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BEYOND 3G SERVICES &
NATIONAL NETWORK PROVIDER
       Adit Harinasuta
        6 November 2009
Evolution: Four Mobile Generation
     Core Services & Network Speed


      Mobile                                         Network
     Generation
                     Core Services & Applications    Speed


       1G         Voice only (analog)                 NA
      1980s


       2G         SMS / data (digital)              0.01-0.1M
       1990s


       3G         Internet / Multimedia             0.4-42M
       2000s


       4G         Cloud Computing                   100M-1G
       2010s



                                                                2
Thailand’s “5 Licenses With 5 Networks”
                An Inefficient Model




                                Services      Oligopoly



                                OPEX
                                Operation
                                              Redundancy
                                CAPEX
                                Net. Deploy
TOT     ?     ?     ?     ?

15      15    10    10    10
MHz     MHz   MHz   MHz   MHz
                                                          3
For Illustration Only

         2G Thailand Already Wasted > 100 Billion Baht

            NOT sharing (individually owned)                                                      Site Sharing

                                                     Today

                            AIS                      16,000
                            DTAC                     11,000




                                                                                  >55% Saving
                            trueMove                   6,000
                            Hutch                      3,000
                            TOT                           500


                            Total                      36,500                                   Total         16,000

                                    182 billions baht                                           80 billions baht

Note: If site cost 5M per site, today Thailand already invest = 182 billion baht
       If we can share these towers, we would only need 16,000 sites and would save 102 billion baht                     4
3G Network Required Even More Investment
       New and Small Players Cannot Compete
                                                    Mkt Share


               $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
                                                       2%

                      $$$$$$$$$$$$$$


                             $$$$$$$$                  24%




                                    $$$$$              30%




                                            $ $ $     44%



                                                        5
T-Model Helps Lower “Total Cost of Ownership”
          Network Shared Among All Service Providers




                                        3G Service Providers
          Service                                          Small SPs




          Network




100B   100B   100B 100B 100B                   100B

 TOT + 4 Licenses Model                      T-Model               6
T-Model Promotes “Real” Competitions
New & Small Services Providers With Same Services & Cost Structure



       3
                             4




2                                  1




                                 Different Elements of Telecommunications:
                                 1. Core Network = Superhighway/Lanes
                                 2. Services Operators = Different Vehicles/Drivers
                                 3. Services & Applications = Passengers/Goods
                                 4. NTC / ICT = Law enforcements
                                                                                      7
All Technologies Moving toward 4G/NGN
            3G is a Foundation Toward Next Generation Network (NGN)



         WAN                          Mobile: … 2G … 2.5G … 3G …



         MAN                                   WiMax 802.16 …
                                                                                                        4G
         LAN                                     Wifi 802.11 …                                           &
                                                                                                       NGN
         PAN                                 Bluetooth 802.15 …


   Fixed Line                                 … ADSL & FTTH …
   & Broadband



Note: WAN-Wide Area Network; MAN-Metropolitan Area Network; LAN-Local Area Network (Office); PAN-Personal area network
                                                                                                                   8
      ADSL- Asymmetric Digital Subscriber Line (Home Broadband Internet < 12M); FTTH-Fiber To The Home (>100M)
Six Benefits of Information Superhighway
       The National 3G+/Broadband Network




                  • Use new technology with lowest price

                  • Promote real competition

                  • Create new services

                  • Cheaper rural broadband rollout

                  • Faster broadband penetration

                  • Ensure national security




                                                           9
Five Key Concerns From Service Providers

        Five key concerns

Business Neutrality:                   Related concerns:
•   Structure & operation separation
                                       •   Who will be the party to run this
Fair Business model & price                Network company?
•   Overall CAPEX & OPEX saving
                                       •   How to convert revenue sharing
                                           scheme toward this new model?
Network Reliability
•   99.99% professional SLA            •   What is CAPEX/OPEX saving?

                                       •   Will this help with AC/IC, number
Network Availability                       portability, & other legal issues?
•   Coverage and capacity as plan


Continuous Innovation


                                                                         10
THANK YOU
Demand: Our Lifestyles Are Going “Digital”
                                               Personal, Home, and Business


                                                                                Online Entertainment
                                *File Sharing                                   •Multimedia / Music Video
                                •Photo Sharing                                  •Live Sports
                                •Video Sharing
                                                                                                            *Home Surveillance
                                                                                                            •Remote Home Monitoring
                                                                                                            •Internet Web Cam




Video On Demand
•Streaming Audio/Video
•Video Rental
                                                                                                             *Wireless Handheld
                                                                                                             •Internet Access
                                                                                                             •Voice/Video Calls
                                                                                                             •IP Phone / Mobile VoIP




                                                                                                              *Wireless Laptop
                                                                                                              •Internet Access
                        *Gaming                                                                               •Voice/Video Calls
                        •Internet Gaming                                                                      •MP3 Downloads
                        •Multi-players Gaming                                                                 •P2P Application
                                                    Interactive TV / Broadcast TV                             •Multi-Party Video Conf
                                                    •HD TV / PVR / *Slingbox                                  •Distance Learning
*denotes high upstream bandwidth application        •Interactive Applications
All Future Devices Connect to the Internet Cloud
          Mostly Wirelessly … Anywhere Anytime




                                                   13
14
Lower Cost, Faster, Greener But Data Intensive
       Example: US Government Cloud Computing




