CONFRONT
COVID-19
&
CLIMATE
NOW
Paul H. Carr
Fall foliage near site of Thoreau’s 1845-47 Cabin on Walden Pond, MA.
Fall now comes later than in Thoreau’s day: evidence of climate change.
COVID-19 & CLIMATE OUTLINE
BOTH GLOBAL, TEMPERATURE INCREASE
• If we wait for a crisis, it’s too late.
Time after drastic action: COVID, months;
CLIMATE, century.
• The COVID ā€œstay in placeā€ reduced greenhouse
emissions up to 17%. Reduced population.
• Non-US-Deficit Increasing solution:
Carbon fee plus dividend for all.
• What we can do: more vegetarian diet
Protective measures after the first case lowers the number of cases.
Waiting for a large case crisis, increased the number of cases for
both COVID-19 and Climate.
FLATTENING THE COVID CURVE
When COVID-19 appeared in New York, Governor Cuomo was hesitant to close schools
because of poor children’s nutritional needs. As COVID-19 cases increased, he ordered
everyone to stay-at-home.
When Taiwan identified the first coronavirus cases, they quarantined the individuals and
did contact tracing. Everyone wore face masks. Borders closed.
New York had 33,000 deaths, with 1700 deaths per million population.
Taiwan had only 7 deaths, with 0.3 deaths per million.
NY City had the most antibodies in the world. Still vulnerable to 2nd outbreak until vaccine.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/05/28/upshot/coronavirus-herd-immunity.html
WHEN WE WAIT FOR A CRISIS, IT’S TOO LATE
COVID-19: Months for lock-down results.
CLIMATE CHANGE REDUCTIONS: 100 yrs
CO2: 100 years to reduce:
Sea Level Rise
Heat Waves
Forest Fires,
Hurricane Flooding & Winds
NASA photos of Thwaites Glacier, size of Mexico, W Antarctica.
Richard Alley, a glaciologist at Penn State University,
an author of the last IPCC report:
ā€œIf the Thwaites Glacier breaks free from its rocky berth, it
could raise sea levels 2- 10 ft.ā€ 8
CLIMATE CRISIS: SEA LEVELS COULD RISE 2 -10 FEET
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 16, 3761–3812, Mar 2016 www.atmos-chem-
phys.net/16/3761/2016/ doi:10.5194/acp-16-3761-2016 Ā© Author(s) 2016. CC Attribution
3.0 License.
Ice melt, sea level rise and superstorms: evidence from
paleoclimate data, climate modeling….
James Hansen1, Makiko Sato1, Paul Hearty2, Reto Ruedy3,4, Maxwell Kelley3,4, Valerie Masson-Delmotte5, Gary
Russell4, George Tselioudis4, Junji Cao6, Eric Rignot7,8, Isabella Velicogna7,8, Blair Tormey9, Bailey Donovan10,
Evgeniya Kandiano11, Karina von Schuckmann12,….
1Climate Science, Awareness and Solutions, Columbia University Earth Institute, New York, NY 10115, USA
2Department of Environmental Studies, University of North Carolina at Wilmington, NC 28403, USA 3Trinnovium LLC,
New York, NY 10025, USA 4NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, 2880 Broadway, New York, NY 10025, USA
5Institut Pierre Simon Laplace, Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement (CEA-CNRS-UVSQ), Gif-sur-
Yvette, France 6Key Lab of Aerosol Chemistry & Physics, Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of
Sciences, Xi’an 710075, China 7Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA 91109,
USA 8Department of Earth System Science, University of California, Irvine, CA 92697, USA 9Program for the Study of
Developed Shorelines, Western Carolina University, Cullowhee, NC 28723, USA 10Department of Geological Sciences,
East Carolina University, Greenville, NC 27858, USA 11GEOMAR, Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research,
Wischhofstrasse 1–3, Kiel 24148, Germany 12Mediterranean Institute of Oceanography, University of Toulon, La
Garde, France 13Department of Applied Physics and Applied Mathematics, Columbia University, New York, NY 10027,
USA
Published in Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss.: 23 Jul – Accepted: 18 Feb 2016 – Published: 22 Mar 2016
Sea levels could rise by 1 m (3 ft) by 2050. Could we take action to prevent a 5 m
(18 ft) rise by 2058? The lifetime of CO2 is 100s of years.
Atmos. Chem. Phys., March 2016.
