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ENERGY CYCLES 2:
Climate
ppt. by Robin D. Seamon
1
It’s all connected! Changes in one affects the other:
2
Weather- state of the atmosphere at a given time
and place
Climate- pattern of weather at a given location
over time.
How do we classify climate systems?
Koppen Classification System
Based on vegetation & average monthly
precipitation & temperature
3
A B C D A
Tropical Dry Mid-
temp.
Snow Polar
4
TROPICAL CLIMATES
5
• mT air masses (wet, warm)
• Equator
1. Tropical wet (rain forest- Brazil)
• Rainfall 59 inches/year; 68-91 degrees F
2. Tropical monsoon (Asia, W Africa)
• Monsoon- wind system that reverses direction
every six months: summer- sea to land (WET),
winter- land to sea (DRY)
3. Tropical wet and dry (savanna)
• 3 seasons: cool & dry, hot & dry, hot & wet
6
Tropical monsoon
climate: India
Tropical rainforest,
Brazil
Tropical wet and dry
climate- Tanzania
7
Summer & Winter
Monsoons
DRY CLIMATES
8
• Large daily & seasonal temperature variations
• Hottest weather in arid climates (136 degrees F
Libya)
• Mountains often block warm, moist air
• 30% of Earth’s land
1. Arid (deserts)
• 4-12 inches of rain/year
• Atacama desert- no rain in recorded history
2. Semiarid (Australian outback)
• Enough rains for grasslands
• Between arid & tropical climates
9
Arid climate: Atacama
desert, Chile
Semi-arid climate:
Australian Outback
MILD CLIMATES
10
• Temperate regions; Distinct cold seasons
• Continental air masses
1. Mediterranean (Greece)
• Warm summers with short, mild, rainy winters
• Cool, clear nights
• W coasts of continents 30-40 degrees latitude
2. Humid subtropical (Georgia, US)
• Hot, humid summers & Very cold winters
• Precipitation spread over the year; hurricanes
• E sides of continents
3. Marine (Seattle, WA)
• Longer, cooler & wet winters
11
Humid subtropical:
Mediterranean
climate: Slovenia
Marine climate:
Washington, US
12
• Hot summers, Colder winters, longer snows,
shorter growing seasons, only in N. Hemisphere,
away from bodies of water
• Transitions between mild & polar climates
• Extreme seasonal changes: autumn leaves,
thunderstorms/tornadoes
1. Warm summer climate- (E Europe)
• wet summers (humid)
2. Cool Summer climate- (Russia)
• cold winters/snow from Arctic air masses
3. Subarctic- (Scandinavia, Siberia)
• long, cold winters, little precipitation
• Boreal, taiga
CONTINENTAL CLIMATES
13
Cool summer
climate- Russia
Warm summer
climate- Romania
Subarctic:
Scandinavia
POLAR CLIMATES
14
• Within the Arctic &b Antarctic Circles near
North & South Poles
1. Tundra climate- (Northern Alaska)
• short summers, temperatures can reach 50
degrees F; wildflowers & migratory birds,
whales, nutrient rich waters
2. Ice Cap (Antarctica)
• Temperatures rarely above freezing, constant ice
• Skies clear, & precipitation low (Antarctica,
largest, driest desert on Earth)
• Little life
15
Tundra, Alaska
Icecap, Antarctica
Periodic Disruptions:
• La Nina- period where
warm water moves
towards the West
Pacific (cooler, snows
in US)
• El Nino- a period
when warm water is
moving more towards
the East Pacific
(warmer &rainier in
Central America) 16
La Nina
El Nino
CLIMATE CHANGES
17
ATMOSPHERIC VARIABLES
What factors causes changes in the climate?
