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Welcome
Johan Merckx
Enterprise Architect

 1
 2
Enterprise Architecture is about
Enterpreneurship and Engineering
@chrisdpotts

 7
Enterprise Investment

Chris Potts
AE, Heverlee
30th January 2014

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
What I Do

Corporate Strategist
- Enterprise Investment Working with people around the world
helping them to succeed with their strategies
and to increase their value, contribution and influence

Practitioner & Mentor
Speaker & Facilitator
Author of The FruITion Trilogy

FRUITION

RECREATION

DEFRICTION

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
Enterprise Investment: How Are We Doing?

70% of projects fail*

*Does that mean 30% of projects succeed?

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
Some Projects Succeed, Some Don’t

-$115 million

-$150 million

-$120 million

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.

-$101 million
Some Projects Succeed, Some Don’t

+$919 million

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
The First Principle of Enterprise Investment

Investment is about scenarios and probabilities
not certainties

Do you agree with this principle?

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
Enterprise Investment

From Information Technology to Enterprise Investment
The Value Chain for Enterprise Investment
Enterprise Investment Culture
The Enterprise Investment Portfolio
End-to-End Process, Core Capabilities and Governance

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
From Information Technology
to Enterprise Investment

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
At the Heart of Every Strategy…

Value

People

Money

Technologies

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
The Four Generations of Corporate Strategy for IT
The FruITion Strategy®
Fourth Generation

Focus:

Enterprise Investment

Foundation: Portfolio of investments in change

Third Generation

Focus:

IT Exploitation

Second Generation
IT Efficiency

First Generation
Technology

Return on investments in business change

The value people create by exploiting IT

Foundation: Investments involving IT

Focus:

Cost and performance of IT services

Foundation: IT spending (core capabilities, projects, services)

Focus:

Architecture & standards

Foundation: IT roadmap

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
The Value Chain
for Enterprise Investment

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
Enterprise Investment

Achieving your goals for both structure and value
as risk-efficiently as possible

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
The Porter Value Chain

FIRM INFRASTRUCTURE
HUMAN RESOURCE MANAGEMENT

SUPPORT
ACTIVITIES

TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT
PROCUREMENT

INBOUND
LOGISTICS

OPERATIONS

OUTBOUND
LOGISTICS

MARKETING
& SALES

SERVICE

© Michael Porter

PRIMARY ACTIVITIES

Strategy?
Enterprise Architecture?
Investment Portfolio Management?
Sourcing?
© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
The Enterprise Investment Value Chain

Strategy
Enterprise
Architecture

Enterprise Investment
Value

Structure

Sourcing
People

Services

Products

Supply
(Internal/External – Cloud)

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.

Investment
Portfolio
Management
The Enterprise Investment Value Chain

Strategy
Enterprise
Architecture

Enterprise Investment
Value

Structure

Sourcing
People

Services

Products

Supply
(Internal/External – Cloud)

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.

Investment
Portfolio
Management
The Enterprise Investment Value Chain

“CIO”

Enterprise
Architecture

Strategy
Enterprise Investment
Value

Structure

“CTO”

Sourcing
People

Services

Products

Supply
(Internal/External – Cloud)

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.

Investment
Portfolio
Management
Enterprise Investment – Measures of Success

Enterprise Architecture

Investments Management

Achievement of agreed design characteristics
Success of structural investments
Influence on people’s strategies & plans
Impact on portfolio productivity & efficiency
Impact on time-to-first benefit in projects

Achievement of agreed investment goals
Percentage investment by value type
Portfolio costs to P&L
Each project: value milestones achieved
Contribution of ‘exploitation projects’

Sourcing
Supplier delivery to SLAs and Project Milestones
Costs to cash versus budgets
Business impacts of service disruptions
Supplier added value (over & above contract)
Mitigation of supply risks to agreed residual values

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
Investing in Stability, Investing in Change

Strategy
Enterprise Investment
Goals
Agents
of Stability

Invest in
Stability

Invest in
Change

Stability

Change

Operations

Agents
of Change

Projects

Predictabilities

Probabilities

Outcomes

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
Enterprise Investment – Investing in Stability and Change

Achieving your goals for both structure and value
as risk-efficiently as possible

Core tactic
Diversify your investments
until no more diversity improves their risk-efficiency
Modern Portfolio Theory (1952)
adapted for an enterprise’s investments in change
plus: Behavioural Economics
as evidenced by the Investment Culture

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
Enterprise Investment Culture

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
Why Culture is at the Heart of Strategy

“Culture eats strategy for breakfast”

Peter Drucker

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
Enterprise Investment Culture - Diagnosis

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
Enterprise Investment Culture - Diagnosis

Dimension

Prevailing Culture
Considered
always

Considered
last

Avoided

Considered
first

None

Market

Technical

Internal

Investment Portfolio

Inventory

Bottom-up

Non-existent

Top-down

Targeting

Outcomes

Activities

Outputs

None

Exploiting Assets & Services

Central

Missing

Peripheral

Intended

Investment Strategy

Random

Strategic
goals

Operational
goals

Something
else

Accountable

Nominal

Absent

Responsible

Project Management

Delivering
change

Time/cost/
quality

ROI
hypothesis

Delivering
value

Impact on Operating Costs

Important

Ignored

Interesting

Critical

Behaviour Towards Projects

Controlling

Influencing

Undermining

Not interested

Value Creation
Innovation Focus

Sponsorship

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
Enterprise Investment Culture – Example Diagnosis

Dimension

Prevailing Culture
Considered
always

Considered
last

Avoided

Considered
first

None

Market

Technical

Internal

Investment Portfolio

Inventory

Bottom-up

Non-existent

Top-down

Targeting

Outcomes

Activities

Outputs

None

Exploiting Assets & Services

Central

Missing

Peripheral

Intended

Investment Strategy

Random

Strategic
goals

Operational
goals

Something
else

Accountable

Nominal

Absent

Responsible

Project Management

Delivering
change

Time/cost/
quality

ROI
hypothesis

Delivering
value

Impact on Operating Costs

Important

Ignored

Interesting

Critical

Behaviour Towards Projects

Controlling

Influencing

Undermining

Not interested

Value Creation
Innovation Focus

Sponsorship

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
Comparing Investment Cultures (Example)

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
Does The Diagnosis Expose Any Paradoxes?

Do all the answers seem consistent with each other?

