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NO CCS – NO 2°C 
JAPANESE COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE 
Clare Penrose, General Manager - Asia Pacific 
JCOAL Clean Coal Day, Tokyo 
9 September 2014
Fossil fuels will be important for a long time to come 
Source: IEA (2013) 
134 GW coal capacity added in 2013 – at least double that of any 
other fuel. – IEA 2014
Fossil fuels will continue to dominate energy consumption 
patterns 
Primary energy demand by fuel source 
(million tonnes of oil equivalent) 
6% 
6% 
6% 
Fossil fuels must be a part of the climate change solution. 
20000 
16000 
12000 
8000 
4000 
0 
1990 2010 2035 
Fossil Fuels Renewables Nuclear 
76% 
81% 
81% 
13% 
18% 
13% 
Source: IEA World Energy Outlook (2013). 
- New Policies Scenario: assumes current climate change policy commitments and pledges by Government are fully implemented.
The climate change challenge 
A 4°C world is so different from the current one that it comes with 
high uncertainty and new risks that threaten our ability to anticipate 
and plan for future adaptation needs. 
World Bank Group President Jim Yong Kim, November 2012 
Renewable technologies are not the sole answer to mitigating the rise 
in global temperature: 
o decarbonising power without CCS would cost 40% more than 
with CCS 
o in many industrial processes, accounting for over 20% of CO2 
emissions, there is no alternative to CCS.
CCS is a critical component of a sustainable energy 
system 
Source: IEA Energy Technology 
Perspectives (2014) 
Gt CO2 emissions 
In a 2° scenario, CO2 captured in 2030 is in excess of 1,500 Mt and 
6,300 Mt in 2050. So how are we tracking?
Large-scale CCS projects by project lifecycle and year 
22 projects in operation or under construction – 8 more than in 2011.
CO2 capture capacity by actual or expected year of 
operation 
CCS is a reality with 40 Mtpa of CO2 potentially captured by active projects but a 
broad portfolio of projects in the advanced stages of planning must progress if 
momentum in the demonstration of CCS is to be accelerated.
Actual and expected operation dates for CCS 
projects in ‘Operate’, ‘Execute’ and ‘Define’ stages 
Great 
Plains 
Boundary 
Dam 
Illinois Industrial 
Century Plant Coffeyville 
Lost Cabin 
Lula 
In Salah* 
Air Products 
Enid 
Fertilizer 
Shute Creek 
Snøhvit 
Sleipner 
Val Verde 
Kemper 
Sinopec Qilu 
ACTL Agrium 
TCEP 
Petra 
Nova 
Abu Dhabi 
FutureGen 2.0 
Medicine 
Bow 
Sinopec 
Shengli 
Sargas 
Texas 
ROAD 
Yanchang 
Lake Charles 
ACTL Sturgeon 
Gorgon 
Uthmaniyah 
Quest 
Don 
Valley 
HECA 
PetroChina 
Jilin 
Spectra 
White 
Rose 
Peterhead 
2014 2015 
2018 2019 2020 
Coal feedstock 
Other feedstock 
Pre-2014 
Power 
generation 
2016 2017 
Coal-to-liquids 
Chemical 
production 
Iron and steel 
production 
Syngas 
Fertiliser 
production 
Oil refining 
Natural gas 
processing 
Hydrogen 
production 
= 1Mtpa of CO2 (areas of circle are proportional to capacity) 
* Injection currently suspended 
CCS projects that utilise coal as a feedstock are increasing in prominence.
Three large-scale CCS projects in the power sector 
are under construction in North America 
1. BOUNDARY DAM INTEGRATED CARBON CAPTURE & 
SEQUESTRATION DEMONSTRATION PROJECT 
Location: Saskatchewan, Canada 
CO2 captured: 1 Mtpa 
Anticipated start date: 2014 
2. KEMPER COUNTY ENERGY FACILITY 
Location: Mississippi, United States 
CO2 captured: 3.5 Mtpa 
Anticipated start date: 2015 
3. PETRA NOVA CARBON CAPTURE PROJECT 
Location: Texas, United States 
CO2 captured: 1.4 Mtpa 
Anticipated start date: 2016 
1 
2 
3 
Japanese technology is supporting key CCS projects: 
 Mitsubishi Hitachi Power Systems (MHPS) is supplying the steam turbine for the SaskPower’s Boundary 
Dam project. MHPS is also partnering with SaskPower to construct a carbon capture facility at their Shand 
Power Station. 
