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The Greenhouse Effect on Earth
Earth’s atmosphere is slightly warmer
than what it should be due to direct
solar heating because of a mild case of
                                            Click on image to start animation
greenhouse effect…
• The ground is heated by visible
     and (some) infrared light from the
     Sun.
• The heated surface emits infrared
     light.
• The majority of Earth’s
     atmosphere (N2 and O2) are not
     good greenhouse gas.
• The small amount of greenhouse
     gases (H2O, CO2) traps (absorb
     and re-emit) the infrared radiation,
     increasing the temperature of the
     atmosphere…
Water On Earth
The condition is just right!
• The combination of three factors: Distance to the Sun, the
    albedo, and the greenhouse effect, make it possible for water to
    stay on Earth.
• N2 and O2 are not greenhouse gas.
• Not much CO2 in the atmosphere.
• Variable amount of H2O in the atmosphere…regulated by the
    temperature.
 The result is a mild
 greenhouse effect…not too
 hot, and not too cold, just
 the right temperature for
 most of the water to stay in
 liquid phase, and some to
 stay in gas phase in the
 atmosphere on the surface
Greenhouse Gases
• The primary components of Earth’s atmosphere, N2 and
  O2 do not have absorption in the IR wavelength range,
  therefore, do not have a significant role in setting the
  surface temperature of the planet…
• Greenhouse gas are efficient in absorbing IR light…
   The most important greenhouse gases are:
   – H2O – Water vapor.
   – CO2 – Carbon Dioxide
   – CH4 – methane
   The most abundant greenhouse gas in Earth’s
     atmosphere is water vapor. Most of the greenhouse
     heating of Earth’s atmosphere is due to Water vapor
     absorption of IR radiation emitted by Earth, and then
     transferring the energy to the surrounding air
     molecule
Source of Water
The terrestrial planets were built from rock and planetesimals. No gases or water
can condense at the high temperature near the Sun. So, where did the water on
Earth come from?
 • The water on Earth (and other terrestrial worlds) most likely was brought over
    by the comets during the period of heavy bombardment about 4 billion years
    ago…
 • These water (and other gases) were trapped in the interior, and released by
    volcanic activities…by Outgassing
                              •   Mt. St Helen eruption, 2004!
The Atmosphere of Earth
The atmosphere of Earth contains primarily N2
  (77%) and O2 (21%).
• What happened to all the CO2?
• Where did all the O2 come from?
CO2
CO2 is a colorless gas…
• condenses into solid form (dry ice) at -78°C in atmospheric
  pressure.
• condenses into liquid at -57°C at pressure above 5.1
  atmospheric pressure.

Atmospheric CO2 is derived from (The sources…)
• Volcanic outgassing
• burning of organic matter
• Respiration of living organisms
• …
CO2 can be stored in (The Sinks…)
• Highly soluble in water: forms H2CO3
• Dissolved CO2 in water can interact with silicate minerals
  to form carbonated minerals…
• …
Carbon Dioxide Cycle
The mechanism by which Earth self-regulates its temperature is
  called the carbon dioxide cycle, or the CO2 cycle for short.
Starting with the carbon dioxide in the atmosphere:
• Volcanoes outgas CO2 into the atmosphere.
• Atmospheric carbon dioxide dissolves in the oceans.
• At the same time, rainfall erodes rocks on Earth’s continents
  and rivers carry the eroded minerals to the oceans.
• In the oceans, the eroded minerals combine with dissolved
  carbon dioxide and fall to the ocean floor, making carbonate
  rocks such as limestone.
• Over millions of years, the conveyor belt of plate tectonics
  carries the carbonate rocks to subduction zones, and
  subduction carries them down into the mantle.
• As they are pushed deeper into the mantle, some of the
  subducted carbonate rock melts and releases its carbon
  dioxide, which then outgasses back into the atmosphere
  through volcanoes.
The CO2 Cycle
The CO2 cycle acts as a thermostat that regulates the temperature of
the Earth…
If Earth warms up a bit, then
• carbonate minerals form in the oceans at a higher
     rate.
• The rate at which the oceans dissolve CO2 gas
     increases, pulling CO2 out of the atmosphere.
• The reduced atmospheric CO2 concentration leads
     to a weakened greenhouse effect that counteracts
     the initial warming and cools the planet back
     down.
If Earth cools a bit,
• carbonate minerals form more slowly in the
     oceans.
• The rate at which the oceans dissolve CO2 gas
     decreases, allowing the CO2 released by volcanism
     to build back up in the atmosphere.
• The increased CO2 concentration strengthens the
Feedback Loop
• Positive Feedback
  – Mechanisms that make things worse…
  – e.g., Increasing CO2 in the atmosphere leading
    to the release of more CO2
• Negative Feedback
  – Mechanisms that are self-correcting…
  – e.g., Increasing CO2 in the atmosphere leading
    to higher rate of CO2 removal, such as our
    CO2 cycle.
Plate Tectonics
Plate tectonics plays an important role in the CO2 cycle in that it helps to
carry the carbonate rocks into the mantle, which are then released again by
volcanic activities.
 – Earth’s lithosphere is broken into pieces (the plates).
 – These plates float on top of the mantle, interacting with each other to
    produce the geological features we see and feel today.


