The document discusses key concepts related to probability and random variables including:
- Random variables can be discrete or continuous depending on whether their outcomes come from a finite set of possibilities or vary along a continuous scale.
- Probability distributions like the binomial, Poisson, normal and uniform describe the probabilities associated with different outcomes of a random variable.
- Important properties of distributions include the mean, variance, skewness, and kurtosis.
- The normal distribution is widely used as it approximates many natural phenomena and the probability of events can be found by calculating the associated area under its probability density function curve.
Elements of Inference covers the following concepts and takes off right from where we left off in the previous slide https://www.slideshare.net/GiridharChandrasekar1/statistics1-the-basics-of-statistics.
Population Vs Sample (Measures)
Probability
Random Variables
Probability Distributions
Statistical Inference – The Concept
This document discusses several common probability distributions: binomial, Poisson, geometric, and normal. It provides characteristics, formulas, and examples of each. The binomial distribution describes independent yes/no trials with fixed probabilities. The Poisson distribution applies when the probability of an event is very small. The geometric distribution gives the number of trials until the first success. The normal distribution is symmetric and bell-shaped, describing many natural phenomena.
Basic statistics for algorithmic tradingQuantInsti
In this presentation we try to understand the core basics of statistics and its application in algorithmic trading.
We start by defining what statistics is. Collecting data is the root of statistics. We need data to analyse and take quantitative decisions.
While analyzing, there are certain parameters for statistics, this branches statistics into two - descriptive statistics & inferential statistics.
This data that we have collected can be classified into uni-variate and bi-variate. It also tries to explain the fundamental difference.
Going Further we also cover topics like regression line, Coefficient of Determination, Homoscedasticity and Heteroscedasticity.
In this way the presentation look at various aspects of statistics which are used for algorithmic trading.
To learn the advanced applications of statistics for HFT & Quantitative Trading connect with us one our website: www.quantinsti.com.
Probability theory provides a framework for quantifying and manipulating uncertainty. It allows optimal predictions given incomplete information. The document outlines key probability concepts like sample spaces, events, axioms of probability, joint/conditional probabilities, and Bayes' rule. It also covers important probability distributions like binomial, Gaussian, and multivariate Gaussian. Finally, it discusses optimization concepts for machine learning like functions, derivatives, and using derivatives to find optima like maxima and minima.
The document provides information about binomial probability distributions including:
- Binomial experiments have a fixed number (n) of independent trials with two possible outcomes and a constant probability (p) of success.
- The binomial probability distribution gives the probability of getting exactly x successes in n trials. It is calculated using the binomial coefficient and p and q=1-p.
- The mean, variance and standard deviation of a binomial distribution are np, npq, and √npq respectively.
- Examples demonstrate calculating probabilities of outcomes for binomial experiments and determining if results are significantly low or high using the range rule of μ ± 2σ.
The document discusses various probability distributions including the binomial, Poisson, and normal distributions. It provides definitions and key properties of each distribution. It also discusses sampling with and without replacement as well as the Monte Carlo method for simulating physical systems using random sampling. The Monte Carlo method can be used to computationally estimate values like pi by simulating the throwing of darts at a circular target.
The document discusses probability distributions and provides examples of discrete probability distributions like the binomial and Poisson distributions. It defines key terms like random variable, expected value, and probability distribution. It also outlines how the Poisson distribution can be used to model rare, independent events and provides examples of its applications in areas like manufacturing defects and arrival rates.
The document discusses various probability distributions including discrete and continuous distributions. It provides examples of discrete distributions such as the binomial, geometric, and Poisson distributions. It also discusses continuous distributions like the normal, exponential, and other distributions. The key points are that probability distributions describe the probabilities of possible outcomes of random variables, can be discrete or continuous, and the normal distribution is important due to the central limit theorem.
Elements of Inference covers the following concepts and takes off right from where we left off in the previous slide https://www.slideshare.net/GiridharChandrasekar1/statistics1-the-basics-of-statistics.
Population Vs Sample (Measures)
Probability
Random Variables
Probability Distributions
Statistical Inference – The Concept
This document discusses several common probability distributions: binomial, Poisson, geometric, and normal. It provides characteristics, formulas, and examples of each. The binomial distribution describes independent yes/no trials with fixed probabilities. The Poisson distribution applies when the probability of an event is very small. The geometric distribution gives the number of trials until the first success. The normal distribution is symmetric and bell-shaped, describing many natural phenomena.
Basic statistics for algorithmic tradingQuantInsti
In this presentation we try to understand the core basics of statistics and its application in algorithmic trading.
We start by defining what statistics is. Collecting data is the root of statistics. We need data to analyse and take quantitative decisions.
While analyzing, there are certain parameters for statistics, this branches statistics into two - descriptive statistics & inferential statistics.
This data that we have collected can be classified into uni-variate and bi-variate. It also tries to explain the fundamental difference.
Going Further we also cover topics like regression line, Coefficient of Determination, Homoscedasticity and Heteroscedasticity.
In this way the presentation look at various aspects of statistics which are used for algorithmic trading.
To learn the advanced applications of statistics for HFT & Quantitative Trading connect with us one our website: www.quantinsti.com.
