Intuition of Planetary Boundaries

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This document discusses planetary boundaries, tipping points, and their implications for global governance and sustainability. It makes three key points: A) Global decision-making should be grounded in maintaining ecosystem balance and resilience against external perturbations. Adaptive feedback loops allow natural systems to achieve dynamic equilibrium. B) Systems can pass tipping points if perturbations persist, causing disruption and potentially irreversible consequences. Tipping points exist in all complex systems, regardless of our ability to identify them. C) Understanding planetary boundaries and tipping points through science is crucial to collective action addressing nine boundaries that threaten Earth systems. An international, system-based approach is needed to achieve sustainable development at this critical junction.

Leadership & Management

Bangkok, Thailand / Page 1 (2) Edition: June 12, 2022
Intuition of Planetary Boundaries
Tipping Points and Global Governance Implications to the Sustainable
Ecosystems at Today's Critical Junction
Siripong Treetasanatavorn
Sloan Fellow, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Planetary Boundaries and Sustainability Governance Implications:
A. Lead global decision-making complex on the premise of ecosystemic balance:
• Commanding intuition of the planetary boundaries grounds itself on the
premise of ecosystem regime that regulates and adapts equilibrium dynamics
in nature toward stability and resilience on a whole-of-system level, especially
against exacerbating consequence from external perturbation (implications of
ecosystem resilience from self-regulating services¹);
• Adaptive feedback mechanism indeed lies at heart at the fundamentals of
such regulating function in the natural ecosystem, essentially by harnessing
checks and balances with competing and complementary forces inherent to
the governance dynamics, thereby effectively establishing sustainability and
resilience substantive to the ecosystem function as a whole;
B. Embrace science in identification of tipping points in global stewardship dialogs:
• Regime shift from the dynamic equilibrium is however possible especially
once external perturbation persists, and thereby potentially causing systemic
disruption and jeopardizing long-run structural balance, often with irreversible
consequences to the ecosystem governance — without returning pathways;
• Tipping point as characterized above is in fact inherent to the nature of just
about any dynamic systems regardless of one’s capabilities to recognize such
existence, considering in particular complexity and intricacy of the required
structural decision conducive to maintaining the highgrounds of the desirable
equilibrium provided the challenge at hand (see discussion of the Aral Sea in
the aftermath of the water ecosystem collapse², also as shown in the Exhibit);
C. Transcend governance ambition with planetary sciences as key guiding principle:
• Science of planetary boundaries and human capabilities in response on the
aforementioned premises are therefore key and pivotal to the collective action
addressable to at least nine scientifically-established planetary boundaries,
that cause vulnerabilities to the state of the earth systems with irreconcilable
and irreversible consequences, essentially in shared forward-looking ambition
of the international community towards the global sustainable achievement3
.

S. Treetasanatavorn. Intuition of Planetary Boundaries
Edition: June 12, 2022 Bangkok, Thailand / Page 2 (2)
Exhibit: Evolution of the Aral-Sea Dynamic System in Demonstration of the Regime
Shift Beyond Tipping Point (Source: Stockholm Resilience Centre 2020)
References (in appearance order):
1. See introductory discussion of the planetary boundaries at the Royal Swedish
Academy of Sciences (2011):
https://www.stockholmresilience.org/publications/publications/2011-10-18-the-
anthropocene-from-global-change-to-planetary-stewardship.html
2. See consequential impact at the Aral Sea beyond the tipping point from BBC (2018):
https://www.bbc.com/news/business-44159122
3. See discussion of all nine planetary boundaries in broader sustainable development
context at Science (2015): https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1259855; See also final
remarks by the President of Stockholm+50 Conference (2022), particularly in
advocacy of a system approach at today's global climate crossroads:
https://wedocs.unep.org/bitstream/handle/20.500.11822/40110/Key%20Messages%2
0and%20Recommendations%20-%20Formatted.pdf

