This is one of the action & reflection & initiatives of UDYAMA in Working with Communities on climate change

1. Understanding climate change
Every body loves

2. Orissa Climate Change

3. By 2025 two-thirds of the earth’s
population will suffer water shortages.
A temperature rise of 2° would
dramatically shrink the land available
for growing Robusta coffee in Uganda
and restrict it to upland areas.
temperature rise of 2 to 3.5° in India
would reduce farmers’ incomes by
between 9 and 25%.
•The cost of tackling the problem,
however, could be around 1% of
global GDP if mitigation policies are
well-designed (Stern Report).
• Recent figures from the UNFCCC
put the costs of adaptation for
developing countries at between $28
to $67 billion in 2030.
1° C
If the world's temperature increased by 1°
C, at least 10% of land species would face
extinction.
2035
Glaciers in the Himalayas are likely to
disappear by 2035, affecting the water
supply of three-quarters of a billion people
in Asia.
200 million
By 2050, 200 million people could be
rendered homeless by rising sea levels,
floods and drought.
70%
Between 1970 and 2004, global emissions
of greenhouse gases increased by
70%.
$6 billion
Humanitarian responses to disasters cost
donors around $6 billion every year..
The costs of ignoring climate change have been estimated at more than that of the
two world wars and the Great Depression (5 to 20% of GDP) (Stern Report).

4. Climate change modeling and India
One of the most accepted climate change models is that if global warming will
continue
• USA will be drier ,
• India will be wetter ,
• Europe will be warmer .
Regarding Indian subcontinent the forecast is that :
• there will be more destructive sea storms,
• sea surges ,coastal erosion and
• coastal inundation .
• even if serious efforts are now made to reduce greenhouse
gases ,
• the effect of such gases already released to atmosphere will
continue to be felt for decades to come
• because of long residence time of these gases in atmosphere
Another apprehension is that :
• global temperature may not rise in a linear manner there may
be sudden and stiff rise in temperature.
• temperature curves in instead of being linear it can be kinked

20. Humans Linked to Climate Change

30. Total Health Effects Business as Usual (BAU) Scenario During the Period
2000 to 2020.

35. Climate change and violent conflict

41. Tackling Climate Change Achievable And Affordable

50. Age and Gender wise profiles 1999) Suicide Rates in various States of India (Year: 1999)
Percentage share of various states of India in incidence of suicides (Year: 1999)

51. Year
Estimated Mid-year Population (in
100,000s)1 Suicide Incidence Suicide Rate (per 100,000 of population)
Male Female Total Male Female Total Male Female Total
1995 147.79 154.54 302.33 5615 2397 8012 37.99 15.51 26.50
1996 148.97 156.09 305.06 5414 2672 8086 36.34 17.12 26.51
1997 150.15 157.66 307.82 6215 2746 8961 41.39 17.42 29.11
1998 151.35 159.25 310.60 6503 2803 9306 42.97 17.60 29.96
1999 152.55 160.85 313.41 6853 2925 9778 44.92 18.18 31.20
2000 153.77 162.47 316.24 6609 2695 9304 42.98 16.59 29.42
2001 154.99 164.11 319.10 6787 2785 9572 43.79 16.97 30.00
2002 156.23 165.76 321.99 7165 2645 9810 45.86 15.96 30.47
2003 157.47 167.43 324.90 6935 2503 9438 44.04 14.95 29.05
Population figures are calculated from the Census of India data for years 1991 and 2001, assuming equal per-year growth rates.
Incidence and Rate of suicidal deaths in India (1989-1999)
Year Suicide Incidence Estimated
Mid-year
Population
(millions)
Suicide
Rate
(per
100,000
Male
Fema
le
Total
1989 40212 28532 68744 811.8 8.47
1990 43451 30460 73911 827.0 8.94
1991 46324 32126 78450 849.6 9.23
1992 47481 32668 80149 867.7 9.24
1993 49851 34393 84244 883.8 9.53
1994 52752 36443 89195 899.9 9.91
1995 52357 36821 89178 916.0 9.74
1996 51206 37035 88241 931.9 9.47
1997 56281 39548 95829 955.2 10.03
1998 61686 43027 104713 970.9 10.79
1999 65488 45099 110587 986.6

52. Why 1 million Indians Escape from India every year?

55. Water demand

56. By 2050, 7 billion out of 9 billion people will face chronic-to-critical water shortages. (IWMI
Worldwide, groundwater is running out at an alarming rate, especially in regions using it to grow food.
Examples include:
• China: water tables falling by >3 metres /yr
• India: 26 million wells = 200 cu kms/year, levels falling by 2-3 metres/year
• USA: 70 cu kms/year – levels fallen by 100-200m in Arizona
• Libya: “Great Man-Made River” already falling
• Australia: groundwater levels falling / water is ‘double allocated’.

