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The document compares the financial performance of three direct selling companies - HAIO, Amway, and Zhulian. It analyzes metrics like return on invested capital, cash return on invested capital, gross margin, execution ability, debt-to-EBITDA ratio, and cash conversion cycle from 2010-2015. The analysis shows that Amway has consistently been the best performer, while HAIO has outperformed Zhulian in recent years, though Zhulian's cash conversion cycle is quite high due to elevated inventory levels.
BURSA is Malaysia's sole stock exchange that provides listing, trading, clearing and settlement services. It enjoys wide economic moats as the monopoly exchange. In FY2015, BURSA reported record net income of RM198.6 million despite a challenging market environment. However, it faces risks from a potential lack of new listings and weak retail participation on the exchange. Going forward, BURSA aims to drive growth through new product offerings and expanding its regional presence.
Fundamental Analysis of Dayang Enterprise Holdings Berhad by L. C. Chong
https://lcchong.wordpress.com/
https://www.facebook.com/groups/285121298359919/
This document provides a fundamental analysis of Carlsberg Brewery Malaysia Berhad (CARLSBG) for the 2014 financial year. It summarizes the company's business profile as a brewer and distributor of beer, stout and other beverages in Malaysia and for export. It analyzes CARLSBG's economic moats, profitability, leverage, liquidity, growth drivers, and risks. Key points include CARLSBG enjoying high returns on invested capital and cash flows, facing challenges from regulation, competition and contraband, but having potential for growth in premium brands and geographical expansion.
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Investing in today's low interest rate climatenetwealthInvest
In today's low interest rate and elevated global-debt environment, it can be difficult to know where to invest. Discover Perpetual's methodology on how to identify high-quality businesses with consistent cash flow and earnings growth.
- E-commerce gross profit increased 15% to SEK 162m and Financial Services reached operating profitability before depreciations. Group operating income before depreciation improved SEK 26m.
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This document provides an overview and summary of ITG, an independent broker and financial technology firm. It discusses ITG's growth opportunities through expanding its product offerings in Europe, Canada, and Asia Pacific. It highlights ITG's robust capital position, competitive core business, and potential for strong operating leverage. The document reviews ITG's strategic operating plan, financial targets, and capital allocation targets through 2017. It provides details on ITG's global product groups and presence across execution services, workflow technology, and analytics.
Fundamental Analysis of Hai-O Enterprise Berhad (HAIO) as of FY15 by L. C. Chong
At the time of writing, I owned shares of HAIO.
http://lcchong.wordpress.com
https://www.facebook.com/groups/285121298359919/
Fundamental Analysis of Dayang Enterprise Holdings Berhad by L. C. Chong
https://lcchong.wordpress.com/
https://www.facebook.com/groups/285121298359919/
This document provides a fundamental analysis of Carlsberg Brewery Malaysia Berhad (CARLSBG) for the 2014 financial year. It summarizes the company's business profile as a brewer and distributor of beer, stout and other beverages in Malaysia and for export. It analyzes CARLSBG's economic moats, profitability, leverage, liquidity, growth drivers, and risks. Key points include CARLSBG enjoying high returns on invested capital and cash flows, facing challenges from regulation, competition and contraband, but having potential for growth in premium brands and geographical expansion.
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Investing in today's low interest rate climatenetwealthInvest
In today's low interest rate and elevated global-debt environment, it can be difficult to know where to invest. Discover Perpetual's methodology on how to identify high-quality businesses with consistent cash flow and earnings growth.
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Victrex reported its half-yearly results for the period ending March 31, 2013. Revenue and earnings per share were slightly ahead of the previous year. Gross margins were maintained despite challenging market conditions. The company continued investing in key growth programs and PEEK capacity expansion. The interim dividend was increased by 15%. Both VPS and Invibio saw resilience in difficult markets, with VPS revenue up 1% and Invibio revenue down 5% from the previous year. The outlook remains cautiously optimistic with a continued focus on driving volume growth and expanding product offerings.
