SERVICE MIT ENERGIE.



   Wood pellets in competition with other energy
    carriers to provide heat – a market analysis




  Frank Schillig
  International Pelletforum 2011, Stuttgart , 5.10.2011
© KWA EVIVA GMBH 2010                VOGELSANGER STRASSE 250 I 50825 KÖLN I GERMANY
SERVICE MIT ENERGIE.




                        Content

  • Satisfying heat demand today
  • Price and price development of different energy
    carriers
  • Excursus heat from biogas plants
  • Economics of heat suppy
       – Investment and O&M costs
       – levelized heat costs


© KWA EVIVA GMBH 2010               Eviva – nachhaltige Energiedienstleistungen
SERVICE MIT ENERGIE.




   Energy carriers to satisfy German heat demand

2006                                  2010




 …and heat from renewable energy sources?

© KWA EVIVA GMBH 2010                        Eviva – nachhaltige Energiedienstleistungen
SERVICE MIT ENERGIE.


                 Structure of heat supply from renewable energy sources in
                                       Germany 2010
                                                                            Total: 136.1 TWh
                                                                                                                                            Biogenic solid fuels
                                                                                                                                               (households):
                                                                                                                                                  53.4 %




      Near-surface                                                                                                                                             Biogenic solid fuels
   geothermal energy:                                                                                                                                              (industry):
         3.9 %                                                                                                                                                       15.0 %




                                                                                                                                                           Biogenic solid fuels (co-
                                                                                                                                                              generation power
    Deep geothermal
                                                                                                                                                              installations and
        energy:
                                                  Biogenic share of                                                                                         heating installations):
         0.2 %                                                                                     Biogas:
                                                       waste:                                                                                                       5.3 %
                                                                                                    5.6 %                 Biogenic liquid fuels:
   Solar thermal energy:                               8.7 %                                                                     3.0 %
           3.8 %                                                                               Sewage gas:
                                                                    Landfill gas:
                                                                                                  0.8 %
                                                                       0.3 %                                                            Share of biomass *: 92 %
     * Solid and liquid biomass, biogas, sewage and landfill gas, biogenic share of waste; Source: BMU-KI III 1 according to Working Group on Renewable Energy-Statistics (AGEE-Stat);
                                            1 TWh = 1 Bill. kWh; deviations in the totals are due to rounding; as at: July 2011; all figures provisional
SERVICE MIT ENERGIE.




     Energy from biomasse – heating values

  • LHV wood/straw (absolute dry): ~18 MJ/kg
       – ~ 65-70% hard coal
       – ~40% fuel oil
       – ~50% natural gas
  • LHV vegetable oils: ~ 35 MJ/kg (~90% diesel)
  • LHV biogas: ~ 20-22 MJ/m3 (~55-65% natural
    gas)


© KWA EVIVA GMBH 2010            Eviva – nachhaltige Energiedienstleistungen
SERVICE MIT ENERGIE.



       Price development of different energy
                     carriers




                                                Wood chips
                                                Wood pellets
                                                Fuel oil
                                                Natural gas




© KWA EVIVA GMBH 2010          Eviva – nachhaltige Energiedienstleistungen
SERVICE MIT ENERGIE.



        Investment costs of different heating
                     systems




                        Oil heating   gas heating   pellet heating   wood chip heating


© KWA EVIVA GMBH 2010                                     Eviva – nachhaltige Energiedienstleistungen
SERVICE MIT ENERGIE.



     O&M costs – comparing wood chip with
                  oil heatings
                        Oil heating        Wood chip heating



                              Annuised
                              Investment

                              O&M

                              Fuel




© KWA EVIVA GMBH 2010                      Eviva – nachhaltige Energiedienstleistungen
SERVICE MIT ENERGIE.




                        Excurs biogas heat




© KWA EVIVA GMBH 2010                 Eviva – nachhaltige Energiedienstleistungen
SERVICE MIT ENERGIE.




                                                    Local district heating grid
     Heat exchanger




       Biogas-
      CHP-unit                            school                 pool                     Etc.

