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Goddard 2015: Steve Volz, NOAA
1. On the Cusp: What’s Next?
53rd Robert H. Goddard Memorial Symposium
March 11, 2015
NOAA Satellite and Information Service
NOAA Satellite and Information Service
Dr. Stephen Volz, Assistant Administrator
3. 3
1960 1980 2000 2020 2040
Weather Observations Have Seen Several
Transitions
Tiros-1 launch in April
1960. 48o inclination.
Nimbus-1 launch in Aug.
1964.
First infrared sensor.
Tiros-9 launch in 1965.
“Cartwheel configuration.”
First polar orbit.
GOES-1 launch
in 1975.
NOAA-6 launch in
June 1979. First
AVHRR.
NOAA-8 launch
in March 1983.
Physically larger and
had more power than
their predecessors
NOAA + EUMETSAT IJPS
agreement Nov. 19, 1998.
GOES-I (GOES-8) launch
in 1994.
GOES-I through –M.
Three-axis stabilized.
First independently
operating sounder and
imager.
GOES-10 launched as on-
orbit spare.
GOES-R through –U
operational.
Next-gen ABI.
First lightning mapper
from GEO.
GOES-R next-gen
development.
GOES-N/O/P operational.
Imager and Sounder with
flexible scan control.
NOAA-15, 16, 17.
Heavier and more
microwave channels.
NOAA-18, 19
Direct orbit insertion.
JPSS next-gen
development.
JPSS series operational.
22 channel imager.
Next-gen CrIS and
ATMS.
4. 4
NOAA’s Observational Paradigm Has Been:
Two Orbits, One Mission
N
S
N
S
Polar-orbiting Operational
Environmental Satellites (POES)
Followed by S-NPP and JPSS-1 thru -4
Geostationary Operational
Environmental Satellites (GOES),
Through GOES-U
S-NPP image of North America
5. 5
NOAA’s Established LEO and GEO Platforms
• From Low Earth Orbit
The five (5) satellite combination of JPSS + Polar Follow-On (PFO) will establish NOAA’s LEO
coverage in the afternoon orbit well into the 2030s
Cooperative agreements with EUMETSAT and DMSP (near term) establishes the global polar
constellation
• From Geostationary Orbit
The GOES-R through –U series, following on the GOES-N/O/P series, provides the US
continental coverage well into the 2030s
Cooperative agreements with EUMETSAT and JMA establishes the global geostationary
constellation
• Together, these platforms have and will form the backbone of our
observing network for the coming decades
To which we will add measurements from other sources to improve our NWP performance
8. 8
S-NPP
Our Weather Observations Involve Much More than NOAA
• NASA and ESA
research
satellites
• EUMETSAT &
JMA
operational
satellites
• EC Sentinel
satellites
9. 9
Current Paradigm for NWP Data
Fairbanks, AK
Ground Station
Wallops, VA
Ground Station
NOAA Satellite Operations Facility
Suitland, MD
NWS NCEP
NWS WFOs
USAF
USN
Others
METOP
Meteosat
MTSAT
NASA EOS
Sentinel
GOES
POES
Suomi NPP
JASON-2
DMSP
COSMIC
DSCOVR
Svalbard, Norway
Ground Station Environmental Satellite
Processing Center
Satellite Applications
Data & Products
Archive
Direct ServicesMcMurdo, Antarctica
Ground Station
10. 10
What’s Next?: Moving Beyond “Two Orbits”
• We are broadening our “polar satellite” LEO perspective
• Still have the core POES/JPSS satellites, through ~2038,
but augmented with others
• Cosmic-2 RO mission, 1st six satellites launching in 2016,
2nd six targeted for FY2019
• Earth Observing Nanosatellite - Microwave (EON-MW) as
an alternative microwave sounding approach
• Smallsats or hosted payloads may also contribute
• We may also broaden our GEO perspective
• We will still have the GOES-R series, through ~2036, but
may augment them with others
• Alterative architectures, including hosted payload
opportunities
• Possibly to include alternative orbits, for arctic viewing for
example
• Increasingly, commercial possibilities may emerge to
supply some of NOAA’s data needs
11. 11
NOAA’s Ongoing Commercial Discussions
NOAA Commercial Data Policy
Policy to guide the use of space-based commercial data and
services to meet NOAA requirements
NESDIS Commercial Solutions Assessment Process
Defines NESDIS process for engaging with the commercial
sector to leverage commercial solutions for space-based earth
observation requirements
Both are in review in the Administration, expected release
2015.