Probability theory provides a framework for quantifying and manipulating uncertainty. It allows optimal predictions given incomplete information. The document outlines key probability concepts like sample spaces, events, axioms of probability, joint/conditional probabilities, and Bayes' rule. It also covers important probability distributions like binomial, Gaussian, and multivariate Gaussian. Finally, it discusses optimization concepts for machine learning like functions, derivatives, and using derivatives to find optima like maxima and minima.
The document provides information about binomial probability distributions including:
- Binomial experiments have a fixed number (n) of independent trials with two possible outcomes and a constant probability (p) of success.
- The binomial probability distribution gives the probability of getting exactly x successes in n trials. It is calculated using the binomial coefficient and p and q=1-p.
- The mean, variance and standard deviation of a binomial distribution are np, npq, and √npq respectively.
- Examples demonstrate calculating probabilities of outcomes for binomial experiments and determining if results are significantly low or high using the range rule of μ ± 2σ.
The document discusses various probability distributions including the binomial, Poisson, and normal distributions. It provides definitions and key properties of each distribution. It also discusses sampling with and without replacement as well as the Monte Carlo method for simulating physical systems using random sampling. The Monte Carlo method can be used to computationally estimate values like pi by simulating the throwing of darts at a circular target.
The document discusses probability distributions and provides examples of discrete probability distributions like the binomial and Poisson distributions. It defines key terms like random variable, expected value, and probability distribution. It also outlines how the Poisson distribution can be used to model rare, independent events and provides examples of its applications in areas like manufacturing defects and arrival rates.
The document discusses various probability distributions including discrete and continuous distributions. It provides examples of discrete distributions such as the binomial, geometric, and Poisson distributions. It also discusses continuous distributions like the normal, exponential, and other distributions. The key points are that probability distributions describe the probabilities of possible outcomes of random variables, can be discrete or continuous, and the normal distribution is important due to the central limit theorem.
The document discusses probability distributions, which model the probabilities of outcomes in random phenomena. It covers:
- Discrete and continuous probability distributions, which model outcomes that are discrete or continuous.
- Key properties of distributions like the mean, variance, and standard deviation, which describe the central tendency and variation of outcomes.
- Specific discrete distributions like the binomial and Poisson, which model counts of successes/failures and rare events.
- The normal/Gaussian distribution as the most common continuous distribution, fully described by its mean and variance.
- Standardizing normal variables to the standard normal distribution with mean 0 and variance 1 for easier probability calculations.
This document discusses statistical decision making and various statistical classification techniques. It introduces Bayes' theorem and how it can be used for classification when the joint probability is difficult to calculate. It discusses parametric and non-parametric decision making methods. It also covers topics like decision trees, entropy, histograms, k-nearest neighbor classification, and decision boundaries. Examples of applying Bayes' theorem to medical diagnosis problems are provided.
This document provides an introduction to basic probability concepts and definitions. It explains that probability is used to make inferences about populations based on samples and to quantify uncertainty. The key concepts covered include sample spaces, events, unions and intersections of events, conditional probabilities, independence of events, and common probability rules and calculations like the addition rule and multiplication rule. Examples are provided to illustrate concepts like finding probabilities of events, permutations, combinations, and using probability tables.
The document discusses various probability distributions including binomial, Poisson, and normal distributions. It provides examples of how to calculate probabilities using each distribution. The key points are:
- Probability is expressed as a value from 0 to 1 and can be calculated as the number of desired outcomes over total possible outcomes.
- There are addition and multiplication rules for calculating probabilities of independent and mutually exclusive events.
- Binomial distribution describes yes/no outcomes over fixed number of trials with fixed probability of success.
- Poisson distribution applies when probability of success is very small and number of trials is very large.
- The normal distribution produces a symmetric, bell-shaped curve and is useful when variables are measured continuously.
This document provides information about discrete and continuous probability distributions. It defines discrete and continuous random variables and gives examples of each. It describes how to calculate the mean and variance of discrete distributions. It also introduces the binomial, Poisson, and normal distributions and provides the key properties and formulas to describe and calculate probabilities for each distribution.
This document provides information about binomial and Poisson distributions. It includes examples of calculating probabilities for binomial distributions using the binomial probability formula and binomial tables. It also provides the key characteristics and formula for the Poisson distribution. The mean, variance and standard deviation are defined for binomial distributions. Examples are provided to demonstrate calculating these values.
This chapter discusses probability concepts including random variables, events, and probability. It defines two types of random variables - discrete and continuous. Discrete random variables take on countable values while continuous random variables have an unbroken range of possible outcomes. Probability is defined as the relative frequency of an event occurring in the long run. Properties of probability include being between 0 and 1, the sample space summing to 1, complements summing to 1, and adding probabilities of disjoint events. Examples illustrate probability mass functions for discrete variables and probability density functions for continuous variables.
This chapter discusses probability concepts including random variables, events, and probability. It defines two types of random variables - discrete and continuous. Discrete random variables take on countable values while continuous random variables have an unbroken range of possible outcomes. Probability is defined as the relative frequency of an event occurring in the long run. Properties of probability include being between 0 and 1, the sample space summing to 1, complements summing to 1, and adding probabilities of disjoint events. Examples illustrate probability mass functions for discrete variables and probability density functions for continuous variables.
