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CHALLENGES OF SEGMENTED
SUPPLY CHAINS IN COMPONENT
QUALIFICATION FOR SPACE
Paavo Heiskanen, European Space Agency
SAE 2017 AeroTech Congress & Exhibition
2017-09-28
SAE INTERNATIONAL
The goal of this presentation is to explain
1. WHAT supply chain segmentation is
2. WHY this phenomenon took place
3. WHICH challenges segmented supply chains generate
4. HOW it affects your business from the point of view of
1. Funding Research and Development
2. Qualifying authority
3. Customer
5. HOW the European Space Agency is reacting to the changing environment
Goal Statement
217ATC-0151
SAE INTERNATIONAL
Where We Are and How We Got There
Overview of Challenges in Segmented Supply Chains
The European Space Agency as an Actor in the Field of EEE*
Components
European Space Agency Actions to Mitigate Segmentation
Challenges
Summary and Conclusions
Outline
17ATC-0151 3
*) Electrical, Electronic and Electromechanical
SAE INTERNATIONAL
• In the past, homogeneous Integrated Device
Manufacturers (IDMs) were responsible for EEE part
development and manufacturing.
• Qualification was done in a bi-lateral fashion between a single
manufacturer and a qualification authority
• For the past 20 years, industrial economics have driven
many manufacturers towards a fabless concept.
• Only the core competence is retained within the manufacturer
• All other functions are outsourced, thus minimizing invested
capital and maximizing Return on Investment
• Complexity of the qualification process is increased as the supply
chain is segmented
Where We Are and How We Got There
417ATC-0151
SAE INTERNATIONAL
Supply Chain Segmentation: Traditional Supply Chain With
IDM
CUSTOMER
MANUFACTURER
Libraries,
layout &
back-end
Wafer fab
Packaging &
testing
Qualification
Sales &
Support
R&D
QA
17ATC-0151
SAE INTERNATIONAL
Supply Chain Segmentation: Segmented Supply Chain With
Multiple Actors
6
MANUFACTURER
CUSTOMER
Libraries,
layout &
back-end
Wafer fab
Packaging &
testing
Sales & Support
R&D
17ATC-0151
QA
SAE INTERNATIONAL
Where We Are and How We Got There
Overview of Challenges in Segmented Supply Chains
The European Space Agency as an Actor in the Field of EEE
Components
European Space Agency Actions to Mitigate Segmentation
Challenges
Summary and Conclusions
Outline
17ATC-0151 7
SAE INTERNATIONAL
1. Interfaces – Segmentation generates multiple interfaces in the supply chain
• Communication and management become more challenging
2. Audit responsibility lies with the manufacturer
• How to ensure competence
3. Knowledge transfer / learning curve – specialist knowledge of EEE
requirements for space use might not be available
• Tin whiskers, hermeticity, radiation, outgassing, …
4. Geographical – facilities all over the world
• Complex supply chains are sensitive to local environmental, industrial &
governmental issues
5. Geopolitical – export restrictions and politics affect manufacturing
• Regulatory authorities may not be allowed to all countries
6. Organizational destabilization
• Personnel changes, retirement, hiring delays in competitive markets, lack of
talented workers and trainers
7. Material and tool obsolescence
• Space component life cycles are much longer than commercial counterparts
Challenges of a Segmented Supply Chain
817ATC-0151
SAE INTERNATIONAL
Challenges: Fragmentation of Industrial Landscape
917ATC-0151
Note: Atmel 180nm and 150nm are ESCC QML qualified and US MIL qualified.
SAE INTERNATIONAL
Challenges: Restructuring of Industrial Landscape
1017ATC-0151
SAE INTERNATIONAL
Challenges: Increasing Complexity – the Funding Gap
11
SOURCES: ESA contracts, prices of 2016
• Non-recurrent costs are growing very fast
• Complexity of qualification is growing with the complexity of the
components being developed
17ATC-0151
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
Cost of Wafer manufacturing
Wafer lot cost Die cost
500nm 350nm 180nm 180nm 65nm 28nm 22nm
k€ € / mm2
SAE INTERNATIONAL
Where We Are and How We Got There
Overview of Challenges in Segmented Supply Chains
The European Space Agency as an Actor in the Field of EEE
Components
European Space Agency Actions to Mitigate Segmentation
Challenges
Summary and Conclusions
Outline
17ATC-0151 12
SAE INTERNATIONAL
Roles of European Space Agency Regarding EEE
Components in Space
13
Develops
17ATC-0151
Several
funding
streams for
R&D
European
Components
Initiative (ECI)
Coordinates
Purchases
ESA projects
are customers
for EEE
components
Project needs
affect R&D funding
for component
development
ESCC is the
European system
for qualification and
procurement of
EEE parts.
