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SPINE Volume 34, Number 18, pp 1929–1941
©2009, Lippincott Williams & Wilkins
2009 Updated Method Guidelines for Systematic
Reviews in the Cochrane Back Review Group
Andrea D. Furlan, MD, PhD,*†‡ Victoria Pennick, RN, MHSc,*†
Claire Bombardier, MD, FRCP,*† and Maurits van Tulder, PhD,§
from the Editorial Board of the Cochrane Back Review Group
Study Design. Method guidelines for systematic re-
views of trials of treatments for neck and back pain.
Objective. To help review authors design, conduct and
report systematic reviews of trials in this field.
Summary of Background Data. In 1997, the Cochrane
Back Review Group published Method Guidelines for Sys-
tematic Reviews, which was updated in 2003. Since then,
new methodologic evidence has emerged and standards
have changed. Coupled with the upcoming revisions to
the software and methods required by The Cochrane Col-
laboration, it was clear that revisions were needed to the
existing guidelines.
Methods. The Cochrane Back Review Group editorial
and advisory boards met in June 2006 to review the rel-
evant new methodologic evidence and determine how it
should be incorporated. Based on the discussion, the
guidelines were revised and circulated for comment. As
sections of the new Cochrane Handbook for Systematic
Reviews of Interventions were made available, the guide-
lines were checked for consistency. A working draft was
made available to review authors in The Cochrane Library
2008, issue 3.
Results. The final recommendations are divided into 7
categories: objectives, literature search, inclusion criteria,
risk of bias assessment, data extraction, data analysis,
and updating your review. Each recommendation is clas-
sified into minimum criteria (mandatory) and further
guidance (optional). Instead of recommending Levels of
Evidence, this update adopts the GRADE approach to
determine the overall quality of the evidence for impor-
tant patient-centered outcomes across studies and in-
cludes a new section on updating reviews.
Conclusion. Citations of previous versions of the
method guidelines in published scientific articles (1997:
254 citations; 2003: 209 citations, searched February 10,
2009) suggest that others may find these guidelines use-
ful to plan, conduct, or evaluate systematic reviews in the
field of spinal disorders.
Key words: systematic reviews, meta-analysis, Co-
chrane Collaboration, method guidelines, back pain, neck
pain. Spine 2009;34:1929–1941
The current interest in evidence-based health care has led
to an extensive increase in the publication of systematic
reviews. In 1999, the QUOROM statement was devel-
oped to improve the standards for the report of system-
atic reviews.1
Several leading medical journals (e.g.,
BMJ, JAMA, Lancet) have adopted the QUOROM rec-
ommendations for the reporting of abstract, introduc-
tion, methods, results, and discussion sections of system-
atic reviews. However, it has been shown that many
reviews in the field of back and neck pain are of low
methodologic quality and that their reports often lack
essential components.2–4
In 1997, the Cochrane Back Review Group (CBRG)
Editorial Board published method guidelines for system-
atic reviews in the field of spinal disorders.5
These guide-
lines were updated in 20036
and addressed the main
steps in conducting a systematic review: literature search,
inclusion criteria, methodologic quality, data extraction,
and data analysis. The purpose of the method guidelines
was to offer guidance to researchers preparing, conduct-
ing, or reporting a systematic review and to readers eval-
uating these reviews. The guidelines were operational-
ized specifically for the field of back and neck pain. They
included certain minimum criteria for which either em-
pirical evidence existed that confirmed they were associ-
ated with bias in systematic reviews, or there was con-
sensus among the CBRG Editorial Board that they were
likely to be associated with bias. Further guidance was
presented to enhance the quality of systematic reviews.
The CBRG was established in 1998. Forty-six system-
atic reviews and 8 protocols for reviews of various treat-
ments for spinal disorders are published in “The Co-
chrane Library 2008, issue 4.” Many of these reviews are
copublished in Spine (more information available at:
www.cochrane.iwh.on.ca). Because new evidence on re-
view methodology has emerged since 2003, new guid-
From the *Institute for Work and Health, Toronto, Ontario, Canada;
†University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; ‡Toronto Reha-
bilitation Institute, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; and §VU University,
Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
The manuscript submitted does not contain information about medical
device(s)/drug(s).
No funds were received in support of this work. No benefits in any
form have been or will be received from a commercial party related
directly or indirectly to the subject of this manuscript.
Supported by operational funds from The Institute for Work & Health,
Canadian Institutes of Health Research (CIHR), Canadian Agency for
Drugs and Technologies in Health to Cochrane Back Review Group
These guidelines expand on the methodology outlined in: Bombardier
C, van Tulder MW, Pennick V, Bronfort G, Corbin T, Deyo RA, de Bie
R, Furlan AD, Guillemin F, Malmivaara A, Peul W, Schoene M, Shek-
elle PG, Tomlinson G. Cochrane Back Group. About The Cochrane
Collaboration (Cochrane Review Groups (CRGs)) 2008, Issue 3. Art.
No.: BACK. Copyright Cochrane Collaboration, reproduced with per-
mission.
The following are the editorial board members of the Cochrane Back
Review Group: Co-editors: Claire Bombardier and Maurits van Tul-
der; Managing editor: Victoria Pennick; Editors: Gert Brønfort, Rob
deBie, Terry Corbin, Rick Deyo, Andrea Furlan, Francis Guillemin,
Antti Malmivaara, Wilco Peul, Mark Schoene, Paul Shekelle, George
Tomlinson.
Address correspondence and reprint requests to Andrea D. Furlan,
Institute for Work & Health, 481 University Av, Suite 800, Toronto,
Ontario, Canada; E-mail: afurlan@iwh.on.ca
1929
ance was introduced in the February 2008 version of the
Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Inter-
ventions7
and the CBRG has acquired more experience
in preparing, conducting, and updating systematic Co-
chrane reviews, the Editorial Board felt it was time to
update the 2003 method guidelines.
It should be emphasized that these guidelines are not a
“gold standard” but merely an indication of the current
“state-of-the-art” of review methods. The method guide-
lines build on the information provided in The Cochrane
Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions7
available at: http://www.cochrane.org/resources/
handbook/index.htm (accessed September 17, 2008),
rather than replace it. They are useful to plan, conduct,
or evaluate systematic reviews in the field of back and
neck pain within and outside the framework of the
CBRG. The usefulness of the 1997 and 2003 method
guidelines is reflected in the number of citations in pub-
lished scientific articles: 254 citations and 209, respec-
tively (ISI web of science cited reference searched Febru-
ary 10th, 2009). Please note that since the Cochrane
Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions is
updated on a regular basis, readers are advised to consult
the most current version before starting or updating their
reviews.
Materials and Methods
In June 2006, the editorial and advisory boards of the CBRG
met in Amsterdam at the VIII International Forum for Primary
Care Research on Low-Back Pain to discuss the update. They
recognized that some challenging topics in the 2003 method
guidelines needed revision (e.g., levels of evidence, clinical rel-
evance of the results, and recommendations for updates).
After the meeting, a draft of the revised method guidelines was
circulated among the editors. Each editor was given a chance to
comment on additions, deletions, or other changes that were
made since the last update. Of the 13 editors, 8 participated in this
process. Feedback was incorporated into a second draft of the
guidelines and circulated among all CBRG editors and advisory
board members for comments. The second draft was presented
and discussed at the IX International Forum for Primary Care
Research on Low-Back Pain in Palma de Mallorca, Spain, in Oc-
tober 2007. A working draft was made available to review au-
thors in “The Cochrane Library” 2008, issue 3. Publication of the
final version was delayed to be able to incorporate the new “Co-
chrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions,”
which covered the new GRADE approach and the new Review
Manager 5 and GRADEprofiler software.
Method Guidelines
Review Objective. Reviews with the Cochrane Back Review
Group start with a clinically relevant question that is clearly
defined in the objectives. The objectives should outline the in-
tervention and participants. The Editorial Board recommends
that reviews focus specifically on (sub)acute or chronic back or
neck pain. It is also recommended that reviews focus separately
on nonspecific back or neck pain, sciatica or radicular symp-
toms, or specific causes (e.g., spinal stenosis, scoliosis). In ad-
dition, review authors should outline the comparisons that will
be evaluated in the review (Figure 1).
Literature Search
Minimum Criteria. One of the main principles underpinning a
systematic review is to include all available evidence. There-
fore, once the research question has been defined, the literature
search is the next, very important step in conducting a system-
atic review. The starting point for the literature search is to
decide which articles should be retrieved, ensuring that as many
relevant trials as possible are identified. The search strategy
should relate directly to the research question(s) of the review
at issue and should be based on the inclusion criteria with
respect to study design, participants, interventions, and out-
comes (see Inclusion Criteria section). Searching only MEDLINE
is clearly insufficient since it has been shown that in general,
approximately only half of the available RCTs will be identified
if MEDLINE is the only databases searched.8
It has been sug-
gested that at least MEDLINE and EMBASE must be used to
ensure a comprehensive literature search, because overlap be-
tween these databases is small.9 –11
Especially in the field of low
back pain, EMBASE has been shown to retrieve more clinical
trials than MEDLINE.12
Therefore, we recommend the following as a minimum
search strategy:
1. A computer-aided search of the MEDLINE and EM-
BASE databases since their inception for new reviews
and since the date of the previous search for updates of
reviews.7,8
The highly sensitive search strategies for re-
trieval of reports of controlled trials should be run in con-
junction with a specific search for spinal disorders and the
intervention at issue (Appendix 1, Supplemental Digital
Content 1, available at: http://links.lww.com/BRS/A373
and Appendix 2, Supplemental Digital Content 2, available
at: http://links.lww.com/BRS/A374). It has been demon-
strated that simple search strategies (i.e., strategies with a
few terms) are not adequate for systematic reviews.13
2. A search of the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled
Trials (CENTRAL) that is included in the most recent
issue of The Cochrane Library.
3. A search of the CBRG Trials Register by contacting the
editorial base of the Cochrane Back Review Group.
4. Screening references listed in relevant systematic reviews
and identified RCTs.
The search strategy should not be limited by language.
Unless they have easy access to a health sciences librarian who
is experienced in searching electronic databases, we suggest that
review authors contact the CBRG (Cochrane@iwh.on.ca) for as-
sistance in developing and conducting the literature search. We
recommend that 2 review authors independently apply the inclu-
sion criteria to select the potentially relevant trials from the titles,
abstracts, and keywords of the references retrieved by the litera-
ture search. Articles selected in this first round, articles for which
disagreement exist, and articles for which title, abstract, and key-
words provide insufficient information for a decision should be
obtained so that the final decision about whether they meet the
inclusion criteria is based on the full paper. A consensus method
should be used to select the potentially relevant trials at both
steps. If disagreements persist, a third review author should be
consulted.
Reviews should be submitted within a year of the latest search
date. Because some reviews can take longer than a year to com-
plete, the CBRG recommends that the authors update the search
1930 Spine • Volume 34 • Number 18 • 2009
when the review is submitted to determine if important trials have
been published since the last search. The authors may contact the
CBRG Trials Search Coordinator for assistance. The review au-
thors can decide if it is feasible to include newly identified trials in
the current review, or a future update.
If one of the review authors is a (co-)author of one of the
potentially relevant trials, this person should not be involved in
any decisions about inclusion of the trial at issue.
Further Guidance. Depending on the intervention at issue, and
if available, specific databases should be searched, for example:
● Mantis (Manual Alternative and Natural Therapy Index
System) for chiropractic interventions (http://www.
chiroaccess.com/MANTISDatabaseOverview.html)
● Complementary and Alternative Medicine Specialist Li-
brary, from the National Library of Health, UK) for com-
plementary medicine interventions (http://www.library.nh-
s.uk/cam/)
● PsycINFO for psychological interventions (http://
www.apa.org/psycinfo/)
● PEDro (Physiotherapy Evidence Database) for physio-
therapy interventions (http://www.pedro.fhs.usyd.edu.au/)
● Cumulative Index of Nursing and Allied Health (CI-
NAHL) for allied health interventions (http://www.
ebscohost.com/cinahl/)
● Index to Chiropractic Literature (http://www.chiroindex.
org/)
Other search strategies are recommended, but are not essential,
such as:
● Identification of ongoing trials. The CBRG Trials Search
Coordinator (TSC) will identify ongoing trials that are reg-
istered on the WHO International Clinical Trials Registry
Platform (http://www.who.int/ictrp/en/); these should be in-
cluded in the reference section of the review (ongoing stud-
ies) in addition to those identified by the review authors
through their own contacts.
● Personal communication with content experts in the field
and with authors of identified RCTs.14
It is up to the discre-
tion of the review authors to identify who the experts are on
a specific topic and to describe the process and results of the
contact in the review.
● Citation tracking of the identified RCTs.15
The value of
using citation tracking has not yet been established, but it
may be especially useful to identify additional studies of
topics that are poorly indexed in MEDLINE and EMBASE.
● The Editorial Board recommends using the search strat-
egy suggested by Golder et al16
to find reports of adverse
events of their interventions, and the search strategy sug-
gested by Furlan et al, if review authors plan to include
observational studies.17
Contact a health sciences librarian
or the CBRG Trials Search coordinator for help in develop-
ing these search strategies.
Inclusion Criteria
Minimum Criteria
Study Design. RCTs with clearly reported and appropriate
randomization should be included. If the article only reports
that the trial is a randomized trial or that the participants were
randomly allocated to the intervention groups without a clear
description of the method of randomization, the authors
should be contacted for further information. Examples of ap-
propriate randomization techniques are: computer-generated
random sequence, sequentially-ordered vials, telephone call to
a central office, and preordered list of treatment assignments.
Participants. Participants of trials that will be included in
the systematic review should be defined explicitly in terms of
age, gender, type, duration, localization and severity of symp-
toms, setting, and recruitment procedure. It is particularly im-
portant to report if participants with acute (less than 6 weeks),
subacute (six to 12 weeks), or chronic (12 weeks or more) back or
neck pain are included. It is also important to report if the partic-
ipants have nonspecific back or neck pain or radiating symptoms.
