This document discusses six key challenges for the next decade: future people, future place, future power, future belief, future behavior, and future business. It then outlines insights from 120 discussions on the world in 2025 conducted as part of the Future Agenda foresight program. Finally, it identifies six major innovation opportunities: reducing food waste, improving basic sanitation, revolutionizing education, creating a data marketplace, developing ethical machines, and fostering deeper collaboration.

1. Six Key Challenges for the Next Decade
Six Major Innova-on Opportuni-es
ISPIM | Porto | 20 June 2016 The world’s leading open foresight program

2. This Talk Covers Three Topics
Six Key Challenges for the Next Decade
The World in 2025 – Some Insights from 120 Discussions
Six Major InnovaHon OpportuniHes

3. Six Key Challenges for The Next Decade

4. Future People
With an increasingly unequal and ageing popula-on
in many countries, how will we generate the wealth to fairly
rebalance society and afford beJer care provision?

5. Future Place
As the shiM to urban living puts pressure on the infrastructure,
how do we create las-ng ci-es that deliver beJer
quality of life and also support rural communi-es?

6. Future Power
With Western governments ceding influence to ci-es and networks
at the same -me as Asia and Africa assert greater authority,
how will global leadership be defined?

7. Future Belief
In a world of changing priori-es and shiMing loyal-es,
who and what will set the values and norms by which
we choose to live our lives to greater benefit?

8. Future Behaviour
As more of us recognise the core issues and constraints
for the future, how do we adopt more efficient aRtudes
and change our behaviour to protect what maJers?

9. Future Business
By 2025, organisa-ons driven solely by profit will not be sustainable.
How will they evolve to address new challenges, develop
opportuni-es and contribute to society?

10. The World in 2025 | Insights from Mul-ple Expert Discussions

11. Future Agenda
The Future Agenda is the world’s largest open foresight program
that accesses mul-ple views of the next decade so we can
all be beJer informed and s-mulate innova-on.

12. Future Agenda 2.0 Topics
The second version of the Future Agenda program took place
during 2015 and has been addressing 24 topics via 120 events in
45 ci-es in 35 countries in partnership with 50 core hosts.
Ci-es
Educa-on
Learning
Transport
Collabora-on
Energy
Loyalty
Travel
Company
Faith
Payments
Water
Connec-vity
Food
Privacy
Wealth
Currency
Government
Resources
Work
Ageing
Data
Health
Trade

13. Future Agenda in Numbers
The first Future Agenda programme engaged a wide range of views in
25 countries. Future Agenda 2.0 has doubled the face-to-face interac-on
and significantly raised online sharing, debate and discussion.
Future Agenda 1.0
1 HOST
16 TOPICS
25 COUNTRIES
50 WORKSHOPS
1500 ORGANISATIONS
Future Agenda 2.0
50 HOSTS
24 TOPICS
35 COUNTRIES
120 WORKSHOPS
5000 ORGANISATIONS

14. Everything Connected
Over 1 trillion sensors are connected to mul-ple networks: everything that can
benefit from a connec-on has one. We deliver 10,000x more data 100x more
effec-vely but are concerned about the security of the informa-on that flows.

15. Imbalanced PopulaHon Growth
A growing popula-on adds another billion people but it is also rapidly ageing:
a child born next year will live 6 months longer than one born today. While
migra-on helps to rebalance, increasing dependency ra-os challenge many.

16. ShiWing Power and Influence
The centre of gravity of economic power con-nues shiMing eastwards, back to
where it was 200 years ago. Recent superpowers seek to moderate the pace of
change but the reali-es of popula-on and resource loca-ons are immoveable.

17. Affordable Healthcare
The escala-ng cost of healthcare is further stressed by the need to support
the old and the chronically ill. Spending 20% of GDP on healthcare is seen as
unsustainable so hard decisions are taken around budgets and priori-es.

18. Autonomous Vehicles
The shiM to fully autonomous transport is an evolu-on via truck platoons on
highways and small urban delivery pods. Connected cars create the network
and test the technologies for the eventual revolu-onary driverless experience.

19. Air Quality
Rising air pollu-on in many ci-es is killing people and becomes
a visible catalyst for changing mind-sets and policies across
health, energy, transporta-on and urban design.