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Roubini's Crisis Hypothesis: Global Debt Trap and Forward-Looking Implications to Crisis Governance at Today’s Transition Crisis Governance Narrative: • Continual increase of fiscal deficit and corresponding central banking decision to monetize it, in fact, breeds a mutually reinforcing environment conducive to stagflation, substantially before the arrival of COVID-19 crisis (see implications of the quantitative easing (QE) as depicted in borrowing costs terms therefore incentive for the global debt accumulation since 2008); • But loose monetary and fiscal policy at the precipice of the twin (economic and health) crisis since 2020 only fuels asset and credit bubble, and thereby setting in motion irrational exuberance, therefore further causes of systemic fragility to an already weakened governance baseline at today’s crossroads; • Confidence in the market and the policy is a key decisive determinant, essentially with structural capabilities to manage and overcome the ongoing supply-side challenge, considering in particular political resolve accompanied by collective rational decision, required to address the ongoing balkanization between sovereign nations in the web of global trade and financial systems; • Such is an important caveat at the crisis transition notably together with shared global priorities on the premise of broad-based capabilities to sustain the level of global/national debt without adding further cost to the supply side, while also maneuvering remaining resources and thereby re-establishing the equilibrium that best reflects the reality on the ground until the crisis subsides; • Structural transition over debt-trap challenges is, above all, an imperative required to reconstitute a good and constructive decision-making highground, with shared conscience of how and why the global economy shall serve the purpose only as long as we are all aware of its raison d'être, that is, better or worse, a function of collective reflection upon one's rational and moral choice.

Roubini's Crisis Hypothesis

Siripong Treetasanatavorn

Global Governance of Net-Zero Transition: Transforming Net-Zero Transition with Global-Governance Architecture Driven by Three Mutually-Reinforcing Pillars Global Governance Structure: A. Establish governance commonground on the premise of 2015 Paris Agreement: • One Governance Platform is the architectural foundation in the dynamics of international engagement, especially as envisioned by the Paris Rulebook (as concluded at COP26) on an agreed-upon set of governance rules, applicable to international efforts that link action to impact on an accountable baseline; B. Improve asset allocation by overcoming inherent information asymmetry: • One Disclosure Standard further brings together governance premises to a streamlined market-based decision-making structure, addressable at causes and causalities of the transition from perspective of strategy and governance, but also exposure to climate-related risks, therefore countermeasures driven by substantive metrics and targets (see the introduction of ISSB/International Sustainability Standards Board under leadership of UK COP26 from 2022); C. Transform merit-based decision with real-time data transparency: • One Reconciliation Baseline is also a prerequisite from operational point of view, particularly with accountability and transparency that link as-is net-zero impact (e.g., using blockchain with real-time impact measurement) to should-be asset value, substantiated and reconciled by fiscal/financial mechanisms;

Global Governance of Net-Zero Transition

Siripong Treetasanatavorn

Pivot of Structural Governance Decision: Leading Crisis Transition Considering Governance Decision-Making Toward Long-Term Growth and Sustainability • Pivot of governance decision plays a strategically important role at today's transition, particularly in an ongoing shift of the global market sentiment with implications of complex asset allocation decision-making, considering also the dynamics of macro challenges at today's state of international economy; • Despite evidences of increasing headwind, forward-looking investment in efficiency and productive growth still invariably command the commonsense with conventional wisdom that sound economic fundamentals shall prevail, notably once taking into consideration rationale of risk-return tradeoff under a broader-based governance platform, within but also across business cycles; • Challenges of market volatilities and the expectation thereof as witnessed in the commodity market at the height of the Great Recession in 2007-09 only substantiate such argument, but forward-looking and rational decision comes together at the transition once addressing outstanding causes and causalities of the challenge beyond heat of the moment, and thereby implying a broader range of decision-making criteria with a stronger balance between the gravity of value return and investment in strategic growth, particularly commensurate with the ambition level, be it for leadership of a private firm or sovereign fund; • Mutually reinforcing incentives toward efficient and productive growth are critically also strategic determinants in this narrative, especially along broad-based transformative pathways that make ecosystemic sense across pivotal growth sectors from green energy to smart mobility and urban development, that altogether substantiate sustainable and resilient value on the premise of meaningful socio-economic activities as part of the ongoing global transition; • Prospect of broad-based growth shall after all win greater shared purposes at the transition, essentially once taking perspective from the whole-of-nation development ambition notably by strengthening long-run strategic capabilities on a substantive common ground shared by the economies and the societies, while also empowering such narrative toward greater and more opportunities as mission with reciprocal responsibilities at today's complex global transition.