If there is a reason to collapse the duration of symptoms, the
categories should be (sub)acute (less than 12 weeks) and chronic
(longer than 12 weeks). In most reviews, it is preferable to include
a homogeneous population. However, in some reviews it might be
appropriate to include mixed populations, and the reasons for this
should be given. Mixed populations refer to a population that has
a combination of acute, subacute, or chronic pain, or a population
with both back and neck pain.
Interventions. It is recommended that a definition and po-
tential mechanism of action related to prevention or treatment
of back or neck pain of the intervention under study is included
and referenced in the review. The type, intensity, dosage, fre-
quency and duration of both the index and comparison inter-
ventions to be included in the review should be explicitly de-
scribed. If appropriate for the intervention, the skills, training
and experience of the provider should also be included.
Comparisons should include a clear contrast for the index
intervention, so that the independent effects of the intervention
can be assessed. For example, a comparison of traction plus
exercises versus the same exercises alone is a relevant compar-
ison in a review on traction, while a comparison of traction
plus exercises versus spinal manipulation is not a relevant com-
parison in the same review.
Outcomes. The outcome measures and instruments that will
be included in the review should be explicitly described. Impor-
tant patient-centered outcomes, as outlined in Deyo et al18
such
as: symptoms (e.g., pain), overall improvement or satisfaction
with treatment, back-specific functional status (e.g., measured
with the Roland Morris Questionnaire, Oswestry Disability
Index), well-being (e.g., quality of life—measured with the SF-
36, SF-12, EuroQuol), and disability (e.g., ability to perform
activities of daily living, return-to-work status, work absentee-
ism). Adverse events (intended and nonintended) should al-
ways be included in a systematic review of back or neck pain if
they are reported in the original trials. If explicit adverse events
are to be investigated, observational studies reporting on these
adverse events should also be included. Depending on the in-
tervention, specific outcomes may be relevant, for example:
depression for a review of antidepressants, knowledge gain for
a review of patient education, or radiologic outcomes for a
review of surgical intervention.
The timing of measuring outcomes should be explicitly de-
scribed. Outcomes should be separately reported for at least short-
term (closest to 4 weeks) and long-term (closest to 1 year).
Language. The empirical evidence on excluding trials pub-
lished in languages other than English is conflicting.19 –24
The
Editorial Board recommends including studies published in
languages other than English, for example, by finding native
speakers and meeting with them to assess the risk of bias and
1931
2009 Updated Guidelines for Systematic Reviews • Furlan et al
extract the data together. However, we acknowledge that it
may not always be feasible and may depend on the time and
resources available. Potential articles retrieved in languages
outside the linguistic skills of the review team (or their local
sources) should be brought to the attention of the CBRG edi-
torial staff, who will try to find translators. If trials published in
other languages are excluded from the review, these trials
should be listed in the section on excluded trials. We strongly
recommend having an international group of (co-) authors
with different language skills involved in a systematic review to
enable the inclusion of trials in languages other than English.
This is particularly recommended for topics where there are
likely to be a significant number of non-English language pub-
lications (e.g., the Asian literature on acupuncture), in which
case, we suggest including review authors with the relevant
language skills.
Further Guidance
Study Design. Authors wishing to include studies besides
RCTs (with appropriate and clearly reported randomization
methods) should outline the reasons for this. Examples of other
study designs that are acceptable are:
RCTs that do not clearly report the method of randomiza-
tion.
Quasi-RCTs—Quasi-RCTs may be included if there are
fewer than 5 RCTs. Quasi-RCTs are controlled clinical tri-
als that use methods of allocation that are not random, and
therefore, may be open to bias. Examples of quasi-
randomization techniques are: alternation, birth date, social
insurance/security number, date in which they are invited to
participate in the study, and hospital registration number.
Studies without a control group and publications that are
only expert opinion should not be included (Table 1).25
Outcomes. Outcomes of physical examination (range of
motion, spinal flexibility, degrees of straight leg raising, or
muscle strength), care-provider-centered outcomes (e.g., out-
come assessor’s global improvement), and other outcomes
(medication use, healthcare utilization) may be included as sec-
ondary outcomes where appropriate, depending on the aim of
the intervention at issue.
Assessing Risk of Bias
Minimum Criteria. Risk of bias in the studies should be inde-
pendently assessed by at least 2 review authors. Currently,
there is empirical evidence that inadequate concealment of
treatment allocation,26,27
inadequate double-blinding (of par-
ticipants and outcome assessors), and a high drop-out rate, or
differences in number or reasons for dropping out between
groups, are associated with bias.26 –31
This evidence is collected
in fields other than back and neck pain.
We recommend assessing the risk of bias in the studies by
using the criteria presented in Table 2 and the instructions
presented in Table 3. These instructions are adapted from van
Tulder,6
Boutron et al (CLEAR NPT),32
and the Cochrane
Handbook of Reviews of Interventions.7
Of these criteria, 11
have already been used in 26 (65%) and 10 have been used in 7
(18%) systematic reviews within the CBRG (The Cochrane
Library 2008, issue 4). These criteria are also considered im-
portant by others who study nonpharmaceutical interven-
tions.32,33
Internal validity criteria refer to characteristics of
the study that might be related to selection bias (criteria 1, 2, 9),
performance bias (criteria 3, 4, 10, 11), attrition bias (criteria 6,
7), and detection bias (criteria 5, 12). Each criterion should be
scored as yes, unclear, or no, where yes indicates the criterion
has been met and therefore suggests a low risk of bias. The
Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions7
recommends that review authors assess at least 5 issues associ-
ated with risk of bias: sequence generation, allocation conceal-
ment, blinding of participants, personnel and outcome asses-
sors, incomplete outcome data, selective outcome reporting,
and other potential threats to validity not already identified.
The criteria recommended by the CBRG are aligned with the
new “Handbook,” except for “selective reporting of out-
comes.” We suggest adding this item as the 12th internal va-
lidity criterion.
We recommend that the studies are rated as having a “low
risk of bias” when at least 6 of the 12 CBRG criteria have been
met and the study has no serious flaws (e.g., 80% drop-out rate in
1 group). Studies with serious flaws, or those in which fewer than
6 of the criteria are met should be rated as having a “high risk of
bias.” There is empirical evidence from a methodologic study con-
ducted with data from the CBRG that a compliance threshold of
less than 50% of the criteria is associated with bias.34
The results of the assessment, including the rationale for the
decision, should be presented in the “Risk of Bias” table, which
is included with the “Characteristics of included studies” table
in Review Manager 5. If one of the review authors is an author
or coauthor of one of the included trials, this person should not
be involved in any decisions regarding the risk of bias assess-
ment of the trial at issue.
Further Guidance. Some empirical evidence suggests that
blinded risk of bias assessment, that is, removing the names of
authors, institution, and journals from the articles when assess-
ing the risk of bias, resulted in more consistent and higher
rating of bias than open assessment.35
However, 2 other stud-
ies did not find an association between blinded assessment of
studies and bias.33,36
It is difficult to achieve true blinding,
because experts are usually involved in the risk of bias assess-
ment of the studies. Therefore, the CBRG leaves it to the dis-
cretion of the review authors to decide whether or not to per-
form a blinded risk of bias assessment. Because assessment by
content experts may be biased by prior opinions, it may be
desirable to have both a clinical content expert and a nonexpert
(but with a methodologic background) assess the risk of bias in
the studies. In systematic reviews where there is likely to be a
conflict of interest (e.g., chiropractors or manual therapists re-
viewing spinal manipulation, or physiotherapists reviewing ex-
ercise therapy), it may be desirable to also mask the studies for
results and conclusions, or to include someone who has no
potential conflict of interest in the risk of bias assessment.
We recommend that review authors pilot-test the risk of
bias assessment on some similar articles (regarding another
intervention or disorder) that will not be included in the review.
It is important for review authors to agree on a common inter-
pretation of the items and their operationalization.
We recommend using a consensus method to discuss and
solve disagreements between the review authors. If disagree-
ment persists, another independent person should be consulted
who is an expert in review methodology. The initial interob-
server reliability (e.g., Kappa) of the risk of bias assessment
should be evaluated and reported.
A study in the field of rheumatology showed that some trials
that inadequately reported the method of randomization and
1932 Spine • Volume 34 • Number 18 • 2009
Table 1. Taxonomy of Study Design of Studies Assessing the Effects of Health-Care Interventions
Experimental studies with control group (“clinical
trials” or “trials”): The investigator has control
over the decision concerning the allocation of
participants to different intervention groups.
Randomized controlled trial (RCT) (A) Reported method of randomization and the method
is adequate (see text for examples).
(B) Did not report methods of randomization. Only the
phrase “randomized study,” “random allocation” or
other similar expression is reported.
Controlled clinical trial (CCT) (A) Reported the method of allocation and this method
is inadequate (see text for examples). Synonym:
quasi-randomized controlled trial (q-RCT).
(B) Did not report the method of allocation and there is
no phrase or expression indicating that the
allocation was randomized.
Observational studies with control group: The
investigator’s intention is to observe and not
to interfere with routine care.
Cohort study Synonyms: “Longitudinal study” (emphasizing that people
are followed over time); “Prospective study” (implying
the forward direction of the research question);
“Incidence study” (calling attention to the basic
measure of new diseases events over time).
The cases are selected based on exposure to the
interventions. It involves measuring the occurrence of
disease within 1 or more group of individuals who are
followed or traced over a period of time. A true
cohort study is an inception cohort study, to
differentiate from “survival cohorts.”
Cohort studies can be prospective or retrospective
with regards to the data collection: “prospective”
means that the study is planned before any data is
collected; and “retrospective” means that when the
study is planned, all (or part of) the data is already
collected.
Survival cohort study Synonym: “available patients cohort.”
People are included in a study because they both
have a disease and are currently available—perhaps
they are being seen in a specialized clinic. Survival
cohorts are misleading if they are presented as true
cohorts. In a survival cohort, people are assembled at
various times in the course of their disease, rather
than at the beginning as in a true cohort study. Their
clinical course is then described by going back in
time and seeing how they have fared up to the
present.
Case control study The cases are selected based on the outcomes. A
research design in which all group selection, pretest
data, and posttest data are collected after completion
of the treatment. The evaluator is thus not involved in
the selection or placement of individuals into
comparison or control groups. All evaluation decisions
are made retrospectively. Individuals are matched on
variables thought to be critical in determining the
outcome, therefore the groups are equivalent except
for the interventions.
Cross-sectional study All of the information refers to the same point in time.
There is no follow-up. They are usually conducted by
collecting data from administrative databases (census,
hospital discharges and workers’ compensation
databases).
Uncontrolled studies (without a separate control
group): can be experimental or observational
in nature.
Case series The participants are described as a group
(A) “Case study”: A single group is studied only once,
subsequent to some agent or treatment presumed to
cause change.
(B) “Before and after”: a single group is studied before
and after some agent or treatment presumed to
cause change.
Case reports (A) Case reports: the participants are described
individually.
(B) “N-of-1 randomized trial”: the patient undergoes
pairs of treatment periods randomized so that 1
period involves the use of experimental treatment
and the other involves the use of an alternate or
placebo therapy.
Reprinted with permission from J Clin Epidemiol.25
Copyright 2008, Elsevier.
1933
2009 Updated Guidelines for Systematic Reviews • Furlan et al
allocation concealment had actually performed them adequately.37
Therefore, if the article does not contain information on (one or
more of) the internal validity criteria, the authors may be con-
tacted for additional information. If the authors cannot be con-
tacted or if the information is no longer available, the criteria
should be scored as “unclear,” with an explanation.
Different risks of bias may explain the variation in the re-
sults of the studies included in a systematic review and can
result in over- or underestimation of the effectiveness of the
intervention at issue. However, there are no strict guidelines for
the use of risk of bias assessment in systematic reviews. In
general, we recommend choosing one of the options listed be-
low and clearly describe the logic behind the choice.38,39
First, based on 1 or more domains, the risk of bias can be
used as an additional inclusion criterion for studies in the re-
view (e.g., only include adequately randomized RCTs or dou-
ble-blinded RCTs) or based on the number of criteria met (e.g.,
only include studies that adequately fulfill six of the 12 validity
criteria and have no serious flaws). Second, a stratified analysis
can be performed in which the results are separately presented
for different strata of studies (e.g., studies that meet specific
criteria, or studies with a low or high risk of bias). Third, a
sensitivity analysis can be performed to determine whether
the overall results are the same when studies with different
definitions of low or high risk of bias are analyzed. Fourth,
weights can be applied in the analysis to studies according to
the risk of bias, so that studies with a lower risk of bias have
more impact on the overall results. Obviously, choosing
weights involves additional arbitrary decisions. Fifth, a cu-
mulative meta-analysis can be performed by examining the
impact on the overall results as studies with increasing risk
of bias are included one at a time. And last, a meta-
regression can be performed to explore the relation between
criteria met and the magnitude of effect across outcomes and
studies. The first 4 options are also available when statistical
pooling is not feasible; the last 2 apply specifically to statis-
tical pooling.
The Editorial Board refers the reader to Chapter 8 in the
Cochrane Handbook of Systematic Reviews for Interventions7
for further details on assessing risk of bias.
Data Extraction
Minimum Criteria. At least 2 review authors should indepen-
dently extract the data. Data describing study characteristics
that include characteristics of participants, interventions, com-
parisons, outcomes, analysis, results, and study sponsorship
should be extracted and presented in a table (see inclusion
criteria for full details). Cointerventions and other confounders
should be described in as much detail as possible to enable
accurate comparison.
If one of the review authors is an author or coauthor of one
of the included trials, this person should not be involved in any
decisions regarding the data extraction of the trial at issue.
Further Guidance
The CBRG recommends that authors use a standardized form
for data extraction that will facilitate the comparison process.
