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May 2012




Market Overview and Commercial Update
Presented by
Antonio Rodriguez Barberán, SVP Commercial
The Market in which we compete


    HEAVY AIRCRAFT                                       1,780 a/c                                                   1,060 a/c
  ~2,450 a/c Av. Age 26y
                                                                                          975 a/c


                                          L&M AIRCRAFT
                                             ~3,200 a/c                                                                  234 a/c
                                                                                                    424 a/c
                                            Av. Age 24y
                                                                                                                                   819 a/c
                                                                                                                  247 a/c

                                                                     498 a/c


                                                                                                    285 a/c


    AERIAL TANKERS
   ~635 a/c Av. Age 44y
                                                                        Total fleet:  6,300 a/c in service
                                                                             Average Age: 27 years
                                                                     (AM products represent 10% of the world fleet)

NOTE: Light & Medium; up to 12t of Max.Pyld. Heavy; +12t of Max.Pyld. Tankers; +50t of Fuel Capacity (KC-46 excluded).
Airbus Military - Total Sales to 1Q2012
                              499 Europe
                              4 A330MRTT
  80 North America            14A310MRTT
     2 A310MRTT                170 A400M
       27 CN235                  46 C295
        51 C212                125 CN235
     2 Countries                140 C212
    23 Customers             16 Countries
                             33 Customers


                                            56 MENA
 140 Latin America                          9 A330MRTT
       29 C295                                 14 C295
      20 CN235                                25 CN235
                                                          247 Asia & Pacific
                      50 Africa (Sub.)                        5 A330MRTT
       91 C212                                  8 C212
                           2 C295                               4 A400M
    16 Countries                            9 Countries
                          6 CN235                                9 C295
    27 Customers          42 C212          9 Customers          74 CN235
                        11 Countries                            145 C212
                       14 Customers                          11 Countries
                                                            30 Customers

             1060 a/c sold to 136 customers in 65 countries
Annual sales for the last 30 years
Competition sales 2001-2011
Airbus Military sales 2001-2011
                         Market Share
Airbus Military global market presence




                                                                                  1060 Aircraft sold*
                                                                                  65 countries
                                                                                  136 operators
                                                                                  4,2 million FHs
                        Interoperability and supportability
               backed by global presence and 30 years of experience
(*) 14 C295 aircraft sold so far in 2012. One new country customer (Kazakhstan)
Past and new requirements

Global Demand                             Rapid response to Natural Disasters
                                     Support to Multilateral Peace Operations
                                                      Humanitarian needs
                                                         SAR missions
                                               Anti-piracy missions
                                         Immigrants Control
                                      Oil Spill Response
                        Drug traffic Control
        International conflicts




                 1980              1990             2000         2010           2020
                                    The world is changing
Past and new requirements (Cont.)
                    PAST SCENARIO                                      NEW SCENARIO
                    Cold war era                                      Humanitarian Needs
                    Bipolar World                                     New asymmetric threats
                    Mainly Military Missions                          Rapid response
  Tankers




                                                                                    A330 MRTT
                   KC-135                                                            KC-767


                                                             C-17
  Heavy




                   C-130                                                                      A400M
  Light & Medium




                                                                                 C-27J
                   DHC-4                        ATR-42
                                                DHC-8
                                                         CN235                  C295
                              G-222

         60s                       70s            80s            90s                 00s              10s

                               Requirements for new, more versatile products
Military Operations




  2001 Afghanistan                                2003 Iraq               2009 Sudan   2011 Libya

                     Military operations performed by the Armed Forces have increased
                     over recent years:
                      Global Reach
                      Deployment in hostile areas - front line support
                      Logistic and training transport missions
                      Longer time required on Air to Air Refueling military missions
                      ISR missions over the theater of operations

                                       Increased activity during recent years
Source: Heidelberg Institute for International Conflict Research (HIIK)
Search and Rescue (SAR) Missions


