Variable vs. Fixed Pricing for Equity Transactions Advantages and Disadvantages October 3, 2008
$2.7B AUM in primary funds 200+ transactions funded in 29 countries No effective upper limit Harvard Honors Thesis Topic  Efficient Pricing in a Specialist Exchange System 30 Years Ago Sterling Atlantic & Affiliates
Invested funds result in increased EBITDA and stock price Funds expended over development period 6-18 months Milestones can be accomplished and announced, stock price likely to appreciate Issuer determines when needs capital Immediate commitment is important Ideal Variable Price Situation
All capital expended at closing Use is to restructure fixed price debt Future prospects not favorable No immediate need for commitment or capital, time for investor due diligence No Fixed Rate Trap Ideal Fixed Price Situation
Fundamental Warren Buffett Cash Flow Focused Slow Decisions-  due diligence oriented Trader George Soros Trend, Liquidity, and Arbitrage Focus Rapid Decisions Hybrid Fundamental-Long Bias Structure Focus Rapid Decisions Investor Types
Assumptions: Stock sold once quarterly Variable Price Discount:  10% Fixed Price Discount:  15% Average Variable Price Per Share: 15.75 Fixed Price Per Share:     8.50 Difference:   7.25 % of Fixed Price   85.3% Stock Price Up Scenario
Assumptions: Stock sold once quarterly Variable Price Discount:  10% Fixed Price Discount:  15% Average Variable Price Per Share:   9.00 Fixed Price Per Share:     8.50 Difference:   0.50 % of Fixed Price   5.9% Stock Price Flat Scenario
Assumptions: Stock sold once quarterly Variable Price Discount:  10% Fixed Price Discount:  15% Average Variable Price Per Share:   6.25 Fixed Price Per Share:     8.50 Difference:  (2.25) % of Fixed Price  (26.5)% Stock Price Down Scenario
Assumptions: Stock sold once quarterly, not  at low points Variable Price Discount:  10% Fixed Price Discount:  15% Average Variable Price Per Share: 12.50 Fixed Price Per Share:     8.50 Difference:   4.00 % of Fixed Price   47.0% Volatility Scenario
Fixed Price transaction Jan 08 Goldman Sachs Investor Jeffries – Investment Banker 80% price drop when issuer told they were getting a fixed price Blue Chip participants offer no protection Company committed but (i) price variable prior to closing or (ii) substantial over-allotment Fixed Price Trap
Investors Chronicle found average share price increase of 69% after obtaining financing commitment Share Price Effect of Large Fund Commitment
“ Unlike open-ended convertible bonds, where the  interests of equity shareholders and bondholders  are not  aligned  (the lower the share price, the greater the dilution for shareholders on conversion), the GEM model clearly works in the favour of shareholders. First, news that an equity credit line agreement is in place can act as a kicker to the share price as the stock market acknowledges that  future funding concerns have been resolved .  To a certain extent this happened with electronic software designer Easyscreen, whose share price more than doubled in the three months after the agreement was signed.  Second, there is an  incentive  for the firm to exercise the subscription option after a period of heavy trading in the shares (thus maximizing the number of shares that can be subscribed for under the agreement), and  when the share price is as high as possible , to increase the amount of funds released.” Investors Chronicle, page 17, May 2002 Share Price Effect of Large Fund Commitment
Appreciate your time and interest!! Conclusion

Variable Vs. Fixed Pricing W Pics

  • 1.
    Variable vs. FixedPricing for Equity Transactions Advantages and Disadvantages October 3, 2008
  • 2.
    $2.7B AUM inprimary funds 200+ transactions funded in 29 countries No effective upper limit Harvard Honors Thesis Topic Efficient Pricing in a Specialist Exchange System 30 Years Ago Sterling Atlantic & Affiliates
  • 3.
    Invested funds resultin increased EBITDA and stock price Funds expended over development period 6-18 months Milestones can be accomplished and announced, stock price likely to appreciate Issuer determines when needs capital Immediate commitment is important Ideal Variable Price Situation
  • 4.
    All capital expendedat closing Use is to restructure fixed price debt Future prospects not favorable No immediate need for commitment or capital, time for investor due diligence No Fixed Rate Trap Ideal Fixed Price Situation
  • 5.
    Fundamental Warren BuffettCash Flow Focused Slow Decisions- due diligence oriented Trader George Soros Trend, Liquidity, and Arbitrage Focus Rapid Decisions Hybrid Fundamental-Long Bias Structure Focus Rapid Decisions Investor Types
  • 6.
    Assumptions: Stock soldonce quarterly Variable Price Discount: 10% Fixed Price Discount: 15% Average Variable Price Per Share: 15.75 Fixed Price Per Share: 8.50 Difference: 7.25 % of Fixed Price 85.3% Stock Price Up Scenario
  • 7.
    Assumptions: Stock soldonce quarterly Variable Price Discount: 10% Fixed Price Discount: 15% Average Variable Price Per Share: 9.00 Fixed Price Per Share: 8.50 Difference: 0.50 % of Fixed Price 5.9% Stock Price Flat Scenario
  • 8.
    Assumptions: Stock soldonce quarterly Variable Price Discount: 10% Fixed Price Discount: 15% Average Variable Price Per Share: 6.25 Fixed Price Per Share: 8.50 Difference: (2.25) % of Fixed Price (26.5)% Stock Price Down Scenario
  • 9.
    Assumptions: Stock soldonce quarterly, not at low points Variable Price Discount: 10% Fixed Price Discount: 15% Average Variable Price Per Share: 12.50 Fixed Price Per Share: 8.50 Difference: 4.00 % of Fixed Price 47.0% Volatility Scenario
  • 10.
    Fixed Price transactionJan 08 Goldman Sachs Investor Jeffries – Investment Banker 80% price drop when issuer told they were getting a fixed price Blue Chip participants offer no protection Company committed but (i) price variable prior to closing or (ii) substantial over-allotment Fixed Price Trap
  • 11.
    Investors Chronicle foundaverage share price increase of 69% after obtaining financing commitment Share Price Effect of Large Fund Commitment
  • 12.
    “ Unlike open-endedconvertible bonds, where the interests of equity shareholders and bondholders are not aligned (the lower the share price, the greater the dilution for shareholders on conversion), the GEM model clearly works in the favour of shareholders. First, news that an equity credit line agreement is in place can act as a kicker to the share price as the stock market acknowledges that future funding concerns have been resolved . To a certain extent this happened with electronic software designer Easyscreen, whose share price more than doubled in the three months after the agreement was signed. Second, there is an incentive for the firm to exercise the subscription option after a period of heavy trading in the shares (thus maximizing the number of shares that can be subscribed for under the agreement), and when the share price is as high as possible , to increase the amount of funds released.” Investors Chronicle, page 17, May 2002 Share Price Effect of Large Fund Commitment
  • 13.
    Appreciate your timeand interest!! Conclusion