Ta2.07 betemariam.capetown land health_shepherd _ betemariam1
1. Keith D Shepherd & Ermias Betemariam
Behavioural Risk Factor and
Outcome Surveillance for
Effective Soil Health
Interventions
Integrating Household Surveys with Geospatial and Big Data
Sources: Applications for Scalability
UN World Data Forum
15 - 18 January 2017 Cape Town, South Africa
3. Land Health Surveillance & Response
Shepherd KD, et al. 2015. Land health surveillance and response: a framework for
evidence-informed land management. Agricultural Systems 132: 93–106
Land Health - the capacity of land,
relative to its potential, to sustain
delivery of essential ecosystem
services (the benefits people obtain
from ecosystems)
Land health surveillance
Develop and promote methods for
measuring and monitoring land health,
assessing land health risks, and
targeting interventions to improve
agro-ecosystem health and human
wellbeing
5. Behavioural Risk Factor Surveillance
Key information needs
1. Quantitative relationships
between outcomes and risk
factors
2. Change in risk factors over
time
Once you know the relationships
then just need to monitor behaviour:
• Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance
• Activity surveys; telephone
interviews; crowd-sourcing
• E.g. World Bank LSMS surveys
6. New advances in soil health monitoring
• Low cost data from
sensors – lab, field,
space
• Data integration
• Machine learning
Africa Soil Information Service
7. Improving small-holder Agricultural statistics
through the integration of soil health data into the
household socio-economic panel surveys
Land and Soil Experiment Research
(LASER): Ethiopia and Uganda
Importance:
• Quantify relationships between risk factors
and soil health
• Monitor risk factors
8. 8
• Household socio-economic data
• Subjective assessment of soil quality
• Soil sampling
• Objective assessment of soil quality
Survey Design and data
collection
11. Lessons learned
Methodological improvements in smallholder agricultural
statistics enables better decision making
Spectral soil analysis a feasible option to improve soil
quality data
Panel samples of soil health of farm plots can be directly
linked to household survey data
Demonstrated feasibility of simultaneously quantifying soil
health, risk factors and human wellbeing
Editor's Notes
We are making this presentation in response to growing commitments from countries and organizations to restore degraded land. We present a framework for Behavioural Risk Factor and Outcome Surveillance for Effective Soil Health Interventions
Soil ecosystems in particular are under threat globally and soil security has become a major issue
Published in 2015, Land health surveillance and response is a framework for increasing the scientific rigour of land health assessment for policy and management that draws on scientific principles used in public health surveillance.
We define land or soil health as…
We define land health surveillance similarly to public health surveillance, as …
Central to the surveillance approach is a risk-based framework. Outcomes such as soil fertility decline are associated with process causes such as soil fertility depletion, which in turn are the result of proximal causes such as low nutrient input use, which in turn are associated with more distal drivers, such as poverty, poor market access and policies.
Much of the focus is currently on project-scale rehabilitation interventions, but our work points to the importance of not ignoring preventive opportunities, which need to address interventions higher up the causal chain.
The key bits of information we need to make informed decisions on soil health management are: (1) the quantitative relationship between outcomes and risk factors and (2) the change in risk factors over time.
Once you know the relationships then just need to monitor behaviour – this also provides much earlier warning on trends.
Hence much of the current investment in public health is on Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance
These are Activity surveys (e.g. land/soil use practices) which are commonly conducted using telephone interviews; but remote sensing and crowd-sourcing of data are increasingly becoming feasible.
The World Bank Living Standards Measurement Study collects much of the relevant activity data.
New advances in soil health monitoring, for example as developed and being applied by the Africa Soil Information Service, are making it cost effective to monitor outcomes on soil health at multiple scales.
These combine use of low cost data from sensors in the lab, in the field and in space, with data integration and machine learning.
There is now opportunity to couple risk factor and outcome monitoring.
We won a grant to incorporate a field-scale soil monitoring component in the World Bank’s Living Standards Measurement Study, which has been helping a number of Governments establish household panel surveys and agricultural monitoring over several decades. We piloted a soil fertility monitoring component in two African countries.