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RADY ADVISORSTM
.
OLIVER BINZ | ALLISON NOEL | LAUREN VOLLON | SARAH FELDMAN JANUARY 21, 2015
MEDIACO INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY
COMPANY OVERVIEW
Publicly-traded with two reporting units, MediaCo and ApparelCo
Market cap of $550M
Publishes periodicals; operates a website and aTV production company
Slow or no organic growth
Develops, sources, markets, and distributes fashion-forward apparel and accessories
Growing, but margins low due to high SG&A costs
ParentCo
MediaCo
ApparelCo
OPERATING PERFORMANCE OF MEDIACO
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015F 2016F 2017F 2018F 2019F
EBITDAMARGIN
SALES($MILLIONS)
Sales EBITDA margin
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
10.0%
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015F 2016F 2017F 2018F 2019F
EBITDAMARGIN
SALES($MILLIONS)
Sales EBITDA margin
OPERATING PERFORMANCE OF APPARELCO
INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
Media
• Recent consolidation of
content publishers
• Little to no revenue growth
for the foreseeable future
• Print andTV performing in
line with general markets
Fashion
• Highly cyclical
• Comparable company
trading multiples cover a
wide range
• Growth expected to be in
mid-to-low single digits
WHATTO DO?
Improve the value of ParentCo to satisfy shareholders
Objective
Opportunity
Bid on FashionCo for $111M
If bid is rejected, restructure and streamline to drive shareholder value
OPERATING PERFORMANCE OF FASHIONCO
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
10.0%
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
2012 2013 2014 2015F 2016F 2017F 2018F 2019F
EBITDAMARGIN
SALES($MILLIONS)
Sales EBITDA margin
NON-FINANCIAL CONSIDERATIONS
• Balancing interests of all shareholders and board members
• Protecting brand and company images
• Short-term and long-term stability
VALUATION METHODS
Perpetuity growth method, based on the PV of future cash flows
Captures intrinsic value
Based on comparable transactions between 2012 and 2014
Based on implied EV/EBITDA multiple
Based on comparable firms’ EV/EBITDA multiples
DCF
Precedent
Comparables
Multiple
Appendix
* Made assumptions on the following:
• Cost of debt
• Market value of equity
• Market risk premium
• Risk-free rate
• Beta
MEDIACO (STAND-ALONE)VALUE
$-
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400
$450
$500
DCF Precedent Multiple Comparables
Range of valuations ($ millions)
Summary
• DCF valuation: $324M-$390M
• UsesWACC of 6.5-8%
• Implied growth rate is slightly negative
• Precedent transactions: purchased company
within +/- 1 of MediaCo’s EV/Revenue or
EV/EBITDA
• Outliers removed
• Implied EV/EBITDA multiples (5.2x and 6.4x)
• EV/EBITDAs from comparable companies
(6.4x-8.4x)
APPARELCO (STAND-ALONE)VALUE
$-
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
DCF Precedent Multiple Comparables
Range of valuations ($ millions)
Summary
• DCF valuation: $100M-$130M
• UsesWACC of 8.7-10.2%
• Implied growth rate is 2%
• Precedent transactions: purchased
company within +/1 of ApparelCo’s
EV/Revenue or EV/EBITDA
• Outliers removed
• Implied EV/EBITDA multiples (4.2x and 5x)
• EV/EBITDAs from comparable companies
(8.7x-12.7x)
FASHIONCO (STAND ALONE)VALUE
$-
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
DCF Precedent Multiple Comparables
Range of valuations ($ millions)
Summary
• DCF valuation: $90M-$120M
• UsesWACC of 8.5-10%
• Implied growth rate is 1-1.5%
• Precedent transactions: purchased company
within +/1 of FashionCo’s EV/Revenue or
EV/EBITDA
• Outliers removed
• Implied EV/EBITDA multiples (5.2x and 6.3x)
• EV/EBITDAs from comparable companies
(8.7x-12.7x)
PARENTCO + FASHIONCO (COMBINED)VALUE
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700
