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COST ESTIMATION
Prof. Pradeep Talwelkar
Estimation of TCI
• TCI = FCI + WC
• WC = 10 -20 % of TCI
• FCI = Direct cost + Indirect cost
• Direct cost = material and labor involved in actual installation of
complete facility (65-85% of FCI)
• Indirect cost = expenses which are not directly involved with
material and labor of actual installation of complete facility (15-35%
of FCI)
Direct cost =
A. Equipment + installation + instrumentation + piping +
electrical + insulation + painting (50-60% of FCI)
1. Purchased equipment (15-40% of FCI)
2 . Installation, including insulation and painting (25-55%)
of purchased equipment cost, PEC)
3. Instrumentation and controls, installed (6-30% of PEC)
4 . Piping, installed (1O-80% of PEC)
5 . Electrical, installed (1O-40% of PEC)
B. Buildings, process and auxiliary (10-70% of PEC)
C. Service facilities and yard improvements (40-100 % of
PEC)
D. Land (I-2% of FCI or 4-8% of PEC)
Indirect cost =
A. Engineering and supervision (5-30% of DC)
B. Legal Expenses (1-3 % of FCI)
C. Construction expense and contractor’s fee (10-20% of DC)
D. Contingency (5-15% of FCI)
Component Range of FCI, %
Direct costs
Purchased equipment 15-40
Purchased equipment installation 6-14
Instrumentation and controls (installed) 2-12
Piping (installed) 4-17
Electrical systems (installed) 2-10
Buildings (including services) 2-18
Yard Improvements 2-5
Service Facilities (installed) 8-30
Land 1-2
Indirect costs
Engineering and supervision 4-10
Construction expenses 4-17
Legal Expenses 1-3
Contractor’s fee 2-6
Contingency 5-15
Q. Make a study estimate of the fixed-capital investment for a process
plant if the purchased-equipment cost is $100,000. Use the ranges of
process-plant component cost outlined in Table for a process plant
handling both solids and fluids with a high degree of automatic controls
and essentially outdoor operation
Turnover Ratio
Turnover ratio =
Reciprocal of turnover ratio is called the capital ratio or the
investment ratio
For chemical industry the turnover ratio is approximated as 0.5
Q. The TCI for a chemical plant is $1m,
and the WCI is $100,000. If the plant
can produce an average of 8000 kg
of final product per day, during a 365
day year, what selling price in dollars
per kg of product would be
necessary to give a turn over ratio of
1.0
Turnover ratio =
1.0 =
Gross annual sales = FCI = TCI – WCI
(8000 kg/day)(365 day/yr)(SP $/kg)= $(1m-100,000)
SP = $ 0.308 / kg product
Q. A rough rule of thumb for the chemical industry is
that $1 of annual sales requires $1 of fixed-capital
investment. In a chemical processing plant where
this rule applies, the total capital investment is
$2,500,000 and the working capital is 20 percent of
the total capital investment. The annual total
product cost amounts to $1,500,000. If the national
and regional income-tax rates on gross earnings total
35 percent, determine the following:
(a) Percent of total capital investment returned
annually as gross earnings.
(b) Percent of total capital investment returned
annually as net profit.
Turnover ratio =
1.0 =
Gross annual sales = FCI = $2.5m × 0.80
Gross earnings = $2m - $1.5m = $0.5m
% recovery of TCI = $0.5m/$2.5m × 100
= 20 %
Net Profit = $0.5m × 0.65 = $0.325m
% recovery of TCI = $0.325m/$2.5m × 100
= 13 %
Types of Capital Cost Estimates
• An estimate of the capital investment for a process may vary from a
predesign estimate based on little information except the size of the
proposed project to a detailed estimate prepared from complete
drawings and specifications
• Between these two extremes of capital-investment estimates, there
can be numerous other estimates which vary in accuracy depending
upon the stage of development of the project
• These estimates are called by a variety of names, but the following
five categories represent the accuracy range and designation normally
used for design purposes
1. Order-of-magnitude estimate (ratio estimate) based on similar
previous cost data; probable accuracy of estimate over ± 30 percent
2. Study estimate (factored estimate) based on knowledge of major
items of equipment; probable accuracy of estimate up to ±30 percent
3. Preliminary estimate (budget authorization estimate; scope