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
Enterprise Investment Culture – Example Diagnosis

Dimension

Prevailing Culture
Considered
always

Considered
last

Avoided

Considered
first

None

Market

Technical

Internal

Investment Portfolio

Inventory

Bottom-up

Non-existent

Top-down

Targeting

Outcomes

Activities

Outputs

None

Exploiting Assets & Services

Central

Missing

Peripheral

Intended

Investment Strategy

Random

Strategic
goals

Operational
goals

Something
else

Accountable

Nominal

Absent

Responsible

Project Management

Delivering
change

Time/cost/
quality

ROI
hypothesis

Delivering
value

Impact on Operating Costs

Important

Ignored

Interesting

Critical

Behaviour Towards Projects

Controlling

Influencing

Undermining

Not interested

Value Creation
Innovation Focus

Sponsorship

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
Enterprise Investment Culture – The “Perfect Diagnosis”

Dimension

Prevailing Culture
Considered
always

Considered
last

Avoided

Considered
first

None

Market

Technical

Internal

Investment Portfolio

Inventory

Bottom-up

Non-existent

Top-down

Targeting

Outcomes

Activities

Outputs

None

Exploiting Assets & Services

Central

Missing

Peripheral

Intended

Investment Strategy

Random

Strategic
goals

Operational
goals

Something
else

Accountable

Nominal

Absent

Responsible

Project Management

Delivering
change

Time/cost/
quality

ROI
hypothesis

Delivering
value

Impact on Operating Costs

Important

Ignored

Interesting

Critical

Behaviour Towards Projects

Controlling

Influencing

Undermining

Not interested

Value Creation
Innovation Focus

Sponsorship

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
Enterprise Investment Culture – Example Diagnosis

Dimension

Prevailing Culture
Considered
always

Considered
last

Avoided

Considered
first

None

Market

Technical

Internal

Investment Portfolio

Inventory

Bottom-up

Non-existent

Top-down

Targeting

Outcomes

Activities

Outputs

None

Exploiting Assets & Services

Central

Missing

Peripheral

Intended

Investment Strategy

Random

Strategic
goals

Operational
goals

Something
else

Accountable

Nominal

Absent

Responsible

Project Management

Delivering
change

Time/cost/
quality

ROI
hypothesis

Delivering
value

Impact on Operating Costs

Important

Ignored

Interesting

Critical

Behaviour Towards Projects

Controlling

Influencing

Undermining

Not interested

Value Creation
Innovation Focus

Sponsorship

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
Enterprise Investment Culture – What to Keep, What to Change?

Dimension

Prevailing Culture
Considered
always

Considered
last

Avoided

Considered
first

None

Market

Technical

Internal

Investment Portfolio

Inventory

Bottom-up

Non-existent

Top-down

Targeting

Outcomes

Activities

Outputs

None

Exploiting Assets & Services

Central

Missing

Peripheral

Intended

Investment Strategy

Random

Strategic
goals

Operational
goals

Something
else

Accountable

Nominal

Absent

Responsible

Project Management

Delivering
change

Time/cost/
quality

ROI
hypothesis

Delivering
value

Impact on Operating Costs

Important

Ignored

Interesting

Critical

Behaviour Towards Projects

Controlling

Influencing

Undermining

Not interested

Value Creation
Innovation Focus

Sponsorship

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
Enterprise Investment Culture – What to Target?

Dimension

Prevailing Culture
Considered
always

Considered
last

Avoided

Considered
first

None

Market

Technical

Internal

Investment Portfolio

Inventory

Bottom-up

Non-existent

Top-down

Targeting

Outcomes

Activities

Outputs

None

Exploiting Assets & Services

Central

Missing

Peripheral

Intended

Investment Strategy

Random

Strategic
goals

Operational
goals

Something
else

Accountable

Nominal

Absent

Responsible

Project Management

Delivering
change

Time/cost/
quality

ROI
hypothesis

Delivering
value

Impact on Operating Costs

Important

Ignored

Interesting

Critical

Behaviour Towards Projects

Controlling

Influencing

Undermining

Not interested

Value Creation
Innovation Focus

Sponsorship

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
The Enterprise Investment Portfolio

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
Enterprise Investment – Promise and First Principle

Achieving your goals for both structure and value
as risk-efficiently as possible

Investment is about scenarios and probabilities
not certainties

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
Enterprise Investment

Achieving your goals for both structure and value
as risk-efficiently as possible

Core tactic
Diversify your investments
until no more diversity improves their risk-efficiency
Modern Portfolio Theory (1952)
adapted for an enterprise’s investments in change
plus: Behavioural Economics
as evidenced by the Investment Culture

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
Enterprise Investment Culture – The “Perfect Diagnosis”

Dimension

Prevailing Culture
Considered
always

Considered
last

Avoided

Considered
first

None

Market

Technical

Internal

Investment Portfolio

Inventory

Bottom-up

Non-existent

Top-down

Targeting

Outcomes

Activities

Outputs

None

Exploiting Assets & Services

Central

Missing

Peripheral

Intended

Investment Strategy

Random

Strategic
goals

Operational
goals

Something
else

Accountable

Nominal

Absent

Responsible

Project Management

Delivering
change

Time/cost/
quality

ROI
hypothesis

Delivering
value

Impact on Operating Costs

Important

Ignored

Interesting

Critical

Behaviour Towards Projects

Controlling

Influencing

Undermining

Not interested

Value Creation
Innovation Focus

Sponsorship

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
Enterprise Investment Culture – What to Target?

Dimension

Prevailing Culture
Considered
always

Considered
last

Avoided

Considered
first

None

Market

Technical

Internal

Investment Portfolio

Inventory

Bottom-up

Non-existent

Top-down

Targeting

Outcomes

Activities

Outputs

None

Exploiting Assets & Services

Central

Missing

Peripheral

Intended

Investment Strategy

Random

Strategic
goals

Operational
goals

Something
else

Accountable

Nominal

Absent

Responsible

Project Management

Delivering
change

Time/cost/
quality

ROI
hypothesis

Delivering
value

Impact on Operating Costs

Important

Ignored

Interesting

Critical

Behaviour Towards Projects

Controlling

Influencing

Undermining

Not interested

Value Creation
Innovation Focus

Sponsorship

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
“Investment Portfolio” (Inventory)
Project

Sponsor

Capital €000

Apex 1

Tim Kahns

30,675

+49,376

Apex 2

Tim Kahns

46,230

+78,024

Redevelop Spartan

Frances West

10,103

+36,200

CRMX version 3.6

Jerry Young

7,589

+22,017

V36 compliance

Debbie Grant

31,120

+42,000

Web access to GRZA

James Turner

12,974

+27,017

Refresh AOP and FFR

Frances West

28,913

+48,384

Upgrade TRANSOP3

James Turner

62,252

+94,105

Building 21

Geoff Holden

96,048

+119,016

Firetop Phase 3

Julia Graham

4,456

+81,082

Firetop Phase 4

Julia Graham

1,940

+5,978

Replace WRKFLM

Leo McKendrick

7.659

+15,377

OpCon Automation

Miles Harrison

4,957

+6,790

Project Trio

Trevor Dean

61,481

+113,967

QQT version 6

Frances West

41,468

+72,991

447,865
© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.

