Civil Beat Poll - September 2012 president and economy results
1. 1
• 1,648 Likely General Election Voters Statewide
• Sampling Margin of Error +/-2.4%
• September 26-28, 2012
In the presidential election, would you vote for Barack Obama, or Mitt Romney? [name order
randomized]
President
Obama 62%
Romney 30%
Other 3%
Unsure 6%
Total 100%
How do you currently feel about the country’s economy?
Economy
Positive 57%
Negative 40%
Unsure 3%
Total 100%
Many economists believe that making the U.S. economy healthy again will require some mix of
government spending cuts and tax increases. In the next two questions, I will first ask you how you
feel about government spending cuts, and then ask how you feel about tax increases….
In terms of cutting government spending, what strategy do you think the country needs to help fix
the economy? Do we need cuts across the board, including to programs ranging from social security
to the military? Do we need targeted cuts to programs like the military and corporate subsidies, but
not to programs like social security or healthcare? Or do we not need any major cuts to government
spending?
Spending_Cuts
"Tough" cuts 27%
"Easy" cuts 56%
No cuts 5%
Unsure 11%
Total 100%
2. 2
In terms of raising taxes, what strategy do you think the country needs to help fix the economy? Do
we need to raise everyone’s taxes to some degree? Do we need to raise taxes only on individuals
with income above $250,000? Or do we not need any tax increases?
Tax_Increases
"Tough" taxes 18%
"Easy" taxes 56%
No taxes 21%
Unsure 5%
Total 100%
Which of the following do you think is the best way to solve our national deficit and budget
problems? Is it to focus most on cutting government spending? To focus most on raising revenues
by increasing taxes and closing tax loopholes? Or is it to focus about equally on spending cuts and
tax increases?
Solution
Cut spending 32%
Increase taxes 8%
Both 49%
Unsure 11%
Total 100%
3. 3
Demographics:
Gender
Male 44%
Female 56%
Total 100%
Age
18-29 5%
30-39 7%
40-49 10%
50-64 34%
65+ 43%
Total 100%
Race_Ethnicity
Caucasian 40%
Japanese 36%
Filipino 7%
Hawaiian 3%
Chinese 10%
Hispanic/Latino 1%
Other/Mixed 3%
Total 100%
Politics
Liberal/Progressive 27%
Moderate 37%
Conservative 22%
Unsure 14%
Total 100%
Party_ID
Democrat 54%
Republican 17%
Independent 24%
Unsure 4%
Total 100%
4. 4
Education
No degree 2%
High School Degree 28%
College Degree 43%
Graduate Degree 27%
Total 100%
Military_Family
Yes 12%
No 88%
Total 100%
Income
Less than $50,000 37%
$50,000-$100,000 39%
$100,000 or more 24%
Total 100%
5. 5
Crosstabs:
President * Gender Crosstabulation
% within Gender
Gender
Male Female
President Obama 60% 65%
Romney 32% 28%
Other 3% 2%
Unsure 5% 6%
Total 100% 100%
President * Age Crosstabulation
% within Age
Age
18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+
President Obama 62% 62% 61% 64% 62%
Romney 26% 20% 34% 29% 31%
Other 7% 3% 3% 2% 2%
Unsure 5% 15% 2% 5% 5%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
President * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation
% within Race_Ethnicity
Race_Ethnicity
Japanes Hispanic/Latin
Caucasian e Filipino Hawaiian Chinese o Other/Mixed
President Obama 58% 75% 49% 62% 45% 54% 63%
Romney 38% 18% 30% 28% 38% 38% 27%
Other 2% 2% 10% 6% 2%
Unsure 2% 5% 12% 4% 17% 8% 8%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
6. 6
President * Politics Crosstabulation
% within Politics
Politics
Liberal/Progressiv Conservativ
e Moderate e Unsure
President Obama 93% 69% 18% 56%
Romney 5% 26% 74% 21%
Other 2% 2% 2% 4%
Unsure 1% 3% 7% 19%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
President * Party_ID Crosstabulation
% within Party_ID
Party_ID
Republica Independen
Democrat n t Unsure
President Obama 90% 9% 44% 38%
Romney 8% 85% 41% 12%
Other 1% 1% 6% 2%
Unsure 1% 5% 9% 48%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
President * Education Crosstabulation