Appropriate sampling of training points is one of the primary factors affecting the fidelity of surro- gate models. This paper investigates the relative advantage of probability-based uniform sampling over distance-based uniform sampling in training surrogate models whose system inputs follow a distribution. Using the probability of the inputs as the metric for sampling, the probability-based uniform sample points are obtained by the inverse transform sampling. To study the suitability of probability-based uniform sampling for surrogate modeling, the Mean Squared Error (MSE) of a monomial form is for- mulated based on the relationship between the squared error of a surrogate model and the volume or hypervolume per sample point. Two surrogate models are developed respectively using the same number of probability-based and distance-based uniform sample points to approximate the same system. Their fidelities are compared using the monomial MSE function. When the exponent of the monomial function is between 0 and 1, the fidelity of the surrogate model trained using probability-based uniform sampling is higher than that of the other one trained using distance-based uniform sampling. When the exponent is greater than 1 or less than 0, the fidelity comparison is reversed. This theoretical conclusion is suc- cessfully verified using standard test functions and an engineering application.
The document discusses probability models and how they can be used to make inferences from data. It introduces concepts like random variables, probability distributions, conditional probability, Bayes' rule, and Markov models. It provides examples of how to compute probabilities both mathematically and through simulation. The goal is to choose a probability model that best explains the data and make predictions from that model.
The document discusses probability models and how they can be used to make inferences from data. It introduces concepts like random variables, probability distributions, conditional probability, Bayes' rule, and Markov models. It provides examples of how to compute probabilities both mathematically and through simulation. The goal is to choose a probability model that best explains the data and make predictions from that model.
The document discusses probability models and how they can be used to make inferences from data. It introduces concepts like random variables, probability distributions, conditional probability, Bayes' rule, and Markov models. It provides examples of how to compute probabilities both mathematically and through simulation. The goal is to choose a probability model that best explains the data and make predictions from that model.
The document discusses probability models and how they can be used to make inferences from data. It introduces concepts like random variables, probability distributions, conditional probability, Bayes' rule, and Markov models. It provides examples of how to compute probabilities both mathematically and through simulation. The goal is to choose a probability model that best explains the data and make predictions from that model.
This document provides an overview of key concepts related to random variables and probability distributions. It discusses:
- Two types of random variables - discrete and continuous. Discrete variables can take countable values, continuous can be any value in an interval.
- Probability distributions for discrete random variables, which specify the probability of each possible outcome. Examples of common discrete distributions like binomial and Poisson are provided.
- Key properties and calculations for discrete distributions like expected value, variance, and the formulas for binomial and Poisson probabilities.
- Other discrete distributions like hypergeometric are introduced for situations where outcomes are not independent. Examples are provided to demonstrate calculating probabilities for each type of distribution.
- A continuous random variable (CRV) is the outcome of a continuous random experiment and can theoretically take on an infinite number of real values. Examples include measurements like heights or weights.
- For a CRV, the probability of any single value is approximately 0, so a probability mass function (PMF) cannot be used. Instead, the probability density function (PDF) gives the probability of an event occurring within a certain range of values.
- The PDF is integrated over the desired range to obtain the probability. Statistical parameters like the expected value and variance are also calculated using integrals of the random variable and its PDF.
This document discusses discrete probability distributions, specifically the binomial and Poisson distributions. It provides information on calculating probabilities using the binomial and Poisson probability formulas and tables. It defines key characteristics of binomial experiments and conditions for applying the binomial and Poisson distributions. Examples are given to demonstrate calculating probabilities for each distribution, including finding the mean, variance and standard deviation for binomial distributions.
This lecture covers random variables and probability distributions important in genetics and genomics. It defines random variables and discusses two types: discrete and continuous. Probability distributions of random variables include the probability mass function (pmf) for discrete variables and the probability density function (pdf) for continuous variables. Key distributions covered include the binomial, hypergeometric, Poisson, and normal distributions. It also discusses using cumulative distribution functions (CDFs) to calculate probabilities, and the concepts of expectation, variance, and the central limit theorem.
This document provides information about the binomial distribution including:
- The conditions that define a binomial experiment with parameters n, p, and q
- How to calculate binomial probabilities using the formula or tables
- How to construct a binomial distribution and graph it
- The mean, variance, and standard deviation of a binomial distribution are np, npq, and sqrt(npq) respectively
The document discusses probability distributions, which model the probabilities of outcomes in random phenomena. It covers:
- Discrete and continuous probability distributions, which model outcomes that are discrete or continuous.
- Key properties of distributions like the mean, variance, and standard deviation, which describe the central tendency and variation of outcomes.
- Specific discrete distributions like the binomial and Poisson, which model counts of successes/failures and rare events.
- The normal/Gaussian distribution as the most common continuous distribution, fully described by its mean and variance.
- Standardizing normal variables to the standard normal distribution with mean 0 and variance 1 for easier probability calculations.
This document discusses statistical decision making and various statistical classification techniques. It introduces Bayes' theorem and how it can be used for classification when the joint probability is difficult to calculate. It discusses parametric and non-parametric decision making methods. It also covers topics like decision trees, entropy, histograms, k-nearest neighbor classification, and decision boundaries. Examples of applying Bayes' theorem to medical diagnosis problems are provided.