 Chugai Technos is delivering the storage monitoring system for the Boundary Dam Aquistore project. 
 Petra Nova, a 50/50 joint venture between NRG Energy and JX Nippon Oil & Gas Exploration, will use a 
carbon capture process developed by Mitsubishi Heavy Industries and Kansai Electric Power Co
There are a number of ‘notable’ pilot and 
demonstration projects in Japan 
Name: TOMAKOMAI CCS 
DEMONSTRATION PROJECT 
Name: EAGLE PILOT PROJECT Name: OSAKI COOLGEN 
Location: Hokkaido 
Proponents: METI (execution by 
Japan CCS Co. comprising 35 
companies) 
Objective: Demonstrate an overall 
CCS system from capture to 
storage as foundation for 
commercialising CCS from 2020 
Project Status: In construction 
Location: Hiroshima 
Proponents: J-POWER and 
Chugoku Electric Power Co. 
Objective: Testing to verify the 
reliability, economic efficiency and 
operability of an oxygen-blown 
IGCC system 
Project Status: In construction 
Location: Fukuoka 
Proponents: J-POWER, NEDO 
and Hitachi 
Objective: Research and 
establish technologies for IGCC 
oxygen-blown coal system 
Project Status: Testing completed 
Japanese industry is well positioned to benefit as these projects progress. 
Detailed descriptions of these projects are provided at www.globalccsintitute.com.
Japan-Australia Collaboration 
Joint venture between CS Energy, 
ACALET, Glencore, Schlumberger Carbon 
Services and Japanese participants – 
J-POWER, Mitsui and IHI Corporation 
Location: Callide A Power Station, Queensland, Australia 
Objective: Demonstrate how oxyfuel carbon capture 
technology can be applied to an existing coal-fired power 
station to generate low-emission electricity. 
In the period from December 2013 to May 2014, the power 
station’s oxyfuel boiler recorded more than 6,000 hours of 
industrial operation and the capture plant more than 3,000 
hours of industrial operation. 
AUGUST 2014: 
Brown Coal Innovation Australia (BCIA) 
announces AU$650,000 of funding for a 
AU$5 million joint research project between 
Australia’s CSIRO, AGL and IHI Corporation 
to explore a lower-cost process to capture 
CO2 from brown coal-fired power stations. 
The syndicate will install and test a pilot 
plant at AGL’s Loy Yang Power Station in 
Victoria, Australia, that could use up to 40% 
less energy to capture CO2 emissions for 
storage.
No CCS – No 2°C 
Wide adoption of CCS part of 
the scenario that achieves 450 
ppm atmospheric stabilization 
level for CO2 
World Energy Council 
Importance of 
CCS 
acknowledged 
Availability of CCS is critical 
for producing 450 ppm 
Energy Modeling Forum 27 
Study 
CCS is an important technology in 
the long run…deployment to drive 
down costs is desirable 
UK Committee on Climate 
Change 
Commercial demonstration of CCS essential 
for deployment in the 2030 timeframe 
European Commission 
CCS to be cost effective when 
transformational technologies emerge 
US Climate Action Report 2014 
Many energy and 
climate researchers 
believe that CCS is vital 
to avoiding a climate 
catastrophe 
Wired Magazine March 
2013 
We intend to promote the use 
of low carbon technologies 
(renewable energies, nuclear 
in the countries which opt to 
use it, and carbon capture and 
storage) 
G7 Energy Ministerial 
Meeting, May 2014
The future of coal 
Coal must remain a part of our energy 
mix. At the same time, we have to 
reduce carbon emissions from coal. 