% within Education
Education
High
No School College Graduate
degree Degree Degree Degree
President Obama 72% 61% 60% 69%
Romney 25% 30% 33% 25%
Other 2% 2% 1%
Unsure 3% 6% 5% 5%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
7. 7
President * Military_Family Crosstabulation
% within Military_Family
Military_Family
Yes No
President Obama 57% 64%
Romney 35% 29%
Other 4% 2%
Unsure 4% 6%
Total 100% 100%
President * Income Crosstabulation
% within Income
Income
Less $50,000-
than $100,00 $100,000
$50,000 0 or more
President Obama 67% 60% 64%
Romney 24% 34% 30%
Other 3% 1% 2%
Unsure 6% 5% 4%
Total 100% 100% 100%
8. 8
President * Economy Crosstabulation
% within Economy
Economy
Positive Negative Unsure
President Obama 87% 28% 42%
Romney 7% 64% 7%
Other 2% 4% 5%
Unsure 4% 4% 47%
Total 100% 100% 100%
Economy * President Crosstabulation
% within President
President
Obama Romney Other Unsure
Economy Positive 80% 14% 42% 46%
Negative 18% 86% 53% 32%
Unsure 2% 1% 5% 22%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
President * Spending_Cuts Crosstabulation
% within Spending_Cuts
Spending_Cuts
"Tough" "Easy"
cuts cuts No cuts Unsure
President Obama 28% 83% 73% 35%
Romney 63% 11% 19% 47%
Other 3% 2% 1% 5%
Unsure 6% 4% 6% 13%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
Spending_Cuts * President Crosstabulation
% within President
President
Obama Romney Other Unsure
Spending_Cut "Tough" cuts 12% 58% 33% 29%
s "Easy" cuts 76% 22% 45% 40%
No cuts 6% 3% 3% 6%
Unsure 6% 17% 20% 25%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
9. 9
President * Tax_Increases Crosstabulation
% within Tax_Increases
Tax_Increases
"Tough" "Easy"
taxes taxes No taxes Unsure
President Obama 55% 83% 17% 35%
Romney 38% 10% 76% 30%
Other 3% 2% 2% 6%
Unsure 4% 4% 5% 30%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
Tax_Increases * President Crosstabulation
% within President
President
Obama Romney Other Unsure
Tax_Increases "Tough" taxes 16% 23% 21% 14%
"Easy" taxes 76% 20% 54% 43%
No taxes 6% 53% 15% 19%
Unsure 3% 4% 10% 24%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
President * Solution Crosstabulation
% within Solution
Solution
Cut Increase
spending taxes Both Unsure
President Obama 29% 88% 79% 66%
Romney 63% 3% 14% 20%
Other 2% 6% 2% 3%
Unsure 6% 3% 4% 11%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
Solution * President Crosstabulation
% within President
President
Obama Romney Other Unsure
Solution Cut spending 15% 69% 28% 34%
Increase taxes 12% 1% 20% 5%
Both 62% 23% 40% 40%
Unsure 12% 7% 13% 21%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
10. 10
President * Rail Crosstabulation
% within Rail
Rail
Support Oppose Unsure
President Obama 76% 51% 51%
Romney 18% 42% 20%
Other 3% 2% 3%
Unsure 3% 4% 26%
Total 100% 100% 100%
Rail * President Crosstabulation
% within President
President
Obama Romney Other Unsure
Rail Support 47% 22% 43% 18%
Oppose 45% 72% 47% 40%
Unsure 8% 6% 10% 42%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
President * Educ_Quality Crosstabulation
% within Educ_Quality
Educ_Quality
Excellent Good Fair Poor Unsure
President Obama 65% 72% 63% 42% 38%
Romney 25% 20% 31% 49% 33%
Other 7% 2% 1% 6% 2%
Unsure 3% 6% 5% 3% 26%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Educ_Quality * President Crosstabulation
% within President
President
Obama Romney Other Unsure
Educ_Quality Excellent 5% 4% 13% 2%
Good 39% 23% 33% 37%
Fair 44% 46% 20% 39%
Poor 10% 24% 33% 8%
Unsure 2% 3% 3% 13%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
11. 11
Economy * Gender Crosstabulation
% within Gender
Gender
Male Female
Economy Positive 55% 59%
Negative 43% 38%
Unsure 2% 3%
Total 100% 100%
Economy * Age Crosstabulation
% within Age
Age
18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+
Economy Positive 62% 54% 50% 53% 62%
Negative 38% 40% 48% 46% 35%