20. Intra City CollaboraHon
Increasing compe--on between ci-es overrides na-onal boundaries and drives
change. They compete to aJract the best but also collaborate to avoid the
downside of success – over-crowding, under-resourcing and pollu-on.

21. The Value of Data
As organisa-ons try to retain as much informa-on about their customers as
possible, data becomes a currency with a value and a price. It therefore
requires a marketplace where anything that is informa-on is represented.

22. The Changing Nature of Privacy
As privacy is a public issue, more interna-onal frameworks seek to govern the
Internet, protect the vulnerable and secure personal data: The balance between
protec-on, security, privacy and public good is increasingly poli-cal.

23. Access to Transport
The widespread need for individuals to travel short distances becomes
a key feature of urban design and regenera-on. Planners use transport
infrastructure to influence social change and lower carbon living.

24. AcceleraHng Displacement
Climate change, conflict, resource shortages, inequality and poli-cal elites unable or
unwilling to bring about necessary change all trigger unprecedented migra-on to the
North. Over the next 50 years, as many as 1 billion people could be on the move.

25. CiHzen-Centric CiHes
Successful ci-es will be designed around the needs and desires of
increasingly empowered and enabled ci-zens - who are expec-ng
personalized services from the organisa-ons that serve them.

26. PlasHc Oceans
There are increasing high levels of man-made pollu-on
in many of the world’s seas and liJle actually disappears.
By 2050 there will be more plas-c than fish in the world’s oceans.

27. SomeHmes Nomads
Elec-ve migra-on, cheap travel, interna-onal knowledge sharing and
increasingly transient working models create connected nomads who mix
the tradi-ons of home with the values and customs of their host loca-on.

28. Working Longer
People are having to work for longer to support longer re-rements.
Flexible working prac-ces and policies are emerging, but some
employers con-nue to remain ambivalent about older workers.

29. Africa Growth
With a land mass bigger than India, China, the US and Europe combined, few
doubt the scale of the African con-nent and its resources. However, un-l
recently, only some have seen it as the growth market that it is fast becoming.

30. Eco-CivilisaHon
Over the past 40 years China has grown apace, mostly without concern for
long-term environmental impacts. However, now faced with major
challenges, a bright light of sustainable development is emerging.

31. Digital Money
Cash con-nues to be gradually replaced by digital money, providing
consumers with more convenience and choice – and organisa-ons with
lower cost transac-ons. Wider adop-on enables new offers to proliferate.

32. Speed to Scale
Greater global connec-vity, growing consumer wealth and broader
reach all combine to accelerate the -me to 1bn customers and a
$10bn valua-on for start-ups and new corporate ventures alike.

33. Six Major InnovaHon OpportuniHes

34. Food Waste
30-50% of our food is wasted either in the supply chain or in consump-on and
could feed another 3 billion. Op-mising distribu-on and storage in developing
countries and enabling beJer consumer informa-on in others could solve this.

35. Basic SanitaHon
Poor sanita-on con-nues to impact public health and restrict social progress,
par-cularly for women. Governments and donor organisa-ons priori-se
measurement, educa-on and innova-on in a bid to drive change.

36. EducaHon RevoluHon
Broader access to improved educa-on acts as a major catalyst for
empowerment, sustained economic growth, overcoming inequality and
reducing conflict. We need an educa-on system fit for the digital revolu-on.

37. A Data Marketplace
Data is a currency, it has a value and a price, and therefore requires a
market place. An ecosystem for trading data is emerging and anything
that is informa-on is represented in a new data marketplace.

38. Ethical Machines
Automa-on spreads beyond trading and managing systemic risk.
As we approach technology singularity, autonomous robots and
smarter algorithms make ethical judgments that impact life or death.

39. Deeper CollaboraHon
Partnerships shiM to become more dynamic, long-term, democra-sed,
mul--party collabora-ons. Compe-tor alliances and wider public par-cipa-on
drive regulators to create new legal frameworks for open, empathe-c collabora-on.

40. More InformaHon and Insights
www.futureagenda.org hJp://tmiltd.com/products/future-agenda hJp://www.slideshare.net/futureagenda2

41. Future Agenda
84 Brook Street
London
W1K 5EH
+44 203 0088 141
futureagenda.org
The world’s leading open foresight program
What do you think?
Join In | Add your views into the mix
www.futureagenda.org