                                                Click on image to start animation
Where Did O2 Come From?
The most important source of O2 on Earth is
    Life and Photosynthesis.
•   Photosynthesis converts CO2 to O2, and
    incorporates carbon into amino acids, proteins,
    and other components of living organisms.
•   O2 will be depleted from the atmosphere very
    rapidly without a source.
•   O2 is a very reactive chemical that likes to be
    combined with other elements through
    oxidation. For examples, CO2, H2O, FeO (rust)
     ⇒ That’s how we make fire!
•   O2 Absorbs UV, which also transform some of
    the O2 into O3, which absorbs even more UV
    ⇒ O2 not only supports life, it also protect life!

UV light can break the water molecules to release
    oxygen, but the contribution is small….
The Role of the Magnetic Field of Earth
 Another important characteristics of the Earth is its magnetic fields, which shield
 us from the bombardment of the high-energy charged particles, mostly from the
 Sun.
 • Without magnetic field, the high energy particles of solar wind can strip much
      of the Earth’s atmosphere by breaking the bounds between the atoms in the
      air molecules
      – N2 → N + N
      – O2 → O + O
      – H2 O → H + H + O
 • The lighter gases then have higher probability of acquiring velocity higher
      than escape velocity and escape from Earth!
Water On Earth in the Past
Was it always like this on Earth?
• Yes. Water was plentiful throughout most of Earth’s history,
  for about three billion years.
• No! Geological evidences suggest that Earth used to be
  covered by ice about 600-700 million years ago
  ⇒ Snowball Phase.
How did Earth recover from the snowball phase?
• Once the water was frozen, CO2 can no longer be removed
  from the atmosphere by dissolving in water ⇒ interruption of
  the CO2 cycle.
• Increased CO2 level in the atmosphere leads to stronger
  greenhouse effect, which warms the atmosphere.
• Higher temperature melt the ice ⇒ restoration of the CO2
  cycle.
Comparative Planetology
Mars and Venus are very similar to Earth in
 their size and location to the solar system.
 However, their surface environments are
 drastically different from that of the Earth
 today. By understanding how Mars and
 Venus end up with their current state, we
 may be able to better understand our
 Earth…
Mars




Mars image from
Hubble Space Telescope
Martian Season
• The tilt of Mar’s rotation axis with respect to its
  ecliptic plane is 25.19°
• The eccentricity of Mar’s orbit around the Sun is
  0.093
• The seasons on Mars are affected by both its
  orbital distance and its axis tilt.
   – Mars is closer to the Sun during the southern
     hemisphere summer, and farther away from the Sun
     during its winter
   – Mars therefore has more extreme seasons in its
     southern hemisphere—that is, shorter, hotter
     summers and longer, colder winters—than in its
     northern hemisphere.
Martian Weather
• Even though Mars only has a very
  thin atmosphere, it still has a
  weather system…
• Martian weather are due to its
  extreme seasonal changes.
   – Polar temperatures at the winter pole
     drop so low (about –130°C) that
     carbon dioxide condenses into “dry
     ice” at the polar cap.
   – frozen carbon dioxide at the summer
     pole sublimates into carbon dioxide
     gas.
   – The atmospheric pressure therefore
     increases at the summer pole and
     decreases at the winter pole, driving
     strong pole-to-pole winds.
   – Storms on Mars can engulf the entire
     planet.
Geology of Mars
• Martian surface is
  similar to Earth’s desert
  and volcanic plane
   – High elevation and
     numerous large impact
     craters in the southern
     hemisphere
   – Lower elevation and few
     impact craters in the
     northern hemisphere
     Volcanism is the most
     likely mechanism
     responsible for changing
     the surface features of
     Mars.                      Dry Ice (frozen CO2) in the north
• Many geological               and south poles…
  features suggest past
  water flows…
Water on Mars in the Past?
Many geological features of Mars suggest that it had a lot of water about 3 billion years
ago. It may even have a pleasant, hospitable environment.
•    Dried up riverbeds…
•    Gullies?               Images from Mars Rover Spirit at
•    Lake bottom            a suspected ancient lake site
                             showed rock structures consistent
                             with those formed from sediments
                             in standing water

       Riverbed?                          Gullies                     Lake Bottom?
Ancient Martian Ocean?
Mars may once have an ocean. The smoother surface in
  the low lying areas in the northern hemisphere (blue
  areas in the image on the right) may once hold an
  ocean…
Water on Mars Today?
The gullies form when snow
 accumulates on the crater walls
 in winter and melts away in
 spring. Because the gullies are
 relatively small (note the scale
 bar in Figure 7.26), they should
 be gradually covered over by
 blowing sand during Martian
 dust storms. Thus, gullies that
 are still clearly visible must be
 no more than a few million
 years old. Geologically
 speaking, this time is short
 enough to make it quite likely
 that water flows are still forming
 gullies today
Why doesn’t Mars have water
                                   today?
    If Mars used to hold a large amount of water, then why is Mars so different
    today? What caused it to lose its water?

    We don’t know exactly what happened, but one likely explanation was because of
    the relatively small size of Mars:

•   The smaller size of Mars means
    that it cools off faster. Once it
    cools, volcanic activities stop,
    halting the release of gases into the
    atmosphere.
•   The cool interior temperature may
    means that Mars does not have a
    fluid metallic core to generate
    magnetic fields anymore.
•   Without a magnetosphere, the
    atmosphere is exposed to the
    bombardment of high energy
                                            •   As Mars cools, the remaining CO2 gases are frozen in the
    charged particles of solar wind,
                                                north and south pole, forming the ice cap.
    which break the air molecules,          •   The remaining oxygen are trapped on surface rock,
    making them easier to escape.               making it look red
Venus
We cannot
 see the
 rocky
 surface of
 Venus due
 to its thick
 atmosphere.
 ..




