SlideShare a Scribd company logo
Location:
QuantUniversity Meetup
6/22/2017
Boston MA
The 21st Century Quant
2017 Copyright QuantUniversity LLC.
Presented By:
Sri Krishnamurthy, CFA, CAP
sri@quantuniversity.com
www.analyticscertificate.com
2
Slides will be available at:
https://www.slideshare.net/QuantUniversity
• Founder of QuantUniversity LLC. and
www.analyticscertificate.com
• Advisory and Consultancy for Financial Analytics
• Prior Experience at MathWorks, Citigroup and
Endeca and 25+ financial services and energy
customers.
• Regular Columnist for the Wilmott Magazine
• Author of forthcoming book
“Financial Modeling: A case study approach”
published by Wiley
• Charted Financial Analyst and Certified Analytics
Professional
• Teaches Analytics in the Babson College MBA
program and at Northeastern University, Boston
Sri Krishnamurthy
Founder and CEO
3
4
Quantitative Analytics and Big Data Analytics Onboarding
• Trained more than 1000 students in
Quantitative methods, Data Science
and Big Data Technologies using
MATLAB, Python and R
• Launching
▫ Analytics Certificate Program
(August 2017)
▫ Fintech Certification program
(October 2017)
Late Summer 2017: http://www.analyticscertificate.com
7
8
• Boston
• New York
• Chicago
• Washington DC
• San Francisco
QuantUniversity meetups
9
• Big Data : Opportunities for the financial industry
• Cloud computing : Are we there yet?
• Retooling the Quant: The Programming Language Wars
• Machine learning, AI, Deep Learning: Sifting the hype from reality
• Fintech: Bringing Silicon Valley to Wall Street
• Regulation and Risk : Accept, Optimize, Innovate
Topic for today’s talk
10
11
The 1980s and 1990s
- Ronald Kahn, Blackrock, Barclays, Barra
12
The 1980s and 1990s
- Peter Carr, Morgan Stanley, NYU
13
The 1980s and 1990s
- Neil Chris, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs
14
The 1980s and 1990s
- Andrew Lo, MIT, Alpha Simplex
15
The 1980s and 1990s
16
Financial engineering and Math Finance Programs
17
Financial engineering and Math Finance Programs
18
19
20
As per Wikipedia.. “It focuses on, among other things, the
2007 subprime mortgage crisis and how it helped trigger a
sudden and massive unwind of complex, highly leveraged
quantitative strategies. ”
21
The Demise of the Quant Role?
22
• Front office quant roles
• Risk management
• Model Validation
The transitionary quant roles
http://www.investopedia.com/articles/professionals/121615/q
uantitative-analyst-job-description-average-salary.asp
23
The rise of the quants?
24
25
26
27
28
• Up
▫ R, Python
▫ Big Data
▫ Data Science, Machine Learning, AI
▫ Ability to work with large datasets
▫ Optimization skills, Distributed and parallel computing paradigms
▫ Understanding of stress testing, model validation etc.
