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   •   1,648 Likely General Election Voters Statewide
   •   Sampling Margin of Error +/-2.4%
   •   September 26-28, 2012


In the presidential election, would you vote for Barack Obama, or Mitt Romney? [name order
randomized]

                   President

          Obama                        62%
          Romney                       30%
          Other                         3%
          Unsure                        6%
          Total                       100%



How do you currently feel about the country’s economy?
                   Economy

          Positive                     57%
          Negative                     40%
          Unsure                        3%
          Total                       100%



Many economists believe that making the U.S. economy healthy again will require some mix of
government spending cuts and tax increases. In the next two questions, I will first ask you how you
feel about government spending cuts, and then ask how you feel about tax increases….

In terms of cutting government spending, what strategy do you think the country needs to help fix
the economy? Do we need cuts across the board, including to programs ranging from social security
to the military? Do we need targeted cuts to programs like the military and corporate subsidies, but
not to programs like social security or healthcare? Or do we not need any major cuts to government
spending?

               Spending_Cuts

          "Tough" cuts                 27%
          "Easy" cuts                  56%
          No cuts                       5%
          Unsure                       11%
          Total                       100%
2



In terms of raising taxes, what strategy do you think the country needs to help fix the economy? Do
we need to raise everyone’s taxes to some degree? Do we need to raise taxes only on individuals
with income above $250,000? Or do we not need any tax increases?

               Tax_Increases

          "Tough" taxes                18%
          "Easy" taxes                 56%
          No taxes                     21%
          Unsure                        5%
          Total                       100%




Which of the following do you think is the best way to solve our national deficit and budget
problems? Is it to focus most on cutting government spending? To focus most on raising revenues
by increasing taxes and closing tax loopholes? Or is it to focus about equally on spending cuts and
tax increases?


                  Solution

          Cut spending                 32%
          Increase taxes                8%
          Both                         49%
          Unsure                       11%
          Total                       100%
3


Demographics:

                Gender

       Male                   44%
       Female                 56%
       Total                 100%



                  Age

       18-29                   5%
       30-39                   7%
       40-49                  10%
       50-64                  34%
       65+                    43%
       Total                 100%



            Race_Ethnicity

       Caucasian              40%
       Japanese               36%
       Filipino                7%
       Hawaiian                3%
       Chinese                10%
       Hispanic/Latino         1%
       Other/Mixed             3%
       Total                 100%



                Politics

       Liberal/Progressive    27%
       Moderate               37%
       Conservative           22%
       Unsure                 14%
       Total                 100%



                Party_ID

       Democrat               54%
       Republican             17%
       Independent            24%
       Unsure                  4%
       Total                 100%
4



          Education

No degree                   2%
High School Degree         28%
College Degree             43%
Graduate Degree            27%
Total                     100%



        Military_Family

Yes                        12%
No                         88%
Total                     100%



           Income

Less than $50,000          37%
$50,000-$100,000           39%
$100,000 or more           24%
Total                     100%
5



Crosstabs:

                   President * Gender Crosstabulation
% within Gender
                                                Gender
                                            Male    Female
President   Obama                             60%       65%
            Romney                            32%       28%
            Other                              3%        2%
            Unsure                             5%        6%
Total                                        100%      100%



                                    President * Age Crosstabulation
% within Age
                                                                      Age
                                            18-29       30-39        40-49       50-64      65+
President   Obama                              62%         62%          61%         64%       62%
            Romney                             26%         20%          34%         29%       31%
            Other                               7%          3%           3%          2%        2%
            Unsure                              5%         15%           2%          5%        5%
Total                                        100%        100%          100%       100%       100%



                                          President * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation
% within Race_Ethnicity
                                                                       Race_Ethnicity
                                              Japanes                                       Hispanic/Latin
                                Caucasian        e        Filipino    Hawaiian    Chinese         o          Other/Mixed
President   Obama                    58%          75%          49%       62%          45%             54%           63%
            Romney                   38%          18%          30%       28%          38%             38%           27%
            Other                     2%           2%          10%         6%                                        2%
            Unsure                    2%           5%          12%         4%         17%             8%             8%
Total                               100%         100%        100%       100%         100%           100%           100%
6



                      President * Politics Crosstabulation
% within Politics
                                                  Politics
                        Liberal/Progressiv                    Conservativ
                                 e             Moderate           e           Unsure
President   Obama                     93%          69%               18%        56%
            Romney                     5%          26%               74%        21%
            Other                      2%           2%                2%         4%
            Unsure                     1%           3%                7%        19%
Total                                100%         100%              100%       100%



                     President * Party_ID Crosstabulation
% within Party_ID
                                                   Party_ID
                                             Republica       Independen
                             Democrat           n                 t          Unsure
President   Obama                90%                9%               44%        38%
            Romney                8%              85%                41%        12%
            Other                 1%                1%                6%         2%
            Unsure                1%                5%                9%        48%
Total                           100%             100%               100%       100%



                     President * Education Crosstabulation
% within Education
                                                      Education
                                                  High
                                     No          School         College     Graduate
                                   degree        Degree         Degree       Degree
President   Obama                     72%           61%             60%         69%
            Romney                    25%           30%             33%         25%
            Other                                    2%              2%          1%
            Unsure                     3%            6%              5%          5%
Total                                100%          100%           100%         100%
7



                President * Military_Family Crosstabulation
% within Military_Family
                                              Military_Family
                                              Yes         No
President   Obama                               57%         64%
            Romney                              35%         29%
            Other                                4%          2%
            Unsure                               4%          6%
Total                                          100%       100%



                           President * Income Crosstabulation
% within Income
                                                       Income
                                             Less     $50,000-
                                             than     $100,00     $100,000
                                            $50,000       0        or more
President   Obama                               67%        60%         64%
            Romney                              24%        34%         30%
            Other                                3%         1%          2%
            Unsure                               6%         5%          4%
Total                                         100%        100%        100%
8



                         President * Economy Crosstabulation
% within Economy
                                                       Economy
                                            Positive   Negative   Unsure
President   Obama                              87%         28%       42%
            Romney                                7%       64%        7%
            Other                                 2%        4%        5%
            Unsure                                4%        4%       47%
Total                                         100%        100%      100%