estimate) based on sufficient data to permit the estimate to be
budgeted; probable accuracy of estimate within +20 percent
4. Definitive estimate (project control estimate) based on almost
complete data but before completion of drawings and specifications;
probable accuracy of estimate within ±10 percent
5. Detailed estimate (contractor’s estimate) based on complete
engineering drawings, specifications, and site surveys; probable
accuracy of estimate within +5 percent
Estimation of Total Product Cost
• Total product cost = Manufacturing cost +
(TPC) General expenses
• Manufacturing cost = Direct production costs + Fixed
charges + Plant overhead cost
• Direct production costs (66% of TPC)
• Fixed charges (10-20% of TPC)
• Plant overhead cost (5-15% of TPC)
• General expenses (15-25% of TPC)
Direct production costs (66%TPC)
• Raw materials (10-80 % TPC)
• Operating Labor (10-20 % TPC)
• Direct supervisory and clerical labor (10-20 % of operating labor)
• Utilities (10-20 % of TPC)
• Maintenance and repairs (2-10 % FCI)
• Operating supplies (10-20 % of Maintenance & repair cost or 0.5-1
% of FCI)
• Laboratory charges (10-20 % operating labor)
• Patents & Royalties (0-6 % of TPC)
Fixed Charges (10-20%TPC)
• Depreciation (depends on method of calculation)
• Local Taxes (1-4 % FCI)
• Insurance (0.4-1 % FCI)
• Rent (8-12 % of value of rented land or buildings)
• Cost of capital (0-10 % of TCI)
Plant Overhead Costs
• (5-15%TPC or 50-70 % of cost for operating labor, supervision &
maintenance)
• Includes costs for
General plant upkeep and overhead
Payroll overhead
Packaging
Medical services
Safety and protection
Restaurants, recreation
Salvage, laboratories and storage facilities
General expenses (15-25% of TPC)
• Administrative costs (20 % of costs of operating labor, supervision
and maintenance or 2-5 % of TPC) include costs for executive
salaries, clerical wages, computer support, legal fees, office supplies
and communications
• Distribution and marketing costs (2-20 % of TPC) include costs for
sales office, sales people, shipping and advertising
• Research & Development costs (2-5 % of sales or 5 % of TPC)
Problems on Total Product Cost
• The TCI for a conventional chemical plant is $1,500,000, and
the plant produces 3 million kg of product annually. The
selling price of the product is $0.82/kg. Working capital
amounts to 15 % of the TCI. The investment is from company
funds, and no interest is charged. Delivered raw material
costs for the product are $0.09/kg; labor, $0.08/kg; utilities,
0.05/kg; and packaging, $0.008/kg. Distribution costs are 5 %
of the total product cost. Estimate the following
Manufacturing cost per kg of product
Total product cost per year
Profit per kg of product before taxes
Profit per kg of product after income taxes at 35 % of gross
profit
• Estimate the manufacturing cost per 100 kg of product under the
following conditions
Fixed capital investment = $4m
Annual production output = 9m kg of product
Raw material cost = $0.25/kg of product
Utilities 800 KPa of steam = 50 kg/kg product
Purchased electric power = 0.9 kWh/kg of product
Filtered & soft water = 0.083 m3/kg of product
Operating labor = 12 persons per shift at $25.00 per employee per hour
Plant operates 300 24-h days per year
Corrosive liquids are involved
Shipments are in bulk carload lots
A large amount of direct supervision is involved
There are no patents, royalty, interest, or rent charges.
Plant overhead cost amount to 50% of the cost for operating labor,
supervision and maintenance.
Q. A company has direct production costs equal to 50
percent of total annual sales and fixed charges,
overhead, and general expenses equal to $200,000.
If management proposes to increase present annual
sales of $800,000 by 30 percent with a 20 percent
increase in fixed charges, overhead, and general
expenses, what annual sales dollar is required to
provide the same gross earnings as the present plant
operation? What would be the net profit if the
expanded plant were operated at full capacity with
an income tax on gross earnings fixed at 35 percent?
what would be the net profit for the enlarged plant
if total annual sales remained the same as at
present? What would be the net profit for the
enlarged plant if the total annual sales actually
decreased to $700,000?