Pivot of Structural Governance Decision

Siripong Treetasanatavorn

Beyond Getting the Deal: Leadership of Negotiated Resolution and Implications of Corresponding Raison d'Être at Today's Complex Transition • Arriving at a good deal is desirable even indispensable virtually across negotiation contexts, but such matters profoundly at today's crossroads once substantiated by forward-looking balance on the premise of stability and flexibility, therefore reciprocal contingencies and corresponding uniting forces from representative assumptions from leadership of the negotiation process; • Substantive to that ambition, negotiation premises and the underlying deliberation processes must be rigorously structured, discussed and agreed upon by partners, stakeholders and representatives at the table, particularly in representation of gravity and motion that effectively command leadership attention to the status quo, considering hard realities on the ground and potential forward-looking narrative at the transition on the premise of shared reconciliation principles and mechanisms with all as respectable peers; • Mutually reinforcing resolution within but also across the aisles is essential even pivotal along the negotiation pathways, notably considering continuously exchangeable push-and-pull gravity caused by policy-diplomacy complex, all in constant interaction with convergence-divergence forces driven by political interests, ideologies even polarities, therefore an imperative to honoring well-deserved forward-looking expectation with transparency and accountability to the floor, undoubtedly in reflection of negotiation dynamics and, all the more, with hard-earned progress achieved by representative leadership at the table; • Prospect of the best alternative1 to a negotiated agreement (“BATNA”), on the other hand, offers an effective conciliatory approach, markedly with meaningful and constructive appeal applicable to resolving disagreement, conflict even confrontation among direct and indirect negotiating parties and, as a result, considered as a strategic governance tool with effective mitigating impact conducive to injecting new momentum to the negotiation process,² especially in application of observable parameters or proxy intermediaries that altogether serve as conducive confidence-building mechanisms, but also in substantiation of the entire negotiation process with leadership from all; • Pivot of the negotiated agreement shall after all become meaningful and forward-looking at today's global transition, once leadership from all relevant parties shares gravity and urgency of the aggravating situation as premises of the negotiation process,³ and thereby seeking to restore reciprocal goodwill from the well-deserved reconciliation, while also charting forward meaningful outlook to the society at large—outstandingly with mutually reinforcing raison d'être that commands dignity and pride on behalf.

Beyond Getting the Deal

Siripong Treetasanatavorn

Pivoting Net-Zero Transition with Data Intelligence Scrutinizing Energy Strategy and Governance at Today’s Net-Zero Transition by Using Data Intelligence Scrutiny at Three Levels: A. Operational integrity strengthened by real-time, forward-looking supply forecast is an imperative to today's electricity system, considering a broader range of sources in the energy mix (e.g., Thailand with a stronger reliance on solar photovoltaics and onshore wind¹), therefore an increasing challenge in meeting an expectation from the quality-of-service point of view, considering security and operational resiliency (premises of the supply-demand balance) particularly at a reasonable level of the economic value return (e.g., marginal costs given the operational energy mix versus marginal prices in the market); B. Strategic planning underpinned by data-driven supply-demand decisions, especially from perspective of the ongoing net-zero transition, where rational choices of the structural shift (e.g., from coal and gas to renewable sources on the supply side, coupling with efficiency improvement on the demand side) potentially play a substantive role in maintaining the energy equilibrium on a whole-of-system level (e.g., considering strategic parameters such as reserve margin but also stronger conducive roles of smart grid infrastructure driven by intermittency-hedged innovation²), thereby strengthening fundamentals of the energy economics as the transition advances in the society and the economy; C. Governance in transition substantiated by grid-level data intelligence of the energy equilibrium, notably with insights from demand-supply characteristics in each specific growth sector (e.g., across emerging growth urban areas but also transportation, logistics and industrial clusters), considering in particular ecosystem-level complementarities and interdependencies, but also broader implications in long-run sustainability and resilience terms³—in greater shared narrative of the global and regional development while leaving no one behind.

Pivoting Net-Zero Transition with Data Intelligence

Siripong Treetasanatavorn

The past decades have witnessed Germany’s Energiewende as a spearhead of the large-scale energy and power system transformation that sets out an unprecedented leadership and political movement on the basis of collective efforts across public, private and nonprofit sectors—an exemplary success characterized by an innovation transformative force of socio-political engagement. Despite a wide range of desirable changes brought forward by a large-scale energy innovation system, the grand-scale transformation constantly encounters challenges to meet a large variety of diverging requirements from multiple stakeholders, considering its grand promises addressing the dilemma of energy security versus economic growth, environmental commitment versus industrial competitiveness, as well as political leadership to transform the society versus the practicality of limited legitimacy to internalize the long-term fiscal requirements. From the perspective of a leader with political authorities, this study brings forward an analytical and interpretation framework that elaborates, discusses and characterizes the logic of a large-scale innovation in political terms, with an analogous dynamics of renewable energy versus innovation development, embracing both long-term benefits and short-term challenges.