NASA Image of Venus
Geology of Venus
•   Venus’ surface is similar to Earth and Mars – few impact craters, volcanoes,
    and evidence of tectonics activities…
     – But no plate tectonics
•   The volcanoes of Venus is most likely still active today
     – few impact craters,
     – sulfuric acid cloud (the volcanoes are still outgasing)
•   However, there is no sign of erosion
     – No liquid water?
     – No wind, due to its slow rotation (243 Earth days per rotation).
• Venus dos not have a magnetic field!
  This is quite surprising given that most of
  the ingredients required for the dynamo are
  all present…


                Click on the image to see
                image obtained by Venera
                14 spacecraft
Why doesn’t Venus have water?
  Given the similarities between Earth and Venus, why is the
  atmosphere of Venus so different from Earth’s?

  Venus is too hot!
  •   The proximity to the Sun keep the temperature on Venus
      high, even without greenhouse effect. Any water on
      Venus (from out-gassing of water trapped inside the
      planet) are vaporized into gaseous phases (water vapor).
  •   Water vapor and CO2 are both greenhouse gas, causing
      the atmosphere to warm up more ⇒ runaway greenhouse
      effect ⇒ T = 740 ºK
  •   At 740 ºK, the molecules of gases has much higher
      average kinetic energy (recall the definition of
      temperature) ⇒ higher average velocity.
  •   If the velocity of the gas molecules exceed the escape
      velocity, then they can escape into space…
  •   Light gases (H, H2O, O2, N2) escape, heavy gases (CO2)
      stay. Why?
  •   Without liquid water, CO2 doesn’t have a place to go,
      except to stay in the atmosphere…in comparison, most of
      the CO2 on Earth are locked in rock or liquid water...
Runaway Greenhouse Effect
If we were to move the Earth closer to the Sun, like where Venus is now, then we
would suffer the runaway greenhouse effect as well, lose all the water, and become hot
like Venus.
What makes a planet habitable?
Two important factors
determine whether a
planet is habitable…
 Size:
 – Need substantial mass
     to maintain an
     atmosphere
 – Small planets cool off
     faster than large ones.
     Without the volcanic
     outgasing and a hot,
     fluid metallic core to
     generate magnetic
     field, atmospheric gas
     are easily depleted.
Distance to the Sun – the
distance to the Sun
determine the energy input
to the planet:
 – Too close ⇒ too hot –
     water evaporates.
 – Too far ⇒ too cold –
     water freeze.
• Internal Structure
• Surface Features
• Atmosphere
• What makes the Earth
  hospitable to life?
• Global Warming?
Global Warming, A Quick Poll
Is global warming real?                Who is to blame?
a) Yes                                 a) Human activities
b) No                                  b) Nature causes
                                       c) ET
How much has the average               d) NoCanTell!
   temperature of the Earth risen in
   the last 100 years?
                                       What is to blame?
a) ~ 0.5°C
                                       a) Ozone
b) ~ 1.0°C                             b) CO2
c) ~ 5.0°C
                                       c) H2O
d) ~ 10.0°C
                                       d) O2
This is the highest temperature ever
     recorded in Earth’s history.
a) Yes.
b) No.
Global Warming, A Quick Poll
Is global warming real?                  Who is to blame?
a) Yes                                   a) Human activities
b) No                                    b) Nature causes
                                         c) ET
How much has the average                 d) NoCanTell!
   temperature of the Earth risen in
   the last 100 years?                   What is to blame?
a) ~ 0.5°C                               a) Ozone
b) ~ 1.0°C                               b) CO2
c) ~ 5.0°C                               c) H2O
d) ~ 10.0°C                              d) O2
                                         e) NoCanTell. It is real
As far as we know, this is the highest      complicated!
     temperature ever recorded in
     Earth’s history.
a) Yes.
b) No.
Global Warming
There is a gradual increase in
 the average temperature of the
 Earth’s atmosphere in the last
 100 years…It has risen about
 1°C since 1900…
  • Are human activities
     causing global warming?
  • What other (non-human)
     factors can cause global
     warming?
  • How does global warming
     affect our life?
     Just watch the movies…
Earth’s Temperature Variation in
            the past 1,100 years




Reconstructions of (Northern Hemisphere average or global average) surface temperature variations from six
research teams (in different color shades) along with the instrumental record of global average surface
temperature (in black). Each curve illustrates a somewhat different history of temperature changes, with a
range of uncertainties that tend to increase backward in time (as indicated by the shading). Reference:
NRC, 2006. (Figure reprinted with permission from Surface Temperature Reconstructions© (2006) by the
National Academy of Sciences, Courtesy of the National Academies Press22 18, Washington, D.C.).
Reproduced from EPA Climate Change Website.
The Long-Term Stability of Earth’s
         Climate−400,000 years
• The atmospheric
  concentration of CO2
  measured from Antarctic
  ice core data implies that
  Earth’s climate has being
  pretty stable over the
  past 400,000 years
• It also shows a rapid
  increase of about 30%
  in the past few              Fluctuations in temperature (blue) and in the atmospheric
  centuries…                   concentration of carbon dioxide (red) over the past 400,000 years as
                               inferred from Antarctic ice-core records. The vertical red bar is the
   – 270 ppm (parts per        increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide levels over the past two
      million) to 370 ppm      centuries and before 2006. From A. V. Fedorov et al. Science
                                312, 1485 (2006)17. 18.
                               Reproduced from EPA Climate Change Website.
How do we measure atmospheric
     CO2 concentration in the past?
•    Precise measurements of atmospheric CO2
     concentration is available only in the last few
     decades…
•    Information about atmospheric CO2 concentration and
     temperatures in the past can be inferred by several
     different methods, such as
    – Tree-ring
    – Deep ocean sediment
    – Ice core records
    – Coral
    – …
Paleoclimatology is the Paleoclimatology the widespread availability of
    Link to NOAA study of climate prior to Website
records of temperature, precipitation and other instrumental data.
Antarctic Ice
   Core