• Present scenario
TPC = DPC + FC + PO + GE
= 0.5(total annual sales) + $200,000
= 0.5($800,000) + $200,000 = $600,000
Gross earnings at present = $(800000-600000)= $200000
• New scenario
TPC = (0.5)(1.3)($800000) + (1.2)($200000)= $760000
Gross earnings for new scenario =
{(1.3)(800000)-(760000)} = $280,000
• Sales required to produce same gross earnings ($200000)
=X
200000 = X - 760000
X= $960,000
• Net profit for full capacity = ($280000)(1-0.35) =
$182000
• Net profit if annual sales remain at $800000 =
(800000-760000)(1-0.35) = $26000

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CEE 7.pptx

  • 2. Estimation of TCI • TCI = FCI + WC • WC = 10 -20 % of TCI • FCI = Direct cost + Indirect cost • Direct cost = material and labor involved in actual installation of complete facility (65-85% of FCI) • Indirect cost = expenses which are not directly involved with material and labor of actual installation of complete facility (15-35% of FCI)
  • 3. Direct cost = A. Equipment + installation + instrumentation + piping + electrical + insulation + painting (50-60% of FCI) 1. Purchased equipment (15-40% of FCI) 2 . Installation, including insulation and painting (25-55%) of purchased equipment cost, PEC) 3. Instrumentation and controls, installed (6-30% of PEC) 4 . Piping, installed (1O-80% of PEC) 5 . Electrical, installed (1O-40% of PEC) B. Buildings, process and auxiliary (10-70% of PEC) C. Service facilities and yard improvements (40-100 % of PEC) D. Land (I-2% of FCI or 4-8% of PEC)
  • 4. Indirect cost = A. Engineering and supervision (5-30% of DC) B. Legal Expenses (1-3 % of FCI) C. Construction expense and contractor’s fee (10-20% of DC) D. Contingency (5-15% of FCI)
  • 5. Component Range of FCI, % Direct costs Purchased equipment 15-40 Purchased equipment installation 6-14 Instrumentation and controls (installed) 2-12 Piping (installed) 4-17 Electrical systems (installed) 2-10 Buildings (including services) 2-18 Yard Improvements 2-5 Service Facilities (installed) 8-30 Land 1-2 Indirect costs Engineering and supervision 4-10 Construction expenses 4-17 Legal Expenses 1-3 Contractor’s fee 2-6 Contingency 5-15
  • 6. Q. Make a study estimate of the fixed-capital investment for a process plant if the purchased-equipment cost is $100,000. Use the ranges of process-plant component cost outlined in Table for a process plant handling both solids and fluids with a high degree of automatic controls and essentially outdoor operation
  • 7.
  • 8. Turnover Ratio Turnover ratio = Reciprocal of turnover ratio is called the capital ratio or the investment ratio For chemical industry the turnover ratio is approximated as 0.5
  • 9. Q. The TCI for a chemical plant is $1m, and the WCI is $100,000. If the plant can produce an average of 8000 kg of final product per day, during a 365 day year, what selling price in dollars per kg of product would be necessary to give a turn over ratio of 1.0
  • 10. Turnover ratio = 1.0 = Gross annual sales = FCI = TCI – WCI (8000 kg/day)(365 day/yr)(SP $/kg)= $(1m-100,000) SP = $ 0.308 / kg product
  • 11. Q. A rough rule of thumb for the chemical industry is that $1 of annual sales requires $1 of fixed-capital investment. In a chemical processing plant where this rule applies, the total capital investment is $2,500,000 and the working capital is 20 percent of the total capital investment. The annual total product cost amounts to $1,500,000. If the national and regional income-tax rates on gross earnings total 35 percent, determine the following: (a) Percent of total capital investment returned annually as gross earnings. (b) Percent of total capital investment returned annually as net profit.
