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Normal Distributions




    Reported by:
onathan M. Pacuri
1-1




                         The Normal
                         Distribution
      GOALS

      ONE
      List the characteristics of the normal distribution.
      TWO
      Define and calculate z values.
      THREE
      Determine the probability that an observation will lie between two points
      using the standard normal distribution.
      FOUR
      Determine the probability that an observation will be above or below a given
      value using the standard normal distribution.

                                                             Jonathan M. Pacurib
1-1




      GOALS

      FIVE
      Compare two or more observations that are on different probability
      distributions.




                                                       Jonathan M. Pacurib
7-3




       Characteristics of a Normal
       Distribution
       The  normal curve is bell-shaped and has a single
        peak at the exact center of the distribution.
       The arithmetic mean, median, and mode of the
        distribution are equal and located at the peak.
       Half the area under the curve is above the peak,
        and the other half is below it.
7-4




      Characteristics of a Normal
      Distribution
       The normal distribution is symmetrical
        about its mean.
       The normal distribution is asymptotic - the
        curve gets closer and closer to the x-axis
        but never actually touches it.
7-5                           r   a   l   i   t r   b   u   i o   n   :   µ   =   0   ,   σ2   =   1

                        Characteristics of a Normal Distribution

              0   . 4



                                                                                                        Normal
                                                                                                        curve is
              0   . 3                                                                                   symmetrical


              0   . 2




                                                                                                       Theoretically,
                                                                                                       curve
      f ( x




              0   . 1
                                                                                                       extends to
                                                                                                       infinity

                  . 0




                        - 5
                        a
                                               Mean, median, and
                                                            x


                                               mode are equal
Properties of a Normal Distribution

 Inflection point                     Inflection point



                                                      x
   • As the curve extends farther and farther away from the
     mean, it gets closer and closer to the x-axis but never
                            touches it.
     • The points at which the curvature changes are called
  inflection points. The graph curves downward between the
     inflection points and curves upward past the inflection
                 points to the left and to the right.
Means and Standard Deviations
   Curves with different means, same standard deviation




     10   11   12   13   14   15   16   17   18   19   20
  Curves with different means, different standard deviations




  9 10 11 12 13 14            15 16 17 18 19           20 21 22
The Standard
   Normal
 Distribution
7-6



       The Standard Normal
       Distribution
      A  normal distribution with a mean of 0 and a
        standard deviation of 1 is called the standard
        normal distribution.
       Z value: The distance between a selected
        value, designated X, and the population mean
           , divided by the population standard
                 µ
        deviation,
                  σ
                          X −µ
                 Z =
                             σ
The Standard Normal Distribution
  The standard normal distribution has a mean of 0 and a
  standard deviation of 1.

  Using z-scores any normal distribution can be
  transformed into the standard normal distribution.




             –4 –3 –2 –1     0 1    2   3   4          z
The Standard Score
      The standard score, or z-score, represents the number of
      standard deviations a random variable x falls from the
      mean.



      The test scores for a civil service exam are normally
      distributed with a mean of 152 and a standard deviation of
      7. Find the standard z-score for a person with a score of:
      (a) 161              (b) 148                (c) 152

(a)                      (b)                    (c)
From z-Scores to Raw Scores
To find the data value, x when given a standard score, z:



The test scores for a civil service exam are normally
distributed with a mean of 152 and a standard deviation of 7.
Find the test score for a person with a standard score of:
(a) 2.33          (b) –1.75            (c) 0

    (a) x = 152 + (2.33)(7) = 168.31
    (b) x = 152 + (–1.75)(7) = 139.75
    (c) x = 152 + (0)(7) = 152
Cumulative Areas

                         The
                         total
                         area
                        under
                      the curve
                       is one.

               –3 –2 –1 0 1 2 3                 z
• The cumulative area is close to 0 for z-scores close
to –3.49.
• The cumulative area for z = 0 is 0.5000.