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This document provides an overview and summary of ITG, an independent broker and financial technology firm. It discusses ITG's growth opportunities through expanding its product offerings in Europe, Canada, and Asia Pacific. It highlights ITG's robust capital position, competitive core business, and potential for strong operating leverage. The document reviews ITG's strategic operating plan, financial targets, and capital allocation targets through 2017. It provides details on ITG's global product groups and presence across execution services, workflow technology, and analytics.
Fundamental Analysis of Hai-O Enterprise Berhad (HAIO) as of FY15 by L. C. Chong
At the time of writing, I owned shares of HAIO.
http://lcchong.wordpress.com
https://www.facebook.com/groups/285121298359919/
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Tata Motors is launching new electric vehicles and expanding its EV portfolio to capitalize on the growing Indian EV market and changing customer preferences. The company aims to introduce more aspirational and premium EVs over the next few years to appeal to new customer segments. Tata Motors also plans to leverage its leadership in fleet sales and partnerships to further drive adoption of EVs in India. The expanded EV portfolio will be supported by investments in dedicated EV platforms and technologies to deliver improved range and features.
Digital Realty operates data centers globally. It provides three main types of data center solutions: turn-key flex data centers, powered base buildings, and colocation. Digital Realty targets large customers in industries aligned with social/mobile/analytics/cloud/content and networking, IT services, and financial services. It differentiates through its global platform, complementary product mix, and ability to connect data center campuses. Digital Realty aims to deliver superior returns through capital allocation, product offerings, operating efficiencies, and meeting growing demand from customers in the digital economy.
ITG is an independent brokerage and financial technology firm that helps improve institutional trading efficiency and execution quality. The document discusses ITG's growth opportunities through expanding product offerings in Europe, Canada, and Asia. It highlights ITG's robust capital position and competitive core business, as well as the potential for strong operating leverage. Key financial targets outlined include increasing revenue 25% by 2018 through mid-to-high single digit annual growth and achieving a 15% pre-tax margin by 2018.
This document provides a financial analysis of DAYANG for the 2014 financial year. It summarizes DAYANG's business activities in offshore topside maintenance services, marine charters, and equipment hire for the oil and gas industry. The analysis finds that DAYANG has strong profitability and scale, wide economic moats, and a healthy financial position. Key growth drivers include aging offshore infrastructure in Malaysia driving demand for maintenance contracts. Risks include downturns in the oil and gas sector and difficulties executing international expansion.
The document discusses Digital Realty's proposed acquisition of Telx Holdings, Inc. It summarizes that the acquisition is expected to close later this year pending satisfaction of closing conditions, but there is no assurance it will be completed on schedule or at all. It describes how the acquisition would strengthen Digital Realty's product mix and growth trajectory by enhancing its footprint in attractive locations and gaining exposure to high-growth colocation and interconnection businesses.
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The document discusses Akamai's product strategy and the challenges of a hyperconnected world with increasing internet traffic, cloud adoption, and mobile usage. It outlines Akamai's core products including web performance, media delivery, and web security and emerging areas like hybrid cloud. It also discusses the state of the media delivery, web performance, and security businesses and drivers for future growth. Key themes are using Akamai's global edge computing platform and intelligent routing to optimize performance and security as more applications and content move to the cloud and are accessed on mobile devices.
This document is a business proposal submitted by Yash Kothawale and Deep Mehta for their company DEYA HARDWARES, which plans to enter the market of 3G USB dongles. The proposal outlines the company's objectives of maximizing profit and sales, missions of providing high-speed connectivity and excellent customer service, strengths such as innovative technology, and plans for funding, expenses, products, ownership structure, implementation strategy and future expansion.
The strategic marketing planning has analysed about Megaline service of the Sri Lanka Telecom PLC for the financial year 2015. The Sri Lanka Telecom PLC will achieve the specific goal and objectives in the year 2015.
