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March 2003




                              Managing Value in a Downturn
                              Branding in a Recession




                Interbrand
                 85 Strand
       London, WC2R 0DW
           United Kingdom

Telephone: +44 20 7554 1000
        www.interbrand.com
Branding in a Recession




Tom Blackett,                 Current economic conditions are trying, and to          Bucking the Trend
Group Deputy Chairman
tom.blackett@interbrand.com   more recent generations of company managers             Not all companies fare badly due to these impacts
                              may seem unique. However, downturns have been           when times get tough. In fact, history reveals many
Jeffrey Swystun,
Global Director               experienced before and there are tremendous             positive examples of companies which have
jeff.swystun@interbrand.com
                              lessons to be learned from previous recessions.         profited during economic downturns. Revlon and
Nick Liddell,                 This paper concentrates on the need to pinpoint         Phillip Morris both gained market share during
Consultant, Brand Valuation
nick.liddell@interbrand.com   brands as potentially the most resilient assets a       the recession in the 1970s by maintaining intensive
                              company can own. Such assets have in the past           marketing spend while competitors pulled back.
Interbrand
                              sustained companies in adversity; and all the           Taco Bell and Pizza Hut stole market share from
                              evidence suggests that, if they are well-managed,       McDonaldā€™s in the 1990ā€“1991 recession by
                              they can continue to do so, now and in the future.      focusing on the brand attributes that differentiated
                                                                                      them from the market leader.
If you do not know            Brands are valuable in good times and in bad.
the value of your brand,      However, if you do not know the value of your           In a recession everyone gets hurt but those
you are missing the           brand, the drivers of that value, and the               organisations with strong brands donā€™t fall as far
opportunity to pilot          management skills required to guide the drivers         or as fast as their competitors.
your organisation             ā€“ you are missing the opportunity to pilot your
through challenging           organisation through challenging economic times.        During the early 1990s Nike tripled their marketing
economic times.                                                                       spend, resulting in profits nine times higher out of
                              The ā€˜Triple Whammyā€™                                     recession than going in. They focused on
                              One could list scores of impacts that result during     promoting awareness and relevance and provided
                              a recession; for purposes here we highlight three       a set of aspirations for all those seeking athletic
                              very clear issues influencing business performance:     freedom and performance. This had the effect of
                                                                                      destroying Reebokā€™s competitive threat and
                              ā€¢ Investors become obsessively risk-averse. They        building the platform for Nikeā€™s global dominance.
                                begin to behave as a herd and are quick to
                                criticise companiesā€™ performance, resulting in        According to a 1998 PIMS study, companies that
                                lower valuations of goodwill and plummeting           increased marketing spend during the last
                                share prices.                                         recession achieved an average return on capital
                              ā€¢ The labour market is quickly and easily depressed     employed of 4.3%, compared to 0.6% for those
                                causing employees to regard the organisations         that maintained marketing spend and -0.8% for
                                they work for with a more critical eye.               those that cut.
                              ā€¢ Falling consumer confidence leads to contracting
                                demand ā€“ heralding either lower prices or sales,
                                but in either case, it would seem, falling profits.
Branding in a Recession




                            Efficiency Rather Than Expenditure                                A Source of Strategic Value
                            The primary lesson is not necessarily one of                      Brand development reaches far beyond traditional
                            maintaining or increasing marketing investment,                   forms of consumer advertising. However, most still
                            but of achieving superior results with more                       confuse the discipline of branding with advertising
                            effective brand management. Brands are valuable                   communications. This interpretation ignores the
                            because they represent a relationship of trust.                   reality that:
                            Traditionally this has been defined in the context
                            of the customer, where brands stimulate demand                    ā€¢ Brands are strategic assets rather than purely
                            and help secure future earnings through                             symbolic tools.
                            increased loyalty.                                                ā€¢ Effective branding is a matter of profit, not just
                                                                                                market share.
In 2001, brand value        Nowadays, the same argument is just as relevant                   ā€¢ Competitive advantage branding is a matter of
accounted for 33% of        for employees and investors, and there is evidence                  sustained investment rather than cost.
the market capitalisation   that effective brand management results in
of the companies in         financial benefits to the owner far beyond the                    Through their ability to influence consumers,
Interbrandā€™s 100 Top        customer relationship. This is equally ā€“ if not more              investors and employees, brands are powerful
Brands ranking; in the      ā€“ relevant during an economic downturn. Effective                 strategic tools ā€“ and this is particularly so in a
midst of recession, this    brand performance is therefore not just a function                downturn. In 2001, brand value accounted for
figure has grown to 38%.    of marketing spend, but involves managing the                     33% of the market capitalisation of the companies
                            brand to create value for all stakeholders, both                  in Interbrandā€™s 100 Top Brands ranking; in the
                            external and internal.                                            midst of recession, this figure has grown to 38%.