57. Soil degradation

58. A recent, unheralded development has been a shift to the production of biofuels,
both in the developed and developing world. Global ethanol production is
forecast to reach 2 per cent of world liquid fuels output 2010. Biofuels compete
with food crops for land, water, energy, labour and nutrients and add to land
degradation

59. Pollution in seas off SE Asia
Three quarters of world fisheries are fully or over-exploited, while demand for
seafood continues to rise unsustainably (UNEP). By one estimate two thirds of
marine fisheries will be in collapse by the 2020s and all of them by the 2040s.

60. Knowledge drought
Agricultural R&D spending

61. Real Drought
Under climate change scenarios modeled by the UK’s Hadley Centre for Climate
Prediction, drought conditions could grip up to half the planet’s land surface by the
second half of the century. if global warming progresses unabated, India’s agricultural
capacity could fall as much as 40 percent

62. Forewarnings
In 2007/08 world food security is at its lowest ebb in half a century.
Grain carryover stocks are now the lowest they have been since records began in 1960. At mid-2007 there were
53 days’ supply of grain in store, half what was available in 2002.The falling stocks indicate the world is now
consistently consuming more grain that it produces

63. Food & War
Since the early 1990s two thirds of all conflicts occurring round the world have
had, as one of their drivers, a shortage of food, land or water. (OPRI, ACIAR)

64. Refugees :
Refugeeism is a sign of the growing tensions over access to food, land and water.
Today it consists both of refugees fleeing immediate crises, within and beyond
their countries, and so-called economic refugees – the better-educated who have
sensed the growing instability and are moving to avoid it. After a decline, the
numbers of refugees and IDPs are now rising again and totalled 32.9 million people
in 2006/07 (UNHCR).

65. Global map of dryland areas. Click on the map for a zoom.
From Millennium Ecosystem Assessment

66. Degradation is due to a complex mix of many types of human activity,
including many interlocking threads of the human societal system.

69. – Sarkozy's ex wife may get Bangladesh Shishu Academy Award
– Shocking images from India
– Why 1 million Indians Escape from India every year?
– 14 Dicks and 1 Pussy
– Defence spending causes poverty in India
– 55 % Mumbai, 44 % Meerut, 40 % of Pune : India's top list on slum
population
– Tirupati to become holy sex capital
– Air India to post $ 462 million loss in this year
– India ranks 3rd from bottom of the world on malnourished kids
• India need 300 years to lift all its people out of extreme levels of
poverty
• Armed Conflicts Business India Children Corruption Crime Dalits /
Aborigines Environment Escape from INDIA Funny India Health
Hindutva Human Rights India Facts Indian Mass Migration Judiciary
Malaysia Minorities Poverty Press Freedom Women

70. Way out

71. Solutions
Sustaining food production is the global scientific
challenge of our era, more urgent even than
global warming.
Speculating about ways to tackle this:
1. Increase massively global public
investment in agricultural research and
development, with a particular focus on:
a. exploitation of soil biota to double crop
yields
b. doubling crop water use efficiency
c. novel crops or traditional foods
‘rediscovered’
d. polycultures of crops/pastures, perennials
in mixed crop/grazing systems, agroforestry to
cope with climate variability
e. haline and acid-tolerant farming systems
2. Increase massively the rate at which new
food production technologies are disseminated
to farmers, especially in the poorer countries
3. Plan to peacefully limit the human
population to 2-3 billion by the end of the century
4. Eliminate nutrient waste. Recycle all
nutrients on farm, in industry, in restaurants,
supermarkets, the home and in urban waste
disposal systems back into the agrifood chain

72. • 5. Develop “green food” – alternative, low input
production systems, including urban horticulture,
culture-farming, algae culture and plant cell
bioreactors, to feed urban populations on novel
foods derived directly or indirectly from waste
streams but with low environmental costs
compared to agriculture.
• 6. Develop “Green Cities” in which crops are
produced on roofs, walls and in waste areas,
reducing urban energy use (heating & cooling)
and using waste water or stormwater. Recycle all
urban water and nutrients.
• 7. Develop systems which convert waste CO2
and hydrocarbons into carbohydrates.
• 8. Promote low protein diets, vegetable
consumption and low-input culinary traditions for
affluent societies. Combat the obesity epidemic
with high vegetable diets.
• 9. Use advanced genetics, agronomics and
other methods to enhance food production under
recurrent drought and climatic instability

74. Micro watersheds
Backward & Forward linkages
Micro projects
MICRO PLANING DANGABANJI
Backward & Forward linkage

76. •Farm Based Livelihood Restoration
•Non-Farm Based Livelihood Empowerment initiatives for Capacity Building for Social &
Economic acceleration
•Enabling Environment for Strengthening the Institutions
•Citizen Action for accelerating gearing Greening sustained livelihoods and community resilient
•Establishing effective networking, convergence and program integration
Income/engage
diversification

81. Choice is yours