• The cumulative area is close to 1 for z-scores close to
3.49.
References:
 Bluman.   Allan G. Elementary Statistics.
  Step by Step. McGraw Hill international
  Edition, 2008.
 Pacho, Elsie et. Al. Fundamental Statistics.
  Trinitas Publishing House, Inc. Bulacan,
  2003
Thank you for

 Listening.
7-7




      EXAMPLE 1
       The monthly incomes of recent MBA
        graduates in a large corporation are
        normally distributed with a mean of $2000
        and a standard deviation of $200. What is
        the Z value for an income of $2200? An
        income of $1700?
       For X=$2200, Z=(2200-2000)/200=1.
7-8




      EXAMPLE 1          continued


       For X=$1700, Z =(1700-2000)/200= -1.5
       A Z value of 1 indicates that the value of
        $2200 is 1 standard deviation above the
        mean of $2000, while a Z value of $1700 is
        1.5 standard deviation below the mean of
        $2000.
7-9




      Areas Under the Normal Curve
       About  68 percent of the area under the
        normal curve is within one standard
             µ ± ofσ
        deviation 1 the mean.
       About 95 percent is within two standard
        deviations of the mean. ± 2σ
                                 µ
       99.74 percent is within three standard
        deviations of the mean.
                              µ ± 3σ
7-10
                                Areas Under the Normal Curve
                                r   a   l   i   t r   b   u   i o   n   :   µ   =   0   ,   σ2   =   1




                0   . 4


                                                                                                         Between:
                                                                                                         1.68.26%
                0   . 3                                                                                  2.95.44%
                                                                                                         3.99.74%
                0   . 2
        f ( x




                0   . 1




                    . 0




                                                                  µ             µ + 2σ
                          - 5


                                            µ − 2σ
                                                                                        µ + 3σ
                                                              x

                                    µ − 3σ        µ −1σ                 µ +1σ

Jonathan M. Pacurib
7-11




        The daily water usage per person in New
         EXAMPLE 2
         Providence, New Jersey is normally distributed
         with a mean of 20 gallons and a standard
         deviation of 5 gallons.
        About 68% of the daily water usage per
         person in New Providence lies between what
         two values?
                    That is, about 68% of the daily water
         usage will lie between 15 and 25 gallons.
        µ ± 1σ = 20 ± 1(5).
7-12




        EXAMPLE 3 atthat a personuse less than
        What is the probability
        Providence selected      random will
                                             from New

         20 gallons per day?
        The associated Z value is Z=(20-20)/5=0. Thus,
         P(X<20)=P(Z<0)=.5
        What percent uses between 20 and 24 gallons?
        The Z value associated with X=20 is Z=0 and with
         X=24, Z=(24-20)/5=.8. Thus,
         P(20<X<24)=P(0<Z<.8)=28.81%
7-13                           r    a   l    i
                                                   EXAMPLE 3
                                                 t r   b   u   i o   n   :   µ       =   0   ,




               0   . 4




               0   . 3
                                                                                                          P(0<Z<.8)
                                                                                                          =.2881
               0   . 2




                                                                                                 0<X<.8
       f ( x




               0   . 1




                   . 0




                         - 5




                               -4       -3       -2 -1         x
                                                                     0           1       2       3   4
7-14




        EXAMPLE 3         continued
        What  percent of the population uses between
         18 and 26 gallons?
        The Z value associated with X=18 is Z=(18-
         20)/5= -.4, and for X=26,
         Z=(26-20)/5=1.2. Thus P(18<X<26)

        =P(-.4<Z<1.2)=.1554+.3849=.5403
7-15




        Professor Mann has determined that the
         EXAMPLE 4
         final averages in his statistics course is
         normally distributed with a mean of 72 and
         a standard deviation of 5. He decides to
         assign his grades for his current course such
         that the top 15% of the students receive an
         A. What is the lowest average a student
         can receive to earn an A?
        Let X be the lowest average. Find X such
         that P(X >X)=.15. The corresponding Z
         value is 1.04. Thus we have (X-72)/5=1.04,
         or X=77.2
7-16                         r
                                 EXAMPLE 4
                                 a   l   i   t r   b   u   i o   n   :   µ   =   0   ,   σ2   =   1




               0   . 4




               0   . 3
                                                                                         Z=1.04

               0   . 2
       f ( x




               0   . 1




                   . 0
                                                                             15%
                         -