NPV €000
Building a “Bottom-Up” Portfolio: The Smartie Matrix

Change Projects
Value Types

A

B

C

D

E

F

G

H

I

J

Revenue protection & growth
Cost control & reduction
Productivity & efficiency
Brand reputation
Customer delight
Employees satisfaction
Compliance
Survival
Enterprise Architecture
Primary value type
Secondary value types

Project Probability Paradox
The higher the probability of approval,
the lower the probability of success!

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.

K

L

M

N

O
Enterprise Investment Portfolio (Live Projects)

Value Type

Investment Goals

Project
Investment

Revenue
protection & growth

+€125m

2015

+€150m

Value

Project A

2014

Projects

+€13,5m

7,2

Project B +€131,8m

P&L Cost
impact

Probability
Implementation

Investment

+3,9

High

Medium

54,1

+12,6

Medium

Medium

Project C

Cost
control & reduction

+€11,2m

3,7

+8,1

High

Low

Project D

-€33,1m

11,5

-33,1

Medium

Zero

Project E

-€25,1m

2,3

-25,3

High

High

Project F

+0,31

9,7

-7,0

Medium

Low

Project G

+0,63

30,5

+28,5

Medium

Medium

Project H

+3,0%

52,5

+7,6

Low

Low

Project I

+8,5%

74,6

+18,9

High

Medium

Project J

+0,21

41,6

+9,4

High

High

Project K

+0,16

33,1

+3,1

Zero

Zero

-€50m

Zero
increase

+0,5

+1,0

Brand reputation

+5,0%

To be
confirmed

Customer delight

+0,25

+0,40

+10,0%

+5,0%

Project L

+12,5%

62,9

-3,0

High

Low

Compliance

Yes

Yes

Project M

Yes

49,0

+8,8

High

Medium

Survival

Yes

Yes

Project N

Yes

12,0

+4,5

High

Medium

Enterprise Architecture

Yes

Yes

Project O

Yes

76,6

+11,0

High

High

521,3

+48,0

Productivity
& Efficiency

Employees satisfaction

Investments and P&L costs are in € million, and include
both actual costs and the cost equivalent of time

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
What Do We Know About the Future?

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

8,272

8,258

9,310

10,497

11,762

EBIT

779

834

1,118

1,249

1,345

Net Profits

401

441

613

683

735

2,103

2,109

2,412

2,807

3,166

Eur 000

Revenues (Net Sales)

Operating Expenses

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
What Do We Know About the Future?

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

8,272

8,258

9,310

10,497

11,762

EBIT

779

834

1,118

1,249

1,345

Net Profits

401

441

613

683

735

2,103

2,109

2,412

2,807

3,166

€000
Revenues (Net Sales)

Operating Expenses

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
What Do We Know About the Future?

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

8,272

8,258

9,310

10,497

11,762

EBIT

779

834

1,118

1,249

1,345

Net Profits

401

441

613

683

735

2,103

2,109

2,412

2,807

3,166

€000
Revenues (Net Sales)

Operating Expenses

EBIT per €1 of Revenues

Revenues per €1 of Operating Expenses
3,9

0,15

3,8

0,10

3,7

0,05

3,6

?

0,00

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.

?
Enterprise Architecture Scenario Planning (Example Output)

Customers

De Facto
Scenario

Scenario A

Scenario B

Scenario C

Scenario X

Processes

Products
& Services

Organisation

Technologies

Innovation

Incremental

Step Change

Incremental

Breakthrough

Breakthrough

Investment

Low

High

High

Medium

Medium

Innovation

Incremental

Incremental

Incremental

Step Change

Step Change

Investment

Low

Medium

High

Medium

Medium

Innovation

Breakthrough

Breakthrough

Step Change

Incremental

Incremental

Investment

Low

Medium

Medium

Low

Low

Innovation

Step Change

Incremental

Breakthrough

Incremental

Step Change

Investment

Medium

Medium

Medium

Medium

High

Innovation

?

?

?

?

?

Investment

?

?

?

?

?

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
Enterprise Architecture Scenario Planning (Example Output)

Customers

De Facto
Scenario

Scenario A

Scenario B

Scenario C

Scenario X

Processes

Products
& Services

Organisation

Technologies

Innovation

Incremental

Step Change

Incremental

Breakthrough

Breakthrough

Investment

Low

High

High

Medium

Medium

Innovation

Incremental

Incremental

Incremental

Step Change

Step Change

Investment

Low

Medium

High

Medium

Medium

Innovation

Breakthrough

Breakthrough

Step Change

Incremental

Incremental

Investment

Low

Medium

Medium

Low

Low

Innovation

Step Change

Incremental

Breakthrough

Incremental

Step Change

Investment

Medium

Medium

Medium

Medium

High

Innovation

?

?

?

?

?

Investment

?

?

?

?

?

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
End-to-End Process
Core Capabilities and Governance

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
Enterprise Investment Value Chain

Strategy
Enterprise
Architecture

Enterprise Investment
Value

Structure

Sourcing
People

Services

Products

Supply
(Internal/External – Cloud)

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.

Investment
Portfolio
Management
Enterprise Investment - End-to-End Process

Innovate

Invest

Execute

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.

Exploit
Enterprise Investment - End-to-End Process

Investor’s Perspective
Innovate

Invest

Execute

Exploit

Innovate

Invest

Execute

Exploit

Implementer’s Perspective

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
Enterprise Investment Process – Core Capabilities
Contribution
& Influence
High

Asset & Service
Exploitation
(Enterprise)

Investment Portfolio
Management
Project
Management
(Implementation)

Project
Management
(Investment)

Enterprise
Architecture

Operations
Management

Sourcing

Low

Innovate

Invest

Execute

Investment Process
© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.