                            Figure 1 ā€“ Brand Impacts All Constituents                         Delivering Better Returns
                                                                                              In 2000, Watson Wyatt conducted a study showing
                                                                                              that organisations where employees had strong
                                                                                              confidence and trust in leadership, delivered
                                Investors                             Employees
                                                                                              shareholder returns 40% higher than companies
                                                     Brand                                    where trust indicators were low. Not only is
                               Increase goodwill                      Improve motivation      this trust valuable in itself, but it also reinforces
                               Higher returns                         Increase productivity
                               Lower risk                             Reduce turnover
                                                                                              the brand-strength to external stakeholders
                                                                      Enhance ability to      through employees who trust their company and
                                                                      attract talent
                                                                                              whose personal values are aligned with those
                                                   Consumers   Stimulate demand               of the organisation.
                                                               Secure earnings
                                                               Increase share
Branding in a Recession




                           Therefore, not only is the brand asset                                                               Resilience and Continuity
                           comparatively more important during a recession                                                      Recessions force companies to focus on how to
                           but the return on brand investment is also higher.                                                   create value through concentrating investment
                           Strong brands also benefit investors; as the figure                                                  activity on those assets with the highest potential
                           below shows, companies with strong brands                                                            return. And if these assets are brands, then
                           have historically outperformed the market, both                                                      recessions can be a necessary evil ā€“ it is no
                           in and out of recession.                                                                             coincidence that a quarter of the worldā€™s 50 most
                                                                                                                                valuable brands predate 1900, sure confirmation
                           Figure 2 ā€“ Market Performance of Brands                                                              of the resilience they have acquired.
                           1200
                                               Global Brand Portfolio                                                           Figure 4 ā€“ Brand Resiliency
The key to maximising      1000                MSCI World Index
                                               S&P 500                                                                                     10%
the return from this        800                                                                                                                           25%
                                                                                                                                                                   Launch dates of the
                                                                                                                                                                   Top 50 brands:
vital asset lies in                                                                                                                                                  Before 1900
understanding how           600                                                                                                                                      Between 1900 and 1949

valuable it is, how this    400                                                                                                   32%
                                                                                                                                                                     Between 1950 and 1979
                                                                                                                                                                     Between 1980 and 1998
value is created and
consequently how its        200

value can be managed          0
                                                                                                                                                        33%

for improvement.
                                  2


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                                                                                                                   1


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                            Ap


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                                                                                                                                But herein lies the problem: despite the growing
                           Moreover, academic research from Harvard                                                             appreciation of branding as a source of competitive
                           University and the University of South Carolina into                                                 strength, very few companies know exactly how
                           the companies in Interbrandā€™s 100 Top Brands                                                         much of their company value resides in this asset.
                           ranking has shown that brands offer higher returns                                                   The key to maximising the return from this vital
                           to investors for less risk.                                                                          asset lies in understanding how valuable it is,
                                                                                                                                how this value is created and consequently how
                           Figure 3 ā€“ Risk and Reward                                                                           its value can be managed for improvement.

                                                                                                                                How to Leverage Brand Value
                            2.5
                                                                                            Market                              1. Audit Your Brand Investment Portfolio. Audit
                            2.0                                                             Interbrand weighted                 the brand assets that you have as part of your
                                                                                            portfolio by brand value
                                                                                                                                corporate or line of business brands to determine
                            1.5
                                                                                                                                what is really valuable and what is not; what
                            1.0                                                                                                 could be phased out, what could be sold, what
                                                                                                                                should be kept. Take advantage of this time to
                            0.5
                                                                                                                                prune your brand assets to find the greatest
                              0                                                                                                 opportunities for managed growth.
                                           Average monthly return %                Ɵ (Risk of portfolio,
                                                                                   1=Market)
Branding in a Recession