1. Biotic processes
2. Sun: Variations in solar radiation
3. Plate tectonics
4. Volcanic eruptions & LIPS
5. Cryosphere
6. Astronomy: Milankovich Cycles
7. Greenhouse gases
• Oceans
• Human-caused
18
1. Biotic processes (life)
• Respiration: breathing in/out O2 and CO2
• Transpiration: release of H20 and CO2
• Waste products
• Recycling of gases after death
19
• Life affects gas cycles:
• Carbon Cycle
• Water Cycle
• Cloud formation
• Weathering
EXAMPLE:
2.4 bya The Great Oxidation Event (put oxygen into
atmosphere)
http://guardianlv.com/2014/02/australian-crystal-found-is-4-4-billion-years-old/
20
2. Variations in solar radiation
• amount affects photosynthesis, precipitation,
wind patterns, temperature (AFFECTS LIFE)
• Sun has cycles of solar
storms (flares) & sun
spots which could
affect earth & it’s life
• sunspots/flares emit more
solar radiation (warmer)
EXAMPLE: 1550-1850
Little Ice Age- less
solar activity
Thames River: HENDRICK AVERCAMP'S LITTLE ICE AGE VIDEO: CC 4- Climate change, chaos & little Ice Age (10 min)
21
3. Plate tectonics
• shape of the
continents determine
ocean & wind
currents
• How heat is
transferred
• How much moisture
http://www.bgs.ac.uk/discoveringGeology/climateChange/general/causes.html?src=topNav
22
EXAMPLES:
• Mountains vs. plains
• Large continent vs. several smaller ones
• Connection of two continents block off
ocean currents- Isthmus of Panama
23
• IN PAST- tectonic movement caused big storage
of Carbon- fossil fuels
TODAY: Coal mines
Carboniferous Era
VIDEO: Formation of Fossil Fuels (2:30)
24
4. Volcanic eruptions & LIPs
• spew gases into the atmosphere-
changes chemistry (LIFE)
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-29399306
Mt Ontake
9/27/2014
25
• LIP- large igneous provinces
Places where large igneous rock beds indicate a
past flow of lava from cracks in the crust
26
• Can block out sunlight, preventing
photosynthesis
(LIFE)
• Meteor induced
http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2013/13/130212--chicxulub-asteroid-dinosaurs-volcano-mass-extinction-
environment-science/
VIDEO: Large Igneous Province formation (2:00) 27
MODERN EXAMPLES:
1815 Mt. Tambora: Year without a Summer
1991: Mt. Pinatubo: global temp down 0.9˚F for 3
yrs
28
5. Cryosphere: ice layer
affects climate…
http://www.toppforskningsinitiativet.org/en/programmer-1/program-2
http://rramu0153.wordpress.com/
29
• During ice ages, sea levels are lower
• water/run-off is trapped in ice
• not in water cycle = DRIER
VIDEO NASA Sea Ice 2008 (3:00)
30
• Albedo: amount of ice affects temperature:
• more ice: more sunlight is reflected back
off Earth
• less ice: Earth absorbs more solar Energy
• Carbon sink: ice keeps dead organisms from
decomposing (more carbon) is absorbed than
released;
• as ice melts… more CO2 is released 31
6. Milankovitch Cycle variation in intensity of
sunlight due to slight variation in Earth’s orbit
• Pace setter for cycles of warming & cooling
32
http://www.bgs.ac.uk/discoveringGeology/climateChange/ge
neral/causes.html?src=topNav
http://www.southwestclimatechan
ge.org/figures/milankovitch
Orbital shape:
(eccentricity)
Earth’s orbit changes
from it’s elliptical
shape; 100,000 yrs
Orbital axis
wobble:
Changes in tilt
causes strength of
seasons
20,000- 40,000 yrs
VIDEO: Orbital Forcing (1 min)
33
7. Greenhouse Gases
• More greenhouse gases = thicker blanket,
holding in solar radiation (warmer)
• Fewer greenhouse gases = thinner blanket,
trapping less solar radiation= (cooler)
http://www.ib.bioninja.com.au/standard-level/topic-5-ecology-and-
evoluti/52-the-greenhouse-effect.html 34
• Natural Causes
• Cold oceans absorb gases: CO2
• Warm oceans release gases: CO2
• CH (methane) from decay
• Permafrost melting releases trapped CH4
4
35
• Human contributions & links to
industrialization
• Burning hydrocarbons: Release of carbon into
the air through burning of fossil fuels &
cement manufacture increases the
greenhouse layer:
CO2 carbon dioxide
CH4 methane
H2O water vapor
36
Aerosol increase
(tiny particles in
atmosphere)
Man-made CFC’s-
chlorofluorocarbons
can be put into
aerosols &
refrigerants;
combines with and
destroys ozone
layer; banned in the
US
37
Deforestation- cutting down of forests;
• trees absorb CO2; by cutting them down, we
are eliminating a natural carbon sink
• We are cutting down 50 soccer fields of
forest each minute
• production of soy, timber, beef and palm oil.