Dr Julio Friedmann 
Deputy Assistant Secretary, Office of Clean Coal, 
US Department of Energy 
May 2014
GLOBALCCSINSTITUTE.COM

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Clare Penrose - No CCS, No 2 degrees. Japan Clean Coal Day 2014

  • 1. NO CCS – NO 2°C JAPANESE COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE Clare Penrose, General Manager - Asia Pacific JCOAL Clean Coal Day, Tokyo 9 September 2014
  • 2. Fossil fuels will be important for a long time to come Source: IEA (2013) 134 GW coal capacity added in 2013 – at least double that of any other fuel. – IEA 2014
  • 3. Fossil fuels will continue to dominate energy consumption patterns Primary energy demand by fuel source (million tonnes of oil equivalent) 6% 6% 6% Fossil fuels must be a part of the climate change solution. 20000 16000 12000 8000 4000 0 1990 2010 2035 Fossil Fuels Renewables Nuclear 76% 81% 81% 13% 18% 13% Source: IEA World Energy Outlook (2013). - New Policies Scenario: assumes current climate change policy commitments and pledges by Government are fully implemented.
  • 4. The climate change challenge A 4°C world is so different from the current one that it comes with high uncertainty and new risks that threaten our ability to anticipate and plan for future adaptation needs. World Bank Group President Jim Yong Kim, November 2012 Renewable technologies are not the sole answer to mitigating the rise in global temperature: o decarbonising power without CCS would cost 40% more than with CCS o in many industrial processes, accounting for over 20% of CO2 emissions, there is no alternative to CCS.
  • 5. CCS is a critical component of a sustainable energy system Source: IEA Energy Technology Perspectives (2014) Gt CO2 emissions In a 2° scenario, CO2 captured in 2030 is in excess of 1,500 Mt and 6,300 Mt in 2050. So how are we tracking?
  • 6. Large-scale CCS projects by project lifecycle and year 22 projects in operation or under construction – 8 more than in 2011.
  • 7. CO2 capture capacity by actual or expected year of operation CCS is a reality with 40 Mtpa of CO2 potentially captured by active projects but a broad portfolio of projects in the advanced stages of planning must progress if momentum in the demonstration of CCS is to be accelerated.
  • 8. Actual and expected operation dates for CCS projects in ‘Operate’, ‘Execute’ and ‘Define’ stages Great Plains Boundary Dam Illinois Industrial Century Plant Coffeyville Lost Cabin Lula In Salah* Air Products Enid Fertilizer Shute Creek Snøhvit Sleipner Val Verde Kemper Sinopec Qilu ACTL Agrium TCEP Petra Nova Abu Dhabi FutureGen 2.0 Medicine Bow Sinopec Shengli Sargas Texas ROAD Yanchang Lake Charles ACTL Sturgeon Gorgon Uthmaniyah Quest Don Valley HECA PetroChina Jilin Spectra White Rose Peterhead 2014 2015 2018 2019 2020 Coal feedstock Other feedstock Pre-2014 Power generation 2016 2017 Coal-to-liquids Chemical production Iron and steel production Syngas Fertiliser production Oil refining Natural gas processing Hydrogen production = 1Mtpa of CO2 (areas of circle are proportional to capacity) * Injection currently suspended CCS projects that utilise coal as a feedstock are increasing in prominence.
  • 9. Three large-scale CCS projects in the power sector are under construction in North America 1. BOUNDARY DAM INTEGRATED CARBON CAPTURE & SEQUESTRATION DEMONSTRATION PROJECT Location: Saskatchewan, Canada CO2 captured: 1 Mtpa Anticipated start date: 2014 2. KEMPER COUNTY ENERGY FACILITY Location: Mississippi, United States CO2 captured: 3.5 Mtpa Anticipated start date: 2015 3. PETRA NOVA CARBON CAPTURE PROJECT Location: Texas, United States CO2 captured: 1.4 Mtpa Anticipated start date: 2016 1 2 3 Japanese technology is supporting key CCS projects:  Mitsubishi Hitachi Power Systems (MHPS) is supplying the steam turbine for the SaskPower’s Boundary Dam project. MHPS is also partnering with SaskPower to construct a carbon capture facility at their Shand Power Station.  Chugai Technos is delivering the storage monitoring system for the Boundary Dam Aquistore project.  Petra Nova, a 50/50 joint venture between NRG Energy and JX Nippon Oil & Gas Exploration, will use a carbon capture process developed by Mitsubishi Heavy Industries and Kansai Electric Power Co
  • 10. There are a number of ‘notable’ pilot and demonstration projects in Japan Name: TOMAKOMAI CCS DEMONSTRATION PROJECT Name: EAGLE PILOT PROJECT Name: OSAKI COOLGEN Location: Hokkaido Proponents: METI (execution by Japan CCS Co. comprising 35 companies) Objective: Demonstrate an overall CCS system from capture to storage as foundation for commercialising CCS from 2020 Project Status: In construction Location: Hiroshima Proponents: J-POWER and Chugoku Electric Power Co. Objective: Testing to verify the reliability, economic efficiency and operability of an oxygen-blown IGCC system Project Status: In construction Location: Fukuoka Proponents: J-POWER, NEDO and Hitachi Objective: Research and establish technologies for IGCC oxygen-blown coal system Project Status: Testing completed Japanese industry is well positioned to benefit as these projects progress. Detailed descriptions of these projects are provided at www.globalccsintitute.com.
