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TSHERING WANGMO
CNR-2012-04-34
BSC Sustainable Development
Potential Impact of
climate change on
Bhutan Food security:
Geographical situation
Economy
Population
Technologies for
adaptation and
mitigation
Bhutan overview
• Mountain ecosystem is more prone to the effects of
climate change.
• Divided into three distinct climatic zones:
-Southern foothills: hot and humid
-Central Inner Himalayas: Cool and temperate
-Northern Region : Alpine Climate. NEC (2000).
• Altitude ranging from less than 100m in the south to
more than 7,500m in the north .
• 20% of the land area is above 4,200m covered with
snow and ice
• Population is concentrated in the broad river valleys
• Climate is an important factor determining the production
of crops and if there is change, it poses a serious threat to
agriculture:
• Agriculture?
Agriculture is important for food security
• “Food security exists when all people at all times have
physical or economic access to sufficient safe and nutritious
food to meet their dietary needs and food preferences for an
active and healthy life” FAO (1996).
HOW
It provides the primary source of livelihood and employment
climate change
livelihood - Food insecurity
Impact on Agriculture
Climate
Hazards
Impact(economy) Population impact Adaptation and
mitigation measures
Melting of
mountain glaciers-
-Loss of water reserves
-60% Bhutanese
revenue depends on
income from
hydropower
-Loss of lives
-Food insecurity
Eg. 94 households
affected and 16 metric
tones (MT) of food grain
washed away (UNDP,
2011).
-Installation of early
warning system
-Artificial lowering of
glacial lake levels
-reduced water volume
3.63m
Landslide
(change in weather
pattern– high rain
intensity)
-Damage to
agricultural crops ,
roads ,soil etc
E.g.- June 29-12 SJ-
Trashigang highway
has remained
obstructed for 3 days
-Loss of property and
live
eg. In 2013Tendu
landslide destroy house.
-20 decimals of land out
of 30 was washed away.
-River bank protection
-Soil conservation and
land management
Increase in
temperature-1°C
from 2010 to 2039
and by 2°C from
2040 to 2069
-Reduced water
available for drinking
and sanitation
-increase in
-Health risks-water-borne
diseases, food-borne
diseases
-Water harvesting.
-60% of forest cover
-Incentives for energy
saving devices and
low emission vehicles
F
O
O
D
S
E
C
U
R
I
T
Y
?
Conclusion
• Climate change is real, and its first impacts are already
being felt. It will first affect the people and food systems
that are already vulnerable, but over time the geographic
distribution of risk and vulnerability is likely to shift.
Certain livelihood groups need immediate support, but
everybody is at risk.
• Climate change is already affecting food security and it is
expected to have even greater impacts in coming years
REFERENCES
Lhendup, K. (2014). An Assessment of the Food Security in Bhutan.
Thimphu.
NEC. (2000). The royal government of Bhutan: national environment
commission: under the united nations framework convention. National
Environment Commission.
Tshering, N. National Environment Commission. Thimphu: Phama
Printers.
RGoB. (2011). Bhutan National Human Developemnt Report: Sustaining
progress: Rising to climate challenge. Bhutan: RGoB.
UNDP. (2011). Reduced risk of GLOF from Thorthormi Lake throug and
artifical Lake Level Management System. Bhutan: UNDP.
Wangdi, N., & Kusters, K. (2012). The costs of adaptation in
Punakha,Bhutan: Loss and damage associated with changing monsoon
patterns. Loss and Demages , 52.

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Climate change and food security