It is advisable to pilot test the data extraction form to minimize
misinterpretations or later disagreements. If there are disagree-
ments, consensus should be achieved by discussion among the
review authors. If disagreements persist, an independent person
should be consulted. If the article does not contain sufficient
information, the authors may be contacted.
Data extraction forms will vary across different systematic
reviews, but there will also be similarities among the forms
needed for reviews on back and neck pain. Because designing a
data extraction form is time-consuming, and given the impor-
tant function of data extraction forms, it may be helpful to
profit and learn from experiences of others. Examples of data
extraction forms used in other reviews can be obtained from
the CBRG website: www.cochrane.iwh.on.ca.
Data Analysis
Minimum Criteria. Regardless of whether the authors use a
quantitative analysis (meta-analysis) or not, the results from
studies should only be combined when they are judged to be
sufficiently clinically similar to yield meaningful results. This
means review authors should avoid combining studies that are
clinically heterogeneous for populations, interventions, com-
parisons, or outcomes. A meta-analysis should be conducted
whenever trials measuring a specific outcome at similar fol-
low-up (short-term and/or long-term) report sufficient data to
do so. When a meta-analysis is performed with only a subset of
trials, review authors should assess whether the results of the
studies not reported quantitatively are consistent with the
meta-analysis. The analysis should include an explicit descrip-
tion of the comparisons (Figure 1).
Short-term follow-up refers to outcomes that are measured
closest to 4 weeks after randomization; it could be as short as 7
days in a trial of analgesics and as long as 12 weeks in a trial of
exercise therapy. Intermediate follow-up refers to measures taken
closest to 6 months. Long-term follow-up refers to measures taken
closest to 1 year. Long-term surgical outcomes should be mea-
sured at 5 years. Unless otherwise stated, outcomes are assumed to
be measured after the treatment is completed.
The Editorial Board refers the reader to Chapter 9 of the
Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions7
for further guidance on data analysis.
The primary analysis of the review should only be based on the
results from RCTs (Table 1). If review authors include designs
Table 2. Sources of Risk of Bias
A 1. Was the method of randomization adequate? Yes/No/Unsure
B 2. Was the treatment allocation concealed? Yes/No/Unsure
C Was knowledge of the allocated interventions
adequately prevented during the study?
3. Was the patient blinded to the intervention? Yes/No/Unsure
4. Was the care provider blinded to the
intervention?
Yes/No/Unsure
5. Was the outcome assessor blinded to the
intervention?
Yes/No/Unsure
D Were incomplete outcome data adequately
addressed?
6. Was the drop-out rate described and
acceptable?
Yes/No/Unsure
7. Were all randomized participants analysed
in the group to which they were allocated?
Yes/No/Unsure
E 8. Are reports of the study free of suggestion
of selective outcome reporting?
Yes/No/Unsure
F Other sources of potential bias:
9. Were the groups similar at baseline
regarding the most important prognostic
indicators?
Yes/No/Unsure
10. Were co-interventions avoided or similar? Yes/No/Unsure
11. Was the compliance acceptable in all
groups?
Yes/No/Unsure
12. Was the timing of the outcome assessment
similar in all groups?
Yes/No/Unsure
1934 Spine • Volume 34 • Number 18 • 2009
other than RCTs, the data should be analyzed separately and
contrasted with the results from the primary analysis.
If one of the review authors is an author or coauthor of one
of the included trials, this person should not be involved in any
data analysis that includes the trial at issue.
Further Guidance
Quantitative Analysis. If it is clinically relevant and statisti-
cally justified to combine the results, statistical pooling should
be performed that provides an overall estimate of effect, with a
95% confidence interval for each outcome.40,41
The Editorial
Board recommends contacting a statistician before performing
a quantitative analysis. A meta-analysis should start by exam-
ining potential publication and other biases with a funnel plot
to explore asymmetry among trial results.42
If asymmetry is
present, potential reasons should be explored. However, funnel
plots may be misleading and should be interpreted cautiously.43
Formal statistical tests also exist, but there is no consensus
regarding the strengths and weaknesses of these tests.44 – 46
For the meta-analysis of dichotomous outcomes, the relative
risk, risk difference, or odds ratio can be used to summarize the
effect. Empirical evidence from 125 meta-analyses showed that
summary odds ratios and risk differences usually lead to similar
conclusions about treatment effect, but that risk differences are
substantially more heterogeneous.47
For continuous outcomes,
mean differences from each trial can be combined. If the continu-
ous outcomes are not directly combinable—that is, if different
instruments are used for the same outcome measurements—
standardized mean differences (effect sizes) might be used.40,41
For
time-to-event data (e.g., return-to-work), survival analysis is the
most appropriate statistic to use.48
If necessary, the authors of the
original studies may be contacted to provide relevant information.
If data are not presented in a way that can be easily included in a
meta-analysis, review authors should try to calculate effect sizes.
For example, for trials that report a mean outcome but no stan-
dard deviation, one could estimate the standard deviation by tak-
ing the mean standard deviation weighted by the relevant treat-
ment group’s sample size across all other trials that reported
standard deviations for the same outcome.
There are 2 statistical models for combining data in a meta-
analysis: the fixed-effect model and the random-effects model.40
Although there are arguments favoring each model, in general,
the clinical heterogeneity of the back and neck pain literature
suggests that the assumptions underlying the random-effects
model are better suited to statistical combination of trials in
this field. However, the random-effects model does not account
Table 3. Criteria for a Judgment of “Yes” for the Sources of Risk of Bias
1 A random (unpredictable) assignment sequence. Examples of adequate methods are coin toss (for studies with 2 groups), rolling a dice
(for studies with 2 or more groups), drawing of balls of different colors, drawing of ballots with the study group labels from a dark
bag, computer-generated random sequence, pre-ordered sealed envelops, sequentially-ordered vials, telephone call to a central
office, and pre-ordered list of treatment assignments Examples of inadequate methods are: alternation, birth date, social insurance/
security number, date in which they are invited to participate in the study, and hospital registration number.
2 Assignment generated by an independent person not responsible for determining the eligibility of the patients. This person has no
information about the persons included in the trial and has no influence on the assignment sequence or on the decision about
eligibility of the patient.
3 This item should be scored “yes” if the index and control groups are indistinguishable for the patients or if the success of blinding was
tested among the patients and it was successful.
4 This item should be scored “yes” if the index and control groups are indistinguishable for the care providers or if the success of
blinding was tested among the care providers and it was successful.
5 Adequacy of blinding should be assessed for the primary outcomes. This item should be scored “yes” if the success of blinding was
tested among the outcome assessors and it was successful or:
–for patient-reported outcomes in which the patient is the outcome assessor (e.g., pain, disability): the blinding procedure is
adequate for outcome assessors if participant blinding is scored “yes”
–for outcome criteria assessed during scheduled visit and that supposes a contact between participants and outcome assessors
(e.g., clinical examination): the blinding procedure is adequate if patients are blinded, and the treatment or adverse effects of the
treatment cannot be noticed during clinical examination
–for outcome criteria that do not suppose a contact with participants (e.g., radiography, magnetic resonance imaging): the blinding
procedure is adequate if the treatment or adverse effects of the treatment cannot be noticed when assessing the main outcome
–for outcome criteria that are clinical or therapeutic events that will be determined by the interaction between patients and care
providers (e.g., co-interventions, hospitalization length, treatment failure), in which the care provider is the outcome assessor: the
blinding procedure is adequate for outcome assessors if item “4” (caregivers) is scored “yes”
–for outcome criteria that are assessed from data of the medical forms: the blinding procedure is adequate if the treatment or
adverse effects of the treatment cannot be noticed on the extracted data
6 The number of participants who were included in the study but did not complete the observation period or were not included in the
analysis must be described and reasons given. If the percentage of withdrawals and drop-outs does not exceed 20% for short-
term follow-up and 30% for long-term follow-up and does not lead to substantial bias a “yes” is scored. (N.B. these percentages
are arbitrary, not supported by literature).
7 All randomized patients are reported/analyzed in the group they were allocated to by randomization for the most important moments of
effect measurement (minus missing values) irrespective of non-compliance and co-interventions.
8 In order to receive a “yes”, the review author determines if all the results from all pre-specified outcomes have been adequately
reported in the published report of the trial. This information is either obtained by comparing the protocol and the report, or in the
absence of the protocol, assessing that the published report includes enough information to make this judgment.
9 In order to receive a “yes”, groups have to be similar at baseline regarding demographic factors, duration and severity of complaints,
percentage of patients with neurological symptoms, and value of main outcome measure(s).
10 This item should be scored “yes” if there were no co-interventions or they were similar between the index and control groups.
11 The reviewer determines if the compliance with the interventions is acceptable, based on the reported intensity, duration, number and
frequency of sessions for both the index intervention and control intervention(s). For example, physiotherapy treatment is usually
administered over several sessions; therefore it is necessary to assess how many sessions each patient attended. For single-
session interventions (e.g., surgery), this item is irrelevant.
12 Timing of outcome assessment should be identical for all intervention groups and for all important outcome assessments.
1935
2009 Updated Guidelines for Systematic Reviews • Furlan et al
for the heterogeneity, does not explain it, and does not take it
away. Careful analysis of heterogeneity, that is, of study char-
acteristics that might explain differences among the results, is
always important.49
The characteristics of participants, types
of interventions, and the exact outcome values should be
clearly articulated for each group of study results that are com-
bined. Sensitivity analyses should be performed to examine the
impact of variation in risk of bias or individual validity criteria
(refer “Assessing Risk of Bias” section).
Sometimes it may be difficult for review authors to decide
whether it is clinically relevant to combine the results from a
group of studies in a meta-analysis—for example, studies of
participants with different types of treatments, different com-
parison groups, or different clinical characteristics. There are
no simple answers here, and review authors must be explicit
about their decisions so that others may judge for themselves
whether their choices were clinically sensible.
A related but separate issue concerns statistical homogene-
ity. A test for the statistical homogeneity of studies may be
performed to evaluate whether the differences among the re-
sults of the studies are greater than those that would be found
by chance alone. However, the test is not very powerful, and
failure to reject the hypothesis of homogeneity is not proof that
the studies are homogeneous. If the hypothesis of homogeneity
is rejected, or if the review team decides, on clinical grounds,
that the studies are too heterogeneous to support statistical
combinations, then the potential sources of heterogeneity
should be examined, because the observed differences might be
caused by factors other than chance, such as different risks of
bias, characteristics of participants, interventions, control
groups, or outcomes. If the heterogeneity can be explained,
review authors should present the results of each relevant sub-
group separately. Subgroup analyses should be kept to a min-
imum and should be defined a priori, because subgroup analy-
ses can be informative but also misleading.50
Readers are referred to Chapters 9 and 10 in the Cochrane
Handbook of Systematic Reviews of Interventions7
for more
details on data analysis.
Grading the Quality of Evidence and Strength
of Recommendations
The Cochrane Handbook of Systematic Reviews of Interven-
tions (see Chapter 12)7
and the CBRG Editorial Board recom-
mend that review authors go beyond the reporting of the results
of quantitative analyses and rate the quality of the evidence for
each important patient-centered outcome. To help readers use
this new approach, the CBRG has adapted the GRADE ap-
proach for back and neck pain reviews. The quality of the
evidence on a specific outcome is based on 5 domains: limita-
tions of the study design, inconsistency, indirectness (inability
to generalize), and imprecision (insufficient or imprecise data)
of results and publication bias across all studies that measure that
particular outcome.51
(Appendix 3, Supplemental Digital Con-
tent 3, two examples extracted from the Cochrane reviews of
“Rehabilitation after lumbar disc surgery”52
and “Massage for
low back pain,”53
available at: http://links.lww.com/BRS/A375).
The most important step is to choose which outcomes are
relevant for inclusion in the GRADE Evidence Profile. This is
based on the choice of “primary outcome measures,” selected a
priori in the protocol stage (see section “inclusion criteria: out-
come measures”). For each outcome, all applicable RCTs (i.e.,
those that measured the outcome) are noted in the first column,
regardless of whether they have sufficient data to be combined
in a meta-analysis. Only RCTs included in the primary analysis
of the review should be included in the GRADE Evidence Pro-
file (see section “inclusion criteria: study design”).
Population 1: Acute low-back pain with neurological symptoms.
Comparison 1.1: traction vs. placebo/sham/no treatment
Outcome 1.1.1: pain intensity
Follow-up: short-term
Intermediate-term
long-term
Outcome 1.1.2: functional status
Follow-up: short-term
Intermediate-term
long-term
Outcome 1.1.3 ………..
Comparison 1.2: traction vs. exercise therapy
Outcome 1.2.1: pain intensity
Follow-up: short-term
Intermediate-term
long-term
Outcome 1.2.2: functional status
Follow-up: short-term
Intermediate-term
long-term
Outcome 1.2.3 ………..
Population 2: Acute low back pain without neurological symptoms.
Comparison 2.1: traction vs. placebo/sham/no treatment
Outcome 2.1.1: pain intensity
Follow up: ……….
Population 3: Chronic low back pain with neurological symptoms.
Figure 1. Example of an analysis
for a systematic review on trac-
tion for low-back pain.
1936 Spine • Volume 34 • Number 18 • 2009
Limitations of the studies refer to the results of the risk of
bias assessment of the studies identified in column 1, using the
12 criteria recommended above. For example, if the studies
have a high (fewer than six criteria met, a fatal flaw that puts
the validity in question, or both) or low (six or more criteria
met, with no fatal flaws) risk of bias. Flaws or unmet criteria
should be explained in a footnote of the GRADE Evidence
Profile and “Summary of Findings” table.
“Inconsistency” refers to the lack of similarity of estimates
of treatment effects for the outcome across studies. Study re-
sults are considered consistent when direction, effect size, and
statistical significance are sufficiently similar to lead to the same
conclusions. Consistency in direction is defined as 75% or more
of the studies showing either a benefit or no benefit. In the case of
a benefit, consistency in effect size is defined as 75% or more of the
studies showing a clinically important or unimportant effect (see
section on clinical relevance). Consistency in statistical signifi-
cance is defined by the Chi squared test for heterogeneity.
