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Change - It may not be all you
          hoped for
     Responding to Service and
   Operational Requirements from
       Consumer to Producer
Panel Introductions
•   Dr. Karl Manrodt, Georgia Southern University
•   Chris Owens, SuperValu
•   Mike Cole, Kraft
•   Steve Wutke, Prime Inc.
Change - It may not be all you hoped for

 A Retailer’s / Wholesalers Perspective
    Chris Owens, Director Supply Chain Strategy
Economy
             macro pressures
                     Inflation
• Economy
                    Deflation
   – impact to units, dollars, profits
                     Earnings
• Product Cost / Price fluctuations
                    Inventory
   – shipper price inflation followed by deflation
                   Regulation Pressures
• Supply Chain Productivity
  – Must adjust to de-leveraging of units and $
Response
Lower operating cost
Leverage Assets
          Typical Retailer




           shipper
Retailer is a Receiver
• Unloading policy changes
         – Received seal intact, subject to count and inspection
         – Economic order quantities




• Utilization of DSD – vendors deliver to the store
         – High volume promotions skip the DC
Retailer is a Carrier

                              • Store delivery cycles
                            • •Store delivery cycles
                                Combination loads
                             • Combination loads
                             • Right sized fleet
                                 • Right size fleet
• More backhauls
• Vendor collaboration
Retailer is a shipper

• Alternative Modes -
                     • Regular bidding cycles……
                     • Secure long term capacity
• Electronic invoicing
Change - It may not be all you hoped for

         A Shipper’s Perspective
     Mike Cole, Director N. A. Transportation
2010 “The Perfect Storm” External Variables…


                              Productivity            Economic
  Asset                        Pressures             Uncertainty
 Capacity




 Driver
                                                                   HOS
Capacity




 Fuel
                                                                   CSA
Pricing
                                                                   2010

                              Rate Compression
                                   Bidding
Annual Internal Variables Driving Expectations


                    Productivity        Internal Shift to
                     Pressures         Regular Bid Cycles

                                                                Lower Volume

    M&A Activity


                                                               Sustainability

           CPU

                                                     Private Fleet
                       Network
                                                    Rationalization
                        Shifts




                                           15
Key to Successful Transportation Solution is to Balance Internal
                    and External Variables…
                                                              Internal Shift to
                                                             Regular Bid Cycles

                     HOS
     Asset                                    Productivity
    Capacity                                   Pressures                   Lower
                         Economic                                         Volume
   Productivity         Uncertainty
    Pressures                                Network
                                              Shifts              Sustainability

                   Industry Shift to
                  Regular Bid Cycles            CPU
      Driver
                                                                   Private Fleet
     Capacity
                                                                  Rationalization
                                              M&A
                                             Activity
                      CSA
     Fuel             2010
    Pricing
What is the Industry Saying …
• “The largest factor within the trucking industry that affects
  its health is the cost of diesel fuel”, according to Chris Work
  associatecontent.com
• Nearly two out of three trucking executives surveyed by
  Transport Capital Partners in the fourth quarter said, they
  expected freight volume to improve in the next seven to
  twelve months
• According to truckinginfo.com, “Gone with the trucks are as
  many drivers, paving the way for a driver shortage worse
  than the industry has ever seen – a shortage that will be
  exacerbated by new stricter federal safety regulations such
  as CSA 2010 and regulations targeting driver health issues.”
What are our opportunities /
                 expectations …
         Issue / Opportunity                     Potential Resolution
•   Rate inflation without capacity    •   Maintaining “Shipper of
    increases                              Choice” mindset with bidding
•   Customer collaboration                 predictability
    expectations                       •   Balancing win/win solutions
•   Bid award reconciliation               with retailers & carrier partners
•   Freight Forecasting                •   Forward baseline development
•   Mode Balancing                         vs. historical baseline
                                       •   Introduction of Terra
                                           Forecasting
                                       •   Rightsizing
                                           Private/Dedicated/CC