                                     Heat offtake           Heat offtake             Heat offtake

                        Supply boundary



     biogas pipeline



© KWA EVIVA GMBH 2010                                               Eviva – nachhaltige Energiedienstleistungen
SERVICE MIT ENERGIE.




                        Biogas heat from CHP




© KWA EVIVA GMBH 2010             VOGELSANGER STRASSE 250 I 50825 KÖLN I GERMANY
SERVICE MIT ENERGIE.




                        Why biogas heat? I

  • Biogas plants: ~70% of the CHP-unit heat is
    available
  • >6000 biogas plants in Germany with >2200
    MWel installed capacity   >2300 MWth
    capacity
  • Heat usage limited: ~50%, often only to heat
    farm buildings or neighbouring houses
  • EEG 2012: heat usage > 60% !
© KWA EVIVA GMBH 2010                 Eviva – nachhaltige Energiedienstleistungen
SERVICE MIT ENERGIE.




                        Why biogas heat? II

  • Improved heat usage results in:
       – Income from heat sales
       – Income from CHP-bonus
             improved economics
       – Relating the heat price to fossile fuel prices
         increased economic stability by hedging price
         variations
       – Constant EEG-tariffs + market driven heat sales
            hedging the market variations in biogas substrate
         prices

© KWA EVIVA GMBH 2010                     Eviva – nachhaltige Energiedienstleistungen
SERVICE MIT ENERGIE.



      Comparison of levelised heat costs for
           different heating systems

                                             Fuel oil
                                             Natural gas
                                             Wood pellets
                                             Wood chips
                                             Biogas heat
              Levelised heat costs (€/kWh)




                                                            Operational years



© KWA EVIVA GMBH 2010                                                           Eviva – nachhaltige Energiedienstleistungen
SERVICE MIT ENERGIE.




                          summary

  • Heat supply from biomass more economic in the
    mid- and long-term
  • Today wood chips (HHS) and Pellets can be
    competitive to oil and gas, depending on the case
       – Investment costs higher for biomass based
         heatings compared to oil or gas heatings
       – Energy carrier prices of oil and gas higher than
         wood chips or pellets
  • Biogas heat can be very competitve if available

© KWA EVIVA GMBH 2010                   Eviva – nachhaltige Energiedienstleistungen
SERVICE MIT ENERGIE.




                Don‘t hesitate to contact us!

 Frank Schillig

 e: f.schillig@eviva-energy.com
 t: +49-221-789469-10
 w: www.eviva-energie.com



       Eviva Strives for a Proper and Straight Support of Your
                     Sustainable Energy Supply

