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SIOM                                                               Simulacrum




                          Simulacrum




                          Team- ActiveY
                         NITIE, Mumbai
        Sandeep Singh Bedi, bedisandeep@gmail.com, 9702970021
       Pradeep Chhabria, p.chhabria.lnmiit@gmail.com, 9702968768
             Rakesh Sahu, rksahu.83@gmail.com, 9757308086
          Shanu Singh, shanuchaudhery@gmail.com, 9702018520
SIOM                                                                                  Simulacrum


Question 1: What is Bullwhip Effect and how does it relate to lack of coordination in a supply
chain?

Bullwhip Effect is the phenomenon where a retailer’s orders to their suppliers tend to have a larger
variance than the consumer demand that triggered the orders. This demand distortion propagates
upstream with amplification occurring at each echelon. Three major causes of the Bullwhip Effect:

   1. Lead time of information sharing and material
   2. Order batching & forecasting error
   3. Supply shortages, which also lead to artificial demands.



Oscillating demand magnification upstream in supply chain is shown below:
SIOM                                                                                      Simulacrum

Lack of Coordination of information across different tiers leads to ripple effect as shown above. It can
be dealth with real-time information sharing system hence reducing the lead time, controlling the
inventory and finally improving the service level.
SIOM                                                                                Simulacrum


Question 2: What problems result if each stage of a supply chain views its demand as the orders
placed by the downstream stage? How should firms within a supply chain communicate to
facilitate coordination?
If demand is taken as the order placed, then downstream stage had to rely on the sales orders from
stage above to product forecasts, plan capacity, control inventory, and schedule production. Big
variations in demand will be a major problem, leads to bullw
                                                       bullwhip’s effect.




The common inefficiencies in this supply chain are mentioned in below figure.
SIOM                                                             Simulacrum



Approaches to provide Better Communication within Supply Chain




Data requirements for supply chain modeling
SIOM   Simulacrum
SIOM                                                                                      Simulacrum


Question 3: How is the building of strategic partnerships and trust valuable within a supply
chain?

Successful supply chain performance is based on a high level of trust and robust partnership
strategies.




Strategic Partnership aims for synergy among partners based on trust with a belief that benefits
from alliance would be more productive than an individual unit.

It provides:

    •    Reduced conflict between partners.
    •    On-time delivery
    •    Greater consistency in parts, supplies, semi-assembled, and completed products
    •    Effective information sharing among partners resulting in better knowledge for accurate
         forecasts




Characteristics
SIOM                                                                               Simulacrum




Trust among partners is an essential requirement for a successful Supply Chain.




Firms within a supply chain environment need to share resources and information with partners by
building trust for a successful Supply Chain.
SIOM                                                                                      Simulacrum


Question 4: What are the different CPFR scenarios and how do they benefit the supply chain
partners?

Collaborative Planning, Forecasting, and Replenishment is a business process model whereby supply
chain trading partners can jointly plan key supply chain acidities from production and delivery of raw
materials to production and delivery of final products to end customers. The latest version of the
CPFR guidelines is an interactive cycle of four main activities, so called Collaboration Activities as
shown in below diagram.
SIOM                                                                                   Simulacrum

The CPFR reference model is designed to fit many scenarios. Any individual CPFR program must adapt
the model to the particular needs of the trading relationship




We can select multiple scenarios from above table according to adaptability and industry.
SIOM                                                                               Simulacrum


References

   1. How human behaviour amplifies the bullwhip effect , Joerg Nienhaus, Arne Ziegenbein ,
       Christoph Duijts, Centre for Enterprise Sciences (BWI), Swiss Federal Institute of
       Technology (ETH) Zurich, Zuerichbergstrasse 18, 8028 Zurich, Switzerland
   2. The Bullwhip Effect In Supply Chains, Hau L Lee, V Padmanabhan, and Seungjin Whang;
       Sloan Management Review, Spring 1997, Volume 38, Issue 3, pp. 93-102
   3. Challenging the bullwhip effect with advanced information sharing By R. Douglas Derrick
   4. Reducing the impact of demand process variability within a multi-echelon supply chain,
       Francisco Campuzano Bolarín ,Lorenzo Ros Mcdonnell, Juan Martín García, Department of
       Business Economy . Technical University of Cartagena. Campus Muralla del Mar s/n, 30201.
       Cartagena (Spain).
   5. Managing Supply Chain Demand Variability with Scheduled Ordering Policies Ge ´rard P.
       Cachon Duke University, Fuqua School of Business, Durham, North Carolina 27708,
       www.duke.edu/ ˜gpc
   6. CPFR Overview Handbook, Voluntary Inter industry Commerce Standards (VICS), FIVE
       ESSENTIAL ELEMENTS OF INTEGRATED SUPPLY CHAIN MANAGEMENT, AQUA
       MANAGEMENT CONSULTING GROUP
   7. A Guide to CPFR Implementation, Accenture
   8. A white paper by J D Edwards on CPFR — COLLABORATIVE PLANNING,
       FORECASTING AND REPLENISHMENT
   9. Collaborative Planning, Forecasting and Replenishment (CPFR®, VICS, 2004.

