ICLR Friday Forum: Calgary hail damage (June 26, 2020)

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glennmcgillivray

On June 26, 2020, ICLR conducted a special webinar on the June 13, 2020 Southern Alberta storm. On the evening of Saturday, June 13, 2020, large swaths of southern Alberta, including portions of Calgary, where hit with high winds, torrential rain and tennis ball-sized hail. ICLR estimates that the hailstorm could very well be the costliest hail event in Canadian insurance history, surpassing the $580 million in insured damage caused by the August 7, 2014 hailstorm in Airdrie, Alberta. In this session, presenters discussed the meteorology of the event (what happened, when, why and how); the damage, as experienced by insurance adjusters responding to storm claims, and the impacts of hail on structures, including a look at building material performance, damage thresholds and damage mitigation. Presentations include: The anatomy of a billion dollar hailstorm Dr. Julian Brimelow, Physical Sciences Specialist, Applied Environmental Prediction Science, Prairie & Northern Region, Environment and Climate Change Canada. Boots on the ground: The adjusters’ view Glenn Smith, Head of Global Catastrophe Logistics, CRU Group Calgary Hailstorm: Exposing our vulnerability to hail & where do we go from here? Dr. Ian Giammanco, Lead Research Meteorologist and Senior Director for Product Design, Insurance Institute for Business and Home Safety (IBHS).

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CRU Group 2

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} Random shape
} Random hardness
} Random fall pattern
4

} Side facing the storm receives more damage
} Steeper the pitch, less damage expected
} Hail damage surfaces will mirror the aspects
of hail. (random size, shape, hardness)
5

1. For a given material…the
thicker the material, the
greater the impact resistance
2. For a given material…the
stiffer the underlying
support, the greater the
impact resistance
1-10
1-11

3. For a given material…the
greater the
worn/deteriorated the
material, the less the impact
resistance
1-11

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ICLR Friday Forum: Safety + serviceability of mass timber buildings for wind ...

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ICLR Friday Forum: Reducing the Risk of Flooding by Implementing Better Pract...

ICLR Friday Forum: Reducing the Risk of Flooding by Implementing Better Pract...

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On August 7, 2020, ICLR conducted a Friday Forum webinar titled 'Updating Canada's fire danger rating system, led by Dr. Mike Wotton of the Canadian Forest Service. The Canadian Forest Fire Danger Rating System (CFFDRS) as it exists today has evolved over more than eight decades, driven by ongoing research and also by the decision support needs of wildfire management operations in Canada. The development of the next significant step in the evolution of the CFFDRS (which we refer to as the Next Generation CFFDRS research program) is currently underway. The goal of these modifications is to allow greater flexibility and consistency in predicting fire ignition and spread across a broad range of fuel complexes. The underlying approach however will still remain rooted in the philosophy of using field-based observations calibrate simple physics-based models of the key processes that influence fire environment and hence fire behaviour. This presentation summarized the methods used for assessing and communicating wildfire potential across the Canadian landscape. It described some of the modifications being proposed to develop the next generation of the CFFDRS and what these changes will mean to both casual and expert users of the system. This presentation, by Mike Wotton of the Canadian Forest Service, made linkages between the most publicly well-known output of the CFFDRS --the roadside fire danger sign -- and the elements of system that operational fire managers use to inform their daily response and operational planning.

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glennmcgillivray

On July 10, 2020, ICLR conducted a Friday Forum webinar titled 'Impact resilient roofing', lead by Vince Carrier and Mark Okland of IKO. Insurance companies across North America are experiencing rising claims from hail, severe wind and other climate risks. In many events, the most extensive losses involve damage to the roof, losses that can be prevented. IKO203 FORTIFIED Asphalt Shingle Roofs is an American Institute of Architects course that sets out actions required to install a damage resistant asphalt roof consistent with the FORTIFIED program. This presentation explored why the program was created by the insurance industry in the United States through the Institute for Business and Home Safety. The presentation also explained how these measures provide protection from damage beyond that required in the building code, including a review of climate related resilient roofing products, testing results and the benefits of performance enhanced products. The presentation by Mark Okland and Vince Carrier from Canada’s leading producer of asphalt shingles, IKO, was of particular interest to those presently responding to the damage resulting from the June 13 Calgary hail storm and will set out the value of an impact resilient roof.

