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Flux of MEME
         future prediction through social network semantics
         working capital Bologna - 9.6.10




         Thomas M. Alisi, PhD - Giuseppe Serra      image courtesy: blprnt.com   1

Wednesday, June 2, 2010
geo tagging is constantly growing
geotagger’s world atlas - http://www.flickr.com/photos/walkingsf/sets/72157623971287575/




Meme: a postulated unit or element of cultural ideas transmitted from
one mind to another through speech or similar phenomena.

Zeitgeist: German language expression referring to
"the spirit of the times".

Semantic Web: an evolving development of the World Wide Web in which the meaning
(semantics) of information on the web is defined, making it possible for machines to process it

Flux of MEME: analysis of the whole world Zeitgeist using geo-localized
Memes, updated and shared on social media through mobile networks



it is Asimov's psychohistory, it means predicting the future



         Thomas M. Alisi, PhD - Giuseppe Serra                            image courtesy: blprnt.com   2

Wednesday, June 2, 2010
Background -
Twitter has become an essential tool for gathering comments around events and news.



“over 60% of registered Twitter accounts
come from outside the US”

“Tweets grew 1,400% last year to 35 million
per day. Today, we are seeing 50 million
tweets per day (avg. 600 tweets per sec.)”

Make Twitter truly location-aware. A new API
will allow developers to add latitude and
longitude to any tweet.



Asur, Huberman - Predicting the future with social media

Yahoo Research - Shamma et al. 2010
- Conversational Shadows: Describing Live Media Events Using Short Messages
- Can the Twitter Timeline Reveal the Structure of Broadcast Events?

Mashable - HOW TO: Track Iran Election with Twitter and Social Media, http://mashable.com/
2009/06/14/new-media-iran/
         Thomas M. Alisi, PhD - Giuseppe Serra                      image courtesy: blprnt.com   3

Wednesday, June 2, 2010
Problems + Competitors

    Real world problems:
          brand positioning
          marketing
          mobile entertainment
          real-time geo-located news


    Competitors:
          http://www.crimsonhexagon.com/home/ - Understand what the online conversation really
          means for your brand.
          https://recordedfuture.com/ - A new predictive analysis tool that allows you to visualize the
          future, past or present




         Thomas M. Alisi, PhD - Giuseppe Serra                               image courtesy: blprnt.com   4

Wednesday, June 2, 2010
Solution




    analyze text (term extraction - concept expansion), images, geo-location information
    classify and cluster using semantic web
    perform image clustering and associated text
    apply results to different media (reports, mobile apps, etc.)




         Thomas M. Alisi, PhD - Giuseppe Serra                          image courtesy: blprnt.com   5

Wednesday, June 2, 2010
Novelty and potentials

    Q: what is unique in this idea?
    A: competitors are not using semantic web combined with geo-reference (not yet)


    Q: market
    A: huge, if considering value added services and market analysis that take care of real-time web


    Q: how long does it take, and how much money, for the implementation?
    A: between 6 months and 1 year for 1st phase of R&D with at least 5 HR units (approx.
    €150.000 during 1st year + startup)


    Q: business model & exit strategy
    A: sell real-time stats for market analysis and mobile applications/freemium services


         Thomas M. Alisi, PhD - Giuseppe Serra                           image courtesy: blprnt.com   6

Wednesday, June 2, 2010
Team




    Thomas M. Alisi, PhD
    Giuseppe Serra, PhD candidate
    potential access to students/researchers at MICC - Media Integration and Communication
    Center, Università degli Studi di Firenze




         Thomas M. Alisi, PhD - Giuseppe Serra                       image courtesy: blprnt.com   7

Wednesday, June 2, 2010
Q&A



         Thomas M. Alisi, PhD - Giuseppe Serra         image courtesy: blprnt.com   8

Wednesday, June 2, 2010

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Predicting Future Trends with Social Media Semantics

  • 1. Flux of MEME future prediction through social network semantics working capital Bologna - 9.6.10 Thomas M. Alisi, PhD - Giuseppe Serra image courtesy: blprnt.com 1 Wednesday, June 2, 2010
  • 2. geo tagging is constantly growing geotagger’s world atlas - http://www.flickr.com/photos/walkingsf/sets/72157623971287575/ Meme: a postulated unit or element of cultural ideas transmitted from one mind to another through speech or similar phenomena. Zeitgeist: German language expression referring to "the spirit of the times". Semantic Web: an evolving development of the World Wide Web in which the meaning (semantics) of information on the web is defined, making it possible for machines to process it Flux of MEME: analysis of the whole world Zeitgeist using geo-localized Memes, updated and shared on social media through mobile networks it is Asimov's psychohistory, it means predicting the future Thomas M. Alisi, PhD - Giuseppe Serra image courtesy: blprnt.com 2 Wednesday, June 2, 2010
  • 3. Background - Twitter has become an essential tool for gathering comments around events and news. “over 60% of registered Twitter accounts come from outside the US” “Tweets grew 1,400% last year to 35 million per day. Today, we are seeing 50 million tweets per day (avg. 600 tweets per sec.)” Make Twitter truly location-aware. A new API will allow developers to add latitude and longitude to any tweet. Asur, Huberman - Predicting the future with social media Yahoo Research - Shamma et al. 2010 - Conversational Shadows: Describing Live Media Events Using Short Messages - Can the Twitter Timeline Reveal the Structure of Broadcast Events? Mashable - HOW TO: Track Iran Election with Twitter and Social Media, http://mashable.com/ 2009/06/14/new-media-iran/ Thomas M. Alisi, PhD - Giuseppe Serra image courtesy: blprnt.com 3 Wednesday, June 2, 2010
  • 4. Problems + Competitors Real world problems: brand positioning marketing mobile entertainment real-time geo-located news Competitors: http://www.crimsonhexagon.com/home/ - Understand what the online conversation really means for your brand. https://recordedfuture.com/ - A new predictive analysis tool that allows you to visualize the future, past or present Thomas M. Alisi, PhD - Giuseppe Serra image courtesy: blprnt.com 4 Wednesday, June 2, 2010
  • 5. Solution analyze text (term extraction - concept expansion), images, geo-location information classify and cluster using semantic web perform image clustering and associated text apply results to different media (reports, mobile apps, etc.) Thomas M. Alisi, PhD - Giuseppe Serra image courtesy: blprnt.com 5 Wednesday, June 2, 2010
  • 6. Novelty and potentials Q: what is unique in this idea? A: competitors are not using semantic web combined with geo-reference (not yet) Q: market A: huge, if considering value added services and market analysis that take care of real-time web Q: how long does it take, and how much money, for the implementation? A: between 6 months and 1 year for 1st phase of R&D with at least 5 HR units (approx. €150.000 during 1st year + startup) Q: business model & exit strategy A: sell real-time stats for market analysis and mobile applications/freemium services Thomas M. Alisi, PhD - Giuseppe Serra image courtesy: blprnt.com 6 Wednesday, June 2, 2010
  • 7. Team Thomas M. Alisi, PhD Giuseppe Serra, PhD candidate potential access to students/researchers at MICC - Media Integration and Communication Center, Università degli Studi di Firenze Thomas M. Alisi, PhD - Giuseppe Serra image courtesy: blprnt.com 7 Wednesday, June 2, 2010
  • 8. Q&A Thomas M. Alisi, PhD - Giuseppe Serra image courtesy: blprnt.com 8 Wednesday, June 2, 2010