                                Economy * President Crosstabulation
% within President
                                                           President
                                             Obama     Romney     Other     Unsure
Economy     Positive                            80%       14%         42%      46%
            Negative                            18%       86%         53%      32%
            Unsure                               2%        1%          5%      22%
Total                                          100%      100%        100%     100%



                           President * Spending_Cuts Crosstabulation
% within Spending_Cuts
                                                         Spending_Cuts
                                            "Tough"     "Easy"
                                              cuts       cuts     No cuts   Unsure
President   Obama                               28%        83%       73%       35%
            Romney                              63%        11%       19%       47%
            Other                                3%         2%        1%        5%
            Unsure                               6%         4%        6%       13%
Total                                          100%       100%      100%      100%



                           Spending_Cuts * President Crosstabulation
% within President
                                                            President
                                              Obama     Romney     Other    Unsure
Spending_Cut     "Tough" cuts                    12%       58%        33%      29%
s                "Easy" cuts                     76%       22%        45%      40%
                 No cuts                          6%        3%         3%       6%
                 Unsure                           6%       17%        20%      25%
Total                                           100%      100%       100%     100%
9



                              President * Tax_Increases Crosstabulation
% within Tax_Increases
                                                              Tax_Increases
                                                 "Tough"    "Easy"
                                                  taxes      taxes    No taxes     Unsure
President   Obama                                    55%        83%       17%         35%
            Romney                                   38%        10%       76%         30%
            Other                                     3%         2%        2%          6%
            Unsure                                    4%         4%        5%         30%
Total                                               100%       100%      100%        100%



                              Tax_Increases * President Crosstabulation
% within President
                                                                 President
                                                  Obama      Romney     Other      Unsure
Tax_Increases       "Tough" taxes                    16%        23%        21%        14%
                    "Easy" taxes                     76%        20%        54%        43%
                    No taxes                          6%        53%        15%        19%
                    Unsure                            3%         4%        10%        24%
Total                                               100%       100%       100%       100%



                                    President * Solution Crosstabulation
% within Solution
                                                                 Solution
                                                  Cut      Increase
                                                spending     taxes         Both    Unsure
President   Obama                                   29%         88%          79%      66%
            Romney                                  63%          3%          14%      20%
            Other                                    2%          6%           2%       3%
            Unsure                                   6%          3%           4%      11%
Total                                              100%        100%         100%     100%



                                    Solution * President Crosstabulation
% within President
                                                               President
                                                 Obama     Romney     Other        Unsure
Solution    Cut spending                            15%       69%         28%         34%
            Increase taxes                          12%        1%         20%          5%
            Both                                    62%       23%         40%         40%
            Unsure                                  12%        7%         13%         21%
Total                                              100%      100%        100%        100%
10



                            President * Rail Crosstabulation
% within Rail
                                                         Rail
                                            Support     Oppose      Unsure
President   Obama                              76%         51%         51%
            Romney                             18%         42%         20%
            Other                               3%          2%          3%
            Unsure                              3%          4%         26%
Total                                         100%        100%        100%



                                 Rail * President Crosstabulation
% within President
                                                            President
                                            Obama       Romney     Other        Unsure
Rail        Support                            47%         22%         43%         18%
            Oppose                             45%         72%         47%         40%
            Unsure                              8%          6%         10%         42%
Total                                         100%        100%        100%        100%



                                  President * Educ_Quality Crosstabulation
% within Educ_Quality
                                                                 Educ_Quality
                                            Excellent    Good        Fair       Poor     Unsure
President   Obama                               65%        72%         63%        42%       38%
            Romney                              25%        20%         31%        49%       33%
            Other                                 7%        2%          1%         6%        2%
            Unsure                                3%        6%          5%         3%       26%
Total                                          100%       100%        100%       100%      100%



                            Educ_Quality * President Crosstabulation
% within President
                                                            President
                                             Obama      Romney     Other        Unsure
Educ_Quality    Excellent                        5%         4%        13%           2%
                Good                            39%        23%        33%          37%
                Fair                            44%        46%        20%          39%
                Poor                            10%        24%        33%           8%
                Unsure                           2%         3%         3%          13%
Total                                          100%       100%       100%         100%
11



                    Economy * Gender Crosstabulation
% within Gender
                                                Gender
                                            Male    Female
Economy     Positive                          55%       59%
            Negative                          43%       38%
            Unsure                             2%        3%
Total                                        100%      100%



                                     Economy * Age Crosstabulation
% within Age
                                                                       Age
                                            18-29       30-39         40-49       50-64      65+
Economy     Positive                           62%         54%           50%         53%       62%
            Negative                           38%         40%           48%         46%       35%
            Unsure                                          6%            2%          1%        3%
Total                                        100%        100%           100%       100%       100%



                                            Economy * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation
% within Race_Ethnicity
                                                                        Race_Ethnicity
                                              Japanes                                         Hispanic/Latin
                                Caucasian        e         Filipino    Hawaiian    Chinese          o          Other/Mixed
Economy     Positive                 51%          67%           54%       50%          50%              50%           58%
            Negative                 48%          31%           38%       48%          44%              50%           40%
            Unsure                    1%           3%            8%         2%          6%                             2%
Total                               100%         100%         100%       100%        100%             100%           100%



                              Economy * Politics Crosstabulation
% within Politics
                                                        Politics
                               Liberal/Progressiv                  Conservativ
                                        e            Moderate          e           Unsure
Economy     Positive                         76%         61%              26%        59%
            Negative                         23%         37%              73%        31%
            Unsure                            1%          2%               1%        10%
Total                                       100%        100%             100%       100%
12



                               Economy * Party_ID Crosstabulation
% within Party_ID
                                                       Party_ID
                                                Republica      Independen
                                     Democrat      n                t         Unsure
Economy     Positive                     76%         21%               42%       52%
            Negative                     22%         78%               56%       24%
            Unsure                        2%           1%               3%       24%
Total                                   100%        100%              100%      100%