This document provides an introduction to basic probability concepts and definitions. It explains that probability is used to make inferences about populations based on samples and to quantify uncertainty. The key concepts covered include sample spaces, events, unions and intersections of events, conditional probabilities, independence of events, and common probability rules and calculations like the addition rule and multiplication rule. Examples are provided to illustrate concepts like finding probabilities of events, permutations, combinations, and using probability tables.
The document discusses various probability distributions including binomial, Poisson, and normal distributions. It provides examples of how to calculate probabilities using each distribution. The key points are:
- Probability is expressed as a value from 0 to 1 and can be calculated as the number of desired outcomes over total possible outcomes.
- There are addition and multiplication rules for calculating probabilities of independent and mutually exclusive events.
- Binomial distribution describes yes/no outcomes over fixed number of trials with fixed probability of success.
- Poisson distribution applies when probability of success is very small and number of trials is very large.
- The normal distribution produces a symmetric, bell-shaped curve and is useful when variables are measured continuously.
This document provides information about discrete and continuous probability distributions. It defines discrete and continuous random variables and gives examples of each. It describes how to calculate the mean and variance of discrete distributions. It also introduces the binomial, Poisson, and normal distributions and provides the key properties and formulas to describe and calculate probabilities for each distribution.
This document provides information about binomial and Poisson distributions. It includes examples of calculating probabilities for binomial distributions using the binomial probability formula and binomial tables. It also provides the key characteristics and formula for the Poisson distribution. The mean, variance and standard deviation are defined for binomial distributions. Examples are provided to demonstrate calculating these values.
This chapter discusses probability concepts including random variables, events, and probability. It defines two types of random variables - discrete and continuous. Discrete random variables take on countable values while continuous random variables have an unbroken range of possible outcomes. Probability is defined as the relative frequency of an event occurring in the long run. Properties of probability include being between 0 and 1, the sample space summing to 1, complements summing to 1, and adding probabilities of disjoint events. Examples illustrate probability mass functions for discrete variables and probability density functions for continuous variables.
This chapter discusses probability concepts including random variables, events, and probability. It defines two types of random variables - discrete and continuous. Discrete random variables take on countable values while continuous random variables have an unbroken range of possible outcomes. Probability is defined as the relative frequency of an event occurring in the long run. Properties of probability include being between 0 and 1, the sample space summing to 1, complements summing to 1, and adding probabilities of disjoint events. Examples illustrate probability mass functions for discrete variables and probability density functions for continuous variables.
Appropriate sampling of training points is one of the primary factors affecting the fidelity of surro- gate models. This paper investigates the relative advantage of probability-based uniform sampling over distance-based uniform sampling in training surrogate models whose system inputs follow a distribution. Using the probability of the inputs as the metric for sampling, the probability-based uniform sample points are obtained by the inverse transform sampling. To study the suitability of probability-based uniform sampling for surrogate modeling, the Mean Squared Error (MSE) of a monomial form is for- mulated based on the relationship between the squared error of a surrogate model and the volume or hypervolume per sample point. Two surrogate models are developed respectively using the same number of probability-based and distance-based uniform sample points to approximate the same system. Their fidelities are compared using the monomial MSE function. When the exponent of the monomial function is between 0 and 1, the fidelity of the surrogate model trained using probability-based uniform sampling is higher than that of the other one trained using distance-based uniform sampling. When the exponent is greater than 1 or less than 0, the fidelity comparison is reversed. This theoretical conclusion is suc- cessfully verified using standard test functions and an engineering application.
The document discusses probability models and how they can be used to make inferences from data. It introduces concepts like random variables, probability distributions, conditional probability, Bayes' rule, and Markov models. It provides examples of how to compute probabilities both mathematically and through simulation. The goal is to choose a probability model that best explains the data and make predictions from that model.
The document discusses probability models and how they can be used to make inferences from data. It introduces concepts like random variables, probability distributions, conditional probability, Bayes' rule, and Markov models. It provides examples of how to compute probabilities both mathematically and through simulation. The goal is to choose a probability model that best explains the data and make predictions from that model.
The document discusses probability models and how they can be used to make inferences from data. It introduces concepts like random variables, probability distributions, conditional probability, Bayes' rule, and Markov models. It provides examples of how to compute probabilities both mathematically and through simulation. The goal is to choose a probability model that best explains the data and make predictions from that model.
The document discusses probability models and how they can be used to make inferences from data. It introduces concepts like random variables, probability distributions, conditional probability, Bayes' rule, and Markov models. It provides examples of how to compute probabilities both mathematically and through simulation. The goal is to choose a probability model that best explains the data and make predictions from that model.
This document provides an overview of key concepts related to random variables and probability distributions. It discusses:
- Two types of random variables - discrete and continuous. Discrete variables can take countable values, continuous can be any value in an interval.
- Probability distributions for discrete random variables, which specify the probability of each possible outcome. Examples of common discrete distributions like binomial and Poisson are provided.
- Key properties and calculations for discrete distributions like expected value, variance, and the formulas for binomial and Poisson probabilities.
- Other discrete distributions like hypergeometric are introduced for situations where outcomes are not independent. Examples are provided to demonstrate calculating probabilities for each type of distribution.
- A continuous random variable (CRV) is the outcome of a continuous random experiment and can theoretically take on an infinite number of real values. Examples include measurements like heights or weights.