                 Located high in mountains and in
                  polar ice caps, ice has
                  accumulated from snowfall over
                  many millenia. Scientists drill
                  through the deep ice to collect ice
                  cores. These cores contain dust,
                  air bubbles, or isotopes of
                  oxygen, that can be used to
                  interpret the past climate of that
                  area.

                From NOAA Paleoclimatology
                   Website.
•   This figures shows estimates of the changes
    in carbon dioxide concentrations during the
    Phanerozoic. Three estimates are based on                  CO2 over
    geochemical modeling: GEOCARB III (Berner
    and Kothavala 2001), COPSE (Bergmann et
    al. 2004) and Rothman (2001). These are
    compared to the carbon dioxide measurement
                                                              500 million
                                                                years
    database of Royer et al. (2004) and a 30 Myr
    filtered average of those data. Error envelopes
    are shown when they were available. The right
    hand scale shows the ratio of these
    measurements to the estimated average for
    the last several million years (the Quaternary).
    Customary labels for the periods of
    geologic time appear at the bottom.
•   Direct determination of past carbon dioxide
    levels relies primarily on the interpretation of
    carbon isotopic ratios in fossilized soils (
    paleosols) or the shells of phytoplankton and
    through interpretation of stomatal density in
    fossil plants. Each of these is subject to
    substantial systematic uncertainty.
•   Estimates of carbon dioxide changes through
    geochemical modeling instead rely on
    quantifying the geological sources and sinks
    for carbon dioxide over long time scales
    particularly: volcanic inputs, erosion and
    carbonate deposition. As such, these models
    are largely independent of direct                  From:
    measurements of carbon dioxide.
•   Both measurements and models show                  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:P
    considerable uncertainty and variation;            hanerozoic_Carbon_Dioxide.png
Which gas is keeping the Earth
            warm?
          The major natural greenhouse gases are
A. N2?    • water vapor, which causes about 36-70% of the
             greenhouse effect on Earth (not including clouds);
B. O2?    • carbon dioxide, which causes 9-26%;
          • methane, which causes 4-9%, and
C. CO2?   • ozone, which causes 3-7%.

D. H2O?   Note that it is not really possible to assert that a certain
            gas causes a certain percentage of the greenhouse
            effect, because the influences of the various gases are
            not additive. (The higher ends of the ranges quoted
            are for the gas alone; the lower ends, for the gas
            counting overlaps.)[3] [4]

          From http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greenhouse_gas
So, what’s the big deal if human
        CO2 causes 1°C temperature
•
                            increase?
    An increase in atmospheric temperature
    (human or natural origin) will lead to the
    increase in the water vapor content of the
    troposphere.
•   Because water vapor is a strong
    greenhouse gas, the increase in H2O vapor
    in turn causes enhanced greenhouse effect,
    raising the temperature more.
•   Higher atmospheric temperature will cause
    more evaporation of water
•   Which leads to even higher temperature…


⇒ Runaway Green House Effect!
How about Clouds and Ice?
Water vapor (water in gaseous phase) is one of the most
  potent and abundant greenhouse gas…but
• Clouds (water in liquid form) reflect sunlight, decreasing
  the solar energy input into Earth’s atmosphere during the
  day, but they trap IR radiation from the Earth during the
  night. It’s net effect is not well know so far…
   – Albedo of clouds range from close to 0 to 70%.
   – Testing climate impact of clouds after Sept. 11,
     2001…
• Ice has a very high albedo, ~ 80 to 90%.
   – Thus, reduction of the polar ice cap can cause more heating…
Contrails and Climate
Contrails are artificial clouds made by
  the exhaust of the aircraft engines,
  or the wingtip vortices
  (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Contrail
  ). Contrails produced by the heavy
  air traffic over the US may have
  noticeable influences on the
  weather…
• Commercial air traffic were
  suspended for three days after the
  Sept. 11, 2001 attack. This
  provided a rare chance for the
  climate scientist to test their
  theory…
• Measurements show that without
  contrails the local difference of day
  and night-time temperatures was
  about 1 degree Celsius higher than
  immediately before the attack…
How About The CO2 Cycle?
The CO2 cycle acts as a thermostat that regulates the temperature of
the Earth…
If Earth warms up a bit, then
• carbonate minerals form in the oceans at a higher
     rate.
• The rate at which the oceans dissolve CO2 gas
     increases, pulling CO2 out of the atmosphere.
• The reduced atmospheric CO2 concentration leads
     to a weakened greenhouse effect that counteracts
     the initial warming and cools the planet back
     down.
If Earth cools a bit,
• carbonate minerals form more slowly in the
     oceans.
• The rate at which the oceans dissolve CO2 gas
     decreases, allowing the CO2 released by volcanism
     to build back up in the atmosphere.
• The increased CO2 concentration strengthens the
Feedback Loop
• Positive Feedback
  – Mechanisms that make things worse…
  – e.g., Increasing CO2 in the atmosphere leading
    to the release of more CO2
• Negative Feedback
  – Mechanisms that are self-correcting…
  – e.g., Increasing CO2 in the atmosphere leading
    to higher rate of CO2 removal, such as our
    CO2 cycle.
My Two Cents…
•   It looks like most of the scientists agree that the global warming
    observed in the last century were caused by human activity.
    However, as we tried to demonstrate here, the global climate is a
    very complicated system. We understand the basic principle of the
    climate system, but we still don’t understand how nature regulates
    Earth’s climate over the long run, nor do we have the capability to
    create a realistic climate model and be able to predict with any
    certainty the effects of human activities on our climate system.