2. Focus on Contingency Planning. Develop            7. Donā€™t Compromise on Your Brand Promise.
scenarios just as you would with physical assets ā€“   There might be temptation to cut back on product
which would be the first to go? Which the second?    quality or service quality in order to squeeze
Which brands are critical to your core business      a few extra margin points. Donā€™t do it! If you lose
and you would keep at all costs?                     confidence in your brandā€™s promise, your
                                                     customers will be the first to know.
3. Enhance Customer Insight. In a downturn, many
companies see research as expendable. However,       8. Donā€™t Discount Accrued Brand Value. Resist
understanding their customers at this moment is      the temptation to use price discounting to maintain
even more critical. You should protect your budget   volume targets. Take the risk of losing a few
and preserve the longer-term projects concerning     customers in the short-term and focus on revenue
innovation and trends. Your business must know       rather than volume. It will cost much more to
where your customers are going over a time           reverse the negative impression of ā€œthe deep
horizon that will allow you to come through the      discountā€ after the event than what accrues to
downturn in a better competitive position.           your business in the short term.

4. Build Internal Brand Supports. Examine ways in    9. Keep Talking. Donā€™t stop communicating with
which the stronger brands in the portfolio (or the   your customers. In a downturn, people donā€™t stop
stronger businesses) could support the marketing     buying; they just buy more cleverly. Take advantage
efforts of the weaker brands or weaker businesses.   of the general decrease in marketing spending
Now is a good time to determine if every subtle      to grab a larger share of voice and define yourself
brand distinction actually matters to customers.     in a less cluttered marketplace. In good times, the
                                                     best tactic may be advertising, but now is the time
5. Evaluate and Eviscerate. Take a sharp knife       to evaluate less traditional ways of communicating
to every unnecessary product brand, sub-brand or     with your customers.
program brand. Business units have a habit of
creating new brands for reasons other than for       10. Define Minimum Standards of Upkeep. It is
the benefit of customers or the bottom line. Each    important to understand what brand investment
extension costs money to support and distracts       must be sustained in order to protect your asset.
attention from core issues.                          The amount required to retain your brandā€™s value
                                                     is money worth spending.
6. Build on Existing Equities. Having identified
which brands enjoy the strongest customer loyalty,   Moving Forward
companies should explore ways of further             A recession, though economically painful during its
leveraging these brands. Product line extensions     term, presents a more acute opportunity to uncover
and licencing can be especially powerful as          sources of value that once identified and managed,
efficient ways of unlocking brand potential.         will benefit the company exponentially when the
                                                     economy recovers.
Founded in 1974, Interbrand serves the world with 34 offices in 22 countries. Working in close
                              partnership with our clients we combine the rigorous strategy and analysis of brand consulting with
                              world-class design and creativity.

                              We offer a range of services including brand valuation, research, strategy, naming and verbal identity,
                              corporate identity, package design, retail design, internal brand communications, corporate reporting,
                              and digital branding tools.

                              We enable our clients to achieve greater success by helping them to create and manage brand value.




                Interbrand
                 85 Strand
       London, WC2R 0DW
           United Kingdom

Telephone: +44 20 7554 1000
        www.interbrand.com                                                                                                 Ā© Interbrand 2003