                              Economy * Education Crosstabulation
% within Education
                                                         Education
                                                      High
                                             No      School       College    Graduate
                                           degree    Degree       Degree      Degree
Economy     Positive                          67%       61%           52%        61%
            Negative                          22%       34%           46%        39%
            Unsure                            11%        5%            2%         0%
Total                                        100%      100%         100%        100%



               Economy * Military_Family Crosstabulation
% within Military_Family
                                            Military_Family
                                            Yes         No
Economy     Positive                          58%         57%
            Negative                          41%         40%
            Unsure                             2%          3%
Total                                        100%       100%



                           Economy * Income Crosstabulation
% within Income
                                                     Income
                                           Less     $50,000-
                                           than     $100,00      $100,000
                                          $50,000       0         or more
Economy     Positive                          58%        57%          59%
            Negative                          40%        40%          40%
            Unsure                             3%         3%           1%
Total                                       100%        100%         100%
13



                    Spending_Cuts * Gender Crosstabulation
% within Gender
                                                     Gender
                                                 Male    Female
Spending_Cut         "Tough" cuts                  31%       25%
s                    "Easy" cuts                   56%       58%
                     No cuts                        6%        4%
                     Unsure                         8%       14%
Total                                             100%      100%



                                      Spending_Cuts * Age Crosstabulation
% within Age
                                                                           Age
                                                 18-29       30-39        40-49       50-64      65+
Spending_Cut         "Tough" cuts                  23%         32%          34%         28%        25%
s                    "Easy" cuts                   63%         54%          52%         58%        57%
                     No cuts                       13%           1%           1%          4%        6%
                     Unsure                          1%        13%          13%         10%        13%
Total                                             100%        100%         100%        100%       100%



                                           Spending_Cuts * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation
% within Race_Ethnicity
                                                                            Race_Ethnicity
                                                  Japanes                                         Hispanic/Latin
                                     Caucasian       e         Filipino    Hawaiian    Chinese          o          Other/Mixed
Spending_Cut         "Tough" cuts         30%         25%          25%        24%         35%               17%           20%
s                    "Easy" cuts          57%         61%          48%        55%         51%               42%           54%
                     No cuts               3%          6%            5%         7%         3%               25%            8%
                     Unsure               10%          8%          23%        15%         11%               17%           18%
Total                                    100%        100%        100%        100%        100%              100%          100%




% within Politics
                                                            Politics
                                    Liberal/Progressiv                 Conservativ
                                             e            Moderate         e           Unsure
Spending_Cut         "Tough" cuts                 11%         26%             54%        23%
s                    "Easy" cuts                  81%         64%             28%        36%
                     No cuts                       4%          3%              4%        13%
                     Unsure                        4%          8%             14%        29%
Total                                            100%        100%            100%       100%
14



                             Spending_Cuts * Party_ID Crosstabulation
% within Party_ID
                                                         Party_ID
                                                  Republica       Independen
                                       Democrat      n                 t         Unsure
Spending_Cut        "Tough" cuts           14%         53%                39%       24%
s                   "Easy" cuts            75%         25%                46%       16%
                    No cuts                 4%           5%                3%       22%
                    Unsure                  7%         17%                12%       38%
Total                                     100%        100%               100%      100%



                            Spending_Cuts * Education Crosstabulation
% within Education
                                                           Education
                                                        High
                                               No      School       College     Graduate
                                             degree    Degree       Degree       Degree
Spending_Cut        "Tough" cuts                22%       27%           30%         24%
s                   "Easy" cuts                 42%       50%           57%         66%
                    No cuts                     11%        9%            2%          4%
                    Unsure                      25%       15%           11%          6%
Total                                          100%      100%         100%         100%



            Spending_Cuts * Military_Family Crosstabulation
% within Military_Family
                                              Military_Family
                                              Yes        No
Spending_Cut        "Tough" cuts               31%         27%
s                   "Easy" cuts                52%         58%
                    No cuts                      5%          5%
                    Unsure                     12%         11%
Total                                         100%        100%


                        Spending_Cuts * Income Crosstabulation
% within Income
                                                       Income
                                             Less     $50,000-
                                             than     $100,00      $100,000
                                            $50,000       0         or more
Spending_Cut        "Tough" cuts               24%         31%          29%
s                   "Easy" cuts                59%         55%          59%
                    No cuts                      5%         4%           5%
                    Unsure                     13%         10%           7%
Total                                         100%       100%          100%
15



                    Tax_Increases * Gender Crosstabulation
% within Gender
                                                     Gender
                                                 Male    Female
Tax_Increases       "Tough" taxes                  23%       15%
                    "Easy" taxes                   52%       60%
                    No taxes                       24%       18%
                    Unsure                          2%        7%
Total                                             100%      100%



                                      Tax_Increases * Age Crosstabulation
% within Age
                                                                           Age
                                                 18-29       30-39        40-49       50-64      65+
Tax_Increases       "Tough" taxes                   13%        15%           26%        15%        20%
                    "Easy" taxes                    52%        56%           47%        60%        57%
                    No taxes                        35%        22%           25%        21%        17%
                    Unsure                                       8%           3%          4%        6%
Total                                             100%        100%         100%        100%       100%



                                            Tax_Increases * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation
% within Race_Ethnicity
                                                                            Race_Ethnicity
                                                  Japanes                                         Hispanic/Latin
                                     Caucasian       e         Filipino    Hawaiian    Chinese          o          Other/Mixed
Tax_Increases       "Tough" taxes         19%         19%          14%        17%         21%                             18%
                    "Easy" taxes          54%         60%          50%        56%         58%               67%           51%
                    No taxes              25%         16%          27%        20%         15%               33%           24%
                    Unsure                 2%          5%          10%          7%         6%                              8%
Total                                    100%        100%        100%        100%        100%             100%           100%



                              Tax_Increases * Politics Crosstabulation
% within Politics
                                                            Politics
                                    Liberal/Progressiv                 Conservativ
                                             e            Moderate         e           Unsure
Tax_Increases       "Tough"                       15%         18%             25%        14%
                    taxes
                    "Easy" taxes                  79%         62%             25%        48%
                    No taxes                       4%         17%             47%        22%
                    Unsure                         2%          3%              4%        15%
Total                                            100%        100%            100%       100%
16