                                                                     1982
                                                4428
                     7982




                                                                              5704
                                                       1551




                                 1394                                  6891




                    More than 30,000 persons rescued during 1982 – 2010
               In 2010 alone, 12,338 persons were rescued in 641 SAR events
                                 Increasing global assistance need
Source: CospasSARSAT Data 2010
Natural Disasters




    Geophysical events
    (i.e.earthquake)
    Meteorological events
    (i.e.storm)
    Hydrological events
    (i.e.floods)
    Climatological events
    (i.e.wildfire)


          Over the past decade, more than 2 billion people have been affected by
              natural disasters. On average, 62,000 lives were lost per year.

                                             Rapid response is a must
Source: Munich RE-NatCatSERVICE 2010-2011 Main Natural disasters/ International Committee of the Red Cross
Oil Spills




                             Approximately 5.71 million tonnes of oil were lost as a
                                 result of tanker incidents from 1970 to 2010.

                                A growing environmental concern worldwide
Source: ITOPF Oil Tanker Spill Statistics 1970-2010. Main oil spills events >7 tonnes.
Drug traffic control
              Global cocaine traffic                              Global opium traffic


                                       Route
                                       growth                                  The Northern
                                                             The Balkan        Route
                                                             Route


                                                                The Southern
                                                                Route
                                                    New
                                                   routes




    Global cocaine production has grown by a                Global opium production has grown by a
    factor of 6 during the last three decades.              factor of 7 during the last three decades

                                                A never ending story
Source: UNODC World Drug Report 2009
Tracking immigrant movements
            Main routes for African irregular migrants to US & Europe




                    Latin America to US:                      Africa to Europe:
                   Around 300,000 in 2011       On average 55,000 irregular immigrants per year

                An issue worldwide. Current examples: US border and the
                                  Mediterranean area
Source: UNODC The Globalization of Crime 2010
Multilateral Peace Operations
         Four-fifths of peace operation personnel are deployed to Africa and Asia




         Personnel deployed to peace operations
                         (Thousands)
   350



   250
                      Rising trend

   150



    50




         In 2010, nine organizations were involved in 52 operations with a personnel of
              some 263,000. More than 90% of these were from NATO and the UN
                                           Rising new missions worldwide
Source: SIPRI Multilateral Peace Operations 2010
Piracy Attacks
                                                                                                                          *Each dot
                                                                                                                          represents a
                                                         237 Indian Ocean, Red Sea and                                    piracy or
                                                                                                                          armed robbery
                                                                  Gulf of Aden                                            incident during
                                                                                                                          2010
    34 South and Central
         America                           38 West Africa
                                                                                             50 South Asia   80 South-East Asia




                            2006               2007              2008                 2009           2010          2011


           More than 435 attacks during 2011. Somalia: the most affected region.
                                            A growing asymmetric threat
Source: Chamber of Commerce, International Maritime Bureau, Piracy Reporting Center
Military Expenditure in 2011

                                                                                                  US$ 82 Bn
                                                                                                                        Total 2011:
                    US$ 736 Bn                                      US$ 327Bn                                          US$ 1,738bn
                                                                                                                       (+0.3% vs 2010)
                                                                                                     US$ 143 Bn

                                                                                 US$ 145 Bn
                                                                                                 US$ 49Bn         US$ 163 Bn


                                   US$ 73Bn

                                                                                    US$ 20 Bn



                                  USA
   Bra
   Ger
   India                                                                                     World military expenditure
  SaudiA.
        Jap                  China                                                               stopped growing
               Fr
                    UK Russia

Source; SIPRI Stockholm International Peace Research Institute . US$ (current prices 2011)
* Data not available for some CIS countries
Very uneven budget growth
in recent years

                                                                                 US$ 82 Bn                    A few big spenders
                                                  US$ 327Bn                                                  compensate for the
                            US$ 736 Bn                                                                       budget stagnation in
                                                                                   US$ 143 Bn
                                                                                                              Europe and Japan
                                                           US$ 145 Bn