ESA acts as an
executive for the
ESCC system and
qualifying authority
SAE INTERNATIONAL
ESA Development Timeline of a EEE Component for
Space
1417ATC-0151
SAE INTERNATIONAL
1. Evaluation stage: Consists of
manufacturer and component
evaluation. Purpose is to audit the
production and test facilities and to
characterize the
component/technology to explore the
reliability margins.
2. Qualification stage: After a successful
evaluation, the evaluated
manufacturing flow is executed and
verification tests are performed.
Component Qualification Under ESCC
1517ATC-0151
Since 2004, ECI has initiated 64 new product lines, 35 of which are currently
listed in the QPL.
ESCC uses a two-stage approach to qualify components:
SAE INTERNATIONAL
European Space Agency as a Customer for EEE Components
• ESA projects procure significant quantities of EEE components (contracted).
• Procurement of qualified components is preferred by projects to reduce up-
screening costs and reduce project risks
• Some projects have specific requests for using European components
• However, European Space Agency share of the total market is fairly small
16
Components in an example ESA satellite
17ATC-0151
Component Pcs
Resistors 1300
Capacitors 700
Microcircuits 650
Connectors 580
Diodes 330
Transistors 300
Others 500
USA
53 %
Europe
46 %
Other
1 %
SAE INTERNATIONAL
ESA Traditional Supply Chain
17
CUSTOMER
MANUFACTURER
Libraries,
layout &
back-end
Wafer fab
Packaging &
testing
Qualification
Sales &
Support
17ATC-0151
• ESA and ESCC
co-ordinate their
activities with a
monolithic
manufacturer that
interfaces with
customers.
• Roles and
responsibilities
are clear.
• Organizational
complexity is low.
R&D
QA
SAE INTERNATIONAL
• However, if problems
arise, the
investigations and
communication must
also be extended to
subcontractors
• Manufacturer is
responsible of the
interface to
subcontractors.
ESA Segmented Supply Chain
18
MANUFACTURER
CUSTOMER
Libraries,
layout &
back-end
Wafer fab
Packaging &
testing
Sales & Support
Qualification
17ATC-0151
• Formally, ESA and
ESCC interact with
the manufacturer
who is responsible of
the supply chain.
SAE INTERNATIONAL
R&D Eval Qual
Component Development Timeline - Revisited
19
5 - 8 years 1 - 2 years
• All the delays in R&D projects add pressure to the qualification schedule
• Qualification is required by customers, but the delayed schedules are not
appreciated by management
→ Pressure to the qualifying authority
17ATC-0151
SAE INTERNATIONAL
Where We Are and How We Got There
Overview of Challenges in Segmented Supply Chains
The European Space Agency as an Actor in the Field of EEE
Components
European Space Agency Actions to Mitigate Segmentation
Challenges
Summary and Conclusions
Outline
17ATC-0151 20
SAE INTERNATIONAL
European Space Agency Actions to Mitigate Segmentation
Challenges: Expanding Process Capability Approval
21
ESCC Basic Specification
No. 25600
• ESCC standards have the possibility
of approving process capabilities
within a certain application domain.
• Current approvals are related to
hybrid microcircuits
• Goal is to extend the capability
approval to complex IC’s, assembly
and test houses, etc.
• Flow is fairly simple and easy to
follow
• Mandatory to include SPC
requirements
17ATC-0151
SAE INTERNATIONAL
• Combine evaluation and qualification in one step, removing
overlapping tests – Working Group assigned, pilot project starting on
a thermistor
• For new technologies plan improvements for the qualification system,
current heavy specifications might be adapted.
• Time to market is the key
• Cost of qualification versus total cost of ownership
• Improve product assurance at lower TRL levels -> Increase chances
of success.