38
39
Slash & burn- burning of fields for agricultural
purposes put hydrocarbons into the air
40
HOW DO WE KNOW CLIMATE HAS CHANGED OVER
EARTH’S HISTORY?
Ancient air is not around to be studied like rocks
from the lithosphere are…
or is it?
• Paleoclimatology- study of ancient climate
41
SCIENTISTS USE CLUES IN…
1. Radiometric dating in rocks & sediment-
Scientists compare sea floor cores (composition
& past temperature)
2. Loess composition (ancient pollen in strata or
rocks
42
3. Ancient fossils:
foraminifera in ancient sea beds
43
4. Ice core data: layer size, pattern & composition
Frozen water expands trapping air molecules!
VIDEO : Drilling back to the Future (6:20)
44
Ice Core Samples
• Samples of ancient air!
• Show past atmosphere composition
• Show aerosols (small particles in air)
• Scientists can count layers yearly
• Can be checked with major known
eruptions (like Pompeii in 79CE)
VIDEO 1: Drilling for Ice (3:20) 45
5. Glaciers:
Moraine sediments
6. Evidence left of past sea levels
• On shore
• in ancient
coral beds
46
FINDING THE PATTERNS
47
Earth’s pattern of Big Ice Ages have little ice ages
(glacials) within them. In between glaciations, are
periods of global warming (interglacials.)
--------------------------------------------------------------------
LATEST GLACIATION: We’re in it (it’s why we have
polar ice caps)
Quaternary Glaciation 2.6 million years ago to the
present
• GLACIAL: Pleistocene Epoch: most recent
Epoch in Earth’s history- glacier cycles ended
10,000 years ago
48
• Last ice age: around 10,000 years ago
• Today we are in the Holocene Epoch, a period of
warming (interglacial)
49
Glacials of the Quaternary glaciation:
• Used to occur every 41,000 years
• During the last 800,000 years, the spacing has
stretched to every 100,000 years
• Ice sheets grow for 90,000 years, take 10,000
years to melt during interglacials. Then the
process repeats itself.
50
Ice cores and deep sea cores show the same
pattern:
Brief warmth
http://www.skepticalscience.com/trend_and_variation.html 51
Longer cold
• Feedback mechanisms: natural responses that
add to the system, causing it to continue in one
direction
??? How is the Milankovitch
Cycle a pace maker to trigger Ice
Ages???
??? What are the feedback
mechanisms that amplify the
Mil. Cycle???
52
• 1980’s scientists noticed CO levels went up or
down with the temperature in the past
• Russian Vostok Station (1957 +) cores
• CO2 & CH4 during Ice Age
• CO2 & CH4 in warm periods
GAS KEY
2
53
54
• Climate Sensitivity CO2 levels in the past
750,000 yrs were at 180-280 parts per million
• In 2012: levels were at 400 ppm and rising
(methane too)
http://www.science20.com/virtual_worlds/blog/is_global_warming_real
ly_a_recovery_from_regional_cooling-121820
http://www.forbes.com/sites/alexknapp/2013/09/10/the-daily-mail-is-wrong-the-
earth-keeps-warming/
SEA ICE
SEA LEVEL
55
Changes in Feedback?