                                                                 0       1       2       3        4
7-17




        The  amount of tip the servers in an exclusive
         EXAMPLE 5
         restaurant receive per shift is normally
         distributed with a mean of $80 and a standard
         deviation of $10. Shelli feels she has provided
         poor service if her total tip for the shift is less
         than $65. What is the probability she has
         provided poor service?
        Let X be the amount of tip. The Z value
         associated with X=65 is Z= (65-80)/10=
         -1.5. Thus P(X<65)=P(Z<-1.5)=.5-.4332=.0668.
7-18




         The Normal Approximation to
        Using the normal distribution (a continuous
         the Binomial
         distribution) as a substitute for a binomial
         distribution (a discrete distribution) for large
         values of n seems reasonable because as n
         increases, a binomial distribution gets closer and
         closer to a normal distribution.
        The normal probability distribution is generally
         deemed a good approximation to the binomial
         probability distribution when n and n(1- ) are
         both greater than 5.
                                                     π
             π
7-19




       The Normal Approximation
       continued

          Recall for the binomial experiment:
            There are only two mutually exclusive
             outcomes (success or failure) on each
             trial.
            A binomial distribution results from
             counting the number of successes.
            Each trial is independent.
            The probability is fixed from trial to trial,
             and the number of trials n is also fixed.
Binomial Distribution for an n of 3
7-20

and 20,
where π =.50

                  n=3
                                                          n=20
        0.4
        0.3                             0.2
                                       0.15
 P(x)




        0.2
                                P(x)    0.1
        0.1
                                       0.05
         0                               0
              0   1   2   3                   2   4    6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
                                                      number of occurences
         number of occurences
7-21




        Continuity Correction Factor
        Thevalue .5 subtracted or added, depending
        on the problem, to a selected value when a
        binomial probability distribution (a discrete
        probability distribution) is being approximated
        by a continuous probability distribution (the
        normal distribution).
7-22




       EXAMPLE 6
       A   recent study by a marketing research
         firm showed that 15% of American
         households owned a video camera. A
         sample of 200 homes is obtained.
        Of the 200 homes sampled how many
         would you expect to have video
         cameras?
         µ = nπ = (.15)(200) = 30
7-23




        What   is the variance?
        EXAMPLE 6
        σ =nπ 1 − ) =( 30)(1− ) =25.5
         2
             (   π           .15
        What   is the standard deviation?

        σ  =
        What is the.5 =5.0498 less than 40 homes
                 25 probability that
        in the sample have video cameras? We need
        P(X<40)=P(X<39). So, using the normal
        approximation, P(X<39.5)                P[Z
                                   ≈
         (39.5-30)/5.0498] = P(Z 1.8812)
        P(Z<1.88)=.5+.4699+.9699
             ≤                        ≤      ≈
7-24                                                                       µ                σ2

                                       EXAMPLE 6
                               r   a   l   i   t r   b   u   i o   n   :       =    0   ,        =   1




               0   . 4




                                                                                                         P(Z=1.88)
               0   . 3
                                                                                                         .5+.4699
                                                                                                         =.9699