“Indirectness” (lack of ability to generalize) refers to the extent
to which the people, interventions and outcomes in the trials are
not comparable to those defined in the inclusion criteria of the
review. If the authors decide that there is uncertainty about gen-
eralizability of the results, the reason should be given in a footnote.
Authors may suggest that their results are more applicable to a
specific population, (e.g., the effects of using insoles for young,
male army recruits rather than a general working population)54
or
that the results are based on an indirect comparison (e.g., there is
strong evidence that discectomy is more effective than chemo-
nucleolysis and that chemonucleolysis is more effective than pla-
cebo: ergo, discectomy is more effective than placebo).55
“Imprecision” refers to the number of participants and events
and the width of the confidence interval for each outcome, espe-
cially when the confidence interval is sufficiently wide so that the
estimate could either support or refute the effectiveness of the
index intervention. The CBRG Editorial Group further recom-
mends that data are imprecise when only 1 study reports an out-
come, regardless of the sample size or the confidence interval and
when fewer than 75% of the studies present data that can be
included in a meta-analysis. A footnote should explain the exact
reason why data were judged to be sparse or imprecise.
“Publication bias” refers to the probability of selective pub-
lication of trials and outcomes. This bias might be considered if
full results for planned outcomes identified in a protocol or the
trial report are not provided in the results section. If the review
authors decide there is publication bias, they should support
their decision in a footnote.
The overall “quality of the evidence” for each outcome is
the result of the combination of the assessments in all domains.
The GRADE Working Group recommends 4 levels of evidence:
High quality evidence ⫽ at least 75% of the RCTs with no
limitations of study design have consistent findings, direct
and precise data and no known or suspected publication
biases.
Moderate quality evidence ⫽ 1 of the domains is not met.
Low quality evidence ⫽ 2 of the domains are not met.
Very low quality evidence ⫽ 3 of the domains are not met.
The CBRG recommends adding another level:
No evidence ⫽ no RCTs were identified that addressed this
outcome.
GRADEprofiler software is available to develop the GRADE
Evidence Profiles by importing data from Review Manager 5.
See the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Inter-
ventions,7
chapter 12 for more details on grading the evidence.
Clinical Relevance
Further Guidance. The CBRG recommends including an as-
sessment of clinical relevance of study results in systematic
reviews. The conclusions about the effectiveness of the inter-
vention should contain all the important information needed to
enable users to make a decision about the applicability of the
results to their population. The clinical relevance of the studies
should be independently assessed by at least 2 review authors.
In the 2003 Updated Method Guidelines, the Editorial
Board recommended 5 questions to assess the clinical relevance
of each included study.56,57
In 2006, Malmivaara et al, in con-
sultation with the Editorial Board, reviewed the set of 5 ques-
tions and articulated the details in the evaluation of applicabil-
ity and clinical relevance of results of RCTs. The final
consensus consisted of 40 items. For the most part, these items
are characteristics of the population, interventions, compari-
sons, analysis, and results that review authors are advised to
extract from the studies. These details should be used to answer
the 5 questions (Table 4). For more details and examples on
how to assess each item, review authors are encouraged to read
the original study by Malmivaara et al.58
There is ongoing
research examining how to determine important clinical differ-
ences in pain reduction and functional improvement. At
present, there is consensus regarding minimal clinically impor-
tant changes for pain and function in back pain.59
Authors are
Table 4. Questions to Determine if Results Are Clinically Relevant
Based on the data provided, can you determine if the results will be clinically relevant?
Are the patients described in detail so that you can decide whether they are comparable to those that you see in
your practice?
□ Yes □ No □ Unsure
Are the interventions and treatment settings described well enough so that you can provide the same for your
patients?
□ Yes □ No □ Unsure
Were all clinically relevant outcomes measured and reported? □ Yes □ No □ Unsure
Is the size of the effect clinically important?* □ Yes □ No □ Unsure
Are the likely treatment benefits worth the potential harms? □ Yes □ No □ Unsure
*For low-back pain, consider 30% on VAS/NRS for pain as clinically significant,59,62
and 2 to 3 points (or 8 to 12%) on the Roland-Morris Disability Questionnaire
for function.59,60
*For neck pain, consider 3.5 to 5 U on the 50-U Neck Pain Disability Index or 7 to 10% change63,64
for function and 2.5 on an 10-U NRS (25% change) for pain.63
*For effect size, most authors use Cohen’s 3 levels.61
Small: WMD less than 10% of the scale (e.g., ⬍10 mm on a 100 mm VAS); SMD or “d” scores ⬍0.5; relative risk, ⬍1.25 or ⬎0.8 (depending on whether it reports
risk of benefit or risk of harm).
Medium: WMD 10 to 20% of the scale; SMD or “d” scores from 0.5 to ⬍0.8; relative risk between 1.25 to 2.0, or 0.5 to 0.8.
Large: WMD ⬎20% of the scale; SMD or “d” scores ⱖ0.8; relative risks ⬎2.0 or ⬍0.5.
VAS indicates Visual Analog Scale; NRS, Numerical Rating Scale; SMD, standardized mean difference; WMD, weighted mean difference.
1937
2009 Updated Guidelines for Systematic Reviews • Furlan et al
advised to consult the literature that also includes key refer-
ences on neck pain59 – 64
and include both statistical and clini-
cal importance in their discussion(Table 4).59 – 64
The answers to these questions should be used to inform the
discussion of the final results and conclusions; for example, in
the discussion section, clinical relevance could be included as
follows: There was high quality evidence from 10 RCTs (2000
participants) that intervention A is more effective than no treat-
ment for reducing pain in the long-term for individuals with
chronic low back pain. However, since none of the trials de-
scribed the program in detail, it is difficult to determine how to
provide this treatment to your patients and which types of
exercise healthcare providers should provide to patients (this
example is not based on real data).
Conclusion
Minimum Criteria
Results should be listed in the same order as the compari-
sons and outcomes were set out in the protocol. To improve
consistency, the text should contain the following items
(Figure 2): quality of evidence, the number of trials (number
of participants), results of quantitative analysis (effect size
plus confidence interval), results of qualitative analysis (di-
rection of the effect [more/less effective, no difference]), the
intervention, the type of participants, the comparison treat-
ment (specifically stated), the outcome measured, and the
timing (short-term or long-term) of the outcome measure.
Example 1: There is high quality evidence from seven
trials (1268 people) that behavioral treatment is more ef-
fective than no treatment for individuals with chronic back
pain without neurologic symptoms for short-term pain re-
lief (SMD: 0.62, 95% CI: 0.25 to 0.98) and short-term
behavioral outcomes (SMD: 0.40, 95% CI: 0.10 to 0.70—
data only pooled from 5 trials).
Example 2: There is moderate quality evidence (4 tri-
als; 354 people) that there is no statistically significant
No significant difference between index and comparison group(s)
•Quantitative analysis:
There is (high/moderate/low/very low) quality evidence from (X) trials (no. of people)
that there is no statistically significant difference in (short-term/ long-term) follow-up
for (outcome Z) (RR 1.1, 95% CI 0.8 to 1.4), between individuals with
(acute/subacute/chronic) (back/neck) pain (with/without) neurological symptoms who
received (index) and those who received (comparison).
•Qualitative analysis:
There is (high/moderate/low/very low) quality evidence from (X) trials (no. of people)
that there is no significant difference in (short-term/long-term) follow-up for (outcome
Z), between individuals with (acute/subacute/chronic) (back/neck pain) (with/without)
neurological symptoms] who received (index) and those who received (comparison).
Index is more/less effective than comparison group(s)
•Quantitative analysis:
There is (high/moderate/low/very low) quality evidence from (X) trials (no. of people)
that (index intervention) is (more/less) effective than (comparison intervention) for
individuals with (acute/subacute/chronic) (back/neck) pain (with/without) neurologic
symptoms for (outcome A) at (short-term/long-term) follow-up with RR 4.0 (95% CI
3.0 to 5.0) and (outcome B) at (short-term/long-term) follow-up with RR 4.0 (95% CI
3.0 to 5.0).
•Qualitative analysis:
There is (high/moderate/low/very low) quality evidence from (X) trials (no. of people)
that (index intervention) is (more/less) effective than (comparison intervention) for
individuals with (acute/subacute/chronic) (back/neck) pain (with/without) neurologic
symptoms for (outcome A, B and C) in the (short-term/long-term).
Contradictory findings across trials
•Qualitative analysis:
There is conflicting evidence from (X) trials (no. of people) about whether (index
intervention) is more/less effective than (comparison intervention) for individuals with
(acute/subacute/chronic) (back/neck) pain (with/without) neurological symptoms for
(outcome A, B and C) in the (short-term/long-term).
No evidence
There were no RCTs identified that examined the effects of (index intervention) for
individuals with (acute/subacute/chronic) (back/neck) pain (with/without) neurological
symptoms.
* The intervention for the comparison group should be explicitly described: placebo, no
treatment, waiting list controls, or treatment B (where treatment B is specifically
named).
Figure 2. Recommendation for
authors’ conclusions in system-
atic reviews.
1938 Spine • Volume 34 • Number 18 • 2009
difference in short-term pain relief between individuals
with chronic back pain with or without neurologic
symptoms who received acupuncture and those who re-
ceived placebo or sham acupuncture.
Further Guidance
The Cochrane Handbook of systematic reviews of inter-
ventions,7
chapter 11 recommends that reviews include a
“Summary of Findings” table, which provides key informa-
tion on the quality of evidence, the magnitude of effect of
the interventions examined, and the sum of available data
on the main outcomes. The information is imported from
the GRADEprofiler software and other data included in the
review. Main outcomes should be determined a priori, in
the protocol. Because the information is still new at time of
writing, review authors are directed to the Handbook for
more detailed information. As developed, we will add ex-
amples from the neck and back pain field to the Cochrane
Back Review Group website (www.cochrane.iwh.on.ca).
Updating
Minimum Criteria. One goal of Cochrane is to present the
best current evidence on the effects of healthcare inter-
ventions. This is accomplished by updating published
reviews as new evidence becomes available. The CBRG
Trial Search coordinator updates the literature searches
at least every 2 years and more frequently if important
new evidence is published and notifies the lead author of
the results. If the lead author is unable to complete the
update, for whatever reason, the Editorial Board reserves
the right to assume responsibility for the review. This
may include finding a new lead author or a totally new
review team.
The results of the updated literature search determine
the amount of work involved in updating the review. This
may range from the editorial office staff updating the liter-
ature search date and notifying the author that their review
was updated, in the event no new studies are identified, to
rewriting most of the review. Depending on when the orig-
inal review was published, expectations of The Cochrane
Collaboration in general, and the CBRG in particular, may
have changed (e.g., based on the general direction of The
Cochrane Collaboration, this update of the method guide-
lines recommends using a GRADE approach rather than
Levels of Evidence for the final summary of results). Au-
thors should explore the CBRG (www.cochrane.
iwh.on.ca) and Cochrane Collaboration (www.cochrane.
org) websites and contact the Managing Editor of the
CBRG for current information on updating your review.
Before starting an update of his or her review, the lead
review author should consider the following issues:
● Is the current review team still willing and able to
update the review?
● Are the inclusion criteria for studies, search strate-
gies, risk of bias assessment criteria, analyses and
summary methods still appropriate?
Existing reviews may have included a combination of
(sub)acute or chronic back or neck pain. The Editorial
Board recommends that updates of reviews focus specif-
ically on (sub)acute or chronic back or neck pain. It is
also recommended that reviews focus separately on non-
specific back or neck pain, sciatica or radicular symp-
toms, or specific causes (e.g., spinal stenosis, scoliosis).
This means that some reviews will need to be split into
two or more reviews with a smaller scope. This should be
discussed with the Managing Editor of the CBRG.
Discussion
The Editorial Board believes that systematic reviews repre-
sent one of the key advances in medical science in the past
15 years and offer a real opportunity for change in medical
practice worldwide. Obviously, one of the major challenges
for the future is to increase implementation of the results of
systematic reviews. Some initiatives have been developed
that try to make systematic reviews more easily available
for clinicians in daily practice. Recently published Euro-
pean and North American clinical guidelines on the man-
agement of low back pain have used the evidence from
systematic reviews as the basis for their recommenda-
tions.65–69
The BMJ Publishing Group publishes “Clinical
Evidence,” which is a summary of the current state of
knowledge based on Cochrane and other systematic re-
views on the prevention and treatment of a wide range of
clinical conditions (www.clinicalevidence.com). NHS Clin-
ical Knowledge Summaries from the UK are reliable
sources of evidence-based information (based in part on
Cochrane reviews) and practical “know how” about the
common conditions managed in primary care (http://
cks.library.nhs.uk/home; accessed September 19, 2008).
The number of evidence-based products being developed to
inform clinical decisions that use systematic reviews as the
basis for the evidence is rapidly increasing. Since behavioral
change is multifaceted, whether these and other implemen-
tation efforts indeed result in a change in clinicians’ behav-
ior and in improved patient outcomes remains unclear.
Systematic reviews must be conducted as carefully as the
trials they report. To achieve full impact, systematic reviews
must meet high methodologic standards. The objective of
these method guidelines is to help review authors to design,
conduct, and report reviews of trials in the field of back and
neck pain systematically and explicitly. These guidelines are
not intended to set a gold standard or to discourage people
from doing a systematic review. On the contrary, we en-
courage people to undertake a systematic review in collab-
oration with others. The Cochrane Collaboration has just
released a new version of the Cochrane Handbook of Sys-
tematic Reviews Of Interventions (February 2008) and
Review Manager 5 (March 2008), the software used to
produce Cochrane review. The CBRG will post back and
neck-related examples on our website. Therefore, for more
guidance on systematic reviews of back and neck pain, we
refer readers to the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic
Reviews of Interventions (http://www.cochrane.org/
resources/handbook/index.htm), the Review Manager
1939
2009 Updated Guidelines for Systematic Reviews • Furlan et al
website (http://www.cc-ims.net/RevMan), the
GRADEprofiler website (http://www.cc-ims.net/gradepro),
or the CBRG website (www.cochrane.iwh.on.ca). Address:
Cochrane Back Review Group, Institute for Work &
Health, Toronto, Ontario, Canada, M5G 2E9. Telephone:
(416) 927-2027, fax: (416) 927-4167.
