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Global Lubricant Development


        Dr. Mark Rees
      Lubrizol Corporation
Scope of Presentation


  Market Drivers
  Evolution of Lubricant Requirements
  Summary
Market Drivers
Global Need to Focus on Air Quality
    Widespread analysis indicates that urban air pollution in
    Asia has and will continue to cause ill health.

    Global estimates indicate that annually 220-570,000
    deaths are associated to airborne particulate matter.

    Other direct and indirect effects of
    particulates and oxides of Carbon,
    Nitrogen and Sulphur are affecting
    the global environment.

    Globally, a range of emissions limits
    have been established.
Automobile Industry Growth
   Estimates vary, but in 15 years the world's vehicle
   population is expected to double from where it was in 2005.
                       1400



                       1200



                       1000
    Million Vehicles




                        800                            ROW
                                                       Japan
                                                       EU
                        600                            US


                        400



                        200



                          0
                          2005   2010   2015    2020
Engine Oil Market Drivers

    There are three main factors are affecting the
    global engine oil market:
Global Lubrication Drivers

 North America      Europe           Asia

 EPA Driven         EU Driven        Country Specific

 PCMO ILSAC, GF-4   ACEA:            Strong 2-Wheeler
 • Fuel Economy                      market
 • Durability       PC – A/B, C
                    • PCDO / PCMO    Euro norms are a
 HDD – API, CJ-4    • Durability     common base..
 • DPF focus.       • Fuel Economy
 • Durability                        API focused
                    HDD - E
                    • SCR and DPF    Japan
                    • Durability     GF-4, DL-1, DH-2
Global Lubrication Drivers

 North America      Europe           Asia

 EPA Driven         EU Driven        Country Specific

 PCMO ILSAC, GF-4   ACEA:            Strong 2-Wheeler
 • Fuel Economy                      market
 • Durability       PC – A/B, C
                    • PCDO / PCMO    Euro norms are a
 HDD – API, CJ-4    • Durability     common base..
 • DPF focus.       • Fuel Economy
 • Durability                        API focused
                    HDD - E
                    • SCR and DPF    Japan
                    • Durability     GF-4, DL-1, DH-2
Global Lubrication Drivers

 North America      Europe           Asia

 EPA Driven         EU Driven        Country Specific

 PCMO ILSAC, GF-4   ACEA:            Strong 2-Wheeler
 • Fuel Economy                      market
 • Durability       PC – A/B, C
                    • PCDO / PCMO    Euro norms are a
 HDD – API, CJ-4    • Durability     common base..
 • DPF focus.       • Fuel Economy
 • Durability                        API focused
                    HDD - E
                    • SCR and DPF    Japan
                    • Durability     GF-4, DL-1, DH-2
Asia - Legislation Introduction
   Vietnam                                      E1

  Thailand                          E1                 E2               E3                             E4
     Taipei

  Sri Lanka

 Singapore              E1                                         E2

     China                                                  E1                      E2                 E3          E4
Philippines                                                                    E1
     Nepal                                                  E1

  Malaysia                                 E1               E2

 Indonesia                                                                                             E2

      India                                                 E1     E2                      E3                       E4
Hong Kong                      E1          E2                      E3
 Cambodia

Bangladesh

  Australia                                                             E2                 E3 E4

          1990   1992   1994        1996        1998        2000        2002        2004        2006        2008   2010   2012
Emissions



  Impact of particulate emissions reduction

                  Mass of particulates possible
                  from a truck during its life

       2000 kg
                          120 kg




       Euro 1           Euro 4
Evolution of Lubricant
    Requirements
Evolution of Hardware vs Emissions
    Particulates


                                                          ENGINE DESIGN
                                                      Turbochargers &
                                                      Intercoolers



                                              Fuel changes      EURO I


       De-NOx CAT                                   EURO 2
                                   Retarded injection, piston design changes
                   SCR       EGR
                                       EURO 3
                         OXICAT
                EURO 4
                   CRT
    AFTERTREATMENT                                                      NOx
Emissions
           Impact on engine design