Large-Scale Innovation System: Leadership and Political Case Study of Germany...

Siripong Treetasanatavorn

Orchestrating Resilient Competitiveness: How to Win Orchestrating Influence at Competitiveness Frontier of Today’s Crisis Transition Enigma of sense-making competitive influence arguably poses today’s most daunting leadership challenges latest since an arrival of the coronavirus-induced global crisis. Disentangling greater decision-making complex with ever-shorter forward-looking views is not just an exacerbating dilemma at today’s greater leadership challenges. But increasing likelihoods to unpredictable future only continue to reinforce greater short-termed incentives to crisis emergency responses at the expense of long-term sustainable prospect regardless of merits from sustaining resilient competitiveness. In fact, every competitive decision does not necessarily imply greater influence from sustainable impact. But leadership judgment harnessing outstanding benefits of the vice versa only gains more and more competitiveness ground. Emerging intuition in this sense indeed has much to offer to today’s global crisis situation for sustainability differentiation effectively advances competitive forward-looking outlook, particularly in greater perspective of global competitiveness upon shared sustaining resilient order. Greater prospect to resilient recovery brings a compelling perspective to crisis-time competitiveness challenges with subtle yet powerful leadership intuition. Combatting complex situations across public health, humanitarian and socio-economic frontiers indeed preempts today’s topmost leadership priority. But sense-making perspective of forward-looking sustainable impact is essential even indispensable to competitive decision-making influence in an accountability dialog shared by all in the community. Nobel Laureates Duflo and Banerjee unravel such challenges in India by addressing sustainability rationale of shared accountable transformation in the local livelihoods. Competitive orchestrating influence as such indeed coheres and resonates in greater context of shared crisis responsibilities, winning reciprocal trusted and entrusted relations on a representative foundation at resilient causes of global crisis transition. Sense-making leadership choices indeed tap influences from both community and international narratives, orchestrating competitive and balanced global transition on a shared sustainability pathway. In fact, today’s crisis brings greater focuses to shared leadership priorities addressable to all across shared decision-making frontiers. But competitive influence that leads to greater sustaining and resilient order only benefits from shared global decision highgrounds, appealing at shared resilient causes of the economy and the society in mutual transformation across global-national frontiers. Recent sense-making precedent from the U.N.’s global dialog indeed demonstrates how such commonsense wins greater imperative of such purpose-driven, crisis-time leadership.

Orchestrating Resilient Competitiveness: How to Win Orchestrating Influence a...

Siripong Treetasanatavorn

Transforming SDGs with Artificial Intelligence Artificial Intelligence and Implications to Global Sustainable Development Substantiated by Smart Decision-Making at Today’s Transition Leadership Narrative: • Artificial Intelligence (AI) differentiates choices of complex global transition as intended by U.N. sustainable development goals (SDG), primarily for the capability to improve mission-critical decision with conducive priority action, in consideration of the dynamics of policy intervention in engagement at causes of the intended structural change with forward-looking impact on the ground¹; • Computing capability and capacity that effectively help translate data and information to actionable recommendation is one, but AI's processing power that transforms today's development challenge further also substantiates sustainability strategy and governance choices with unique propositions on the premise of algorithmic learning, particularly with expectation of efficiency improvement as the number of training instances therefore decision power grow (see poverty reduction case with an algorithm for imagery analysis)²; • Effective and innovative intervention design nevertheless lies at heart of today’s crisis transition, notably in achievement of the intended mission that seeks to fulfill shared purposes with stakeholders and partners, essentially by taking into account various facets of AI's strengths and weaknesses, such as the immense predictive power given salient features represented in real-world development observation but also the availability of unbiased training dataset, considered as indispensable for the achievement of AI algorithmic command³; • SDG transformation on the premise of AI shall after all become a success once substantiating reciprocal accountability dialogs on the premise of public participation, especially in advocacy and stewardship of advanced technology and innovation that make sense of smart and collective transition, without compromising right, dignity and freedom—all in the spirit of "We the Peoples" as represented by Charter of the United Nations since its foundation in 1945⁴.