Key Points
● Many reviews of therapeutic interventions for
spinal disorders have been published. It is impor-
tant that these reviews use adequate systematic
methods to minimize bias.
● Previous method guidelines for systematic re-
views in the field of spinal disorders were updated.
● These method guidelines include recommenda-
tions that are mandatory (minimum criteria) and op-
tional (further guidance) for review authors conduct-
ing reviews within the Cochrane Back Review Group.
● The Cochrane Back Review Group now recom-
mends using the GRADE approach to determine
the overall quality of the evidence for important
patient-centered outcomes across studies.
● The method guidelines include a new section on
updating reviews.
● Others may find these guidelines useful to plan,
conduct, or evaluate systematic reviews in the field
of spinal disorders.
Supplemental digital content is available for this article.
Direct URL citations appear in the printed text, and links to
the digital files are provided in the HTML text of this article
on the journal’s Web site (www.spinejournal.com).
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2009 Updated Method Guidelines For Systematic Reviews In The Cochrane Back Review Group

  • 1. SPINE Volume 34, Number 18, pp 1929–1941 ©2009, Lippincott Williams & Wilkins 2009 Updated Method Guidelines for Systematic Reviews in the Cochrane Back Review Group Andrea D. Furlan, MD, PhD,*†‡ Victoria Pennick, RN, MHSc,*† Claire Bombardier, MD, FRCP,*† and Maurits van Tulder, PhD,§ from the Editorial Board of the Cochrane Back Review Group Study Design. Method guidelines for systematic re- views of trials of treatments for neck and back pain. Objective. To help review authors design, conduct and report systematic reviews of trials in this field. Summary of Background Data. In 1997, the Cochrane Back Review Group published Method Guidelines for Sys- tematic Reviews, which was updated in 2003. Since then, new methodologic evidence has emerged and standards have changed. Coupled with the upcoming revisions to the software and methods required by The Cochrane Col- laboration, it was clear that revisions were needed to the existing guidelines. Methods. The Cochrane Back Review Group editorial and advisory boards met in June 2006 to review the rel- evant new methodologic evidence and determine how it should be incorporated. Based on the discussion, the guidelines were revised and circulated for comment. As sections of the new Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions were made available, the guide- lines were checked for consistency. A working draft was made available to review authors in The Cochrane Library 2008, issue 3. Results. The final recommendations are divided into 7 categories: objectives, literature search, inclusion criteria, risk of bias assessment, data extraction, data analysis, and updating your review. Each recommendation is clas- sified into minimum criteria (mandatory) and further guidance (optional). Instead of recommending Levels of Evidence, this update adopts the GRADE approach to determine the overall quality of the evidence for impor- tant patient-centered outcomes across studies and in- cludes a new section on updating reviews. Conclusion. Citations of previous versions of the method guidelines in published scientific articles (1997: 254 citations; 2003: 209 citations, searched February 10, 2009) suggest that others may find these guidelines use- ful to plan, conduct, or evaluate systematic reviews in the field of spinal disorders. Key words: systematic reviews, meta-analysis, Co- chrane Collaboration, method guidelines, back pain, neck pain. Spine 2009;34:1929–1941 The current interest in evidence-based health care has led to an extensive increase in the publication of systematic reviews. In 1999, the QUOROM statement was devel- oped to improve the standards for the report of system- atic reviews.1 Several leading medical journals (e.g., BMJ, JAMA, Lancet) have adopted the QUOROM rec- ommendations for the reporting of abstract, introduc- tion, methods, results, and discussion sections of system- atic reviews. However, it has been shown that many reviews in the field of back and neck pain are of low methodologic quality and that their reports often lack essential components.2–4 In 1997, the Cochrane Back Review Group (CBRG) Editorial Board published method guidelines for system- atic reviews in the field of spinal disorders.5 These guide- lines were updated in 20036 and addressed the main steps in conducting a systematic review: literature search, inclusion criteria, methodologic quality, data extraction, and data analysis. The purpose of the method guidelines was to offer guidance to researchers preparing, conduct- ing, or reporting a systematic review and to readers eval- uating these reviews. The guidelines were operational- ized specifically for the field of back and neck pain. They included certain minimum criteria for which either em- pirical evidence existed that confirmed they were associ- ated with bias in systematic reviews, or there was con- sensus among the CBRG Editorial Board that they were likely to be associated with bias. Further guidance was presented to enhance the quality of systematic reviews. The CBRG was established in 1998. Forty-six system- atic reviews and 8 protocols for reviews of various treat- ments for spinal disorders are published in “The Co- chrane Library 2008, issue 4.” Many of these reviews are copublished in Spine (more information available at: www.cochrane.iwh.on.ca). Because new evidence on re- view methodology has emerged since 2003, new guid- From the *Institute for Work and Health, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; †University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; ‡Toronto Reha- bilitation Institute, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; and §VU University, Amsterdam, the Netherlands. The manuscript submitted does not contain information about medical device(s)/drug(s). No funds were received in support of this work. No benefits in any form have been or will be received from a commercial party related directly or indirectly to the subject of this manuscript. Supported by operational funds from The Institute for Work & Health, Canadian Institutes of Health Research (CIHR), Canadian Agency for Drugs and Technologies in Health to Cochrane Back Review Group These guidelines expand on the methodology outlined in: Bombardier C, van Tulder MW, Pennick V, Bronfort G, Corbin T, Deyo RA, de Bie R, Furlan AD, Guillemin F, Malmivaara A, Peul W, Schoene M, Shek- elle PG, Tomlinson G. Cochrane Back Group. About The Cochrane Collaboration (Cochrane Review Groups (CRGs)) 2008, Issue 3. Art. No.: BACK. Copyright Cochrane Collaboration, reproduced with per- mission. The following are the editorial board members of the Cochrane Back Review Group: Co-editors: Claire Bombardier and Maurits van Tul- der; Managing editor: Victoria Pennick; Editors: Gert Brønfort, Rob deBie, Terry Corbin, Rick Deyo, Andrea Furlan, Francis Guillemin, Antti Malmivaara, Wilco Peul, Mark Schoene, Paul Shekelle, George Tomlinson. Address correspondence and reprint requests to Andrea D. Furlan, Institute for Work & Health, 481 University Av, Suite 800, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; E-mail: afurlan@iwh.on.ca 1929
  • 2. ance was introduced in the February 2008 version of the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Inter- ventions7 and the CBRG has acquired more experience in preparing, conducting, and updating systematic Co- chrane reviews, the Editorial Board felt it was time to update the 2003 method guidelines. It should be emphasized that these guidelines are not a “gold standard” but merely an indication of the current “state-of-the-art” of review methods. The method guide- lines build on the information provided in The Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions7 available at: http://www.cochrane.org/resources/ handbook/index.htm (accessed September 17, 2008), rather than replace it. They are useful to plan, conduct, or evaluate systematic reviews in the field of back and neck pain within and outside the framework of the CBRG. The usefulness of the 1997 and 2003 method guidelines is reflected in the number of citations in pub- lished scientific articles: 254 citations and 209, respec- tively (ISI web of science cited reference searched Febru- ary 10th, 2009). Please note that since the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions is updated on a regular basis, readers are advised to consult the most current version before starting or updating their reviews. Materials and Methods In June 2006, the editorial and advisory boards of the CBRG met in Amsterdam at the VIII International Forum for Primary Care Research on Low-Back Pain to discuss the update. They recognized that some challenging topics in the 2003 method guidelines needed revision (e.g., levels of evidence, clinical rel- evance of the results, and recommendations for updates). After the meeting, a draft of the revised method guidelines was circulated among the editors. Each editor was given a chance to comment on additions, deletions, or other changes that were made since the last update. Of the 13 editors, 8 participated in this process. Feedback was incorporated into a second draft of the guidelines and circulated among all CBRG editors and advisory board members for comments. The second draft was presented and discussed at the IX International Forum for Primary Care Research on Low-Back Pain in Palma de Mallorca, Spain, in Oc- tober 2007. A working draft was made available to review au- thors in “The Cochrane Library” 2008, issue 3. Publication of the final version was delayed to be able to incorporate the new “Co- chrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions,” which covered the new GRADE approach and the new Review Manager 5 and GRADEprofiler software. Method Guidelines Review Objective. Reviews with the Cochrane Back Review Group start with a clinically relevant question that is clearly defined in the objectives. The objectives should outline the in- tervention and participants. The Editorial Board recommends that reviews focus specifically on (sub)acute or chronic back or neck pain. It is also recommended that reviews focus separately on nonspecific back or neck pain, sciatica or radicular symp- toms, or specific causes (e.g., spinal stenosis, scoliosis). In ad- dition, review authors should outline the comparisons that will be evaluated in the review (Figure 1). Literature Search Minimum Criteria. One of the main principles underpinning a systematic review is to include all available evidence. There- fore, once the research question has been defined, the literature search is the next, very important step in conducting a system- atic review. The starting point for the literature search is to decide which articles should be retrieved, ensuring that as many relevant trials as possible are identified. The search strategy should relate directly to the research question(s) of the review at issue and should be based on the inclusion criteria with respect to study design, participants, interventions, and out- comes (see Inclusion Criteria section). Searching only MEDLINE is clearly insufficient since it has been shown that in general, approximately only half of the available RCTs will be identified if MEDLINE is the only databases searched.8 It has been sug- gested that at least MEDLINE and EMBASE must be used to ensure a comprehensive literature search, because overlap be- tween these databases is small.9 –11 Especially in the field of low back pain, EMBASE has been shown to retrieve more clinical trials than MEDLINE.12 Therefore, we recommend the following as a minimum search strategy: 1. A computer-aided search of the MEDLINE and EM- BASE databases since their inception for new reviews and since the date of the previous search for updates of reviews.7,8 The highly sensitive search strategies for re- trieval of reports of controlled trials should be run in con- junction with a specific search for spinal disorders and the intervention at issue (Appendix 1, Supplemental Digital Content 1, available at: http://links.lww.com/BRS/A373 and Appendix 2, Supplemental Digital Content 2, available at: http://links.lww.com/BRS/A374). It has been demon- strated that simple search strategies (i.e., strategies with a few terms) are not adequate for systematic reviews.13 2. A search of the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL) that is included in the most recent issue of The Cochrane Library. 3. A search of the CBRG Trials Register by contacting the editorial base of the Cochrane Back Review Group. 4. Screening references listed in relevant systematic reviews and identified RCTs. The search strategy should not be limited by language. Unless they have easy access to a health sciences librarian who is experienced in searching electronic databases, we suggest that review authors contact the CBRG (Cochrane@iwh.on.ca) for as- sistance in developing and conducting the literature search. We recommend that 2 review authors independently apply the inclu- sion criteria to select the potentially relevant trials from the titles, abstracts, and keywords of the references retrieved by the litera- ture search. Articles selected in this first round, articles for which disagreement exist, and articles for which title, abstract, and key- words provide insufficient information for a decision should be obtained so that the final decision about whether they meet the inclusion criteria is based on the full paper. A consensus method should be used to select the potentially relevant trials at both steps. If disagreements persist, a third review author should be consulted. Reviews should be submitted within a year of the latest search date. Because some reviews can take longer than a year to com- plete, the CBRG recommends that the authors update the search 1930 Spine • Volume 34 • Number 18 • 2009
  • 3. when the review is submitted to determine if important trials have been published since the last search. The authors may contact the CBRG Trials Search Coordinator for assistance. The review au- thors can decide if it is feasible to include newly identified trials in the current review, or a future update. If one of the review authors is a (co-)author of one of the potentially relevant trials, this person should not be involved in any decisions about inclusion of the trial at issue. Further Guidance. Depending on the intervention at issue, and if available, specific databases should be searched, for example: ● Mantis (Manual Alternative and Natural Therapy Index System) for chiropractic interventions (http://www. chiroaccess.com/MANTISDatabaseOverview.html) ● Complementary and Alternative Medicine Specialist Li- brary, from the National Library of Health, UK) for com- plementary medicine interventions (http://www.library.nh- s.uk/cam/) ● PsycINFO for psychological interventions (http:// www.apa.org/psycinfo/) ● PEDro (Physiotherapy Evidence Database) for physio- therapy interventions (http://www.pedro.fhs.usyd.edu.au/) ● Cumulative Index of Nursing and Allied Health (CI- NAHL) for allied health interventions (http://www. ebscohost.com/cinahl/) ● Index to Chiropractic Literature (http://www.chiroindex. org/) Other search strategies are recommended, but are not essential, such as: ● Identification of ongoing trials. The CBRG Trials Search Coordinator (TSC) will identify ongoing trials that are reg- istered on the WHO International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (http://www.who.int/ictrp/en/); these should be in- cluded in the reference section of the review (ongoing stud- ies) in addition to those identified by the review authors through their own contacts. ● Personal communication with content experts in the field and with authors of identified RCTs.14 It is up to the discre- tion of the review authors to identify who the experts are on a specific topic and to describe the process and results of the contact in the review. ● Citation tracking of the identified RCTs.15 The value of using citation tracking has not yet been established, but it may be especially useful to identify additional studies of topics that are poorly indexed in MEDLINE and EMBASE. ● The Editorial Board recommends using the search strat- egy suggested by Golder et al16 to find reports of adverse events of their interventions, and the search strategy sug- gested by Furlan et al, if review authors plan to include observational studies.17 Contact a health sciences librarian or the CBRG Trials Search coordinator for help in develop- ing these search strategies. Inclusion Criteria Minimum Criteria Study Design. RCTs with clearly reported and appropriate randomization should be included. If the article only reports that the trial is a randomized trial or that the participants were randomly allocated to the intervention groups without a clear description of the method of randomization, the authors should be contacted for further information. Examples of ap- propriate randomization techniques are: computer-generated random sequence, sequentially-ordered vials, telephone call to a central office, and preordered list of treatment assignments. Participants. Participants of trials that will be included in the systematic review should be defined explicitly in terms of age, gender, type, duration, localization and severity of symp- toms, setting, and recruitment