In PAST glaciations it appears that:
• Sunlight
• Temperature
• CO2 & CH4 from oceans
Making a warming
loop until Mil. Cycle
turns the cycle
towards cooling again CO & CH
increase
2 4Ice melts-
albedo
decreases
Temperature
increases
56
THEN orbital shift:
• Sunlight
• Temperature
• CO2 & CH4 from oceans
Making a cooling loop
until Mil. Cycle turns
the cycle towards
warming CO & CH
decrease
2 4Ice forms-
albedo
increases
Temperature
decreases
decreased
57
Temperature
CO & CH2 4
CO & CH2 4
Temperature
FASTER
SLOWER
58
IN THE PAST:
• Temp increased b/c of sun angle shift
• Sun angle shift started the loop, increasing the
greenhouse gases & warmth
NEW:
• Orbital shift isn’t triggering the warming trend
• extra greenhouse gases are starting the process
• NOW- CO2 levels are increasing the
temperature first
59
NEW:
• Gas levels rising faster than anything seen for
millions of years & natural feedbacks are
kicking in…
• Drying forests
• Warmer seas
• Methane from Arctic melt
• Ocean acidification (pH changes)
• Coral reefs dying
• Sea levels rising
• Glaciers/ice caps are melting
• Species diversity is declining
60
What will those changes be?
VIDEO: Crash Course-Climate
Change (10:00)
61
• Greenhouse warming & other human influences
strong enough to change the natural trend
• Could launch Earth into a wholly new climate
trend (new pattern)
CONCLUSION
Geological record verifies with independent
methods & data the process computer models are
predicting:
Disruption of climate from its recent patterns
62
LIVING WITH CHANGE
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate_change#mediaviewer/Fil
e:NSFmonsoonsandclimatesince200AD.jpg
Human civilizations affected by
climate changes:
VIDEO 2: 300 yrs of fossil fuels in 300 sec (5:30)
VIDEO 1: Climate 101 with Bill Nye (4:30)
63
Large scale development (urbanization) leads to
regional changes in climate:
Heat islands in large cities
• NYC
• Beijing
• Chicago
Smog
Pavement & roofs get hotter than the air while
shaded or moist surfaces in rural areas remain
close to air temperatures 64
Heat Island Consequences:
• Elevated emissions of air pollutants &
greenhouse gases
• Compromised health
• Impaired water quality
• Increased energy consumption (AC)
65
Strategies to combat heat islands: (EPA)
• Planting trees & vegetation in cities
• Green roofs: growing vegetation on rooftops
Beruit
NYC
Chicago
66
Strategies to combat heat islands: (EPA)
• Planting trees & vegetation in cities
• Green roofs: growing vegetation on rooftops
• Cool roofs: installing roofs that reflect sunlight
away from buildings
• Cool pavements: using paving materials that
reflect & not absorb light
67
• Smart growth: mix land uses, compact building
design, walkable neighborhoods, preserve open
space, farmland, direct development towards
existing communities, variety of transportation
choices, make development decisions
predictable, fair, & cost effective
68

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Energy 2 Climate Change

  • 1. ENERGY CYCLES 2: Climate ppt. by Robin D. Seamon 1
  • 2. It’s all connected! Changes in one affects the other: 2
  • 3. Weather- state of the atmosphere at a given time and place Climate- pattern of weather at a given location over time. How do we classify climate systems? Koppen Classification System Based on vegetation & average monthly precipitation & temperature 3
  • 4. A B C D A Tropical Dry Mid- temp. Snow Polar 4
  • 5. TROPICAL CLIMATES 5 • mT air masses (wet, warm) • Equator 1. Tropical wet (rain forest- Brazil) • Rainfall 59 inches/year; 68-91 degrees F 2. Tropical monsoon (Asia, W Africa) • Monsoon- wind system that reverses direction every six months: summer- sea to land (WET), winter- land to sea (DRY) 3. Tropical wet and dry (savanna) • 3 seasons: cool & dry, hot & dry, hot & wet
  • 6. 6 Tropical monsoon climate: India Tropical rainforest, Brazil Tropical wet and dry climate- Tanzania
  • 8. DRY CLIMATES 8 • Large daily & seasonal temperature variations • Hottest weather in arid climates (136 degrees F Libya) • Mountains often block warm, moist air • 30% of Earth’s land 1. Arid (deserts) • 4-12 inches of rain/year • Atacama desert- no rain in recorded history 2. Semiarid (Australian outback) • Enough rains for grasslands • Between arid & tropical climates
