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   •   657 Likely General Election Voters in the 1st Congressional District
   •   Sampling Margin of Error +/-3.8%
   •   October 24-26, 2012


Who are you supporting in the contest for Congress—Congresswoman Colleen Hanabusa,
or former Congressman Charles Djou? [Name order randomized]

                   CD1

          Hanabusa                54%
          Djou                    43%
          Unsure                   4%
          Total                  100%



Has Colleen Hanabusa’s work in Congress these past two years made you more or less
likely to vote for her?

              CD1Hanabusa

          More likely             44%
          Less likely             35%
          No difference           17%
          Unsure                   4%
          Total                  100%


Two years ago, in November 2010, Charles Djou and Colleen Hanabusa ran against each
other for Congress. What did you do in that contest?

                   CD1QRetro
                                    Percent
          Djou                           40%
          Hanabusa                       54%
          Unsure                          6%
          Total                         100%
2



Demographics for CD 1
                Gender

       Male                   46%
       Female                 54%
       Total                 100%



                 Age

       18-29                   4%
       30-39                   6%
       40-49                  14%
       50-64                  33%
       65+                    43%
       Total                 100%



          Race_Ethnicity

       Caucasian              30%
       Japanese               41%
       Filipino                6%
       Hawaiian                4%
       Chinese                11%
       Hispanic/Latino         0%
       Other/Mixed             8%
       Total                 100%



                Politics

       Liberal/Progressive    30%
       Moderate               40%
       Conservative           21%
       Unsure                  9%
       Total                 100%


               Party_ID

       Democrat               55%
       Republican             19%
       Independent            24%
       Unsure                  2%
       Total                 100%
3



        Education

No degree              1%
High School Degree    20%
College Degree        49%
Graduate Degree       31%
Total                100%



   Military_Family

Yes                   10%
No                    90%
Total                100%



 Household_Income

$50,000 or less       30%
$50,000-$100,000      38%
$100,000 or more      32%
Total                100%
4



Crosstabs
                           CD1 * Screen Crosstabulation
% within Screen
                                                        Screen
                                          Already      Definitely
                                           voted        voting      50/50
CD1               Hanabusa                    55%           53%       20%
                  Djou                        45%           42%       40%
                  Unsure                                     5%       40%
Total                                       100%          100%       100%



                        CD1 * CongStrength Crosstabulation
% within CongStrength
                                                      CongStrength
                                         Definitely     Leaning    Unsure
CD1               Hanabusa                    56%          55%        33%
                  Djou                        44%          45%        67%
Total                                       100%          100%       100%



                  CongStrength * CD1 Crosstabulation
% within CD1
                                                 CD1
                                         Hanabus
                                            a            Djou
CongStrength      Definitely                 93%           92%
                  Leaning                     7%            7%
                  Unsure                      0%            1%
Total                                       100%         100%
5



                                 CD1 * CD1Hanabusa Crosstabulation
% within CD1Hanabusa
                                                           CD1Hanabusa
                                              More       Less          No
                                              likely     likely    difference   Unsure
CD1               Hanabusa                       94%        10%          48%       22%
                  Djou                             5%       89%          49%       33%
                  Unsure                           1%         1%          4%       44%
Total                                           100%       100%         100%      100%



                          CD1Hanabusa * CD1 Crosstabulation
% within CD1
                                                         CD1
                                            Hanabus
                                               a          Djou      Unsure
CD1Hanabusa      More likely                    77%          5%        17%
                 Less likely                     6%         73%        13%
                 No difference                  15%         19%        17%
                 Unsure                          2%          3%        52%
Total                                          100%        100%       100%



                            CD1 * CD1Retro Crosstabulation
% within CD1Retro
                                                        CD1Retro
                                                        Hanabus
                                              Djou         a        Unsure
CD1               Hanabusa                       6%         92%        39%
                  Djou                          94%          6%        39%
                  Unsure                         0%          2%        22%
Total                                          100%        100%       100%



                            CD1Retro * CD1 Crosstabulation
% within CD1
                                                         CD1
                                           Hanabus
                                              a          Djou      Unsure
CD1Retro       Djou                              4%        87%         7%
               Hanabusa                         91%         8%        40%
               Unsure                            4%         6%        53%
Total                                         100%        100%       100%
6



                            CD1 * Rail Crosstabulation
% within Rail
                                                      Rail
                                          Support    Oppose   Unsure
CD1              Hanabusa                    73%        36%      59%
                 Djou                        24%        62%      24%
                 Unsure                       3%         2%      17%
Total                                       100%       100%     100%




