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Merriman River Group
Civil Beat Poll -- June 2013
869 Registered Voters Throughout Hawaii
June 18-20, and 24, 2013
78% Landlines, 22% Cell Phones
Margin of Sampling Error +/-3.3%
In the Democratic Senate primary between Brian Schatz and Colleen Hanabusa, what would you do?
Senate OVERALL Gender_Male Gender_Female Age_Under_Over_
Under_50
Age_Under_Over_
50_and_over
Ethnicity_Caucasi
an
Ethnicity_Japanes
e
Ethnicity_Filipino Ethnicity_Hawaiian
Schatz 36% 40% 32% 29% 42% 42% 32% 21% 30%
Hanabusa 33% 32% 35% 36% 31% 26% 39% 33% 36%
Undecided 23% 22% 24% 24% 22% 19% 26% 31% 19%
Will not vote 9% 6% 10% 12% 5% 13% 3% 15% 15%
Ethnicity_Chinese Ethnicity_Hispanic
_Latino
Ethnicity_Other_Mi
xed
Politics_Liberal_pr
ogressive
Politics_Moderate Politics_Conservati
ve
Politics_Unsure Party_Democrat Party_Republican Party_Independent
35% 18% 43% 40% 46% 27% 22% 38% 29% 39%
43% 53% 28% 39% 30% 36% 22% 36% 20% 28%
20% 29% 26% 17% 22% 18% 40% 24% 20% 21%
2% 0% 2% 4% 2% 19% 16% 1% 30% 13%
Party_Unsure PhoneType_Both PhoneType_Cell PhoneType_Landli
ne
Education_No_deg
ree
Education_HS_gra
duate
Education_Some_
Assoc_Voc
Education_College
_Graduate
Education_Grad_D
egree
Military_Yes
24% 40% 18% 24% 48% 20% 28% 46% 47% 40%
40% 30% 49% 41% 21% 51% 32% 26% 30% 28%
28% 22% 33% 25% 27% 27% 31% 17% 16% 21%
8% 9% 1% 11% 4% 2% 10% 11% 8% 11%
Military_No Union_Yes Union_No Children_Yes Children_No Children_Refused Income_50k_or_less Income_50_100k Income_100k_
30% 38% 35% 37% 36% 20% 29% 39% 41%
38% 38% 29% 33% 31% 40% 35% 33% 29%
27% 17% 28% 25% 22% 17% 29% 21% 18%
5% 7% 9% 5% 11% 23% 7% 7% 12%
Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of U.S. Senator Brian Schatz?
Schatz OVERALL Gender_Male Gender_Female Age_Under_Over_
Under_50
Age_Under_Over_
50_and_over
Ethnicity_Caucasi
an
Ethnicity_Japanes
e
Ethnicity_Filipino Ethnicity_Hawaiian
Positive 49% 48% 50% 43% 55% 54% 47% 44% 39%
Negative 27% 29% 25% 30% 23% 30% 19% 30% 37%
Unsure 25% 23% 25% 27% 22% 16% 34% 27% 25%
Ethnicity_Chinese Ethnicity_Hispanic
_Latino
Ethnicity_Other_Mi
xed
Politics_Liberal_pr
ogressive
Politics_Moderate Politics_Conservati
ve
Politics_Unsure Party_Democrat Party_Republican Party_Independent
40% 39% 55% 56% 58% 34% 39% 60% 31% 40%
16% 61% 19% 25% 17% 48% 22% 19% 50% 31%
45% 0% 26% 19% 25% 18% 39% 22% 19% 30%
Party_Unsure PhoneType_Both PhoneType_Cell PhoneType_Landli
ne
Education_No_deg
ree
Education_HS_gra
duate
Education_Some_
Assoc_Voc
Education_College
_Graduate
Education_Grad_D
egree
Military_Yes
34% 52% 33% 40% 28% 36% 47% 53% 59% 52%
26% 22% 26% 48% 24% 28% 28% 21% 27% 27%
39% 26% 41% 11% 47% 36% 25% 25% 15% 21%
Military_No Union_Yes Union_No Children_Yes Children_No Children_Refused Income_50k_or_less Income_50_100k Income_100k_
46% 56% 45% 50% 50% 38% 39% 58% 54%
25% 29% 24% 24% 24% 56% 31% 24% 20%
30% 15% 31% 26% 26% 6% 30% 18% 26%
Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of First District Congresswoman Colleen Hanabusa?
