Artificial intelligence in the post-deep learning era
Christian RUMBAUR, Markus DISSE "Sustainable management of river oases along the Tarim River, P.R. China (SuMaRiO) "
1. SuMaRiO – Sustainable Management of River Oases along the Tarim River
2nd Scientific UNCCD Conference, Wed., 10th of April 2013, Bonn, Germany - Dr. Christian Rumbaur
Sustainable Management of River Oases along
the Tarim River (SuMaRiO) and the implementation of goals of the UNCCD
and the CBD
www.sumario.de
2. SuMaRiO – Sustainable Management of River Oases along the Tarim River
2nd Scientific UNCCD Conference, Wed., 10th of April 2013, Bonn, Germany - Dr. Christian Rumbaur
The Sino-German project SuMaRiO is funded by the Federal Ministry of Education and Research
in the Funding-Measure „Sustainable Land Management“.
The project consortium comprises
eleven German and nine Chinese
Universities and Research
Institutions
and various Chinese
Stakeholders
The project started in March 2011 and will end in February 2016
www.sumario.de
3. SuMaRiO – Sustainable Management of River Oases along the Tarim River
2nd Scientific UNCCD Conference, Wed., 10th of April 2013, Bonn, Germany - Dr. Christian Rumbaur
Outline of the regional problem
www.sumario.de
4. SuMaRiO – Sustainable Management of River Oases along the Tarim River
2nd Scientific UNCCD Conference, Wed., 10th of April 2013, Bonn, Germany - Dr. Christian Rumbaur
Outline of the regional problem
www.sumario.de
5. SuMaRiO – Sustainable Management of River Oases along the Tarim River
2nd Scientific UNCCD Conference, Wed., 10th of April 2013, Bonn, Germany - Dr. Christian Rumbaur
Outline of the regional problem
www.sumario.de
6. SuMaRiO – Sustainable Management of River Oases along the Tarim River
2nd Scientific UNCCD Conference, Wed., 10th of April 2013, Bonn, Germany - Dr. Christian Rumbaur
Outline of the regional problem
www.sumario.de
7. SuMaRiO – Sustainable Management of River Oases along the Tarim River
2nd Scientific UNCCD Conference, Wed., 10th of April 2013, Bonn, Germany - Dr. Christian Rumbaur
Outline of the regional problem
www.sumario.de
8. SuMaRiO – Sustainable Management of River Oases along the Tarim River
2nd Scientific UNCCD Conference, Wed., 10th of April 2013, Bonn, Germany - Dr. Christian Rumbaur
Outline of the regional problem
www.sumario.de
9. SuMaRiO – Sustainable Management of River Oases along the Tarim River
2nd Scientific UNCCD Conference, Wed., 10th of April 2013, Bonn, Germany - Dr. Christian Rumbaur
Outline of the regional problem
www.sumario.de
10. SuMaRiO – Sustainable Management of River Oases along the Tarim River
2nd Scientific UNCCD Conference, Wed., 10th of April 2013, Bonn, Germany - Dr. Christian Rumbaur
Outline of the regional problem
www.sumario.de
11. SuMaRiO – Sustainable Management of River Oases along the Tarim River
2nd Scientific UNCCD Conference, Wed., 10th of April 2013, Bonn, Germany - Dr. Christian Rumbaur
Outline of the regional problem
Conflicts:
• Water use
• Land use
www.sumario.de
12. SuMaRiO – Sustainable Management of River Oases along the Tarim River
2nd Scientific UNCCD Conference, Wed., 10th of April 2013, Bonn, Germany - Dr. Christian Rumbaur
Outline of the regional problem
Effects:
• Land degradation
• Desertification
The question is how to manage land use, i.e. irrigation agriculture and
utilization of the natural ecosystems, and water use in a very water-
scarce region, with changing water availability due to climate change,
such that ecosystem services and economic benefits are maintained in
the best balance for a sustainable development.
