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Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com
HEAT POLLUTION.ORG
Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com
HEAT POLLUTION.ORG
Heat Pollution Outline
Dr. Alec Feinberg
• What is Heat Pollution
• What are the secondary amplification effects
• What is Feedback
• How do we know it is 25% of the manmade
problem
• Paris Accord issues
2
Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com
HEAT POLLUTION.ORG
What is Heat Pollution?
• Heat pollution is the increase in global
warming primarily from how Man is adding
heat by darkening the planet with black roads,
black roofs, and unreflective large cities.
3
Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com
HEAT POLLUTION.ORG
Heat Pollution – 25% of GW
• Therefore, heat pollution is not theory, it is an
accepted problem and recent studies suggest
it accounts for over 25% of manmade related
global warming as explained in this video.
4
Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com
HEAT POLLUTION.ORG
Dark unreflective surfaces
• Dark unreflective surfaces convert the Sun’s
energy to heat. It is not difficult to understand
that any manmade new heat added to the
planet will contribute to global warming
directly.
5
• Climatologists assess this
as a land-cover/land-use
effect, but we use a
simpler new term in this
video - heat pollution.
Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com
HEAT POLLUTION.ORG
Painting the Earth Black
• Heat pollution occurs most of the time by our
use of dark colors. Black is the worst since it is
the highest absorbing color of the Sun’s
energy and creates the greatest increase in
solar heat. Alternately, white is the best as it
reflects sunlight.
• Any new heat pollution contributes to global
warming and is not debated by
• climatologists.
6
Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com
HEAT POLLUTION.ORG
Earth’s Natural Reflectivity Reduced
• The Earth’s natural reflectivity is about 30%. Black
roads and rooftops reduce this reflectivity which
effectively pollutes the environment increasing
warming every day.
7
30%
Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com
HEAT POLLUTION.ORG
Heat Pollution is Pollution
• We might think of it as adding garbage to our
land that adds up every day. It piles up and
reduces the Earth’s reflectivity system which
increases global warming.
8
Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com
HEAT POLLUTION.ORG
Large Cities
• Most cities contain black roads and black
rooftops along with dark sides of tall buildings
that increase the solar surface area and city
heating.
9
• These buildings trap solar heat, block wind,
and amplify heat
pollution in
numerous complex
ways. Because cities
are very hot, they are
often called Urban Heat Islands (UHIs).
Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com
HEAT POLLUTION.ORG
Secondary Effects of Heat Pollution
• There are two secondary effects
–Heat Pollution re-radiation
–Mother Nature’s Feedback
10
Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com
HEAT POLLUTION.ORG
Heat Pollution is Re-radiated by GHGs
• Heat pollution is also amplified since when
heat is added about 60% is re-radiated back to
Earth by the greenhouse effect.
11
Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com
HEAT POLLUTION.ORG
Mother Nature Feedback
• Climate change feedback is the response of Mother
Nature to the warming created by man. For example,
one type of manmade global warming feedback
response by Mother Nature is ice and snow
melting which
reduces the
reflectivity of the
Earth and causes
more warming.
• Although not fully
understood, climatologists anticipate that feedback is
greater than 50%.
12
REF: NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center (2008) Water vapor
confirmed as major player in climate change, Peer-Reviewed
Publication, , Water vapor confirmed as major player in climate
change, https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/551246
Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com
HEAT POLLUTION.ORG
Rough % of Heat Pollution
• As an example, since recent studies suggest
that heat pollution is about 13% [1], assuming
feedback is 50%, then CO2 and other
greenhouse gases would be 37% of global
warming;
13
50%
37%
13%
Heat Pollution
Manmade GHGs
Feedback
Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com
HEAT POLLUTION.ORG
How Do We Get to 26%?
• Just man’s contribution, heat pollution is 26%
and CO2 and manmade other greenhouse
gases are 74%.
14
26%
74%
Heat
Pollution
Manmade
Greenhouse
Gases
• This is then amplified by Mother Nature’s
feedback effect.
Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com
HEAT POLLUTION.ORG
Heat Pollution Published Studies
• Climatologists (IPCC) debate how much cities,
roads, and roofs have contributed to global
warming compared to CO2.
• A recent studies [1] found about 13% of gross
global warming is due to UHI heat pollution,
meaning over 25% is caused by man (explained
below). Other authors have found similar recent
results [2-4]. There have been numerous older
studies that have found higher levels.
