More Related Content Similar to Presentation Domty Team 9.pptx (20) Presentation Domty Team 9.pptx6. Business
Competitive
position
timelineIndustry
Derivers
Financial
Analysis
Valuation
Risks
88.8% 85.7%
76.0% 70.4% 67.6% 65.3% 63.6% 62.2% 61.1%
11.2% 12.3%
11.5%
10.5% 10.4% 10.3% 10.3% 10.4% 10.4%
1.9%
12.5% 19.1% 22.0% 24.4% 26.1% 27.5% 28.4%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25
Dairy % of revenue Juice % of revenue Bakery % of revenue
Sales
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25
Cheese Sales UR
In Million
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
-
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25
Juice Sales UR
In Thousands
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25
Bakery Sales UR
In Million
Source: team analysis
Source: team analysis
7. Business
Competitive
position
timelineIndustry
Derivers
Financial
Analysis
Valuation
Risks
Cost Of Good Sold
Profitability
23%
28%
22% 22%
26%
28%
26% 26% 27% 27% 28% 28%
9%
16%
7%
9%
14%
13%
11% 11% 12% 12% 13% 13%
3%
9%
2%
3%
6% 6%
5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 8%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25
GPM EBITDA NPM
CAGR
of
Juice
is
9.3%
16%
12%
16%
15%
13%
16%
16%
16%
16%
16% 16%
16%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25
Sales SG&A
In Million
Source: team analysis
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25
In Million
Source: team analysis
8. Business
Competitive
position
timelineIndustry
Derivers
Financial
Analysis
Valuation
Risks
CAPEX New
Bakery
Machine
Cash Conversion Cycle
79
102
95
89
93
107
81 79 76 74 71
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25
Debt Ratio
2.2
1.7
1.4
1.0
0.9
1.2
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.5
0.3
4.91
1.27
1.58
2.56
3.98
3.06
3.57
5.02
5.91
7.35
11.20
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25
Source: team analysis
2%
12%
3%
4%
7%
2% 2% 2%
3%
2% 2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25
Sales CAPEX
In Million
Source: team analysis
9. Business
Competitive
position
timelineIndustry
Derivers
Financial
Analysis
Valuation
Risks
DCF Valuation
WACC Year 1
Market CAP 1,664,565
Weight of equity 62%
weight of debt 38%
Risk free rate(5-year T-bonds) 14.81%
Risk free rate post tax 11.85%
Adjusted Beta 0.54
Equity risk premium 8.70%
Cost of equity 16.50%
Cost of debt 11.80%
Cost of debt post tax 9.10%
WACC 13.70%
Traditional DCF
Perpetuity Value
Growth rate
5%
Intrinsic Value of
share
9.3
Potential 58%
Recommendation BUY
Rolling DCF
Perpetuity Value Growth rate 5%
Intrinsic Value of share 8.98
Potential 53%
Price of 2025 19.57
Internal Rate of Return 26%
Recommendation BUY
Upside
DCF Calculation
Moving WACC
Source: team analysis
Source: team analysis