Typical design solution                             Euro 2         Euro 3              Euro 4
Gasoline          Engine design                    PFI               PFI              PFI + GDI
                  Aftertreatment system           TWC               TWC                 TWC
Diesel            Engine design                     IDI            IDI + DI              DI
                   Aftertreatment system             -              EGR          EGR/DPF/SCR


         KEY Engine design types                  Aftertreatment system types
             PFI   Port fuel injection gasoline   TWC Three-way catalyst
             GDI Direct injection gasoline        EGR Exhaust gas recirculation
             IDI   Indirect injection diesel      DPF Diesel particulate filter
             DI    Direct injection diesel        SCR Selective catalytic reduction
How new engine oils evolve
• Changes in market requirements result in new engine oil
  technology being developed
         Environmental                      New engine designs
       and market drivers                and aftertreatment systems
                            Lead to

                                                                Which results in



       Demand for higher quality lubricants to effectively lubricate
       new engine designs and protect new aftertreatment systems


                                      The requirements of which are defined
                                      in new engine oil specifications and results in


              The development of new engine oil technology
Emissions
• A mix of data is currently being published regarding
  the impact of engine oils on aftertreatment devices

Aftertreatment device                  Fluid-related constraint
                                  Ash       Phosphorus     Sulphur
Diesel Particulate Filter   DPF   X               -               -

Three-way Catalyst          TWC    -             X                -

Diesel Oxidation Catalyst   DOC    -             X                X

Lean NOx Catalyst           LNC    -              -               X
NOx Adsorber                NOx    -              -               X
Selective Catalytic
                            SCR    -             ?                ?
Reduction
Impact of Elemental Restrictions
     • Chemical composition ranges of Heavy Duty Diesel
       lubricants
                       Sulphated Ash       Phosphorus           Sulphur


Pre Euro                   1.8%            1100-1300ppm        >5000ppm
(ACEA E3 or CCMC D5)


Typical Euro III           1.2%            1100-1300ppm        >5000ppm
(ACEA E5)


Typical Euro IV
(ACEA E6)                  1.0%              <800ppm            <3000pm




     • To meet the severity needs of today’s engines - these restrictions
       will have a major impact on lubricant formulation strategies
Exhaust After-Treatment Durability
Effect on Lubricant Formulations
The global industry has introduced new specifications, which have
stressed:
    • Chemical limits for after-treatment durability.
    • No reduction of engine performance with Low SAPS lubricants


Chemical limits will require new approaches to meeting wear,
oxidation and deposits:
    • Application of new additive components
    • Use of low sulphur base oils eg. Gp. II, Gp. III
Increased Complexity Throughout
 the “Food Chain”




      Pre-Euro                            Euro IV

     Along with hardware – Engine specifications are
             becoming increasingly complex
The Rise of Oil Development
Complexity
                                Test Cost (First Time Passes)
            600




            500




            400
US$ (000)




            300




            200




            100




             0

                  1955   1983     1990    1994     1998     2002   2004    2006
                   CD     CE      CF-4    CG-4     CH-4     CI-4   CI-4+   PC-10
Implications of Low Emission
    Developments
                                           STU – Material Cost Break up
•   If it is complex for us – what about
    the end user who may see issues                 17%
    rather than benefits?

•   Low emission engine technology          2%
    will require more sophisticated
    lubricants

•   Lubricant costs will remain as a
    minor segment to the end user
    versus the value can they offer,
    Durability, Fuel Economy, etc…                                                  81%



•   How do we demonstrate value to                 Fuel ( Diesel )     Lubricants   Auto Spares

    the End User?
                                                 Source: CIRT 2002-3
So what are some of the Benefits ?

•    Fuel Economy
      • CAFE
      • Monetary savings
      • Carbon Dioxide Emissions




                                   •   After-Treatment durability
                                        • Maintenance / Durability
                                        • Fuel Economy
So what are some of the Benefits ?

