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   The spatial aggregation of agricultural intensity

              What opportunities for policy targeting?


                F. Teillard, G. Allaire, E. Cahuzac, F. Léger, E. Maigné and M. Tichit




WCCA – Brisbane – September, 29th, 2011

                                               FOOD
                                     AGRICULTURE
                                              ENVIRONMENT
Introduction                                                                                                          2



   How to improve the efficiency of conservation policies?

    One option : better spatial targeting (Feehan 2005, Uthes 2010)
            Agri-environment budget ( 10 €)




                                                                                   1.0

                                                                                         French Farmland Bird Index
            6

                                              2000




                                                                                   0.9
                                              1500




                                                                                   0.8
                                              1000
                                              500




                                                                                   0.7
                                              0




                                                                                   0.6
                                                     1990   1995     2000   2005

                                                                   Year
Introduction – Objectives                                           3



Map agricultural intensity on large scale, at resolution adequate
for policy targeting

                                                    .




• We develop an intensity indicator
computable on large scale



• We estimate it at infra regional
resolution


                                        .




• We map agricultural intensity and
                                                        .




test for its aggregation
Methods – The intensity indicator                                            4



The Input Cost / ha intensity indicator (€ / ha)




• Relevant for the five main production types in France (84% of total UAA)

• Computed with FADN variables (Farm Accountancy Data Network)

• Estimated at higher resolution using other agricultural datasets
Methods – Spatial scale and resolution                                                                        5



National scale, Small Agric. Region (“SAR”) resolution

• Estimation




                                                   100
                                                             Region
accuracy/resolution                                                    100km




                             Estimation accuracy
                                                   90
trade-off




                                                   80
                                                                                Department       SAR




                                                   70
                                                                                               County




                                                   60
                                                   50                                        Municipality
                                                         0        20           40     60        80      100

                                                                      Estimation resolution




• The local Moran index of
spatial auto-correlation

                                                    High LM                                  Low LM
Results – Agricultural intensity indicator                                            6



The IC / ha indicator displays a broad intensity gradient




                           0.0020
               Frequency
                           0.0010
                           0.0000




                                    0   200     400     600      800    1000   1200
                                              Intensity - IC / ha (€ / ha)
Results – Agricultural intensity indicator                                     7



Production types and cost structure along the intensity gradient:



                < 300 €/ha                           > 500 €/ha




                    Mainly         All production              Mainly
                bovine livestock        types       indus. crops    bovine dairy

  Fertilizers
  Feed
  Pesticides
  Seed
  Other
Results – Agricultural intensity distribution                  8



The distribution of agricultural intensity:
               • Sharp regional contrasts
               • Infra-regional heterogeneity


                                                         .




                                                    Random



          100km
                                                ≠
    Intensity -                                          .




  IC / ha (€ / ha)

        600                                         Regional
        500
        400                                         averages
        300
        200
Results – Agricultural intensity aggregation                                                                           9



 Segregation of agricultural intensity: clusters of significant
 aggregation within the two intensity extremes




                                       Aggregation (local Moran)
                                                                   0.025
                                                                   0.015
               100km




                                                                   0.005
       Intensity -
     IC / ha (€ / ha)

           500
                                                                   -0.005
                                                                            0   200     400     600     800     1000
           300

 Significant       NS
                                                                                 Intensity - IC / ha (€ / ha)
aggregation    aggregation
Discussion                                                     10



We show strong spatial segregation of agricultural intensity



                      .




+ Indicator and method usable in other countries

- Other intensity components should be combined with the IC/ha
Discussion                                                              11



The theory (Primdahl 2003, Kleijn 2003) :



   “Improvement” measures                   “Protection” measures
   Target most sensitive area               Target high quality areas
   Reverse biodiversity decline?            Current focus


Our results give opportunity for going from theory to practice


                                .
12




                                  Thank you


Submitted paper: The spatial aggregation of agricultural intensity: what implications
for conservation policies?



                                                  email: teillard@agroparistech.fr


                 Funding 2009-2012: FarmBird Project
                 “Coviability models of FARMing and BIRD biodiversity”

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The spatial aggregation of agricultural intensity. Felix Teillard

  • 1. 1 The spatial aggregation of agricultural intensity What opportunities for policy targeting? F. Teillard, G. Allaire, E. Cahuzac, F. Léger, E. Maigné and M. Tichit WCCA – Brisbane – September, 29th, 2011 FOOD AGRICULTURE ENVIRONMENT
  • 2. Introduction 2 How to improve the efficiency of conservation policies? One option : better spatial targeting (Feehan 2005, Uthes 2010) Agri-environment budget ( 10 €) 1.0 French Farmland Bird Index 6 2000 0.9 1500 0.8 1000 500 0.7 0 0.6 1990 1995 2000 2005 Year
  • 3. Introduction – Objectives 3 Map agricultural intensity on large scale, at resolution adequate for policy targeting . • We develop an intensity indicator computable on large scale • We estimate it at infra regional resolution . • We map agricultural intensity and . test for its aggregation
  • 4. Methods – The intensity indicator 4 The Input Cost / ha intensity indicator (€ / ha) • Relevant for the five main production types in France (84% of total UAA) • Computed with FADN variables (Farm Accountancy Data Network) • Estimated at higher resolution using other agricultural datasets
  • 5. Methods – Spatial scale and resolution 5 National scale, Small Agric. Region (“SAR”) resolution • Estimation 100 Region accuracy/resolution 100km Estimation accuracy 90 trade-off 80 Department SAR 70 County 60 50 Municipality 0 20 40 60 80 100 Estimation resolution • The local Moran index of spatial auto-correlation High LM Low LM
  • 6. Results – Agricultural intensity indicator 6 The IC / ha indicator displays a broad intensity gradient 0.0020 Frequency 0.0010 0.0000 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 Intensity - IC / ha (€ / ha)
  • 7. Results – Agricultural intensity indicator 7 Production types and cost structure along the intensity gradient: < 300 €/ha > 500 €/ha Mainly All production Mainly bovine livestock types indus. crops bovine dairy Fertilizers Feed Pesticides Seed Other
  • 8. Results – Agricultural intensity distribution 8 The distribution of agricultural intensity: • Sharp regional contrasts • Infra-regional heterogeneity . Random 100km ≠ Intensity - . IC / ha (€ / ha) 600 Regional 500 400 averages 300 200
  • 9. Results – Agricultural intensity aggregation 9 Segregation of agricultural intensity: clusters of significant aggregation within the two intensity extremes Aggregation (local Moran) 0.025 0.015 100km 0.005 Intensity - IC / ha (€ / ha) 500 -0.005 0 200 400 600 800 1000 300 Significant NS Intensity - IC / ha (€ / ha) aggregation aggregation
  • 10. Discussion 10 We show strong spatial segregation of agricultural intensity . + Indicator and method usable in other countries - Other intensity components should be combined with the IC/ha
  • 11. Discussion 11 The theory (Primdahl 2003, Kleijn 2003) : “Improvement” measures “Protection” measures Target most sensitive area Target high quality areas Reverse biodiversity decline? Current focus Our results give opportunity for going from theory to practice .
  • 12. 12 Thank you Submitted paper: The spatial aggregation of agricultural intensity: what implications for conservation policies? email: teillard@agroparistech.fr Funding 2009-2012: FarmBird Project “Coviability models of FARMing and BIRD biodiversity”