J. Hansen et. al.
1 M TIPPING LEVEL
5 Meters (18 Feet) Sea Level Rise
Trump’s Mar-a-Lago
Palm Beach
40 % of the world’s population lives near the
sea-coast.
A 10-foot rise in sea levels worldwide would
be major humanitarian and economic crisis.
Big Initiative: Eliminate Greenhouse gas
emissions to stop global warming.
The next slides show the results of getting
CO2 emission down to ā€œnet 0ā€ in 10 years.
Reducing CO2 burning to stop its increase in our atmosphere.
CO2 has a 100-year lifetime. ( Alan Emery, www.StableClimate.org)
Measurements
Temperatures will still rise, but a slower rate, as CO2 is still present.
Alan Emery
Sea levels will still rise, but at a slower rate.
16
March for
Science,
Earth Day,
April 22,
2017
Poster.
COVID-19 & CLIMATE OUTLINE
BOTH GLOBAL, TEMPERATURE INCREASE
• If we wait for a crisis, it’s too late.
Time after drastic action: COVID, months;
CLIMATE, century.
• The COVID ā€œstay in placeā€ reduced greenhouse
emissions up to 17%. Reduced population.
• Non-US-Deficit Increasing solution:
Carbon fee plus dividend for all.
• What we can do: more vegetarian diet
GLOBAL WARMNG IMPACT
FIRES IN CALIFORNIA: 119,00O HAVE EVACUATED
August 22, 2020
How to find COVID-free shelter for 119,000 evacuees +
12,000 firefighters? (Bradenton, FL has 60,000 people).
Smoke pollution makes COVID lung attacks worse
Global warming increases dryness that loads the dice for
for more severe fires.
Warmer winters do not destroy the pine beetles, which
kill more trees for kindling.
5 million acres, size of Massachusetts, in CA, Oregon, and Washington State burned.
Increasing trend line
since 1980 exceeded.
CRISIS ?
San Francisco skyline 10:25 AM Wednesday, Sept 9, 2020
Air pollution from nearby forest fires.
Attribution of western US forest fire area to ACC. Cumulative forest fire area estimated from the
(red) observed all-metric mean record of fuel aridity and (black) the fuel aridity record after
exclusion of ACC (No ACC).
John T. Abatzoglou, and A. Park Williams PNAS
2016;113:42:11770-11775©2016 by National Academy of Sciences
ACC: Anthropogenic
Climate Change.
An 8-fold
increase
in area
burned
since 1985
COVID-19 lock-downs reduced
greenhouse gas emissions
• Reduction of fossil fuel burning : -
Cleaning our atmosphere & --
17% in CO2 reduction to slowing global
warming.
• Reduced meat production is also slowing
Methane Greenhouse gas emissions.
GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS in CHINA
December 2019 February 2020 Mid-March 2020
Oil price dipped from reduced COVID demand &
increased as the world economy recovered.
The price of oil has not returned to pre-COVID levels
Published: 19 May 2020
Temporary reduction in daily global CO2emissions during
the COVID-19 forced confinement. 17% Decease
Corinne Le QuƩrƩ, Robert B. Jackson, Matthew W. Jones, Adam J. P. Smith, Sam Abernethy,
Robbie M. Andrew, + 8 more authors https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-020-0797-x
FUNDING TO DEAL WITH COVID UNEMPLOYMENT
COULD REDUCE CLIMATE CHANGE
Grants for more energy efficient homes and businesses
could make jobs for local contractors. The resulting lower
energy costs with lower carbon dioxide emissions would
repay the cost several times.
Millions of construction workers are needed to rebuild our
crumbling infrastructure, including aging nuclear reactors.
They generate 20% of our electricity without CO2
emissions.
Americans are developing advanced reactors that are
smaller, safer, and more efficient at half today’s
construction costs.
MIT’s COOL SOLUTIONS:
• A nuclear reactor build-up
(at historically feasible rate) could
completely decarbonize the World’s power
sector within 30 years
• The energy storage costs needed to make
wind and solar 24/7 would make them up
to four times more expensive than with no
nuclear.
REACTORS ARE THE SAFEST
New Scientist crunched the numbers.
That maximum death-toll estimates from that analysis
show:
• Natural gas is 1.3 times as dangerous as nuclear
• Coal is 27 times as dangerous as nuclear
• Hydroelectric is 46 times as dangerous as nuclear
In absolute terms, nuclear energy prevents about 80,000
air-pollution-related deaths a year, according to a 2013
study.