$800
DCF Precedent Multiple Comparables
Range of valuations ($ millions)
Summary
• DCF valuation: $540M-$650M
• UsesWACC of 7-8.5%
• Implied growth rate is ~0%
• Precedent transactions: purchased company
within +/1 of ParentCo+FashionCo’s
EV/Revenue or EV/EBITDA
• Outliers removed
• EV/EBITDAs from comparable companies
range from 4.5x-15x
• EV/EBITDAs from comparable companies
range from 7.6x-9.6x
STRATEGIC ALTERNATIVES
Primary options:
1. Bid on FashionCo
2. Sell ApparelCo
3. Make no sales or acquisitions
a. Split MediaCo from ApparelCo
b. Stock buy-back and financial restructuring
c. Manage SG&A
d. Purchase alternative media firm
** Assumptions going forward: ParentCo  borrow EBITDA*2 at Risk-free rate + 250bp
• Borrowing capacity = $168M
• Cost of debt = 4.5%
STRATEGIC ALTERNATIVES
Option 1: Bid on FashionCo for $111M
• Stand-alone value of FashionCo is $90-$120M
• Synergies from merging FashionCo with ApparelCo  savings of $2M
annually due to SG&A cost reduction
• Discount rate of 9.3% (WACC of combined FashionCo and ApparelCo)
• Perpetuity valued at $21M (takeover premium)
* FairValue of buying FashionCo = at least $111M
* Walk-away offer: if higher, could make loss
STRATEGIC ALTERNATIVES
Option 1: Bid on FashionCo for $111M (cont’d)
• If bid is accepted  LBO
• Borrow at 4.5%, maximum of $168M
• Expected Free Cash Flows per year from FashionCo = $9M
• If financing everything with debt, we can pay at most $200M ($168M-
debt and $32M-equity) to break even
• Want to pay less to enhance shareholder wealth by increasing ROE
STRATEGIC ALTERNATIVES
Option 2: Sell ApparelCo
• Stand-alone value is $145-$155
• Currently under-valued in the market though
• Also has grow opportunities in the future
• Futhermore, selling would upset the Masterson family!
* Recommendation: keep ApparelCo
(ParentCo can increase returns to shareholders in other ways)
STRATEGIC ALTERNATIVES
Option 3: Split ApparelCo and MediaCo
• No synergies between firms*
• Set up two separate entities– allocate appropriate share volume to each
shareholder in both firms
• Shareholders will be able to diversify efficiently according to their
personal risk preferences
* Merton (1999):Companies shouldn’t diversify their operations when there are no synergies.
Shareholders can diversify for idiosyncratic risk more efficiently.
STRATEGIC ALTERNATIVES
Option 4: Stock buy-back + financial restructuring
• $168M value with low cost of debt
• Tax exemptions/benefits (deferred tax  gain interest on the amount)
• Value for shareholders  stock price + premium and optimization of return on equity
Before
• Average FCF MediaCo = $26M
• Average FCF ApparelCo = $6M
• ROE = $32M/$549M(market cap) = 5.8%
After
Take on $168M in debt  $381M equity
Average FCF = $25M ($32M-4.5%*$168M)
ROE = 6.4%
STRATEGIC ALTERNATIVES
Option 5: Look into purchasing synergistic media company
• Focus on firm with
• Internet capabilities
• Ability to capture new customers that are younger than 45
• Consolidation in sector  need to purchase firms to create growth
• Ex. Lee Entreprice, McClatchy Co.
• Could generate growth for MediaCo + ParentCo! (needs further research*)
*We at RadyAdvisorsTM would be delighted to look into this for you!
STRATEGIC ALTERNATIVES
Option 6: Manage SG&A
• ApparelCo could reduce SG&A by 2% if they achieved greater scale
• As company grows, look for opportunities to decrease SG&A
NEXT STEPS
1. Bid $111M for FashionCo
a. If bid is accepted, split MediaCo from ApparelCo+FashionCo
2. If FashionCo rejects bid
a. Split MediaCo from ApparelCo
b. Stock buy-back and financial restructuring
3. Look into purchasing media firm
4. As company grows, focus on managing costs such as SG&A
OLIVER BINZ | ALLISON NOEL | LAUREN VOLLON | SARAH FELDMAN RADY ADVISORSTM
THANK YOU!