                      My advices…
•   Keep an open mind.
•   Read, and think for yourself!
•   Do not rush into judgment (especially after you watch the movies).
•   Please trust the scientific community to come up with an honest
    answer…There are enough check and balance in the scientific
    community to weed out the bad theories…

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Ast110 17

  • 1. The Greenhouse Effect on Earth Earth’s atmosphere is slightly warmer than what it should be due to direct solar heating because of a mild case of Click on image to start animation greenhouse effect… • The ground is heated by visible and (some) infrared light from the Sun. • The heated surface emits infrared light. • The majority of Earth’s atmosphere (N2 and O2) are not good greenhouse gas. • The small amount of greenhouse gases (H2O, CO2) traps (absorb and re-emit) the infrared radiation, increasing the temperature of the atmosphere…
  • 2. Water On Earth The condition is just right! • The combination of three factors: Distance to the Sun, the albedo, and the greenhouse effect, make it possible for water to stay on Earth. • N2 and O2 are not greenhouse gas. • Not much CO2 in the atmosphere. • Variable amount of H2O in the atmosphere…regulated by the temperature. The result is a mild greenhouse effect…not too hot, and not too cold, just the right temperature for most of the water to stay in liquid phase, and some to stay in gas phase in the atmosphere on the surface
  • 3. Greenhouse Gases • The primary components of Earth’s atmosphere, N2 and O2 do not have absorption in the IR wavelength range, therefore, do not have a significant role in setting the surface temperature of the planet… • Greenhouse gas are efficient in absorbing IR light… The most important greenhouse gases are: – H2O – Water vapor. – CO2 – Carbon Dioxide – CH4 – methane The most abundant greenhouse gas in Earth’s atmosphere is water vapor. Most of the greenhouse heating of Earth’s atmosphere is due to Water vapor absorption of IR radiation emitted by Earth, and then transferring the energy to the surrounding air molecule
  • 4. Source of Water The terrestrial planets were built from rock and planetesimals. No gases or water can condense at the high temperature near the Sun. So, where did the water on Earth come from? • The water on Earth (and other terrestrial worlds) most likely was brought over by the comets during the period of heavy bombardment about 4 billion years ago… • These water (and other gases) were trapped in the interior, and released by volcanic activities…by Outgassing • Mt. St Helen eruption, 2004!
  • 5. The Atmosphere of Earth The atmosphere of Earth contains primarily N2 (77%) and O2 (21%). • What happened to all the CO2? • Where did all the O2 come from?
  • 6. CO2 CO2 is a colorless gas… • condenses into solid form (dry ice) at -78°C in atmospheric pressure. • condenses into liquid at -57°C at pressure above 5.1 atmospheric pressure. Atmospheric CO2 is derived from (The sources…) • Volcanic outgassing • burning of organic matter • Respiration of living organisms • … CO2 can be stored in (The Sinks…) • Highly soluble in water: forms H2CO3 • Dissolved CO2 in water can interact with silicate minerals to form carbonated minerals… • …
  • 7. Carbon Dioxide Cycle The mechanism by which Earth self-regulates its temperature is called the carbon dioxide cycle, or the CO2 cycle for short. Starting with the carbon dioxide in the atmosphere: • Volcanoes outgas CO2 into the atmosphere. • Atmospheric carbon dioxide dissolves in the oceans. • At the same time, rainfall erodes rocks on Earth’s continents and rivers carry the eroded minerals to the oceans. • In the oceans, the eroded minerals combine with dissolved carbon dioxide and fall to the ocean floor, making carbonate rocks such as limestone. • Over millions of years, the conveyor belt of plate tectonics carries the carbonate rocks to subduction zones, and subduction carries them down into the mantle. • As they are pushed deeper into the mantle, some of the subducted carbonate rock melts and releases its carbon dioxide, which then outgasses back into the atmosphere through volcanoes.
  • 8. The CO2 Cycle The CO2 cycle acts as a thermostat that regulates the temperature of the Earth… If Earth warms up a bit, then • carbonate minerals form in the oceans at a higher rate. • The rate at which the oceans dissolve CO2 gas increases, pulling CO2 out of the atmosphere. • The reduced atmospheric CO2 concentration leads to a weakened greenhouse effect that counteracts the initial warming and cools the planet back down. If Earth cools a bit, • carbonate minerals form more slowly in the oceans. • The rate at which the oceans dissolve CO2 gas decreases, allowing the CO2 released by volcanism to build back up in the atmosphere. • The increased CO2 concentration strengthens the
  • 9. Feedback Loop • Positive Feedback – Mechanisms that make things worse… – e.g., Increasing CO2 in the atmosphere leading to the release of more CO2 • Negative Feedback – Mechanisms that are self-correcting… – e.g., Increasing CO2 in the atmosphere leading to higher rate of CO2 removal, such as our CO2 cycle.
  • 10. Plate Tectonics Plate tectonics plays an important role in the CO2 cycle in that it helps to carry the carbonate rocks into the mantle, which are then released again by volcanic activities. – Earth’s lithosphere is broken into pieces (the plates). – These plates float on top of the mantle, interacting with each other to produce the geological features we see and feel today. Click on image to start animation
