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1
Highway Capacity Increases
From Automated Driving
Steven E. Shladover
California PATH Program
July 25, 2012
2
Capacity increase opportunity
• Today’s highway capacity governed by
human driver performance limitations
• Replacing driver with automation can
increase capacity by:
– Shorter vehicle-following gaps
– Enhanced vehicle following stability IFF
automation is cooperative (eliminating
shock waves)
– Narrower lanes for light duty vehicles
based on more accurate steering
3
The Highway Capacity Challenge
• At maximum throughput (2200 veh/hr/lane),
vehicles occupy only 5% of road surface
 Half the lane width for a
full-size car or SUV
 Average longitudinal
gap = 9 car lengths
 2200 veh/hr = 1.64 s hwy
 At 60 mph (~100 km/h),
this is 144 ft per vehicle
(44 m or ~10 vehicle
lengths)
4
Capacity Increase Opportunities
• Partial automation – cooperative ACC to
improve vehicle following dynamics and
reduce gaps
• Full automation – driver removed from
control loop, enabling operations outside
driver response capabilities
5
Mean CACC/ACC Time-Gaps Selected
in Vehicle Following (Test Results)
6
Simulated Lane Capacity vs. CACC Market Pen.
With addition of Vehicle Awareness Devices
7
NAHSC “Pipeline” Capacity Estimates
– Individual Automated Vehicles
Autonomous Highly Cooperative
Achievable capacity will be ~25% less to allow for merging and
lane changing
8
NAHSC “Pipeline” Capacity Estimates
– Platooned Light-Duty Vehicles
vs. Platoon Length vs. Intra-Platoon Gap
Achievable capacity will be ~25% less to allow for merging and
lane changing
9
Automated Truck Platoon Capacity
• NAHSC studies (1997)
10
Traffic Flow Stability
• Drivers’ car-following response lags cause
shock wave instabilities (“stop and go”)
• Commercially available autonomous ACC
systems can have comparable or worse lags
• Cooperative ACC dramatically reduces lags
and improves stability
• Cooperative fully automated systems can
also eliminate flow instabilities

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Shladover2

  • 1. 1 Highway Capacity Increases From Automated Driving Steven E. Shladover California PATH Program July 25, 2012
  • 2. 2 Capacity increase opportunity • Today’s highway capacity governed by human driver performance limitations • Replacing driver with automation can increase capacity by: – Shorter vehicle-following gaps – Enhanced vehicle following stability IFF automation is cooperative (eliminating shock waves) – Narrower lanes for light duty vehicles based on more accurate steering
  • 3. 3 The Highway Capacity Challenge • At maximum throughput (2200 veh/hr/lane), vehicles occupy only 5% of road surface  Half the lane width for a full-size car or SUV  Average longitudinal gap = 9 car lengths  2200 veh/hr = 1.64 s hwy  At 60 mph (~100 km/h), this is 144 ft per vehicle (44 m or ~10 vehicle lengths)
  • 4. 4 Capacity Increase Opportunities • Partial automation – cooperative ACC to improve vehicle following dynamics and reduce gaps • Full automation – driver removed from control loop, enabling operations outside driver response capabilities
  • 5. 5 Mean CACC/ACC Time-Gaps Selected in Vehicle Following (Test Results)
  • 6. 6 Simulated Lane Capacity vs. CACC Market Pen. With addition of Vehicle Awareness Devices
  • 7. 7 NAHSC “Pipeline” Capacity Estimates – Individual Automated Vehicles Autonomous Highly Cooperative Achievable capacity will be ~25% less to allow for merging and lane changing
  • 8. 8 NAHSC “Pipeline” Capacity Estimates – Platooned Light-Duty Vehicles vs. Platoon Length vs. Intra-Platoon Gap Achievable capacity will be ~25% less to allow for merging and lane changing
  • 9. 9 Automated Truck Platoon Capacity • NAHSC studies (1997)
  • 10. 10 Traffic Flow Stability • Drivers’ car-following response lags cause shock wave instabilities (“stop and go”) • Commercially available autonomous ACC systems can have comparable or worse lags • Cooperative ACC dramatically reduces lags and improves stability • Cooperative fully automated systems can also eliminate flow instabilities