Friday Forum: Impact resilient roofing (July 10, 2020)

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glennmcgillivray

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ICLR Friday Forum: Anatomy of a billion dollar hailstorm (June 26, 2020)

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glennmcgillivray

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ICLR Friday Forum: Exposing our vulnerability to hail (June 26, 2020)

glennmcgillivray

On June 12, 2020, ICLR conducted a Friday Forum webinar led by Dr. Kevin Simmons, Austin College, titled 'Building Codes Prevent Wind Damage'. Engineers have designed structures that limit damage from some of nature’s most powerful wind storms. But before those innovations can do their job they must be incorporated into common construction practice either through inclusion in building codes or through increased demand by homebuyers. The cost of homeownership includes more than the purchase price. But because codes aim to minimize first costs, new design tends to be economically inefficient. It’s here that economists can demonstrate resilient construction is cost effective with a positive return on investment in areas where damaging wind storms are common. Analysis from Florida after Hurricane Andrew and from Moore Oklahoma after it changed its wind ordinance demonstrates that resilience is worthwhile, showing benefit-cost ratios for better design on the order of 4:1 and higher with no effect on affordability or market activity. Dr. Kevin Simmons is known internationally for his work on the economics of natural hazards. His research has been highlighted and he has been interviewed by the New York Times, Wall Street Journal, CBS Evening News, Weather Channel, Fox Business, Bloomberg TV, Christian Science Monitor and USA Today among others. He has published more than 100 articles and co-authored 2 books with Dan Sutter, Economic and Societal Impacts of Tornadoes and Deadly Season: Analyzing the 2011 Tornado Outbreaks. Dr. Simmons served as a Fulbright Scholar to Norway in 2010 and again to Canada in 2014 as well as a Visiting Scholar with NOAA in 2017. Currently, he is a Professor of Economics at Austin College where he holds the endowed Clara R. and Leo F. Corrigan Chair of Economics.

ICLR Friday Forum: Building Codes Prevent Wind Damage (June 12, 2020)

ICLR Friday Forum: Building Codes Prevent Wind Damage (June 12, 2020)

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glennmcgillivray

The prevalence of wildfire disasters across Canada over the past two decades such as occurred in Kelowna, BC in 2003 and Fort McMurray, AB in 2016 has prompted a continuing search for solutions to address the wildland-urban interface or intermix (WUI) problem in the country. While it is theoretically possible to exclude human-caused wildfire occurrences, the complete exclusion of unwanted fires is not likely given even the most highly sophisticated fire prevention, detection and suppression programs. Professor Dougal Drysdale (2011) – Introduction to Fire Dynamics has stated that "Further major advances in combating wildfire are unlikely to be achieved simply by continued application of traditional methods. What is required is a more fundamental approach which can be applied at the design stage ... Such an approach requires a detailed understanding of fire behaviour." The concept of forest conflagration control through managing vegetation or fuels is discussed on the basis that the elimination of ignition risk in the WUI is not foreseen as feasible and that addressing the “fuel” component of the fire environment offers the only viable course of action possible given that neither weather or topography can be modified. The aim of fuels management is to reduce a fire’s intensity and spread rate so that containment by conventional suppression forces can be effective. In this regard, the creation of “aspen fuel breaks” offers one of the best chances for success. Dr. Marty Alexander is a registered professional forester who began his wildland fire career in 1972 as a hotshot crew member. He retired from full-time work in late 2010 as a senior fire behaviour research officer after nearly 35 years with the Canadian Forest Service. His primary research and technology transfer interests have principally focused on the practical application of empirical fire behaviour knowledge to community protection and firefighter safety concerns. Marty has continued this line of emphasis in semi-retirement.

ICLR Friday Forum: Living with fire in Canada's forests (May 15, 2020)

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4. } Random size } Random shape } Random hardness } Random fall pattern 4

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