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Fiscal Policy Chapter 11
Fiscal Policy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Taxes and Spending ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Government Revenue ,[object Object],[object Object]
Government Expenditure ,[object Object],[object Object]
Fiscal Policy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Fiscal Policy ,[object Object],[object Object]
Fiscal Policy Internal market forces External shocks Policy tools:  Fiscal policy Output Jobs Prices Growth International balances DETERMINANTS OUTCOMES AD AS
Fiscal Stimulus ,[object Object],[object Object]
The Policy Goal The goal is to close GDP gaps AS Q E  = 5.6 a AD 1 P E Price Level Real GDP 6.0 =  Q F GDP Equilibrium Full-employment GDP b GDP gap
Keynesian Strategy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Review “In the News” on pg. 231.
The Naive Keynesian Model  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The AD Shortfall ,[object Object],[object Object]
The AD Shortfall Recessionary GDP gap AD shortfall The AD shortfall is the fiscal policy target for achieving full employment. AS Q E   = 5.6 a AD 1 AD 2 P E Price Level Real GDP Q F  = 6.0 6.4 AD 3 c d b e
Multiplier Effects ,[object Object]
Multiplier Effects ,[object Object]
Multiplier Effects Real GDP Price Level P 1 5.6 Q E 5.8 6.4 AD 2 AD 3 Current price level Direct impact of rise in government spending + $200 billion AD 1 a b Indirect impact via increased consumption  + $600 billion
The Desired Stimulus ,[object Object]
Tax Cuts ,[object Object],[object Object]
Multiplier Effects ,[object Object]
The Tax Cut Multiplier First round of spending: Second round of spending: Third round of spending: More income More consumption More income More consumption Tax Cut More consumption = MPC  X  tax cut More saving = MPS  X  tax cut More saving More saving Cumulative change in saving: = tax cut
Taxes and Investment ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Increased Transfers ,[object Object]
Fiscal Restraint ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Fiscal Target ,[object Object],[object Object]
The Fiscal Target ,[object Object],[object Object]
Excess Aggregate Demand Inflationary GDP gap Excess AD AD must shift by more than the GDP gap AS Q 2  = 5.8 E 2 f AD 1 AD 2 P E P F Price Level Real Output E 1 Q F  = 6.0 Q 1  = 6.2
Budget Cuts ,[object Object],[object Object]
Tax Hikes ,[object Object],[object Object]
Reduced Transfers ,[object Object],[object Object]
Fiscal Guidelines ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Weak Economy: Fiscal Stimulus
Overheated Economy: Fiscal Restraint
A Warning: Crowding Out ,[object Object],[object Object]
Time Lags ,[object Object],[object Object]
Pork-Barrel Politics ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Chap011 4 (2010)

  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8. Fiscal Policy Internal market forces External shocks Policy tools: Fiscal policy Output Jobs Prices Growth International balances DETERMINANTS OUTCOMES AD AS
  • 9.
  • 10. The Policy Goal The goal is to close GDP gaps AS Q E = 5.6 a AD 1 P E Price Level Real GDP 6.0 = Q F GDP Equilibrium Full-employment GDP b GDP gap
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14. The AD Shortfall Recessionary GDP gap AD shortfall The AD shortfall is the fiscal policy target for achieving full employment. AS Q E = 5.6 a AD 1 AD 2 P E Price Level Real GDP Q F = 6.0 6.4 AD 3 c d b e
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17. Multiplier Effects Real GDP Price Level P 1 5.6 Q E 5.8 6.4 AD 2 AD 3 Current price level Direct impact of rise in government spending + $200 billion AD 1 a b Indirect impact via increased consumption + $600 billion
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21. The Tax Cut Multiplier First round of spending: Second round of spending: Third round of spending: More income More consumption More income More consumption Tax Cut More consumption = MPC X tax cut More saving = MPS X tax cut More saving More saving Cumulative change in saving: = tax cut
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27. Excess Aggregate Demand Inflationary GDP gap Excess AD AD must shift by more than the GDP gap AS Q 2 = 5.8 E 2 f AD 1 AD 2 P E P F Price Level Real Output E 1 Q F = 6.0 Q 1 = 6.2
  • 28.
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36.