  • 11. Where Did O2 Come From? The most important source of O2 on Earth is Life and Photosynthesis. • Photosynthesis converts CO2 to O2, and incorporates carbon into amino acids, proteins, and other components of living organisms. • O2 will be depleted from the atmosphere very rapidly without a source. • O2 is a very reactive chemical that likes to be combined with other elements through oxidation. For examples, CO2, H2O, FeO (rust) ⇒ That’s how we make fire! • O2 Absorbs UV, which also transform some of the O2 into O3, which absorbs even more UV ⇒ O2 not only supports life, it also protect life! UV light can break the water molecules to release oxygen, but the contribution is small….
  • 12. The Role of the Magnetic Field of Earth Another important characteristics of the Earth is its magnetic fields, which shield us from the bombardment of the high-energy charged particles, mostly from the Sun. • Without magnetic field, the high energy particles of solar wind can strip much of the Earth’s atmosphere by breaking the bounds between the atoms in the air molecules – N2 → N + N – O2 → O + O – H2 O → H + H + O • The lighter gases then have higher probability of acquiring velocity higher than escape velocity and escape from Earth!
  • 13. Water On Earth in the Past Was it always like this on Earth? • Yes. Water was plentiful throughout most of Earth’s history, for about three billion years. • No! Geological evidences suggest that Earth used to be covered by ice about 600-700 million years ago ⇒ Snowball Phase. How did Earth recover from the snowball phase? • Once the water was frozen, CO2 can no longer be removed from the atmosphere by dissolving in water ⇒ interruption of the CO2 cycle. • Increased CO2 level in the atmosphere leads to stronger greenhouse effect, which warms the atmosphere. • Higher temperature melt the ice ⇒ restoration of the CO2 cycle.
  • 14. Comparative Planetology Mars and Venus are very similar to Earth in their size and location to the solar system. However, their surface environments are drastically different from that of the Earth today. By understanding how Mars and Venus end up with their current state, we may be able to better understand our Earth…
  • 15. Mars Mars image from Hubble Space Telescope
  • 16. Martian Season • The tilt of Mar’s rotation axis with respect to its ecliptic plane is 25.19° • The eccentricity of Mar’s orbit around the Sun is 0.093 • The seasons on Mars are affected by both its orbital distance and its axis tilt. – Mars is closer to the Sun during the southern hemisphere summer, and farther away from the Sun during its winter – Mars therefore has more extreme seasons in its southern hemisphere—that is, shorter, hotter summers and longer, colder winters—than in its northern hemisphere.
  • 17. Martian Weather • Even though Mars only has a very thin atmosphere, it still has a weather system… • Martian weather are due to its extreme seasonal changes. – Polar temperatures at the winter pole drop so low (about –130°C) that carbon dioxide condenses into “dry ice” at the polar cap. – frozen carbon dioxide at the summer pole sublimates into carbon dioxide gas. – The atmospheric pressure therefore increases at the summer pole and decreases at the winter pole, driving strong pole-to-pole winds. – Storms on Mars can engulf the entire planet.
  • 18. Geology of Mars • Martian surface is similar to Earth’s desert and volcanic plane – High elevation and numerous large impact craters in the southern hemisphere – Lower elevation and few impact craters in the northern hemisphere Volcanism is the most likely mechanism responsible for changing the surface features of Mars. Dry Ice (frozen CO2) in the north • Many geological and south poles… features suggest past water flows…
  • 19. Water on Mars in the Past? Many geological features of Mars suggest that it had a lot of water about 3 billion years ago. It may even have a pleasant, hospitable environment. • Dried up riverbeds… • Gullies? Images from Mars Rover Spirit at • Lake bottom a suspected ancient lake site showed rock structures consistent with those formed from sediments in standing water Riverbed? Gullies Lake Bottom?
  • 20. Ancient Martian Ocean? Mars may once have an ocean. The smoother surface in the low lying areas in the northern hemisphere (blue areas in the image on the right) may once hold an ocean…
  • 21. Water on Mars Today? The gullies form when snow accumulates on the crater walls in winter and melts away in spring. Because the gullies are relatively small (note the scale bar in Figure 7.26), they should be gradually covered over by blowing sand during Martian dust storms. Thus, gullies that are still clearly visible must be no more than a few million years old. Geologically speaking, this time is short enough to make it quite likely that water flows are still forming gullies today
  • 22. Why doesn’t Mars have water today? If Mars used to hold a large amount of water, then why is Mars so different today? What caused it to lose its water? We don’t know exactly what happened, but one likely explanation was because of the relatively small size of Mars: • The smaller size of Mars means that it cools off faster. Once it cools, volcanic activities stop, halting the release of gases into the atmosphere. • The cool interior temperature may means that Mars does not have a fluid metallic core to generate magnetic fields anymore. • Without a magnetosphere, the atmosphere is exposed to the bombardment of high energy • As Mars cools, the remaining CO2 gases are frozen in the charged particles of solar wind, north and south pole, forming the ice cap. which break the air molecules, • The remaining oxygen are trapped on surface rock, making them easier to escape. making it look red
  • 23. Venus We cannot see the rocky surface of Venus due to its thick atmosphere. .. NASA Image of Venus