▫ Ability to glue multiple, disparate systems
▫ Quantamental roles
• Down
▫ Great with ideation but little implementation experience
▫ Pure Mathematical finance grads with little programming experience
▫ Quant Operations and Quant IT roles
▫ Engineers, Economists, Applied Mathematicians, Physicists without domain
experience
▫ Fundamental analysts without Quant skills
Quant Job profiles are changing
29
http://www.risk.net/risk-management/5289871/the-quant-
factory-not-muppets-but-not-perfect
30
31
1. Big Data : Opportunities for the financial industry
2. Cloud computing : Are we there yet?
3. Retooling the Quant: The Programming Language Wars
4. Machine learning, AI, Deep Learning: Sifting the hype from reality
5. Fintech: Bringing Silicon Valley to Wall Street
6. Regulation and Risk : Accept, Optimize, Innovate
Six areas every quant should know about
32
Big Data
Source: http://www.ey.com/gl/en/services/advisory/ey-big-
data-big-opportunities-big-challenges
33
• Apache Spark enterprise adoption of HDFS based architectures
• Alternate data and going beyond traditional factors
• Incorporating Text and Sentiment analysis
▫ https://www.ravenpack.com/research/jp-morgan-big-data-ai-machine-
learning-alternative-data/
• More realistic use-cases
▫ Large data sets for anomaly detection
▫ Credit risk modeling
 Freddie mac dataset
http://www.freddiemac.com/research/datasets/sf_loanlevel_dataset.html
 Lending club dataset :
https://www.lendingclub.com/info/download-data.action
Big Data trends and opportunities
34
Cloud computing
Source: https://www.skyhighnetworks.com/cloud-security-
blog/microsoft-azure-closes-iaas-adoption-gap-with-amazon-
aws/
35
36
• Scaling stress and scenario tests
• Model calibration and parameter tuning
• More frequent model updates
• Scraping datasets for proprietary data sources
• Dynamic sandboxes for environment and product testing
• Shorten the Quant Research -> Quant Deployment cycle
• Microservices and Docker to enable dynamic environments
• GPUs in the Cloud makes massive computing possible!
Cloud computing trends and opportunities
37
The programming language wars
38
• R, Python on the rise
• Julia is getting attention
• Focus on environment management and supporting open source
languages
▫ Domino Data Labs
▫ IBM Data science Experience + Hortonworks
▫ Cloudera Data science workbench
▫ Azure Machine Learning and R programming integration
• Package support and community support increasing for R & Python
• Acceptance of open source language risk increasing and reliance on
commercial languages slowing
• Cloud vendors making it easy to “rent” their infrastructure for model
building
Programming languages trends and opportunities
39
AI and Machine learning
40
Some concepts are not new ; But interest in ML and AI re-emerging
41
Lots of books, conferences, demos and vendor-driven seminars
42
• Silicon valley leading the way
• Lots of interest but few proven use-cases
• Many organizations intrigued and are prototyping applications
• Many niche solutions that offer promise ( no generic solutions out there
yet)
• Companies like J. P. Morgan heavily investing in Machine Learning and AI
• May not replace traditional Quant Finance but could complement it in
applications like Anomaly Detection, segmentation, scoring, classification
etc.
• Lots of Snake oil vendors
• Knowledge is power : Understand before applying and use at your own
risk
Machine Learning and AI : Trends and opportunities
43
• CFA Survey 2016
Fintech in the news
https://www.cfainstitute.org/Survey/fintech_survey.PDF
44
• CFA Survey 2016
Fintech in the news
https://www.cfainstitute.org/Survey/fintech_survey.PDF
45
Bitcoin
46
47
Global Fintech Landscape
48
Fintech education becomes serious
49
http://www.analyticscertificate.com/fintech/
50
http://www.analyticscertificate.com/fintech/
51
http://www.analyticscertificate.com/fintech/
52
http://www.analyticscertificate.com/fintech/
53
Lots of interesting problems for Quants to engage in
• Equity crowdfunding platforms intermediate share placements
• Peer-to-peer lending platforms intermediate or sell loans
• Robo-advisers provide automated investment advice
• Social trading platforms offer brokerage and investing services
• Just in time insurance purchases
• Longevity risk and insurance
• Health care costs and engaging millennials through gamification
• Domain expertise, risk and regulatory insights
• Potential to model interesting scenarios and innovate!
Fintech: Opportunities and trends
Ref: https://www.iosco.org/library/pubdocs/pdf/IOSCOPD554.pdf
54
• Post 2008 crisis, multiple regulations in effect
▫ CCAR, DFAST
▫ Model Validation
▫ BASEL
• SR 11-7 attachment: Supervisory Guidance on Model Risk
Management
• Most banks now approaching and addressing model risk in a
systematic way
Regulation
55
Fintech being noticed by Regulators
56
• https://www.americanbanker.com/opinion/banks-should-see-
stress-tests-as-an-opportunity-not-a-chore
• Blackbox models viewed with skepticism. Transparency and explain
ability as more machine learning models enter decision making
• Newer frameworks to optimize model tests and model governance
• Automation of stress and scenario tests
• Hardware to accelerate Model validation
• New opportunities in addressing risk in Fintech enterprises
Regulation: Opportunities and trends
57
58
59
Thank you!
Checkout our programs at:
www.analyticscertificate.com
Sri Krishnamurthy, CFA, CAP
Founder and CEO
QuantUniversity LLC.
srikrishnamurthy
www.QuantUniversity.com
Information, data and drawings embodied in this presentation are strictly a property of QuantUniversity LLC. and shall not be
distributed or used in any other publication without the prior written consent of QuantUniversity LLC.