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2015.01.21 ACG cup (M&A case competition)

  • 1. RADY ADVISORSTM . OLIVER BINZ | ALLISON NOEL | LAUREN VOLLON | SARAH FELDMAN JANUARY 21, 2015 MEDIACO INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY
  • 2. COMPANY OVERVIEW Publicly-traded with two reporting units, MediaCo and ApparelCo Market cap of $550M Publishes periodicals; operates a website and aTV production company Slow or no organic growth Develops, sources, markets, and distributes fashion-forward apparel and accessories Growing, but margins low due to high SG&A costs ParentCo MediaCo ApparelCo
  • 3. OPERATING PERFORMANCE OF MEDIACO 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% $0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015F 2016F 2017F 2018F 2019F EBITDAMARGIN SALES($MILLIONS) Sales EBITDA margin
  • 4. 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0% 9.0% 10.0% $0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 $350 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015F 2016F 2017F 2018F 2019F EBITDAMARGIN SALES($MILLIONS) Sales EBITDA margin OPERATING PERFORMANCE OF APPARELCO
  • 5. INDUSTRY OVERVIEW Media • Recent consolidation of content publishers • Little to no revenue growth for the foreseeable future • Print andTV performing in line with general markets Fashion • Highly cyclical • Comparable company trading multiples cover a wide range • Growth expected to be in mid-to-low single digits
  • 6. WHATTO DO? Improve the value of ParentCo to satisfy shareholders Objective Opportunity Bid on FashionCo for $111M If bid is rejected, restructure and streamline to drive shareholder value
  • 7. OPERATING PERFORMANCE OF FASHIONCO 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0% 9.0% 10.0% $0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 2012 2013 2014 2015F 2016F 2017F 2018F 2019F EBITDAMARGIN SALES($MILLIONS) Sales EBITDA margin
  • 8. NON-FINANCIAL CONSIDERATIONS • Balancing interests of all shareholders and board members • Protecting brand and company images • Short-term and long-term stability
  • 9. VALUATION METHODS Perpetuity growth method, based on the PV of future cash flows Captures intrinsic value Based on comparable transactions between 2012 and 2014 Based on implied EV/EBITDA multiple Based on comparable firms’ EV/EBITDA multiples DCF Precedent Comparables Multiple Appendix * Made assumptions on the following: • Cost of debt • Market value of equity • Market risk premium • Risk-free rate • Beta
  • 10. MEDIACO (STAND-ALONE)VALUE $- $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 $350 $400 $450 $500 DCF Precedent Multiple Comparables Range of valuations ($ millions) Summary • DCF valuation: $324M-$390M • UsesWACC of 6.5-8% • Implied growth rate is slightly negative • Precedent transactions: purchased company within +/- 1 of MediaCo’s EV/Revenue or EV/EBITDA • Outliers removed • Implied EV/EBITDA multiples (5.2x and 6.4x) • EV/EBITDAs from comparable companies (6.4x-8.4x)
  • 11. APPARELCO (STAND-ALONE)VALUE $- $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 DCF Precedent Multiple Comparables Range of valuations ($ millions) Summary • DCF valuation: $100M-$130M • UsesWACC of 8.7-10.2% • Implied growth rate is 2% • Precedent transactions: purchased company within +/1 of ApparelCo’s EV/Revenue or EV/EBITDA • Outliers removed • Implied EV/EBITDA multiples (4.2x and 5x) • EV/EBITDAs from comparable companies (8.7x-12.7x)
  • 12. FASHIONCO (STAND ALONE)VALUE $- $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 DCF Precedent Multiple Comparables Range of valuations ($ millions) Summary • DCF valuation: $90M-$120M • UsesWACC of 8.5-10% • Implied growth rate is 1-1.5% • Precedent transactions: purchased company within +/1 of FashionCo’s EV/Revenue or EV/EBITDA • Outliers removed • Implied EV/EBITDA multiples (5.2x and 6.3x) • EV/EBITDAs from comparable companies (8.7x-12.7x)