  • 9. 9 Arid climate: Atacama desert, Chile Semi-arid climate: Australian Outback
  • 10. MILD CLIMATES 10 • Temperate regions; Distinct cold seasons • Continental air masses 1. Mediterranean (Greece) • Warm summers with short, mild, rainy winters • Cool, clear nights • W coasts of continents 30-40 degrees latitude 2. Humid subtropical (Georgia, US) • Hot, humid summers & Very cold winters • Precipitation spread over the year; hurricanes • E sides of continents 3. Marine (Seattle, WA) • Longer, cooler & wet winters
  • 12. 12 • Hot summers, Colder winters, longer snows, shorter growing seasons, only in N. Hemisphere, away from bodies of water • Transitions between mild & polar climates • Extreme seasonal changes: autumn leaves, thunderstorms/tornadoes 1. Warm summer climate- (E Europe) • wet summers (humid) 2. Cool Summer climate- (Russia) • cold winters/snow from Arctic air masses 3. Subarctic- (Scandinavia, Siberia) • long, cold winters, little precipitation • Boreal, taiga CONTINENTAL CLIMATES
  • 13. 13 Cool summer climate- Russia Warm summer climate- Romania Subarctic: Scandinavia
  • 14. POLAR CLIMATES 14 • Within the Arctic &b Antarctic Circles near North & South Poles 1. Tundra climate- (Northern Alaska) • short summers, temperatures can reach 50 degrees F; wildflowers & migratory birds, whales, nutrient rich waters 2. Ice Cap (Antarctica) • Temperatures rarely above freezing, constant ice • Skies clear, & precipitation low (Antarctica, largest, driest desert on Earth) • Little life
  • 16. Periodic Disruptions: • La Nina- period where warm water moves towards the West Pacific (cooler, snows in US) • El Nino- a period when warm water is moving more towards the East Pacific (warmer &rainier in Central America) 16 La Nina El Nino
  • 18. ATMOSPHERIC VARIABLES What factors causes changes in the climate? 1. Biotic processes 2. Sun: Variations in solar radiation 3. Plate tectonics 4. Volcanic eruptions & LIPS 5. Cryosphere 6. Astronomy: Milankovich Cycles 7. Greenhouse gases • Oceans • Human-caused 18
  • 19. 1. Biotic processes (life) • Respiration: breathing in/out O2 and CO2 • Transpiration: release of H20 and CO2 • Waste products • Recycling of gases after death 19
  • 20. • Life affects gas cycles: • Carbon Cycle • Water Cycle • Cloud formation • Weathering EXAMPLE: 2.4 bya The Great Oxidation Event (put oxygen into atmosphere) http://guardianlv.com/2014/02/australian-crystal-found-is-4-4-billion-years-old/ 20
  • 21. 2. Variations in solar radiation • amount affects photosynthesis, precipitation, wind patterns, temperature (AFFECTS LIFE) • Sun has cycles of solar storms (flares) & sun spots which could affect earth & it’s life • sunspots/flares emit more solar radiation (warmer) EXAMPLE: 1550-1850 Little Ice Age- less solar activity Thames River: HENDRICK AVERCAMP'S LITTLE ICE AGE VIDEO: CC 4- Climate change, chaos & little Ice Age (10 min) 21
  • 22. 3. Plate tectonics • shape of the continents determine ocean & wind currents • How heat is transferred • How much moisture http://www.bgs.ac.uk/discoveringGeology/climateChange/general/causes.html?src=topNav 22
  • 23. EXAMPLES: • Mountains vs. plains • Large continent vs. several smaller ones • Connection of two continents block off ocean currents- Isthmus of Panama 23
  • 24. • IN PAST- tectonic movement caused big storage of Carbon- fossil fuels TODAY: Coal mines Carboniferous Era VIDEO: Formation of Fossil Fuels (2:30) 24
  • 25. 4. Volcanic eruptions & LIPs • spew gases into the atmosphere- changes chemistry (LIFE) http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-29399306 Mt Ontake 9/27/2014 25
  • 26. • LIP- large igneous provinces Places where large igneous rock beds indicate a past flow of lava from cracks in the crust 26
  • 27. • Can block out sunlight, preventing photosynthesis (LIFE) • Meteor induced http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2013/13/130212--chicxulub-asteroid-dinosaurs-volcano-mass-extinction- environment-science/ VIDEO: Large Igneous Province formation (2:00) 27