15
Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com
HEAT POLLUTION.ORG
Recent Studies
1. 12.7 %- Zhang, P., Ren, G., Qin, Y., Zhai, Y., Zhai, T., Tysa, S. K., Xue,
X., Yang, G., & Sun, X. (2021). Urbanization Effects on Estimates of
Global Trends in Mean and Extreme Air Temperature, Journal of
Climate, 34(5),
https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/34/5/JCLI-D-20-
0389.1.xml
Private Communication from author Guoyu Ren “We have a paper published
in the Journal of Climate last year, showing about 13% urbanization effect in
the global land surface air temperature trend estimated for the last 70
years.
2. 15% Tysa, S. K., Ren, G., Qin, Y., Zhang, P., Ren, Y., Jia, W., & Wen,
K. (2019). Urbanization effect in regional temperature series based on
a remote sensing classification scheme of stations. Journal of
Geophysical Research: Atmospheres,124,
https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD030948
3. 7.5% Feinberg, A. (2020) Urban heat island amplification estimates on
global warming using an albedo model. SN Appl. Sci. 2, 2178.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s42452-020-03889-3
4. 9.5% Feinberg, A. (2021) Geoengineering Equations for Albedo Solutions
to Global Warming and Heat Pollution with Urban Heat Island Estimates,
In Peer Review, Preprint on Research gate
16
Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com
HEAT POLLUTION.ORG
Older Studies
• (McKitrick, 2004; Zhao, 1991; Feddema et al.,
2005; Ren et al., 2007 and 2008; Jones et al,
2008; Stone, 2009; Zhao, 2011; Yang et al.,
2011; Huang et al., 2015; Sun et al. 2016)
• Is the Debate over? It is not recognized by the
Paris Accord and the IPCC still treats this
perhaps as a small issue on the subject!!!???
17
Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com
HEAT POLLUTION.ORG
An Alternative to Heat Pollution is
Earth Brightening
• Common simple methods to brighten and increase
the reflectivity of the Earth (see Wikipedia) are:
• Cool Roofs (greater than 30% reflectivity, such as a
white roof compared to a black roof)
• Cool Roads (greater than 30% reflectivity, such as
using a lighter colored concrete vs. a black asphalt
road)
• Improve city
• design to reduce
• heat pollution
18
Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com
HEAT POLLUTION.ORG
Heat Pollution Awareness is Low
• Black electric cars demonstrate a strong example of
our lack of understanding, and illustrate the need for
heat pollution awareness. An electric car that is black
increases global warming more than a white gas car
exposed to the Sun in a parking lot each day as
millions of such dark electric vehicles from auto
designers that reduce CO2 emissions will also
increase solar heat pollution, creating more problems
for the environment than their intended purpose.
19
112oF
160oF
Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com
HEAT POLLUTION.ORG
Heat Pollution Awareness is Low
• The Department of Transportation (DOT) is one of our
largest contributors to heat pollution in their use of black
asphalt roads. Some city designers have tried to convert to
cool roofs but it is a low percentage and even less work has
been done in the area of cool roads. While heat pollution is
easier to understand than greenhouse gases, most
designers are unaware of the environmental damage
created by the mass production of cars, roads, and
rooftops. We have large fines for littering the environment,
yet heat pollution, which threatens our environment, is
unregulated despite a global
warming crisis. We should
assess fines for heat pollution.
20
Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com
HEAT POLLUTION.ORG
Summary: Heat Pollution Factors
Worst Case Rules of Thumb
Amplification Factors of Black or Dark Surfaces (Worst Case)
• GHG Re-radiation x 1.6
• Mother Nature Feedback x2
• Cities (Urban Heat Islands) 3.5 (i.e. Solar area tall buildings)
• For Any surface that is less than 30% reflective
Examples: “Worst Case” Area Heat Pollution Effect
• Black Road, Black Roof, Black Car Amplification Effect:
1.6 x 2 ≈ 3.2 Times Larger Effective Area Heating
• City Dark Area 1.6 x 2 x 3.5 ≈ 11 Times Larger Area Heating
21
Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com
HEAT POLLUTION.ORG
Safeguards for the Paris Accord’s
Consideration
• The Paris Climate Accord currently does
not include any mention of heat
pollution restrictions. As well there are
two well-known alternative methods to
reduce global warming using Earth
brightening ((improving the reflectivity
of the Earth), and Sun dimming
(blocking some sunlight in the upper
atmosphere).