Exploit
Enterprise Investments Board

Replaces “IT Governance Board”
Sets investment goals, constraints,
priorities
Monitors aggregate performance of
investments
Examines predicted impacts of
investments on future operating costs
Scrutinises existing investments and
steers their execution
Approves or reject new proposals for
investment

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
Enterprise Investment Portfolio (Live Projects)

Value Type

Investment Goals

Project
Investment

Revenue
protection & growth

+€125m

2015

+€150m

Value

Project A

2014

Projects

+€13,5m

7,2

Project B +€131,8m

P&L Cost
impact

Probability
Implementation

Investment

+3,9

High

Medium

54,1

+12,6

Medium

Medium

Project C

Cost
control & reduction

+€11,2m

3,7

+8,1

High

Low

Project D

-€33,1m

11,5

-33,1

Medium

Zero

Project E

-€25,1m

2,3

-25,3

High

High

Project F

+0,31

9,7

-7,0

Medium

Low

Project G

+0,63

30,5

+28,5

Medium

Medium

Project H

+3,0%

52,5

+7,6

Low

Low

Project I

+8,5%

74,6

+18,9

High

Medium

Project J

+0,21

41,6

+9,4

High

High

Project K

+0,16

33,1

+3,1

Zero

Zero

-€50m

Zero
increase

+0,5

+1,0

Brand reputation

+5,0%

To be
confirmed

Customer delight

+0,25

+0,40

+10,0%

+5,0%

Project L

+12,5%

62,9

-3,0

High

Low

Compliance

Yes

Yes

Project M

Yes

49,0

+8,8

High

Medium

Survival

Yes

Yes

Project N

Yes

12,0

+4,5

High

Medium

Enterprise Architecture

Yes

Yes

Project O

Yes

76,6

+11,0

High

High

521,3

+48,0

Productivity
& Efficiency

Employees satisfaction

Investments and P&L costs are in € million, and include
both actual costs and the cost equivalent of time

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
Enterprise Architecture Scenario Planning (Example Output)

Customers

De Facto
Scenario

Scenario A

Scenario B

Scenario C

Scenario X

Processes

Products
& Services

Organisation

Technologies

Innovation

Incremental

Step Change

Incremental

Breakthrough

Breakthrough

Investment

Low

High

High

Medium

Medium

Innovation

Incremental

Incremental

Incremental

Step Change

Step Change

Investment

Low

Medium

High

Medium

Medium

Innovation

Breakthrough

Breakthrough

Step Change

Incremental

Incremental

Investment

Low

Medium

Medium

Low

Low

Innovation

Step Change

Incremental

Breakthrough

Incremental

Step Change

Investment

Medium

Medium

Medium

Medium

High

Innovation

?

?

?

?

?

Investment

?

?

?

?

?

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
Enterprise Investment Proposal

Completed and presented by whoever
will deliver the benefits
Overall sequence of questions:
- Primary goal, any secondary goals
- Estimated costs
- Preferred solution
- Probability of success
Whose behaviours will need to change,
and how, for the investment to succeed?
Specific people that success will depend
upon
Timescale, end-backwards

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
In Conclusion

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
Enterprise Investment – Promise and First Principle

Achieving your goals for both structure and value
as risk-efficiently as possible

Investment is about scenarios and probabilities
not certainties

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
Enterprise Investment Value Chain

Strategy
Enterprise
Architecture

Enterprise Investment
Value

Structure

Sourcing
People

Services

Products

Supply
(Internal/External – Cloud)

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.

Investment
Portfolio
Management
Enterprise Investment Process – Core Capabilities
Contribution
& Influence
High

Asset & Service
Exploitation
(Enterprise)

Investment Portfolio
Management
Project
Management
(Implementation)

Project
Management
(Investment)

Enterprise
Architecture

Operations
Management

Sourcing

Low

Innovate

Invest

Execute

Investment Process
© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.

Exploit
Enterprise Investment Culture - Diagnosis

Dimension

Prevailing Culture
Considered
always

Considered
last

Avoided

Considered
first

None

Market

Technical

Internal

Investment Portfolio

Inventory

Bottom-up

Non-existent

Top-down

Targeting

Outcomes

Activities

Outputs

None

Exploiting Assets & Services

Central

Missing

Peripheral

Intended

Investment Strategy

Random

Strategic
goals

Operational
goals

Something
else

Accountable

Nominal

Absent

Responsible

Project Management

Delivering
change

Time/cost/
quality

ROI
hypothesis

Delivering
value

Impact on Operating Costs

Important

Ignored

Interesting

Critical

Behaviour Towards Projects

Controlling

Influencing

Undermining

Not interested

Value Creation
Innovation Focus

Sponsorship

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
Enterprise Investment Culture – Example Diagnosis

Dimension

Prevailing Culture
Considered
always

Considered
last

Avoided

Considered
first

None

Market

Technical

Internal

Investment Portfolio

Inventory

Bottom-up

Non-existent

Top-down

Targeting

Outcomes

Activities

Outputs

None

Exploiting Assets & Services

Central

Missing

Peripheral

Intended

Investment Strategy

Random

Strategic
goals

Operational
goals

Something
else

Accountable

Nominal

Absent

Responsible

Project Management

Delivering
change

Time/cost/
quality

ROI
hypothesis

Delivering
value

Impact on Operating Costs

Important

Ignored

Interesting

Critical

Behaviour Towards Projects

Controlling

Influencing

Undermining

Not interested

Value Creation
Innovation Focus

Sponsorship

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
Enterprise Investment Culture – The “Perfect Diagnosis”

Dimension

Prevailing Culture
Considered
always

Considered
last

Avoided

Considered
first

None

Market

Technical

Internal

Investment Portfolio

Inventory

Bottom-up

Non-existent

Top-down

Targeting

Outcomes

Activities

Outputs

None

Exploiting Assets & Services

Central

Missing

Peripheral

Intended

Investment Strategy

Random

Strategic
goals

Operational
goals

Something
else

Accountable

Nominal

Absent

Responsible

Project Management

Delivering
change

Time/cost/
quality

ROI
hypothesis

Delivering
value

Impact on Operating Costs

Important

Ignored

Interesting

Critical

Behaviour Towards Projects

Controlling

Influencing

Undermining

Not interested

Value Creation
Innovation Focus

Sponsorship

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
Enterprise Investment Culture – What to Keep, What to Change?

Dimension

Prevailing Culture
Considered
always

Considered
last

Avoided

Considered
first

None

Market

Technical

Internal

Investment Portfolio

Inventory

Bottom-up

Non-existent

Top-down

Targeting

Outcomes

Activities

Outputs

None

Exploiting Assets & Services

Central

Missing

Peripheral

Intended

Investment Strategy

Random

Strategic
goals

Operational
goals

Something
else

Accountable

Nominal

Absent

Responsible

Project Management

Delivering
change

Time/cost/
quality

ROI
hypothesis

Delivering
value

Impact on Operating Costs

Important

Ignored

Interesting

Critical

Behaviour Towards Projects

Controlling

Influencing

Undermining

Not interested

Value Creation
Innovation Focus

Sponsorship

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
Enterprise Investment Portfolio (Live Projects)