                                                                      US$ 49Bn               US$ 163 Bn
                                  US$ 73Bn

                                                         US$ 20 Bn


                                                 Top 10 Military spenders - % variation 2002-2011
                                          170                                                   90
                                                    79
     %variation 2002-2011




                            80
                                  59                                                                    59
                            60
                                                                                                                                  42
                            40
                                                                 18                                                      19
                            20
                             0
                                                                         -0,6        -2,5                       -3,7
                            -20
                                  USA    China    Russia         UK     France      Japan    Saudi    Germany   India   Brazil   World
                                                                                             Arabia

Source; SIPRI Stockholm International Peace Research Institute
* Data not available for some CIS countries
Mid-term Budgets forecast
                                                 Global GDP growth, %
• The global economic prospects for    4,1      4,0                      3,9   4,0
                                                            4,0
 2012 and 2013 are pessimistic, and   History
                                                                   2,8
                                                                         2,6     3,2
 only supported by the developing                     1,5                        2,2
                                      Optimistic                         0,5
 economies
                                      2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011* 2012* 2013*

• US DoD just issued its                                    -2,4

  planned $487B budget
  reduction over 10 years
• Main programs
  affected: C-27Js JCA;
  C-5;C-130,RQ-4 Global
  Hawk…

• Australia: minus $5.5B
 in next four years
Defense procurement will keep growing
only in specific regions and countries




                                         CAGR
                                         2016-2011

                                          4.0%
                                          2.9%
                                          3.9%
                                          13.9%
                                          3.3%
                                         -1.1%
                                          0.5%
                                          1.4% world
                                                avg
Additional needs will promote our products
          beyond pure military applications
                                                                                                         New missions involving new
                 Traditionally military operations conducted
                                                                                                          customers such as
                  by military bodies of each country
                                                                                                          governmental agencies



                                                                                                                  AM product range
                                                                                                                  to answer today’s and
          3000
           $Bn                                                                                                    tomorrow’s needs
                                                                                                GAP                 • Versatility
                                                                                                                    • Effectiveness
          2000
                                                                                                                    • Efficiency
US $ Bn




          1000


                                                                                                                 Forecast
                0
                      2001
                      2001                                                                                    2011
                                                                                                               2010             2014
                                                                                                                               2013

                                            A requirement for more versatile products
          Sources: SIPRI Stockholm International Peace Research Institute April 2011/ Airbus Military
New aircraft demand until 2040
                         1500
       New Sales (a/c)




                         1000



                          500



                            0
                                  Light and Medium                         Heavy                           Strategic Aerial
                                     Airlifters and
                                 Surveillance Aircraft                    Airlifters                           Tankers*

      % units                         52%                                  33%                                     15%
      % value                         20%                                  43%                                     37%

                                New aircraft demand will average ~80 per year
NOTE: Light & Medium 4-12t of Max. Payload and Medium Range M.Surveillance/ Heavy 25-50t of Max. Payload/ Tankers +50t of Fuel Capacity.
(*) Possible future US KC-Y & KC-Z competitions are included
Potential Market over the next 30 years
                                                                                    New Aircraft Sales

   Light and Medium
        Aircraft                                                                                         ~ 1250 a/c



            Heavy
                                                                                                          ~ 800 a/c
           Aircraft



      Tanker/MRTT
                                                                                                         ~ 350* a/c
           Aircraft


                                                 Market Value: ~ $240Bn
NOTE: Light & Medium Segment 4-12t of Max.Payload/ Heavy Segment 25-50t of Max.Payload/ MRTT-Tanker Segment +50t of Fuel Capacity.
(*) Possible future US KC-Y & KC-Z competitions are included
In summary…