13. 13
Future Data Sources
Fairbanks, AK
Ground Station
Wallops, VA
Ground Station
NOAA Satellite Operations Facility
Suitland, MD
NWS NCEP
NWS WFOs
USAF
USN
Others
GOES
POES
Suomi NPP
JASON-2
DMSP
COSMIC
DSCOVR
Svalbard, Norway
Ground Station Environmental Satellite
Processing Center
Satellite Applications
Data & Products
Archive
Direct ServicesMcMurdo, Antarctica
Ground Station
Cubesats Hosted Payloads
Data Buys
SmallSats
?
METOP
Meteosat
MTSAT
NASA EOS
Sentinel
14. 14
What Community Changes Could Change
Our Operating Paradigm?
• Access to space
• Data Quality, Ownership, Integration/Fusion
• Satellite technologies
15. 15
What Community Changes Could Change
Our Operating Paradigm?
• Access to space
• Data Quality, Ownership, Integration/Fusion
• Satellite technologies
$$$
$$
$
¢¢
16. 16
What Community Changes Could Change
Our Operating Paradigm?
• Access to space
• Data Quality, Ownership, Integration/Fusion
• Satellite technologies
Ultimately most of our products fuse different data sets,
so we need to be able to do that fusion efficiently and
reflexively
17. 17
What Community Changes Will Change
Our Operating Paradigm?
• Access to space
• Data Quality, Ownership, Integration/Fusion
• Satellite technologies
18. 18
on the cusp (of something)
The “something” is often characterized by an
explosion, such as of capabilities or opportunities,
but an explosion nonetheless.
Our challenge is to benefit from the explosion and
not be destroyed by it.
Fig. 1. At the point in time that marks the
beginning of something.
2. On the threshold or verge of a
development or action.
3. At the dividing line or border of two
conditions or categories.
Editor's Notes
TIROS
GOES block buys
When Polar and GEO orbits decided?
Note Significant generational changes in capability
When did we decide there would be three polar orbits?
When did we move to a high capability imager?
When did we decide to have three GOES on orbit?
Our standard way of presenting our mission through 2014.
[Image: via Suomi NPP’s Day/Night Band, January 8, 2015, 2:45 am EST]
Begin development activities for the Polar Follow-On (PFO), JPSS-3 and JPSS-4, missions.
Procurement and development of long lead parts for JPSS-3 and JPSS-4 instruments
Enables a JPSS-3 sounder-only contingency mission, if needed
Includes an Earth Observing Nanosatellite-Microwave (EON-MW) to partially mitigate the risk of a gap between JPSS-1 and JPSS-2
Message: GOES and POES still important
More than just NOAA.
From raw satellite data to useful, operational, transparent products and services to users.
Example: COSMIC-2 is a cost effective means of obtaining global atmospheric temperature profile. COSMIC data is the best quality data of the range of GPSRO available in terms of its non-biased quality, accuracy and depth that the temperature and moisture data can be retrieved into the boundary layer compared to other GPSRO data. First six satellites will launch in 2016
Talking point on architecture studies: NESDIS is engaging with the Aerospace Corporation to analyze the alternatives for satellite architectures beyond JPSS and GOES-R timeframes (”charette” studies)
Talking point on expanding partnerships: NOAA/NASA working relationship, broader than just Goddard (EON, COSMIC), commercial alternatives
Does industry want these?
Continued interest in private sector to meet government needs – Commercial RO data, A-DCS/SARSAT data, solar wind data
NASA-ISS Commercial Resupply Services
Planet Labs - cubesats
From raw satellite data to useful, operational, transparent products and services to users.