality
Breakdown
Weight %
AAA 1.63
AA 0.33
A 9.09
BBB 14.05
BB 15.08
B 6.63
CCC 0.53
NR 52.66
Delta Breakdown Weight %
Bond-like (0 to 25) 20.04
Hybrid (25 to 60) 47.66
Equity-like (Over 60) 30.67
Cash 1.63
Top Country Weights Weight % Top Country Weights Weight % Top Country Weights Weight %
United States 38.36 Italy 2.76 Portugal 1.04
Japan 10.46 Spain 1.66 Norway 0.9
France 7.95 South Africa 1.48 Sweden 0.83
Germany 6.76 CASH 1.37 Mexico 0.7
China 5.88 Singapore 1.3 Malaysia 0.67
UK 4.13 Hungary 1. 16 Israel 0.47
Netherlands 3.84 Taiwan 1. 13 Greece 0.45
Hong Kong 3.33 UAE 1.04 Other 2.33
 After Financial Crisis 2008 the idea controlling banks raised.
 Instead of Bailing Troubled banks out; Some proposals for Bail-in came out.
 For case of Europe, BRRD regulation framework.
 CoCos are part of Bail-in able asset that help troubled banks to recapitalize.
 DRD/QDI eligible means that the income that the security pays is eligible for a
reduced tax rate if the investor qualifies.
 DRD refers to corporate owners (Just for corporations that are taxed separately
from their owners)
 QDI to individuals
 A security of certain quality can be DRD or QDI eligible; which means, its
dividends contains some tax reduction
 Example: Assumes a 35% tax rate for the corporation receiving the dividend.
 For a corporate: Taxable income =
Taxable income before DRD(income + dividends(from other stocks)) – DRD amount
Percent
Ownership
Dividends Received
Deduction(DRD)
Implied Tax Rate
on Dividends
< 20% 70% 10.5% [= 35% × (1-70%)]
20 - 80% 80% 7.0% [= 35% × (1-80%)]
> 80% 100% 0.0% [= 35% × (1-100%)]
Convertible Bonds