Value Type

Investment Goals

Project
Investment

Revenue
protection & growth

+€125m

2015

+€150m

Value

Project A

2014

Projects

+€13,5m

7,2

Project B +€131,8m

P&L Cost
impact

Probability
Implementation

Investment

+3,9

High

Medium

54,1

+12,6

Medium

Medium

Project C

Cost
control & reduction

+€11,2m

3,7

+8,1

High

Low

Project D

-€33,1m

11,5

-33,1

Medium

Zero

Project E

-€25,1m

2,3

-25,3

High

High

Project F

+0,31

9,7

-7,0

Medium

Low

Project G

+0,63

30,5

+28,5

Medium

Medium

Project H

+3,0%

52,5

+7,6

Low

Low

Project I

+8,5%

74,6

+18,9

High

Medium

Project J

+0,21

41,6

+9,4

High

High

Project K

+0,16

33,1

+3,1

Zero

Zero

-€50m

Zero
increase

+0,5

+1,0

Brand reputation

+5,0%

To be
confirmed

Customer delight

+0,25

+0,40

+10,0%

+5,0%

Project L

+12,5%

62,9

-3,0

High

Low

Compliance

Yes

Yes

Project M

Yes

49,0

+8,8

High

Medium

Survival

Yes

Yes

Project N

Yes

12,0

+4,5

High

Medium

Enterprise Architecture

Yes

Yes

Project O

Yes

76,6

+11,0

High

High

521,3

+48,0

Productivity
& Efficiency

Employees satisfaction

Investments and P&L costs are in € million, and include
both actual costs and the cost equivalent of time

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
Summary

Enterprise Investment emerging from IT (but doesn’t have to)
Combination of Enterprise Architecture & Investments Management
Culture eats strategy for breakfast - diagnose, handle with care
Goals-driven and efficient investments portfolio
Enterprise Architecture framed by alternative scenarios

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
The End

Thank You
Have a Safe Journey

It's a metamorphosis

© Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
@ae_nv
linkedin.com/company/ae-nv-sa

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Enterprise investment culture diagnosis