Hanabusa OVERALL Gender_Male Gender_Female Age_Under_Over_
Under_50
Age_Under_Over_
50_and_over
Ethnicity_Caucasi
an
Ethnicity_Japanes
e
Ethnicity_Filipino Ethnicity_Hawaiian
Positive 48% 46% 51% 45% 51% 41% 57% 62% 48%
Negative 41% 45% 37% 46% 37% 48% 30% 35% 42%
Unsure 11% 9% 12% 9% 12% 10% 13% 3% 9%
Ethnicity_Chinese Ethnicity_Hispanic
_Latino
Ethnicity_Other_Mi
xed
Politics_Liberal_pr
ogressive
Politics_Moderate Politics_Conservati
ve
Politics_Unsure Party_Democrat Party_Republican Party_Independent
49% 56% 45% 57% 49% 38% 43% 60% 12% 35%
38% 37% 45% 34% 39% 56% 40% 29% 82% 54%
13% 7% 10% 9% 12% 7% 16% 11% 5% 12%
Party_Unsure PhoneType_Both PhoneType_Cell PhoneType_Landli
ne
Education_No_deg
ree
Education_HS_gra
duate
Education_Some_
Assoc_Voc
Education_College
_Graduate
Education_Grad_D
egree
Military_Yes
71% 46% 55% 58% 35% 56% 51% 45% 45% 46%
15% 43% 24% 36% 45% 23% 41% 43% 50% 44%
14% 11% 20% 6% 21% 21% 8% 13% 5% 11%
Military_No Union_Yes Union_No Children_Yes Children_No Children_Refused Income_50k_or_less Income_50_100k Income_100k_
52% 57% 43% 51% 44% 59% 50% 50% 45%
37% 37% 44% 40% 44% 31% 30% 42% 49%
11% 6% 14% 9% 13% 10% 20% 8% 6%

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Civil Beat Poll Results for Hawaii Senate Primary Race

  • 1. Merriman River Group Civil Beat Poll -- June 2013 869 Registered Voters Throughout Hawaii June 18-20, and 24, 2013 78% Landlines, 22% Cell Phones Margin of Sampling Error +/-3.3% In the Democratic Senate primary between Brian Schatz and Colleen Hanabusa, what would you do? Senate OVERALL Gender_Male Gender_Female Age_Under_Over_ Under_50 Age_Under_Over_ 50_and_over Ethnicity_Caucasi an Ethnicity_Japanes e Ethnicity_Filipino Ethnicity_Hawaiian Schatz 36% 40% 32% 29% 42% 42% 32% 21% 30% Hanabusa 33% 32% 35% 36% 31% 26% 39% 33% 36% Undecided 23% 22% 24% 24% 22% 19% 26% 31% 19% Will not vote 9% 6% 10% 12% 5% 13% 3% 15% 15% Ethnicity_Chinese Ethnicity_Hispanic _Latino Ethnicity_Other_Mi xed Politics_Liberal_pr ogressive Politics_Moderate Politics_Conservati ve Politics_Unsure Party_Democrat Party_Republican Party_Independent 35% 18% 43% 40% 46% 27% 22% 38% 29% 39% 43% 53% 28% 39% 30% 36% 22% 36% 20% 28% 20% 29% 26% 17% 22% 18% 40% 24% 20% 21% 2% 0% 2% 4% 2% 19% 16% 1% 30% 13% Party_Unsure PhoneType_Both PhoneType_Cell PhoneType_Landli ne Education_No_deg ree Education_HS_gra duate Education_Some_ Assoc_Voc Education_College _Graduate Education_Grad_D egree Military_Yes 24% 40% 18% 24% 48% 20% 28% 46% 47% 40%