  • 28. MODERN EXAMPLES: 1815 Mt. Tambora: Year without a Summer 1991: Mt. Pinatubo: global temp down 0.9˚F for 3 yrs 28
  • 29. 5. Cryosphere: ice layer affects climate… http://www.toppforskningsinitiativet.org/en/programmer-1/program-2 http://rramu0153.wordpress.com/ 29
  • 30. • During ice ages, sea levels are lower • water/run-off is trapped in ice • not in water cycle = DRIER VIDEO NASA Sea Ice 2008 (3:00) 30
  • 31. • Albedo: amount of ice affects temperature: • more ice: more sunlight is reflected back off Earth • less ice: Earth absorbs more solar Energy • Carbon sink: ice keeps dead organisms from decomposing (more carbon) is absorbed than released; • as ice melts… more CO2 is released 31
  • 32. 6. Milankovitch Cycle variation in intensity of sunlight due to slight variation in Earth’s orbit • Pace setter for cycles of warming & cooling 32
  • 33. http://www.bgs.ac.uk/discoveringGeology/climateChange/ge neral/causes.html?src=topNav http://www.southwestclimatechan ge.org/figures/milankovitch Orbital shape: (eccentricity) Earth’s orbit changes from it’s elliptical shape; 100,000 yrs Orbital axis wobble: Changes in tilt causes strength of seasons 20,000- 40,000 yrs VIDEO: Orbital Forcing (1 min) 33
  • 34. 7. Greenhouse Gases • More greenhouse gases = thicker blanket, holding in solar radiation (warmer) • Fewer greenhouse gases = thinner blanket, trapping less solar radiation= (cooler) http://www.ib.bioninja.com.au/standard-level/topic-5-ecology-and- evoluti/52-the-greenhouse-effect.html 34
  • 35. • Natural Causes • Cold oceans absorb gases: CO2 • Warm oceans release gases: CO2 • CH (methane) from decay • Permafrost melting releases trapped CH4 4 35
  • 36. • Human contributions & links to industrialization • Burning hydrocarbons: Release of carbon into the air through burning of fossil fuels & cement manufacture increases the greenhouse layer: CO2 carbon dioxide CH4 methane H2O water vapor 36
  • 37. Aerosol increase (tiny particles in atmosphere) Man-made CFC’s- chlorofluorocarbons can be put into aerosols & refrigerants; combines with and destroys ozone layer; banned in the US 37
  • 38. Deforestation- cutting down of forests; • trees absorb CO2; by cutting them down, we are eliminating a natural carbon sink • We are cutting down 50 soccer fields of forest each minute • production of soy, timber, beef and palm oil. 38
  • 39. 39
  • 40. Slash & burn- burning of fields for agricultural purposes put hydrocarbons into the air 40
  • 41. HOW DO WE KNOW CLIMATE HAS CHANGED OVER EARTH’S HISTORY? Ancient air is not around to be studied like rocks from the lithosphere are… or is it? • Paleoclimatology- study of ancient climate 41
  • 42. SCIENTISTS USE CLUES IN… 1. Radiometric dating in rocks & sediment- Scientists compare sea floor cores (composition & past temperature) 2. Loess composition (ancient pollen in strata or rocks 42
  • 43. 3. Ancient fossils: foraminifera in ancient sea beds 43
  • 44. 4. Ice core data: layer size, pattern & composition Frozen water expands trapping air molecules! VIDEO : Drilling back to the Future (6:20) 44
  • 45. Ice Core Samples • Samples of ancient air! • Show past atmosphere composition • Show aerosols (small particles in air) • Scientists can count layers yearly • Can be checked with major known eruptions (like Pompeii in 79CE) VIDEO 1: Drilling for Ice (3:20) 45
  • 46. 5. Glaciers: Moraine sediments 6. Evidence left of past sea levels • On shore • in ancient coral beds 46
  • 48. Earth’s pattern of Big Ice Ages have little ice ages (glacials) within them. In between glaciations, are periods of global warming (interglacials.) -------------------------------------------------------------------- LATEST GLACIATION: We’re in it (it’s why we have polar ice caps) Quaternary Glaciation 2.6 million years ago to the present • GLACIAL: Pleistocene Epoch: most recent Epoch in Earth’s history- glacier cycles ended 10,000 years ago 48
  • 49. • Last ice age: around 10,000 years ago • Today we are in the Holocene Epoch, a period of warming (interglacial) 49