                            Tax_Increases * Party_ID Crosstabulation
% within Party_ID
                                                        Party_ID
                                                 Republica       Independen
                                     Democrat       n                 t         Unsure
Tax_Increases     "Tough" taxes          13%          24%                27%        5%
                  "Easy" taxes           75%          23%                41%       43%
                  No taxes                9%          47%                27%       33%
                  Unsure                  3%            5%                4%       19%
Total                                   100%         100%               100%      100%



                           Tax_Increases * Education Crosstabulation
% within Education
                                                          Education
                                                       High
                                             No       School       College     Graduate
                                           degree     Degree       Degree       Degree
Tax_Increases     "Tough" taxes               25%        18%           16%         21%
                  "Easy" taxes                42%        54%           58%         59%
                  No taxes                    11%        22%           23%         16%
                  Unsure                      22%         6%            3%          3%
Total                                        100%       100%         100%         100%



            Tax_Increases * Military_Family Crosstabulation
% within Military_Family
                                             Military_Family
                                             Yes        No
Tax_Increases     "Tough" taxes               19%         18%
                  "Easy" taxes                54%         57%
                  No taxes                    22%         20%
                  Unsure                        4%          4%
Total                                        100%        100%


                       Tax_Increases * Income Crosstabulation
% within Income
                                                      Income
                                           Less      $50,000-
                                           than      $100,00       $100,000
                                          $50,000        0          or more
Tax_Increases     "Tough" taxes               17%         18%           21%
                  "Easy" taxes                61%         54%           56%
                  No taxes                    17%         24%           20%
                  Unsure                       5%          3%            3%
Total                                       100%        100%           100%
17



                    Solution * Gender Crosstabulation
% within Gender
                                                Gender
                                            Male    Female
Solution    Cut spending                      31%       32%
            Increase taxes                    11%        6%
            Both                              51%       47%
            Unsure                             6%       15%
Total                                        100%      100%



                                     Solution * Age Crosstabulation
% within Age
                                                                       Age
                                            18-29       30-39         40-49       50-64      65+
Solution    Cut spending                       24%         28%           28%         34%       32%
            Increase taxes                     26%         11%            5%          6%        8%
            Both                               47%         40%           62%         52%       46%
            Unsure                              4%         21%            5%          8%       14%
Total                                        100%        100%           100%       100%       100%



                                            Solution * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation
% within Race_Ethnicity
                                                                        Race_Ethnicity
                                              Japanes                                         Hispanic/Latin
                                Caucasian        e         Filipino    Hawaiian    Chinese          o          Other/Mixed
Solution   Cut spending              34%          24%           39%       33%          38%              46%           36%
           Increase taxes             7%           9%           11%         7%          8%              15%           10%
           Both                      51%          52%           34%       44%          45%              23%           44%
           Unsure                     7%          15%           16%       15%           9%              15%           10%
Total                               100%         100%         100%       100%        100%              100%          100%



                              Solution * Politics Crosstabulation
% within Politics
                                                        Politics
                               Liberal/Progressiv                  Conservativ
                                        e            Moderate          e          Unsure
Solution   Cut spending                      12%         28%              64%       29%
           Increase taxes                    17%          7%               2%        4%
           Both                              63%         56%              27%       38%
           Unsure                             7%          9%               8%       29%
Total                                       100%        100%             100%      100%
18



                                Solution * Party_ID Crosstabulation
% within Party_ID
                                                         Party_ID
                                                  Republica      Independen
                                       Democrat      n                t         Unsure
Solution   Cut spending                    19%         61%               39%       28%
           Increase taxes                  12%           2%               5%        3%
           Both                            57%         29%               48%       41%
           Unsure                          12%           8%               9%       28%
Total                                     100%        100%              100%      100%




% within Education
                                                             Education
                                                        High
                                              No       School       College    Graduate
                                            degree     Degree       Degree      Degree
Solution    Cut spending                       19%        33%           34%        26%
            Increase taxes                     31%         7%            7%        10%
            Both                               19%        44%           53%        52%
            Unsure                             31%        16%            6%        12%
Total                                         100%       100%         100%        100%



                Solution * Military_Family Crosstabulation
% within Military_Family
                                              Military_Family
                                              Yes         No
Solution    Cut spending                        35%         31%
            Increase taxes                       8%          8%
            Both                                40%         51%
            Unsure                              17%         10%
Total                                          100%       100%


                            Solution * Income Crosstabulation
% within Income
                                                       Income
                                             Less     $50,000-
                                             than     $100,00      $100,000
                                            $50,000       0         or more
Solution   Cut spending                         30%        34%          29%
           Increase taxes                       10%         6%          10%
           Both                                 46%        52%          54%
           Unsure                               14%         9%           8%
Total                                         100%        100%         100%
19



                           Economy * Spending_Cuts Crosstabulation
% within Spending_Cuts
                                                      Spending_Cuts
                                         "Tough"     "Easy"
                                           cuts       cuts      No cuts    Unsure
Economy    Positive                          31%        72%        79%        38%
           Negative                          67%        27%        21%        50%
           Unsure                             2%         1%         0%        12%
Total                                       100%       100%       100%       100%



                      Spending_Cuts * Economy Crosstabulation
% within Economy
                                                     Economy
                                          Positive   Negative    Unsure
Spending_Cut    "Tough" cuts                 15%         45%        21%
s               "Easy" cuts                  71%         38%        28%
                No cuts                        7%         3%         0%
                Unsure                         8%        14%        51%
Total                                       100%        100%       100%



                           Economy * Tax_Increases Crosstabulation
% within Tax_Increases
                                                       Tax_Increases
                                         "Tough"     "Easy"
                                          taxes       taxes     No taxes   Unsure
Economy    Positive                          54%         73%        22%       34%
           Negative                          45%         26%        75%       43%
           Unsure                             1%          1%         2%       23%
Total                                       100%        100%       100%      100%