Low-Cost 'Miniature', Modular Nuclear Power Plants. They can fit on the back of a truck.
JOSH HRALA 20 JAN 2017
Working with the US Department of Energy (DOE), NuScale Power, Portland, Oregon, plans
to build a 12-module plant in Idaho
The 50 MegaWatt design is approved by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission and will be
mass produced to reduce cost by 2030.
Self contained light water reactor(s) installed in a concrete lined hole in the ground.
Water circulates by convection. Automatic shut down.
Westinghouse plans to have its eVinci SMR commercial by 2024.
NON-DEBT INCREASING SOLUTION
• Capitalistic Carbon Fee + Dividend.
• Energy Innovation & Carbon Dividend
Act, H.R. 763
• 40% emissions reduction in 12 years.
• www.CitizensClimateLobby.com
• The COVID-19 low price of oil will help.
People used to higher oil prices.
33
Of the 100 ways of
reducing global warming
the following were rated:
3. Reduced Food
Waste
4. Plant-Rich Diet
34
Peter Kalmus, PhD,
atmospheric
scientist at Caltech,
lives with his wife
and 2 children on
1/10th the fossil
fuels of the average
American.
STOP EATING RED MEAT: BEEF AND PORK
Agriculture accounts for 24% of our greenhouse emissions.
• Cattle & pigs emit the greenhouse gases methane, CH4. They eat
grains needed for humans.
• In addition, deforestation—clearing land for crops, for instance—
removes trees that pull CO2 out of the air,
https://docs.google.com/presentation/d/1ZtTWhdx0IxksjSu
LUb1p00rYHEk56gi2z22Owq83INo/present?fbclid=IwAR0Zm
xU1JJpe1O2qywKlkAZSIsmJVl_RrGV-
5VuACpWPkQN3taqyCIx15yc&slide=id.p11
LIMIT COVID CONTACT RISK
NATIONAL LOCK-DOWN, RAPID TESTING,
CONTACT TRACING
China Acceleration May Not Rescue World
From Virus Slowdown WSJ, 10/19/2020
Hopes are rising that China can pull the
globe out of its coronavirus-induced funk,
much as it did during the global financial
crisis more than a decade ago—but
economists offer a long list of reasons to be
skeptical.
Heard on the Street:
China’s Economy Is Almost Over Covid-19
Audience at concert, Aug 8, 2020, Taipei, Taiwan
Deaths. Deaths/Million
Taiwan 7 0.3
US. 225,000 687
Our friends in
Shanghai, China tell us
that masks are only
required on public
transportation.
Elementary school
children do not need to
wear masks.
Eating at restaurants is
back to normal.
We would like to travel
there.
The US opened up its economy too soon
Oct 5, 2020
CONFRONT COVID & CLIMATE NOW
BOTH GLOBAL, TEMPERATURE INCREASE
• If we wait for a crisis, it’s too late.
Time after drastic action: COVID, months;
CLIMATE, century.
• The COVID ā€œstay in placeā€ reduced greenhouse
emissions up to 17%. Reduced population.
• Capitalistic Non-US-Deficit Increasing solution:
-Carbon fee plus dividend for all.
- Economic incentive for de-carbonization.
• What we all can do now: more vegetarian diet
American Scientist, Sept – Oct 2020, pg 311
Reducing human CO2 emissions to full zero takes centuries for atmospheric CO2 to decrease.
Graph credit, Alan Emery
Deaths/Million
China. 3.3
S Korea. 6.0
Japan. 9.1
Germany 113
Denmark 105
Sweden. 570
US 548
Spain. 617
• Countries with higher COVID deaths/Million
have a bigger GDP decrease.
• Economies recover, people are not resurrected.
( one exception).
Sweden’s no stay-
in-place cost lives.
GDP loss same as
Germany.
SENSITIVITY 80% infection probability, 2600 deaths/day.
70% contact probability. 600 deaths/day
God blessed America,
The future’s in Canada:
Where sick don’t go bankrupt &
College doesn’t break the bank.
As the South gets too hot,
Canada will always be cool.
Canada is such a jewel.
By Paul H. Carr
COST OF ENERGY STORAGE OPTIONS.

Confront COVID-19 and Climate Change Now

  • 1.
  • 2.
    Fall foliage nearsite of Thoreau’s 1845-47 Cabin on Walden Pond, MA. Fall now comes later than in Thoreau’s day: evidence of climate change.
