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Coal Market Outlook
According to World Energy Outlook 2015
Sayed Rasul
ID: 1015102008
Some Overview
Coal is a combustible sedimentary rock composed mostly of
carbon and hydrocarbons. Coal is composed primarily of
carbon along with variable quantities of other elements like
hydrogen, sulfur, oxygen, and nitrogen.
Coals are formed when dead plant matter is converted into
peat, which in turn is converted into lignite, then Bituminous
coal and finally anthracite. This involves biological and
geological processes that take place over a long period of
time.
Coal Produces 62% of world’s electricity. Most abundant fossil
fuel and could easily last at least 200 years.
Advantage of Coal
• Coal is one of the most abundant sources of
energy, more so than oil and natural gas.
• Coal is a relatively cheap energy source.
• Coal can be easily transported to the power
stations.
• Coal can be safely stored and can be drawn
upon to create energy in time of emergency.
Disadvantages of Coal
• To dig up coal, we have to create mines which can be
dangerous and cause environmental pollution.
• Coal energy is producing tremendous amount of carbon
emissions that results in climate change and global warming.
• Coal burning is considered not environmental friendly due to
the production of harmful by-products like nitrogen, carbon
dioxide and sulfur dioxide.
• Transporting coal by lorry and train from the mine to
the power station causes pollution.
• Coal is a non-renewable source and will run out in
about 300 years.
• Coal miners can be affected by black lung disease and
emphysema if they breathe coal dust.
Classification
Coal Reserve (2012)
• USA- About 25% of the world’s total coal reserve
is in this country.
• Russia- 18% of the of world’s total reserve.
• China- about 13% of world’s total reserves.
• Australia- 8.9% of world’s total coal deposits.
• India- 7% of world’s total reserve.
Germany, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, Colombia,
Canada
Coal Reserve by Region
Coal Demand
Defining the scenarios
There are three core scenarios, which differ
in their assumptions about the evolution of
energy-related government policies:
•The New Policies Scenario;
•The Current Policies Scenario; and
•The 450 Scenario.
The New Policies Scenario is the central
scenario of this Outlook. It includes all policies
announced but yet to be implemented.
The Current Policies Scenario takes into
consideration only those policies for which
implementing measures had been formally
adopted.
The 450 Scenario takes a different approach,
adopting a specified outcome – the international   
goal to limit the rise in the long-term
average global temperature to two degrees
Celsius (2°C) and illustrating how that might be
achieved.
World coal demand by different
scenarios
Change in coal demand by key region in
the New Policies Scenario
Evolution of coal demand in key regions in
the New Policies Scenario
Coal demand by key sector and region in
the New Policies Scenario
Major net importers of coal by type in the
New Policies Scenario
Coal demand in China by coal type and
key sector in the New Policies Scenario
United States coal production in the New
Policies Scenario
South Africa coal balance in the New
Policies Scenario
Southeast Asia coal balance in the New
Policies Scenario
Major net exporters of coal by type in the
New Policies Scenario
Summary
• In the New Policies Scenario global coal demand to 2040 will grow
by 0.4% per year on average, a marked slowdown compared with
2.4% over the past 25 years. Despite coal losing out to
renewables as the world’s largest source of electricity generation
soon after 2030, it still accounts for 30% of global electricity output
by 2040.
• Chinese net import will decline by over 50% to 2040; as the
world’s largest coal consumer and producer, shifts in China’s
demand have strong repercussions on global coal trade.
• India will become the world’s second-largest coal consumer
and producer in the current decade, as its demand nearly triples
and production grows more than in any other country.
• The key uncertainties affecting the coal markets are developments
in climate and local pollution policies, changes in coal demand
prospects in China and growth of production in India.
Thank you for
your kind
attention


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Coal market outlook

  • 1. Coal Market Outlook According to World Energy Outlook 2015 Sayed Rasul ID: 1015102008
  • 2. Some Overview Coal is a combustible sedimentary rock composed mostly of carbon and hydrocarbons. Coal is composed primarily of carbon along with variable quantities of other elements like hydrogen, sulfur, oxygen, and nitrogen. Coals are formed when dead plant matter is converted into peat, which in turn is converted into lignite, then Bituminous coal and finally anthracite. This involves biological and geological processes that take place over a long period of time. Coal Produces 62% of world’s electricity. Most abundant fossil fuel and could easily last at least 200 years.
  • 3. Advantage of Coal • Coal is one of the most abundant sources of energy, more so than oil and natural gas. • Coal is a relatively cheap energy source. • Coal can be easily transported to the power stations. • Coal can be safely stored and can be drawn upon to create energy in time of emergency.
  • 4. Disadvantages of Coal • To dig up coal, we have to create mines which can be dangerous and cause environmental pollution. • Coal energy is producing tremendous amount of carbon emissions that results in climate change and global warming. • Coal burning is considered not environmental friendly due to the production of harmful by-products like nitrogen, carbon dioxide and sulfur dioxide. • Transporting coal by lorry and train from the mine to the power station causes pollution. • Coal is a non-renewable source and will run out in about 300 years. • Coal miners can be affected by black lung disease and emphysema if they breathe coal dust.
  • 6. Coal Reserve (2012) • USA- About 25% of the world’s total coal reserve is in this country. • Russia- 18% of the of world’s total reserve. • China- about 13% of world’s total reserves. • Australia- 8.9% of world’s total coal deposits. • India- 7% of world’s total reserve. Germany, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, Colombia, Canada
  • 9. Defining the scenarios There are three core scenarios, which differ in their assumptions about the evolution of energy-related government policies: •The New Policies Scenario; •The Current Policies Scenario; and •The 450 Scenario. The New Policies Scenario is the central scenario of this Outlook. It includes all policies announced but yet to be implemented.
  • 10. The Current Policies Scenario takes into consideration only those policies for which implementing measures had been formally adopted. The 450 Scenario takes a different approach, adopting a specified outcome – the international    goal to limit the rise in the long-term average global temperature to two degrees Celsius (2°C) and illustrating how that might be achieved.
  • 11. World coal demand by different scenarios
  • 12. Change in coal demand by key region in the New Policies Scenario
  • 13. Evolution of coal demand in key regions in the New Policies Scenario
  • 14. Coal demand by key sector and region in the New Policies Scenario
  • 15. Major net importers of coal by type in the New Policies Scenario
  • 16. Coal demand in China by coal type and key sector in the New Policies Scenario
  • 17. United States coal production in the New Policies Scenario
  • 18. South Africa coal balance in the New Policies Scenario
  • 19. Southeast Asia coal balance in the New Policies Scenario
  • 20. Major net exporters of coal by type in the New Policies Scenario
  • 21. Summary • In the New Policies Scenario global coal demand to 2040 will grow by 0.4% per year on average, a marked slowdown compared with 2.4% over the past 25 years. Despite coal losing out to renewables as the world’s largest source of electricity generation soon after 2030, it still accounts for 30% of global electricity output by 2040. • Chinese net import will decline by over 50% to 2040; as the world’s largest coal consumer and producer, shifts in China’s demand have strong repercussions on global coal trade. • India will become the world’s second-largest coal consumer and producer in the current decade, as its demand nearly triples and production grows more than in any other country. • The key uncertainties affecting the coal markets are developments in climate and local pollution policies, changes in coal demand prospects in China and growth of production in India.
  • 22. Thank you for your kind attention 