procedure. It is particularly im- portant to report if participants with acute (less than 6 weeks), subacute (six to 12 weeks), or chronic (12 weeks or more) back or neck pain are included. It is also important to report if the partic- ipants have nonspecific back or neck pain or radiating symptoms. If there is a reason to collapse the duration of symptoms, the categories should be (sub)acute (less than 12 weeks) and chronic (longer than 12 weeks). In most reviews, it is preferable to include a homogeneous population. However, in some reviews it might be appropriate to include mixed populations, and the reasons for this should be given. Mixed populations refer to a population that has a combination of acute, subacute, or chronic pain, or a population with both back and neck pain. Interventions. It is recommended that a definition and po- tential mechanism of action related to prevention or treatment of back or neck pain of the intervention under study is included and referenced in the review. The type, intensity, dosage, fre- quency and duration of both the index and comparison inter- ventions to be included in the review should be explicitly de- scribed. If appropriate for the intervention, the skills, training and experience of the provider should also be included. Comparisons should include a clear contrast for the index intervention, so that the independent effects of the intervention can be assessed. For example, a comparison of traction plus exercises versus the same exercises alone is a relevant compar- ison in a review on traction, while a comparison of traction plus exercises versus spinal manipulation is not a relevant com- parison in the same review. Outcomes. The outcome measures and instruments that will be included in the review should be explicitly described. Impor- tant patient-centered outcomes, as outlined in Deyo et al18 such as: symptoms (e.g., pain), overall improvement or satisfaction with treatment, back-specific functional status (e.g., measured with the Roland Morris Questionnaire, Oswestry Disability Index), well-being (e.g., quality of life—measured with the SF- 36, SF-12, EuroQuol), and disability (e.g., ability to perform activities of daily living, return-to-work status, work absentee- ism). Adverse events (intended and nonintended) should al- ways be included in a systematic review of back or neck pain if they are reported in the original trials. If explicit adverse events are to be investigated, observational studies reporting on these adverse events should also be included. Depending on the in- tervention, specific outcomes may be relevant, for example: depression for a review of antidepressants, knowledge gain for a review of patient education, or radiologic outcomes for a review of surgical intervention. The timing of measuring outcomes should be explicitly de- scribed. Outcomes should be separately reported for at least short- term (closest to 4 weeks) and long-term (closest to 1 year). Language. The empirical evidence on excluding trials pub- lished in languages other than English is conflicting.19 –24 The Editorial Board recommends including studies published in languages other than English, for example, by finding native speakers and meeting with them to assess the risk of bias and 1931 2009 Updated Guidelines for Systematic Reviews • Furlan et al
  • 4. extract the data together. However, we acknowledge that it may not always be feasible and may depend on the time and resources available. Potential articles retrieved in languages outside the linguistic skills of the review team (or their local sources) should be brought to the attention of the CBRG edi- torial staff, who will try to find translators. If trials published in other languages are excluded from the review, these trials should be listed in the section on excluded trials. We strongly recommend having an international group of (co-) authors with different language skills involved in a systematic review to enable the inclusion of trials in languages other than English. This is particularly recommended for topics where there are likely to be a significant number of non-English language pub- lications (e.g., the Asian literature on acupuncture), in which case, we suggest including review authors with the relevant language skills. Further Guidance Study Design. Authors wishing to include studies besides RCTs (with appropriate and clearly reported randomization methods) should outline the reasons for this. Examples of other study designs that are acceptable are: RCTs that do not clearly report the method of randomiza- tion. Quasi-RCTs—Quasi-RCTs may be included if there are fewer than 5 RCTs. Quasi-RCTs are controlled clinical tri- als that use methods of allocation that are not random, and therefore, may be open to bias. Examples of quasi- randomization techniques are: alternation, birth date, social insurance/security number, date in which they are invited to participate in the study, and hospital registration number. Studies without a control group and publications that are only expert opinion should not be included (Table 1).25 Outcomes. Outcomes of physical examination (range of motion, spinal flexibility, degrees of straight leg raising, or muscle strength), care-provider-centered outcomes (e.g., out- come assessor’s global improvement), and other outcomes (medication use, healthcare utilization) may be included as sec- ondary outcomes where appropriate, depending on the aim of the intervention at issue. Assessing Risk of Bias Minimum Criteria. Risk of bias in the studies should be inde- pendently assessed by at least 2 review authors. Currently, there is empirical evidence that inadequate concealment of treatment allocation,26,27 inadequate double-blinding (of par- ticipants and outcome assessors), and a high drop-out rate, or differences in number or reasons for dropping out between groups, are associated with bias.26 –31 This evidence is collected in fields other than back and neck pain. We recommend assessing the risk of bias in the studies by using the criteria presented in Table 2 and the instructions presented in Table 3. These instructions are adapted from van Tulder,6 Boutron et al (CLEAR NPT),32 and the Cochrane Handbook of Reviews of Interventions.7 Of these criteria, 11 have already been used in 26 (65%) and 10 have been used in 7 (18%) systematic reviews within the CBRG (The Cochrane Library 2008, issue 4). These criteria are also considered im- portant by others who study nonpharmaceutical interven- tions.32,33 Internal validity criteria refer to characteristics of the study that might be related to selection bias (criteria 1, 2, 9), performance bias (criteria 3, 4, 10, 11), attrition bias (criteria 6, 7), and detection bias (criteria 5, 12). Each criterion should be scored as yes, unclear, or no, where yes indicates the criterion has been met and therefore suggests a low risk of bias. The Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions7 recommends that review authors assess at least 5 issues associ- ated with risk of bias: sequence generation, allocation conceal- ment, blinding of participants, personnel and outcome asses- sors, incomplete outcome data, selective outcome reporting, and other potential threats to validity not already identified. The criteria recommended by the CBRG are aligned with the new “Handbook,” except for “selective reporting of out- comes.” We suggest adding this item as the 12th internal va- lidity criterion. We recommend that the studies are rated as having a “low risk of bias” when at least 6 of the 12 CBRG criteria have been met and the study has no serious flaws (e.g., 80% drop-out rate in 1 group). Studies with serious flaws, or those in which fewer than 6 of the criteria are met should be rated as having a “high risk of bias.” There is empirical evidence from a methodologic study con- ducted with data from the CBRG that a compliance threshold of less than 50% of the criteria is associated with bias.34 The results of the assessment, including the rationale for the decision, should be presented in the “Risk of Bias” table, which is included with the “Characteristics of included studies” table in Review Manager 5. If one of the review authors is an author or coauthor of one of the included trials, this person should not be involved in any decisions regarding the risk of bias assess- ment of the trial at issue. Further Guidance. Some empirical evidence suggests that blinded risk of bias assessment, that is, removing the names of authors, institution, and journals from the articles when assess- ing the risk of bias, resulted in more consistent and higher rating of bias than open assessment.35 However, 2 other stud- ies did not find an association between blinded assessment of studies and bias.33,36 It is difficult to achieve true blinding, because experts are usually involved in the risk of bias assess- ment of the studies. Therefore, the CBRG leaves it to the dis- cretion of the review authors to decide whether or not to per- form a blinded risk of bias assessment. Because assessment by content experts may be biased by prior opinions, it may be desirable to have both a clinical content expert and a nonexpert (but with a methodologic background) assess the risk of bias in the studies. In systematic reviews where there is likely to be a conflict of interest (e.g., chiropractors or manual therapists re- viewing spinal manipulation, or physiotherapists reviewing ex- ercise therapy), it may be desirable to also mask the studies for results and conclusions, or to include someone who has no potential conflict of interest in the risk of bias assessment. We recommend that review authors pilot-test the risk of bias assessment on some similar articles (regarding another intervention or disorder) that will not be included in the review. It is important for review authors to agree on a common inter- pretation of the items and their operationalization. We recommend using a consensus method to discuss and solve disagreements between the review authors. If disagree- ment persists, another independent person should be consulted who is an expert in review methodology. The initial interob- server reliability (e.g., Kappa) of the risk of bias assessment should be evaluated and reported. A study in the field of rheumatology showed that some trials that inadequately reported the method of randomization and 1932 Spine • Volume 34 • Number 18 • 2009
  • 5. Table 1. Taxonomy of Study Design of Studies Assessing the Effects of Health-Care Interventions Experimental studies with control group (“clinical trials” or “trials”): The investigator has control over the decision concerning the allocation of participants to different intervention groups. Randomized controlled trial (RCT) (A) Reported method of randomization and the method is adequate (see text for examples). (B) Did not report methods of randomization. Only the phrase “randomized study,” “random allocation” or other similar expression is reported. Controlled clinical trial (CCT) (A) Reported the method of allocation and this method is inadequate (see text for examples). Synonym: quasi-randomized controlled trial (q-RCT). (B) Did not report the method of allocation and there is no phrase or expression indicating that the allocation was randomized. Observational studies with control group: The investigator’s intention is to observe and not to interfere with routine care. Cohort study Synonyms: “Longitudinal study” (emphasizing that people are followed over time); “Prospective study” (implying the forward direction of the research question); “Incidence study” (calling attention to the basic measure of new diseases events over time). The cases are selected based on exposure to the interventions. It involves measuring the occurrence of disease within 1 or more group of individuals who are followed or traced over a period of time. A true cohort study is an inception cohort study, to differentiate from “survival cohorts.” Cohort studies can be prospective or retrospective with regards to the data collection: “prospective” means that the study is planned before any data is collected; and “retrospective” means that when the study is planned, all (or part of) the data is already collected. Survival cohort study Synonym: “available patients cohort.” People are included in a study because they both have a disease and are currently available—perhaps they are being seen in a specialized clinic. Survival cohorts are misleading if they are presented as true cohorts. In a survival cohort, people are assembled at various times in the course of their disease, rather than at the beginning as in a true cohort study. Their clinical course is then described by going back in time and seeing how they have fared up to the present. Case control study The cases are selected based on the outcomes. A research design in which all group selection, pretest data, and posttest data are collected after completion of the treatment. The evaluator is thus not involved in the selection or placement of individuals into comparison or control groups. All evaluation decisions are made retrospectively. Individuals are matched on variables thought to be critical in determining the outcome, therefore the groups are equivalent except for the interventions. Cross-sectional study All of the information refers to the same point in time. There is no follow-up. They are usually conducted by collecting data from administrative databases (census, hospital discharges and workers’ compensation databases). Uncontrolled studies (without a separate control group): can be experimental or observational in nature. Case series The participants are described as a group (A) “Case study”: A single group is studied only once, subsequent to some agent or treatment presumed to cause change. (B) “Before and after”: a single group is studied before and after some agent or treatment presumed to cause change. Case reports (A) Case reports: the participants are described individually. (B) “N-of-1 randomized trial”: the patient undergoes pairs of treatment periods randomized so that 1 period involves the use of experimental treatment and the other involves the use of an alternate or placebo therapy. Reprinted with permission from J Clin Epidemiol.25 Copyright 2008, Elsevier. 1933 2009 Updated Guidelines for Systematic Reviews • Furlan et al
  • 6. allocation concealment had actually performed them adequately.37 Therefore, if the article does not contain information on (one or more of) the internal validity criteria, the authors may be con- tacted for additional information. If the authors cannot be con- tacted or if the information is no longer available, the criteria should be scored as “unclear,” with an explanation. Different risks of bias may explain the variation in the re- sults of the studies included in a systematic review and can result in over- or underestimation of the effectiveness of the intervention at issue. However, there are no strict guidelines for the use of risk of bias assessment in systematic reviews. In general, we recommend choosing one of the options listed be- low and clearly describe the logic behind the choice.38,39 First, based on 1 or more domains, the risk of bias can be used as an additional inclusion criterion for studies in the re- view (e.g., only include adequately randomized RCTs or dou- ble-blinded RCTs) or based on the number of criteria met (e.g., only include studies that adequately fulfill six of the 12 validity criteria and have no serious flaws). Second, a stratified analysis can be performed in which the results are separately presented for different strata of studies (e.g., studies that meet specific criteria, or studies with a low or high risk of bias). Third, a sensitivity analysis can be performed to determine whether the overall results are the same when studies with different definitions of low or high risk of bias are analyzed. Fourth, weights can be applied in the analysis to studies according to the risk of bias, so that studies with a lower risk of bias have more impact on the overall results. Obviously, choosing weights involves additional arbitrary decisions. Fifth, a cu- mulative meta-analysis can be performed by examining the impact on the overall results as studies with increasing risk of bias are included one at a time. And last, a meta- regression can be performed to explore the relation between criteria met and the magnitude of effect across outcomes and studies. The first 4 options are also available when statistical pooling is not feasible; the last 2 apply specifically to statis- tical pooling. The Editorial Board refers the reader to Chapter 8 in the Cochrane Handbook of Systematic Reviews for Interventions7 for further details on assessing risk of bias. Data Extraction Minimum Criteria. At least 2 review authors should indepen- dently extract the data. Data describing study characteristics that include characteristics of participants, interventions, com- parisons, outcomes, analysis, results, and study sponsorship should be extracted and presented in a table (see inclusion criteria for full details). Cointerventions and other confounders should be described in as much detail as possible to enable accurate comparison. If one of the review authors is an author or coauthor of one of the included trials, this person should not be involved in any decisions regarding the data extraction of the trial at issue. Further Guidance The CBRG recommends that authors use a standardized form for data