                                                15
Telco Trend: unbundling Network & Service
                                  Telco 1.0

         Supplier                  Telco                 Customer




                                  Telco 2.0

                    Commerce                  Content

                                              provider


                    Application                Portal
                     Provider




      Supplier       Network               Service         Customer
                     Operator                Service
                                           Provider
                                             Provider
                                                                      16
Example: Recent Telco 2.0 Implementation
  Singapore Next Generation Broadband Network Project 2008-2012




                                                            RSP




                                                           OpCo



                                                           NetCo




Note: NGNBN = Next Generation Broadband Network                   17

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3 G National Network 6 Nov09 Cisco

  • 1. BEYOND 3G SERVICES & NATIONAL NETWORK PROVIDER Adit Harinasuta 6 November 2009
  • 2. Evolution: Four Mobile Generation Core Services & Network Speed Mobile Network Generation Core Services & Applications Speed 1G Voice only (analog) NA 1980s 2G SMS / data (digital) 0.01-0.1M 1990s 3G Internet / Multimedia 0.4-42M 2000s 4G Cloud Computing 100M-1G 2010s 2
  • 3. Thailand’s “5 Licenses With 5 Networks” An Inefficient Model Services Oligopoly OPEX Operation Redundancy CAPEX Net. Deploy TOT ? ? ? ? 15 15 10 10 10 MHz MHz MHz MHz MHz 3
  • 4. For Illustration Only 2G Thailand Already Wasted > 100 Billion Baht NOT sharing (individually owned) Site Sharing Today AIS 16,000 DTAC 11,000 >55% Saving trueMove 6,000 Hutch 3,000 TOT 500 Total 36,500 Total 16,000 182 billions baht 80 billions baht Note: If site cost 5M per site, today Thailand already invest = 182 billion baht If we can share these towers, we would only need 16,000 sites and would save 102 billion baht 4
  • 5. 3G Network Required Even More Investment New and Small Players Cannot Compete Mkt Share $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ 2% $$$$$$$$$$$$$$ $$$$$$$$ 24% $$$$$ 30% $ $ $ 44% 5
  • 6. T-Model Helps Lower “Total Cost of Ownership” Network Shared Among All Service Providers 3G Service Providers Service Small SPs Network 100B 100B 100B 100B 100B 100B TOT + 4 Licenses Model T-Model 6
  • 7. T-Model Promotes “Real” Competitions New & Small Services Providers With Same Services & Cost Structure 3 4 2 1 Different Elements of Telecommunications: 1. Core Network = Superhighway/Lanes 2. Services Operators = Different Vehicles/Drivers 3. Services & Applications = Passengers/Goods 4. NTC / ICT = Law enforcements 7
  • 8. All Technologies Moving toward 4G/NGN 3G is a Foundation Toward Next Generation Network (NGN) WAN Mobile: … 2G … 2.5G … 3G … MAN WiMax 802.16 … 4G LAN Wifi 802.11 … & NGN PAN Bluetooth 802.15 … Fixed Line … ADSL & FTTH … & Broadband Note: WAN-Wide Area Network; MAN-Metropolitan Area Network; LAN-Local Area Network (Office); PAN-Personal area network 8 ADSL- Asymmetric Digital Subscriber Line (Home Broadband Internet < 12M); FTTH-Fiber To The Home (>100M)
  • 9. Six Benefits of Information Superhighway The National 3G+/Broadband Network • Use new technology with lowest price • Promote real competition • Create new services • Cheaper rural broadband rollout • Faster broadband penetration • Ensure national security 9
  • 10. Five Key Concerns From Service Providers Five key concerns Business Neutrality: Related concerns: • Structure & operation separation • Who will be the party to run this Fair Business model & price Network company? • Overall CAPEX & OPEX saving • How to convert revenue sharing scheme toward this new model? Network Reliability • 99.99% professional SLA • What is CAPEX/OPEX saving? • Will this help with AC/IC, number Network Availability portability, & other legal issues? • Coverage and capacity as plan Continuous Innovation 10
  • 12. Demand: Our Lifestyles Are Going “Digital” Personal, Home, and Business Online Entertainment *File Sharing •Multimedia / Music Video •Photo Sharing •Live Sports •Video Sharing *Home Surveillance •Remote Home Monitoring •Internet Web Cam Video On Demand •Streaming Audio/Video •Video Rental *Wireless Handheld •Internet Access •Voice/Video Calls •IP Phone / Mobile VoIP *Wireless Laptop •Internet Access *Gaming •Voice/Video Calls •Internet Gaming •MP3 Downloads •Multi-players Gaming •P2P Application Interactive TV / Broadcast TV •Multi-Party Video Conf •HD TV / PVR / *Slingbox •Distance Learning *denotes high upstream bandwidth application •Interactive Applications
  • 13. All Future Devices Connect to the Internet Cloud Mostly Wirelessly … Anywhere Anytime 13
  • 14. 14
  • 15. Lower Cost, Faster, Greener But Data Intensive Example: US Government Cloud Computing 15
  • 16. Telco Trend: unbundling Network & Service Telco 1.0 Supplier Telco Customer Telco 2.0 Commerce Content provider Application Portal Provider Supplier Network Service Customer Operator Service Provider Provider 16
  • 17. Example: Recent Telco 2.0 Implementation Singapore Next Generation Broadband Network Project 2008-2012 RSP OpCo NetCo Note: NGNBN = Next Generation Broadband Network 17