www.sumario.de
13. SuMaRiO – Sustainable Management of River Oases along the Tarim River
2nd Scientific UNCCD Conference, Wed., 10th of April 2013, Bonn, Germany - Dr. Christian Rumbaur
Project
structure
www.sumario.de
14. SuMaRiO – Sustainable Management of River Oases along the Tarim River
2nd Scientific UNCCD Conference, Wed., 10th of April 2013, Bonn, Germany - Dr. Christian Rumbaur
Outcome of the project: Decision support system
“Economy & Ecology” “Climate & Hydrology”
scenarios scenarios
External scenarios
Decision maker Alternatives
e.g. measures, options, combination of
/ User measures
Integrated River Basin Management
Consequences / Effects
•Selection and weighting of problem-specific
Decision
and crucial indicators
•analysis of trade-offs and synergies
Indicators system Legend
Characterization of the project area
Influences
Evaluation of alternatives Input / Output
Decision
Decision Support System (DSS) process
Source: M. Hinnenthal, Universität der
Bundeswehr München, Germany
www.sumario.de
15. SuMaRiO – Sustainable Management of River Oases along the Tarim River
2nd Scientific UNCCD Conference, Wed., 10th of April 2013, Bonn, Germany - Dr. Christian Rumbaur
Targets of the UNCCD implemented by the project
Monitoring and
Monitoring and Assessment
Assessment Capacity building and
Capacity building and awareness-raising
awareness-raising Sustainable Land Man-
agement technologies
Capacity building and Knowledge managem-
awareness-raising ent & decision support
Participation, collabo-
ration and networking
Monitoring and Knowledge managem- Monitoring and
Assessment ent & decision support Assessment
Capacity building and Capacity building and
awareness-raising awareness-raising
Sustainable Land Man- Sustainable Land Man-
agement technologies agement technologies
www.sumario.de
16. SuMaRiO – Sustainable Management of River Oases along the Tarim River
2nd Scientific UNCCD Conference, Wed., 10th of April 2013, Bonn, Germany - Dr. Christian Rumbaur
Monitoring and assessment
Ecosystems: Scenarios:
• Natural Forests and vegetation Shallow to deep groundwater level
(Tugai vegetation)
Low to high wood use (pollarding)
No to high soil salinity
• Agricultural Land Irrigation method
alternative production systems (Apocynum)
cotton
• Urban and peri-urban vegetation Indigenous practices to modern city parks
www.sumario.de
17. SuMaRiO – Sustainable Management of River Oases along the Tarim River
2nd Scientific UNCCD Conference, Wed., 10th of April 2013, Bonn, Germany - Dr. Christian Rumbaur
Aichi targets (CBD) implemented by the project
Incentives
Sustainable consump-
tion and production
Ecosystem resilience
Sustainable Agri-
culture and Forestry
Essential Ecosystem
Services
Integration of
Sustainable consump- Sustainable consump-
biodiversity values
tion and production tion and production
Biodiversity
Loss of habitats knowledge Loss of habitats
Sustainable Agri-
Protected Areas
culture and Forestry
Essential Ecosystem
Pollution
Services
Essential Ecosystem
Ecosystem resilience
Services
www.sumario.de
18. SuMaRiO – Sustainable Management of River Oases along the Tarim River
2nd Scientific UNCCD Conference, Wed., 10th of April 2013, Bonn, Germany - Dr. Christian Rumbaur
Essential ecosystem services assessed
water supply,
Provisioning services food and fodder,
fiber and raw material,
natural medicine
Evaluation
water purification, of
Regulating services soil fertility, ecosystem
air quality, services
local climate related to
recreation, water and
sense of place, health
Cultural services
aesthetic appreciation,
scientific discovery
genetic resources,
Supporting services biomass production,
nutrient cycling,
water cycling
www.sumario.de
19. SuMaRiO – Sustainable Management of River Oases along the Tarim River
2nd Scientific UNCCD Conference, Wed., 10th of April 2013, Bonn, Germany - Dr. Christian Rumbaur
Thank you for your attention
谢谢
www.sumario.de