Unsure 6% 2% 1% 3%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Economy * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation
% within Race_Ethnicity
Race_Ethnicity
Japanes Hispanic/Latin
Caucasian e Filipino Hawaiian Chinese o Other/Mixed
Economy Positive 51% 67% 54% 50% 50% 50% 58%
Negative 48% 31% 38% 48% 44% 50% 40%
Unsure 1% 3% 8% 2% 6% 2%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Economy * Politics Crosstabulation
% within Politics
Politics
Liberal/Progressiv Conservativ
e Moderate e Unsure
Economy Positive 76% 61% 26% 59%
Negative 23% 37% 73% 31%
Unsure 1% 2% 1% 10%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
12. 12
Economy * Party_ID Crosstabulation
% within Party_ID
Party_ID
Republica Independen
Democrat n t Unsure
Economy Positive 76% 21% 42% 52%
Negative 22% 78% 56% 24%
Unsure 2% 1% 3% 24%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
Economy * Education Crosstabulation
% within Education
Education
High
No School College Graduate
degree Degree Degree Degree
Economy Positive 67% 61% 52% 61%
Negative 22% 34% 46% 39%
Unsure 11% 5% 2% 0%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
Economy * Military_Family Crosstabulation
% within Military_Family
Military_Family
Yes No
Economy Positive 58% 57%
Negative 41% 40%
Unsure 2% 3%
Total 100% 100%
Economy * Income Crosstabulation
% within Income
Income
Less $50,000-
than $100,00 $100,000
$50,000 0 or more
Economy Positive 58% 57% 59%
Negative 40% 40% 40%
Unsure 3% 3% 1%
Total 100% 100% 100%
13. 13
Spending_Cuts * Gender Crosstabulation
% within Gender
Gender
Male Female
Spending_Cut "Tough" cuts 31% 25%
s "Easy" cuts 56% 58%
No cuts 6% 4%
Unsure 8% 14%
Total 100% 100%
Spending_Cuts * Age Crosstabulation
% within Age
Age
18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+
Spending_Cut "Tough" cuts 23% 32% 34% 28% 25%
s "Easy" cuts 63% 54% 52% 58% 57%
No cuts 13% 1% 1% 4% 6%
Unsure 1% 13% 13% 10% 13%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Spending_Cuts * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation
% within Race_Ethnicity
Race_Ethnicity
Japanes Hispanic/Latin
Caucasian e Filipino Hawaiian Chinese o Other/Mixed
Spending_Cut "Tough" cuts 30% 25% 25% 24% 35% 17% 20%
s "Easy" cuts 57% 61% 48% 55% 51% 42% 54%
No cuts 3% 6% 5% 7% 3% 25% 8%
Unsure 10% 8% 23% 15% 11% 17% 18%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
% within Politics
Politics
Liberal/Progressiv Conservativ
e Moderate e Unsure
Spending_Cut "Tough" cuts 11% 26% 54% 23%
s "Easy" cuts 81% 64% 28% 36%
No cuts 4% 3% 4% 13%
Unsure 4% 8% 14% 29%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
14. 14
Spending_Cuts * Party_ID Crosstabulation
% within Party_ID
Party_ID
Republica Independen
Democrat n t Unsure
Spending_Cut "Tough" cuts 14% 53% 39% 24%
s "Easy" cuts 75% 25% 46% 16%
No cuts 4% 5% 3% 22%
Unsure 7% 17% 12% 38%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
Spending_Cuts * Education Crosstabulation
% within Education
Education
High
No School College Graduate
degree Degree Degree Degree
Spending_Cut "Tough" cuts 22% 27% 30% 24%
s "Easy" cuts 42% 50% 57% 66%
No cuts 11% 9% 2% 4%
Unsure 25% 15% 11% 6%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
Spending_Cuts * Military_Family Crosstabulation
% within Military_Family
Military_Family
Yes No
Spending_Cut "Tough" cuts 31% 27%
s "Easy" cuts 52% 58%
No cuts 5% 5%
Unsure 12% 11%
Total 100% 100%
Spending_Cuts * Income Crosstabulation
% within Income
Income
Less $50,000-
than $100,00 $100,000
$50,000 0 or more
Spending_Cut "Tough" cuts 24% 31% 29%
s "Easy" cuts 59% 55% 59%
No cuts 5% 4% 5%
Unsure 13% 10% 7%
Total 100% 100% 100%
15. 15
Tax_Increases * Gender Crosstabulation
% within Gender
Gender
Male Female
Tax_Increases "Tough" taxes 23% 15%
"Easy" taxes 52% 60%
No taxes 24% 18%
Unsure 2% 7%
Total 100% 100%
Tax_Increases * Age Crosstabulation
% within Age
Age
18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+
Tax_Increases "Tough" taxes 13% 15% 26% 15% 20%