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Convertible Bonds

  • 1. Sasan Mansouri Concerto University July 2016 www.Concerto-fs.com
  • 2.  Introduction to convertible bonds  Price Behaviour of Convertible bonds  Special Properties of Convertible bonds  Bloomberg guide for Convertibles  Convertible Bonds Indecies  Bank CoCo
  • 3.  A Normal Bond with a specific “option”  Option: give up the coupons received from the bond in exchange for a fixed number of shares of common stocks of a company  The value of a convertible bond = MAX(Bond , Stock)  Hybrid Asset with:  Downside protection of Bonds  Upside return of Equities
  • 4. For Investors For Corporations • Higher Yield than corresponding Equity • Bigger value of the corresponding Bond (Bond Floor) • Option to Convert to Equity if Equity price raise • Case the stock price falls, • Cheaper way of financing (Lower coupon rates) • The company can defer equity financing to a time when growth has been achieved
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.  𝐶𝐵 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 = 𝐵𝑜𝑛𝑑 + 𝐶𝑎𝑙𝑙 𝑂𝑝𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛  𝐵𝑜𝑛𝑑 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒(𝐼𝑉) = 𝑡=1 𝑇 𝐶𝑜𝑢𝑝𝑜𝑛 (1+𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘𝐹𝑟𝑒𝑒𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑒+𝐶𝑟𝑆𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑎𝑑) 𝑡 + 𝑃𝑎𝑟𝑉𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 (1+𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘𝐹𝑟𝑒𝑒𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑒+𝐶𝑟𝑆𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑎𝑑) 𝑇  𝐶𝑎𝑙𝑙 𝑂𝑝𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 = 𝑆𝑡 × 𝑅 × 𝑒−𝑞(𝑇−𝑡) × 𝑁 𝑑1 − 𝐼𝑉 × 𝑒−𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘𝐹𝑟𝑒𝑒𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑒 𝑇−𝑡 𝑁 𝑑2  𝑑1 = 𝐿𝑛 𝑆 𝑡 𝑅 𝐼𝑉 +(𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘𝐹𝑟𝑒𝑒𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑒−𝑞+ 𝜎2 2 )(𝑇−𝑡) 𝜎 𝑇−𝑡  𝑑2 = 𝑑1 − 𝜎 𝑇 − 𝑡  𝑆𝑡 = current stock price  R = Conversion Ratio  T = Expiration time  q = dividend rate  N() = Normal cumulative distribution function
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.  Example of Concerto-FS Convertible Bond: CFS 4.5% Convertible 20 years ISIN: DECFS0012345 Stock Price 20 € per share in DAX Stock dividend 0.5 € per share Par Value (Issue Price) 100 € (issued at par) Convertible Bond Price 76.35 € (Today price in secondary Market) Conversion Ratio 3.454 Conversion Price (Strike price) 100/3.454= 28.95 € per share Theoretical Price(Assume inputs …) 74.45 € Call Features Hard Call 3 years Soft Call 140% trigger Put Features No Maturity 20 years Coupon 4.5% (Semi annual Frequency)
  • 12.  Conversion Ratio = 3.454 So, each bond can be converted to 3.454 shares  Parity = Conversion Ratio * current share price  Absolute Premium = (Convertible Bond Price - Parity)  Premium = (Convertible Bond Price - Parity)/Parity  Current Yield = Coupon/Current Price of Convertible  Convertible Yield Advantage = Current Yield - Dividend Yield  Break even (years) = Absolute premium / Convertible Yield Advantage  Delta = ( 𝜕 𝐶𝐵.𝑃𝑟 𝜕 𝑆𝑡.𝑃𝑟 ) ; Gamma = ( 𝜕 𝐷𝑒𝑙𝑡𝑎 𝜕 𝑆𝑡.𝑃𝑟 ) ; Vega = ( 𝜕 𝐶𝐵.𝑃𝑟 𝜕 𝑉𝑜𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑦 )  Cheapness = (Market price – Theoretical Price) / Market Price
  • 13.
  • 14.  Quarterly rebalancing : second Wednesday in January, April, July and October  The FX rates used during the Quarterly Index Reselection are the FX rates at the Reselection Reference Point  Constituent number : nearly 218 Region Threshold >= US US$300m Europe US$200m Other US$200m Asia US$100m Japan US$100m Outstanding Issue Proceeds Requirement Maturity Breakdown Weight % 0 - 1 Year 7.60 1 - 3 Years 29.05 3 - 5 Years 36.63 5 - 7 Years 14.06 7 - 10 Years 4.90 10 - 20 Years 3.83 > 20 Years 3.94
  • 15. Sector Breakdown Weight % Technology 35.91 Consumer Non-Cyclical 16.91 Consumer Cyclical 14.31 Capital Spending 11.22 Financial 7.95 Basic Materials 4.84 Energy 3.87 Utilities 3.61 Other 1.38 Credit Quality Breakdown Weight % AAA 1.63 AA 0.33 A 9.09 BBB 14.05 BB 15.08 B 6.63 CCC 0.53 NR 52.66 Delta Breakdown Weight % Bond-like (0 to 25) 20.04 Hybrid (25 to 60) 47.66 Equity-like (Over 60) 30.67 Cash 1.63 Top Country Weights Weight % Top Country Weights Weight % Top Country Weights Weight % United States 38.36 Italy 2.76 Portugal 1.04 Japan 10.46 Spain 1.66 Norway 0.9 France 7.95 South Africa 1.48 Sweden 0.83 Germany 6.76 CASH 1.37 Mexico 0.7 China 5.88 Singapore 1.3 Malaysia 0.67 UK 4.13 Hungary 1. 16 Israel 0.47 Netherlands 3.84 Taiwan 1. 13 Greece 0.45 Hong Kong 3.33 UAE 1.04 Other 2.33
  • 16.  After Financial Crisis 2008 the idea controlling banks raised.  Instead of Bailing Troubled banks out; Some proposals for Bail-in came out.  For case of Europe, BRRD regulation framework.  CoCos are part of Bail-in able asset that help troubled banks to recapitalize.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.  DRD/QDI eligible means that the income that the security pays is eligible for a reduced tax rate if the investor qualifies.  DRD refers to corporate owners (Just for corporations that are taxed separately from their owners)  QDI to individuals  A security of certain quality can be DRD or QDI eligible; which means, its dividends contains some tax reduction
  • 23.  Example: Assumes a 35% tax rate for the corporation receiving the dividend.  For a corporate: Taxable income = Taxable income before DRD(income + dividends(from other stocks)) – DRD amount Percent Ownership Dividends Received Deduction(DRD) Implied Tax Rate on Dividends < 20% 70% 10.5% [= 35% × (1-70%)] 20 - 80% 80% 7.0% [= 35% × (1-80%)] > 80% 100% 0.0% [= 35% × (1-100%)]

Editor's Notes

  1. Conversion Ratio: This is the number of ordinary shares into which each nominal value bond is convertible. E.g. () Conversion Price(strike price): Conversion Price = (Nominal Value/Conversion Ratio) Hard and Soft Call (soft: e.g. after 130% of eq-price: company force the conversion so they don’t pay the coupon any more and they have enough expensive share to sell) Parity = Conversion Ratio × Current Share Price
  2. permium: Also is a measure of sensitivity to stock price (if premium-->0 then the bond valuation will be more sensitive to stock volatility) How much better of if buying bond instead of equity Breakeven = years needed for convertible higher return to pay the premium- the lower the better for the same parity-should not used as only measure for CB value since CB has bondfloor gurantee and break even analysis ignore it