This document presents a compartmental model for modeling the spread of Chlamydia, a sexually transmitted disease. The model divides a population into susceptible, incubation, infected, and recovered compartments. The document provides background on Chlamydia, its symptoms and effects. It then describes the model and parameters used. Results are presented showing the disease trend over time for different incubation period lengths. The model effectively demonstrated how a longer incubation period allows the disease to spread for a longer period before declining.
1. +
Compartmental Model for Chlamydia, a Sexually
Transmitted Disease
Pérez-Ayala, Michelle C.1, Figueroa-Monsanto, Héctor L.2 and Cruz-Aponte, Maytee3
Department of Biology, University of Puerto Rico at Cayey1, Department of Chemistry,
University of Puerto Rico at Cayey2 and Department of Mathematics-Physics, University of
Puerto Rico at Cayey3
2. +
Biological Disease: Chlamydia
Chlamydia
Sexually transmitted disease (STD)
Direct contact with any area of the body with the bacterium
Chlamydia trachomatis
Child Birth
Chlamydia is the most common sexually transmitted
disease (STD) in the world (Siam, 2012)
Chlamydia trachomatis
Incubation period: 5-21 days
www.allposters.com
3. +
Chlamydia in Puerto Rico and Worldwide
Selected Data
• Puerto Rico – Individuals between de ages of 20-24
are the most susceptible (Department of Health, 2012)
• Worldwide – People that are 25 years old or less are
the most susceptible (Occhionero et al. 2015)
www.shutterstock.comwww.banderasboricuas.com
4. + Susceptibility and
Disease Symptoms
Females
Blood flow between periods
Pain: periods, sex, abdomen, and
urination
Vagina itch
Males
Pain: testicles and urination
Penis: swelling, pain, burn, itch,
and transparent discharge
Urethritis: 55%
www.newattitudes.co.uk imgkid.com
5. +
Problems of C. trachomatis
Males
Al-Mously (2015) studied the effect of Chlamydia trachomatis on
sperms to detect if the bacterium caused sub-fertility in men
Viability and motility cannot be prevented by in vitro fertilization
Females
De Borborema-Alfaia (2013) study reflected a 3.4 % of premature
membrane rupture in Brazilian women around the age of 30 or less
Symptoms are not commonly reflected
Combined with C. psittaci could result in trachoma (Nittler et al. 2014)
7. +
Hypothesis
The compartmental model of chlamydia will differ
significantly from the basic SIR model, due to the
addition of the incubation compartment affecting
the flow of the disease in a given population
8. +
Objective
Create and use a compartmental model to
demonstrate the tendency of the disease with
susceptible, incubation period, infected, re-infected
and recovered individuals from a population of 100
people
Create precautions
Lessen the number of infected and re-infected
individuals
Avoid infertilities
9. +
Methodology:
Chlamydia Parameters and Model
Modified SIR Model
Susceptible, Incubation Period, Infected and Recovered
The compartmental model shows the flow of the
disease
www.sunflowerhospital.in
www.nature.com
www.genitaldischarge.comwww.fancyicons.com
10. + Schematic of disease dynamics:
Mathematical Model
S
E
I
R
α SI/N
βE
γI
μR
12. +
Results:
Chlamydia Disease Trend during an
Incubation Period of 13 Days
S = Susceptible Individuals
E = Incubation Period
I = Infected Individuals
R = Recovered Individuals
13. +
Chlamydia Disease Trend during an
Incubation Period of
5 Days
S = Susceptible Individuals
E = Incubation Period
I = Infected Individuals
R = Recovered Individuals
14. +
Conclusion
The hypothesis was proven
The results showed that by increasing the
incubation period from 5 days to 13 days
People were susceptible for a longer period of
time: 55 days
The amount of infected and recovered
individuals that maintained in equilibrium
diminished
15. +
Future Works
This model could be used for another
assigned population with a different time
range
This combined with the problems (e.g. infertility)
mentioned about Chlamydia to create awareness
16. +
Cited Literature
Al-Mously N, Eley A. 2015. Transient exposure to Chlamydia
trachomatis can induce alteration of sperm function which cannot be
stopped by sperm washing. Middle East Fertility Society Journal 20,
48-53. doi:10.1016/j.mefs.2014.04.003.