• By careful planning of activities and applying risk mitigation large
cost overruns can be mitigated. Failures detected only in
qualification are very costly!
European Space Agency Actions to Mitigate Segmentation
Challenges: Improving Evaluation and Qualification
2217ATC-0151
SAE INTERNATIONAL
Where We Are and How We Got There
Overview of Challenges in Segmented Supply Chains
The European Space Agency as an Actor in the Field of EEE
Components
European Space Agency Actions to Mitigate Segmentation
Challenges
Summary and Conclusions
Outline
17ATC-0151 23
SAE INTERNATIONAL
1. Segmented supply chains are not going away, the commercial incentive for outsourced
production is very substantial.
2. Space components are a small market and need to adapt to this change
3. Law of unintended consequences – novel production methods cause widespread,
unforeseen effects
4. Tightly tuned, distributed and lean manufacturing systems are susceptible for
disruptions and delays
5. Research and development organizations need to plan for contingencies and reserve
time for qualification
6. Component customers need to be aware of possible problems that new supply chains
may generate
7. Qualifying agencies need to adapt to the changing industrial landscape to stay relevant
Summary and Conclusions
2417ATC-0151
SAE INTERNATIONAL
• Continuous production versus batch production
• Advances in semiconductor manufacturing has dramatically changed the
manufacturing processes and lot sizes – with a modern fabrication facility it is
possible to generate the entire lifetime supply of a part type in one production run
• Generates challenges for relifing requirements (currently maximum 10 years shelf
life)
• Commercial components (COTS)
• Increased supply and drive to reduce costs create pressure to move towards
COTS components
• Further pressure on “space qualified” components
• Megaconstellations
• Reliability through system / satellite level redundancy
• “New space”
• Implications of the new commercial space utilization strategies?
Other Considerations in the Changing Industrial Landscape
2517ATC-0151
SAE INTERNATIONAL
Thank you!
2617ATC-0151
Paavo Heiskanen
Component Engineer
Department of Technology, Engineering and Quality (D/TEC)
European Space Agency
paavo.heiskanen@esa.int
For more information on ESCC:
The ESCC Secretariat
ESA/ESTEC (TEC-Q), P.O. Box 299
2200 AG Noordwijk, The Netherlands
https://escies.org/
https://spacecomponents.org/

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Challenges of segmented supply chains in EEE component qualification for space

  • 1. CHALLENGES OF SEGMENTED SUPPLY CHAINS IN COMPONENT QUALIFICATION FOR SPACE Paavo Heiskanen, European Space Agency SAE 2017 AeroTech Congress & Exhibition 2017-09-28
  • 2. SAE INTERNATIONAL The goal of this presentation is to explain 1. WHAT supply chain segmentation is 2. WHY this phenomenon took place 3. WHICH challenges segmented supply chains generate 4. HOW it affects your business from the point of view of 1. Funding Research and Development 2. Qualifying authority 3. Customer 5. HOW the European Space Agency is reacting to the changing environment Goal Statement 217ATC-0151
  • 3. SAE INTERNATIONAL Where We Are and How We Got There Overview of Challenges in Segmented Supply Chains The European Space Agency as an Actor in the Field of EEE* Components European Space Agency Actions to Mitigate Segmentation Challenges Summary and Conclusions Outline 17ATC-0151 3 *) Electrical, Electronic and Electromechanical
  • 4. SAE INTERNATIONAL • In the past, homogeneous Integrated Device Manufacturers (IDMs) were responsible for EEE part development and manufacturing. • Qualification was done in a bi-lateral fashion between a single manufacturer and a qualification authority • For the past 20 years, industrial economics have driven many manufacturers towards a fabless concept. • Only the core competence is retained within the manufacturer • All other functions are outsourced, thus minimizing invested capital and maximizing Return on Investment • Complexity of the qualification process is increased as the supply chain is segmented Where We Are and How We Got There 417ATC-0151
  • 5. SAE INTERNATIONAL Supply Chain Segmentation: Traditional Supply Chain With IDM CUSTOMER MANUFACTURER Libraries, layout & back-end Wafer fab Packaging & testing Qualification Sales & Support R&D QA 17ATC-0151
  • 6. SAE INTERNATIONAL Supply Chain Segmentation: Segmented Supply Chain With Multiple Actors 6 MANUFACTURER CUSTOMER Libraries, layout & back-end Wafer fab Packaging & testing Sales & Support R&D 17ATC-0151 QA