• The military market for Transport, Mission aircraft and Tankers is
 a very irregular one, with plenty of up and downs
• Shrinking military budgets are becoming the norm, except for
 specific countries and regions
• However, civil and humanitarian missions are spreading more and
 more
• In this context, the most versatile aircraft have the best chances to
 obtain market success
• Our products are market leaders in their corresponding categories
• Airbus Military is firmly committed to keep its leading position for
 many years
 2011 AIRBUS. Todos los derechos reservados. Documento confidencial. Este documento y toda la información contenida en el mismo es propiedad exclusiva de AIRBUS. La entrega de este documento o la
          divulgación de su contenido no otorga ningún derecho de propiedad intelectual a su receptor. Tampoco podrá ser reproducido o desvelado a terceros sin el consentimiento expreso por escrito de AIRBUS. Ni este
          documento ni su contenido podrán ser utilizados con otro fin que no sea aquél para el que han sido entregados. Las manifestaciones expresadas en este documento no constituyen una oferta comercial. Están basadas en
          las premisas mencionadas en el mismo y han sido realizadas de buena fe. Para cualquier aclaración dirigirse a AIRBUS.
          AIRBUS Y AIRBUS MILITARY, sus logotipos y los modelos A300, A310, A318, A319, A320, A321, A330, A340, A350, A380, A400M, A330MRTT, C212, C295 y CN235 son marcas registradas.




Page 27
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Airbus military market overview 2012.