extraction that will facilitate the comparison process. It is advisable to pilot test the data extraction form to minimize misinterpretations or later disagreements. If there are disagree- ments, consensus should be achieved by discussion among the review authors. If disagreements persist, an independent person should be consulted. If the article does not contain sufficient information, the authors may be contacted. Data extraction forms will vary across different systematic reviews, but there will also be similarities among the forms needed for reviews on back and neck pain. Because designing a data extraction form is time-consuming, and given the impor- tant function of data extraction forms, it may be helpful to profit and learn from experiences of others. Examples of data extraction forms used in other reviews can be obtained from the CBRG website: www.cochrane.iwh.on.ca. Data Analysis Minimum Criteria. Regardless of whether the authors use a quantitative analysis (meta-analysis) or not, the results from studies should only be combined when they are judged to be sufficiently clinically similar to yield meaningful results. This means review authors should avoid combining studies that are clinically heterogeneous for populations, interventions, com- parisons, or outcomes. A meta-analysis should be conducted whenever trials measuring a specific outcome at similar fol- low-up (short-term and/or long-term) report sufficient data to do so. When a meta-analysis is performed with only a subset of trials, review authors should assess whether the results of the studies not reported quantitatively are consistent with the meta-analysis. The analysis should include an explicit descrip- tion of the comparisons (Figure 1). Short-term follow-up refers to outcomes that are measured closest to 4 weeks after randomization; it could be as short as 7 days in a trial of analgesics and as long as 12 weeks in a trial of exercise therapy. Intermediate follow-up refers to measures taken closest to 6 months. Long-term follow-up refers to measures taken closest to 1 year. Long-term surgical outcomes should be mea- sured at 5 years. Unless otherwise stated, outcomes are assumed to be measured after the treatment is completed. The Editorial Board refers the reader to Chapter 9 of the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions7 for further guidance on data analysis. The primary analysis of the review should only be based on the results from RCTs (Table 1). If review authors include designs Table 2. Sources of Risk of Bias A 1. Was the method of randomization adequate? Yes/No/Unsure B 2. Was the treatment allocation concealed? Yes/No/Unsure C Was knowledge of the allocated interventions adequately prevented during the study? 3. Was the patient blinded to the intervention? Yes/No/Unsure 4. Was the care provider blinded to the intervention? Yes/No/Unsure 5. Was the outcome assessor blinded to the intervention? Yes/No/Unsure D Were incomplete outcome data adequately addressed? 6. Was the drop-out rate described and acceptable? Yes/No/Unsure 7. Were all randomized participants analysed in the group to which they were allocated? Yes/No/Unsure E 8. Are reports of the study free of suggestion of selective outcome reporting? Yes/No/Unsure F Other sources of potential bias: 9. Were the groups similar at baseline regarding the most important prognostic indicators? Yes/No/Unsure 10. Were co-interventions avoided or similar? Yes/No/Unsure 11. Was the compliance acceptable in all groups? Yes/No/Unsure 12. Was the timing of the outcome assessment similar in all groups? Yes/No/Unsure 1934 Spine • Volume 34 • Number 18 • 2009
  • 7. other than RCTs, the data should be analyzed separately and contrasted with the results from the primary analysis. If one of the review authors is an author or coauthor of one of the included trials, this person should not be involved in any data analysis that includes the trial at issue. Further Guidance Quantitative Analysis. If it is clinically relevant and statisti- cally justified to combine the results, statistical pooling should be performed that provides an overall estimate of effect, with a 95% confidence interval for each outcome.40,41 The Editorial Board recommends contacting a statistician before performing a quantitative analysis. A meta-analysis should start by exam- ining potential publication and other biases with a funnel plot to explore asymmetry among trial results.42 If asymmetry is present, potential reasons should be explored. However, funnel plots may be misleading and should be interpreted cautiously.43 Formal statistical tests also exist, but there is no consensus regarding the strengths and weaknesses of these tests.44 – 46 For the meta-analysis of dichotomous outcomes, the relative risk, risk difference, or odds ratio can be used to summarize the effect. Empirical evidence from 125 meta-analyses showed that summary odds ratios and risk differences usually lead to similar conclusions about treatment effect, but that risk differences are substantially more heterogeneous.47 For continuous outcomes, mean differences from each trial can be combined. If the continu- ous outcomes are not directly combinable—that is, if different instruments are used for the same outcome measurements— standardized mean differences (effect sizes) might be used.40,41 For time-to-event data (e.g., return-to-work), survival analysis is the most appropriate statistic to use.48 If necessary, the authors of the original studies may be contacted to provide relevant information. If data are not presented in a way that can be easily included in a meta-analysis, review authors should try to calculate effect sizes. For example, for trials that report a mean outcome but no stan- dard deviation, one could estimate the standard deviation by tak- ing the mean standard deviation weighted by the relevant treat- ment group’s sample size across all other trials that reported standard deviations for the same outcome. There are 2 statistical models for combining data in a meta- analysis: the fixed-effect model and the random-effects model.40 Although there are arguments favoring each model, in general, the clinical heterogeneity of the back and neck pain literature suggests that the assumptions underlying the random-effects model are better suited to statistical combination of trials in this field. However, the random-effects model does not account Table 3. Criteria for a Judgment of “Yes” for the Sources of Risk of Bias 1 A random (unpredictable) assignment sequence. Examples of adequate methods are coin toss (for studies with 2 groups), rolling a dice (for studies with 2 or more groups), drawing of balls of different colors, drawing of ballots with the study group labels from a dark bag, computer-generated random sequence, pre-ordered sealed envelops, sequentially-ordered vials, telephone call to a central office, and pre-ordered list of treatment assignments Examples of inadequate methods are: alternation, birth date, social insurance/ security number, date in which they are invited to participate in the study, and hospital registration number. 2 Assignment generated by an independent person not responsible for determining the eligibility of the patients. This person has no information about the persons included in the trial and has no influence on the assignment sequence or on the decision about eligibility of the patient. 3 This item should be scored “yes” if the index and control groups are indistinguishable for the patients or if the success of blinding was tested among the patients and it was successful. 4 This item should be scored “yes” if the index and control groups are indistinguishable for the care providers or if the success of blinding was tested among the care providers and it was successful. 5 Adequacy of blinding should be assessed for the primary outcomes. This item should be scored “yes” if the success of blinding was tested among the outcome assessors and it was successful or: –for patient-reported outcomes in which the patient is the outcome assessor (e.g., pain, disability): the blinding procedure is adequate for outcome assessors if participant blinding is scored “yes” –for outcome criteria assessed during scheduled visit and that supposes a contact between participants and outcome assessors (e.g., clinical examination): the blinding procedure is adequate if patients are blinded, and the treatment or adverse effects of the treatment cannot be noticed during clinical examination –for outcome criteria that do not suppose a contact with participants (e.g., radiography, magnetic resonance imaging): the blinding procedure is adequate if the treatment or adverse effects of the treatment cannot be noticed when assessing the main outcome –for outcome criteria that are clinical or therapeutic events that will be determined by the interaction between patients and care providers (e.g., co-interventions, hospitalization length, treatment failure), in which the care provider is the outcome assessor: the blinding procedure is adequate for outcome assessors if item “4” (caregivers) is scored “yes” –for outcome criteria that are assessed from data of the medical forms: the blinding procedure is adequate if the treatment or adverse effects of the treatment cannot be noticed on the extracted data 6 The number of participants who were included in the study but did not complete the observation period or were not included in the analysis must be described and reasons given. If the percentage of withdrawals and drop-outs does not exceed 20% for short- term follow-up and 30% for long-term follow-up and does not lead to substantial bias a “yes” is scored. (N.B. these percentages are arbitrary, not supported by literature). 7 All randomized patients are reported/analyzed in the group they were allocated to by randomization for the most important moments of effect measurement (minus missing values) irrespective of non-compliance and co-interventions. 8 In order to receive a “yes”, the review author determines if all the results from all pre-specified outcomes have been adequately reported in the published report of the trial. This information is either obtained by comparing the protocol and the report, or in the absence of the protocol, assessing that the published report includes enough information to make this judgment. 9 In order to receive a “yes”, groups have to be similar at baseline regarding demographic factors, duration and severity of complaints, percentage of patients with neurological symptoms, and value of main outcome measure(s). 10 This item should be scored “yes” if there were no co-interventions or they were similar between the index and control groups. 11 The reviewer determines if the compliance with the interventions is acceptable, based on the reported intensity, duration, number and frequency of sessions for both the index intervention and control intervention(s). For example, physiotherapy treatment is usually administered over several sessions; therefore it is necessary to assess how many sessions each patient attended. For single- session interventions (e.g., surgery), this item is irrelevant. 12 Timing of outcome assessment should be identical for all intervention groups and for all important outcome assessments. 1935 2009 Updated Guidelines for Systematic Reviews • Furlan et al
  • 8. for the heterogeneity, does not explain it, and does not take it away. Careful analysis of heterogeneity, that is, of study char- acteristics that might explain differences among the results, is always important.49 The characteristics of participants, types of interventions, and the exact outcome values should be clearly articulated for each group of study results that are com- bined. Sensitivity analyses should be performed to examine the impact of variation in risk of bias or individual validity criteria (refer “Assessing Risk of Bias” section). Sometimes it may be difficult for review authors to decide whether it is clinically relevant to combine the results from a group of studies in a meta-analysis—for example, studies of participants with different types of treatments, different com- parison groups, or different clinical characteristics. There are no simple answers here, and review authors must be explicit about their decisions so that others may judge for themselves whether their choices were clinically sensible. A related but separate issue concerns statistical homogene- ity. A test for the statistical homogeneity of studies may be performed to evaluate whether the differences among the re- sults of the studies are greater than those that would be found by chance alone. However, the test is not very powerful, and failure to reject the hypothesis of homogeneity is not proof that the studies are homogeneous. If the hypothesis of homogeneity is rejected, or if the review team decides, on clinical grounds, that the studies are too heterogeneous to support statistical combinations, then the potential sources of heterogeneity should be examined, because the observed differences might be caused by factors other than chance, such as different risks of bias, characteristics of participants, interventions, control groups, or outcomes. If the heterogeneity can be explained, review authors should present the results of each relevant sub- group separately. Subgroup analyses should be kept to a min- imum and should be defined a priori, because subgroup analy- ses can be informative but also misleading.50 Readers are referred to Chapters 9 and 10 in the Cochrane Handbook of Systematic Reviews of Interventions7 for more details on data analysis. Grading the Quality of Evidence and Strength of Recommendations The Cochrane Handbook of Systematic Reviews of Interven- tions (see Chapter 12)7 and the CBRG Editorial Board recom- mend that review authors go beyond the reporting of the results of quantitative analyses and rate the quality of the evidence for each important patient-centered outcome. To help readers use this new approach, the CBRG has adapted the GRADE ap- proach for back and neck pain reviews. The quality of the evidence on a specific outcome is based on 5 domains: limita- tions of the study design, inconsistency, indirectness (inability to generalize), and imprecision (insufficient or imprecise data) of results and publication bias across all studies that measure that particular outcome.51 (Appendix 3, Supplemental Digital Con- tent 3, two examples extracted from the Cochrane reviews of “Rehabilitation after lumbar disc surgery”52 and “Massage for low back pain,”53 available at: http://links.lww.com/BRS/A375). The most important step is to choose which outcomes are relevant for inclusion in the GRADE Evidence Profile. This is based on the choice of “primary outcome measures,” selected a priori in the protocol stage (see section “inclusion criteria: out- come measures”). For each outcome, all applicable RCTs (i.e., those that measured the outcome) are noted in the first column, regardless of whether they have sufficient data to be combined in a meta-analysis. Only RCTs included in the primary analysis of the review should be included in the GRADE Evidence Pro- file (see section “inclusion criteria: study design”). Population 1: Acute low-back pain with neurological symptoms. Comparison 1.1: traction vs. placebo/sham/no treatment Outcome 1.1.1: pain intensity Follow-up: short-term Intermediate-term long-term Outcome 1.1.2: functional status Follow-up: short-term Intermediate-term long-term Outcome 1.1.3 ……….. Comparison 1.2: traction vs. exercise therapy Outcome 1.2.1: pain intensity Follow-up: short-term Intermediate-term long-term Outcome 1.2.2: functional status Follow-up: short-term Intermediate-term long-term Outcome 1.2.3 ……….. Population 2: Acute low back pain without neurological symptoms. Comparison 2.1: traction vs. placebo/sham/no treatment Outcome 2.1.1: pain intensity Follow up: ………. Population 3: Chronic low back pain with neurological symptoms. Figure 1. Example of an analysis for a systematic review on trac- tion for low-back pain. 1936 Spine • Volume 34 • Number 18 • 2009