  • 3. Enterprise Architecture is about Enterpreneurship and Engineering
  • 5. Enterprise Investment Chris Potts AE, Heverlee 30th January 2014 © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 6. What I Do Corporate Strategist - Enterprise Investment Working with people around the world helping them to succeed with their strategies and to increase their value, contribution and influence Practitioner & Mentor Speaker & Facilitator Author of The FruITion Trilogy FRUITION RECREATION DEFRICTION © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 7. Enterprise Investment: How Are We Doing? 70% of projects fail* *Does that mean 30% of projects succeed? © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 8. Some Projects Succeed, Some Don’t -$115 million -$150 million -$120 million © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved. -$101 million
  • 9. Some Projects Succeed, Some Don’t +$919 million © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 10. The First Principle of Enterprise Investment Investment is about scenarios and probabilities not certainties Do you agree with this principle? © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 11. Enterprise Investment From Information Technology to Enterprise Investment The Value Chain for Enterprise Investment Enterprise Investment Culture The Enterprise Investment Portfolio End-to-End Process, Core Capabilities and Governance © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 12. From Information Technology to Enterprise Investment © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 13. At the Heart of Every Strategy… Value People Money Technologies © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 14. The Four Generations of Corporate Strategy for IT The FruITion Strategy® Fourth Generation Focus: Enterprise Investment Foundation: Portfolio of investments in change Third Generation Focus: IT Exploitation Second Generation IT Efficiency First Generation Technology Return on investments in business change The value people create by exploiting IT Foundation: Investments involving IT Focus: Cost and performance of IT services Foundation: IT spending (core capabilities, projects, services) Focus: Architecture & standards Foundation: IT roadmap © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 15. The Value Chain for Enterprise Investment © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 16. Enterprise Investment Achieving your goals for both structure and value as risk-efficiently as possible © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 17. The Porter Value Chain FIRM INFRASTRUCTURE HUMAN RESOURCE MANAGEMENT SUPPORT ACTIVITIES TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT PROCUREMENT INBOUND LOGISTICS OPERATIONS OUTBOUND LOGISTICS MARKETING & SALES SERVICE © Michael Porter PRIMARY ACTIVITIES Strategy? Enterprise Architecture? Investment Portfolio Management? Sourcing? © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 18. The Enterprise Investment Value Chain Strategy Enterprise Architecture Enterprise Investment Value Structure Sourcing People Services Products Supply (Internal/External – Cloud) © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved. Investment Portfolio Management
  • 19. The Enterprise Investment Value Chain Strategy Enterprise Architecture Enterprise Investment Value Structure Sourcing People Services Products Supply (Internal/External – Cloud) © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved. Investment Portfolio Management
  • 20. The Enterprise Investment Value Chain “CIO” Enterprise Architecture Strategy Enterprise Investment Value Structure “CTO” Sourcing People Services Products Supply (Internal/External – Cloud) © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved. Investment Portfolio Management
  • 21. Enterprise Investment – Measures of Success Enterprise Architecture Investments Management Achievement of agreed design characteristics Success of structural investments Influence on people’s strategies & plans Impact on portfolio productivity & efficiency Impact on time-to-first benefit in projects Achievement of agreed investment goals Percentage investment by value type Portfolio costs to P&L Each project: value milestones achieved Contribution of ‘exploitation projects’ Sourcing Supplier delivery to SLAs and Project Milestones Costs to cash versus budgets Business impacts of service disruptions Supplier added value (over & above contract) Mitigation of supply risks to agreed residual values © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 22. Investing in Stability, Investing in Change Strategy Enterprise Investment Goals Agents of Stability Invest in Stability Invest in Change Stability Change Operations Agents of Change Projects Predictabilities Probabilities Outcomes © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 23. Enterprise Investment – Investing in Stability and Change Achieving your goals for both structure and value as risk-efficiently as possible Core tactic Diversify your investments until no more diversity improves their risk-efficiency Modern Portfolio Theory (1952) adapted for an enterprise’s investments in change plus: Behavioural Economics as evidenced by the Investment Culture © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 24. Enterprise Investment Culture © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 25. Why Culture is at the Heart of Strategy “Culture eats strategy for breakfast” Peter Drucker © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 26. Enterprise Investment Culture - Diagnosis © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 27. Enterprise Investment Culture - Diagnosis Dimension Prevailing Culture Considered always Considered last Avoided Considered first None Market Technical Internal Investment Portfolio Inventory Bottom-up Non-existent Top-down Targeting Outcomes Activities Outputs None Exploiting Assets & Services Central Missing Peripheral Intended Investment Strategy Random Strategic goals Operational goals Something else Accountable Nominal Absent Responsible Project Management Delivering change Time/cost/ quality ROI hypothesis Delivering value Impact on Operating Costs Important Ignored Interesting Critical Behaviour Towards Projects Controlling Influencing Undermining Not interested Value Creation Innovation Focus Sponsorship © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 28. Enterprise Investment Culture – Example Diagnosis Dimension Prevailing Culture Considered always Considered last Avoided Considered first None Market Technical Internal Investment Portfolio Inventory Bottom-up Non-existent Top-down Targeting Outcomes Activities Outputs None Exploiting Assets & Services Central Missing Peripheral Intended Investment Strategy Random Strategic goals Operational goals Something else Accountable Nominal Absent Responsible Project Management Delivering change Time/cost/ quality ROI hypothesis Delivering value Impact on Operating Costs Important Ignored Interesting Critical Behaviour Towards Projects Controlling Influencing Undermining Not interested Value Creation Innovation Focus Sponsorship © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 29. Comparing Investment Cultures (Example) © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 30. Does The Diagnosis Expose Any Paradoxes? Do all the answers seem consistent with each other? © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 31. Enterprise Investment Culture – Example Diagnosis Dimension Prevailing Culture Considered always Considered last Avoided Considered first None Market Technical Internal Investment Portfolio Inventory Bottom-up Non-existent Top-down Targeting Outcomes Activities Outputs None Exploiting Assets & Services Central Missing Peripheral Intended Investment Strategy Random Strategic goals Operational goals Something else Accountable Nominal Absent Responsible Project Management Delivering change Time/cost/ quality ROI hypothesis Delivering value Impact on Operating Costs Important Ignored Interesting Critical Behaviour Towards Projects Controlling Influencing Undermining Not interested Value Creation Innovation Focus Sponsorship © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 32. Enterprise Investment Culture – The “Perfect Diagnosis” Dimension Prevailing Culture Considered always Considered last Avoided Considered first None Market Technical Internal Investment Portfolio Inventory Bottom-up Non-existent Top-down Targeting Outcomes Activities Outputs None Exploiting Assets & Services Central Missing Peripheral Intended Investment Strategy Random Strategic goals Operational goals Something else Accountable Nominal Absent Responsible Project Management Delivering change Time/cost/ quality ROI hypothesis Delivering value Impact on Operating Costs Important Ignored Interesting Critical Behaviour Towards Projects Controlling Influencing Undermining Not interested Value Creation Innovation Focus Sponsorship © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 33. Enterprise Investment Culture – Example Diagnosis Dimension Prevailing Culture Considered always Considered last Avoided Considered first None Market Technical Internal Investment Portfolio Inventory Bottom-up Non-existent Top-down Targeting Outcomes Activities Outputs None Exploiting Assets & Services Central Missing Peripheral Intended Investment Strategy Random Strategic goals Operational goals Something else Accountable Nominal Absent Responsible Project Management