Transforming SDGs with Artificial Intelligence

Siripong Treetasanatavorn

India’s Frontiers of Digital Edges Digital ID Management and Implications to Sustainable Development and Broad-Based Socio-Economic Empowerment Aadhaar: Biometric ID system that transforms India's long-run sustainable growth development narrative, considering four following premises at today’s transition: • Represent as key growth enabler at today's transition: Built with greater shared ambition in substantiation of the national digitalization initiative, and thereby winning collective effort across public and private sectors, but also civil societies and academia, especially in transitioning the existing socio-economic system by leveraging digital empowerment; • Harness strategic leverage of socio-economic inclusion: Intended also to achieve greater sustainability impact across the economy and the society, primarily by improving efficiency and effectiveness of key social programs (such as, cash and in-kind transfer), but also served as enabler toward stronger uptake from suitable ranges of digital financial services, therefore greater and more opportunities to the vulnerable population segments with currently limited access to the banking/financial sectors; • Mutually reinforce agglomeration impact from the ground up: Multiplied and resonated on the premise of such narrative, broad-based digital economy and society further also provide conducive and enabling environments for social and economic innovation particularly across urban areas, where capacity to innovation has strong potential to find reciprocal traction with scale and scope, therefore likelihood to transcend new ideas with reinforcing impact in socio-economic transformation at the transition; • Establish the Fundamentals for Future Structural Reform: Served as strategic governance tools in addressing structural challenges in India's growth dynamics notably in strengthening accountability and transparency in key sustainable policy agenda (citizen’s digital identities as enablers in empowerment dialogs from health and education to political participation), while also leveraging the same governance structure in improvement of rational decision on the ground, notably as forward-looking pathways for future structural reform — all on the premise of participative democracy.

India's Frontiers of Digital Edges

Siripong Treetasanatavorn

Solving Dilemma of Global Net-Zero Transition Prisoner's Dilemma and Implications to Net-Zero Transition on the Premise of International Collaboration • Establishment of Nash equilibrium substantive to constructive climate action is a key imperative of global climate negotiation by all in the international community. But practical challenge on the ground is oftentimes characterized by suboptimal short-run payoff values that in turn complicate international negotiation processes, despite perspective of stronger forward-looking outlook beyond the business-as-usual scenario. • But factor conditions quality infrastructure and structural reform, particularly with the economies of scale and scope from broad-based, international collaboration are indispensable in shifting and transforming the negotiation dynamics, notably on the premise of structural efficiency gain in shared dialog of long-run sustainability and competitiveness, thereby mutually reinforcing incentive that engages and transforms net-zero mitigation payoff to the benefit of reciprocal international climate action. • Prisoner's dilemma after all can be overcome at outstanding causes once collaboration takes place in broadest-possible terms (considering globally orchestrated choices of finance, trade and development) especially across short- and long-run views, thereby disincentivizing reneging or walk-away, considering notably in establishment of a new Nash equilibrium that wins global synergic action with integrated whole-of-ecosystem decision.

Solving Dilemma of Global Net-Zero Transition

Siripong Treetasanatavorn

Architecting Dynamics of Net-Zero Roadmap Transformation of Net-Zero Governance Strategy and Structural Change Dynamics of the Energy Value Chains Governance Dynamics at Two Levels: • Level 1: Mapping Causal Baseline of GHG Emissions: Governance of net-zero strategy requires exhaustive mapping of GHG emissions sources to the corresponding dynamics of socio-economic growth, all in greater narrative of structural reform in each sector and industry. Electricity and transportation are leading causes of GHG emissions from example of the U.S., but substantive net-zero impact only comes together on a broad-based mitigation approach, addressable across the entire emissions chains (inspecting the chart from left to right as depicted), all on the premise of whole-of-nation integrated strategy. • Level 2: Shifting Mix of Demand-Supply Dynamics: What's critical in this greater context is however also an energy transition roadmap that translates chain of GHG emissions from the first level to substantive reform strategy that directly influences choices of primary and secondary energy sources (supply mix on the left), but also consequential impact to market and policy dynamics in each specific sector (sectoral demand on the right). In this sense, structural shift of the energy equilibrium must be the focus, considering short- and long-run change dynamics that engage rational choice in the economy and society, especially that makes sense of growth and security but also sustainability and resilience — all in the same narrative of change (see example of U.S. energy landscape considering particularly conducive roles of gas and electrification).