- For a CRV, the probability of any single value is approximately 0, so a probability mass function (PMF) cannot be used. Instead, the probability density function (PDF) gives the probability of an event occurring within a certain range of values.
- The PDF is integrated over the desired range to obtain the probability. Statistical parameters like the expected value and variance are also calculated using integrals of the random variable and its PDF.
This document discusses discrete probability distributions, specifically the binomial and Poisson distributions. It provides information on calculating probabilities using the binomial and Poisson probability formulas and tables. It defines key characteristics of binomial experiments and conditions for applying the binomial and Poisson distributions. Examples are given to demonstrate calculating probabilities for each distribution, including finding the mean, variance and standard deviation for binomial distributions.
This lecture covers random variables and probability distributions important in genetics and genomics. It defines random variables and discusses two types: discrete and continuous. Probability distributions of random variables include the probability mass function (pmf) for discrete variables and the probability density function (pdf) for continuous variables. Key distributions covered include the binomial, hypergeometric, Poisson, and normal distributions. It also discusses using cumulative distribution functions (CDFs) to calculate probabilities, and the concepts of expectation, variance, and the central limit theorem.
This document provides information about the binomial distribution including:
- The conditions that define a binomial experiment with parameters n, p, and q
- How to calculate binomial probabilities using the formula or tables
- How to construct a binomial distribution and graph it
- The mean, variance, and standard deviation of a binomial distribution are np, npq, and sqrt(npq) respectively
Embedded machine learning-based road conditions and driving behavior monitoringIJECEIAES
Car accident rates have increased in recent years, resulting in losses in human lives, properties, and other financial costs. An embedded machine learning-based system is developed to address this critical issue. The system can monitor road conditions, detect driving patterns, and identify aggressive driving behaviors. The system is based on neural networks trained on a comprehensive dataset of driving events, driving styles, and road conditions. The system effectively detects potential risks and helps mitigate the frequency and impact of accidents. The primary goal is to ensure the safety of drivers and vehicles. Collecting data involved gathering information on three key road events: normal street and normal drive, speed bumps, circular yellow speed bumps, and three aggressive driving actions: sudden start, sudden stop, and sudden entry. The gathered data is processed and analyzed using a machine learning system designed for limited power and memory devices. The developed system resulted in 91.9% accuracy, 93.6% precision, and 92% recall. The achieved inference time on an Arduino Nano 33 BLE Sense with a 32-bit CPU running at 64 MHz is 34 ms and requires 2.6 kB peak RAM and 139.9 kB program flash memory, making it suitable for resource-constrained embedded systems.
Rainfall intensity duration frequency curve statistical analysis and modeling...bijceesjournal
Using data from 41 years in Patna’ India’ the study’s goal is to analyze the trends of how often it rains on a weekly, seasonal, and annual basis (1981−2020). First, utilizing the intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) curve and the relationship by statistically analyzing rainfall’ the historical rainfall data set for Patna’ India’ during a 41 year period (1981−2020), was evaluated for its quality. Changes in the hydrologic cycle as a result of increased greenhouse gas emissions are expected to induce variations in the intensity, length, and frequency of precipitation events. One strategy to lessen vulnerability is to quantify probable changes and adapt to them. Techniques such as log-normal, normal, and Gumbel are used (EV-I). Distributions were created with durations of 1, 2, 3, 6, and 24 h and return times of 2, 5, 10, 25, and 100 years. There were also mathematical correlations discovered between rainfall and recurrence interval.
Findings: Based on findings, the Gumbel approach produced the highest intensity values, whereas the other approaches produced values that were close to each other. The data indicates that 461.9 mm of rain fell during the monsoon season’s 301st week. However, it was found that the 29th week had the greatest average rainfall, 92.6 mm. With 952.6 mm on average, the monsoon season saw the highest rainfall. Calculations revealed that the yearly rainfall averaged 1171.1 mm. Using Weibull’s method, the study was subsequently expanded to examine rainfall distribution at different recurrence intervals of 2, 5, 10, and 25 years. Rainfall and recurrence interval mathematical correlations were also developed. Further regression analysis revealed that short wave irrigation, wind direction, wind speed, pressure, relative humidity, and temperature all had a substantial influence on rainfall.
Originality and value: The results of the rainfall IDF curves can provide useful information to policymakers in making appropriate decisions in managing and minimizing floods in the study area.
Redefining brain tumor segmentation: a cutting-edge convolutional neural netw...IJECEIAES
Medical image analysis has witnessed significant advancements with deep learning techniques. In the domain of brain tumor segmentation, the ability to
precisely delineate tumor boundaries from magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)
scans holds profound implications for diagnosis. This study presents an ensemble convolutional neural network (CNN) with transfer learning, integrating
the state-of-the-art Deeplabv3+ architecture with the ResNet18 backbone. The
model is rigorously trained and evaluated, exhibiting remarkable performance
metrics, including an impressive global accuracy of 99.286%, a high-class accuracy of 82.191%, a mean intersection over union (IoU) of 79.900%, a weighted
IoU of 98.620%, and a Boundary F1 (BF) score of 83.303%. Notably, a detailed comparative analysis with existing methods showcases the superiority of
our proposed model. These findings underscore the model’s competence in precise brain tumor localization, underscoring its potential to revolutionize medical
image analysis and enhance healthcare outcomes. This research paves the way
for future exploration and optimization of advanced CNN models in medical
imaging, emphasizing addressing false positives and resource efficiency.