  • 2. 40% 30% 49% 41% 21% 51% 32% 26% 30% 28% 28% 22% 33% 25% 27% 27% 31% 17% 16% 21% 8% 9% 1% 11% 4% 2% 10% 11% 8% 11% Military_No Union_Yes Union_No Children_Yes Children_No Children_Refused Income_50k_or_less Income_50_100k Income_100k_ 30% 38% 35% 37% 36% 20% 29% 39% 41% 38% 38% 29% 33% 31% 40% 35% 33% 29% 27% 17% 28% 25% 22% 17% 29% 21% 18% 5% 7% 9% 5% 11% 23% 7% 7% 12% Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of U.S. Senator Brian Schatz? Schatz OVERALL Gender_Male Gender_Female Age_Under_Over_ Under_50 Age_Under_Over_ 50_and_over Ethnicity_Caucasi an Ethnicity_Japanes e Ethnicity_Filipino Ethnicity_Hawaiian Positive 49% 48% 50% 43% 55% 54% 47% 44% 39% Negative 27% 29% 25% 30% 23% 30% 19% 30% 37% Unsure 25% 23% 25% 27% 22% 16% 34% 27% 25% Ethnicity_Chinese Ethnicity_Hispanic _Latino Ethnicity_Other_Mi xed Politics_Liberal_pr ogressive Politics_Moderate Politics_Conservati ve Politics_Unsure Party_Democrat Party_Republican Party_Independent 40% 39% 55% 56% 58% 34% 39% 60% 31% 40% 16% 61% 19% 25% 17% 48% 22% 19% 50% 31% 45% 0% 26% 19% 25% 18% 39% 22% 19% 30% Party_Unsure PhoneType_Both PhoneType_Cell PhoneType_Landli ne Education_No_deg ree Education_HS_gra duate Education_Some_ Assoc_Voc Education_College _Graduate Education_Grad_D egree Military_Yes
  • 3. 34% 52% 33% 40% 28% 36% 47% 53% 59% 52% 26% 22% 26% 48% 24% 28% 28% 21% 27% 27% 39% 26% 41% 11% 47% 36% 25% 25% 15% 21% Military_No Union_Yes Union_No Children_Yes Children_No Children_Refused Income_50k_or_less Income_50_100k Income_100k_ 46% 56% 45% 50% 50% 38% 39% 58% 54% 25% 29% 24% 24% 24% 56% 31% 24% 20% 30% 15% 31% 26% 26% 6% 30% 18% 26% Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of First District Congresswoman Colleen Hanabusa? Hanabusa OVERALL Gender_Male Gender_Female Age_Under_Over_ Under_50 Age_Under_Over_ 50_and_over Ethnicity_Caucasi an Ethnicity_Japanes e Ethnicity_Filipino Ethnicity_Hawaiian Positive 48% 46% 51% 45% 51% 41% 57% 62% 48% Negative 41% 45% 37% 46% 37% 48% 30% 35% 42% Unsure 11% 9% 12% 9% 12% 10% 13% 3% 9% Ethnicity_Chinese Ethnicity_Hispanic _Latino Ethnicity_Other_Mi xed Politics_Liberal_pr ogressive Politics_Moderate Politics_Conservati ve Politics_Unsure Party_Democrat Party_Republican Party_Independent 49% 56% 45% 57% 49% 38% 43% 60% 12% 35%
  • 4. 38% 37% 45% 34% 39% 56% 40% 29% 82% 54% 13% 7% 10% 9% 12% 7% 16% 11% 5% 12% Party_Unsure PhoneType_Both PhoneType_Cell PhoneType_Landli ne Education_No_deg ree Education_HS_gra duate Education_Some_ Assoc_Voc Education_College _Graduate Education_Grad_D egree Military_Yes 71% 46% 55% 58% 35% 56% 51% 45% 45% 46% 15% 43% 24% 36% 45% 23% 41% 43% 50% 44% 14% 11% 20% 6% 21% 21% 8% 13% 5% 11% Military_No Union_Yes Union_No Children_Yes Children_No Children_Refused Income_50k_or_less Income_50_100k Income_100k_ 52% 57% 43% 51% 44% 59% 50% 50% 45% 37% 37% 44% 40% 44% 31% 30% 42% 49% 11% 6% 14% 9% 13% 10% 20% 8% 6%