22
Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com
HEAT POLLUTION.ORG
Paris Climate Accord Issues
Issues of concern to climatologists regarding the Paris Climate
Accord are:
• The agreement allows for the continual increase in heat
pollution worldwide.
• We cannot be 100% sure CO2 reduction will work. We can
anticipate a high probability that fossil fuel reduction will not be
enough. There is a high level of concern that CO2 reduction will
be too late due to Mother Nature’s feedback (forest fires, snow
and ice melting, etc.) and the fact that CO2 stays in the
atmosphere for over 100 years. CO2 reduction may not even be
enough to combat heat pollution.
• There are no coordinated plans to reverse global warming, but
only to reduce it.
• It is very concerning that heat pollution safeguards are not
included. The agreement depends solely on CO2 reduction to
slow global warming. This precaution is not enough as high-
levels of forest fires increase, drought occurs, and record-high
temperatures persist.
23
Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com
HEAT POLLUTION.ORG
Paris Climate Accord – What’s Missing?
• Agreement Ignores the many climatologists
that warned about Heat Pollution!
24
Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com
HEAT POLLUTION.ORG
President Biden’s plan
• President Biden’s plan, for example, could
benefit from heat pollution restrictions. There
are no provisions for alternate global warming
solutions and his budget does not provide for
any safeguards for CO2 solutions. His plan for
funding roads and the new construction of
highways is expected to contribute to large
increases in heat pollution as DOT darker new
roads continue adding heat to
our environment.
25
Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com
HEAT POLLUTION.ORG
Recommendations
• We recommend at least 50% of US funding
should go towards reducing heat pollution,
Earth brightening [5, 6], and Sun dimming [5,
6]. These are extremely difficult to implement
and we suggest immediate help from an
agency like NASA to coordinate and
implement plans. Furthermore, CO2 reduction
is a slow process where Earth brightening and
Sun dimming provide immediate reversal
results.
26
Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com
HEAT POLLUTION.ORG
Paris Accord Suggested Safeguards
• Requiring black roads and black roofs to have a
reflectivity of 30% or greater
• Assessing fines for adding heat pollution
• Improving city designs to reduce heat pollution
• Plans to include Earth brightening and Sun dimming
[5, 6]
• Reduction of greenhouse gases
• Redesign of the Paris Accord to include these
safeguard assurances
27
Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com
HEAT POLLUTION.ORG
Brighten Your Roof and Driveway
Don’t Add to Heat Pollution
28

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Global Warming - 25% From Heat Pollution & Paris Accord Issues

  • 1. Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com HEAT POLLUTION.ORG
  • 2. Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com HEAT POLLUTION.ORG Heat Pollution Outline Dr. Alec Feinberg • What is Heat Pollution • What are the secondary amplification effects • What is Feedback • How do we know it is 25% of the manmade problem • Paris Accord issues 2
  • 3. Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com HEAT POLLUTION.ORG What is Heat Pollution? • Heat pollution is the increase in global warming primarily from how Man is adding heat by darkening the planet with black roads, black roofs, and unreflective large cities. 3
  • 4. Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com HEAT POLLUTION.ORG Heat Pollution – 25% of GW • Therefore, heat pollution is not theory, it is an accepted problem and recent studies suggest it accounts for over 25% of manmade related global warming as explained in this video. 4
  • 5. Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com HEAT POLLUTION.ORG Dark unreflective surfaces • Dark unreflective surfaces convert the Sun’s energy to heat. It is not difficult to understand that any manmade new heat added to the planet will contribute to global warming directly. 5 • Climatologists assess this as a land-cover/land-use effect, but we use a simpler new term in this video - heat pollution.
  • 6. Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com HEAT POLLUTION.ORG Painting the Earth Black • Heat pollution occurs most of the time by our use of dark colors. Black is the worst since it is the highest absorbing color of the Sun’s energy and creates the greatest increase in solar heat. Alternately, white is the best as it reflects sunlight. • Any new heat pollution contributes to global warming and is not debated by • climatologists. 6
  • 7. Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com HEAT POLLUTION.ORG Earth’s Natural Reflectivity Reduced • The Earth’s natural reflectivity is about 30%. Black roads and rooftops reduce this reflectivity which effectively pollutes the environment increasing warming every day. 7 30%
  • 8. Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com HEAT POLLUTION.ORG Heat Pollution is Pollution • We might think of it as adding garbage to our land that adds up every day. It piles up and reduces the Earth’s reflectivity system which increases global warming. 8
  • 9. Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com HEAT POLLUTION.ORG Large Cities • Most cities contain black roads and black rooftops along with dark sides of tall buildings that increase the solar surface area and city heating. 9 • These buildings trap solar heat, block wind, and amplify heat pollution in numerous complex ways. Because cities are very hot, they are often called Urban Heat Islands (UHIs).