"Easy" taxes 52% 56% 47% 60% 57%
No taxes 35% 22% 25% 21% 17%
Unsure 8% 3% 4% 6%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Tax_Increases * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation
% within Race_Ethnicity
Race_Ethnicity
Japanes Hispanic/Latin
Caucasian e Filipino Hawaiian Chinese o Other/Mixed
Tax_Increases "Tough" taxes 19% 19% 14% 17% 21% 18%
"Easy" taxes 54% 60% 50% 56% 58% 67% 51%
No taxes 25% 16% 27% 20% 15% 33% 24%
Unsure 2% 5% 10% 7% 6% 8%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Tax_Increases * Politics Crosstabulation
% within Politics
Politics
Liberal/Progressiv Conservativ
e Moderate e Unsure
Tax_Increases "Tough" 15% 18% 25% 14%
taxes
"Easy" taxes 79% 62% 25% 48%
No taxes 4% 17% 47% 22%
Unsure 2% 3% 4% 15%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
16. 16
Tax_Increases * Party_ID Crosstabulation
% within Party_ID
Party_ID
Republica Independen
Democrat n t Unsure
Tax_Increases "Tough" taxes 13% 24% 27% 5%
"Easy" taxes 75% 23% 41% 43%
No taxes 9% 47% 27% 33%
Unsure 3% 5% 4% 19%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
Tax_Increases * Education Crosstabulation
% within Education
Education
High
No School College Graduate
degree Degree Degree Degree
Tax_Increases "Tough" taxes 25% 18% 16% 21%
"Easy" taxes 42% 54% 58% 59%
No taxes 11% 22% 23% 16%
Unsure 22% 6% 3% 3%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
Tax_Increases * Military_Family Crosstabulation
% within Military_Family
Military_Family
Yes No
Tax_Increases "Tough" taxes 19% 18%
"Easy" taxes 54% 57%
No taxes 22% 20%
Unsure 4% 4%
Total 100% 100%
Tax_Increases * Income Crosstabulation
% within Income
Income
Less $50,000-
than $100,00 $100,000
$50,000 0 or more
Tax_Increases "Tough" taxes 17% 18% 21%
"Easy" taxes 61% 54% 56%
No taxes 17% 24% 20%
Unsure 5% 3% 3%
Total 100% 100% 100%
17. 17
Solution * Gender Crosstabulation
% within Gender
Gender
Male Female
Solution Cut spending 31% 32%
Increase taxes 11% 6%
Both 51% 47%
Unsure 6% 15%
Total 100% 100%
Solution * Age Crosstabulation
% within Age
Age
18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+
Solution Cut spending 24% 28% 28% 34% 32%
Increase taxes 26% 11% 5% 6% 8%
Both 47% 40% 62% 52% 46%
Unsure 4% 21% 5% 8% 14%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Solution * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation
% within Race_Ethnicity
Race_Ethnicity
Japanes Hispanic/Latin
Caucasian e Filipino Hawaiian Chinese o Other/Mixed
Solution Cut spending 34% 24% 39% 33% 38% 46% 36%
Increase taxes 7% 9% 11% 7% 8% 15% 10%
Both 51% 52% 34% 44% 45% 23% 44%
Unsure 7% 15% 16% 15% 9% 15% 10%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Solution * Politics Crosstabulation
% within Politics
Politics
Liberal/Progressiv Conservativ
e Moderate e Unsure
Solution Cut spending 12% 28% 64% 29%
Increase taxes 17% 7% 2% 4%
Both 63% 56% 27% 38%
Unsure 7% 9% 8% 29%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
18. 18
Solution * Party_ID Crosstabulation
% within Party_ID
Party_ID
Republica Independen
Democrat n t Unsure
Solution Cut spending 19% 61% 39% 28%
Increase taxes 12% 2% 5% 3%
Both 57% 29% 48% 41%
Unsure 12% 8% 9% 28%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
% within Education
Education
High
No School College Graduate
degree Degree Degree Degree
Solution Cut spending 19% 33% 34% 26%
Increase taxes 31% 7% 7% 10%
Both 19% 44% 53% 52%
Unsure 31% 16% 6% 12%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
Solution * Military_Family Crosstabulation
% within Military_Family
Military_Family
Yes No
Solution Cut spending 35% 31%
Increase taxes 8% 8%
Both 40% 51%
Unsure 17% 10%
Total 100% 100%
Solution * Income Crosstabulation
% within Income
Income
Less $50,000-
than $100,00 $100,000
$50,000 0 or more
Solution Cut spending 30% 34% 29%
Increase taxes 10% 6% 10%
Both 46% 52% 54%
Unsure 14% 9% 8%
Total 100% 100% 100%