  • 24. Geology of Venus • Venus’ surface is similar to Earth and Mars – few impact craters, volcanoes, and evidence of tectonics activities… – But no plate tectonics • The volcanoes of Venus is most likely still active today – few impact craters, – sulfuric acid cloud (the volcanoes are still outgasing) • However, there is no sign of erosion – No liquid water? – No wind, due to its slow rotation (243 Earth days per rotation). • Venus dos not have a magnetic field! This is quite surprising given that most of the ingredients required for the dynamo are all present… Click on the image to see image obtained by Venera 14 spacecraft
  • 25. Why doesn’t Venus have water? Given the similarities between Earth and Venus, why is the atmosphere of Venus so different from Earth’s? Venus is too hot! • The proximity to the Sun keep the temperature on Venus high, even without greenhouse effect. Any water on Venus (from out-gassing of water trapped inside the planet) are vaporized into gaseous phases (water vapor). • Water vapor and CO2 are both greenhouse gas, causing the atmosphere to warm up more ⇒ runaway greenhouse effect ⇒ T = 740 ºK • At 740 ºK, the molecules of gases has much higher average kinetic energy (recall the definition of temperature) ⇒ higher average velocity. • If the velocity of the gas molecules exceed the escape velocity, then they can escape into space… • Light gases (H, H2O, O2, N2) escape, heavy gases (CO2) stay. Why? • Without liquid water, CO2 doesn’t have a place to go, except to stay in the atmosphere…in comparison, most of the CO2 on Earth are locked in rock or liquid water...
  • 26. Runaway Greenhouse Effect If we were to move the Earth closer to the Sun, like where Venus is now, then we would suffer the runaway greenhouse effect as well, lose all the water, and become hot like Venus.
  • 27. What makes a planet habitable? Two important factors determine whether a planet is habitable… Size: – Need substantial mass to maintain an atmosphere – Small planets cool off faster than large ones. Without the volcanic outgasing and a hot, fluid metallic core to generate magnetic field, atmospheric gas are easily depleted. Distance to the Sun – the distance to the Sun determine the energy input to the planet: – Too close ⇒ too hot – water evaporates. – Too far ⇒ too cold – water freeze.
  • 28. • Internal Structure • Surface Features • Atmosphere • What makes the Earth hospitable to life? • Global Warming?
  • 29. Global Warming, A Quick Poll Is global warming real? Who is to blame? a) Yes a) Human activities b) No b) Nature causes c) ET How much has the average d) NoCanTell! temperature of the Earth risen in the last 100 years? What is to blame? a) ~ 0.5°C a) Ozone b) ~ 1.0°C b) CO2 c) ~ 5.0°C c) H2O d) ~ 10.0°C d) O2 This is the highest temperature ever recorded in Earth’s history. a) Yes. b) No.
  • 30. Global Warming, A Quick Poll Is global warming real? Who is to blame? a) Yes a) Human activities b) No b) Nature causes c) ET How much has the average d) NoCanTell! temperature of the Earth risen in the last 100 years? What is to blame? a) ~ 0.5°C a) Ozone b) ~ 1.0°C b) CO2 c) ~ 5.0°C c) H2O d) ~ 10.0°C d) O2 e) NoCanTell. It is real As far as we know, this is the highest complicated! temperature ever recorded in Earth’s history. a) Yes. b) No.
  • 31. Global Warming There is a gradual increase in the average temperature of the Earth’s atmosphere in the last 100 years…It has risen about 1°C since 1900… • Are human activities causing global warming? • What other (non-human) factors can cause global warming? • How does global warming affect our life? Just watch the movies…
  • 32. Earth’s Temperature Variation in the past 1,100 years Reconstructions of (Northern Hemisphere average or global average) surface temperature variations from six research teams (in different color shades) along with the instrumental record of global average surface temperature (in black). Each curve illustrates a somewhat different history of temperature changes, with a range of uncertainties that tend to increase backward in time (as indicated by the shading). Reference: NRC, 2006. (Figure reprinted with permission from Surface Temperature Reconstructions© (2006) by the National Academy of Sciences, Courtesy of the National Academies Press22 18, Washington, D.C.). Reproduced from EPA Climate Change Website.
  • 33. The Long-Term Stability of Earth’s Climate−400,000 years • The atmospheric concentration of CO2 measured from Antarctic ice core data implies that Earth’s climate has being pretty stable over the past 400,000 years • It also shows a rapid increase of about 30% in the past few Fluctuations in temperature (blue) and in the atmospheric centuries… concentration of carbon dioxide (red) over the past 400,000 years as inferred from Antarctic ice-core records. The vertical red bar is the – 270 ppm (parts per increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide levels over the past two million) to 370 ppm centuries and before 2006. From A. V. Fedorov et al. Science 312, 1485 (2006)17. 18. Reproduced from EPA Climate Change Website.
  • 34. How do we measure atmospheric CO2 concentration in the past? • Precise measurements of atmospheric CO2 concentration is available only in the last few decades… • Information about atmospheric CO2 concentration and temperatures in the past can be inferred by several different methods, such as – Tree-ring – Deep ocean sediment – Ice core records – Coral – … Paleoclimatology is the Paleoclimatology the widespread availability of Link to NOAA study of climate prior to Website records of temperature, precipitation and other instrumental data.
  • 35. Antarctic Ice Core Located high in mountains and in polar ice caps, ice has accumulated from snowfall over many millenia. Scientists drill through the deep ice to collect ice cores. These cores contain dust, air bubbles, or isotopes of oxygen, that can be used to interpret the past climate of that area. From NOAA Paleoclimatology Website.