                                      18
Change - It may not be all you hoped for

         A Carrier’s Perspective

      Steve Wutke, VP Sales and Marketing
THE NEXT CHAPTER
                   WEATHERING THE STORM
THE NEXT CHAPTER
                             REEFER GROSS RATE VS. NET RATE
                                                                                             $0.50
                   $0.50                                                             $0.47
                                                                             $0.46
                   $0.45                                             $0.42
                   $0.40
                   $0.35                                     $0.32                                   $0.33

                   $0.30
                   $0.25
                   $0.20
                   $0.15                       $0.13 $0.13

                   $0.10
                   $0.05   $0.03 $0.03 $0.03

                     $-
                           2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
                                                  Gross Rate         Net Rate
THE NEXT CHAPTER
                                     REEFER DRIVER EARNINGS VS. NET RATE




                   Annual Earnings                      $59,180




                                                                        $45,220




                                                        Base + $.33
                                         $41,920




                                                                        Base + $.24
                                         Base




                                      2000           2005             2010
THE NEXT CHAPTER
                     EQUIPMENT CHANGES & FUEL


                   EPA COMPLIANT

                      o 2002 EGR (Exhaust Gas Recirculation)
                          o $5,000 & 130 lbs.
                      o 2007 ATD (After Treatment Device)
                          o $8,400 & 400 lbs.
                          o APU’s an additional $8,000 & 450 lbs
                      o 2010 SCR (Selective Catalytic Reduction)
                          o $9,000 & 450 lbs.

                   EIA 2000 = $1.50
                   EIA TODAY = $2.87
THE NEXT CHAPTER                                 REEFER DRIVER EARNINGS VS.
                                                 REEFER TEAM PERCENTAGE
                              $1,150                                                                    40.0%

                              $1,050                                                                    38.0%

               Driver Weekly Earnings   $950                                                            36.0%

                                        $850                                                            34.0%

                                        $750                                                            32.0%




                                                                                                                Team %
                                        $650                                                            30.0%

                                        $550                                                            28.0%

                                        $450                                                            26.0%

                                        $350                                                            24.0%

                                        $250                                                            22.0%

                                        $150                                                            20.0%
                                               2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
                                                          Driver Earnings       Reefer Team %
THE NEXT CHAPTER
                       SUSTAINABILITY



                                                   •Idle reduction
                                                   •Improved aerodynamics
                                                   •Improved logistics
                                                   •Driver training
                                                   •Automatic tire inflation systems
                   Prime’s Score = 1.25            •Single wide base tires
                            *highest score given
                                                   •Low viscosity lubricants
                                                   •Reduce highway speeds
                                                   •Weight reduction
                                                   •Hybrid power train technology
                                                   •SensorTRACS
THE NEXT CHAPTER   BEWARE OF THE NAKED MAN THAT OFFERS
                   YOU THE SHIRT OFF OF HIS BACK!
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2010 Fsa Change Panel V2