•   Durability


     • Maintenance / reliability
          • Engine wear
          • Engine deposits
          • TBN depletion
          • Bearing corrosion
          • Motorcycle gear wear
          • Engine cleanliness
So what are some of the Benefits ?
• Sludge / Soot control




 CF-4 Chemistry                CG-4 Chemistry                               CH-4 Chemistry


                   CF-4 30,000 mile drains, CG-4, CH-4 50,000 mile drains
Summary
Implications for Asian Market

  Rate of introduction of new technology is increasing

  Support is needed for more sophisticated hardware, software
  and lubricants:

     Increased vehicle costs, especially with the addition of
     exhaust after-treatment devices
     Durability and maintenance challenges of new hardware
     The maintenance of higher performance engines / vehicles
     may focus on OEM dealerships / service centers and change
     conventional channels to market
     Continuous up-gradation of lubricant quality levels
     Increased need to focus on end user education
Summary
     There is a both a focus and a need to improve air
     quality globally.

     Multiple and significant challenges exist to both
     achieve and implement these improvements.

     The value of lubricant technology should be
     recognized in enabling these goals.

          Thank you for your interest and attendance

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1 lubrizol

  • 1. Global Lubricant Development Dr. Mark Rees Lubrizol Corporation
  • 2. Scope of Presentation Market Drivers Evolution of Lubricant Requirements Summary
  • 4. Global Need to Focus on Air Quality Widespread analysis indicates that urban air pollution in Asia has and will continue to cause ill health. Global estimates indicate that annually 220-570,000 deaths are associated to airborne particulate matter. Other direct and indirect effects of particulates and oxides of Carbon, Nitrogen and Sulphur are affecting the global environment. Globally, a range of emissions limits have been established.
  • 5. Automobile Industry Growth Estimates vary, but in 15 years the world's vehicle population is expected to double from where it was in 2005. 1400 1200 1000 Million Vehicles 800 ROW Japan EU 600 US 400 200 0 2005 2010 2015 2020
  • 6. Engine Oil Market Drivers There are three main factors are affecting the global engine oil market:
  • 7. Global Lubrication Drivers North America Europe Asia EPA Driven EU Driven Country Specific PCMO ILSAC, GF-4 ACEA: Strong 2-Wheeler • Fuel Economy market • Durability PC – A/B, C • PCDO / PCMO Euro norms are a HDD – API, CJ-4 • Durability common base.. • DPF focus. • Fuel Economy • Durability API focused HDD - E • SCR and DPF Japan • Durability GF-4, DL-1, DH-2
  • 8. Global Lubrication Drivers North America Europe Asia EPA Driven EU Driven Country Specific PCMO ILSAC, GF-4 ACEA: Strong 2-Wheeler • Fuel Economy market • Durability PC – A/B, C • PCDO / PCMO Euro norms are a HDD – API, CJ-4 • Durability common base.. • DPF focus. • Fuel Economy • Durability API focused HDD - E • SCR and DPF Japan • Durability GF-4, DL-1, DH-2
  • 9. Global Lubrication Drivers North America Europe Asia EPA Driven EU Driven Country Specific PCMO ILSAC, GF-4 ACEA: Strong 2-Wheeler • Fuel Economy market • Durability PC – A/B, C • PCDO / PCMO Euro norms are a HDD – API, CJ-4 • Durability common base.. • DPF focus. • Fuel Economy • Durability API focused HDD - E • SCR and DPF Japan • Durability GF-4, DL-1, DH-2
  • 10. Asia - Legislation Introduction Vietnam E1 Thailand E1 E2 E3 E4 Taipei Sri Lanka Singapore E1 E2 China E1 E2 E3 E4 Philippines E1 Nepal E1 Malaysia E1 E2 Indonesia E2 India E1 E2 E3 E4 Hong Kong E1 E2 E3 Cambodia Bangladesh Australia E2 E3 E4 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
  • 11. Emissions Impact of particulate emissions reduction Mass of particulates possible from a truck during its life 2000 kg 120 kg Euro 1 Euro 4
  • 12. Evolution of Lubricant Requirements
  • 13. Evolution of Hardware vs Emissions Particulates ENGINE DESIGN Turbochargers & Intercoolers Fuel changes EURO I De-NOx CAT EURO 2 Retarded injection, piston design changes SCR EGR EURO 3 OXICAT EURO 4 CRT AFTERTREATMENT NOx
