CLIMATE CHANGE: THREATS AND
OPPORTUNITIES
Talking for 2°C,
Pledging for 3°C,
Heading for 4°C
• Global greenhouse gas
emissions over 54 Gt CO2e
in 2012
• The least cost pathway
towards +2°C would be 42
Gt CO2e by 2030, 22 Gt by
2050
• IPCC warns that global
carbon budget for +2C is
likely to be exceeded by
2040 and PwC by 2034
2
Climate
Leadership
Council
The Carbon budget
is almost exceeded
• The Remaining
budget should be
used for reaching the
low carbon economy
Climate
Leadership
Council Source: IEA World Energy Outlook 2013
The fossil fuels are still
too attractive to invest
in
• Increased use of fossil
fuels has diluted the
benefits gained by
efficiency
improvements and
renewables.
Source: IAE
Climate
Leadership
Council
10 SOLUTIONS
(BY NEW CLIMATE ECONOMY)
1. Integrating climate
into economic
decisionmaking
processes
- Performance indicators
- Risk models
- Reporting requirements
2. Strong, lasting
and equitable
international
climate agreement
• Increase the
confidence needed for
domestic policy reform
• provide the support
needed by developing
countries
• send a strong market
signal to investors.
Source: AAP
3. Phase out
subsidies for
fossil fuels
• drive more efficient use
of resources and
release public funds for
other uses
• Energy subsidies must
be revised
Climate
Leadership
Council
4. Setting a
predictable price
for carbon is
necessary
• The greenhouse gas
emissions must be priced
by there negative
impacts in advance
• Several companies and
funds are already
checking for the risks in
their assets.
5. Low-carbon
infrastructure
investments are
needed
• expanding access to
institutional capital a
lowering its costs for low-
carbon ndassets
6. Scale up
innovation in low-
carbon
technologies
• tripling public investment
in clean energy R&D
• Removing barriers to
entrepreneurship and
creativity
Source: Better Growth, Better Climate
7. More connected
and compact
cities
• Encouraging better-
managed urban growth
and prioritizing
investments in efficient
and safe mass transit
systems.
• The cities generate 70%
of the global energy use
related greenhouse gas
emissions.
Source: Source C40, modified by Sitra
8. Stop
deforestation of
natural forests by
2030
- strengthening the
incentives for long-term
investment and forest
protection
- Forests, as all the
biomass on the planet
are significant carbon
sinks
Source: Carbon Mitigation Initiative
9. Restore degraded
forests and
agricultural lands
by 2030
• strengthening rural
incomes and food
security
• Forests and other
biomass on are
significant carbon sinks
Source: Better Growth, Better Climate
10.Shift away from
polluting coal-
fired
power generation
• Phasing out new
unabated coal plants in
developed economies
immediately and in
middle-income countries
by 2025
OPPORTUNITIES
The Transformation
will happen at multiple
sectors
• There is not only one
solution for mitigating
the climate change
• All the business
sectors play an
important role
Sources: IEA, Princeton University, Fortum
Climate
Leadership
Council
Huge potential: Solar
energy
• The Earth receives 174
petawatts (PW) of
incoming solar
radiation.
• In 2002, this was more
energy in one hour
than the world used in
one year.
Climate
Leadership
Council
Huge potential: Wind
energy
• Wind energy capacity
is increasing globally
Climate
Leadership
Council
New game
• solar economy
• gas revolution
• Storages
• market models
• large investment
opportunities
Climate
Leadership
Council
Tranformation to low-
carbon economy
means business
• New energy
investements will be
worth of thousends of
billions of US dollars
Climate
Leadership
Council
Engine of National and
Global Growth
• Economic growth can
be achieved with less
than before emissions
• The investments for
low carbon economy
will be the new engine
for Global Economic
Growth
Climate
Leadership
Council
The global low carbon
economy is financially
doable
• Cost estimates 2010 - 2035:
Difference between New
Policies and 450 scenario is
USD 640 billion per year
• If the 25% of the wealthiest
population in the world
would carry the cost it
would be around 40 euros
/month/person.
• The cost is an investment,
profitable in the future
Climate
Leadership
Council
Climate
Leadership
Council
Ilmastonmuutos
tapahtuu,
halusivatpa yritykset
sitä tai eivät.
Johtajuutta on olla
mukana
määrittämässä sitä
miten muutos
tapahtuu.