  • 1. TSHERING WANGMO CNR-2012-04-34 BSC Sustainable Development Potential Impact of climate change on Bhutan Food security: Geographical situation Economy Population Technologies for adaptation and mitigation
  • 2. Bhutan overview • Mountain ecosystem is more prone to the effects of climate change. • Divided into three distinct climatic zones: -Southern foothills: hot and humid -Central Inner Himalayas: Cool and temperate -Northern Region : Alpine Climate. NEC (2000). • Altitude ranging from less than 100m in the south to more than 7,500m in the north . • 20% of the land area is above 4,200m covered with snow and ice • Population is concentrated in the broad river valleys
  • 3. • Climate is an important factor determining the production of crops and if there is change, it poses a serious threat to agriculture: • Agriculture? Agriculture is important for food security • “Food security exists when all people at all times have physical or economic access to sufficient safe and nutritious food to meet their dietary needs and food preferences for an active and healthy life” FAO (1996). HOW It provides the primary source of livelihood and employment climate change livelihood - Food insecurity Impact on Agriculture
  • 4. Climate Hazards Impact(economy) Population impact Adaptation and mitigation measures Melting of mountain glaciers- -Loss of water reserves -60% Bhutanese revenue depends on income from hydropower -Loss of lives -Food insecurity Eg. 94 households affected and 16 metric tones (MT) of food grain washed away (UNDP, 2011). -Installation of early warning system -Artificial lowering of glacial lake levels -reduced water volume 3.63m Landslide (change in weather pattern– high rain intensity) -Damage to agricultural crops , roads ,soil etc E.g.- June 29-12 SJ- Trashigang highway has remained obstructed for 3 days -Loss of property and live eg. In 2013Tendu landslide destroy house. -20 decimals of land out of 30 was washed away. -River bank protection -Soil conservation and land management Increase in temperature-1°C from 2010 to 2039 and by 2°C from 2040 to 2069 -Reduced water available for drinking and sanitation -increase in -Health risks-water-borne diseases, food-borne diseases -Water harvesting. -60% of forest cover -Incentives for energy saving devices and low emission vehicles F O O D S E C U R I T Y ?
  • 5. Conclusion • Climate change is real, and its first impacts are already being felt. It will first affect the people and food systems that are already vulnerable, but over time the geographic distribution of risk and vulnerability is likely to shift. Certain livelihood groups need immediate support, but everybody is at risk. • Climate change is already affecting food security and it is expected to have even greater impacts in coming years
  • 6. REFERENCES Lhendup, K. (2014). An Assessment of the Food Security in Bhutan. Thimphu. NEC. (2000). The royal government of Bhutan: national environment commission: under the united nations framework convention. National Environment Commission. Tshering, N. National Environment Commission. Thimphu: Phama Printers. RGoB. (2011). Bhutan National Human Developemnt Report: Sustaining progress: Rising to climate challenge. Bhutan: RGoB. UNDP. (2011). Reduced risk of GLOF from Thorthormi Lake throug and artifical Lake Level Management System. Bhutan: UNDP. Wangdi, N., & Kusters, K. (2012). The costs of adaptation in Punakha,Bhutan: Loss and damage associated with changing monsoon patterns. Loss and Demages , 52.

Editor's Notes

  1. •This complex climate is due mainly to the country’s situation at the periphery of the tropical circulation in the north and on the periphery of the Asian monsoon circulation in the south. Summer monsoons typically last from late June through to late September, at times causing flash floods and landslides; monsoons generate approximately 70 per cent of the annual rainfall in Bhutan. permanently covered with snow and ice, which form glaciers and glacial lakes For a country like Bhutan, there will be more negative impacts as more than 70% of the population depends on agriculture and natural resources. Moreover, hydro electricity is the main source of revenue.
  2. If agricultural production in the low-income developing countries is adversely affected by climate change, the livelihoods of large numbers of the rural poor will be put at risk and their vulnerability to food insecurity increased.
  3. Climate models show a likely increase in Bhutan’s annual average temperature by 1°C from 2010 to 2039 and by 2°C from 2040 to 2069. But the temperature changes will likely influence overall rainfall patterns and increase droughts. (RGoB, 2011) Recently, on August 16, 2004 a flash flood struck eastern Bhutan (Tashigang, Mongar and Lhuentse). This flood and the consequent landslides claimed 11 lives. A total of 29 houses were washed away, about 26 collapsed and 107 were partially damaged. Weather events such as heat waves and stagnant air masses could increase the impact on human health as heat stroke, cardiovascular stress, and increase in respiratory diseases. Warmer temperature and disturbed rainfall patterns could increase in the number of vector- borne disease, water-borne diseases, food-borne diseases, harmful algal blooms causing skin diseases, and poisoning and allergies caused by pollen. budget estimates for 2013-14 fiscal, the first year of the 11th Plan Most of the capital expenses will go into education 6.7B, agriculture4.1B, roadsNu 3.4B, health3.1b total 34.2b 2013-3.59%gdp