Spectrum Allocation, Infrastructure Sharing and Industry Consolidation. Hong ...Coleago Consulting
Chris Buist's presentation to the TMT M&A Forum in Hong Kong, January 2014:
Mobile data traffic is doubling every two years, driven by smartphones and LTE. EBITDA will be squeezed and ROI will fall unless operators act now to increase capacity and bandwidth to respond to demand. Network sharing and industry consolidation will change the face of the industry. Coleago helps operators respond to these challenges.
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TIM Brasil's 2015-2017 Industrial Plan outlines investments to enhance its mobile network infrastructure and expand coverage. It plans to invest over $14 billion to build out its 4G network through adding new macro sites, small cells, and WiFi access points. This focus on mobile broadband aims to close Brazil's digital gap and drive future revenue growth from data and content. The plan also seeks operational efficiencies through network sharing and improving the fixed business. Overall it forecasts continued top-line growth, increasing profitability, and expanding the proportion of revenues from innovative services.
Policy Control and Charging Workshop Issue 2 sampleAlan Quayle
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Policy Control and Real-Time Charging Workshop SampleAlan Quayle
This document provides an overview of an upcoming workshop on policy control and charging. The workshop will include:
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Digital Realty is a leading global provider of data center real estate solutions. It has a large and diversified portfolio of 140 properties worldwide located across key metros in North America, Europe, Asia, and Australia. Digital Realty utilizes a campus approach and complementary product offerings to meet the growing data center needs of its over 1,600 customers, which include large companies in industries like technology, financial services, and telecommunications. The company focuses on delivering superior returns to shareholders by capitalizing on its core competencies of real estate expertise, global reach, and product mix across turn-key and powered shell solutions.
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Finance it the cornerstone behind oracle it transformationPaul Hoekstra
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Manufacturing startups constitute the largest pipeline share of unicorns and IPO candidates in the SF Bay Area, and software startups dominate in Germany.
2. DISCLAIMER
I am NOT an investment advisor nor a financial advisor, and no information provided
here is to be interpreted as a suggestion to buy or sell securities.
Stock analysis in this presentation may not neutral because I have incorporated my
risk appetite and principles in the analysis.
2
5. SCOPE
• Figures and ratios are based on the figures reported in Annual Report or the latest
Q4 Quarterly Report (QR)
• Unless there is a need, this analysis will not include financial figures reported in Q1,
Q2 and Q3
• I will provide QR result highlights in my blog
• Valuation is not covered in this analysis
• I will provide valuation in my blog.
6. CHANGES
• 11 Nov 2015 – First write up of AXIATA in PowerPoint format
8. BUSINESS PROFILE
• Principally engaged in the provision of mobile services, leasing of passive
infrastructure, and others such as provision of interconnect services, leased services,
pay television transmission services and provision of other data services.
10. BUSINESS PROFILE (CONT.)
• The Group has also established a communications infrastructure solutions and
services company called “edotco”
• The Axiata Digital Services unit was set up also to focus on digital entertainment,
digital commerce, digital payment and digital advertising services.
12. TOP 5 SHAREHOLDERS
KHAZANAH NASIONAL
BERHAD
54%
PERMODALAN NASIONAL
BERHAD
21%
EMPLOYEES PROVIDENT
FUND OF MALAYSIA
19%
PUBLIC MUTUAL BERHAD
3%
KUMPULAN WANG
PERSARAAN
3%
Position Date: 24 Nov 2015
13. ECONOMIC MOATS
• Cost Advantage
• Higher ARPU if compare to DIGI, but lowest net profit margin if compare to MAXIS and
DIGI
• Switching Costs
• Nowadays, changing Telco is piece of cake. However, good coverage service will retain
subscribers longer.
