5 Things You Need to Know About the Coming Trump vs. Clinton ShowdownAtif Fareed
What to expect if The Donald doesn’t change course, and what to expect if he does.
Read more: http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/05/2016-donald-trump-hillary-clinton-election-things-you-should-know-213875#ixzz48Ld19944
Follow us: @politico on Twitter | Politico on Facebook
Less than 48 hours after Indiana Governor Mike Pence gave his endorsement to Lt. Governor Eric Holcomb to replace him on the ballot, Congresswoman Susan Brooks is releasing a poll showing she has the best chance at defeating Democrat John Gregg in the fall.
The American Presidency Project contains the most comprehensive collection of resources ... Presidential Elections Data: ... click the slide share on election year for detail .
As the midterm elections have come and gone, we can now look back on the issues that voters cared about most, where voter opinions lie on key issues, and more. Our Research team compiled the most pertinent results in their Midterm Election Recap deck.
Biden leads by double digits as coronavirus takes a toll on the president, Po...Dr Matt Boente MD
President Trump faces a significant challenge in his bid to win reelection in November, with former vice president Joe Biden holding a double-digit lead nationally and the president’s approval ratings crumbling amid a spreading coronavirus pandemic and a weakened economy, according to a Washington Post-ABC News poll.
5 Things You Need to Know About the Coming Trump vs. Clinton ShowdownAtif Fareed
What to expect if The Donald doesn’t change course, and what to expect if he does.
Read more: http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/05/2016-donald-trump-hillary-clinton-election-things-you-should-know-213875#ixzz48Ld19944
Follow us: @politico on Twitter | Politico on Facebook
Less than 48 hours after Indiana Governor Mike Pence gave his endorsement to Lt. Governor Eric Holcomb to replace him on the ballot, Congresswoman Susan Brooks is releasing a poll showing she has the best chance at defeating Democrat John Gregg in the fall.
The American Presidency Project contains the most comprehensive collection of resources ... Presidential Elections Data: ... click the slide share on election year for detail .
As the midterm elections have come and gone, we can now look back on the issues that voters cared about most, where voter opinions lie on key issues, and more. Our Research team compiled the most pertinent results in their Midterm Election Recap deck.
Biden leads by double digits as coronavirus takes a toll on the president, Po...Dr Matt Boente MD
President Trump faces a significant challenge in his bid to win reelection in November, with former vice president Joe Biden holding a double-digit lead nationally and the president’s approval ratings crumbling amid a spreading coronavirus pandemic and a weakened economy, according to a Washington Post-ABC News poll.
UNPRESIDENTED: A World View of the US Election 2016Rosalind Warner
The US presidential election results will have an impact worldwide for years to come. In this talk, Dr. Rosalind Warner will look beyond the personalities and ‘fake news’ to explore the deeper social, political and economic origins of the 2016 election result. Participants will discover what made 2016 different and why it matters to the world what happens next.
In today's political environment, is it possible to have the kinds of conversation that makes democracy meaningful? The Twin Cities Election Forum worked to produce a list of reasons why Twin Cities voters might support each of the major-party presidential candidates and to cultivate understanding across the partisan divide.
Analysis of the 2016 presidential election results. I used "voting tabulation district" data to evaluate the election results as a function of two key demographic criteria - population density and racial diversity.
A review of the campaigns for the 2016 U.S. Presidential election to help us understand the strategies, personalities, and dynamics of the process. A discussion of the potential outcome of the election and the consequences for Canada.
UNPRESIDENTED: A World View of the US Election 2016Rosalind Warner
The US presidential election results will have an impact worldwide for years to come. In this talk, Dr. Rosalind Warner will look beyond the personalities and ‘fake news’ to explore the deeper social, political and economic origins of the 2016 election result. Participants will discover what made 2016 different and why it matters to the world what happens next.
In today's political environment, is it possible to have the kinds of conversation that makes democracy meaningful? The Twin Cities Election Forum worked to produce a list of reasons why Twin Cities voters might support each of the major-party presidential candidates and to cultivate understanding across the partisan divide.
Analysis of the 2016 presidential election results. I used "voting tabulation district" data to evaluate the election results as a function of two key demographic criteria - population density and racial diversity.
A review of the campaigns for the 2016 U.S. Presidential election to help us understand the strategies, personalities, and dynamics of the process. A discussion of the potential outcome of the election and the consequences for Canada.
