Foreign Policy Analysis

1. FOREIGN POLICY ANALYSIS AND
INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
DECISION MAKING MODEL:
STRATEGIC PLANNING

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Everyday we are involve in making a decision in
order to achieve our vision and mission
Making a decision not only occur in organizations
but also in a personally that have interest to get
what they want
The output of decision making can be an action
or an opinion of choice.
One of the element that exist in a decision
making is a strategic planning
Decision making model is the process for
concluding which decisions need to be made and
how to find alternatives for each decision.

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Be applied to regional and crisis situations.
It is about top-down implementation and can
also be about reinterpreting past and current
actions.
Processes of creating that consist of mission,
vision to achieve their goal
There are three ways which strategic planning
can affect foreign policy: through the plans,
the planning and the planners.

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Planning is not just limited to plans but also
about the patterns of thinking that best
match resources and capabilities to
achieving the desired policy ends.
In other words, if the planners are thought to
be capable and strategically minded, they
will be more likely to influence responses to
new and unanticipated events.
Decision maker need to identify its strategy,
direction and resource to achieve

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The challenge for policy planning is the ability
of these units to balance planning and
operational roles.
The fundamental constraint on policy planning
was “the impossibility of having the planning
function performed outside of the line of
command.
The operating units—the geographical and
functional units—will not take interference
from any unit outside the line of command.

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Monitoring outcome
Factor that can influence their strategic planning
Impact of the not having a good strategic planning
 lack of objectives (means that does not have a
specific set of tasks it is competent in and it has
no vision for the future).
Find a solution or role of emotion in making a
decision
Ex: Cuba Missile

7. POSITIVE
 It brings a systematic, clear and smooth role for
the foreign policy decision making process.
 Every decision maker to perform a highly
intelligent cooperation in way to establish state
foreign policy.

8. NEGATIVE
 There are too many interference that may
result misunderstanding for the existence of
think tank and NGO.
 There may be irrelevant for sometimes in
implementing the strategic planning.
 Lack of objectives (means that does not
have a specific set of tasks it is competent in
and it has no vision for the future).

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A nuclear exchange occurred
President John F. Kennedy and Premier
Krushchev face each other over Cuba
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To deter a US invasion of Cuba
To counter American superiority in nuclear missile
strength, secretly began by placing intermediaterange missile in Cuba

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Oct 22: President Kennedy announced on
television that a nuclear attack on the US from
Cuba would be respond to as an attack from the
Soviet Union
Oct, 4 1962:First nuclear warhead arrived in Cuba
Oct, 14 1962: U-2 spy plane flew over Cuba and
revealed that several missile sites were under
construction.
The presence of nuclear missile in Cuba was an
unacceptable threat to US national security
interest

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Emphasized flexibility in the negotiation
Controlling the escalation of the Crisis-both side
had several option
Careful not to act precipitously
Resisted the temptation to strike out at Castro and
Krushchev
Designed Executive Committee (ExComm)
Ensured that all options, favor or unfavoured were
thoughtfully scrutinized
Insist on negotiation rather than unilateral action

14. On November 20, 1962, Just over a month after the Cuban Missile crisis
began, President John F. Kennedy lifted the naval blockade after hearing
that Soviet premier Nikita Khrushchev had ordered the Soviet missile
bases in Cuba be dismantled within 30 days. Kennedy also agreed to the
removal of US missiles from the Soviet border in Turkey.

15. President John F. Kennedy

16. Soviet Premier Nikita Krushchev

17. The Challenging Fututre of Strategic Planning in Foreign Policy, Accessed at
http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/press/books/1/1/avoidingtriv
ia/avoidingtrivia_chapter.pdf on 8 November 2013
Strategic-Planning Process accessed at
http://www.sergaygroup.com/Smart- Talk/Strategic-Planning-Process.html
on 8 November 2013
Naval Blockade Ended on this Day in 1962, available at
http://pdxretro.com/2011/11/naval-blockade-ended-on-this-day- in-1962/
on 11 November 2013