14. ECONOMIC MOATS (CONT.)
• Network Effect
• Statistics shows that AXIATA subscribers are increasing over the years
• Number of CELCOM subscribers is higher than MAXIS and DIGI
• Intangible Assets
• Large network of dealers and shops
• Efficient Scale
• Not applicable or not found
15. ECONOMIC MOATS (CONT.)
2010-12-31 2011-12-31 2012-12-31 2013-12-31 2014-12-31
ROIC 11.0% 13.0% 12.6% 12.5% 9.9%
CROIC 14.1% 11.7% 11.4% 6.6% 8.7%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
ROIC AND CROIC
• The following chart shows ROIC and CROIC of DIGI in the past 5 years. If you compare this to DIGI,
AXIATA doesn’t enjoy economic moats as wide as DIGI.
17. PROFITABILITY (CONT.)
• AXIATA managed to grow its revenue in 4.8% CAGR (FY10: 15,620,674; FY14:
18,711,777)
• However, in contrast, AXIATA’s EBITDA didn’t grow in alignment to the growing
revenue
• This also shown in its declining margin, from 45.5% (FY11) to 40.2% (FY14)
• Based on Moody’s standard, AXIATA’s EBITDA margin is rated as A.
18. PROFITABILITY (CONT.)
• The drop in margin is mainly caused by:
• Higher operating expenses in expanding business to other countries
• Higher marketing costs
• Aggressive competition in Indonesia has impacted profitability
• Cost incurred in merge and acquisition activities
• Higher customer acquisition costs (via heavy handset’s subsidies).
20. LEVERAGE & CASH FLOW
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
1.30 x
1.40 x
1.50 x
1.60 x
1.70 x
1.80 x
1.90 x
2010-12-31 2011-12-31 2012-12-31 2013-12-31 2014-12-31
Leverage & Cash Flow
Debt / EBITDA RCF to Debt % FCFF to Debt %
21. LEVERAGE & CASH FLOW (CONT.)
• As of FY14, AXIATA’s leverage and cash flow are as below:
• Debt/EBITDA – 1.85x (A)
• RCF/Debt – 34.7% (Baa)
• FCFF/Debt – 16.5% (Aa)
• To avoid from being overly leveraged, AXIATA has been setting capex
guidance. FY15 capex guidance is MYR4.8b.
22. LEVERAGE & CASH FLOW (CONT.)
• In the past few years, AXIATA has been taking quite a high gearing for M&A
activities and business expansion. For example:
• 2 Sep 2013 – AXIATA has an option to subscribe to its share, which may result in a cash
outflow of about USD120m
• 24 Apr 2014 – PT XL Axiata Tbk (XL Axiata), a unit of Axiata Group Bhd, is seeking new
funds to refinance its debt of 1.7tr rupiah (RM500m)
• 28 Oct 2015 – Axiata’s Indonesian unit plans RM1.4 bil sukuk programme
23. COVERAGE
5.46 x 5.11 x
3.60 x
4.89 x 5.20 x
7.85 x
9.61 x
8.68 x 8.54 x
8.07 x
0.00 x
2.00 x
4.00 x
6.00 x
8.00 x
10.00 x
12.00 x
2010-12-31 2011-12-31 2012-12-31 2013-12-31 2014-12-31
Coverage
(EBITDA-CAPEX)/ Int. Exp. (FFO+Int. Exp.)/ Int. Exp.
By Moody’s standard, AXIATA’s coverage is rated as A, which is still at healthy level.
24. GROWTH DRIVERS
• 2 Oct 2015 - Axiata’s tower company edotco Group Sdn Bhd enters into a
conditional share purchase agreement with Digicel Group Ltd to acquire a
controlling stake in Digicel Myanmar Tower Co Ltd
• 1 Oct 2014 - PT XL Axiata is selling its 3,500 telecommunication towers there to PT
Solusi Tunas Pratama for Rp5.6 trillion (US$460 million / RM1.5 billion)
• More cost savings from collaboration with DiGi
• Peak utilisation rate of Celcom's network is comfortable at 70%, with ample transmission