Our two main political parties are at a crossroads. Can a consumer marketing lens reveal a way forward?
By Stacy Baas and Samantha Cabaluna
Full text of the report available at https://www.baasstrategy.com/blog/making-sense-of-the-moment-b4tsw
31052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
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हम आग्रह करते हैं कि जो भी सत्ता में आए, वह संविधान का पालन करे, उसकी रक्षा करे और उसे बनाए रखे।" प्रस्ताव में कुल तीन प्रमुख हस्तक्षेप और उनके तंत्र भी प्रस्तुत किए गए। पहला हस्तक्षेप स्वतंत्र मीडिया को प्रोत्साहित करके, वास्तविकता पर आधारित काउंटर नैरेटिव का निर्माण करके और सत्तारूढ़ सरकार द्वारा नियोजित मनोवैज्ञानिक हेरफेर की रणनीति का मुकाबला करके लोगों द्वारा निर्धारित कथा को बनाए रखना और उस पर कार्यकरना था।
27052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
#First_India_NewsPaper
‘वोटर्स विल मस्ट प्रीवेल’ (मतदाताओं को जीतना होगा) अभियान द्वारा जारी हेल्पलाइन नंबर, 4 जून को सुबह 7 बजे से दोपहर 12 बजे तक मतगणना प्रक्रिया में कहीं भी किसी भी तरह के उल्लंघन की रिपोर्ट करने के लिए खुला रहेगा।
Future Of Fintech In India | Evolution Of Fintech In IndiaTheUnitedIndian
Navigating the Future of Fintech in India: Insights into how AI, blockchain, and digital payments are driving unprecedented growth in India's fintech industry, redefining financial services and accessibility.
role of women and girls in various terror groupssadiakorobi2
Women have three distinct types of involvement: direct involvement in terrorist acts; enabling of others to commit such acts; and facilitating the disengagement of others from violent or extremist groups.
03062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
#First_India_NewsPaper
Welcome to the new Mizzima Weekly !
Mizzima Media Group is pleased to announce the relaunch of Mizzima Weekly. Mizzima is dedicated to helping our readers and viewers keep up to date on the latest developments in Myanmar and related to Myanmar by offering analysis and insight into the subjects that matter. Our websites and our social media channels provide readers and viewers with up-to-the-minute and up-to-date news, which we don’t necessarily need to replicate in our Mizzima Weekly magazine. But where we see a gap is in providing more analysis, insight and in-depth coverage of Myanmar, that is of particular interest to a range of readers.
ys jagan mohan reddy political career, Biography.pdfVoterMood
Yeduguri Sandinti Jagan Mohan Reddy, often referred to as Y.S. Jagan Mohan Reddy, is an Indian politician who currently serves as the Chief Minister of the state of Andhra Pradesh. He was born on December 21, 1972, in Pulivendula, Andhra Pradesh, to Yeduguri Sandinti Rajasekhara Reddy (popularly known as YSR), a former Chief Minister of Andhra Pradesh, and Y.S. Vijayamma.
In a May 9, 2024 paper, Juri Opitz from the University of Zurich, along with Shira Wein and Nathan Schneider form Georgetown University, discussed the importance of linguistic expertise in natural language processing (NLP) in an era dominated by large language models (LLMs).
The authors explained that while machine translation (MT) previously relied heavily on linguists, the landscape has shifted. “Linguistics is no longer front and center in the way we build NLP systems,” they said. With the emergence of LLMs, which can generate fluent text without the need for specialized modules to handle grammar or semantic coherence, the need for linguistic expertise in NLP is being questioned.
01062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
#First_India_NewsPaper
1. Lake Research Partners
Washington, DC | Berkeley, CA | New York, NY
LakeResearch.com
202.776.9066
What happened in 2016?
Analyzing the Impacts of Turnout, the
Economy, Change, Racism, and Sexism.
2. Lessons from 2016
1. There is real anger and frustration in the electorate with the status quo. They
took great risks for change.
2. Demographics are not destiny.
3. Women candidates have to be likeable as well as competent, while the same
is not true for male candidates.
4. Turnout and enthusiasm are important.
5. Having a strong economic message is critical.
6. People have to have a reason to vote for someone and not just against.
7. Democrats have significant ground to make up with the working class and
have to get back to their working class roots.