                      Tax_Increases * Economy Crosstabulation
% within Economy
                                                     Economy
                                          Positive   Negative    Unsure
Tax_Increases   "Tough" taxes                17%         20%        10%
                "Easy" taxes                 72%         36%        29%
                No taxes                       8%        39%        20%
                Unsure                         3%         5%        41%
Total                                       100%        100%       100%
20



                                   Economy * Solution Crosstabulation
% within Solution
                                                               Solution
                                                Cut       Increase
                                              spending      taxes       Both      Unsure
Economy    Positive                               30%          83%        70%        58%
           Negative                               69%          17%        28%        31%
           Unsure                                  1%                      2%        12%
Total                                            100%        100%        100%       100%



                          Solution * Economy Crosstabulation
% within Economy
                                                          Economy
                                              Positive    Negative    Unsure
Solution   Cut spending                          17%          55%        12%
           Increase taxes                        12%           3%
           Both                                  60%          33%          38%
           Unsure                                11%           9%          50%
Total                                           100%         100%         100%



                             Spending_Cuts * Solution Crosstabulation
% within Solution
                                                                Solution
                                                  Cut
                                                spendin    Increase
                                                   g         taxes        Both    Unsure
Spending_Cut        "Tough" cuts                    53%          6%         19%       7%
s                   "Easy" cuts                     33%         86%         69%      49%
                    No cuts                          2%          3%          5%      12%
                    Unsure                          12%          5%          7%      32%
Total                                             100%         100%        100%     100%



                             Solution * Spending_Cuts Crosstabulation
% within Spending_Cuts
                                                            Spending_Cuts
                                              "Tough"      "Easy"
                                                cuts        cuts      No cuts     Unsure
Solution   Cut spending                           62%         18%        14%         34%
           Increase taxes                          2%         13%         5%          4%
           Both                                   33%         59%        53%         29%
           Unsure                                  3%         10%        28%         32%
Total                                            100%        100%       100%        100%
21



                          Tax_Increases * Spending_Cuts Crosstabulation
% within Spending_Cuts
                                                          Spending_Cuts
                                             "Tough"     "Easy"
                                               cuts       cuts      No cuts   Unsure
Tax_Increases       "Tough" taxes                29%        15%        13%       13%
                    "Easy" taxes                 28%        75%        44%       40%
                    No taxes                     41%         8%        31%       29%
                    Unsure                        2%         2%        13%       19%
Total                                           100%       100%       100%      100%



                          Spending_Cuts * Tax_Increases Crosstabulation
% within Tax_Increases
                                                          Tax_Increases
                                              "Tough"    "Easy"        No
                                               taxes      taxes      taxes    Unsure
Spending_Cut        "Tough" cuts                  43%        13%        54%      15%
s                   "Easy" cuts                   45%        75%        23%      26%
                    No cuts                        3%         4%         7%      14%
                    Unsure                         8%         8%        15%      46%
Total                                            100%       100%       100%     100%



                              Tax_Increases * Solution Crosstabulation
% within Solution
                                                             Solution
                                               Cut
                                             spendin    Increase
                                                g         taxes      Both     Unsure
Tax_Increases       "Tough" taxes                18%         32%       20%        2%
                    "Easy" taxes                 31%         62%       72%       58%
                    No taxes                     49%          5%        7%       16%
                    Unsure                        2%          1%        2%       24%
Total                                          100%         100%      100%      100%



                              Solution * Tax_Increases Crosstabulation
% within Tax_Increases
                                                         Tax_Increases
                                            "Tough"     "Easy"
                                             taxes       taxes     No taxes   Unsure
Solution   Cut spending                         32%         18%        74%       13%
           Increase taxes                       14%          9%         2%        1%
           Both                                 53%         62%        15%       24%
           Unsure                                1%         12%         8%       61%
Total                                          100%        100%       100%      100%

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Civil Beat Poll - September 2012 president and economy results