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Branding in a_recession

  • 1. March 2003 Managing Value in a Downturn Branding in a Recession Interbrand 85 Strand London, WC2R 0DW United Kingdom Telephone: +44 20 7554 1000 www.interbrand.com
  • 2. Branding in a Recession Tom Blackett, Current economic conditions are trying, and to Bucking the Trend Group Deputy Chairman tom.blackett@interbrand.com more recent generations of company managers Not all companies fare badly due to these impacts may seem unique. However, downturns have been when times get tough. In fact, history reveals many Jeffrey Swystun, Global Director experienced before and there are tremendous positive examples of companies which have jeff.swystun@interbrand.com lessons to be learned from previous recessions. profited during economic downturns. Revlon and Nick Liddell, This paper concentrates on the need to pinpoint Phillip Morris both gained market share during Consultant, Brand Valuation nick.liddell@interbrand.com brands as potentially the most resilient assets a the recession in the 1970s by maintaining intensive company can own. Such assets have in the past marketing spend while competitors pulled back. Interbrand sustained companies in adversity; and all the Taco Bell and Pizza Hut stole market share from evidence suggests that, if they are well-managed, McDonaldā€™s in the 1990ā€“1991 recession by they can continue to do so, now and in the future. focusing on the brand attributes that differentiated them from the market leader. If you do not know Brands are valuable in good times and in bad. the value of your brand, However, if you do not know the value of your In a recession everyone gets hurt but those you are missing the brand, the drivers of that value, and the organisations with strong brands donā€™t fall as far opportunity to pilot management skills required to guide the drivers or as fast as their competitors. your organisation ā€“ you are missing the opportunity to pilot your through challenging organisation through challenging economic times. During the early 1990s Nike tripled their marketing economic times. spend, resulting in profits nine times higher out of The ā€˜Triple Whammyā€™ recession than going in. They focused on One could list scores of impacts that result during promoting awareness and relevance and provided a recession; for purposes here we highlight three a set of aspirations for all those seeking athletic very clear issues influencing business performance: freedom and performance. This had the effect of destroying Reebokā€™s competitive threat and ā€¢ Investors become obsessively risk-averse. They building the platform for Nikeā€™s global dominance. begin to behave as a herd and are quick to criticise companiesā€™ performance, resulting in According to a 1998 PIMS study, companies that lower valuations of goodwill and plummeting increased marketing spend during the last share prices. recession achieved an average return on capital ā€¢ The labour market is quickly and easily depressed employed of 4.3%, compared to 0.6% for those causing employees to regard the organisations that maintained marketing spend and -0.8% for they work for with a more critical eye. those that cut. ā€¢ Falling consumer confidence leads to contracting demand ā€“ heralding either lower prices or sales, but in either case, it would seem, falling profits.
  • 3. Branding in a Recession Efficiency Rather Than Expenditure A Source of Strategic Value The primary lesson is not necessarily one of Brand development reaches far beyond traditional maintaining or increasing marketing investment, forms of consumer advertising. However, most still but of achieving superior results with more confuse the discipline of branding with advertising effective brand management. Brands are valuable communications. This interpretation ignores the because they represent a relationship of trust. reality that: Traditionally this has been defined in the context of the customer, where brands stimulate demand ā€¢ Brands are strategic assets rather than purely and help secure future earnings through symbolic tools. increased loyalty. ā€¢ Effective branding is a matter of profit, not just market share. In 2001, brand value Nowadays, the same argument is just as relevant ā€¢ Competitive advantage branding is a matter of accounted for 33% of for employees and investors, and there is evidence sustained investment rather than cost. the market capitalisation that effective brand management results in of the companies in financial benefits to the owner far beyond the Through their ability to influence consumers, Interbrandā€™s 100 Top customer relationship. This is equally ā€“ if not more investors and employees, brands are powerful Brands ranking; in the ā€“ relevant during an economic downturn. Effective strategic tools ā€“ and this is particularly so in a midst of recession, this brand performance is therefore not just a function downturn. In 2001, brand value accounted for figure has grown to 38%. of marketing spend, but involves managing the 33% of the market capitalisation of the companies brand to create value for all stakeholders, both in Interbrandā€™s 100 Top Brands ranking; in the external and internal. midst of recession, this figure has grown to 38%. Figure 1 ā€“ Brand Impacts All Constituents Delivering Better Returns In 2000, Watson Wyatt conducted a study showing that organisations where employees had strong confidence and trust in leadership, delivered Investors Employees shareholder returns 40% higher than companies Brand where trust indicators were low. Not only is Increase goodwill Improve motivation this trust valuable in itself, but it also reinforces Higher returns Increase productivity Lower risk Reduce turnover the brand-strength to external stakeholders Enhance ability to through employees who trust their company and attract talent whose personal values are aligned with those Consumers Stimulate demand of the organisation. Secure earnings Increase share
