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Collisional evolution of 
asteroids: evolving paradigms

          Paolo Paolicchi,
       University of Pisa, Italy
          Pisa, June 2010, 
      Paolo Farinella Workshop
In the year 1982  Paolo Farinella (with me and Enzo 
            Zappala), published a paper:
We were aware of the overwhelming 
 difficulties of the task....however
We tried to define a”general scenario”
The AstI/II scenario

The 1982 paper was representative of the ideas, about 
 the collisional evolution of asteroids, which were 
 dominant in the 15+y period starting from Asteroids I 
 (1979),  including Asteroids II (first difficulties...) 
The collisions were considered as the fundamental 
 evolutionary process. It became of critical importance to
 understand the physics of hypervelocity impacts, which 
 was partially known from a few experimental papers. 
Later on....


As happens usually in science, the 
 scenario  is now  partially obsolete. 
 What have been the major changes in 
 data and underlying physics? 
New data

­ The completeness limit for Main Belt was 
  estimated to be at 40km; the size distribution was 
  showing the “bump” around 100km, but no 
  significant structure at small sizes. Presently the 
  size distribution can be ­ maybe­ reliably 
  reconstructed for D> 1km. A new bump at 3­4 km 
  can be identified.
New data
­ The rotational properties of several very small 
  asteroids are known. The “V shape” of   vs. D, 
  showing a minimum around 100km, and 
  increasing values for larger and smaller objects, 
  was already known. Now we have discovered 
  that the mean rotation period does not change 
  much for small sizes, due also to the “2hr barrier”. 
  Shorter periods, with a 1/D (?) asymptotic trend 
  are present only for D < 100m. 
New data
­ The data on the spin vectors remain rather 
  sparse, but the new observations have been 
  enough significant to detect anomalies in a few 
  family asteroids (“Slivan asteroids”), the 
  retrograde dominance in NEAs. These effects 
  support the relevance of Yarkovsky and YORP 
  effects, both theoretically suggested, but now 
  also confirmed observationally.   
Note


Paolo has been one of the most relevant scientists involved in the 
     creation of the “old” scenario. Later, he has been one the 
  discoverers of the importance of Yarkovsky effect for asteroidal 
evolution. It has been a decisive breakthrough to pass to the “new” 
                              scenario.
New data
­ The spectroscopic data are much better and 
  much more numerous. They allowed a new 
  taxonomical classification, a better connection 
  taxonomy­chemical composition, a more 
  significant comparison asteroids­meteorites. The 
  “space weathering” of asteroids has been 
  introduced, experimentally tested, its effects 
  identified in the observations, especially for S­
  complex asteroids.  
New data