  • 10. Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com HEAT POLLUTION.ORG Secondary Effects of Heat Pollution • There are two secondary effects –Heat Pollution re-radiation –Mother Nature’s Feedback 10
  • 11. Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com HEAT POLLUTION.ORG Heat Pollution is Re-radiated by GHGs • Heat pollution is also amplified since when heat is added about 60% is re-radiated back to Earth by the greenhouse effect. 11
  • 12. Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com HEAT POLLUTION.ORG Mother Nature Feedback • Climate change feedback is the response of Mother Nature to the warming created by man. For example, one type of manmade global warming feedback response by Mother Nature is ice and snow melting which reduces the reflectivity of the Earth and causes more warming. • Although not fully understood, climatologists anticipate that feedback is greater than 50%. 12 REF: NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center (2008) Water vapor confirmed as major player in climate change, Peer-Reviewed Publication, , Water vapor confirmed as major player in climate change, https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/551246
  • 13. Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com HEAT POLLUTION.ORG Rough % of Heat Pollution • As an example, since recent studies suggest that heat pollution is about 13% [1], assuming feedback is 50%, then CO2 and other greenhouse gases would be 37% of global warming; 13 50% 37% 13% Heat Pollution Manmade GHGs Feedback
  • 14. Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com HEAT POLLUTION.ORG How Do We Get to 26%? • Just man’s contribution, heat pollution is 26% and CO2 and manmade other greenhouse gases are 74%. 14 26% 74% Heat Pollution Manmade Greenhouse Gases • This is then amplified by Mother Nature’s feedback effect.
  • 15. Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com HEAT POLLUTION.ORG Heat Pollution Published Studies • Climatologists (IPCC) debate how much cities, roads, and roofs have contributed to global warming compared to CO2. • A recent studies [1] found about 13% of gross global warming is due to UHI heat pollution, meaning over 25% is caused by man (explained below). Other authors have found similar recent results [2-4]. There have been numerous older studies that have found higher levels. 15
  • 16. Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com HEAT POLLUTION.ORG Recent Studies 1. 12.7 %- Zhang, P., Ren, G., Qin, Y., Zhai, Y., Zhai, T., Tysa, S. K., Xue, X., Yang, G., & Sun, X. (2021). Urbanization Effects on Estimates of Global Trends in Mean and Extreme Air Temperature, Journal of Climate, 34(5), https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/34/5/JCLI-D-20- 0389.1.xml Private Communication from author Guoyu Ren “We have a paper published in the Journal of Climate last year, showing about 13% urbanization effect in the global land surface air temperature trend estimated for the last 70 years. 2. 15% Tysa, S. K., Ren, G., Qin, Y., Zhang, P., Ren, Y., Jia, W., & Wen, K. (2019). Urbanization effect in regional temperature series based on a remote sensing classification scheme of stations. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres,124, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD030948 3. 7.5% Feinberg, A. (2020) Urban heat island amplification estimates on global warming using an albedo model. SN Appl. Sci. 2, 2178. https://doi.org/10.1007/s42452-020-03889-3 4. 9.5% Feinberg, A. (2021) Geoengineering Equations for Albedo Solutions to Global Warming and Heat Pollution with Urban Heat Island Estimates, In Peer Review, Preprint on Research gate 16
  • 17. Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com HEAT POLLUTION.ORG Older Studies • (McKitrick, 2004; Zhao, 1991; Feddema et al., 2005; Ren et al., 2007 and 2008; Jones et al, 2008; Stone, 2009; Zhao, 2011; Yang et al., 2011; Huang et al., 2015; Sun et al. 2016) • Is the Debate over? It is not recognized by the Paris Accord and the IPCC still treats this perhaps as a small issue on the subject!!!??? 17
  • 18. Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com HEAT POLLUTION.ORG An Alternative to Heat Pollution is Earth Brightening • Common simple methods to brighten and increase the reflectivity of the Earth (see Wikipedia) are: • Cool Roofs (greater than 30% reflectivity, such as a white roof compared to a black roof) • Cool Roads (greater than 30% reflectivity, such as using a lighter colored concrete vs. a black asphalt road) • Improve city • design to reduce • heat pollution 18
  • 19. Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com HEAT POLLUTION.ORG Heat Pollution Awareness is Low • Black electric cars demonstrate a strong example of our lack of understanding, and illustrate the need for heat pollution awareness. An electric car that is black increases global warming more than a white gas car exposed to the Sun in a parking lot each day as millions of such dark electric vehicles from auto designers that reduce CO2 emissions will also increase solar heat pollution, creating more problems for the environment than their intended purpose. 19 112oF 160oF
