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COST ESTIMATION
Prof. Pradeep Talwelkar
CAPITAL
• “ a stock of accumulated wealth”
• Savings that may be used as the owner decides
• One use of savings – investment – to use the savings to
promote the production of other goods – to obtain an
income or profit
CAPITAL REQUIRED
• Land
• Machinery & Equipment
• Service Facilities
• Plant erection with complete with all piping, controls and
services
• Expenses involved in plant operation before sales revenues
are available
ESTIMATION OF CAPITAL INVESTMENT
• Generally based on cost of equipment
• Errors due to omission of equipments, spares,
services or facilities – not because of gross errors in
costing
• Varies from a predesign estimate based on little info
to detailed estimate prepared from complete
drawings and specs
TYPES OF ESTIMATES
• Order of magnitude estimate – ratio estimate –
based on similar previous data (± 30%)
• Study estimate – factored estimate – based on major
equipments (± 30%)
• Preliminary estimate – scope estimate – based on
sufficient data to permit the estimate to be budgeted
(± 20%)
•Definitive estimate – project control
estimate – based on complete data but
before completion of drawings and specs
(± 10%)
•Detailed estimate – based on complete
engineering drawings, specifications and
site surveys (± 5%)
COST INDEXES
• Cost data available for making preliminary estimate are
valid at the time they were developed
• Prices change with time – update the cost
• Cost indexes are used for updating cost data applicable at
a past date to costs that are representative of conditions
at a later date
Present Cost =
Original Cost ×
• Cost indexes can be used to give a general
estimate
• No index can take into account all factors –
special technological advancements, local
conditions or obsolescence
• Fairly accurate estimates for < 10 years
• Frequently used to extrapolate costs into the
near future
TYPES
• Different cost indexes published regularly
• Some for estimating equipment costs, others
specifically for labor, construction materials, or other
specialized fields
• Most common –
Marshall and Swift all industry and process- industry
equipment indexes
Engineering news-Record construction index
Nelson-Farrar refinery construction
index
Chemical Engineering plant cost index
•Marshall & Swift and Chemical
Engineering plant cost indexes are
recommended for chemical plant
investment estimates
SCALING
• To estimate the cost of a piece of equipment when
cost data are not available for the particular size or
capacity involved
• Power relationship known as the six-tenth factor
rule, if the new piece of equipment is similar to one
of another capacity for which cost data is available
• If cost of a given unit b at one capacity is
known, the cost of a similar unit a with X
times the capacity of the first is X
0.6
times the
cost of the initial unit
• Cost of equipment a = (cost of equipment b)
X0.6
CEE 2.pptx
CEE 2.pptx
CEE 2.pptx
CEE 2.pptx
CEE 2.pptx
CEE 2.pptx
CEE 2.pptx

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CEE 2.pptx

  • 2. CAPITAL • “ a stock of accumulated wealth” • Savings that may be used as the owner decides • One use of savings – investment – to use the savings to promote the production of other goods – to obtain an income or profit
  • 3. CAPITAL REQUIRED • Land • Machinery & Equipment • Service Facilities • Plant erection with complete with all piping, controls and services • Expenses involved in plant operation before sales revenues are available
  • 4. ESTIMATION OF CAPITAL INVESTMENT • Generally based on cost of equipment • Errors due to omission of equipments, spares, services or facilities – not because of gross errors in costing • Varies from a predesign estimate based on little info to detailed estimate prepared from complete drawings and specs
  • 5. TYPES OF ESTIMATES • Order of magnitude estimate – ratio estimate – based on similar previous data (± 30%) • Study estimate – factored estimate – based on major equipments (± 30%) • Preliminary estimate – scope estimate – based on sufficient data to permit the estimate to be budgeted (± 20%)
  • 6. •Definitive estimate – project control estimate – based on complete data but before completion of drawings and specs (± 10%) •Detailed estimate – based on complete engineering drawings, specifications and site surveys (± 5%)
  • 7. COST INDEXES • Cost data available for making preliminary estimate are valid at the time they were developed • Prices change with time – update the cost • Cost indexes are used for updating cost data applicable at a past date to costs that are representative of conditions at a later date
  • 9. • Cost indexes can be used to give a general estimate • No index can take into account all factors – special technological advancements, local conditions or obsolescence • Fairly accurate estimates for < 10 years • Frequently used to extrapolate costs into the near future
  • 10. TYPES • Different cost indexes published regularly • Some for estimating equipment costs, others specifically for labor, construction materials, or other specialized fields • Most common – Marshall and Swift all industry and process- industry equipment indexes Engineering news-Record construction index
  • 11. Nelson-Farrar refinery construction index Chemical Engineering plant cost index •Marshall & Swift and Chemical Engineering plant cost indexes are recommended for chemical plant investment estimates
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18. SCALING • To estimate the cost of a piece of equipment when cost data are not available for the particular size or capacity involved • Power relationship known as the six-tenth factor rule, if the new piece of equipment is similar to one of another capacity for which cost data is available
  • 19. • If cost of a given unit b at one capacity is known, the cost of a similar unit a with X times the capacity of the first is X 0.6 times the cost of the initial unit • Cost of equipment a = (cost of equipment b) X0.6