Delivering change Time/cost/ quality ROI hypothesis Delivering value Impact on Operating Costs Important Ignored Interesting Critical Behaviour Towards Projects Controlling Influencing Undermining Not interested Value Creation Innovation Focus Sponsorship © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 34. Enterprise Investment Culture – What to Keep, What to Change? Dimension Prevailing Culture Considered always Considered last Avoided Considered first None Market Technical Internal Investment Portfolio Inventory Bottom-up Non-existent Top-down Targeting Outcomes Activities Outputs None Exploiting Assets & Services Central Missing Peripheral Intended Investment Strategy Random Strategic goals Operational goals Something else Accountable Nominal Absent Responsible Project Management Delivering change Time/cost/ quality ROI hypothesis Delivering value Impact on Operating Costs Important Ignored Interesting Critical Behaviour Towards Projects Controlling Influencing Undermining Not interested Value Creation Innovation Focus Sponsorship © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 35. Enterprise Investment Culture – What to Target? Dimension Prevailing Culture Considered always Considered last Avoided Considered first None Market Technical Internal Investment Portfolio Inventory Bottom-up Non-existent Top-down Targeting Outcomes Activities Outputs None Exploiting Assets & Services Central Missing Peripheral Intended Investment Strategy Random Strategic goals Operational goals Something else Accountable Nominal Absent Responsible Project Management Delivering change Time/cost/ quality ROI hypothesis Delivering value Impact on Operating Costs Important Ignored Interesting Critical Behaviour Towards Projects Controlling Influencing Undermining Not interested Value Creation Innovation Focus Sponsorship © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 36. The Enterprise Investment Portfolio © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 37. Enterprise Investment – Promise and First Principle Achieving your goals for both structure and value as risk-efficiently as possible Investment is about scenarios and probabilities not certainties © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 38. Enterprise Investment Achieving your goals for both structure and value as risk-efficiently as possible Core tactic Diversify your investments until no more diversity improves their risk-efficiency Modern Portfolio Theory (1952) adapted for an enterprise’s investments in change plus: Behavioural Economics as evidenced by the Investment Culture © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 39. Enterprise Investment Culture – The “Perfect Diagnosis” Dimension Prevailing Culture Considered always Considered last Avoided Considered first None Market Technical Internal Investment Portfolio Inventory Bottom-up Non-existent Top-down Targeting Outcomes Activities Outputs None Exploiting Assets & Services Central Missing Peripheral Intended Investment Strategy Random Strategic goals Operational goals Something else Accountable Nominal Absent Responsible Project Management Delivering change Time/cost/ quality ROI hypothesis Delivering value Impact on Operating Costs Important Ignored Interesting Critical Behaviour Towards Projects Controlling Influencing Undermining Not interested Value Creation Innovation Focus Sponsorship © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 40. Enterprise Investment Culture – What to Target? Dimension Prevailing Culture Considered always Considered last Avoided Considered first None Market Technical Internal Investment Portfolio Inventory Bottom-up Non-existent Top-down Targeting Outcomes Activities Outputs None Exploiting Assets & Services Central Missing Peripheral Intended Investment Strategy Random Strategic goals Operational goals Something else Accountable Nominal Absent Responsible Project Management Delivering change Time/cost/ quality ROI hypothesis Delivering value Impact on Operating Costs Important Ignored Interesting Critical Behaviour Towards Projects Controlling Influencing Undermining Not interested Value Creation Innovation Focus Sponsorship © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 41. “Investment Portfolio” (Inventory) Project Sponsor Capital €000 Apex 1 Tim Kahns 30,675 +49,376 Apex 2 Tim Kahns 46,230 +78,024 Redevelop Spartan Frances West 10,103 +36,200 CRMX version 3.6 Jerry Young 7,589 +22,017 V36 compliance Debbie Grant 31,120 +42,000 Web access to GRZA James Turner 12,974 +27,017 Refresh AOP and FFR Frances West 28,913 +48,384 Upgrade TRANSOP3 James Turner 62,252 +94,105 Building 21 Geoff Holden 96,048 +119,016 Firetop Phase 3 Julia Graham 4,456 +81,082 Firetop Phase 4 Julia Graham 1,940 +5,978 Replace WRKFLM Leo McKendrick 7.659 +15,377 OpCon Automation Miles Harrison 4,957 +6,790 Project Trio Trevor Dean 61,481 +113,967 QQT version 6 Frances West 41,468 +72,991 447,865 © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved. NPV €000
  • 42. Building a “Bottom-Up” Portfolio: The Smartie Matrix Change Projects Value Types A B C D E F G H I J Revenue protection & growth Cost control & reduction Productivity & efficiency Brand reputation Customer delight Employees satisfaction Compliance Survival Enterprise Architecture Primary value type Secondary value types Project Probability Paradox The higher the probability of approval, the lower the probability of success! © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved. K L M N O
  • 43. Enterprise Investment Portfolio (Live Projects) Value Type Investment Goals Project Investment Revenue protection & growth +€125m 2015 +€150m Value Project A 2014 Projects +€13,5m 7,2 Project B +€131,8m P&L Cost impact Probability Implementation Investment +3,9 High Medium 54,1 +12,6 Medium Medium Project C Cost control & reduction +€11,2m 3,7 +8,1 High Low Project D -€33,1m 11,5 -33,1 Medium Zero Project E -€25,1m 2,3 -25,3 High High Project F +0,31 9,7 -7,0 Medium Low Project G +0,63 30,5 +28,5 Medium Medium Project H +3,0% 52,5 +7,6 Low Low Project I +8,5% 74,6 +18,9 High Medium Project J +0,21 41,6 +9,4 High High Project K +0,16 33,1 +3,1 Zero Zero -€50m Zero increase +0,5 +1,0 Brand reputation +5,0% To be confirmed Customer delight +0,25 +0,40 +10,0% +5,0% Project L +12,5% 62,9 -3,0 High Low Compliance Yes Yes Project M Yes 49,0 +8,8 High Medium Survival Yes Yes Project N Yes 12,0 +4,5 High Medium Enterprise Architecture Yes Yes Project O Yes 76,6 +11,0 High High 521,3 +48,0 Productivity & Efficiency Employees satisfaction Investments and P&L costs are in € million, and include both actual costs and the cost equivalent of time © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 44. What Do We Know About the Future? 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 8,272 8,258 9,310 10,497 11,762 EBIT 779 834 1,118 1,249 1,345 Net Profits 401 441 613 683 735 2,103 2,109 2,412 2,807 3,166 Eur 000 Revenues (Net Sales) Operating Expenses © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 45. What Do We Know About the Future? 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 8,272 8,258 9,310 10,497 11,762 EBIT 779 834 1,118 1,249 1,345 Net Profits 401 441 613 683 735 2,103 2,109 2,412 2,807 3,166 €000 Revenues (Net Sales) Operating Expenses © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 46. What Do We Know About the Future? 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 8,272 8,258 9,310 10,497 11,762 EBIT 779 834 1,118 1,249 1,345 Net Profits 401 441 613 683 735 2,103 2,109 2,412 2,807 3,166 €000 Revenues (Net Sales) Operating Expenses EBIT per €1 of Revenues Revenues per €1 of Operating Expenses 3,9 0,15 3,8 0,10 3,7 0,05 3,6 ? 0,00 © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved. ?
  • 47. Enterprise Architecture Scenario Planning (Example Output) Customers De Facto Scenario Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario X Processes Products & Services Organisation Technologies Innovation Incremental Step Change Incremental Breakthrough Breakthrough Investment Low High High Medium Medium Innovation Incremental Incremental Incremental Step Change Step Change Investment Low Medium High Medium Medium Innovation Breakthrough Breakthrough Step Change Incremental Incremental Investment Low Medium Medium Low Low Innovation Step Change Incremental Breakthrough Incremental Step Change Investment Medium Medium Medium Medium High Innovation ? ? ? ? ? Investment ? ? ? ? ? © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 48. Enterprise Architecture Scenario Planning (Example Output) Customers De Facto Scenario Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario X Processes Products & Services Organisation Technologies Innovation Incremental Step Change Incremental Breakthrough Breakthrough Investment Low High High Medium Medium Innovation Incremental Incremental Incremental Step Change Step Change Investment Low Medium High Medium Medium Innovation Breakthrough Breakthrough Step Change Incremental Incremental Investment Low Medium Medium Low Low Innovation Step Change Incremental Breakthrough Incremental Step Change Investment Medium Medium Medium Medium High Innovation ? ? ? ? ? Investment ? ? ? ? ? © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 49. End-to-End Process Core Capabilities and Governance © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 50. Enterprise Investment Value Chain Strategy Enterprise Architecture Enterprise Investment Value Structure Sourcing People Services Products Supply (Internal/External – Cloud) © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved. Investment Portfolio Management