2
4. 58.6 58.6
2012 2016
4
Source: United States Election Project, http://www.electproject.org/2016g as of 12/2/2016
Turnout changed and both decreased and
increased with particular demographics in ways
that hurt Democrats.
% Turnout of Voting Eligible Population
5. 5
• Rural voters went from -8 in 2008 to -27 in 2016.
• Married women outnumbered unmarried women 30% of the electorate to
23%. We did improve with married women -7 to +2, but declined among
unmarried women +36 to +31.
• 71% of the electorate was white.
• Note that we have never won white women, but the Clinton/Trump dynamic
didn’t improve our vote.
• Clinton also got the lowest percentage of white men.
YEAR
WHITE WOMEN WHITE MEN
Republican Democrat Republican Democrat
2004 55% Bush 44% Kerry 62% Bush 37% Kerry
2008 53% McCain 46% Obama 57% McCain 41% Obama
2012 56% Romney 42% Obama 62% Romney 35% Obama
2016 53% Trump 43% Clinton 62% Trump 31% Clinton
Turnout increased among rural voters and white
voters, and Democrats underperformed with these
groups.
Exit polling data as of 12/2/2016
6. 6
• Democrats do not win when they are behind on the economy.
Source: Lake Research Battleground Poll
• On election eve, a Democracy Corps poll showed Democrats behind (-6) on the
economy. Exit polls showed Clinton behind Trump (46% to 49%) on the economy
• A populist economic message combined with a reform agenda can win.
• 62% of Americans think the economy is not good or poor, and we lost them (-31%)
(31% Clinton to 62% Trump).
Republicans Democrats Net
Net – September
Battleground
The economy 55 38 +17 R +11 R
Jobs 50 44 +6 R +7 R
Lack of an economic message and vision hurt
Democrats up and down the ballot, and is one of
the two biggest factors in our losses.
Exit polling data as of 12/2/2016
7. 7
Which candidate quality
mattered most?
% Voted for
Clinton
% Voted for
Trump
Can bring about change (39%) 14 82
Right experience (22%) 90 7
Good judgment (20%) 65 25
Cares about me (15%) 57 34
Change was the top trait that mattered to voters, and
the Democratic ticket didn’t have credibility on it.
Exit polling data as of 12/2/2016
8. 8
View of a U.S. Wall along
the Mexican border
% Voted for
Clinton
% Voted for
Trump
Support (41%) 10 85
Oppose (54%) 76 16
Does the country’s criminal
justice system….
% Voted for
Clinton
% Voted for
Trump
Treat all fairly (43%) 23 73
Treat blacks unfairly (48%) 72 22
Perceptions of race and immigration were strongly
correlated with the vote.
Being white, non-college educated, and living near a high
concentration of people of color was one of the strongest
predictors of voting for Trump.
V.O. Keys researchExit polling data as of 12/2/2016
9. • We got a sobering reminder of how difficult it is to elect a woman
president. Women suffer more for being less likable (Lee Family
Foundation).
• A record high number of voters disliked both candidates (18%).
Normally, they would have gone for the candidate they disliked less
(HRC) or thought was more qualified (+14 HRC).
– Instead they voted solidly for Trump – 30% Clinton, 47% Trump,
23% other/no answer
• Being authoritarian was one of the strongest predictors of voting
Trump.
• Only 32% of voters think that Trump has a lot or a fair amount of
respect for women. (HuffPost/YouGov)
• In a PPRI poll, a slight majority (51%) of Americans say that since the
1950’s, our culture and way of life has changed for the worse. Only
48% say that it has changed for the better. 9
Perceptions of Gender Roles and Sexism
10. Phone polls underestimated Trump’s support and
overestimated Clinton’s support among college
educated and higher income voters.
60
53 52 54
49 47
39
46
42 44
50 48
Phone Online Exit Poll Phone Online Exit Poll
Clinton Trump
10
College Educated Voters Voters Earning over $50K
+21 +7 +10 +10 -1 -1
Source: Morning Consult & CNN Exit Polls (as of 12/2/2016)
https://morningconsult.com/2016/11/03/yes-shy-trump-voters-no-wont-swing-election/
11. Washington, DC | Berkeley, CA | New York, NY
LakeResearch.com
202.776.9066