Climate
Leadership
Council

Climate Change as an Opportunity

  • 1.
    CLIMATE CHANGE: THREATSAND OPPORTUNITIES
  • 2.
    Talking for 2°C, Pledgingfor 3°C, Heading for 4°C • Global greenhouse gas emissions over 54 Gt CO2e in 2012 • The least cost pathway towards +2°C would be 42 Gt CO2e by 2030, 22 Gt by 2050 • IPCC warns that global carbon budget for +2C is likely to be exceeded by 2040 and PwC by 2034 2 Climate Leadership Council
  • 3.
    The Carbon budget isalmost exceeded • The Remaining budget should be used for reaching the low carbon economy Climate Leadership Council Source: IEA World Energy Outlook 2013
  • 4.
    The fossil fuelsare still too attractive to invest in • Increased use of fossil fuels has diluted the benefits gained by efficiency improvements and renewables. Source: IAE Climate Leadership Council
  • 5.
    10 SOLUTIONS (BY NEWCLIMATE ECONOMY)
  • 6.
    1. Integrating climate intoeconomic decisionmaking processes - Performance indicators - Risk models - Reporting requirements
  • 7.
    2. Strong, lasting andequitable international climate agreement • Increase the confidence needed for domestic policy reform • provide the support needed by developing countries • send a strong market signal to investors. Source: AAP
  • 8.
    3. Phase out subsidiesfor fossil fuels • drive more efficient use of resources and release public funds for other uses • Energy subsidies must be revised Climate Leadership Council
  • 9.
    4. Setting a predictableprice for carbon is necessary • The greenhouse gas emissions must be priced by there negative impacts in advance • Several companies and funds are already checking for the risks in their assets.
  • 10.
    5. Low-carbon infrastructure investments are needed •expanding access to institutional capital a lowering its costs for low- carbon ndassets
  • 11.
    6. Scale up innovationin low- carbon technologies • tripling public investment in clean energy R&D • Removing barriers to entrepreneurship and creativity Source: Better Growth, Better Climate
  • 12.
    7. More connected andcompact cities • Encouraging better- managed urban growth and prioritizing investments in efficient and safe mass transit systems. • The cities generate 70% of the global energy use related greenhouse gas emissions. Source: Source C40, modified by Sitra
  • 13.
    8. Stop deforestation of naturalforests by 2030 - strengthening the incentives for long-term investment and forest protection - Forests, as all the biomass on the planet are significant carbon sinks Source: Carbon Mitigation Initiative
  • 14.
    9. Restore degraded forestsand agricultural lands by 2030 • strengthening rural incomes and food security • Forests and other biomass on are significant carbon sinks Source: Better Growth, Better Climate
  • 15.
    10.Shift away from pollutingcoal- fired power generation • Phasing out new unabated coal plants in developed economies immediately and in middle-income countries by 2025
  • 16.
  • 17.
    The Transformation will happenat multiple sectors • There is not only one solution for mitigating the climate change • All the business sectors play an important role Sources: IEA, Princeton University, Fortum Climate Leadership Council
  • 18.
    Huge potential: Solar energy •The Earth receives 174 petawatts (PW) of incoming solar radiation. • In 2002, this was more energy in one hour than the world used in one year. Climate Leadership Council
  • 19.
    Huge potential: Wind energy •Wind energy capacity is increasing globally Climate Leadership Council
  • 20.
    New game • solareconomy • gas revolution • Storages • market models • large investment opportunities Climate Leadership Council
  • 21.
    Tranformation to low- carboneconomy means business • New energy investements will be worth of thousends of billions of US dollars Climate Leadership Council
  • 22.
    Engine of Nationaland Global Growth • Economic growth can be achieved with less than before emissions • The investments for low carbon economy will be the new engine for Global Economic Growth Climate Leadership Council
  • 23.
    The global lowcarbon economy is financially doable • Cost estimates 2010 - 2035: Difference between New Policies and 450 scenario is USD 640 billion per year • If the 25% of the wealthiest population in the world would carry the cost it would be around 40 euros /month/person. • The cost is an investment, profitable in the future Climate Leadership Council
  • 24.
    Climate Leadership Council Ilmastonmuutos tapahtuu, halusivatpa yritykset sitä taieivät. Johtajuutta on olla mukana määrittämässä sitä miten muutos tapahtuu. Climate Leadership Council