  • 36. This figures shows estimates of the changes in carbon dioxide concentrations during the Phanerozoic. Three estimates are based on CO2 over geochemical modeling: GEOCARB III (Berner and Kothavala 2001), COPSE (Bergmann et al. 2004) and Rothman (2001). These are compared to the carbon dioxide measurement 500 million years database of Royer et al. (2004) and a 30 Myr filtered average of those data. Error envelopes are shown when they were available. The right hand scale shows the ratio of these measurements to the estimated average for the last several million years (the Quaternary). Customary labels for the periods of geologic time appear at the bottom. • Direct determination of past carbon dioxide levels relies primarily on the interpretation of carbon isotopic ratios in fossilized soils ( paleosols) or the shells of phytoplankton and through interpretation of stomatal density in fossil plants. Each of these is subject to substantial systematic uncertainty. • Estimates of carbon dioxide changes through geochemical modeling instead rely on quantifying the geological sources and sinks for carbon dioxide over long time scales particularly: volcanic inputs, erosion and carbonate deposition. As such, these models are largely independent of direct From: measurements of carbon dioxide. • Both measurements and models show http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:P considerable uncertainty and variation; hanerozoic_Carbon_Dioxide.png
  • 37. Which gas is keeping the Earth warm? The major natural greenhouse gases are A. N2? • water vapor, which causes about 36-70% of the greenhouse effect on Earth (not including clouds); B. O2? • carbon dioxide, which causes 9-26%; • methane, which causes 4-9%, and C. CO2? • ozone, which causes 3-7%. D. H2O? Note that it is not really possible to assert that a certain gas causes a certain percentage of the greenhouse effect, because the influences of the various gases are not additive. (The higher ends of the ranges quoted are for the gas alone; the lower ends, for the gas counting overlaps.)[3] [4] From http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greenhouse_gas
  • 38. So, what’s the big deal if human CO2 causes 1°C temperature • increase? An increase in atmospheric temperature (human or natural origin) will lead to the increase in the water vapor content of the troposphere. • Because water vapor is a strong greenhouse gas, the increase in H2O vapor in turn causes enhanced greenhouse effect, raising the temperature more. • Higher atmospheric temperature will cause more evaporation of water • Which leads to even higher temperature… ⇒ Runaway Green House Effect!
  • 39. How about Clouds and Ice? Water vapor (water in gaseous phase) is one of the most potent and abundant greenhouse gas…but • Clouds (water in liquid form) reflect sunlight, decreasing the solar energy input into Earth’s atmosphere during the day, but they trap IR radiation from the Earth during the night. It’s net effect is not well know so far… – Albedo of clouds range from close to 0 to 70%. – Testing climate impact of clouds after Sept. 11, 2001… • Ice has a very high albedo, ~ 80 to 90%. – Thus, reduction of the polar ice cap can cause more heating…
  • 40. Contrails and Climate Contrails are artificial clouds made by the exhaust of the aircraft engines, or the wingtip vortices (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Contrail ). Contrails produced by the heavy air traffic over the US may have noticeable influences on the weather… • Commercial air traffic were suspended for three days after the Sept. 11, 2001 attack. This provided a rare chance for the climate scientist to test their theory… • Measurements show that without contrails the local difference of day and night-time temperatures was about 1 degree Celsius higher than immediately before the attack…
  • 41. How About The CO2 Cycle? The CO2 cycle acts as a thermostat that regulates the temperature of the Earth… If Earth warms up a bit, then • carbonate minerals form in the oceans at a higher rate. • The rate at which the oceans dissolve CO2 gas increases, pulling CO2 out of the atmosphere. • The reduced atmospheric CO2 concentration leads to a weakened greenhouse effect that counteracts the initial warming and cools the planet back down. If Earth cools a bit, • carbonate minerals form more slowly in the oceans. • The rate at which the oceans dissolve CO2 gas decreases, allowing the CO2 released by volcanism to build back up in the atmosphere. • The increased CO2 concentration strengthens the
  • 42. Feedback Loop • Positive Feedback – Mechanisms that make things worse… – e.g., Increasing CO2 in the atmosphere leading to the release of more CO2 • Negative Feedback – Mechanisms that are self-correcting… – e.g., Increasing CO2 in the atmosphere leading to higher rate of CO2 removal, such as our CO2 cycle.
  • 43. My Two Cents… • It looks like most of the scientists agree that the global warming observed in the last century were caused by human activity. However, as we tried to demonstrate here, the global climate is a very complicated system. We understand the basic principle of the climate system, but we still don’t understand how nature regulates Earth’s climate over the long run, nor do we have the capability to create a realistic climate model and be able to predict with any certainty the effects of human activities on our climate system. My advices… • Keep an open mind. • Read, and think for yourself! • Do not rush into judgment (especially after you watch the movies). • Please trust the scientific community to come up with an honest answer…There are enough check and balance in the scientific community to weed out the bad theories…