  • 1. 1 • 1,648 Likely General Election Voters Statewide • Sampling Margin of Error +/-2.4% • September 26-28, 2012 In the presidential election, would you vote for Barack Obama, or Mitt Romney? [name order randomized] President Obama 62% Romney 30% Other 3% Unsure 6% Total 100% How do you currently feel about the country’s economy? Economy Positive 57% Negative 40% Unsure 3% Total 100% Many economists believe that making the U.S. economy healthy again will require some mix of government spending cuts and tax increases. In the next two questions, I will first ask you how you feel about government spending cuts, and then ask how you feel about tax increases…. In terms of cutting government spending, what strategy do you think the country needs to help fix the economy? Do we need cuts across the board, including to programs ranging from social security to the military? Do we need targeted cuts to programs like the military and corporate subsidies, but not to programs like social security or healthcare? Or do we not need any major cuts to government spending? Spending_Cuts "Tough" cuts 27% "Easy" cuts 56% No cuts 5% Unsure 11% Total 100%
  • 2. 2 In terms of raising taxes, what strategy do you think the country needs to help fix the economy? Do we need to raise everyone’s taxes to some degree? Do we need to raise taxes only on individuals with income above $250,000? Or do we not need any tax increases? Tax_Increases "Tough" taxes 18% "Easy" taxes 56% No taxes 21% Unsure 5% Total 100% Which of the following do you think is the best way to solve our national deficit and budget problems? Is it to focus most on cutting government spending? To focus most on raising revenues by increasing taxes and closing tax loopholes? Or is it to focus about equally on spending cuts and tax increases? Solution Cut spending 32% Increase taxes 8% Both 49% Unsure 11% Total 100%
  • 3. 3 Demographics: Gender Male 44% Female 56% Total 100% Age 18-29 5% 30-39 7% 40-49 10% 50-64 34% 65+ 43% Total 100% Race_Ethnicity Caucasian 40% Japanese 36% Filipino 7% Hawaiian 3% Chinese 10% Hispanic/Latino 1% Other/Mixed 3% Total 100% Politics Liberal/Progressive 27% Moderate 37% Conservative 22% Unsure 14% Total 100% Party_ID Democrat 54% Republican 17% Independent 24% Unsure 4% Total 100%
  • 4. 4 Education No degree 2% High School Degree 28% College Degree 43% Graduate Degree 27% Total 100% Military_Family Yes 12% No 88% Total 100% Income Less than $50,000 37% $50,000-$100,000 39% $100,000 or more 24% Total 100%
  • 5. 5 Crosstabs: President * Gender Crosstabulation % within Gender Gender Male Female President Obama 60% 65% Romney 32% 28% Other 3% 2% Unsure 5% 6% Total 100% 100% President * Age Crosstabulation % within Age Age 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ President Obama 62% 62% 61% 64% 62% Romney 26% 20% 34% 29% 31% Other 7% 3% 3% 2% 2% Unsure 5% 15% 2% 5% 5% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% President * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation % within Race_Ethnicity Race_Ethnicity Japanes Hispanic/Latin Caucasian e Filipino Hawaiian Chinese o Other/Mixed President Obama 58% 75% 49% 62% 45% 54% 63% Romney 38% 18% 30% 28% 38% 38% 27% Other 2% 2% 10% 6% 2% Unsure 2% 5% 12% 4% 17% 8% 8% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 6. 6 President * Politics Crosstabulation % within Politics Politics Liberal/Progressiv Conservativ e Moderate e Unsure President Obama 93% 69% 18% 56% Romney 5% 26% 74% 21% Other 2% 2% 2% 4% Unsure 1% 3% 7% 19% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% President * Party_ID Crosstabulation % within Party_ID Party_ID Republica Independen Democrat n t Unsure President Obama 90% 9% 44% 38% Romney 8% 85% 41% 12% Other 1% 1% 6% 2% Unsure 1% 5% 9% 48% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% President * Education Crosstabulation % within Education Education High No School College Graduate degree Degree Degree Degree President Obama 72% 61% 60% 69% Romney 25% 30% 33% 25% Other 2% 2% 1% Unsure 3% 6% 5% 5% Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 7. 7 President * Military_Family Crosstabulation % within Military_Family Military_Family Yes No President Obama 57% 64% Romney 35% 29% Other 4% 2% Unsure 4% 6% Total 100% 100% President * Income Crosstabulation % within Income Income Less $50,000- than $100,00 $100,000 $50,000 0 or more President Obama 67% 60% 64% Romney 24% 34% 30% Other 3% 1% 2% Unsure 6% 5% 4% Total 100% 100% 100%
  • 8. 8 President * Economy Crosstabulation % within Economy Economy Positive Negative Unsure President Obama 87% 28% 42% Romney 7% 64% 7% Other 2% 4% 5% Unsure 4% 4% 47% Total 100% 100% 100% Economy * President Crosstabulation % within President President Obama Romney Other Unsure Economy Positive 80% 14% 42% 46% Negative 18% 86% 53% 32% Unsure 2% 1% 5% 22% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% President * Spending_Cuts Crosstabulation % within Spending_Cuts Spending_Cuts "Tough" "Easy" cuts cuts No cuts Unsure President Obama 28% 83% 73% 35% Romney 63% 11% 19% 47% Other 3% 2% 1% 5% Unsure 6% 4% 6% 13% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Spending_Cuts * President Crosstabulation % within President President Obama Romney Other Unsure Spending_Cut "Tough" cuts 12% 58% 33% 29% s "Easy" cuts 76% 22% 45% 40% No cuts 6% 3% 3% 6% Unsure 6% 17% 20% 25% Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 9. 9 President * Tax_Increases Crosstabulation % within Tax_Increases Tax_Increases "Tough" "Easy" taxes taxes No taxes Unsure President Obama 55% 83% 17% 35% Romney 38% 10% 76% 30% Other 3% 2% 2% 6% Unsure 4% 4% 5% 30% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Tax_Increases * President Crosstabulation % within President President Obama Romney Other Unsure Tax_Increases "Tough" taxes 16% 23% 21% 14% "Easy" taxes 76% 20% 54% 43% No taxes 6% 53% 15% 19% Unsure 3% 4% 10% 24% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% President * Solution Crosstabulation % within Solution Solution Cut Increase spending taxes Both Unsure President Obama 29% 88% 79% 66% Romney 63% 3% 14% 20% Other 2% 6% 2% 3% Unsure 6% 3% 4% 11% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Solution * President Crosstabulation % within President President Obama Romney Other Unsure Solution Cut spending 15% 69% 28% 34% Increase taxes 12% 1% 20% 5% Both 62% 23% 40% 40% Unsure 12% 7% 13% 21% Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 10. 