               0   . 2
       f ( x




               0   . 1
                                                                                            Z=1.88


                   . 0




                         - 5



                                                                   0       1       2        3        4

                                                                                   Jonathan M. Pacurib

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Normal distribution stat

  • 1. Normal Distributions Reported by: onathan M. Pacuri
  • 2. 1-1 The Normal Distribution GOALS ONE List the characteristics of the normal distribution. TWO Define and calculate z values. THREE Determine the probability that an observation will lie between two points using the standard normal distribution. FOUR Determine the probability that an observation will be above or below a given value using the standard normal distribution. Jonathan M. Pacurib
  • 3. 1-1 GOALS FIVE Compare two or more observations that are on different probability distributions. Jonathan M. Pacurib
  • 4. 7-3 Characteristics of a Normal Distribution  The normal curve is bell-shaped and has a single peak at the exact center of the distribution.  The arithmetic mean, median, and mode of the distribution are equal and located at the peak.  Half the area under the curve is above the peak, and the other half is below it.
  • 5. 7-4 Characteristics of a Normal Distribution  The normal distribution is symmetrical about its mean.  The normal distribution is asymptotic - the curve gets closer and closer to the x-axis but never actually touches it.
  • 6. 7-5 r a l i t r b u i o n : µ = 0 , σ2 = 1 Characteristics of a Normal Distribution 0 . 4 Normal curve is 0 . 3 symmetrical 0 . 2 Theoretically, curve f ( x 0 . 1 extends to infinity . 0 - 5 a Mean, median, and x mode are equal
  • 7. Properties of a Normal Distribution Inflection point Inflection point x • As the curve extends farther and farther away from the mean, it gets closer and closer to the x-axis but never touches it. • The points at which the curvature changes are called inflection points. The graph curves downward between the inflection points and curves upward past the inflection points to the left and to the right.
  • 8. Means and Standard Deviations Curves with different means, same standard deviation 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Curves with different means, different standard deviations 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
  • 9. The Standard Normal Distribution
  • 10. 7-6 The Standard Normal Distribution A normal distribution with a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 1 is called the standard normal distribution.  Z value: The distance between a selected value, designated X, and the population mean , divided by the population standard µ deviation, σ X −µ Z = σ
  • 11. The Standard Normal Distribution The standard normal distribution has a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 1. Using z-scores any normal distribution can be transformed into the standard normal distribution. –4 –3 –2 –1 0 1 2 3 4 z
  • 12. The Standard Score The standard score, or z-score, represents the number of standard deviations a random variable x falls from the mean. The test scores for a civil service exam are normally distributed with a mean of 152 and a standard deviation of 7. Find the standard z-score for a person with a score of: (a) 161 (b) 148 (c) 152 (a) (b) (c)
  • 13. From z-Scores to Raw Scores To find the data value, x when given a standard score, z: The test scores for a civil service exam are normally distributed with a mean of 152 and a standard deviation of 7. Find the test score for a person with a standard score of: (a) 2.33 (b) –1.75 (c) 0 (a) x = 152 + (2.33)(7) = 168.31 (b) x = 152 + (–1.75)(7) = 139.75 (c) x = 152 + (0)(7) = 152
  • 14. Cumulative Areas The total area under the curve is one. –3 –2 –1 0 1 2 3 z • The cumulative area is close to 0 for z-scores close to –3.49. • The cumulative area for z = 0 is 0.5000. • The cumulative area is close to 1 for z-scores close to 3.49.
  • 15. References:  Bluman. Allan G. Elementary Statistics. Step by Step. McGraw Hill international Edition, 2008.  Pacho, Elsie et. Al. Fundamental Statistics. Trinitas Publishing House, Inc. Bulacan, 2003
  • 16. Thank you for Listening.
  • 17. 7-7 EXAMPLE 1  The monthly incomes of recent MBA graduates in a large corporation are normally distributed with a mean of $2000 and a standard deviation of $200. What is the Z value for an income of $2200? An income of $1700?  For X=$2200, Z=(2200-2000)/200=1.
  • 18. 7-8 EXAMPLE 1 continued  For X=$1700, Z =(1700-2000)/200= -1.5  A Z value of 1 indicates that the value of $2200 is 1 standard deviation above the mean of $2000, while a Z value of $1700 is 1.5 standard deviation below the mean of $2000.
