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Beta Management Company
About Beta Mgmt. Co.
• 3 year old company
• AUM - $25 Mn.
• Investors – HNIs (Investable assets of $1Mn. or
more)
• “Market Strategist”
• Stated goal – enhance returns, but reduce risk
via market timing, i.e. put funds in index when
markets are rising, exit from index when
markets fall
Investment Philosophy
• Investment in no-load, no-expense index
funds - Vanguard’s Index 500 Trust: extremely
low expense ratio, returns matched S&P 500
• Market exposure – 50-99%
• Balance in Money market instruments
Market Timing and EMH
• EMH: “No chances of earning abnormal returns
repeatedly”
• Weak - Past prices reflected - doesn’t help BMC -
Unlikely that Ms. Wolfe has access to private info
• Semi strong - Past and current public information
• Strong - Private information reflected
• BMC could have been using technical analysis to time
the market
Issue
• Co. losing investors as it doesn’t pick stocks
• Focus on small stocks, already had exposure to
large stocks through index investment
• Increase portfolio equity exposure to 80% or
20 Mn.
• 2 stocks: California R.I.E.T & Brown Group Inc
• Stocks have high variability
• Which one to select?
Graphical representation of Returns
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
Vanguard Index 500 Trust
California R.E.I.T.
Brown Group
Points under Consideration
• Std. Dev. of individual stock returns as risk
measure
– California REIT has a higher risk than Brown
• Variability of portfolio returns
– Portfolio with 99% index and 1 % stock
– Portfolio with Brown has higher risk
– Brown has a higher beta than California REIT
CALCULATIONS
Risk and Expected Return
• Capital Asset Pricing Model
Simulated Portfolio Std. Dev.
0.0000
1.0000
2.0000
3.0000
4.0000
5.0000
6.0000
7.0000
0
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.1
0.12
0.14
0.16
0.18
0.2
0.22
0.24
0.26
0.28
0.3
0.32
0.34
0.36
0.38
0.4
0.42
0.44
0.46
0.48
0.5
California REIT
Brown Group
Recommendation
• Invest in California REIT
– Amount invested should be higher (18% for min.
SD Portfolio)
Thank You!

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Beta management company

  • 2. About Beta Mgmt. Co. • 3 year old company • AUM - $25 Mn. • Investors – HNIs (Investable assets of $1Mn. or more) • “Market Strategist” • Stated goal – enhance returns, but reduce risk via market timing, i.e. put funds in index when markets are rising, exit from index when markets fall
  • 3. Investment Philosophy • Investment in no-load, no-expense index funds - Vanguard’s Index 500 Trust: extremely low expense ratio, returns matched S&P 500 • Market exposure – 50-99% • Balance in Money market instruments
  • 4. Market Timing and EMH • EMH: “No chances of earning abnormal returns repeatedly” • Weak - Past prices reflected - doesn’t help BMC - Unlikely that Ms. Wolfe has access to private info • Semi strong - Past and current public information • Strong - Private information reflected • BMC could have been using technical analysis to time the market
  • 5. Issue • Co. losing investors as it doesn’t pick stocks • Focus on small stocks, already had exposure to large stocks through index investment • Increase portfolio equity exposure to 80% or 20 Mn. • 2 stocks: California R.I.E.T & Brown Group Inc • Stocks have high variability • Which one to select?
  • 6. Graphical representation of Returns -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 Vanguard Index 500 Trust California R.E.I.T. Brown Group
  • 7. Points under Consideration • Std. Dev. of individual stock returns as risk measure – California REIT has a higher risk than Brown • Variability of portfolio returns – Portfolio with 99% index and 1 % stock – Portfolio with Brown has higher risk – Brown has a higher beta than California REIT CALCULATIONS
  • 8. Risk and Expected Return • Capital Asset Pricing Model
  • 9. Simulated Portfolio Std. Dev. 0.0000 1.0000 2.0000 3.0000 4.0000 5.0000 6.0000 7.0000 0 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.1 0.12 0.14 0.16 0.18 0.2 0.22 0.24 0.26 0.28 0.3 0.32 0.34 0.36 0.38 0.4 0.42 0.44 0.46 0.48 0.5 California REIT Brown Group
  • 10. Recommendation • Invest in California REIT – Amount invested should be higher (18% for min. SD Portfolio)

Editor's Notes

  1. Definition of 'Market Strategist'A financial professional whose job is to make predictions about what will happen in the financial markets with the goal of guiding people toward profitable investment decisions. Market strategists use financial and economic data to attempt to anticipate everything from future stock performance to the federal funds rate to the return on 10-year Treasuries to which economic sectors will have the best and worst performance for the year.