  • 7. SAE INTERNATIONAL Where We Are and How We Got There Overview of Challenges in Segmented Supply Chains The European Space Agency as an Actor in the Field of EEE Components European Space Agency Actions to Mitigate Segmentation Challenges Summary and Conclusions Outline 17ATC-0151 7
  • 8. SAE INTERNATIONAL 1. Interfaces – Segmentation generates multiple interfaces in the supply chain • Communication and management become more challenging 2. Audit responsibility lies with the manufacturer • How to ensure competence 3. Knowledge transfer / learning curve – specialist knowledge of EEE requirements for space use might not be available • Tin whiskers, hermeticity, radiation, outgassing, … 4. Geographical – facilities all over the world • Complex supply chains are sensitive to local environmental, industrial & governmental issues 5. Geopolitical – export restrictions and politics affect manufacturing • Regulatory authorities may not be allowed to all countries 6. Organizational destabilization • Personnel changes, retirement, hiring delays in competitive markets, lack of talented workers and trainers 7. Material and tool obsolescence • Space component life cycles are much longer than commercial counterparts Challenges of a Segmented Supply Chain 817ATC-0151
  • 9. SAE INTERNATIONAL Challenges: Fragmentation of Industrial Landscape 917ATC-0151 Note: Atmel 180nm and 150nm are ESCC QML qualified and US MIL qualified.
  • 10. SAE INTERNATIONAL Challenges: Restructuring of Industrial Landscape 1017ATC-0151
  • 11. SAE INTERNATIONAL Challenges: Increasing Complexity – the Funding Gap 11 SOURCES: ESA contracts, prices of 2016 • Non-recurrent costs are growing very fast • Complexity of qualification is growing with the complexity of the components being developed 17ATC-0151 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 Cost of Wafer manufacturing Wafer lot cost Die cost 500nm 350nm 180nm 180nm 65nm 28nm 22nm k€ € / mm2
  • 12. SAE INTERNATIONAL Where We Are and How We Got There Overview of Challenges in Segmented Supply Chains The European Space Agency as an Actor in the Field of EEE Components European Space Agency Actions to Mitigate Segmentation Challenges Summary and Conclusions Outline 17ATC-0151 12
  • 13. SAE INTERNATIONAL Roles of European Space Agency Regarding EEE Components in Space 13 Develops 17ATC-0151 Several funding streams for R&D European Components Initiative (ECI) Coordinates Purchases ESA projects are customers for EEE components Project needs affect R&D funding for component development ESCC is the European system for qualification and procurement of EEE parts. ESA acts as an executive for the ESCC system and qualifying authority
  • 14. SAE INTERNATIONAL ESA Development Timeline of a EEE Component for Space 1417ATC-0151
  • 15. SAE INTERNATIONAL 1. Evaluation stage: Consists of manufacturer and component evaluation. Purpose is to audit the production and test facilities and to characterize the component/technology to explore the reliability margins. 2. Qualification stage: After a successful evaluation, the evaluated manufacturing flow is executed and verification tests are performed. Component Qualification Under ESCC 1517ATC-0151 Since 2004, ECI has initiated 64 new product lines, 35 of which are currently listed in the QPL. ESCC uses a two-stage approach to qualify components:
  • 16. SAE INTERNATIONAL European Space Agency as a Customer for EEE Components • ESA projects procure significant quantities of EEE components (contracted). • Procurement of qualified components is preferred by projects to reduce up- screening costs and reduce project risks • Some projects have specific requests for using European components • However, European Space Agency share of the total market is fairly small 16 Components in an example ESA satellite 17ATC-0151 Component Pcs Resistors 1300 Capacitors 700 Microcircuits 650 Connectors 580 Diodes 330 Transistors 300 Others 500 USA 53 % Europe 46 % Other 1 %
  • 17. SAE INTERNATIONAL ESA Traditional Supply Chain 17 CUSTOMER MANUFACTURER Libraries, layout & back-end Wafer fab Packaging & testing Qualification Sales & Support 17ATC-0151 • ESA and ESCC co-ordinate their activities with a monolithic manufacturer that interfaces with customers. • Roles and responsibilities are clear. • Organizational complexity is low. R&D QA
  • 18. SAE INTERNATIONAL • However, if problems arise, the investigations and communication must also be extended to subcontractors • Manufacturer is responsible of the interface to subcontractors. ESA Segmented Supply Chain 18 MANUFACTURER CUSTOMER Libraries, layout & back-end Wafer fab Packaging & testing Sales & Support Qualification 17ATC-0151 • Formally, ESA and ESCC interact with the manufacturer who is responsible of the supply chain.