10 President * Rail Crosstabulation % within Rail Rail Support Oppose Unsure President Obama 76% 51% 51% Romney 18% 42% 20% Other 3% 2% 3% Unsure 3% 4% 26% Total 100% 100% 100% Rail * President Crosstabulation % within President President Obama Romney Other Unsure Rail Support 47% 22% 43% 18% Oppose 45% 72% 47% 40% Unsure 8% 6% 10% 42% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% President * Educ_Quality Crosstabulation % within Educ_Quality Educ_Quality Excellent Good Fair Poor Unsure President Obama 65% 72% 63% 42% 38% Romney 25% 20% 31% 49% 33% Other 7% 2% 1% 6% 2% Unsure 3% 6% 5% 3% 26% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Educ_Quality * President Crosstabulation % within President President Obama Romney Other Unsure Educ_Quality Excellent 5% 4% 13% 2% Good 39% 23% 33% 37% Fair 44% 46% 20% 39% Poor 10% 24% 33% 8% Unsure 2% 3% 3% 13% Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 11. 11 Economy * Gender Crosstabulation % within Gender Gender Male Female Economy Positive 55% 59% Negative 43% 38% Unsure 2% 3% Total 100% 100% Economy * Age Crosstabulation % within Age Age 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ Economy Positive 62% 54% 50% 53% 62% Negative 38% 40% 48% 46% 35% Unsure 6% 2% 1% 3% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Economy * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation % within Race_Ethnicity Race_Ethnicity Japanes Hispanic/Latin Caucasian e Filipino Hawaiian Chinese o Other/Mixed Economy Positive 51% 67% 54% 50% 50% 50% 58% Negative 48% 31% 38% 48% 44% 50% 40% Unsure 1% 3% 8% 2% 6% 2% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Economy * Politics Crosstabulation % within Politics Politics Liberal/Progressiv Conservativ e Moderate e Unsure Economy Positive 76% 61% 26% 59% Negative 23% 37% 73% 31% Unsure 1% 2% 1% 10% Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 12. 12 Economy * Party_ID Crosstabulation % within Party_ID Party_ID Republica Independen Democrat n t Unsure Economy Positive 76% 21% 42% 52% Negative 22% 78% 56% 24% Unsure 2% 1% 3% 24% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Economy * Education Crosstabulation % within Education Education High No School College Graduate degree Degree Degree Degree Economy Positive 67% 61% 52% 61% Negative 22% 34% 46% 39% Unsure 11% 5% 2% 0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Economy * Military_Family Crosstabulation % within Military_Family Military_Family Yes No Economy Positive 58% 57% Negative 41% 40% Unsure 2% 3% Total 100% 100% Economy * Income Crosstabulation % within Income Income Less $50,000- than $100,00 $100,000 $50,000 0 or more Economy Positive 58% 57% 59% Negative 40% 40% 40% Unsure 3% 3% 1% Total 100% 100% 100%
  • 13. 13 Spending_Cuts * Gender Crosstabulation % within Gender Gender Male Female Spending_Cut "Tough" cuts 31% 25% s "Easy" cuts 56% 58% No cuts 6% 4% Unsure 8% 14% Total 100% 100% Spending_Cuts * Age Crosstabulation % within Age Age 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ Spending_Cut "Tough" cuts 23% 32% 34% 28% 25% s "Easy" cuts 63% 54% 52% 58% 57% No cuts 13% 1% 1% 4% 6% Unsure 1% 13% 13% 10% 13% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Spending_Cuts * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation % within Race_Ethnicity Race_Ethnicity Japanes Hispanic/Latin Caucasian e Filipino Hawaiian Chinese o Other/Mixed Spending_Cut "Tough" cuts 30% 25% 25% 24% 35% 17% 20% s "Easy" cuts 57% 61% 48% 55% 51% 42% 54% No cuts 3% 6% 5% 7% 3% 25% 8% Unsure 10% 8% 23% 15% 11% 17% 18% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% % within Politics Politics Liberal/Progressiv Conservativ e Moderate e Unsure Spending_Cut "Tough" cuts 11% 26% 54% 23% s "Easy" cuts 81% 64% 28% 36% No cuts 4% 3% 4% 13% Unsure 4% 8% 14% 29% Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 14. 14 Spending_Cuts * Party_ID Crosstabulation % within Party_ID Party_ID Republica Independen Democrat n t Unsure Spending_Cut "Tough" cuts 14% 53% 39% 24% s "Easy" cuts 75% 25% 46% 16% No cuts 4% 5% 3% 22% Unsure 7% 17% 12% 38% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Spending_Cuts * Education Crosstabulation % within Education Education High No School College Graduate degree Degree Degree Degree Spending_Cut "Tough" cuts 22% 27% 30% 24% s "Easy" cuts 42% 50% 57% 66% No cuts 11% 9% 2% 4% Unsure 25% 15% 11% 6% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Spending_Cuts * Military_Family Crosstabulation % within Military_Family Military_Family Yes No Spending_Cut "Tough" cuts 31% 27% s "Easy" cuts 52% 58% No cuts 5% 5% Unsure 12% 11% Total 100% 100% Spending_Cuts * Income Crosstabulation % within Income Income Less $50,000- than $100,00 $100,000 $50,000 0 or more Spending_Cut "Tough" cuts 24% 31% 29% s "Easy" cuts 59% 55% 59% No cuts 5% 4% 5% Unsure 13% 10% 7% Total 100% 100% 100%
  • 15. 15 Tax_Increases * Gender Crosstabulation % within Gender Gender Male Female Tax_Increases "Tough" taxes 23% 15% "Easy" taxes 52% 60% No taxes 24% 18% Unsure 2% 7% Total 100% 100% Tax_Increases * Age Crosstabulation % within Age Age 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ Tax_Increases "Tough" taxes 13% 15% 26% 15% 20% "Easy" taxes 52% 56% 47% 60% 57% No taxes 35% 22% 25% 21% 17% Unsure 8% 3% 4% 6% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Tax_Increases * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation % within Race_Ethnicity Race_Ethnicity Japanes Hispanic/Latin Caucasian e Filipino Hawaiian Chinese o Other/Mixed Tax_Increases "Tough" taxes 19% 19% 14% 17% 21% 18% "Easy" taxes 54% 60% 50% 56% 58% 67% 51% No taxes 25% 16% 27% 20% 15% 33% 24% Unsure 2% 5% 10% 7% 6% 8% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Tax_Increases * Politics Crosstabulation % within Politics Politics Liberal/Progressiv Conservativ e Moderate e Unsure Tax_Increases "Tough" 15% 18% 25% 14% taxes "Easy" taxes 79% 62% 25% 48% No taxes 4% 17% 47% 22% Unsure 2% 3% 4% 15% Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 16. 