  • 1. Change - It may not be all you hoped for Responding to Service and Operational Requirements from Consumer to Producer
  • 2. Panel Introductions • Dr. Karl Manrodt, Georgia Southern University • Chris Owens, SuperValu • Mike Cole, Kraft • Steve Wutke, Prime Inc.
  • 3. Change - It may not be all you hoped for A Retailer’s / Wholesalers Perspective Chris Owens, Director Supply Chain Strategy
  • 4.
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  • 7.
  • 8. Economy macro pressures Inflation • Economy Deflation – impact to units, dollars, profits Earnings • Product Cost / Price fluctuations Inventory – shipper price inflation followed by deflation Regulation Pressures • Supply Chain Productivity – Must adjust to de-leveraging of units and $
  • 9. Response Lower operating cost Leverage Assets Typical Retailer shipper
  • 10. Retailer is a Receiver • Unloading policy changes – Received seal intact, subject to count and inspection – Economic order quantities • Utilization of DSD – vendors deliver to the store – High volume promotions skip the DC
  • 11. Retailer is a Carrier • Store delivery cycles • •Store delivery cycles Combination loads • Combination loads • Right sized fleet • Right size fleet • More backhauls • Vendor collaboration
  • 12. Retailer is a shipper • Alternative Modes - • Regular bidding cycles…… • Secure long term capacity • Electronic invoicing
  • 13. Change - It may not be all you hoped for A Shipper’s Perspective Mike Cole, Director N. A. Transportation
  • 14. 2010 “The Perfect Storm” External Variables… Productivity Economic Asset Pressures Uncertainty Capacity Driver HOS Capacity Fuel CSA Pricing 2010 Rate Compression Bidding
  • 15. Annual Internal Variables Driving Expectations Productivity Internal Shift to Pressures Regular Bid Cycles Lower Volume M&A Activity Sustainability CPU Private Fleet Network Rationalization Shifts 15
  • 16. Key to Successful Transportation Solution is to Balance Internal and External Variables… Internal Shift to Regular Bid Cycles HOS Asset Productivity Capacity Pressures Lower Economic Volume Productivity Uncertainty Pressures Network Shifts Sustainability Industry Shift to Regular Bid Cycles CPU Driver Private Fleet Capacity Rationalization M&A Activity CSA Fuel 2010 Pricing
  • 17. What is the Industry Saying … • “The largest factor within the trucking industry that affects its health is the cost of diesel fuel”, according to Chris Work associatecontent.com • Nearly two out of three trucking executives surveyed by Transport Capital Partners in the fourth quarter said, they expected freight volume to improve in the next seven to twelve months • According to truckinginfo.com, “Gone with the trucks are as many drivers, paving the way for a driver shortage worse than the industry has ever seen – a shortage that will be exacerbated by new stricter federal safety regulations such as CSA 2010 and regulations targeting driver health issues.”
  • 18. What are our opportunities / expectations … Issue / Opportunity Potential Resolution • Rate inflation without capacity • Maintaining “Shipper of increases Choice” mindset with bidding • Customer collaboration predictability expectations • Balancing win/win solutions • Bid award reconciliation with retailers & carrier partners • Freight Forecasting • Forward baseline development • Mode Balancing vs. historical baseline • Introduction of Terra Forecasting • Rightsizing Private/Dedicated/CC 18
  • 19. Change - It may not be all you hoped for A Carrier’s Perspective Steve Wutke, VP Sales and Marketing
  • 20. THE NEXT CHAPTER WEATHERING THE STORM
  • 21. THE NEXT CHAPTER REEFER GROSS RATE VS. NET RATE $0.50 $0.50 $0.47 $0.46 $0.45 $0.42 $0.40 $0.35 $0.32 $0.33 $0.30 $0.25 $0.20 $0.15 $0.13 $0.13 $0.10 $0.05 $0.03 $0.03 $0.03 $- 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Gross Rate Net Rate
  • 22. THE NEXT CHAPTER REEFER DRIVER EARNINGS VS. NET RATE Annual Earnings $59,180 $45,220 Base + $.33 $41,920 Base + $.24 Base 2000 2005 2010
  • 23. THE NEXT CHAPTER EQUIPMENT CHANGES & FUEL EPA COMPLIANT o 2002 EGR (Exhaust Gas Recirculation) o $5,000 & 130 lbs. o 2007 ATD (After Treatment Device) o $8,400 & 400 lbs. o APU’s an additional $8,000 & 450 lbs o 2010 SCR (Selective Catalytic Reduction) o $9,000 & 450 lbs. EIA 2000 = $1.50 EIA TODAY = $2.87
  • 24. THE NEXT CHAPTER REEFER DRIVER EARNINGS VS. REEFER TEAM PERCENTAGE $1,150 40.0% $1,050 38.0% Driver Weekly Earnings $950 36.0% $850 34.0% $750 32.0% Team % $650 30.0% $550 28.0% $450 26.0% $350 24.0% $250 22.0% $150 20.0% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Driver Earnings Reefer Team %
  • 25. THE NEXT CHAPTER SUSTAINABILITY •Idle reduction •Improved aerodynamics •Improved logistics •Driver training •Automatic tire inflation systems Prime’s Score = 1.25 •Single wide base tires *highest score given •Low viscosity lubricants •Reduce highway speeds •Weight reduction •Hybrid power train technology •SensorTRACS
  • 26. THE NEXT CHAPTER BEWARE OF THE NAKED MAN THAT OFFERS YOU THE SHIRT OFF OF HIS BACK!
  • 27. Questions / Responses • Panelist • Audience