Architecting Dynamics of Net-Zero Roadmap

Siripong Treetasanatavorn

Establishing One Global ESG Standard Governance of a Globally Representative Standard toward Net-Zero Achievement at today's Sustainability Crossroads • International Sustainability Standards Board (ISSB) has been established in recognition of the international community at UK COP26 in order to inform climate-related risks and opportunities, notably in guidance of forward-looking market and policy decision at today's sustainability and net-zero crossroads; • Leadership highground of the proposal inherently focuses on prospect of long-term sustainability outlook, substantiated by forward-looking choices at the ongoing transition on the shared premise of governance processes with corresponding reform strategy, risk management and impact measurement; • Climate change and consequential impact to the economy and the society are viewed in this sense as a common challenge to the global sustainable future, especially in the sense of physical (climate-change impact to relevant assets across value chains) and transition (pathways to low-carbon economy) risks, accrued across the financial and economic system on a global level; • Net-zero and carbon offsetting strategy is therefore the key primary focus, essentially in close alignment with global perspective of climate mitigation and adaptation, that makes sense of smart business and financial choices along the transitional pathways, especially by harnessing ambitious but realistic climate action across potential scenarios, substantive to the global net-zero ambition (refer to Section Climate Resilience in IFRS S2's Exposure Draft); • Smart, competitive and forward-looking decision, after all, comes together only once relevant shareholders, stakeholders and partners are all committed to outstanding cause and causality of climate-related opportunities and risks, in greater ecosystem-governance reform narrative substantive to the global society and economy in mutual transformation while leaving no one behind.

Establishing One Global ESG Standard

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Intuition of Planetary Boundaries

1. Bangkok, Thailand / Page 1 (2) Edition: June 12, 2022 Intuition of Planetary Boundaries Tipping Points and Global Governance Implications to the Sustainable Ecosystems at Today's Critical Junction Siripong Treetasanatavorn Sloan Fellow, Massachusetts Institute of Technology Planetary Boundaries and Sustainability Governance Implications: A. Lead global decision-making complex on the premise of ecosystemic balance: • Commanding intuition of the planetary boundaries grounds itself on the premise of ecosystem regime that regulates and adapts equilibrium dynamics in nature toward stability and resilience on a whole-of-system level, especially against exacerbating consequence from external perturbation (implications of ecosystem resilience from self-regulating services¹); • Adaptive feedback mechanism indeed lies at heart at the fundamentals of such regulating function in the natural ecosystem, essentially by harnessing checks and balances with competing and complementary forces inherent to the governance dynamics, thereby effectively establishing sustainability and resilience substantive to the ecosystem function as a whole; B. Embrace science in identification of tipping points in global stewardship dialogs: • Regime shift from the dynamic equilibrium is however possible especially once external perturbation persists, and thereby potentially causing systemic disruption and jeopardizing long-run structural balance, often with irreversible consequences to the ecosystem governance — without returning pathways; • Tipping point as characterized above is in fact inherent to the nature of just about any dynamic systems regardless of one’s capabilities to recognize such existence, considering in particular complexity and intricacy of the required structural decision conducive to maintaining the highgrounds of the desirable equilibrium provided the challenge at hand (see discussion of the Aral Sea in the aftermath of the water ecosystem collapse², also as shown in the Exhibit); C. Transcend governance ambition with planetary sciences as key guiding principle: • Science of planetary boundaries and human capabilities in response on the aforementioned premises are therefore key and pivotal to the collective action addressable to at least nine scientifically-established planetary boundaries, that cause vulnerabilities to the state of the earth systems with irreconcilable and irreversible consequences, essentially in shared forward-looking ambition of the international community towards the global sustainable achievement3 .

2. S. Treetasanatavorn. Intuition of Planetary Boundaries Edition: June 12, 2022 Bangkok, Thailand / Page 2 (2) Exhibit: Evolution of the Aral-Sea Dynamic System in Demonstration of the Regime Shift Beyond Tipping Point (Source: Stockholm Resilience Centre 2020) References (in appearance order): 1. See introductory discussion of the planetary boundaries at the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences (2011): https://www.stockholmresilience.org/publications/publications/2011-10-18-the- anthropocene-from-global-change-to-planetary-stewardship.html 2. See consequential impact at the Aral Sea beyond the tipping point from BBC (2018): https://www.bbc.com/news/business-44159122 3. See discussion of all nine planetary boundaries in broader sustainable development context at Science (2015): https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1259855; See also final remarks by the President of Stockholm+50 Conference (2022), particularly in advocacy of a system approach at today's global climate crossroads: https://wedocs.unep.org/bitstream/handle/20.500.11822/40110/Key%20Messages%2 0and%20Recommendations%20-%20Formatted.pdf

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