  • 19. SAE INTERNATIONAL R&D Eval Qual Component Development Timeline - Revisited 19 5 - 8 years 1 - 2 years • All the delays in R&D projects add pressure to the qualification schedule • Qualification is required by customers, but the delayed schedules are not appreciated by management → Pressure to the qualifying authority 17ATC-0151
  • 20. SAE INTERNATIONAL Where We Are and How We Got There Overview of Challenges in Segmented Supply Chains The European Space Agency as an Actor in the Field of EEE Components European Space Agency Actions to Mitigate Segmentation Challenges Summary and Conclusions Outline 17ATC-0151 20
  • 21. SAE INTERNATIONAL European Space Agency Actions to Mitigate Segmentation Challenges: Expanding Process Capability Approval 21 ESCC Basic Specification No. 25600 • ESCC standards have the possibility of approving process capabilities within a certain application domain. • Current approvals are related to hybrid microcircuits • Goal is to extend the capability approval to complex IC’s, assembly and test houses, etc. • Flow is fairly simple and easy to follow • Mandatory to include SPC requirements 17ATC-0151
  • 22. SAE INTERNATIONAL • Combine evaluation and qualification in one step, removing overlapping tests – Working Group assigned, pilot project starting on a thermistor • For new technologies plan improvements for the qualification system, current heavy specifications might be adapted. • Time to market is the key • Cost of qualification versus total cost of ownership • Improve product assurance at lower TRL levels -> Increase chances of success. • By careful planning of activities and applying risk mitigation large cost overruns can be mitigated. Failures detected only in qualification are very costly! European Space Agency Actions to Mitigate Segmentation Challenges: Improving Evaluation and Qualification 2217ATC-0151
  • 23. SAE INTERNATIONAL Where We Are and How We Got There Overview of Challenges in Segmented Supply Chains The European Space Agency as an Actor in the Field of EEE Components European Space Agency Actions to Mitigate Segmentation Challenges Summary and Conclusions Outline 17ATC-0151 23
  • 24. SAE INTERNATIONAL 1. Segmented supply chains are not going away, the commercial incentive for outsourced production is very substantial. 2. Space components are a small market and need to adapt to this change 3. Law of unintended consequences – novel production methods cause widespread, unforeseen effects 4. Tightly tuned, distributed and lean manufacturing systems are susceptible for disruptions and delays 5. Research and development organizations need to plan for contingencies and reserve time for qualification 6. Component customers need to be aware of possible problems that new supply chains may generate 7. Qualifying agencies need to adapt to the changing industrial landscape to stay relevant Summary and Conclusions 2417ATC-0151
  • 25. SAE INTERNATIONAL • Continuous production versus batch production • Advances in semiconductor manufacturing has dramatically changed the manufacturing processes and lot sizes – with a modern fabrication facility it is possible to generate the entire lifetime supply of a part type in one production run • Generates challenges for relifing requirements (currently maximum 10 years shelf life) • Commercial components (COTS) • Increased supply and drive to reduce costs create pressure to move towards COTS components • Further pressure on “space qualified” components • Megaconstellations • Reliability through system / satellite level redundancy • “New space” • Implications of the new commercial space utilization strategies? Other Considerations in the Changing Industrial Landscape 2517ATC-0151
  • 26. SAE INTERNATIONAL Thank you! 2617ATC-0151 Paavo Heiskanen Component Engineer Department of Technology, Engineering and Quality (D/TEC) European Space Agency paavo.heiskanen@esa.int For more information on ESCC: The ESCC Secretariat ESA/ESTEC (TEC-Q), P.O. Box 299 2200 AG Noordwijk, The Netherlands https://escies.org/ https://spacecomponents.org/