                            Rail * CD1 Crosstabulation
% within CD1
                                                     CD1
                                        Hanabus
                                           a         Djou     Unsure
Rail        Support                         58%        24%       38%
            Oppose                          34%        72%       24%
            Unsure                           8%         4%       38%
Total                                      100%       100%      100%
7



                     CD1 * Gender Crosstabulation
% within Gender
                                                Gender
                                            Male    Female
CD1               Hanabusa                    50%       58%
                  Djou                        47%       39%
                  Unsure                       2%        3%
Total                                        100%      100%



                                      CD1 * Age Crosstabulation
% within Age
                                                                     Age
                                            18-29      30-39        40-49       50-64      65+
CD1               Hanabusa                    65%        56%          45%         55%        55%
                  Djou                        35%        38%          50%         42%        43%
                  Unsure                                   6%           5%          2%        2%
Total                                        100%       100%         100%        100%       100%



                                            CD1 * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation
% within Race_Ethnicity
                                                                      Race_Ethnicity
                                             Japanes                                        Hispanic/Latin
                                Caucasian       e        Filipino    Hawaiian    Chinese          o          Other/Mixed
CD1               Hanabusa           50%         64%         34%        70%         35%              100%           53%
                  Djou               47%         35%         59%        26%         59%                             44%
                  Unsure              3%          1%           6%         4%         6%                              2%
Total                               100%        100%       100%        100%        100%             100%           100%
8



                               CD1 * Politics Crosstabulation
% within Politics
                                                      Politics
                               Liberal/Progressiv                 Conservativ
                                        e           Moderate          e          Unsure
CD1                 Hanabusa                 91%        47%               9%       67%
                    Djou                      6%        49%              91%       29%
                    Unsure                    2%         4%                         4%
Total                                       100%      100%               100%     100%



                               CD1 * Party_ID Crosstabulation
% within Party_ID
                                                       Party_ID
                                                Republica        Independen
                                    Democrat       n                  t         Unsure
CD1                 Hanabusa            84%            5%                27%       38%
                    Djou                13%          93%                 70%       62%
                    Unsure               3%            2%                 3%
Total                                  100%         100%                100%     100%
9



                               CD1 * Education Crosstabulation
% within Education
                                                              Education
                                                          High
                                              No         School       College   Graduate
                                            degree       Degree       Degree     Degree
CD1               Hanabusa                                  55%           46%       67%
                  Djou                           83%        42%           52%       31%
                  Unsure                         17%         4%            2%        2%
Total                                           100%       100%         100%       100%



                  CD1 * Military_Family Crosstabulation
% within Military_Family
                                                Military_Family
                                                Yes        No
CD1               Hanabusa                       45%         55%
                  Djou                           53%         42%
                  Unsure                           2%          3%
Total                                           100%        100%



                      CD1 * Household_Income Crosstabulation
% within Household_Income
                                                 Household_Income
                                     $50,000           $50,000-        $100,000
                                      or less          $100,000         or more
CD1            Hanabusa                   56%                   55%         52%
               Djou                       40%                   42%         47%
               Unsure                      4%                    3%          1%
Total                                   100%                  100%         100%

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Civil Beat Poll October 2012 1st Congressional