60

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21st century quant

  • 1. Location: QuantUniversity Meetup 6/22/2017 Boston MA The 21st Century Quant 2017 Copyright QuantUniversity LLC. Presented By: Sri Krishnamurthy, CFA, CAP sri@quantuniversity.com www.analyticscertificate.com
  • 2. 2 Slides will be available at: https://www.slideshare.net/QuantUniversity
  • 3. • Founder of QuantUniversity LLC. and www.analyticscertificate.com • Advisory and Consultancy for Financial Analytics • Prior Experience at MathWorks, Citigroup and Endeca and 25+ financial services and energy customers. • Regular Columnist for the Wilmott Magazine • Author of forthcoming book “Financial Modeling: A case study approach” published by Wiley • Charted Financial Analyst and Certified Analytics Professional • Teaches Analytics in the Babson College MBA program and at Northeastern University, Boston Sri Krishnamurthy Founder and CEO 3
  • 4. 4 Quantitative Analytics and Big Data Analytics Onboarding • Trained more than 1000 students in Quantitative methods, Data Science and Big Data Technologies using MATLAB, Python and R • Launching ▫ Analytics Certificate Program (August 2017) ▫ Fintech Certification program (October 2017)
  • 5.
  • 6. Late Summer 2017: http://www.analyticscertificate.com
  • 7. 7
  • 8. 8 • Boston • New York • Chicago • Washington DC • San Francisco QuantUniversity meetups
  • 9. 9 • Big Data : Opportunities for the financial industry • Cloud computing : Are we there yet? • Retooling the Quant: The Programming Language Wars • Machine learning, AI, Deep Learning: Sifting the hype from reality • Fintech: Bringing Silicon Valley to Wall Street • Regulation and Risk : Accept, Optimize, Innovate Topic for today’s talk
  • 10. 10
  • 11. 11 The 1980s and 1990s - Ronald Kahn, Blackrock, Barclays, Barra
  • 12. 12 The 1980s and 1990s - Peter Carr, Morgan Stanley, NYU
  • 13. 13 The 1980s and 1990s - Neil Chris, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs
  • 14. 14 The 1980s and 1990s - Andrew Lo, MIT, Alpha Simplex
  • 16. 16 Financial engineering and Math Finance Programs
  • 17. 17 Financial engineering and Math Finance Programs
  • 18. 18
  • 19. 19
  • 20. 20 As per Wikipedia.. “It focuses on, among other things, the 2007 subprime mortgage crisis and how it helped trigger a sudden and massive unwind of complex, highly leveraged quantitative strategies. ”
  • 21. 21 The Demise of the Quant Role?
  • 22. 22 • Front office quant roles • Risk management • Model Validation The transitionary quant roles http://www.investopedia.com/articles/professionals/121615/q uantitative-analyst-job-description-average-salary.asp
  • 23. 23 The rise of the quants?