  • 11. Japan-Australia Collaboration Joint venture between CS Energy, ACALET, Glencore, Schlumberger Carbon Services and Japanese participants – J-POWER, Mitsui and IHI Corporation Location: Callide A Power Station, Queensland, Australia Objective: Demonstrate how oxyfuel carbon capture technology can be applied to an existing coal-fired power station to generate low-emission electricity. In the period from December 2013 to May 2014, the power station’s oxyfuel boiler recorded more than 6,000 hours of industrial operation and the capture plant more than 3,000 hours of industrial operation. AUGUST 2014: Brown Coal Innovation Australia (BCIA) announces AU$650,000 of funding for a AU$5 million joint research project between Australia’s CSIRO, AGL and IHI Corporation to explore a lower-cost process to capture CO2 from brown coal-fired power stations. The syndicate will install and test a pilot plant at AGL’s Loy Yang Power Station in Victoria, Australia, that could use up to 40% less energy to capture CO2 emissions for storage.
  • 12. No CCS – No 2°C Wide adoption of CCS part of the scenario that achieves 450 ppm atmospheric stabilization level for CO2 World Energy Council Importance of CCS acknowledged Availability of CCS is critical for producing 450 ppm Energy Modeling Forum 27 Study CCS is an important technology in the long run…deployment to drive down costs is desirable UK Committee on Climate Change Commercial demonstration of CCS essential for deployment in the 2030 timeframe European Commission CCS to be cost effective when transformational technologies emerge US Climate Action Report 2014 Many energy and climate researchers believe that CCS is vital to avoiding a climate catastrophe Wired Magazine March 2013 We intend to promote the use of low carbon technologies (renewable energies, nuclear in the countries which opt to use it, and carbon capture and storage) G7 Energy Ministerial Meeting, May 2014
  • 13. The future of coal Coal must remain a part of our energy mix. At the same time, we have to reduce carbon emissions from coal. Dr Julio Friedmann Deputy Assistant Secretary, Office of Clean Coal, US Department of Energy May 2014

Editor's Notes

  1. Definition of IEA scenarios “The ‘New Policies Scenario’ – the central scenario in WEO-2013 – analyses the Evolution of energy markets based on the continuation of existing policies and measures as well as cautious implementation of policies that have been announced by governments but are yet to be given effect. The ‘Current Policies Scenario’ takes account only of policies already enacted as of mid-2013. The 450 Scenario shows what it takes to set the energy system on track to have a 50% chance of keeping to 2 degrees Celsius the long-term increase in average global temperature.” In this slide we have used the IEA’s ‘New Policies Scenario’ as it is the Agency’s reference scenario. This scenario is broadly consistent with a 4 degree Celsius long-term increase in average global temperature. If the ‘Current Policies Scenario’ were to be utilised in this slide, global energy demand would be 18,646 million tonnes of oil equivalent (around 7% higher than under the New Policies Scenario) and fossil fuels would constitute 80% of the energy demanded.
  2. By comparison, annual carbon dioxide emissions for Norway are at 50-55 million tonnes It is critical that a broad portfolio of projects currently in the advanced stages of planning move into construction over the coming 12 to 18 months in order to accelerate the momentum for CCS.
  3. While Southern Company is using its own technology for its Kemper County Energy Facility, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries and Southern Company partnered for demonstration testing of CO2 capture and sequestration at Plant Barry, Alabama Power’s (subsidiary of Southern Company) pulverised-coal power plant.
  4. EAGLE Project image source - J-POWER’s CCT Activities, Hiroto Shimuzu, September 2013.