  • 51. Enterprise Investment - End-to-End Process Innovate Invest Execute © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved. Exploit
  • 52. Enterprise Investment - End-to-End Process Investor’s Perspective Innovate Invest Execute Exploit Innovate Invest Execute Exploit Implementer’s Perspective © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 53. Enterprise Investment Process – Core Capabilities Contribution & Influence High Asset & Service Exploitation (Enterprise) Investment Portfolio Management Project Management (Implementation) Project Management (Investment) Enterprise Architecture Operations Management Sourcing Low Innovate Invest Execute Investment Process © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved. Exploit
  • 54. Enterprise Investments Board Replaces “IT Governance Board” Sets investment goals, constraints, priorities Monitors aggregate performance of investments Examines predicted impacts of investments on future operating costs Scrutinises existing investments and steers their execution Approves or reject new proposals for investment © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 55. Enterprise Investment Portfolio (Live Projects) Value Type Investment Goals Project Investment Revenue protection & growth +€125m 2015 +€150m Value Project A 2014 Projects +€13,5m 7,2 Project B +€131,8m P&L Cost impact Probability Implementation Investment +3,9 High Medium 54,1 +12,6 Medium Medium Project C Cost control & reduction +€11,2m 3,7 +8,1 High Low Project D -€33,1m 11,5 -33,1 Medium Zero Project E -€25,1m 2,3 -25,3 High High Project F +0,31 9,7 -7,0 Medium Low Project G +0,63 30,5 +28,5 Medium Medium Project H +3,0% 52,5 +7,6 Low Low Project I +8,5% 74,6 +18,9 High Medium Project J +0,21 41,6 +9,4 High High Project K +0,16 33,1 +3,1 Zero Zero -€50m Zero increase +0,5 +1,0 Brand reputation +5,0% To be confirmed Customer delight +0,25 +0,40 +10,0% +5,0% Project L +12,5% 62,9 -3,0 High Low Compliance Yes Yes Project M Yes 49,0 +8,8 High Medium Survival Yes Yes Project N Yes 12,0 +4,5 High Medium Enterprise Architecture Yes Yes Project O Yes 76,6 +11,0 High High 521,3 +48,0 Productivity & Efficiency Employees satisfaction Investments and P&L costs are in € million, and include both actual costs and the cost equivalent of time © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 56. Enterprise Architecture Scenario Planning (Example Output) Customers De Facto Scenario Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario X Processes Products & Services Organisation Technologies Innovation Incremental Step Change Incremental Breakthrough Breakthrough Investment Low High High Medium Medium Innovation Incremental Incremental Incremental Step Change Step Change Investment Low Medium High Medium Medium Innovation Breakthrough Breakthrough Step Change Incremental Incremental Investment Low Medium Medium Low Low Innovation Step Change Incremental Breakthrough Incremental Step Change Investment Medium Medium Medium Medium High Innovation ? ? ? ? ? Investment ? ? ? ? ? © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 57. Enterprise Investment Proposal Completed and presented by whoever will deliver the benefits Overall sequence of questions: - Primary goal, any secondary goals - Estimated costs - Preferred solution - Probability of success Whose behaviours will need to change, and how, for the investment to succeed? Specific people that success will depend upon Timescale, end-backwards © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 58. In Conclusion © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 59. Enterprise Investment – Promise and First Principle Achieving your goals for both structure and value as risk-efficiently as possible Investment is about scenarios and probabilities not certainties © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 60. Enterprise Investment Value Chain Strategy Enterprise Architecture Enterprise Investment Value Structure Sourcing People Services Products Supply (Internal/External – Cloud) © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved. Investment Portfolio Management
  • 61. Enterprise Investment Process – Core Capabilities Contribution & Influence High Asset & Service Exploitation (Enterprise) Investment Portfolio Management Project Management (Implementation) Project Management (Investment) Enterprise Architecture Operations Management Sourcing Low Innovate Invest Execute Investment Process © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved. Exploit
  • 62. Enterprise Investment Culture - Diagnosis Dimension Prevailing Culture Considered always Considered last Avoided Considered first None Market Technical Internal Investment Portfolio Inventory Bottom-up Non-existent Top-down Targeting Outcomes Activities Outputs None Exploiting Assets & Services Central Missing Peripheral Intended Investment Strategy Random Strategic goals Operational goals Something else Accountable Nominal Absent Responsible Project Management Delivering change Time/cost/ quality ROI hypothesis Delivering value Impact on Operating Costs Important Ignored Interesting Critical Behaviour Towards Projects Controlling Influencing Undermining Not interested Value Creation Innovation Focus Sponsorship © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 63. Enterprise Investment Culture – Example Diagnosis Dimension Prevailing Culture Considered always Considered last Avoided Considered first None Market Technical Internal Investment Portfolio Inventory Bottom-up Non-existent Top-down Targeting Outcomes Activities Outputs None Exploiting Assets & Services Central Missing Peripheral Intended Investment Strategy Random Strategic goals Operational goals Something else Accountable Nominal Absent Responsible Project Management Delivering change Time/cost/ quality ROI hypothesis Delivering value Impact on Operating Costs Important Ignored Interesting Critical Behaviour Towards Projects Controlling Influencing Undermining Not interested Value Creation Innovation Focus Sponsorship © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 64. Enterprise Investment Culture – The “Perfect Diagnosis” Dimension Prevailing Culture Considered always Considered last Avoided Considered first None Market Technical Internal Investment Portfolio Inventory Bottom-up Non-existent Top-down Targeting Outcomes Activities Outputs None Exploiting Assets & Services Central Missing Peripheral Intended Investment Strategy Random Strategic goals Operational goals Something else Accountable Nominal Absent Responsible Project Management Delivering change Time/cost/ quality ROI hypothesis Delivering value Impact on Operating Costs Important Ignored Interesting Critical Behaviour Towards Projects Controlling Influencing Undermining Not interested Value Creation Innovation Focus Sponsorship © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 65. Enterprise Investment Culture – What to Keep, What to Change? Dimension Prevailing Culture Considered always Considered last Avoided Considered first None Market Technical Internal Investment Portfolio Inventory Bottom-up Non-existent Top-down Targeting Outcomes Activities Outputs None Exploiting Assets & Services Central Missing Peripheral Intended Investment Strategy Random Strategic goals Operational goals Something else Accountable Nominal Absent Responsible Project Management Delivering change Time/cost/ quality ROI hypothesis Delivering value Impact on Operating Costs Important Ignored Interesting Critical Behaviour Towards Projects Controlling Influencing Undermining Not interested Value Creation Innovation Focus Sponsorship © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 66. Enterprise Investment Portfolio (Live Projects) Value Type Investment Goals Project Investment Revenue protection & growth +€125m 2015 +€150m Value Project A 2014 Projects +€13,5m 7,2 Project B +€131,8m P&L Cost impact Probability Implementation Investment +3,9 High Medium 54,1 +12,6 Medium Medium Project C Cost control & reduction +€11,2m 3,7 +8,1 High Low Project D -€33,1m 11,5 -33,1 Medium Zero Project E -€25,1m 2,3 -25,3 High High Project F +0,31 9,7 -7,0 Medium Low Project G +0,63 30,5 +28,5 Medium Medium Project H +3,0% 52,5 +7,6 Low Low Project I +8,5% 74,6 +18,9 High Medium Project J +0,21 41,6 +9,4 High High Project K +0,16 33,1 +3,1 Zero Zero -€50m Zero increase +0,5 +1,0 Brand reputation +5,0% To be confirmed Customer delight +0,25 +0,40 +10,0% +5,0% Project L +12,5% 62,9 -3,0 High Low Compliance Yes Yes Project M Yes 49,0 +8,8 High Medium Survival Yes Yes Project N Yes 12,0 +4,5 High Medium Enterprise Architecture Yes Yes Project O Yes 76,6 +11,0 High High 521,3 +48,0 Productivity & Efficiency Employees satisfaction Investments and P&L costs are in € million, and include both actual costs and the cost equivalent of time © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 67. Summary Enterprise Investment emerging from IT (but doesn’t have to) Combination of Enterprise Architecture & Investments Management Culture eats strategy for breakfast - diagnose, handle with care Goals-driven and efficient investments portfolio Enterprise Architecture framed by alternative scenarios © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.
  • 68. The End Thank You Have a Safe Journey It's a metamorphosis © Copyright Dominic Barrow Services Limited. All rights reserved.