  • 19. 7-9 Areas Under the Normal Curve  About 68 percent of the area under the normal curve is within one standard µ ± ofσ deviation 1 the mean.  About 95 percent is within two standard deviations of the mean. ± 2σ µ  99.74 percent is within three standard deviations of the mean. µ ± 3σ
  • 20. 7-10 Areas Under the Normal Curve r a l i t r b u i o n : µ = 0 , σ2 = 1 0 . 4 Between: 1.68.26% 0 . 3 2.95.44% 3.99.74% 0 . 2 f ( x 0 . 1 . 0 µ µ + 2σ - 5 µ − 2σ µ + 3σ x µ − 3σ µ −1σ µ +1σ Jonathan M. Pacurib
  • 21. 7-11  The daily water usage per person in New EXAMPLE 2 Providence, New Jersey is normally distributed with a mean of 20 gallons and a standard deviation of 5 gallons.  About 68% of the daily water usage per person in New Providence lies between what two values?  That is, about 68% of the daily water usage will lie between 15 and 25 gallons. µ ± 1σ = 20 ± 1(5).
  • 22. 7-12 EXAMPLE 3 atthat a personuse less than  What is the probability Providence selected random will from New 20 gallons per day?  The associated Z value is Z=(20-20)/5=0. Thus, P(X<20)=P(Z<0)=.5  What percent uses between 20 and 24 gallons?  The Z value associated with X=20 is Z=0 and with X=24, Z=(24-20)/5=.8. Thus, P(20<X<24)=P(0<Z<.8)=28.81%
  • 23. 7-13 r a l i EXAMPLE 3 t r b u i o n : µ = 0 , 0 . 4 0 . 3 P(0<Z<.8) =.2881 0 . 2 0<X<.8 f ( x 0 . 1 . 0 - 5 -4 -3 -2 -1 x 0 1 2 3 4
  • 24. 7-14 EXAMPLE 3 continued  What percent of the population uses between 18 and 26 gallons?  The Z value associated with X=18 is Z=(18- 20)/5= -.4, and for X=26, Z=(26-20)/5=1.2. Thus P(18<X<26) =P(-.4<Z<1.2)=.1554+.3849=.5403
  • 25. 7-15  Professor Mann has determined that the EXAMPLE 4 final averages in his statistics course is normally distributed with a mean of 72 and a standard deviation of 5. He decides to assign his grades for his current course such that the top 15% of the students receive an A. What is the lowest average a student can receive to earn an A?  Let X be the lowest average. Find X such that P(X >X)=.15. The corresponding Z value is 1.04. Thus we have (X-72)/5=1.04, or X=77.2
  • 26. 7-16 r EXAMPLE 4 a l i t r b u i o n : µ = 0 , σ2 = 1 0 . 4 0 . 3 Z=1.04 0 . 2 f ( x 0 . 1 . 0 15% - 0 1 2 3 4
  • 27. 7-17  The amount of tip the servers in an exclusive EXAMPLE 5 restaurant receive per shift is normally distributed with a mean of $80 and a standard deviation of $10. Shelli feels she has provided poor service if her total tip for the shift is less than $65. What is the probability she has provided poor service?  Let X be the amount of tip. The Z value associated with X=65 is Z= (65-80)/10= -1.5. Thus P(X<65)=P(Z<-1.5)=.5-.4332=.0668.
  • 28. 7-18 The Normal Approximation to  Using the normal distribution (a continuous the Binomial distribution) as a substitute for a binomial distribution (a discrete distribution) for large values of n seems reasonable because as n increases, a binomial distribution gets closer and closer to a normal distribution.  The normal probability distribution is generally deemed a good approximation to the binomial probability distribution when n and n(1- ) are both greater than 5. π π
  • 29. 7-19 The Normal Approximation continued  Recall for the binomial experiment:  There are only two mutually exclusive outcomes (success or failure) on each trial.  A binomial distribution results from counting the number of successes.  Each trial is independent.  The probability is fixed from trial to trial, and the number of trials n is also fixed.
  • 30. Binomial Distribution for an n of 3 7-20 and 20, where π =.50 n=3 n=20 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.15 P(x) 0.2 P(x) 0.1 0.1 0.05 0 0 0 1 2 3 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 number of occurences number of occurences
  • 31. 7-21 Continuity Correction Factor  Thevalue .5 subtracted or added, depending on the problem, to a selected value when a binomial probability distribution (a discrete probability distribution) is being approximated by a continuous probability distribution (the normal distribution).
  • 32. 7-22 EXAMPLE 6 A recent study by a marketing research firm showed that 15% of American households owned a video camera. A sample of 200 homes is obtained.  Of the 200 homes sampled how many would you expect to have video cameras? µ = nπ = (.15)(200) = 30
  • 33. 7-23  What is the variance? EXAMPLE 6 σ =nπ 1 − ) =( 30)(1− ) =25.5 2 ( π .15  What is the standard deviation? σ =  What is the.5 =5.0498 less than 40 homes 25 probability that in the sample have video cameras? We need P(X<40)=P(X<39). So, using the normal approximation, P(X<39.5) P[Z ≈ (39.5-30)/5.0498] = P(Z 1.8812) P(Z<1.88)=.5+.4699+.9699 ≤ ≤ ≈
  • 34. 7-24 µ σ2 EXAMPLE 6 r a l i t r b u i o n : = 0 , = 1 0 . 4 P(Z=1.88) 0 . 3 .5+.4699 =.9699 0 . 2 f ( x 0 . 1 Z=1.88 . 0 - 5 0 1 2 3 4 Jonathan M. Pacurib