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Bull Whip Effect demistified

  • 1. SIOM Simulacrum Simulacrum Team- ActiveY NITIE, Mumbai Sandeep Singh Bedi, bedisandeep@gmail.com, 9702970021 Pradeep Chhabria, p.chhabria.lnmiit@gmail.com, 9702968768 Rakesh Sahu, rksahu.83@gmail.com, 9757308086 Shanu Singh, shanuchaudhery@gmail.com, 9702018520
  • 2. SIOM Simulacrum Question 1: What is Bullwhip Effect and how does it relate to lack of coordination in a supply chain? Bullwhip Effect is the phenomenon where a retailer’s orders to their suppliers tend to have a larger variance than the consumer demand that triggered the orders. This demand distortion propagates upstream with amplification occurring at each echelon. Three major causes of the Bullwhip Effect: 1. Lead time of information sharing and material 2. Order batching & forecasting error 3. Supply shortages, which also lead to artificial demands. Oscillating demand magnification upstream in supply chain is shown below:
  • 3. SIOM Simulacrum Lack of Coordination of information across different tiers leads to ripple effect as shown above. It can be dealth with real-time information sharing system hence reducing the lead time, controlling the inventory and finally improving the service level.
  • 4. SIOM Simulacrum Question 2: What problems result if each stage of a supply chain views its demand as the orders placed by the downstream stage? How should firms within a supply chain communicate to facilitate coordination? If demand is taken as the order placed, then downstream stage had to rely on the sales orders from stage above to product forecasts, plan capacity, control inventory, and schedule production. Big variations in demand will be a major problem, leads to bullw bullwhip’s effect. The common inefficiencies in this supply chain are mentioned in below figure.
  • 5. SIOM Simulacrum Approaches to provide Better Communication within Supply Chain Data requirements for supply chain modeling
  • 6. SIOM Simulacrum
  • 7. SIOM Simulacrum Question 3: How is the building of strategic partnerships and trust valuable within a supply chain? Successful supply chain performance is based on a high level of trust and robust partnership strategies. Strategic Partnership aims for synergy among partners based on trust with a belief that benefits from alliance would be more productive than an individual unit. It provides: • Reduced conflict between partners. • On-time delivery • Greater consistency in parts, supplies, semi-assembled, and completed products • Effective information sharing among partners resulting in better knowledge for accurate forecasts Characteristics
  • 8. SIOM Simulacrum Trust among partners is an essential requirement for a successful Supply Chain. Firms within a supply chain environment need to share resources and information with partners by building trust for a successful Supply Chain.
  • 9. SIOM Simulacrum Question 4: What are the different CPFR scenarios and how do they benefit the supply chain partners? Collaborative Planning, Forecasting, and Replenishment is a business process model whereby supply chain trading partners can jointly plan key supply chain acidities from production and delivery of raw materials to production and delivery of final products to end customers. The latest version of the CPFR guidelines is an interactive cycle of four main activities, so called Collaboration Activities as shown in below diagram.
  • 10. SIOM Simulacrum The CPFR reference model is designed to fit many scenarios. Any individual CPFR program must adapt the model to the particular needs of the trading relationship We can select multiple scenarios from above table according to adaptability and industry.
  • 11. SIOM Simulacrum References 1. How human behaviour amplifies the bullwhip effect , Joerg Nienhaus, Arne Ziegenbein , Christoph Duijts, Centre for Enterprise Sciences (BWI), Swiss Federal Institute of Technology (ETH) Zurich, Zuerichbergstrasse 18, 8028 Zurich, Switzerland 2. The Bullwhip Effect In Supply Chains, Hau L Lee, V Padmanabhan, and Seungjin Whang; Sloan Management Review, Spring 1997, Volume 38, Issue 3, pp. 93-102 3. Challenging the bullwhip effect with advanced information sharing By R. Douglas Derrick 4. Reducing the impact of demand process variability within a multi-echelon supply chain, Francisco Campuzano Bolarín ,Lorenzo Ros Mcdonnell, Juan Martín García, Department of Business Economy . Technical University of Cartagena. Campus Muralla del Mar s/n, 30201. Cartagena (Spain). 5. Managing Supply Chain Demand Variability with Scheduled Ordering Policies Ge ´rard P. Cachon Duke University, Fuqua School of Business, Durham, North Carolina 27708, www.duke.edu/ ˜gpc 6. CPFR Overview Handbook, Voluntary Inter industry Commerce Standards (VICS), FIVE ESSENTIAL ELEMENTS OF INTEGRATED SUPPLY CHAIN MANAGEMENT, AQUA MANAGEMENT CONSULTING GROUP 7. A Guide to CPFR Implementation, Accenture 8. A white paper by J D Edwards on CPFR — COLLABORATIVE PLANNING, FORECASTING AND REPLENISHMENT 9. Collaborative Planning, Forecasting and Replenishment (CPFR®, VICS, 2004.