  • 1. 1 • 657 Likely General Election Voters in the 1st Congressional District • Sampling Margin of Error +/-3.8% • October 24-26, 2012 Who are you supporting in the contest for Congress—Congresswoman Colleen Hanabusa, or former Congressman Charles Djou? [Name order randomized] CD1 Hanabusa 54% Djou 43% Unsure 4% Total 100% Has Colleen Hanabusa’s work in Congress these past two years made you more or less likely to vote for her? CD1Hanabusa More likely 44% Less likely 35% No difference 17% Unsure 4% Total 100% Two years ago, in November 2010, Charles Djou and Colleen Hanabusa ran against each other for Congress. What did you do in that contest? CD1QRetro Percent Djou 40% Hanabusa 54% Unsure 6% Total 100%
  • 2. 2 Demographics for CD 1 Gender Male 46% Female 54% Total 100% Age 18-29 4% 30-39 6% 40-49 14% 50-64 33% 65+ 43% Total 100% Race_Ethnicity Caucasian 30% Japanese 41% Filipino 6% Hawaiian 4% Chinese 11% Hispanic/Latino 0% Other/Mixed 8% Total 100% Politics Liberal/Progressive 30% Moderate 40% Conservative 21% Unsure 9% Total 100% Party_ID Democrat 55% Republican 19% Independent 24% Unsure 2% Total 100%
  • 3. 3 Education No degree 1% High School Degree 20% College Degree 49% Graduate Degree 31% Total 100% Military_Family Yes 10% No 90% Total 100% Household_Income $50,000 or less 30% $50,000-$100,000 38% $100,000 or more 32% Total 100%
  • 4. 4 Crosstabs CD1 * Screen Crosstabulation % within Screen Screen Already Definitely voted voting 50/50 CD1 Hanabusa 55% 53% 20% Djou 45% 42% 40% Unsure 5% 40% Total 100% 100% 100% CD1 * CongStrength Crosstabulation % within CongStrength CongStrength Definitely Leaning Unsure CD1 Hanabusa 56% 55% 33% Djou 44% 45% 67% Total 100% 100% 100% CongStrength * CD1 Crosstabulation % within CD1 CD1 Hanabus a Djou CongStrength Definitely 93% 92% Leaning 7% 7% Unsure 0% 1% Total 100% 100%
  • 5. 5 CD1 * CD1Hanabusa Crosstabulation % within CD1Hanabusa CD1Hanabusa More Less No likely likely difference Unsure CD1 Hanabusa 94% 10% 48% 22% Djou 5% 89% 49% 33% Unsure 1% 1% 4% 44% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% CD1Hanabusa * CD1 Crosstabulation % within CD1 CD1 Hanabus a Djou Unsure CD1Hanabusa More likely 77% 5% 17% Less likely 6% 73% 13% No difference 15% 19% 17% Unsure 2% 3% 52% Total 100% 100% 100% CD1 * CD1Retro Crosstabulation % within CD1Retro CD1Retro Hanabus Djou a Unsure CD1 Hanabusa 6% 92% 39% Djou 94% 6% 39% Unsure 0% 2% 22% Total 100% 100% 100% CD1Retro * CD1 Crosstabulation % within CD1 CD1 Hanabus a Djou Unsure CD1Retro Djou 4% 87% 7% Hanabusa 91% 8% 40% Unsure 4% 6% 53% Total 100% 100% 100%
  • 6. 6 CD1 * Rail Crosstabulation % within Rail Rail Support Oppose Unsure CD1 Hanabusa 73% 36% 59% Djou 24% 62% 24% Unsure 3% 2% 17% Total 100% 100% 100% Rail * CD1 Crosstabulation % within CD1 CD1 Hanabus a Djou Unsure Rail Support 58% 24% 38% Oppose 34% 72% 24% Unsure 8% 4% 38% Total 100% 100% 100%
  • 7. 7 CD1 * Gender Crosstabulation % within Gender Gender Male Female CD1 Hanabusa 50% 58% Djou 47% 39% Unsure 2% 3% Total 100% 100% CD1 * Age Crosstabulation % within Age Age 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ CD1 Hanabusa 65% 56% 45% 55% 55% Djou 35% 38% 50% 42% 43% Unsure 6% 5% 2% 2% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% CD1 * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation % within Race_Ethnicity Race_Ethnicity Japanes Hispanic/Latin Caucasian e Filipino Hawaiian Chinese o Other/Mixed CD1 Hanabusa 50% 64% 34% 70% 35% 100% 53% Djou 47% 35% 59% 26% 59% 44% Unsure 3% 1% 6% 4% 6% 2% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 8. 8 CD1 * Politics Crosstabulation % within Politics Politics Liberal/Progressiv Conservativ e Moderate e Unsure CD1 Hanabusa 91% 47% 9% 67% Djou 6% 49% 91% 29% Unsure 2% 4% 4% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% CD1 * Party_ID Crosstabulation % within Party_ID Party_ID Republica Independen Democrat n t Unsure CD1 Hanabusa 84% 5% 27% 38% Djou 13% 93% 70% 62% Unsure 3% 2% 3% Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
  • 9. 9 CD1 * Education Crosstabulation % within Education Education High No School College Graduate degree Degree Degree Degree CD1 Hanabusa 55% 46% 67% Djou 83% 42% 52% 31% Unsure 17% 4% 2% 2% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% CD1 * Military_Family Crosstabulation % within Military_Family Military_Family Yes No CD1 Hanabusa 45% 55% Djou 53% 42% Unsure 2% 3% Total 100% 100% CD1 * Household_Income Crosstabulation % within Household_Income Household_Income $50,000 $50,000- $100,000 or less $100,000 or more CD1 Hanabusa 56% 55% 52% Djou 40% 42% 47% Unsure 4% 3% 1% Total 100% 100% 100%