  • 1. May 2012 Market Overview and Commercial Update Presented by Antonio Rodriguez Barberán, SVP Commercial
  • 2. The Market in which we compete HEAVY AIRCRAFT 1,780 a/c 1,060 a/c ~2,450 a/c Av. Age 26y 975 a/c L&M AIRCRAFT ~3,200 a/c 234 a/c 424 a/c Av. Age 24y 819 a/c 247 a/c 498 a/c 285 a/c AERIAL TANKERS ~635 a/c Av. Age 44y Total fleet:  6,300 a/c in service Average Age: 27 years (AM products represent 10% of the world fleet) NOTE: Light & Medium; up to 12t of Max.Pyld. Heavy; +12t of Max.Pyld. Tankers; +50t of Fuel Capacity (KC-46 excluded).
  • 3. Airbus Military - Total Sales to 1Q2012 499 Europe 4 A330MRTT 80 North America 14A310MRTT 2 A310MRTT 170 A400M 27 CN235 46 C295 51 C212 125 CN235 2 Countries 140 C212 23 Customers 16 Countries 33 Customers 56 MENA 140 Latin America 9 A330MRTT 29 C295 14 C295 20 CN235 25 CN235 247 Asia & Pacific 50 Africa (Sub.) 5 A330MRTT 91 C212 8 C212 2 C295 4 A400M 16 Countries 9 Countries 6 CN235 9 C295 27 Customers 42 C212 9 Customers 74 CN235 11 Countries 145 C212 14 Customers 11 Countries 30 Customers 1060 a/c sold to 136 customers in 65 countries
  • 4. Annual sales for the last 30 years
  • 6. Airbus Military sales 2001-2011 Market Share
  • 7. Airbus Military global market presence 1060 Aircraft sold* 65 countries 136 operators 4,2 million FHs Interoperability and supportability backed by global presence and 30 years of experience (*) 14 C295 aircraft sold so far in 2012. One new country customer (Kazakhstan)
  • 8. Past and new requirements Global Demand Rapid response to Natural Disasters Support to Multilateral Peace Operations Humanitarian needs SAR missions Anti-piracy missions Immigrants Control Oil Spill Response Drug traffic Control International conflicts 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 The world is changing
  • 9. Past and new requirements (Cont.) PAST SCENARIO NEW SCENARIO Cold war era Humanitarian Needs Bipolar World New asymmetric threats Mainly Military Missions Rapid response Tankers A330 MRTT KC-135 KC-767 C-17 Heavy C-130 A400M Light & Medium C-27J DHC-4 ATR-42 DHC-8 CN235 C295 G-222 60s 70s 80s 90s 00s 10s Requirements for new, more versatile products
  • 10. Military Operations 2001 Afghanistan 2003 Iraq 2009 Sudan 2011 Libya Military operations performed by the Armed Forces have increased over recent years:  Global Reach  Deployment in hostile areas - front line support  Logistic and training transport missions  Longer time required on Air to Air Refueling military missions  ISR missions over the theater of operations Increased activity during recent years Source: Heidelberg Institute for International Conflict Research (HIIK)
  • 11. Search and Rescue (SAR) Missions 1982 4428 7982 5704 1551 1394 6891 More than 30,000 persons rescued during 1982 – 2010 In 2010 alone, 12,338 persons were rescued in 641 SAR events Increasing global assistance need Source: CospasSARSAT Data 2010
  • 12. Natural Disasters Geophysical events (i.e.earthquake) Meteorological events (i.e.storm) Hydrological events (i.e.floods) Climatological events (i.e.wildfire) Over the past decade, more than 2 billion people have been affected by natural disasters. On average, 62,000 lives were lost per year. Rapid response is a must Source: Munich RE-NatCatSERVICE 2010-2011 Main Natural disasters/ International Committee of the Red Cross
  • 13. Oil Spills Approximately 5.71 million tonnes of oil were lost as a result of tanker incidents from 1970 to 2010. A growing environmental concern worldwide Source: ITOPF Oil Tanker Spill Statistics 1970-2010. Main oil spills events >7 tonnes.
  • 14. Drug traffic control Global cocaine traffic Global opium traffic Route growth The Northern The Balkan Route Route The Southern Route New routes Global cocaine production has grown by a Global opium production has grown by a factor of 6 during the last three decades. factor of 7 during the last three decades A never ending story Source: UNODC World Drug Report 2009
  • 15. Tracking immigrant movements Main routes for African irregular migrants to US & Europe Latin America to US: Africa to Europe: Around 300,000 in 2011 On average 55,000 irregular immigrants per year An issue worldwide. Current examples: US border and the Mediterranean area Source: UNODC The Globalization of Crime 2010
  • 16. Multilateral Peace Operations Four-fifths of peace operation personnel are deployed to Africa and Asia Personnel deployed to peace operations (Thousands) 350 250 Rising trend 150 50 In 2010, nine organizations were involved in 52 operations with a personnel of some 263,000. More than 90% of these were from NATO and the UN Rising new missions worldwide Source: SIPRI Multilateral Peace Operations 2010