  • 3.
    COVID-19 & CLIMATEOUTLINE BOTH GLOBAL, TEMPERATURE INCREASE • If we wait for a crisis, it’s too late. Time after drastic action: COVID, months; CLIMATE, century. • The COVID ā€œstay in placeā€ reduced greenhouse emissions up to 17%. Reduced population. • Non-US-Deficit Increasing solution: Carbon fee plus dividend for all. • What we can do: more vegetarian diet
  • 4.
    Protective measures afterthe first case lowers the number of cases. Waiting for a large case crisis, increased the number of cases for both COVID-19 and Climate. FLATTENING THE COVID CURVE
  • 5.
    When COVID-19 appearedin New York, Governor Cuomo was hesitant to close schools because of poor children’s nutritional needs. As COVID-19 cases increased, he ordered everyone to stay-at-home. When Taiwan identified the first coronavirus cases, they quarantined the individuals and did contact tracing. Everyone wore face masks. Borders closed. New York had 33,000 deaths, with 1700 deaths per million population. Taiwan had only 7 deaths, with 0.3 deaths per million.
  • 6.
    NY City hadthe most antibodies in the world. Still vulnerable to 2nd outbreak until vaccine. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/05/28/upshot/coronavirus-herd-immunity.html
  • 7.
    WHEN WE WAITFOR A CRISIS, IT’S TOO LATE COVID-19: Months for lock-down results. CLIMATE CHANGE REDUCTIONS: 100 yrs CO2: 100 years to reduce: Sea Level Rise Heat Waves Forest Fires, Hurricane Flooding & Winds
  • 8.
    NASA photos ofThwaites Glacier, size of Mexico, W Antarctica. Richard Alley, a glaciologist at Penn State University, an author of the last IPCC report: ā€œIf the Thwaites Glacier breaks free from its rocky berth, it could raise sea levels 2- 10 ft.ā€ 8 CLIMATE CRISIS: SEA LEVELS COULD RISE 2 -10 FEET
  • 9.
    Atmos. Chem. Phys.,16, 3761–3812, Mar 2016 www.atmos-chem- phys.net/16/3761/2016/ doi:10.5194/acp-16-3761-2016 Ā© Author(s) 2016. CC Attribution 3.0 License. Ice melt, sea level rise and superstorms: evidence from paleoclimate data, climate modeling…. James Hansen1, Makiko Sato1, Paul Hearty2, Reto Ruedy3,4, Maxwell Kelley3,4, Valerie Masson-Delmotte5, Gary Russell4, George Tselioudis4, Junji Cao6, Eric Rignot7,8, Isabella Velicogna7,8, Blair Tormey9, Bailey Donovan10, Evgeniya Kandiano11, Karina von Schuckmann12,…. 1Climate Science, Awareness and Solutions, Columbia University Earth Institute, New York, NY 10115, USA 2Department of Environmental Studies, University of North Carolina at Wilmington, NC 28403, USA 3Trinnovium LLC, New York, NY 10025, USA 4NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, 2880 Broadway, New York, NY 10025, USA 5Institut Pierre Simon Laplace, Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement (CEA-CNRS-UVSQ), Gif-sur- Yvette, France 6Key Lab of Aerosol Chemistry & Physics, Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xi’an 710075, China 7Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA 91109, USA 8Department of Earth System Science, University of California, Irvine, CA 92697, USA 9Program for the Study of Developed Shorelines, Western Carolina University, Cullowhee, NC 28723, USA 10Department of Geological Sciences, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC 27858, USA 11GEOMAR, Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research, Wischhofstrasse 1–3, Kiel 24148, Germany 12Mediterranean Institute of Oceanography, University of Toulon, La Garde, France 13Department of Applied Physics and Applied Mathematics, Columbia University, New York, NY 10027, USA Published in Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss.: 23 Jul – Accepted: 18 Feb 2016 – Published: 22 Mar 2016
  • 10.
    Sea levels couldrise by 1 m (3 ft) by 2050. Could we take action to prevent a 5 m (18 ft) rise by 2058? The lifetime of CO2 is 100s of years. Atmos. Chem. Phys., March 2016. J. Hansen et. al. 1 M TIPPING LEVEL
  • 11.
    5 Meters (18Feet) Sea Level Rise Trump’s Mar-a-Lago Palm Beach
  • 12.