  • 9. Limitations of the studies refer to the results of the risk of bias assessment of the studies identified in column 1, using the 12 criteria recommended above. For example, if the studies have a high (fewer than six criteria met, a fatal flaw that puts the validity in question, or both) or low (six or more criteria met, with no fatal flaws) risk of bias. Flaws or unmet criteria should be explained in a footnote of the GRADE Evidence Profile and “Summary of Findings” table. “Inconsistency” refers to the lack of similarity of estimates of treatment effects for the outcome across studies. Study re- sults are considered consistent when direction, effect size, and statistical significance are sufficiently similar to lead to the same conclusions. Consistency in direction is defined as 75% or more of the studies showing either a benefit or no benefit. In the case of a benefit, consistency in effect size is defined as 75% or more of the studies showing a clinically important or unimportant effect (see section on clinical relevance). Consistency in statistical signifi- cance is defined by the Chi squared test for heterogeneity. “Indirectness” (lack of ability to generalize) refers to the extent to which the people, interventions and outcomes in the trials are not comparable to those defined in the inclusion criteria of the review. If the authors decide that there is uncertainty about gen- eralizability of the results, the reason should be given in a footnote. Authors may suggest that their results are more applicable to a specific population, (e.g., the effects of using insoles for young, male army recruits rather than a general working population)54 or that the results are based on an indirect comparison (e.g., there is strong evidence that discectomy is more effective than chemo- nucleolysis and that chemonucleolysis is more effective than pla- cebo: ergo, discectomy is more effective than placebo).55 “Imprecision” refers to the number of participants and events and the width of the confidence interval for each outcome, espe- cially when the confidence interval is sufficiently wide so that the estimate could either support or refute the effectiveness of the index intervention. The CBRG Editorial Group further recom- mends that data are imprecise when only 1 study reports an out- come, regardless of the sample size or the confidence interval and when fewer than 75% of the studies present data that can be included in a meta-analysis. A footnote should explain the exact reason why data were judged to be sparse or imprecise. “Publication bias” refers to the probability of selective pub- lication of trials and outcomes. This bias might be considered if full results for planned outcomes identified in a protocol or the trial report are not provided in the results section. If the review authors decide there is publication bias, they should support their decision in a footnote. The overall “quality of the evidence” for each outcome is the result of the combination of the assessments in all domains. The GRADE Working Group recommends 4 levels of evidence: High quality evidence ⫽ at least 75% of the RCTs with no limitations of study design have consistent findings, direct and precise data and no known or suspected publication biases. Moderate quality evidence ⫽ 1 of the domains is not met. Low quality evidence ⫽ 2 of the domains are not met. Very low quality evidence ⫽ 3 of the domains are not met. The CBRG recommends adding another level: No evidence ⫽ no RCTs were identified that addressed this outcome. GRADEprofiler software is available to develop the GRADE Evidence Profiles by importing data from Review Manager 5. See the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Inter- ventions,7 chapter 12 for more details on grading the evidence. Clinical Relevance Further Guidance. The CBRG recommends including an as- sessment of clinical relevance of study results in systematic reviews. The conclusions about the effectiveness of the inter- vention should contain all the important information needed to enable users to make a decision about the applicability of the results to their population. The clinical relevance of the studies should be independently assessed by at least 2 review authors. In the 2003 Updated Method Guidelines, the Editorial Board recommended 5 questions to assess the clinical relevance of each included study.56,57 In 2006, Malmivaara et al, in con- sultation with the Editorial Board, reviewed the set of 5 ques- tions and articulated the details in the evaluation of applicabil- ity and clinical relevance of results of RCTs. The final consensus consisted of 40 items. For the most part, these items are characteristics of the population, interventions, compari- sons, analysis, and results that review authors are advised to extract from the studies. These details should be used to answer the 5 questions (Table 4). For more details and examples on how to assess each item, review authors are encouraged to read the original study by Malmivaara et al.58 There is ongoing research examining how to determine important clinical differ- ences in pain reduction and functional improvement. At present, there is consensus regarding minimal clinically impor- tant changes for pain and function in back pain.59 Authors are Table 4. Questions to Determine if Results Are Clinically Relevant Based on the data provided, can you determine if the results will be clinically relevant? Are the patients described in detail so that you can decide whether they are comparable to those that you see in your practice? □ Yes □ No □ Unsure Are the interventions and treatment settings described well enough so that you can provide the same for your patients? □ Yes □ No □ Unsure Were all clinically relevant outcomes measured and reported? □ Yes □ No □ Unsure Is the size of the effect clinically important?* □ Yes □ No □ Unsure Are the likely treatment benefits worth the potential harms? □ Yes □ No □ Unsure *For low-back pain, consider 30% on VAS/NRS for pain as clinically significant,59,62 and 2 to 3 points (or 8 to 12%) on the Roland-Morris Disability Questionnaire for function.59,60 *For neck pain, consider 3.5 to 5 U on the 50-U Neck Pain Disability Index or 7 to 10% change63,64 for function and 2.5 on an 10-U NRS (25% change) for pain.63 *For effect size, most authors use Cohen’s 3 levels.61 Small: WMD less than 10% of the scale (e.g., ⬍10 mm on a 100 mm VAS); SMD or “d” scores ⬍0.5; relative risk, ⬍1.25 or ⬎0.8 (depending on whether it reports risk of benefit or risk of harm). Medium: WMD 10 to 20% of the scale; SMD or “d” scores from 0.5 to ⬍0.8; relative risk between 1.25 to 2.0, or 0.5 to 0.8. Large: WMD ⬎20% of the scale; SMD or “d” scores ⱖ0.8; relative risks ⬎2.0 or ⬍0.5. VAS indicates Visual Analog Scale; NRS, Numerical Rating Scale; SMD, standardized mean difference; WMD, weighted mean difference. 1937 2009 Updated Guidelines for Systematic Reviews • Furlan et al
  • 10. advised to consult the literature that also includes key refer- ences on neck pain59 – 64 and include both statistical and clini- cal importance in their discussion(Table 4).59 – 64 The answers to these questions should be used to inform the discussion of the final results and conclusions; for example, in the discussion section, clinical relevance could be included as follows: There was high quality evidence from 10 RCTs (2000 participants) that intervention A is more effective than no treat- ment for reducing pain in the long-term for individuals with chronic low back pain. However, since none of the trials de- scribed the program in detail, it is difficult to determine how to provide this treatment to your patients and which types of exercise healthcare providers should provide to patients (this example is not based on real data). Conclusion Minimum Criteria Results should be listed in the same order as the compari- sons and outcomes were set out in the protocol. To improve consistency, the text should contain the following items (Figure 2): quality of evidence, the number of trials (number of participants), results of quantitative analysis (effect size plus confidence interval), results of qualitative analysis (di- rection of the effect [more/less effective, no difference]), the intervention, the type of participants, the comparison treat- ment (specifically stated), the outcome measured, and the timing (short-term or long-term) of the outcome measure. Example 1: There is high quality evidence from seven trials (1268 people) that behavioral treatment is more ef- fective than no treatment for individuals with chronic back pain without neurologic symptoms for short-term pain re- lief (SMD: 0.62, 95% CI: 0.25 to 0.98) and short-term behavioral outcomes (SMD: 0.40, 95% CI: 0.10 to 0.70— data only pooled from 5 trials). Example 2: There is moderate quality evidence (4 tri- als; 354 people) that there is no statistically significant No significant difference between index and comparison group(s) •Quantitative analysis: There is (high/moderate/low/very low) quality evidence from (X) trials (no. of people) that there is no statistically significant difference in (short-term/ long-term) follow-up for (outcome Z) (RR 1.1, 95% CI 0.8 to 1.4), between individuals with (acute/subacute/chronic) (back/neck) pain (with/without) neurological symptoms who received (index) and those who received (comparison). •Qualitative analysis: There is (high/moderate/low/very low) quality evidence from (X) trials (no. of people) that there is no significant difference in (short-term/long-term) follow-up for (outcome Z), between individuals with (acute/subacute/chronic) (back/neck pain) (with/without) neurological symptoms] who received (index) and those who received (comparison). Index is more/less effective than comparison group(s) •Quantitative analysis: There is (high/moderate/low/very low) quality evidence from (X) trials (no. of people) that (index intervention) is (more/less) effective than (comparison intervention) for individuals with (acute/subacute/chronic) (back/neck) pain (with/without) neurologic symptoms for (outcome A) at (short-term/long-term) follow-up with RR 4.0 (95% CI 3.0 to 5.0) and (outcome B) at (short-term/long-term) follow-up with RR 4.0 (95% CI 3.0 to 5.0). •Qualitative analysis: There is (high/moderate/low/very low) quality evidence from (X) trials (no. of people) that (index intervention) is (more/less) effective than (comparison intervention) for individuals with (acute/subacute/chronic) (back/neck) pain (with/without) neurologic symptoms for (outcome A, B and C) in the (short-term/long-term). Contradictory findings across trials •Qualitative analysis: There is conflicting evidence from (X) trials (no. of people) about whether (index intervention) is more/less effective than (comparison intervention) for individuals with (acute/subacute/chronic) (back/neck) pain (with/without) neurological symptoms for (outcome A, B and C) in the (short-term/long-term). No evidence There were no RCTs identified that examined the effects of (index intervention) for individuals with (acute/subacute/chronic) (back/neck) pain (with/without) neurological symptoms. * The intervention for the comparison group should be explicitly described: placebo, no treatment, waiting list controls, or treatment B (where treatment B is specifically named). Figure 2. Recommendation for authors’ conclusions in system- atic reviews. 1938 Spine • Volume 34 • Number 18 • 2009
  • 11. difference in short-term pain relief between individuals with chronic back pain with or without neurologic symptoms who received acupuncture and those who re- ceived placebo or sham acupuncture. Further Guidance The Cochrane Handbook of systematic reviews of inter- ventions,7 chapter 11 recommends that reviews include a “Summary of Findings” table, which provides key informa- tion on the quality of evidence, the magnitude of effect of the interventions examined, and the sum of available data on the main outcomes. The information is imported from the GRADEprofiler software and other data included in the review. Main outcomes should be determined a priori, in the protocol. Because the information is still new at time of writing, review authors are directed to the Handbook for more detailed information. As developed, we will add ex- amples from the neck and back pain field to the Cochrane Back Review Group website (www.cochrane.iwh.on.ca). Updating Minimum Criteria. One goal of Cochrane is to present the best current evidence on the effects of healthcare inter- ventions. This is accomplished by updating published reviews as new evidence becomes available. The CBRG Trial Search coordinator updates the literature searches at least every 2 years and more frequently if important new evidence is published and notifies the lead author of the results. If the lead author is unable to complete the update, for whatever reason, the Editorial Board reserves the right to assume responsibility for the review. This may include finding a new lead author or a totally new review team. The results of the updated literature search determine the amount of work involved in updating the review. This may range from the editorial office staff updating the liter- ature search date and notifying the author that their review was updated, in the event no new studies are identified, to rewriting most of the review. Depending on when the orig- inal review was published, expectations of The Cochrane Collaboration in general, and the CBRG in particular, may have changed (e.g., based on the general direction of The Cochrane Collaboration, this update of the method guide- lines recommends using a GRADE approach rather than Levels of Evidence for the final summary of results). Au- thors should explore the CBRG (www.cochrane. iwh.on.ca) and Cochrane Collaboration (www.cochrane. org) websites and contact the Managing Editor of the CBRG for current information on updating your review. Before starting an update of his or her review, the lead review author should consider the following issues: ● Is the current review team still willing and able to update the review? ● Are the inclusion criteria for studies, search strate- gies, risk of bias assessment criteria, analyses and summary methods still appropriate? Existing reviews may have included a combination of (sub)acute or chronic back or neck pain. The Editorial Board recommends that updates of reviews focus specif- ically on (sub)acute or chronic back or neck pain. It is also recommended that reviews focus separately on non- specific back or neck pain, sciatica or radicular symp- toms, or specific causes (e.g., spinal stenosis, scoliosis). This means that some reviews will need to be split into two or more reviews with a smaller scope. This should be discussed with the Managing Editor of the CBRG. Discussion The Editorial Board believes that systematic reviews repre- sent one of the key advances in medical science in the past 15 years and offer a real opportunity for change in medical practice worldwide. Obviously, one of the major challenges for the future is to increase implementation of the results of systematic reviews. Some initiatives have been developed that try to make systematic reviews more easily available for clinicians in daily practice. Recently published Euro- pean and North American clinical guidelines on the man- agement of low back pain have used the evidence from systematic reviews as the basis for their recommenda- tions.65–69 The BMJ Publishing Group publishes “Clinical Evidence,” which is a summary of the current state of knowledge based on Cochrane and other systematic re- views on the prevention and treatment of a wide range of clinical conditions (www.clinicalevidence.com). NHS Clin- ical Knowledge Summaries from the UK are reliable sources of evidence-based information (based in part on Cochrane reviews) and practical “know how” about the common conditions managed in primary care (http:// cks.library.nhs.uk/home; accessed September 19, 2008). The number of evidence-based products being developed to inform clinical decisions that use systematic reviews as the basis for the evidence is rapidly increasing. Since behavioral change is multifaceted, whether these and other implemen- tation efforts indeed result in a change in clinicians’ behav- ior and in improved patient outcomes remains unclear. Systematic reviews must be conducted as carefully as the trials they report. To achieve full impact, systematic reviews must meet high methodologic standards. The objective of these method guidelines is to help review authors to design, conduct, and report reviews of trials in the field of back and neck pain systematically and explicitly. These guidelines are not intended to set a gold standard or to discourage people from doing a systematic review. On the contrary, we en- courage people to undertake a systematic review in collab- oration with others. The Cochrane Collaboration has just released a new version of the Cochrane Handbook of Sys- tematic Reviews Of Interventions (February 2008) and Review Manager 5 (March 2008), the software used to produce Cochrane review. The CBRG will post back and neck-related examples on our website. Therefore, for more guidance on systematic reviews of back and neck pain, we refer readers to the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions (http://www.cochrane.org/ resources/handbook/index.htm), the Review Manager 1939 2009 Updated Guidelines for Systematic Reviews • Furlan et al
  • 12. website (http://www.cc-ims.net/RevMan), the GRADEprofiler website (http://www.cc-ims.net/gradepro), or the CBRG website (www.cochrane.iwh.on.ca). Address: Cochrane Back Review Group, Institute for Work & Health, Toronto, Ontario, Canada, M5G 2E9. Telephone: (416) 927-2027, fax: (416) 927-4167. Key Points ● Many reviews of therapeutic interventions for spinal disorders have been published. It is impor- tant that these reviews use adequate systematic methods to minimize bias. ● Previous method guidelines for systematic re- views in the field of spinal disorders were updated. ● These method guidelines include recommenda- tions that are mandatory (minimum criteria) and op- tional (further guidance) for review authors conduct- ing reviews within the Cochrane Back Review Group. ● The Cochrane Back Review Group now recom- mends using the GRADE approach to determine the overall quality of the evidence for important patient-centered outcomes across studies. ● The method guidelines include a new section on updating reviews. ● Others may find these guidelines useful to plan, conduct, or evaluate systematic reviews in the field of spinal disorders. Supplemental digital content is available for this article. Direct URL citations appear in the printed text, and links to the digital files are provided in the HTML text of this article on the journal’s Web site (www.spinejournal.com). 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