Borges V, Gomes JP. 2015. Deep comparative genomics among
Chlamydia trachomatis lymphogranuloma venereum isolates
highlights genes potentially involved in pathoadaptation. Infection,
genetics and Evolution 32, 74-88. doi:10.1016/j.meegid.2015.02.026.
De Borborema-Alfaia APB, de Lima Freitas NS, Filho SA, Borborema-
Santos CM. 2013. Chlamydia trachomatis infection in a simple of
northern Brazilian pregnant women: prevalence and prenatal
importance. Braz J Infect Dis 17(5):545-550.
doi:10.1016/j.bjid.2013.01.014.
Departamento de Salud. 2012. Datos de Puerto Rico.
http://www.estadisticas.gobierno.pr/iepr/LinkClick.aspx?fileticket=RVO
VIk8ka1A%3D&tabid=186.
17. +
Cited Literature
Knittler MR, Berndt A, Böcker S, Dutow P, Hänel F, Heuer D, Kägebein
D, Klos A, Koch S, Liebler-Tenorio E, Ostermann C, Reinhold P, Saluz
HP, Schöfl G, Sehnert P, Sachse K. 2014. Chlamydia psittaci: New
insights into genomic diversity, clinical pathology, host-pathogen
interaction and anti-bacterial immunity. International Journal of Medical
Microbiology 304, 877-893. doi:10.1016/j.ijmm.2014.06.010.
Occhionero M, Paniccia L, Pedersen D, Rossi G, Mazzucchini H,
Entrocassi A, Vaulet LG, Gualtieri V, Fermepin MR. 2015. Prevalencia
de la infección por Chlamydia trachomatis y factores de riesgo de
infecciones transmisibles sexualmente en estudiantes universitarios.
Rev Argent Microbiol 47(1): 9-16. doi:10.1016/j.ram.2014.11.003.
Siam EM, Hefzy EM. 2012. The relationship between antisperm
antibodies prevalence and genital Chlamydia trachomatis infection in
women with unexplained infertility. Middle East fertility Society Journal
(2012) 17, 93-100. doi:10.1016/j.mefs.2011.09.003.
18. +
Acknowledgments
Dr. Maytee Cruz-Aponte
Danilo Pérez-Rivera
• Dr. Eneida Díaz
• Dr. Elena González
• Dr. Robert Ross
Editor's Notes
Chlamydia trachomatis, which is known to produce another sexual transmitted disease called Lymphogranuloma venereum (LGV) (Borges, 2015)
Since females visit the gynecologist frequently, then more reports about chlamydia are mentioned
Males have no male doctors, thus they do not reported as often as females do
Thus the numbers can change dramatically (maybe) if males had “malecologists”
Additional female symptoms:
- Abnormal vaginal discharge that may have an odor
Itching or burning in or around the vagina
Additional male symptoms:
-
(source: http://www.webmd.com/sexual-conditions/guide/chlamydia)
the condition of being less than normally fertile though still capable of effecting fertilization
Search for treatments (antibiotics)
premature membrane rupture ?
5to bullet…People do not receive antibiotic treatment, thus more individuals are infected
100 pregnant women
Examples of antibiotics:
1. amoxicillin a·mox·i·cil·lin (ə-mŏk'sĭ-sĭl'ĭn)
n.
A derivative of ampicillin that is effective against a broad range of gram-negative and gram-positive bacteria.
2. azithromycin /az·ith·ro·my·cin/ (az-ith″ro-mi´sin) a macrolideantibiotic derived from erythromycin, effective against a wide range of gram-positive, gram-negative, and anaerobic bacteria.
Information about the bacteria
Gram__
Etc
Ecuaciones diferenciales
Change of compartment…se expone, infecta, recopera y vuelve a ser suceptible
1/B= periodo…en el modelo tu quieres una frequencia= 1/b seria el periodo
B= de amount of time for something to occur
The rate at which the bacteria will complete its development will be 1/the amount of days
Floxin – Ofloxacin
We found in the literature different parameters that varied…susceptibility, incubation period, infected individuals, recovered individuals…These were applied to a population of 100 individuals in a period of 100 days…How did the trend of chlamydia disease commence well it started with one individual We found that the number of susceptible individuals commenced
ofloxacin
Future works?
The results showed by increasing the incubation from 5 days to 13 days, people were more susceptible, less infected and thus less recovered. This model could be used for other assigned populations, since this disease is common worldwide. Thus, it could be used to demonstrate the trajectory of the disease in a given time.