  • 20. Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com HEAT POLLUTION.ORG Heat Pollution Awareness is Low • The Department of Transportation (DOT) is one of our largest contributors to heat pollution in their use of black asphalt roads. Some city designers have tried to convert to cool roofs but it is a low percentage and even less work has been done in the area of cool roads. While heat pollution is easier to understand than greenhouse gases, most designers are unaware of the environmental damage created by the mass production of cars, roads, and rooftops. We have large fines for littering the environment, yet heat pollution, which threatens our environment, is unregulated despite a global warming crisis. We should assess fines for heat pollution. 20
  • 21. Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com HEAT POLLUTION.ORG Summary: Heat Pollution Factors Worst Case Rules of Thumb Amplification Factors of Black or Dark Surfaces (Worst Case) • GHG Re-radiation x 1.6 • Mother Nature Feedback x2 • Cities (Urban Heat Islands) 3.5 (i.e. Solar area tall buildings) • For Any surface that is less than 30% reflective Examples: “Worst Case” Area Heat Pollution Effect • Black Road, Black Roof, Black Car Amplification Effect: 1.6 x 2 ≈ 3.2 Times Larger Effective Area Heating • City Dark Area 1.6 x 2 x 3.5 ≈ 11 Times Larger Area Heating 21
  • 22. Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com HEAT POLLUTION.ORG Safeguards for the Paris Accord’s Consideration • The Paris Climate Accord currently does not include any mention of heat pollution restrictions. As well there are two well-known alternative methods to reduce global warming using Earth brightening ((improving the reflectivity of the Earth), and Sun dimming (blocking some sunlight in the upper atmosphere). 22
  • 23. Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com HEAT POLLUTION.ORG Paris Climate Accord Issues Issues of concern to climatologists regarding the Paris Climate Accord are: • The agreement allows for the continual increase in heat pollution worldwide. • We cannot be 100% sure CO2 reduction will work. We can anticipate a high probability that fossil fuel reduction will not be enough. There is a high level of concern that CO2 reduction will be too late due to Mother Nature’s feedback (forest fires, snow and ice melting, etc.) and the fact that CO2 stays in the atmosphere for over 100 years. CO2 reduction may not even be enough to combat heat pollution. • There are no coordinated plans to reverse global warming, but only to reduce it. • It is very concerning that heat pollution safeguards are not included. The agreement depends solely on CO2 reduction to slow global warming. This precaution is not enough as high- levels of forest fires increase, drought occurs, and record-high temperatures persist. 23
  • 24. Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com HEAT POLLUTION.ORG Paris Climate Accord – What’s Missing? • Agreement Ignores the many climatologists that warned about Heat Pollution! 24
  • 25. Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com HEAT POLLUTION.ORG President Biden’s plan • President Biden’s plan, for example, could benefit from heat pollution restrictions. There are no provisions for alternate global warming solutions and his budget does not provide for any safeguards for CO2 solutions. His plan for funding roads and the new construction of highways is expected to contribute to large increases in heat pollution as DOT darker new roads continue adding heat to our environment. 25
  • 26. Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com HEAT POLLUTION.ORG Recommendations • We recommend at least 50% of US funding should go towards reducing heat pollution, Earth brightening [5, 6], and Sun dimming [5, 6]. These are extremely difficult to implement and we suggest immediate help from an agency like NASA to coordinate and implement plans. Furthermore, CO2 reduction is a slow process where Earth brightening and Sun dimming provide immediate reversal results. 26
  • 27. Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com HEAT POLLUTION.ORG Paris Accord Suggested Safeguards • Requiring black roads and black roofs to have a reflectivity of 30% or greater • Assessing fines for adding heat pollution • Improving city designs to reduce heat pollution • Plans to include Earth brightening and Sun dimming [5, 6] • Reduction of greenhouse gases • Redesign of the Paris Accord to include these safeguard assurances 27
  • 28. Dr. Alec Feinberg DfRSoft.com HEAT POLLUTION.ORG Brighten Your Roof and Driveway Don’t Add to Heat Pollution 28