  • 4. Branding in a Recession Therefore, not only is the brand asset Resilience and Continuity comparatively more important during a recession Recessions force companies to focus on how to but the return on brand investment is also higher. create value through concentrating investment Strong brands also benefit investors; as the figure activity on those assets with the highest potential below shows, companies with strong brands return. And if these assets are brands, then have historically outperformed the market, both recessions can be a necessary evil ā€“ it is no in and out of recession. coincidence that a quarter of the worldā€™s 50 most valuable brands predate 1900, sure confirmation Figure 2 ā€“ Market Performance of Brands of the resilience they have acquired. 1200 Global Brand Portfolio Figure 4 ā€“ Brand Resiliency The key to maximising 1000 MSCI World Index S&P 500 10% the return from this 800 25% Launch dates of the Top 50 brands: vital asset lies in Before 1900 understanding how 600 Between 1900 and 1949 valuable it is, how this 400 32% Between 1950 and 1979 Between 1980 and 1998 value is created and consequently how its 200 value can be managed 0 33% for improvement. 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 r-9 r-9 r-9 r-9 r-9 r-9 r-9 r-9 r-0 r-0 r-0 Ap Ap Ap Ap Ap Ap Ap Ap Ap Ap Ap But herein lies the problem: despite the growing Moreover, academic research from Harvard appreciation of branding as a source of competitive University and the University of South Carolina into strength, very few companies know exactly how the companies in Interbrandā€™s 100 Top Brands much of their company value resides in this asset. ranking has shown that brands offer higher returns The key to maximising the return from this vital to investors for less risk. asset lies in understanding how valuable it is, how this value is created and consequently how Figure 3 ā€“ Risk and Reward its value can be managed for improvement. How to Leverage Brand Value 2.5 Market 1. Audit Your Brand Investment Portfolio. Audit 2.0 Interbrand weighted the brand assets that you have as part of your portfolio by brand value corporate or line of business brands to determine 1.5 what is really valuable and what is not; what 1.0 could be phased out, what could be sold, what should be kept. Take advantage of this time to 0.5 prune your brand assets to find the greatest 0 opportunities for managed growth. Average monthly return % Ɵ (Risk of portfolio, 1=Market)
  • 5. Branding in a Recession 2. Focus on Contingency Planning. Develop 7. Donā€™t Compromise on Your Brand Promise. scenarios just as you would with physical assets ā€“ There might be temptation to cut back on product which would be the first to go? Which the second? quality or service quality in order to squeeze Which brands are critical to your core business a few extra margin points. Donā€™t do it! If you lose and you would keep at all costs? confidence in your brandā€™s promise, your customers will be the first to know. 3. Enhance Customer Insight. In a downturn, many companies see research as expendable. However, 8. Donā€™t Discount Accrued Brand Value. Resist understanding their customers at this moment is the temptation to use price discounting to maintain even more critical. You should protect your budget volume targets. Take the risk of losing a few and preserve the longer-term projects concerning customers in the short-term and focus on revenue innovation and trends. Your business must know rather than volume. It will cost much more to where your customers are going over a time reverse the negative impression of ā€œthe deep horizon that will allow you to come through the discountā€ after the event than what accrues to downturn in a better competitive position. your business in the short term. 4. Build Internal Brand Supports. Examine ways in 9. Keep Talking. Donā€™t stop communicating with which the stronger brands in the portfolio (or the your customers. In a downturn, people donā€™t stop stronger businesses) could support the marketing buying; they just buy more cleverly. Take advantage efforts of the weaker brands or weaker businesses. of the general decrease in marketing spending Now is a good time to determine if every subtle to grab a larger share of voice and define yourself brand distinction actually matters to customers. in a less cluttered marketplace. In good times, the best tactic may be advertising, but now is the time 5. Evaluate and Eviscerate. Take a sharp knife to evaluate less traditional ways of communicating to every unnecessary product brand, sub-brand or with your customers. program brand. Business units have a habit of creating new brands for reasons other than for 10. Define Minimum Standards of Upkeep. It is the benefit of customers or the bottom line. Each important to understand what brand investment extension costs money to support and distracts must be sustained in order to protect your asset. attention from core issues. The amount required to retain your brandā€™s value is money worth spending. 6. Build on Existing Equities. Having identified which brands enjoy the strongest customer loyalty, Moving Forward companies should explore ways of further A recession, though economically painful during its leveraging these brands. Product line extensions term, presents a more acute opportunity to uncover and licencing can be especially powerful as sources of value that once identified and managed, efficient ways of unlocking brand potential. will benefit the company exponentially when the economy recovers.
  • 6. Founded in 1974, Interbrand serves the world with 34 offices in 22 countries. Working in close partnership with our clients we combine the rigorous strategy and analysis of brand consulting with world-class design and creativity. We offer a range of services including brand valuation, research, strategy, naming and verbal identity, corporate identity, package design, retail design, internal brand communications, corporate reporting, and digital branding tools. We enable our clients to achieve greater success by helping them to create and manage brand value. Interbrand 85 Strand London, WC2R 0DW United Kingdom Telephone: +44 20 7554 1000 www.interbrand.com Ā© Interbrand 2003