16 Tax_Increases * Party_ID Crosstabulation % within Party_ID Party_ID Republica Independen Democrat n t Unsure Tax_Increases "Tough" taxes 13% 24% 27% 5% "Easy" taxes 75% 23% 41% 43% No taxes 9% 47% 27% 33% Unsure 3% 5% 4% 19% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Tax_Increases * Education Crosstabulation % within Education Education High No School College Graduate degree Degree Degree Degree Tax_Increases "Tough" taxes 25% 18% 16% 21% "Easy" taxes 42% 54% 58% 59% No taxes 11% 22% 23% 16% Unsure 22% 6% 3% 3% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Tax_Increases * Military_Family Crosstabulation % within Military_Family Military_Family Yes No Tax_Increases "Tough" taxes 19% 18% "Easy" taxes 54% 57% No taxes 22% 20% Unsure 4% 4% Total 100% 100% Tax_Increases * Income Crosstabulation % within Income Income Less $50,000- than $100,00 $100,000 $50,000 0 or more Tax_Increases "Tough" taxes 17% 18% 21% "Easy" taxes 61% 54% 56% No taxes 17% 24% 20% Unsure 5% 3% 3% Total 100% 100% 100%
  • 17. 17 Solution * Gender Crosstabulation % within Gender Gender Male Female Solution Cut spending 31% 32% Increase taxes 11% 6% Both 51% 47% Unsure 6% 15% Total 100% 100% Solution * Age Crosstabulation % within Age Age 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ Solution Cut spending 24% 28% 28% 34% 32% Increase taxes 26% 11% 5% 6% 8% Both 47% 40% 62% 52% 46% Unsure 4% 21% 5% 8% 14% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Solution * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation % within Race_Ethnicity Race_Ethnicity Japanes Hispanic/Latin Caucasian e Filipino Hawaiian Chinese o Other/Mixed Solution Cut spending 34% 24% 39% 33% 38% 46% 36% Increase taxes 7% 9% 11% 7% 8% 15% 10% Both 51% 52% 34% 44% 45% 23% 44% Unsure 7% 15% 16% 15% 9% 15% 10% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Solution * Politics Crosstabulation % within Politics Politics Liberal/Progressiv Conservativ e Moderate e Unsure Solution Cut spending 12% 28% 64% 29% Increase taxes 17% 7% 2% 4% Both 63% 56% 27% 38% Unsure 7% 9% 8% 29% Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 18. 18 Solution * Party_ID Crosstabulation % within Party_ID Party_ID Republica Independen Democrat n t Unsure Solution Cut spending 19% 61% 39% 28% Increase taxes 12% 2% 5% 3% Both 57% 29% 48% 41% Unsure 12% 8% 9% 28% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% % within Education Education High No School College Graduate degree Degree Degree Degree Solution Cut spending 19% 33% 34% 26% Increase taxes 31% 7% 7% 10% Both 19% 44% 53% 52% Unsure 31% 16% 6% 12% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Solution * Military_Family Crosstabulation % within Military_Family Military_Family Yes No Solution Cut spending 35% 31% Increase taxes 8% 8% Both 40% 51% Unsure 17% 10% Total 100% 100% Solution * Income Crosstabulation % within Income Income Less $50,000- than $100,00 $100,000 $50,000 0 or more Solution Cut spending 30% 34% 29% Increase taxes 10% 6% 10% Both 46% 52% 54% Unsure 14% 9% 8% Total 100% 100% 100%
  • 19. 19 Economy * Spending_Cuts Crosstabulation % within Spending_Cuts Spending_Cuts "Tough" "Easy" cuts cuts No cuts Unsure Economy Positive 31% 72% 79% 38% Negative 67% 27% 21% 50% Unsure 2% 1% 0% 12% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Spending_Cuts * Economy Crosstabulation % within Economy Economy Positive Negative Unsure Spending_Cut "Tough" cuts 15% 45% 21% s "Easy" cuts 71% 38% 28% No cuts 7% 3% 0% Unsure 8% 14% 51% Total 100% 100% 100% Economy * Tax_Increases Crosstabulation % within Tax_Increases Tax_Increases "Tough" "Easy" taxes taxes No taxes Unsure Economy Positive 54% 73% 22% 34% Negative 45% 26% 75% 43% Unsure 1% 1% 2% 23% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Tax_Increases * Economy Crosstabulation % within Economy Economy Positive Negative Unsure Tax_Increases "Tough" taxes 17% 20% 10% "Easy" taxes 72% 36% 29% No taxes 8% 39% 20% Unsure 3% 5% 41% Total 100% 100% 100%
  • 20. 20 Economy * Solution Crosstabulation % within Solution Solution Cut Increase spending taxes Both Unsure Economy Positive 30% 83% 70% 58% Negative 69% 17% 28% 31% Unsure 1% 2% 12% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Solution * Economy Crosstabulation % within Economy Economy Positive Negative Unsure Solution Cut spending 17% 55% 12% Increase taxes 12% 3% Both 60% 33% 38% Unsure 11% 9% 50% Total 100% 100% 100% Spending_Cuts * Solution Crosstabulation % within Solution Solution Cut spendin Increase g taxes Both Unsure Spending_Cut "Tough" cuts 53% 6% 19% 7% s "Easy" cuts 33% 86% 69% 49% No cuts 2% 3% 5% 12% Unsure 12% 5% 7% 32% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Solution * Spending_Cuts Crosstabulation % within Spending_Cuts Spending_Cuts "Tough" "Easy" cuts cuts No cuts Unsure Solution Cut spending 62% 18% 14% 34% Increase taxes 2% 13% 5% 4% Both 33% 59% 53% 29% Unsure 3% 10% 28% 32% Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 21. 21 Tax_Increases * Spending_Cuts Crosstabulation % within Spending_Cuts Spending_Cuts "Tough" "Easy" cuts cuts No cuts Unsure Tax_Increases "Tough" taxes 29% 15% 13% 13% "Easy" taxes 28% 75% 44% 40% No taxes 41% 8% 31% 29% Unsure 2% 2% 13% 19% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Spending_Cuts * Tax_Increases Crosstabulation % within Tax_Increases Tax_Increases "Tough" "Easy" No taxes taxes taxes Unsure Spending_Cut "Tough" cuts 43% 13% 54% 15% s "Easy" cuts 45% 75% 23% 26% No cuts 3% 4% 7% 14% Unsure 8% 8% 15% 46% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Tax_Increases * Solution Crosstabulation % within Solution Solution Cut spendin Increase g taxes Both Unsure Tax_Increases "Tough" taxes 18% 32% 20% 2% "Easy" taxes 31% 62% 72% 58% No taxes 49% 5% 7% 16% Unsure 2% 1% 2% 24% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% Solution * Tax_Increases Crosstabulation % within Tax_Increases Tax_Increases "Tough" "Easy" taxes taxes No taxes Unsure Solution Cut spending 32% 18% 74% 13% Increase taxes 14% 9% 2% 1% Both 53% 62% 15% 24% Unsure 1% 12% 8% 61% Total 100% 100% 100% 100%