Use PyCharm for remote debugging of WSL on a Windo cf5c162d672e4e58b4dde5d797...shadow0702a
This document serves as a comprehensive step-by-step guide on how to effectively use PyCharm for remote debugging of the Windows Subsystem for Linux (WSL) on a local Windows machine. It meticulously outlines several critical steps in the process, starting with the crucial task of enabling permissions, followed by the installation and configuration of WSL.
The guide then proceeds to explain how to set up the SSH service within the WSL environment, an integral part of the process. Alongside this, it also provides detailed instructions on how to modify the inbound rules of the Windows firewall to facilitate the process, ensuring that there are no connectivity issues that could potentially hinder the debugging process.
The document further emphasizes on the importance of checking the connection between the Windows and WSL environments, providing instructions on how to ensure that the connection is optimal and ready for remote debugging.
It also offers an in-depth guide on how to configure the WSL interpreter and files within the PyCharm environment. This is essential for ensuring that the debugging process is set up correctly and that the program can be run effectively within the WSL terminal.
Additionally, the document provides guidance on how to set up breakpoints for debugging, a fundamental aspect of the debugging process which allows the developer to stop the execution of their code at certain points and inspect their program at those stages.
Finally, the document concludes by providing a link to a reference blog. This blog offers additional information and guidance on configuring the remote Python interpreter in PyCharm, providing the reader with a well-rounded understanding of the process.
Optimizing Gradle Builds - Gradle DPE Tour Berlin 2024Sinan KOZAK
Sinan from the Delivery Hero mobile infrastructure engineering team shares a deep dive into performance acceleration with Gradle build cache optimizations. Sinan shares their journey into solving complex build-cache problems that affect Gradle builds. By understanding the challenges and solutions found in our journey, we aim to demonstrate the possibilities for faster builds. The case study reveals how overlapping outputs and cache misconfigurations led to significant increases in build times, especially as the project scaled up with numerous modules using Paparazzi tests. The journey from diagnosing to defeating cache issues offers invaluable lessons on maintaining cache integrity without sacrificing functionality.
Discover the latest insights on Data Driven Maintenance with our comprehensive webinar presentation. Learn about traditional maintenance challenges, the right approach to utilizing data, and the benefits of adopting a Data Driven Maintenance strategy. Explore real-world examples, industry best practices, and innovative solutions like FMECA and the D3M model. This presentation, led by expert Jules Oudmans, is essential for asset owners looking to optimize their maintenance processes and leverage digital technologies for improved efficiency and performance. Download now to stay ahead in the evolving maintenance landscape.
2. Random Variables
• Random experiment: the outcome cannot be predicted with
certainty
• Statistics: model and analyze the outcomes
• Sample space S = set of all possible outcomes
• Die X = { 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}
• Period of a pendulum
•Errors in the measuring process
•Fundamental unpredictability
Discrete random variable
Continous random variable
3. • discrete vs. continuous probabilities
• discrete
– finite number of outcomes
• continuous
– outcomes vary along continuous scale
basic concepts (cont.)
Basic Concepts
5. Independent events
• one event has no influence on the outcome
of another event
• if events A & B are independent
then P(A&B) = P(A)*P(B)
• if P(A&B) = P(A)*P(B)
then events A & B are independent
• coin flipping
if P(H) = P(T) = .5 then
P(HTHTH) = P(HHHHH) =
.5*.5*.5*.5*.5 = .55 = .03
6. • mutually exclusive events are not
independent
• rather, the most dependent kinds of events
– if not heads, then tails
– joint probability of 2 mutually exclusive events
is 0
• P(A&B)=0
Mutually Exclusive Events
7. • if A and B are mutually exclusive events:
P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)
ex., die roll: P(1 or 6) = 1/6 + 1/6 = .33
• possibility set:
sum of all possible outcomes
~A = anything other than A
P(A or ~A) = P(A) + P(~A) = 1
basic concepts (cont.)
Basic Concepts
11. Bayes’ Theorem
An email message can pass through one of the two server routes
Probability of Error
Route %
messages
Server1 Server2 Server3 Server4
1 30 0.01 0.015
2 70 0.02 0.003
1. What is the probability that a message will arrive without error?
2. If a message arrives in error, find the probability that it was sent
through Route1
12. Bayes’ Theorem
An email message can pass through one of the two server routes
Probability of Error
Route %
messages
Server1 Server2 Server3 Server4
1 30 0.01 0.015
2 70 0.02 0.003
1. What is the probability that a message will arrive without error?
2. If a message arrives in error, find the probability that it was sent through Route1
Ans-1
P(R1) = 0.30; P(R2) = 0.70; Calculate P(Er/R1) = (0.01+0.015) = 0.025------(1)
P(Error) = (0.
30* 0.025)+( 0.70* 0.023) = 0.0236 =>
Ans 1 = 97.64% ie (1-0.0236)
Ans-2
P(Error/R1) = [P(R1) * P (Error/R1)]/ P(Error) = [(0.030* 0.025)/ 00236] = 0.6822
13. Assignment
The probability of the presence of an error in coding is
0.05.
If the probability of a tester detecting an error when the
error is present is 0.78; and the probability of
incorrectly detecting an error when the error is not
present is 0.06.