    40 % ofthe world’s population lives near the sea-coast. A 10-foot rise in sea levels worldwide would be major humanitarian and economic crisis. Big Initiative: Eliminate Greenhouse gas emissions to stop global warming. The next slides show the results of getting CO2 emission down to ā€œnet 0ā€ in 10 years.
  • 13.
    Reducing CO2 burningto stop its increase in our atmosphere. CO2 has a 100-year lifetime. ( Alan Emery, www.StableClimate.org) Measurements
  • 14.
    Temperatures will stillrise, but a slower rate, as CO2 is still present. Alan Emery
  • 15.
    Sea levels willstill rise, but at a slower rate.
  • 16.
  • 17.
    COVID-19 & CLIMATEOUTLINE BOTH GLOBAL, TEMPERATURE INCREASE • If we wait for a crisis, it’s too late. Time after drastic action: COVID, months; CLIMATE, century. • The COVID ā€œstay in placeā€ reduced greenhouse emissions up to 17%. Reduced population. • Non-US-Deficit Increasing solution: Carbon fee plus dividend for all. • What we can do: more vegetarian diet
  • 18.
    GLOBAL WARMNG IMPACT FIRESIN CALIFORNIA: 119,00O HAVE EVACUATED August 22, 2020 How to find COVID-free shelter for 119,000 evacuees + 12,000 firefighters? (Bradenton, FL has 60,000 people). Smoke pollution makes COVID lung attacks worse Global warming increases dryness that loads the dice for for more severe fires. Warmer winters do not destroy the pine beetles, which kill more trees for kindling.
  • 19.
    5 million acres,size of Massachusetts, in CA, Oregon, and Washington State burned. Increasing trend line since 1980 exceeded. CRISIS ?
  • 20.
    San Francisco skyline10:25 AM Wednesday, Sept 9, 2020 Air pollution from nearby forest fires.
  • 21.
    Attribution of westernUS forest fire area to ACC. Cumulative forest fire area estimated from the (red) observed all-metric mean record of fuel aridity and (black) the fuel aridity record after exclusion of ACC (No ACC). John T. Abatzoglou, and A. Park Williams PNAS 2016;113:42:11770-11775©2016 by National Academy of Sciences ACC: Anthropogenic Climate Change. An 8-fold increase in area burned since 1985
  • 22.
    COVID-19 lock-downs reduced greenhousegas emissions • Reduction of fossil fuel burning : - Cleaning our atmosphere & -- 17% in CO2 reduction to slowing global warming. • Reduced meat production is also slowing Methane Greenhouse gas emissions.
  • 23.
    GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONSin CHINA December 2019 February 2020 Mid-March 2020
  • 24.
    Oil price dippedfrom reduced COVID demand & increased as the world economy recovered.
  • 25.
    The price ofoil has not returned to pre-COVID levels
  • 26.
    Published: 19 May2020 Temporary reduction in daily global CO2emissions during the COVID-19 forced confinement. 17% Decease Corinne Le QuƩrƩ, Robert B. Jackson, Matthew W. Jones, Adam J. P. Smith, Sam Abernethy, Robbie M. Andrew, + 8 more authors https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-020-0797-x
  • 27.
    FUNDING TO DEALWITH COVID UNEMPLOYMENT COULD REDUCE CLIMATE CHANGE Grants for more energy efficient homes and businesses could make jobs for local contractors. The resulting lower energy costs with lower carbon dioxide emissions would repay the cost several times. Millions of construction workers are needed to rebuild our crumbling infrastructure, including aging nuclear reactors. They generate 20% of our electricity without CO2 emissions. Americans are developing advanced reactors that are smaller, safer, and more efficient at half today’s construction costs.
  • 29.
    MIT’s COOL SOLUTIONS: •A nuclear reactor build-up (at historically feasible rate) could completely decarbonize the World’s power sector within 30 years • The energy storage costs needed to make wind and solar 24/7 would make them up to four times more expensive than with no nuclear.
  • 30.
    REACTORS ARE THESAFEST New Scientist crunched the numbers. That maximum death-toll estimates from that analysis show: • Natural gas is 1.3 times as dangerous as nuclear • Coal is 27 times as dangerous as nuclear • Hydroelectric is 46 times as dangerous as nuclear In absolute terms, nuclear energy prevents about 80,000 air-pollution-related deaths a year, according to a 2013 study.
  • 31.
