The document compares preliminary construction cost estimates for a South Corridor project from DTPW and AECOM. Key differences include DTPW using lower contingency percentages (5-10%) while AECOM uses higher percentages (30-10%), AECOM assuming a need for more vehicles at a higher unit cost, and AECOM allocating a larger percentage to professional services. The main cost differences stem from the contingencies chosen, vehicle assumptions, and professional services allocations used in the estimates.
1. South Corridor
Preliminary Construction Cost Estimates Comparison
Presented by Alice N. Bravo, P.E., Director
June 04, 2018
Miami-Dade County | Department of Transportation & Public Works
2. AECOM (Preliminary):
• The estimate was prepared using 2017 costs and a “top down” approach to identify costs based on similar
projects. The referenced projects used include:
• SunRail Phase 2 South Contractors Schedule of Values
• Go Triangle - Durham-Orange Light Rail Transit
• AECOM - SunRail Phase 2 South Engineers Estimate
• Other projects as indicated in the estimate line items
Basis of Conceptual Estimates
DTPW (Preliminary):
• Conceptual Construction cost estimates are based on 2016 costs. 2017 costs will be higher based on inflation,
it is anticipated that the escalation rate can be 3% per year
• Used detailed FTA Standard Cost Categories, not generic per mile costs :
- FDOT State Average Costs (2016)
- Bid Unit Prices and Actual Contract costs of the Airport Link extension opened in 2012 with escalation to
2016$
• Used comparative data obtained from contractors who performed independent conceptual estimates
• Some unit costs provided by AECOM SMART Plan report November 2016
4. TOTAL PROJECT COST DIFFERENCE
PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES
(A)
DTPW
SOUTH CORRIDOR
(B)
AECOM
SOUTH CORRIDOR DIFFERENCE
(B - A)
FTA
CATEGORY
No.
DESCRIPTION 2016 COSTS 2017 COSTS
10 - 50 CONSTRUCTION COST $505,217,283 $580,313,031 $75,095,748
60 RIGHT-OF-WAY, LAND, EXISTING IMPROVEMENTS $25,000,000 $10,000,000 -$15,000,000
70 VEHICLES $80,000,000 $279,972,000 $199,972,000
80 PROFESSIONAL SERVICES $55,573,901 $166,389,214 $110,815,313
90 UNALLOCATED CONTINGENCY $26,523,907 $58,031,303 $31,507,396
ALLOCATED CONTINGENCY $28,039,559 $218,730,031 $190,690,471
TOTAL $720,354,651 $1,313,435,579 $593,080,928
5. PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES
(A)
DTPW
SOUTH CORRIDOR
(B)
AECOM
SOUTH CORRIDOR DIFFERENCE
(B - A)
FTA
CATEGORY
No.
DESCRIPTION 2016 COSTS 2017 COSTS
10 - 50 CONSTRUCTION COST $505,217,283 $580,313,031 $75,095,748
CATEGORY COST DIFFERENCE
$15M is due to inflation difference between 2016 and 2017, $60M or approximately
10% is the remainder of the total which is reasonable for two (2) independent
estimates; particularly when performed during the planning phase.
6. CATEGORY COST DIFFERENCE
DTPW assumes acquiring land for new park-&-ride facilities. The proposed light
maintenance facility and vehicle staging area at the south end is assumed to fit
within bus terminal station area at Florida City.
AECOM assumes no new park-&-ride facilities; however, estimates additional land is
needed for a light maintenance facility and vehicle staging area at the south end.
PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES
(A)
DTPW
SOUTH CORRIDOR
(B)
AECOM
SOUTH CORRIDOR DIFFERENCE
(B - A)
FTA
CATEGORY
No.
DESCRIPTION 2016 COSTS 2017 COSTS
60 RIGHT-OF-WAY, LAND, EXISTING IMPROVEMENTS $25,000,000 $10,000,000 -$15,000,000
7. CATEGORY COST DIFFERENCE
Operational plan for South Corridor requires 72 Metrorail vehicles.
DTPW assumes 32 new vehicles at $2.5M per unit and 40 vehicles from the new
replacement fleet. DTPW estimates the cost from the recent Metrorail Car Replacement
Contract.
AECOM assumes 72 new vehicles at approximately $4.0M per car.
PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES
(A)
DTPW
SOUTH CORRIDOR
(B)
AECOM
SOUTH CORRIDOR DIFFERENCE
(B - A)
FTA
CATEGORY
No.
DESCRIPTION 2016 COSTS 2017 COSTS
70 VEHICLES $80,000,000 $279,972,000 $199,972,000
8. CATEGORY COST DIFFERENCE
DTPW at 11% of construction cost (based on previous County transit projects).
AECOM at 29% of construction cost
PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES
(A)
DTPW
SOUTH CORRIDOR
(B)
AECOM
SOUTH CORRIDOR DIFFERENCE
(B - A)
FTA
CATEGORY
No.
DESCRIPTION 2016 COSTS 2017 COSTS
80 PROFESSIONAL SERVICES $55,573,901 $166,389,214 $110,815,313
9. CATEGORY COST DIFFERENCE
DTPW uses 5% (County Ordinance for new projects).
AECOM uses 10%
PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES
(A)
DTPW
SOUTH CORRIDOR
(B)
AECOM
SOUTH CORRIDOR DIFFERENCE
(B - A)
FTA
CATEGORY
No.
DESCRIPTION 2016 COSTS 2017 COSTS
90 UNALLOCATED CONTINGENCY $26,523,907 $58,031,303 $31,507,396
10. CATEGORY COST DIFFERENCE
DTPW assumes 5% on categories 10 – 50 and 80.
AECOM assumes 30% on categories 10 - 50 and 10% on categories 70 - 80
PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES
(A)
DTPW
SOUTH CORRIDOR
(B)
AECOM
SOUTH CORRIDOR DIFFERENCE
(B - A)
FTA
CATEGORY
No.
DESCRIPTION 2016 COSTS 2017 COSTS
ALLOCATED CONTINGENCY $28,039,559 $218,730,031 $190,690,471
11. CONCLUSIONS
VEHICLES
$200M
IT CAN BE CONCLUDED THAT THE MAIN
DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE DTPW AND THE
AECOM ESTIMATES ARE RELATED TO THE
CONTIGENCIES CHOSEN, THE VEHICLE NUMBER
AND THEIR UNIT COST AND THE PROFESSIONAL
SERVICES ALLOCATION PERCENTAGE CHOSEN
HARD COSTS
$75M
RIGHT-OF-WAY
-$15M
PROFESSIONAL
SERVICES
$111M
UNALLOCATED
CONTINGENCY
$191M
ALLOCATED
CONTINGENCY
$31M
DIFFERENCES