What is the probability that a code is tested as having an
error? What is the probability that a code tested as
having an error when the error is present?
15. NB
• Let’s say we’re testing for a rare disease, where 1% of
the population is infected. We have a highly sensitive
and specific test, which is not quite perfect:
• 99% of sick patients test positive.
• 99% of healthy patients test negative.
• Given that a patient tests positive, what is the
probability that the patient is actually sick?
• Consider 10,000 perfectly representative people.
17. PDF/ PMF
• Probability that an event occurs
– probability density function - continuous random variables or
– probability mass function - discrete random variables.
• To find the probability that a continuous random variable falls
in a particular interval of real numbers - calculate the
appropriate area under the curve of f(x) .
• Thus, evaluate the integral of f(x) over the interval of random
variables corresponding to the event of interest. This is
represented by
19. Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)
CDF F(x) is defined as the probability that the
random variable X assumes a value less than or
equal to a given x.
Calculated from the probability density function,
33. Random Variables(RV)
• A RV is defined as a process or action whose outcome cannot
be predicted with certainty and would likely change when the
experiment is repeated.
• The variability in the outcomes might arise from many
sources: slight errors in measurements
• The sample space is the set of all outcomes from an
experiment. eg dice {1,2,3,4,5,6}.
• The outcomes from random experiments are often represented
by an uppercase variable such as X.
• This is called a RV, and its value is subject to the uncertainty
intrinsic to the experiment.
34. Random Variables(RV)
• Formally, a RV is a real-valued function defined
on the sample space.
• RV can be discrete or continuous.
o A discrete RV : values from a finite or countably infinite set of
numbers. (no of typographical errors on a page.
o A continuous RV : take on values from an interval of real
numbers. (the inter-arrival times of planes at a runway)
35. Random Variables(RV)
• An event is a subset of outcomes in the sample space. (tensile strength
of cement is in the range 40 to 50 kg/cm2.)
• Two events that cannot occur simultaneously or jointly are called
mutually exclusive events.
• Probability is a measure of the likelihood that some event will occur.
• Probabilities range between 0 and 1. A PDF of a RV describes the
probabilities associated with each possible value for the RV.
• Equal likelihood model (assign prob 1/n) and
• The relative frequency method (conduct the experiment n times and record the
outcome. The probability of event E is assigned by P(E) = f ⁄ n where f denotes the
number of experimental outcomes that satisfy event E.
36. RV
• Discrete RV
o Binomial
o Poisson
• Continuous distributions:
o uniform,
o normal,
o exponential,
o gamma,
o chi-square, the Weibull, the beta and the multivariate
normal etc.
37. The binomial distribution
• A discrete probability distribution.
• It describes the outcome of n independent trials in an
experiment. Each trial is assumed to have only two
outcomes, either success or failure.
• If the probability of a successful trial is p, then the
probability of having x successful outcomes in an
experiment of n independent trials is as follows.
• Mean E[X] = np and V[X] = np(1-p)
38. The binomial distribution
• Frequently used to model the number of
successes in a sample of size n drawn with
replacement from a population of size N.
39. The binomial distribution
• Suppose there are twelve multiple choice questions in an
English class quiz. Each question has five possible answers,
and only one of them is correct.
• Find the probability of having
(a) Exactly four answers correct
(b) four or less correct answers
if a student attempts to answer every question at random.
40. The binomial distribution
• Suppose there are twelve multiple choice questions in an English class quiz. Each question has five possible
answers, and only one of them is correct. Find the probability of having (a) Exactly 4 ans correct (b) four or
less correct answers if a student attempts to answer every question at random.
• Solution
Since only one out of five possible answers is correct, the probability of answering a question correctly by
random is 1/5=0.2.
We can find the probability of having exactly 4 correct answers by random attempts as follows.
• (4, size=12, prob=0.2)
sum(np.random.binomial(12, 0.2, 20000) == 4)/20000. # Exactly four answers correct
0.1329
• To find the probability of having four or less correct answers by random attempts, find with x = 0,…,4.
• (0, size=12, prob=0.2) +
(1, size=12, prob=0.2) +
(2, size=12, prob=0.2) +
(3, size=12, prob=0.2) +
(4, size=12, prob=0.2)
sum(np.random.binomial(12, 0.2, 20000) <= 4)/20000. # four or less correct
• 0.9274
The probability of four or less questions answered correctly by random in a twelve question multiple choice
quiz is 92.7%.
41. Poisson Distribution
• Limiting case of Binomial, where chance of success is very
small ( p -> 0); n being large and np being small finite
quantity…binomial fails to state the real picture => PD.
• Eg: No of printing mistakes in a book; defects in a length of
wire ie “ Law of improbable events”
• PD is appropriate for applications where events occur at points
in time/ space: Arrival at bank counter/ fuel station / arrival of
aircrafts at a runway
42. Poisson Distribution
• The Poisson distribution is the probability distribution of
independent event occurrences in an interval.
• If λ is the mean occurrence per interval, then the probability of
having x occurrences within a given interval is:
• E[X] = V[X] = lamda
43. Poisson Distribution
• The Poisson distribution is the probability distribution of independent event occurrences in an
interval. If λ is the mean occurrence per interval, then the probability of having x occurrences
within a given interval is:
Ex Problem
• If there are twelve cars crossing a bridge per minute on average, find the probability of having seventeen or
more cars crossing the bridge in a particular minute.