­ New observational techniques have been 
 implemented, such as radar, and, finally, several 
 asteroids have been observed from the space, 
 furnishing first­hand information on cratering, 
 surface properties (regolith), densities, shapes, 
 satellites.   
New tools and ideas
The analysis of asteroid families has been thoroughly 
 refined, both improving the classification and the proper 
 elements (another relevant contribution by Paolo).
The physics of collisional fragmentation is more 
 profoundly understood, both through experiments (now 
 extended to various target sizes, impact properties, 
 structures  of the target..) and through hydrodynamical 
 simulations, capable to reproduce most of the 
 experimental results, and usable also to analyze events 
 involving planetary bodies. 
New tools and ideas
The naïve “energy scaling” has been progressively 
 corrected, introducing various theoretical concepts 
 (from the self­gravitational compression to the strain­
 rate) and comparing to the outcomes of hydrocodes. 
 A QD*  function of the size is defined, showing a 
 minimum around 200m: smaller bodies are stronger, 
 larger ones are more difficult to destroy due to self 
 gravity. In terms of the old jargon, S is low, FKE  is 
 very small. Asteroids are easily shattered by a 
 collision, but often reaccumulate.  
New tools and ideas
The size distribution of families is dominated ­at all 
 the observable sizes­ by reaccumulation; maybe 
 the presence of preexistent fractures is relevant. 
 All the observable fragments should be rubble 
 piles or gravitational aggregates. The same holds 
 for almost all asteroids, except the very small ones 
 and ­maybe­ the largest ones.  
However
As well known, a linear velocity field (such as Hubble law, or a 
zero­app. ejecta field) has no intrinsic scale: all reaccumulates, a 
small subcondensation does, and viceversa. You can introduce a 
multiple reaccumulation breaking the simmetry (as in SEM) but 
few bodies reaccumulate more than two­three fragments. The 
simulations entail clusters of fragments reaccumulating together. 
Why?  Pre­existing fractures? Converging motion in the initial 
velocity field? What else? 
And, more important, is it real? (I would like to discuss again this 
points with Paolo, as we did in the past....)
New tools and ideas
According to the new ideas the transition strength­
  gravity takes place for small objects, and the 
  possible transition in the size  distribution is 
  marked by  a secondary “bump” around 3km. 
  By the way, the old concept of a “pile of rubble” 
  similar to a fluid is also obsolete. The “new” rubble 
  piles (GA) take into account the interactions 
 among the solid components and may be severely 
 different from figures of equilibrium.
New tools and ideas
The bump in the size distribution around 120 km 
 corresponds to some changes in physical 
 properties (minimum of the mean rotation rate Ω; 
 minimum of the lightcurve amplitude,a maximum of 
  the relative excess of prograde asteroids, 
 represented in terms of the cumulative excess for  
 bodies larger than a given size in units of  the 
 expected statistical deviation).
New tools and ideas
Is the ~100km bump connected not to the transition 
  strength­gravity (old paradigm), but to the transition 
  between a collisionally  evolved population and a quasi 
  primordial one?. The larger bodies may  retain original 
  properties, or consequences of the primordial evolution. 
  The  bodies smaller than 120km might be the only real  
  “outcomes of collisional evolution”, due to the former 
  breakup of large bodies or to mutual collisional events.
The mass of MB, after the first dramatic era, has been not 
  much larger than the present one.
New tools and ideas
The “low mass belt model”  entails, differently from 
 the previous ones, a quasi constant creation of 
 fragments and, through the Yarkovsky driven 
 delivery into resonances,  a regular creation of 
 NEAs. The result is in agreement with the analysis 
 of lunar craters. Moreover, the model is consistent 
 with the observed properties of Vesta (its partially 
 intact basaltic crust,  with one very  big crater).
New tools and ideas: families
The families stand as the most relevant outcomes of big 
 (“catastrophic”)collisional events. Their dynamical 
 structure is not only due to the original properties, but 
 also to the post­impact evolution mainly due to 
 Yarkovsky­Yorp effects . The combined analysis 
 allows also to estimate the age.  Note the recent 
 rediscussion of Yorp effects suggesting a possible 
 random­walk evolution of the spin rate.
New tools and ideas: the 
       “collisional weathering”
The solar wind (ion implantation) is the main cause of 
 asteroids space weathering. The timescale of the process 
 is around 106y. However  we find a marked slope increase 
 with age for old asteroids. This different (and much larger) 
 timescale can be connected to the partial surface 
 refreshment due to cratering collisions and to the formation 
 of regolith.  The slope increase with time may be a  witness 
 of the collisional evolution and may help to constrain some 
 parameters of the process (work in progress).
New tools and ideas: general 
               considerations
The  collisional evolution is  intimately  entangled 
   with other physical processes, such as Yarkovsky­
   YORP and the space weathering. Moreover, direct 
   consequences of the primordial formation and 
   evolution are also presently  observable in the 
   high­size tail of the asteroidal belt. The analysis is 
   now more difficult to do! 
  
Work TBD and critical points­ I
Topics which deserve a further analysis:
­ Under what conditions the reaccumulation may create a 
  “democratic” size distribution, avoiding runaway into a few 
  very large reaccumulated bodies or formation of much 
  debris? 
­ Does really the 100­120km bump mark the transition 
  between evolved and primordial asteroids? 
­ The evolution of the GA concept (texture, shape, rotational 
  properties...) has to be finalized.
Work TBD and critical points­ II
­The RP problem: are all bodies larger than 100m 
  GA?
 ­ May different data and  theoretical models lead to 
  not consistent age estimates?

Ghosts from the old paradigm? Probably points to 
 be clarified or first indications for the next 
 paradigm.
CONCLUSIONS

Sometimes, the evolution of scientific knowledge is slackened by 
personal attitudes: we stick to our ideas (especially whenever our 
  contribution to their assessment has been significant), and are 
skeptic about new suggestions. On the other hand, we sometimes 
 overestimate the predictive power of “our” new ideas. Paolo was 
    fundamental to define the first paradigm, to introduce new 
 physical ideas essential to support the second. We miss him, his 
“candid” attitude towards science, to enter the scenario to come...
Collisional Evolution of Asteroids: Evolving Paradigms

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