capacity due to its collaboration with DiGi and leasing agreement with TM
• Higher smartphone penetration boosting data ARPU
• Strong growth in low penetration developing markets
25. GROWTH DRIVERS (CONT.)
• 9 Jan 2015 - Robi’s earnings growth potential
• 4 Dec 2014 - Axiata buys 80% in Singapore's Adknowledge Asia Pacific for US$9mil
• 3 Jul 2014 - XL to sell part of its telecommunications tower portfolio in 2H2014
• 1 Oct 2014 - PT XL Axiata is selling its 3,500 telecommunication towers there to PT
Solusi Tunas Pratama for Rp5.6 trillion (US$460 million / RM1.5 billion)
• The deal would enable XL Axiata to unlock the value of its telecommunication towers at
an attractive price
• The sale proceeds will be used to reduce XL Axiata's debt
• XL Axiata would lease back the telecommunication towers from Solusi for 10 years with
competitive terms, which would result in cost savings.
26. GROWTH DRIVERS (CONT.)
• In Indonesia, AXIATA have launched digital commerce through an integrated
commerce website called elevenia.co.id.
27. ISSUES/RISKS/CHALLENGES
• Currency risks in its overseas ventures
• A stronger MYR could result in weaker earnings due to translation risks
• Currency volatility in operating footprint, especially in Indonesia
• AXIATA is highly leveraged
• AXIATA has to restrict its capex to RM4.8b as guidance
• Foreign Political Risk and Litigation Risk – Exposure to Indian telecom market which
is currently under close scrutiny by the government
• Overpaying for M&A targets could result in impairment losses if the macro
environment becomes unfavourable.
28. ISSUES/RISKS/CHALLENGES (CONT.)
• Aggressive competition in Indonesia has impacted profitability
• SMS revenue continues to be under pressure in Malaysia & Indonesia due to intense
competition from internet players (OTT)
• Competitive pressures in the Indonesian market
• Dumb pipes
• Operators cannot offer their traditional services (such as downloads of wallpapers,
ringtones, games, applications, etc.) as Apple controls the total iPhone user experience.
29. SHAREHOLDER RETURN
Time Frame Date Bought at Original
Value
Dividend
Received
Unrealized
Gain/Loss
Current
Return
CAGR %
3-Y 30 Nov
2012
5.92 5,920 790 200 6,910 5.3%
5-Y 1 Dec 2010 4.61 4,610 1,160 1,510 7,280 9.6%
7-Y 1 Dec 2008 2.267 2,267 1,160 3,853 7,280 18%
Assumptions:
1. Commission paid is ignored in this simulation
2. The current price is 6.11 (as of the time of writing)
3. Unit purchased is 1,000.
31. GOING FORWARD
• Future prospects of strong earnings growth from the group’s main operating
segments i.e. Celcom and XL remains as the primary concern mainly due to
intensifying competition
• Despite the IT and system problems limiting the group’s ability to launch new and
more competitive products has largely been resolved, the group will still lag in
terms of competitiveness
• This is because its other peers have been rolling out very competitive products for the
past many quarters, intensifying the price war.
32. GOING FORWARD (CONT.)
• XL’s transformation plan could be impacted as it battles Telkomsel and Indosat
which are state-owned enterprises
• At present, both segments contributed more than 70% to the group’s revenue
• In addition, a sizeable exposure to forex would also apply downward pressure on
the group’s profitability
• I will continue to hold AXIATA, and accumulate AXIATA when the timing is right.
Editor's Notes
For Telco, there are two important ratios to assess coverage:
(EBITDA-CAPEX)/ Int. Exp. – This ratio considers the ability of a telco to cover interest expenses after it has made the necessary re-investments into it core operations. The concept represents the need to maintain/sustain operating cash flow, while servicing ongoing interest payments. It is important in the telecommunications industry as substantial investments in evolving and existing technology are required.
(FFO+Int. Exp.)/ Int. Exp. – This ratio provides a measure of a telco’s ability to fund interest expenses from operational cash flow prior to payment of dividends, working capital movements, and capital expenditure investment.