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Adam Hawkes | Marginal Emissions Rates in Energy System Change
- 2. The 2050 target Results from UK MARKAL UK CO 2 Emissions Electricity Emissions Intensity
- 3. Residential Sector Heating (service demand)
- 6. An alternative method - marginal CO 2 rates The CO 2 actually saved due to a change in electricity demand is related to which power stations actually respond to that change.
- 7. Baseload
- 11. GB Electricity Marginal Emissions 2002 to 2009 inclusive Source: Hawkes, A.D. (2010) Estimating Marginal Emissions Rates in National Electricity Systems. Energy Policy 38(10) 5977-5987. doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2010.05.053 Change in System Load (GWh/h) Change in System CO 2 Rate (ktCO 2 /h) Linear Fit: y = 0.69 x
- 12. Stats of the MEF Change in System Load (GWh/h) GB System Load (GW) Change in System Load (GWh/h) Change in System CO 2 Rate (ktCO 2 /h) Marginal Emissions Factor (kgCO 2 /kWh) Number of Observations Probability of System Load y = 0.69 x
Editor's Notes
- This talk is inspired by the fact that many economists hold the view that if one analyses the economics of the marginal system, they might end up with the right answer. But if one were to analyse the economics of the average system, they will definitely get the wrong answer.
- Radical change, dynamics of this change important
- Origin of 0.43