  • 50. Glacials of the Quaternary glaciation: • Used to occur every 41,000 years • During the last 800,000 years, the spacing has stretched to every 100,000 years • Ice sheets grow for 90,000 years, take 10,000 years to melt during interglacials. Then the process repeats itself. 50
  • 51. Ice cores and deep sea cores show the same pattern: Brief warmth http://www.skepticalscience.com/trend_and_variation.html 51 Longer cold
  • 52. • Feedback mechanisms: natural responses that add to the system, causing it to continue in one direction ??? How is the Milankovitch Cycle a pace maker to trigger Ice Ages??? ??? What are the feedback mechanisms that amplify the Mil. Cycle??? 52
  • 53. • 1980’s scientists noticed CO levels went up or down with the temperature in the past • Russian Vostok Station (1957 +) cores • CO2 & CH4 during Ice Age • CO2 & CH4 in warm periods GAS KEY 2 53
  • 54. 54 • Climate Sensitivity CO2 levels in the past 750,000 yrs were at 180-280 parts per million • In 2012: levels were at 400 ppm and rising (methane too)
  • 56. Changes in Feedback? In PAST glaciations it appears that: • Sunlight • Temperature • CO2 & CH4 from oceans Making a warming loop until Mil. Cycle turns the cycle towards cooling again CO & CH increase 2 4Ice melts- albedo decreases Temperature increases 56
  • 57. THEN orbital shift: • Sunlight • Temperature • CO2 & CH4 from oceans Making a cooling loop until Mil. Cycle turns the cycle towards warming CO & CH decrease 2 4Ice forms- albedo increases Temperature decreases decreased 57
  • 58. Temperature CO & CH2 4 CO & CH2 4 Temperature FASTER SLOWER 58
  • 59. IN THE PAST: • Temp increased b/c of sun angle shift • Sun angle shift started the loop, increasing the greenhouse gases & warmth NEW: • Orbital shift isn’t triggering the warming trend • extra greenhouse gases are starting the process • NOW- CO2 levels are increasing the temperature first 59
  • 60. NEW: • Gas levels rising faster than anything seen for millions of years & natural feedbacks are kicking in… • Drying forests • Warmer seas • Methane from Arctic melt • Ocean acidification (pH changes) • Coral reefs dying • Sea levels rising • Glaciers/ice caps are melting • Species diversity is declining 60
  • 61. What will those changes be? VIDEO: Crash Course-Climate Change (10:00) 61 • Greenhouse warming & other human influences strong enough to change the natural trend • Could launch Earth into a wholly new climate trend (new pattern) CONCLUSION Geological record verifies with independent methods & data the process computer models are predicting: Disruption of climate from its recent patterns
  • 63. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate_change#mediaviewer/Fil e:NSFmonsoonsandclimatesince200AD.jpg Human civilizations affected by climate changes: VIDEO 2: 300 yrs of fossil fuels in 300 sec (5:30) VIDEO 1: Climate 101 with Bill Nye (4:30) 63
  • 64. Large scale development (urbanization) leads to regional changes in climate: Heat islands in large cities • NYC • Beijing • Chicago Smog Pavement & roofs get hotter than the air while shaded or moist surfaces in rural areas remain close to air temperatures 64
  • 65. Heat Island Consequences: • Elevated emissions of air pollutants & greenhouse gases • Compromised health • Impaired water quality • Increased energy consumption (AC) 65
  • 66. Strategies to combat heat islands: (EPA) • Planting trees & vegetation in cities • Green roofs: growing vegetation on rooftops Beruit NYC Chicago 66
  • 67. Strategies to combat heat islands: (EPA) • Planting trees & vegetation in cities • Green roofs: growing vegetation on rooftops • Cool roofs: installing roofs that reflect sunlight away from buildings • Cool pavements: using paving materials that reflect & not absorb light 67
  • 68. • Smart growth: mix land uses, compact building design, walkable neighborhoods, preserve open space, farmland, direct development towards existing communities, variety of transportation choices, make development decisions predictable, fair, & cost effective 68