  • 24. 24
  • 25. 25
  • 26. 26
  • 27. 27
  • 28. 28 • Up ▫ R, Python ▫ Big Data ▫ Data Science, Machine Learning, AI ▫ Ability to work with large datasets ▫ Optimization skills, Distributed and parallel computing paradigms ▫ Understanding of stress testing, model validation etc. ▫ Ability to glue multiple, disparate systems ▫ Quantamental roles • Down ▫ Great with ideation but little implementation experience ▫ Pure Mathematical finance grads with little programming experience ▫ Quant Operations and Quant IT roles ▫ Engineers, Economists, Applied Mathematicians, Physicists without domain experience ▫ Fundamental analysts without Quant skills Quant Job profiles are changing
  • 30. 30
  • 31. 31 1. Big Data : Opportunities for the financial industry 2. Cloud computing : Are we there yet? 3. Retooling the Quant: The Programming Language Wars 4. Machine learning, AI, Deep Learning: Sifting the hype from reality 5. Fintech: Bringing Silicon Valley to Wall Street 6. Regulation and Risk : Accept, Optimize, Innovate Six areas every quant should know about
  • 33. 33 • Apache Spark enterprise adoption of HDFS based architectures • Alternate data and going beyond traditional factors • Incorporating Text and Sentiment analysis ▫ https://www.ravenpack.com/research/jp-morgan-big-data-ai-machine- learning-alternative-data/ • More realistic use-cases ▫ Large data sets for anomaly detection ▫ Credit risk modeling  Freddie mac dataset http://www.freddiemac.com/research/datasets/sf_loanlevel_dataset.html  Lending club dataset : https://www.lendingclub.com/info/download-data.action Big Data trends and opportunities
  • 35. 35
  • 36. 36 • Scaling stress and scenario tests • Model calibration and parameter tuning • More frequent model updates • Scraping datasets for proprietary data sources • Dynamic sandboxes for environment and product testing • Shorten the Quant Research -> Quant Deployment cycle • Microservices and Docker to enable dynamic environments • GPUs in the Cloud makes massive computing possible! Cloud computing trends and opportunities
  • 38. 38 • R, Python on the rise • Julia is getting attention • Focus on environment management and supporting open source languages ▫ Domino Data Labs ▫ IBM Data science Experience + Hortonworks ▫ Cloudera Data science workbench ▫ Azure Machine Learning and R programming integration • Package support and community support increasing for R & Python • Acceptance of open source language risk increasing and reliance on commercial languages slowing • Cloud vendors making it easy to “rent” their infrastructure for model building Programming languages trends and opportunities
  • 39. 39 AI and Machine learning
  • 40. 40 Some concepts are not new ; But interest in ML and AI re-emerging
  • 41. 41 Lots of books, conferences, demos and vendor-driven seminars
  • 42. 42 • Silicon valley leading the way • Lots of interest but few proven use-cases • Many organizations intrigued and are prototyping applications • Many niche solutions that offer promise ( no generic solutions out there yet) • Companies like J. P. Morgan heavily investing in Machine Learning and AI • May not replace traditional Quant Finance but could complement it in applications like Anomaly Detection, segmentation, scoring, classification etc. • Lots of Snake oil vendors • Knowledge is power : Understand before applying and use at your own risk Machine Learning and AI : Trends and opportunities
  • 43. 43 • CFA Survey 2016 Fintech in the news https://www.cfainstitute.org/Survey/fintech_survey.PDF
  • 44. 44 • CFA Survey 2016 Fintech in the news https://www.cfainstitute.org/Survey/fintech_survey.PDF
  • 46. 46
  • 53. 53 Lots of interesting problems for Quants to engage in • Equity crowdfunding platforms intermediate share placements • Peer-to-peer lending platforms intermediate or sell loans • Robo-advisers provide automated investment advice • Social trading platforms offer brokerage and investing services • Just in time insurance purchases • Longevity risk and insurance • Health care costs and engaging millennials through gamification • Domain expertise, risk and regulatory insights • Potential to model interesting scenarios and innovate! Fintech: Opportunities and trends Ref: https://www.iosco.org/library/pubdocs/pdf/IOSCOPD554.pdf
  • 54. 54 • Post 2008 crisis, multiple regulations in effect ▫ CCAR, DFAST ▫ Model Validation ▫ BASEL • SR 11-7 attachment: Supervisory Guidance on Model Risk Management • Most banks now approaching and addressing model risk in a systematic way Regulation
  • 55. 55 Fintech being noticed by Regulators
  • 56. 56 • https://www.americanbanker.com/opinion/banks-should-see- stress-tests-as-an-opportunity-not-a-chore • Blackbox models viewed with skepticism. Transparency and explain ability as more machine learning models enter decision making • Newer frameworks to optimize model tests and model governance • Automation of stress and scenario tests • Hardware to accelerate Model validation • New opportunities in addressing risk in Fintech enterprises Regulation: Opportunities and trends
  • 57. 57
  • 58. 58
  • 59. 59
  • 60. Thank you! Checkout our programs at: www.analyticscertificate.com Sri Krishnamurthy, CFA, CAP Founder and CEO QuantUniversity LLC. srikrishnamurthy www.QuantUniversity.com Information, data and drawings embodied in this presentation are strictly a property of QuantUniversity LLC. and shall not be distributed or used in any other publication without the prior written consent of QuantUniversity LLC. 60