  • 13. PARENTCO + FASHIONCO (COMBINED)VALUE $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 $800 DCF Precedent Multiple Comparables Range of valuations ($ millions) Summary • DCF valuation: $540M-$650M • UsesWACC of 7-8.5% • Implied growth rate is ~0% • Precedent transactions: purchased company within +/1 of ParentCo+FashionCo’s EV/Revenue or EV/EBITDA • Outliers removed • EV/EBITDAs from comparable companies range from 4.5x-15x • EV/EBITDAs from comparable companies range from 7.6x-9.6x
  • 14. STRATEGIC ALTERNATIVES Primary options: 1. Bid on FashionCo 2. Sell ApparelCo 3. Make no sales or acquisitions a. Split MediaCo from ApparelCo b. Stock buy-back and financial restructuring c. Manage SG&A d. Purchase alternative media firm ** Assumptions going forward: ParentCo  borrow EBITDA*2 at Risk-free rate + 250bp • Borrowing capacity = $168M • Cost of debt = 4.5%
  • 15. STRATEGIC ALTERNATIVES Option 1: Bid on FashionCo for $111M • Stand-alone value of FashionCo is $90-$120M • Synergies from merging FashionCo with ApparelCo  savings of $2M annually due to SG&A cost reduction • Discount rate of 9.3% (WACC of combined FashionCo and ApparelCo) • Perpetuity valued at $21M (takeover premium) * FairValue of buying FashionCo = at least $111M * Walk-away offer: if higher, could make loss
  • 16. STRATEGIC ALTERNATIVES Option 1: Bid on FashionCo for $111M (cont’d) • If bid is accepted  LBO • Borrow at 4.5%, maximum of $168M • Expected Free Cash Flows per year from FashionCo = $9M • If financing everything with debt, we can pay at most $200M ($168M- debt and $32M-equity) to break even • Want to pay less to enhance shareholder wealth by increasing ROE
  • 17. STRATEGIC ALTERNATIVES Option 2: Sell ApparelCo • Stand-alone value is $145-$155 • Currently under-valued in the market though • Also has grow opportunities in the future • Futhermore, selling would upset the Masterson family! * Recommendation: keep ApparelCo (ParentCo can increase returns to shareholders in other ways)
  • 18. STRATEGIC ALTERNATIVES Option 3: Split ApparelCo and MediaCo • No synergies between firms* • Set up two separate entities– allocate appropriate share volume to each shareholder in both firms • Shareholders will be able to diversify efficiently according to their personal risk preferences * Merton (1999):Companies shouldn’t diversify their operations when there are no synergies. Shareholders can diversify for idiosyncratic risk more efficiently.
  • 19. STRATEGIC ALTERNATIVES Option 4: Stock buy-back + financial restructuring • $168M value with low cost of debt • Tax exemptions/benefits (deferred tax  gain interest on the amount) • Value for shareholders  stock price + premium and optimization of return on equity Before • Average FCF MediaCo = $26M • Average FCF ApparelCo = $6M • ROE = $32M/$549M(market cap) = 5.8% After Take on $168M in debt  $381M equity Average FCF = $25M ($32M-4.5%*$168M) ROE = 6.4%
  • 20. STRATEGIC ALTERNATIVES Option 5: Look into purchasing synergistic media company • Focus on firm with • Internet capabilities • Ability to capture new customers that are younger than 45 • Consolidation in sector  need to purchase firms to create growth • Ex. Lee Entreprice, McClatchy Co. • Could generate growth for MediaCo + ParentCo! (needs further research*) *We at RadyAdvisorsTM would be delighted to look into this for you!
  • 21. STRATEGIC ALTERNATIVES Option 6: Manage SG&A • ApparelCo could reduce SG&A by 2% if they achieved greater scale • As company grows, look for opportunities to decrease SG&A
  • 22. NEXT STEPS 1. Bid $111M for FashionCo a. If bid is accepted, split MediaCo from ApparelCo+FashionCo 2. If FashionCo rejects bid a. Split MediaCo from ApparelCo b. Stock buy-back and financial restructuring 3. Look into purchasing media firm 4. As company grows, focus on managing costs such as SG&A
  • 23. OLIVER BINZ | ALLISON NOEL | LAUREN VOLLON | SARAH FELDMAN RADY ADVISORSTM THANK YOU!