  • 14. Emissions Impact on engine design Typical design solution Euro 2 Euro 3 Euro 4 Gasoline Engine design PFI PFI PFI + GDI Aftertreatment system TWC TWC TWC Diesel Engine design IDI IDI + DI DI Aftertreatment system - EGR EGR/DPF/SCR KEY Engine design types Aftertreatment system types PFI Port fuel injection gasoline TWC Three-way catalyst GDI Direct injection gasoline EGR Exhaust gas recirculation IDI Indirect injection diesel DPF Diesel particulate filter DI Direct injection diesel SCR Selective catalytic reduction
  • 15. How new engine oils evolve • Changes in market requirements result in new engine oil technology being developed Environmental New engine designs and market drivers and aftertreatment systems Lead to Which results in Demand for higher quality lubricants to effectively lubricate new engine designs and protect new aftertreatment systems The requirements of which are defined in new engine oil specifications and results in The development of new engine oil technology
  • 16. Emissions • A mix of data is currently being published regarding the impact of engine oils on aftertreatment devices Aftertreatment device Fluid-related constraint Ash Phosphorus Sulphur Diesel Particulate Filter DPF X - - Three-way Catalyst TWC - X - Diesel Oxidation Catalyst DOC - X X Lean NOx Catalyst LNC - - X NOx Adsorber NOx - - X Selective Catalytic SCR - ? ? Reduction
  • 17. Impact of Elemental Restrictions • Chemical composition ranges of Heavy Duty Diesel lubricants Sulphated Ash Phosphorus Sulphur Pre Euro 1.8% 1100-1300ppm >5000ppm (ACEA E3 or CCMC D5) Typical Euro III 1.2% 1100-1300ppm >5000ppm (ACEA E5) Typical Euro IV (ACEA E6) 1.0% <800ppm <3000pm • To meet the severity needs of today’s engines - these restrictions will have a major impact on lubricant formulation strategies
  • 18. Exhaust After-Treatment Durability Effect on Lubricant Formulations The global industry has introduced new specifications, which have stressed: • Chemical limits for after-treatment durability. • No reduction of engine performance with Low SAPS lubricants Chemical limits will require new approaches to meeting wear, oxidation and deposits: • Application of new additive components • Use of low sulphur base oils eg. Gp. II, Gp. III
  • 19. Increased Complexity Throughout the “Food Chain” Pre-Euro Euro IV Along with hardware – Engine specifications are becoming increasingly complex
  • 20. The Rise of Oil Development Complexity Test Cost (First Time Passes) 600 500 400 US$ (000) 300 200 100 0 1955 1983 1990 1994 1998 2002 2004 2006 CD CE CF-4 CG-4 CH-4 CI-4 CI-4+ PC-10
  • 21. Implications of Low Emission Developments STU – Material Cost Break up • If it is complex for us – what about the end user who may see issues 17% rather than benefits? • Low emission engine technology 2% will require more sophisticated lubricants • Lubricant costs will remain as a minor segment to the end user versus the value can they offer, Durability, Fuel Economy, etc… 81% • How do we demonstrate value to Fuel ( Diesel ) Lubricants Auto Spares the End User? Source: CIRT 2002-3
  • 22. So what are some of the Benefits ? • Fuel Economy • CAFE • Monetary savings • Carbon Dioxide Emissions • After-Treatment durability • Maintenance / Durability • Fuel Economy
  • 23. So what are some of the Benefits ? • Durability • Maintenance / reliability • Engine wear • Engine deposits • TBN depletion • Bearing corrosion • Motorcycle gear wear • Engine cleanliness
  • 24. So what are some of the Benefits ? • Sludge / Soot control CF-4 Chemistry CG-4 Chemistry CH-4 Chemistry CF-4 30,000 mile drains, CG-4, CH-4 50,000 mile drains
  • 26. Implications for Asian Market Rate of introduction of new technology is increasing Support is needed for more sophisticated hardware, software and lubricants: Increased vehicle costs, especially with the addition of exhaust after-treatment devices Durability and maintenance challenges of new hardware The maintenance of higher performance engines / vehicles may focus on OEM dealerships / service centers and change conventional channels to market Continuous up-gradation of lubricant quality levels Increased need to focus on end user education
  • 27. Summary There is a both a focus and a need to improve air quality globally. Multiple and significant challenges exist to both achieve and implement these improvements. The value of lubricant technology should be recognized in enabling these goals. Thank you for your interest and attendance