Competition of energy carriers

  • 1.
    SERVICE MIT ENERGIE. Wood pellets in competition with other energy carriers to provide heat – a market analysis Frank Schillig International Pelletforum 2011, Stuttgart , 5.10.2011 © KWA EVIVA GMBH 2010 VOGELSANGER STRASSE 250 I 50825 KÖLN I GERMANY
  • 2.
    SERVICE MIT ENERGIE. Content • Satisfying heat demand today • Price and price development of different energy carriers • Excursus heat from biogas plants • Economics of heat suppy – Investment and O&M costs – levelized heat costs © KWA EVIVA GMBH 2010 Eviva – nachhaltige Energiedienstleistungen
  • 3.
    SERVICE MIT ENERGIE. Energy carriers to satisfy German heat demand 2006 2010 …and heat from renewable energy sources? © KWA EVIVA GMBH 2010 Eviva – nachhaltige Energiedienstleistungen
  • 4.
    SERVICE MIT ENERGIE. Structure of heat supply from renewable energy sources in Germany 2010 Total: 136.1 TWh Biogenic solid fuels (households): 53.4 % Near-surface Biogenic solid fuels geothermal energy: (industry): 3.9 % 15.0 % Biogenic solid fuels (co- generation power Deep geothermal installations and energy: Biogenic share of heating installations): 0.2 % Biogas: waste: 5.3 % 5.6 % Biogenic liquid fuels: Solar thermal energy: 8.7 % 3.0 % 3.8 % Sewage gas: Landfill gas: 0.8 % 0.3 % Share of biomass *: 92 % * Solid and liquid biomass, biogas, sewage and landfill gas, biogenic share of waste; Source: BMU-KI III 1 according to Working Group on Renewable Energy-Statistics (AGEE-Stat); 1 TWh = 1 Bill. kWh; deviations in the totals are due to rounding; as at: July 2011; all figures provisional
  • 5.
    SERVICE MIT ENERGIE. Energy from biomasse – heating values • LHV wood/straw (absolute dry): ~18 MJ/kg – ~ 65-70% hard coal – ~40% fuel oil – ~50% natural gas • LHV vegetable oils: ~ 35 MJ/kg (~90% diesel) • LHV biogas: ~ 20-22 MJ/m3 (~55-65% natural gas) © KWA EVIVA GMBH 2010 Eviva – nachhaltige Energiedienstleistungen
  • 6.
    SERVICE MIT ENERGIE. Price development of different energy carriers Wood chips Wood pellets Fuel oil Natural gas © KWA EVIVA GMBH 2010 Eviva – nachhaltige Energiedienstleistungen
  • 7.
    SERVICE MIT ENERGIE. Investment costs of different heating systems Oil heating gas heating pellet heating wood chip heating © KWA EVIVA GMBH 2010 Eviva – nachhaltige Energiedienstleistungen
  • 8.
    SERVICE MIT ENERGIE. O&M costs – comparing wood chip with oil heatings Oil heating Wood chip heating Annuised Investment O&M Fuel © KWA EVIVA GMBH 2010 Eviva – nachhaltige Energiedienstleistungen
  • 9.
    SERVICE MIT ENERGIE. Excurs biogas heat © KWA EVIVA GMBH 2010 Eviva – nachhaltige Energiedienstleistungen
  • 10.
    SERVICE MIT ENERGIE. Local district heating grid Heat exchanger Biogas- CHP-unit school pool Etc. Heat offtake Heat offtake Heat offtake Supply boundary biogas pipeline © KWA EVIVA GMBH 2010 Eviva – nachhaltige Energiedienstleistungen
  • 11.
    SERVICE MIT ENERGIE. Biogas heat from CHP © KWA EVIVA GMBH 2010 VOGELSANGER STRASSE 250 I 50825 KÖLN I GERMANY
  • 12.
    SERVICE MIT ENERGIE. Why biogas heat? I • Biogas plants: ~70% of the CHP-unit heat is available • >6000 biogas plants in Germany with >2200 MWel installed capacity >2300 MWth capacity • Heat usage limited: ~50%, often only to heat farm buildings or neighbouring houses • EEG 2012: heat usage > 60% ! © KWA EVIVA GMBH 2010 Eviva – nachhaltige Energiedienstleistungen
  • 13.
    SERVICE MIT ENERGIE. Why biogas heat? II • Improved heat usage results in: – Income from heat sales – Income from CHP-bonus improved economics – Relating the heat price to fossile fuel prices increased economic stability by hedging price variations – Constant EEG-tariffs + market driven heat sales hedging the market variations in biogas substrate prices © KWA EVIVA GMBH 2010 Eviva – nachhaltige Energiedienstleistungen
  • 14.
    SERVICE MIT ENERGIE. Comparison of levelised heat costs for different heating systems Fuel oil Natural gas Wood pellets Wood chips Biogas heat Levelised heat costs (€/kWh) Operational years © KWA EVIVA GMBH 2010 Eviva – nachhaltige Energiedienstleistungen
  • 15.
    SERVICE MIT ENERGIE. summary • Heat supply from biomass more economic in the mid- and long-term • Today wood chips (HHS) and Pellets can be competitive to oil and gas, depending on the case – Investment costs higher for biomass based heatings compared to oil or gas heatings – Energy carrier prices of oil and gas higher than wood chips or pellets • Biogas heat can be very competitve if available © KWA EVIVA GMBH 2010 Eviva – nachhaltige Energiedienstleistungen
  • 16.
    SERVICE MIT ENERGIE. Don‘t hesitate to contact us! Frank Schillig e: f.schillig@eviva-energy.com t: +49-221-789469-10 w: www.eviva-energie.com Eviva Strives for a Proper and Straight Support of Your Sustainable Energy Supply