  • 12. Turnover ratio = 1.0 = Gross annual sales = FCI = $2.5m × 0.80 Gross earnings = $2m - $1.5m = $0.5m % recovery of TCI = $0.5m/$2.5m × 100 = 20 % Net Profit = $0.5m × 0.65 = $0.325m % recovery of TCI = $0.325m/$2.5m × 100 = 13 %
  • 13. Types of Capital Cost Estimates • An estimate of the capital investment for a process may vary from a predesign estimate based on little information except the size of the proposed project to a detailed estimate prepared from complete drawings and specifications • Between these two extremes of capital-investment estimates, there can be numerous other estimates which vary in accuracy depending upon the stage of development of the project • These estimates are called by a variety of names, but the following five categories represent the accuracy range and designation normally used for design purposes
  • 14. 1. Order-of-magnitude estimate (ratio estimate) based on similar previous cost data; probable accuracy of estimate over ± 30 percent 2. Study estimate (factored estimate) based on knowledge of major items of equipment; probable accuracy of estimate up to ±30 percent 3. Preliminary estimate (budget authorization estimate; scope estimate) based on sufficient data to permit the estimate to be budgeted; probable accuracy of estimate within +20 percent 4. Definitive estimate (project control estimate) based on almost complete data but before completion of drawings and specifications; probable accuracy of estimate within ±10 percent 5. Detailed estimate (contractor’s estimate) based on complete engineering drawings, specifications, and site surveys; probable accuracy of estimate within +5 percent
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18. Estimation of Total Product Cost
  • 19. • Total product cost = Manufacturing cost + (TPC) General expenses • Manufacturing cost = Direct production costs + Fixed charges + Plant overhead cost • Direct production costs (66% of TPC) • Fixed charges (10-20% of TPC) • Plant overhead cost (5-15% of TPC) • General expenses (15-25% of TPC)
  • 20. Direct production costs (66%TPC) • Raw materials (10-80 % TPC) • Operating Labor (10-20 % TPC) • Direct supervisory and clerical labor (10-20 % of operating labor) • Utilities (10-20 % of TPC) • Maintenance and repairs (2-10 % FCI) • Operating supplies (10-20 % of Maintenance & repair cost or 0.5-1 % of FCI) • Laboratory charges (10-20 % operating labor) • Patents & Royalties (0-6 % of TPC)
  • 21. Fixed Charges (10-20%TPC) • Depreciation (depends on method of calculation) • Local Taxes (1-4 % FCI) • Insurance (0.4-1 % FCI) • Rent (8-12 % of value of rented land or buildings) • Cost of capital (0-10 % of TCI)
  • 22. Plant Overhead Costs • (5-15%TPC or 50-70 % of cost for operating labor, supervision & maintenance) • Includes costs for General plant upkeep and overhead Payroll overhead Packaging Medical services Safety and protection Restaurants, recreation Salvage, laboratories and storage facilities
  • 23. General expenses (15-25% of TPC) • Administrative costs (20 % of costs of operating labor, supervision and maintenance or 2-5 % of TPC) include costs for executive salaries, clerical wages, computer support, legal fees, office supplies and communications • Distribution and marketing costs (2-20 % of TPC) include costs for sales office, sales people, shipping and advertising • Research & Development costs (2-5 % of sales or 5 % of TPC)
  • 24. Problems on Total Product Cost • The TCI for a conventional chemical plant is $1,500,000, and the plant produces 3 million kg of product annually. The selling price of the product is $0.82/kg. Working capital amounts to 15 % of the TCI. The investment is from company funds, and no interest is charged. Delivered raw material costs for the product are $0.09/kg; labor, $0.08/kg; utilities, 0.05/kg; and packaging, $0.008/kg. Distribution costs are 5 % of the total product cost. Estimate the following Manufacturing cost per kg of product Total product cost per year Profit per kg of product before taxes Profit per kg of product after income taxes at 35 % of gross profit
  • 25. • Estimate the manufacturing cost per 100 kg of product under the following conditions Fixed capital investment = $4m Annual production output = 9m kg of product Raw material cost = $0.25/kg of product Utilities 800 KPa of steam = 50 kg/kg product Purchased electric power = 0.9 kWh/kg of product Filtered & soft water = 0.083 m3/kg of product Operating labor = 12 persons per shift at $25.00 per employee per hour Plant operates 300 24-h days per year Corrosive liquids are involved Shipments are in bulk carload lots A large amount of direct supervision is involved There are no patents, royalty, interest, or rent charges. Plant overhead cost amount to 50% of the cost for operating labor, supervision and maintenance.
  • 26. Q. A company has direct production costs equal to 50 percent of total annual sales and fixed charges, overhead, and general expenses equal to $200,000. If management proposes to increase present annual sales of $800,000 by 30 percent with a 20 percent increase in fixed charges, overhead, and general expenses, what annual sales dollar is required to provide the same gross earnings as the present plant operation? What would be the net profit if the expanded plant were operated at full capacity with an income tax on gross earnings fixed at 35 percent? what would be the net profit for the enlarged plant if total annual sales remained the same as at present? What would be the net profit for the enlarged plant if the total annual sales actually decreased to $700,000?
  • 27. • Present scenario TPC = DPC + FC + PO + GE = 0.5(total annual sales) + $200,000 = 0.5($800,000) + $200,000 = $600,000 Gross earnings at present = $(800000-600000)= $200000 • New scenario TPC = (0.5)(1.3)($800000) + (1.2)($200000)= $760000 Gross earnings for new scenario = {(1.3)(800000)-(760000)} = $280,000 • Sales required to produce same gross earnings ($200000) =X 200000 = X - 760000 X= $960,000
  • 28. • Net profit for full capacity = ($280000)(1-0.35) = $182000 • Net profit if annual sales remain at $800000 = (800000-760000)(1-0.35) = $26000