  • 17. Piracy Attacks *Each dot represents a 237 Indian Ocean, Red Sea and piracy or armed robbery Gulf of Aden incident during 2010 34 South and Central America 38 West Africa 50 South Asia 80 South-East Asia 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 More than 435 attacks during 2011. Somalia: the most affected region. A growing asymmetric threat Source: Chamber of Commerce, International Maritime Bureau, Piracy Reporting Center
  • 18. Military Expenditure in 2011 US$ 82 Bn Total 2011: US$ 736 Bn US$ 327Bn US$ 1,738bn (+0.3% vs 2010) US$ 143 Bn US$ 145 Bn US$ 49Bn US$ 163 Bn US$ 73Bn US$ 20 Bn USA Bra Ger India World military expenditure SaudiA. Jap China stopped growing Fr UK Russia Source; SIPRI Stockholm International Peace Research Institute . US$ (current prices 2011) * Data not available for some CIS countries
  • 19. Very uneven budget growth in recent years US$ 82 Bn A few big spenders US$ 327Bn compensate for the US$ 736 Bn budget stagnation in US$ 143 Bn Europe and Japan US$ 145 Bn US$ 49Bn US$ 163 Bn US$ 73Bn US$ 20 Bn Top 10 Military spenders - % variation 2002-2011 170 90 79 %variation 2002-2011 80 59 59 60 42 40 18 19 20 0 -0,6 -2,5 -3,7 -20 USA China Russia UK France Japan Saudi Germany India Brazil World Arabia Source; SIPRI Stockholm International Peace Research Institute * Data not available for some CIS countries
  • 20. Mid-term Budgets forecast Global GDP growth, % • The global economic prospects for 4,1 4,0 3,9 4,0 4,0 2012 and 2013 are pessimistic, and History 2,8 2,6 3,2 only supported by the developing 1,5 2,2 Optimistic 0,5 economies 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011* 2012* 2013* • US DoD just issued its -2,4 planned $487B budget reduction over 10 years • Main programs affected: C-27Js JCA; C-5;C-130,RQ-4 Global Hawk… • Australia: minus $5.5B in next four years
  • 21. Defense procurement will keep growing only in specific regions and countries CAGR 2016-2011 4.0% 2.9% 3.9% 13.9% 3.3% -1.1% 0.5% 1.4% world avg
  • 22. Additional needs will promote our products beyond pure military applications  New missions involving new  Traditionally military operations conducted customers such as by military bodies of each country governmental agencies AM product range to answer today’s and 3000 $Bn tomorrow’s needs GAP • Versatility • Effectiveness 2000 • Efficiency US $ Bn 1000 Forecast 0 2001 2001 2011 2010 2014 2013 A requirement for more versatile products Sources: SIPRI Stockholm International Peace Research Institute April 2011/ Airbus Military
  • 23. New aircraft demand until 2040 1500 New Sales (a/c) 1000 500 0 Light and Medium Heavy Strategic Aerial Airlifters and Surveillance Aircraft Airlifters Tankers* % units 52% 33% 15% % value 20% 43% 37% New aircraft demand will average ~80 per year NOTE: Light & Medium 4-12t of Max. Payload and Medium Range M.Surveillance/ Heavy 25-50t of Max. Payload/ Tankers +50t of Fuel Capacity. (*) Possible future US KC-Y & KC-Z competitions are included
  • 24. Potential Market over the next 30 years New Aircraft Sales Light and Medium Aircraft ~ 1250 a/c Heavy ~ 800 a/c Aircraft Tanker/MRTT ~ 350* a/c Aircraft Market Value: ~ $240Bn NOTE: Light & Medium Segment 4-12t of Max.Payload/ Heavy Segment 25-50t of Max.Payload/ MRTT-Tanker Segment +50t of Fuel Capacity. (*) Possible future US KC-Y & KC-Z competitions are included
  • 25. In summary… • The military market for Transport, Mission aircraft and Tankers is a very irregular one, with plenty of up and downs • Shrinking military budgets are becoming the norm, except for specific countries and regions • However, civil and humanitarian missions are spreading more and more • In this context, the most versatile aircraft have the best chances to obtain market success • Our products are market leaders in their corresponding categories • Airbus Military is firmly committed to keep its leading position for many years
  • 26.  2011 AIRBUS. Todos los derechos reservados. Documento confidencial. Este documento y toda la información contenida en el mismo es propiedad exclusiva de AIRBUS. La entrega de este documento o la divulgación de su contenido no otorga ningún derecho de propiedad intelectual a su receptor. Tampoco podrá ser reproducido o desvelado a terceros sin el consentimiento expreso por escrito de AIRBUS. Ni este documento ni su contenido podrán ser utilizados con otro fin que no sea aquél para el que han sido entregados. Las manifestaciones expresadas en este documento no constituyen una oferta comercial. Están basadas en las premisas mencionadas en el mismo y han sido realizadas de buena fe. Para cualquier aclaración dirigirse a AIRBUS. AIRBUS Y AIRBUS MILITARY, sus logotipos y los modelos A300, A310, A318, A319, A320, A321, A330, A340, A350, A380, A400M, A330MRTT, C212, C295 y CN235 son marcas registradas. Page 27