    Low-Cost 'Miniature', ModularNuclear Power Plants. They can fit on the back of a truck. JOSH HRALA 20 JAN 2017 Working with the US Department of Energy (DOE), NuScale Power, Portland, Oregon, plans to build a 12-module plant in Idaho The 50 MegaWatt design is approved by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission and will be mass produced to reduce cost by 2030. Self contained light water reactor(s) installed in a concrete lined hole in the ground. Water circulates by convection. Automatic shut down. Westinghouse plans to have its eVinci SMR commercial by 2024.
  • 32.
    NON-DEBT INCREASING SOLUTION •Capitalistic Carbon Fee + Dividend. • Energy Innovation & Carbon Dividend Act, H.R. 763 • 40% emissions reduction in 12 years. • www.CitizensClimateLobby.com • The COVID-19 low price of oil will help. People used to higher oil prices.
  • 33.
    33 Of the 100ways of reducing global warming the following were rated: 3. Reduced Food Waste 4. Plant-Rich Diet
  • 34.
    34 Peter Kalmus, PhD, atmospheric scientistat Caltech, lives with his wife and 2 children on 1/10th the fossil fuels of the average American.
  • 36.
    STOP EATING REDMEAT: BEEF AND PORK Agriculture accounts for 24% of our greenhouse emissions. • Cattle & pigs emit the greenhouse gases methane, CH4. They eat grains needed for humans. • In addition, deforestation—clearing land for crops, for instance— removes trees that pull CO2 out of the air,
  • 37.
  • 38.
    LIMIT COVID CONTACTRISK NATIONAL LOCK-DOWN, RAPID TESTING, CONTACT TRACING
  • 39.
    China Acceleration MayNot Rescue World From Virus Slowdown WSJ, 10/19/2020 Hopes are rising that China can pull the globe out of its coronavirus-induced funk, much as it did during the global financial crisis more than a decade ago—but economists offer a long list of reasons to be skeptical. Heard on the Street: China’s Economy Is Almost Over Covid-19
  • 40.
    Audience at concert,Aug 8, 2020, Taipei, Taiwan Deaths. Deaths/Million Taiwan 7 0.3 US. 225,000 687 Our friends in Shanghai, China tell us that masks are only required on public transportation. Elementary school children do not need to wear masks. Eating at restaurants is back to normal. We would like to travel there.
  • 41.
    The US openedup its economy too soon
  • 42.
  • 43.
    CONFRONT COVID &CLIMATE NOW BOTH GLOBAL, TEMPERATURE INCREASE • If we wait for a crisis, it’s too late. Time after drastic action: COVID, months; CLIMATE, century. • The COVID ā€œstay in placeā€ reduced greenhouse emissions up to 17%. Reduced population. • Capitalistic Non-US-Deficit Increasing solution: -Carbon fee plus dividend for all. - Economic incentive for de-carbonization. • What we all can do now: more vegetarian diet
  • 44.
    American Scientist, Sept– Oct 2020, pg 311
  • 45.
    Reducing human CO2emissions to full zero takes centuries for atmospheric CO2 to decrease. Graph credit, Alan Emery
  • 48.
    Deaths/Million China. 3.3 S Korea.6.0 Japan. 9.1 Germany 113 Denmark 105 Sweden. 570 US 548 Spain. 617 • Countries with higher COVID deaths/Million have a bigger GDP decrease. • Economies recover, people are not resurrected. ( one exception). Sweden’s no stay- in-place cost lives. GDP loss same as Germany.
  • 49.
    SENSITIVITY 80% infectionprobability, 2600 deaths/day. 70% contact probability. 600 deaths/day
  • 50.
    God blessed America, Thefuture’s in Canada: Where sick don’t go bankrupt & College doesn’t break the bank. As the South gets too hot, Canada will always be cool. Canada is such a jewel. By Paul H. Carr
  • 51.
    COST OF ENERGYSTORAGE OPTIONS.

Editor's Notes

  • #22Ā Attribution of western US forest fire area to ACC. Cumulative forest fire area estimated from the (red) observed all-metric mean record of fuel aridity and (black) the fuel aridity record after exclusion of ACC (No ACC). The (orange) difference is the forest fire area forced by anthropogenic increases in fuel aridity. Bold lines in A and horizontal lines within box plots in B indicate mean estimated values (regression values in Fig. 1). Boxes in B bound 50% confidence intervals. Shaded areas in A and whiskers in B bound 95% confidence intervals. Dark red horizontal lines in B indicate observed forest fire area during each period.