Solution
• The probability of having sixteen or less cars crossing the bridge in a particular minute is
0.89871
• Hence the probability of having seventeen or more cars crossing the bridge in a minute is in the upper tail of
the probability density function.
0.10129
Answer
• If there are twelve cars crossing a bridge per minute on average, the probability of having seventeen or more
cars crossing the bridge in a particular minute is 10.1%.
44. Expectation
• The mean or EV of a RV is defined using the PDF/PMF.
• A measure of central tendency of the distribution. If we observe many
values of the RV and take the average => expect that value to be close to
the mean.
• EXPECTED VALUE - DISCRETE RV
• VARIANCE - DISCRETE RV
If a RV has a large variance, then an observed value of the RV is more likely to be far
from the mean μ.
The SD is the square root of the variance.
47. Moments of a RV
• Other expected values of interest in statistics - moments of a RV.
• The expectation of powers of the RV.
48. Skewness
• The uniform and the normal distribution are examples of
symmetric distributions.
• The gamma and the exponential are examples of skewed or
asymmetric distributions.
• The 3rd central moment - a measure of asymmetry or
skewness in the distribution.
coefficient of skewness,
Distributions skewed to the left - negative coefficient of skewness,
Distributions skewed to the right - positive Value &
for symmetric distributions - Zero.
However, a coefficient of skewness equal to zero does not mean that the distribution must be
symmetric.
49. January 2, 2024 49
Symmetric vs. Skewed Data
• Median, mean and mode of symmetric, positively and negatively
skewed data
• In a unimodal frequency curve with perfect symmetric data
distribution, the mean, median, and mode are all at the same center
value, as shown in Figure
• Data in most real applications are not symmetric.
• They may instead be either positively skewed, where the mode
occurs at a value that is smaller than the median(Figure), or
• negatively skewed, where the mode occurs at a value greater
than the median (Figure).
50. Continuous Random Variables
•A continuous random variable X takes all values in an
interval of numbers.
Not countable
•The probability distribution of a continuous r.v. X is
described by a density curve.
•The probability of any event is the area under the density
curve and above the values of X that make up the event.
51. Kurtosis
• Kurtosis measures a different type of departure from normality -
indicating the extent of the peak (or the degree of flatness near its
center) in a distribution.
• The coefficient of kurtosis :
• If the distribution is normal, then this ratio is equal to 3.
> 3 => more values in the neighborhood of the mean (is more peaked than the
normal distribution).
< 3 => curve is flatter than the normal.
Sometimes the coefficient of excess kurtosis used as a measure of kurtosis.
63. Six Sigma
• For any normal RV
– One sigma covers 68.27%
– Two sigma covers 95.45% and
– Six sigma process is one in which 99.99966%
of all opportunities to produce some feature of
a part are statistically expected to be free of
defects (3.4 defective features per million
opportunities).
– Motorola set a goal of "six sigma" for all of its
manufacturing.
64. Ex – Normal distribution
• Current in a strip of wire is assumed to
follow a normal distribution with mean 10
mA and variance 4 (mA)2.
• Find the probability that the measurement
of current will exceed 13 mA
The continuous random variable 𝑋 has the Normal distribution if the pdf is: 𝑓 𝑥 =
1
2𝜋𝜎2
𝑒
− 𝑥−𝜇 2
2𝜎2
(−∞ < 𝑥 < ∞)
74. Exponential Distribution
Definition
1- exp(-λx), x≥0
0, elsewhere
F(x) =
Cdf
• model the amount of time until a specific event occurs or to model the
time between independent events.
• ex
• the time until the computer locks up,
• the time between arrivals of telephone calls, or
• the time until a part fails.
λ is the average arrival rate of those events
75. • => the probability that the object will operate for time s+t, given it
has already operated for time s, is simply the probability that it
operates for time t.
When the exponential is used to represent inter-arrival times, then
the parameter λ is a rate with units of arrivals per time period.
When the exponential is used to model the time until a failure
occurs, then λ is the failure rate.
Exponential Distribution
76. • The time between arrivals of vehicles at an intersection
follows an exponential distribution with a mean of 12
seconds. What is the probability that the time between
arrivals is 10 seconds or less?
• Given the average inter-arrival time, so λ = 1 ⁄ 12 . The
required probability is
Exponential Distribution
77. Exponential Distribution
Our starting point for observing the system does not matter.
•An interesting property of an exponential random variable is the
lack of memory property.
In Example , suppose that there are no vehicles arriving from 10:00
to 10:15 AM; the probability that there are vehicles arriving in the
next 10 secs is still 0.57
Because we have already been waiting for 15 minutes, we feel that
we are “due.” …ie, we expect the probability of a vehicle arriving in
the next 10 secs should be greater than 0.57.
81. Assignment
• Suppose the mean checkout time of a supermarket cashier is three
minutes. Find the probability of a customer checkout being completed
by the cashier in less than two minutes.(0.48658)
• Assume that the test scores of a college entrance exam fits a normal
distribution. Furthermore, the mean test score is 72, and the standard
deviation is 15.2. What is the percentage of students scoring 84 or
more in the exam? (0.21492)